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2019 Extremaduran regional election

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2019 Extremaduran regional election
← 2015 26 May 2019 2023 →
All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura
33 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered899,930 Red arrow down1.3%
Turnout623,288 (69.3%)
Red arrow down2.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Guillermo Fernández Vara José Antonio Monago Cayetano Polo
Party PSOE PP Cs
Leader since 20 September 2006 8 November 2008 9 March 2019
Leader's seat Badajoz Badajoz Cáceres
Last election 30 seats, 41.5% 28 seats, 37.0% 1 seat, 4.4%
Seats won 34 20 7
Seat change Green arrow up4 Red arrow down8 Green arrow up6
Popular vote 287,619 168,982 68,343
Percentage 46.8% 27.5% 11.1%
Swing Green arrow up5.3 pp Red arrow down9.5 pp Green arrow up6.7 pp
  Fourth party
 
Leader Irene de Miguel
Party Podemos–IU–eX–Equo
Leader since 27 November 2018
Leader's seat Cáceres
Last election 6 seats, 14.0%[a]
Seats won 4
Seat change Red arrow down2
Popular vote 44,309
Percentage 7.2%
Swing Red arrow down6.8 pp
Constituency results map for the Assembly of Extremadura
President before election

Guillermo Fernández Vara
PSOE

Elected President

Guillermo Fernández Vara
PSOE

The 2019 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

Overview

[edit]

Electoral system

[edit]

The Assembly of Extremadura was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Extremadura, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Extremaduran Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Extremadurans abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2]

The 65 members of the Assembly of Extremadura were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies were also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they ran candidates in both districts and reached five percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][3]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Assembly constituency was entitled the following seats:[4]

Seats Constituencies
36 Badajoz
29 Cáceres

Election date

[edit]

The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 24 May 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the DOE no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 23 June 2019.[1][3][5]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

The election to the Assembly of Extremadura was officially triggered on 2 April 2019 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), setting the election date for 26 May.[4]

Parliamentary composition

[edit]

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Assembly at the time of dissolution.[6]

Parliamentary composition in April 2019
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 30 30
People's Parliamentary Group PP 27 27
We Can Extremadura Parliamentary Group Podemos 6 6
Mixed Parliamentary Group Cs 1 1
Non-Inscrits Vox 1[b] 1

Parties and candidates

[edit]

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least two percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][5]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PSOE
List
 Guillermo Fernández Vara Social democracy 41.50% 30 checkY [8]
PP
List
 José Antonio Monago Conservatism
Christian democracy 		37.00% 28 ☒N [9]
Podemos–
IU–eX–Equo
List
 Irene de Miguel Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism 		13.96%[a] 6 ☒N [10]
[11]
Cs
List
 Cayetano Polo Liberalism 4.39% 1 ☒N [12]
Vox
List
 Juan Antonio Morales Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism 		0.28% 0 ☒N [13]

Campaign

[edit]

Election debates

[edit]
2019 Extremaduran regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[c]  
PSOE PP UpE Cs Vox UE PACT Audience Ref.
21 May Canal Extremadura Manu Pérez P
F. Vara 		P
Monago 		P
de Miguel 		P
Polo 		P
Morales 		P
Lanzas 		P
Marquéz 		9.3%
(33.000) 		[14][15]

Opinion polls

[edit]

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Results

[edit]

Overall

[edit]
← Summary of the 26 May 2019 Assembly of Extremadura election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 287,619 46.77 +5.27 34 +4
People's Party (PP) 168,982 27.48 –9.52 20 –8
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) 68,343 11.11 +6.72 7 +6
United for Extremadura (Podemos–IU–eXtremeños–Equo)1 44,309 7.20 –6.76 4 –2
Vox (Vox) 28,992 4.71 +4.43 0 ±0
United Extremadura (EU) 3,970 0.65 +0.16 0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 3,460 0.56 +0.32 0 ±0
Public Defense Organization (ODP) 1,422 0.23 New 0 ±0
Act (PACT) 1,311 0.21 New 0 ±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 555 0.09 New 0 ±0
With You, We Are Democracy (Contigo) 441 0.07 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 5,611 0.91 –0.43
Total 615,015 65 ±0
Valid votes 615,015 98.67 +0.53
Invalid votes 8,273 1.33 –0.53
Votes cast / turnout 623,288 69.26 –2.14
Abstentions 276,642 30.74 +2.14
Registered voters 899,930
Sources[6][16]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PSOE
 
