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Pascal Paul

This thesis consists of three self-contained chapters. Chapter I. The first chapter develops a dynamic general equilibrium model which includes financial intermediation and endogenous financial crises. Consistent with the data, financial... more
This thesis consists of three self-contained chapters. Chapter I. The first chapter develops a dynamic general equilibrium model which includes financial intermediation and endogenous financial crises. Consistent with the data, financial crises occur out of prolonged (credit) boom periods and are initiated by a moderate adverse shock. The mechanism which gives rise to boom-bust episodes around financial crises is based on an interaction between the maturity mismatch of the financial sector and an agency problem which results in procyclical lending. I show how to model these features in a tractable way, giving a realistic representation of the financial sector's balance sheet and its lending behavior. The chapter provides empirical evidence on the behavior of the U.S. financial sector's market leverage which is (i) acyclical, (ii) rose mildly prior to the Great Recession, and (iii) increased sharply during the crisis; the model is consistent with these empirical facts. It also predicts and replicates the Great Recession, when confronted with a historical series of structural shocks. Finally, the framework is extended to include price rigidities, nominal debt contracts, and monetary policy. Within this version, I analyze the impact of monetary policy on financial stability and show that a U-shaped pattern of the policy target rate is most likely to increase financial instability. Chapter II. The second chapter models the economy as a time varying vector autoregression, consisting of economic and financial variables. The interest lies in the time varying response of these variables to a monetary policy shock. Monetary policy shocks are identified as the surprise component in policy announcements extracted from price changes in Federal Funds futures around such announcements. These monetary policy surprises enter the model as an exogenous variable. The framework is used to obtain evidence on the time varying response of stock prices to the monetary policy surprises. Stock prices always persistently decrease following a monetary tightening and more strongly than fundamentals imply - with an increase in risk-premia accounting for the difference. However, the response of stock prices varies over time. They decrease less during a boom and a perceived bubble period than during a recession. The findings suggest that so-called "leaning against the wind policies" may be ineffective since stock prices are less responsive during periods when such policies would disinflate asset bubbles using contractionary monetary policy. Chapter III. The third chapter augments a monetary dynamic general equilibrium model with a bubble as considered in [Miao_Wang_2015]. A bubble may exist in firms' stock market values and firms borrow against their inflated stock market values. Within this framework, I analyze the relation between monetary policy and the bubble. I find that contractionary monetary policy decreases the bubble which tightens borrowing constraints and amplifies the reaction of investment and output. These results are in contrast to the ones in Gali (2014) who considers a bubble of the classic rational type and finds that contractionary monetary policy can increase bubbles. </p
We study the transmission of monetary policy through bank securities portfolios for the United States using granular supervisory data on bank securities, hedging positions, and corporate credit. We find that banks that experienced larger... more
We study the transmission of monetary policy through bank securities portfolios for the United States using granular supervisory data on bank securities, hedging positions, and corporate credit. We find that banks that experienced larger market value losses on their securities during the monetary tightening cycle in 2022 extended relatively less credit to firms. Such a spillover effect was stronger for (i) available-for sale securities, (ii) unhedged securities, (iii) low-capitalized banks, and (iv) banks that have to include unrealized gains and losses on their available-for-sale securities in their regulatory capital. Our findings provide evidence for a forceful transmission channel of monetary policy that is shaped by the regulatory framework of the banking system.
The HIPPO pathway plays an important role in cancer progression and among its essential components are the transcription factor proteins from the TEAD family. The TEAD family consists of 4 different members (TEAD1-TEAD4) who modulate gene... more
The HIPPO pathway plays an important role in cancer progression and among its essential components are the transcription factor proteins from the TEAD family. The TEAD family consists of 4 different members (TEAD1-TEAD4) who modulate gene expression through the interaction with co-activator proteins such as YAP1 and TAZ. Recent studies have shown that the central pocket of TEAD could be an alternative druggable approach for inhibiting YAP1. However, until recently, the irreversible binding mechanism of such a compound in living cells was not clearly established. Here, we report a mass spectrometry-based approach to demonstrate and quantitatively assess the target occupancy of TEADs covalent inhibitors both in vitro cellular and ex vivo tumor models. Applying our method to compounds from different chemical series confirmed that these inhibitors modulate the TEAD central pocket protein in cell cultures and led us to quantify their target occupancy for all TEADs expressed in our cellul...