 46.77%
PP
 
 27.48%
Cs
 
 11.11%
UpE
 
 7.20%
Vox
 
 4.71%
Others
 
 1.87%
Blank ballots
 
 0.91%
Seats
PSOE
 
 52.31%
PP
 
 30.77%
Cs
 
 10.77%
UpE
 
 6.15%

Distribution by constituency

[edit]
Constituency PSOE PP Cs UpE
% S % S % S % S
Badajoz 48.5 20 26.2 10 11.1 4 6.8 2
Cáceres 44.0 14 29.4 10 11.1 3 7.8 2
Total 46.8 34 27.5 20 11.1 7 7.2 4
Sources[6][16]

Aftermath

[edit]
Further information: Third government of Guillermo Fernández Vara
Investiture
Guillermo Fernández Vara (PSOE)
Ballot → 25 June 2019
Required majority → 33 out of 65 checkY
Yes
34 / 65
No
  • • PP (20)
20 / 65
Abstentions
11 / 65
Absentees
0 / 65
Sources[6][17]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Results for Podemos (8.02%, 6 seats), Ganemos–IU–LV (4.25%, 0 seats), eX (1.46%, 0 seats) and AEx (0.24%, 0 seats) in the 2015 election.
  2. ^ Juan Antonio Morales, former PP legislator.[7]
  3. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq Within Unidas Podemos.