Review of Economics and Statistics: Forthcoming
Research has revealed several facts about financial crises based on historical data. Crises are rare events that are associated with severe recessions that are typically deeper than normal recessions. They are usually preceded by a... more
Research has revealed several facts about financial crises based on historical data. Crises are rare events that are associated with severe recessions that are typically deeper than normal recessions. They are usually preceded by a buildup of system imbalances, particularly a rapid increase of credit. Financial crises tend to occur after prolonged booms but do not necessarily result from large shocks. Recent work shows a novel way to replicate these facts in a standard macroeconomic model, which policymakers could use to gain insights to prevent future crises.
This thesis consists of three self-contained chapters. Chapter I. The first chapter develops a dynamic general equilibrium model which includes financial intermediation and endogenous financial crises. Consistent with the data, financial... more
This thesis consists of three self-contained chapters. Chapter I. The first chapter develops a dynamic general equilibrium model which includes financial intermediation and endogenous financial crises. Consistent with the data, financial crises occur out of prolonged (credit) boom periods and are initiated by a moderate adverse shock. The mechanism which gives rise to boom-bust episodes around financial crises is based on an interaction between the maturity mismatch of the financial sector and an agency problem which results in procyclical lending. I show how to model these features in a tractable way, giving a realistic representation of the financial sector's balance sheet and its lending behavior. The chapter provides empirical evidence on the behavior of the U.S. financial sector's market leverage which is (i) acyclical, (ii) rose mildly prior to the Great Recession, and (iii) increased sharply during the crisis; the model is consistent with these empirical facts. It also predicts and replicates the Great Recession, when confronted with a historical series of structural shocks. Finally, the framework is extended to include price rigidities, nominal debt contracts, and monetary policy. Within this version, I analyze the impact of monetary policy on financial stability and show that a U-shaped pattern of the policy target rate is most likely to increase financial instability. Chapter II. The second chapter models the economy as a time varying vector autoregression, consisting of economic and financial variables. The interest lies in the time varying response of these variables to a monetary policy shock. Monetary policy shocks are identified as the surprise component in policy announcements extracted from price changes in Federal Funds futures around such announcements. These monetary policy surprises enter the model as an exogenous variable. The framework is used to obtain evidence on the time varying response of stock prices to the monetary policy surprises. Stock prices always persistently decrease following a monetary tightening and more strongly than fundamentals imply - with an increase in risk-premia accounting for the difference. However, the response of stock prices varies over time. They decrease less during a boom and a perceived bubble period than during a recession. The findings suggest that so-called "leaning against the wind policies" may be ineffective since stock prices are less responsive during periods when such policies would disinflate asset bubbles using contractionary monetary policy. Chapter III. The third chapter augments a monetary dynamic general equilibrium model with a bubble as considered in [Miao_Wang_2015]. A bubble may exist in firms' stock market values and firms borrow against their inflated stock market values. Within this framework, I analyze the relation between monetary policy and the bubble. I find that contractionary monetary policy decreases the bubble which tightens borrowing constraints and amplifies the reaction of investment and output. These results are in contrast to the ones in Gali (2014) who considers a bubble of the classic rational type and finds that contractionary monetary policy can increase bubbles. </p
This paper aims at bringing out the skill based learning outcomes in teaching learning process specific to psychomotor domain through   ICT’s   based on New Educational Technology 2013. The present study intends to apply the Desmos  ... more
This paper aims at bringing out the skill based learning outcomes in teaching learning process specific to psychomotor domain through   ICT’s   based on New Educational Technology 2013. The present study intends to apply the Desmos   software to teach the Linear Graph chapter in Diploma in Elementary Education (D.El.ED) of Second year in Tamil Nadu State. It explains the teaching strategies, i.e. visualization of graphical structure with the above module. Desmos gives hands-on experience to understand the mathematical, Graphical concepts. It also aims for an extended study on Algebra, Statistics and Geometry in the second year source book prescribed for the (D.El.ED) Course of Tamil Nadu State Board.