References

[edit]
Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "#emojiPanel Extremadura (24M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 24 May 2019.
  2. ^ "#emojiPanel Extremadura (23M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 23 May 2019.
  3. ^ "#emojiPanel Extremadura (22M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 May 2019.
  4. ^ "#emojiPanel Extremadura (21M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 21 May 2019.
  5. ^ "El PSOE gana en Madrid, pero la suma de PP, Cs y Vox lo aleja de Sol". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  6. ^ "Resultados por comunidades. Encuesta mayo 2019" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019. Archived from the original (PDF) on 20 May 2019. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
  7. ^ "Encuesta electoral: Ajustada batalla entre bloques el 26-M". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  8. ^ "#emojiPanel Extremadura (20M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  9. ^ "#electoPanel Extremadura (18M): absoluta de PSOE+UP, con Vara en el 39%". Electomanía (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
  10. ^ "#electoPanel Extremadura (15M): el PSOE se acerca al 40%". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 May 2019.
  11. ^ "#electoPanel Extremadura (12M): el PSOE baja ligeramente, pero sigue a velocidad AVE". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 May 2019.
  12. ^ "El PSOE vencería en las autonómicas pero no alcanzaría la mayoría absoluta". Hoy (in Spanish). 13 May 2019.
  13. ^ "#electoPanel Extremadura (9M): se mantienen las posiciones". Electomanía (in Spanish). 9 May 2019.
  14. ^ "El PSOE gana las elecciones y la llave se la disputarán Podemos y Cs". El Periódico de Extremadura (in Spanish). 12 May 2019.
  15. ^ "#electoPanel Extremadura (6M): el PSOE se mantiene 'a todo tren' mientras Ciudadanos acecha al PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2019.
  16. ^ "Estimaciones de voto en Comunidades Autónomas y grandes ciudades (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 9 May 2019.
  17. ^ "ElectoPanel autonómico (12A): las mayorías siguen en el aire". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 April 2019.
  18. ^ "ElectoPanel autonómicas (3A): Ciudadanos decidirá el bloque ganador en la mayoría de CCAA". Electomanía (in Spanish). 3 April 2019.
  19. ^ "ElectoPanel autonómico (27M). Semana de retrocesos para Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 27 March 2019.
  20. ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (20M): 'Navarra Suma' (PP-Cs-UPN) no suma para recuperar el Gobierno Foral". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 March 2019.
  21. ^ "ElectoPanel autonómico 13M: el PSOE es el más votado, pero la derecha suma en la mayoría de CCAA". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 March 2019.
  22. ^ "ElectoPanel autonómico: la irrupción de Vox en casi todas las CCAA posibilitaría a la derecha gobernar la mayoría de ellas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 March 2019.
  23. ^ "ElectoPanel Extremadura: Ciudadanos tendría la llave". Electomanía (in Spanish). 27 January 2019.
  24. ^ "Una encuesta da 30 escaños al PSOE extremeño, 21 al PP, Cs 10, Podemos 4 y Vox ninguno". El Periódico de Extremadura (in Spanish). 7 February 2019.
  25. ^ "El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones pero se aleja de la mayoría absoluta". Hoy (in Spanish). 26 May 2018.
  26. ^ "EXTREMADURA. Elecciones autonómicas. Encuesta SigmaDos para Hoy. Mayo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 May 2018.
  27. ^ "Estimación Marzo 2018. Extremadura. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 22 March 2018.
  28. ^ "EXTREMADURA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 22 March 2018.
  29. ^ "El PSOE volvería a ganar en Extremadura, pero perdería hasta tres escaños". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 21 March 2017.
  30. ^ "EXTREMADURA, Marzo 2017. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 March 2017.
Other
  1. ^ a b c d Ley Orgánica 1/2011, de 28 de enero, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Autónoma de Extremadura (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 28 January 2011. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  2. ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. ^ a b c Ley 2/1987, de 16 de marzo, de Elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura (Law 2) (in Spanish). 16 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  4. ^ a b "Decreto del Presidente 1/2019, de 1 de abril, por el que se convocan elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura" (PDF). Diario Oficial de Extremadura (in Spanish) (64): 13664–13665. 2 April 2019. ISSN 2483-5188.
  5. ^ a b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  6. ^ a b c d "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 August 2019.
  7. ^ "Juan Antonio Morales y Antonio Pozo se incorporan a VOX tras abandonar el PP de Extremadura". Europa Press (in Spanish). 7 September 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2019.
  8. ^ "Vara volverá a ser el candidato del PSOE a la Presidencia de la Junta". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 8 May 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2019.
  9. ^ "Casado presenta a Monago como candidato del PP a la Junta y confía en que Extremadura "recupere la ilusión"". Europa Press (in Spanish). 15 December 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2019.
  10. ^ "Irene de Miguel, ratificada como candidata de Podemos a la Presidencia de la Junta". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 27 November 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2019.
  11. ^ "Cuatro partidos forman la coalición Unidas Podemos para las autonómicas". Hoy (in Spanish). 12 March 2019. Retrieved 12 March 2019.
  12. ^ "Rivera gana las primarias de Ciudadanos con el apoyo tan solo de 7.792 afiliados y un 32% de participación". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 9 March 2019. Retrieved 9 March 2019.
  13. ^ "El primer diputado de Vox, 'tránsfuga' y franquista: "El feminismo es una ideología de izquierdas"". El País (in Spanish). 13 January 2019. Retrieved 29 January 2020.
  14. ^ Romero, Matías (23 May 2019). "Canal Extremadura, líder de audiencia con el debate electoral autonómico, por delante del resto de TV autonómicas". Canal Extremadura (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 13 February 2021. Retrieved 4 February 2021.
  15. ^ Romero, Matías (20 May 2019). "Martes a las 20:55h, el único debate de la campaña electoral autonómica en Canal Extremadura". Canal Extremadura (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 9 February 2021. Retrieved 4 February 2021.
  16. ^ a b "Assembly of Extremadura election results, 26 May 2019" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Extremadura. 10 June 2019. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
  17. ^ "Vara resulta elegido con los votos del PSOE y la abstención de Cs y Podemos". El Periódico de Extremadura (in Spanish). 25 June 2019. Retrieved 25 June 2019.
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