This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model which includes nancial intermediation and endogenous nancial crises. Consistent with the data, nancial crises occur out of prolonged (credit) boom periods and are initiated by a... more
This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model which includes nancial intermediation and endogenous nancial crises. Consistent with the data, nancial crises occur out of prolonged (credit) boom periods and are initiated by a moderate adverse shock. The mechanism which gives rise to boom-bust episodes around nancial crises is based on an interaction between the maturity mismatch of the nancial sector and an agency problem which results in procyclical lending. I show how to model these features in a tractable way, giving a realistic representation of the nancial sector’s balance sheet and its lending behavior. The paper provides empirical evidence on the behavior of the U.S. nancial sector’s market leverage which is (i) acyclical, (ii) rose mildly prior to the Great Recession, and (iii) increased sharply during the crisis; the model is consistent with these empirical facts. It also predicts and replicates the Great Recession, when confronted with a historical series of struct...
"Recent research in texture-based ear recognition indicates that ear detection and texture-based ear recognition are robust against signal degradation and encoding artefacts. Based on these findings, we further investigate and... more
"Recent research in texture-based ear recognition indicates that ear detection and texture-based ear recognition are robust against signal degradation and encoding artefacts. Based on these findings, we further investigate and compare the performance of texture descriptors for ear recognition and seek to explore possibilities to complement texture descriptors with depth information. On the basis of ear samples from visible light images and depth maps, we extract texture and surface descriptors from full profile poses (perspectives). We compare the recognition performance of selected methods for describing texture and surface structure, which are Local Binary Patterns, Local Phase Quantization, Histograms of Oriented Gradients, Binarized Statistical Image Features, Shape Context and Curvedness. Secondly we propose a novel histogram-based descriptor that performs feature level fusion by combining two information channels to a new feature vector. Our concept can either be applied for fusing two different texture or two different surface descriptors or to combine texture and depth information. Based on the results of the previous experiment, we select the best performing configuration settings for texture and surface representation and use them as an input for our fused feature vectors. We report the performance of different variations of the fused descriptor and compare the behaviour of the fused feature vectors with single channel from the first series of experiments."
ABSTRACT
The neurohormone melatonin is a key agent in synchronizing the circadian rhythms. At least three types of binding sites have been described for melatonin: the G-coupled, seven-transmembrane domain receptors mt1 and MT2 and a putative... more
The neurohormone melatonin is a key agent in synchronizing the circadian rhythms. At least three types of binding sites have been described for melatonin: the G-coupled, seven-transmembrane domain receptors mt1 and MT2 and a putative binding site called MT3. The latter has been described in hamster brain membranes, and its binding capacity is optimum at 4 degrees C. We further characterized this binding site on other peripheral hamster tissues, including intestine, liver, kidney, lung, muscle, and heart. We found a high level of binding sites (>30 fmol/mg of protein) in intestine and kidney. Furthermore, we completed the existing pharmacological profile of this site, which can now be described as 2-iodomelatonin > 6-chloromelatonin > methy-isobutyl-amiloride > acridine orange > 5-methylcarbonylamino-N-acetyltryptamine > prazosin > N-acetylserotonin > melatonin. This profile was found in all the hamster organs tested that had a large number of binding sites, n...
This study comprised 42 patients with cancer bladder, who underwent radical cystectomy. The aim of work is to determine if HLA-G is expressed on tumor cells, derived from cancer bladder. We studied HLA-G-mRNA expression using RT-PCR and... more
This study comprised 42 patients with cancer bladder, who underwent radical cystectomy. The aim of work is to determine if HLA-G is expressed on tumor cells, derived from cancer bladder. We studied HLA-G-mRNA expression using RT-PCR and HLA-G cell surface expression by immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining technique. HLA-G was expressed in 28.6 % of cancer cases as determined by PCR and on 16.7% of cases determined by IHC staining. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of IHC were 58.3%, 96% and 81.7% respectively as compared to PCR results. There was a highly significant increase in the expression of HLA-G on cancer bladder cases with metastatic prostate infiltration (P= 0.021). It is concluded that HLA-G is ectopically expressed on cancer bladder malignant cells both at molecular and protein levels. However, it is not significantly associated with histologic type, tumor grade, stage, T category, schistosomiasis and lymph node involvement.

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