The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Delta State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
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Background
editDelta State is a diverse state in the South South; although its oil reserves make it one of the most wealthy states in the nation, Delta has faced challenges in frequent oil spills, environmental degradation, and cult violence in large part due to years of systemic corruption. Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the PDP's control as Governor Ifeanyi Okowa won with over 80% of the vote and the party won a majority in the House of Assembly along with holding two senate seats. For the federal House, the PDP won back one seat lost from a defection but the seat of a different defector from the PDP went to the APC leaving the total results at 9 PDP, 1 APC. Although the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar, it still swung towards Buhari compared to 2015 and had much lower turnout.
Polling
edit| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
|
|
|
Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 4% | 68% | 4% | 10% | – | 6% | 3% | 4% |
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 10% | 40% | 4% | 15% | – | 9% | 7% | 16% |
| Nextier (Delta crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 2.3% | 65.9% | – | 30.7% | – | 1.1% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Delta crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 5% | 56% | – | 9% | – | 30% | – | – |
Projections
edit| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][2] | Tossup | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][3] | |||
| Tinubu: | 15.99% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 57.94% | ||
| Abubakar: | 20.84% | ||
| Others: | 5.23% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][4] |
Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][5] | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 15% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 30% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 40% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 10% | ||
| The Nation[f][7][8] | Abubakar | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district
editThe results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Delta Central Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Delta North Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Delta South Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
editThe results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Aniocha/Oshimili Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Bomadi/Patani Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Burutu Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ethiope East/Ethiope West Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ika North East/Ika South Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Isoko South/Isoko North Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Okpe/Sapele/Uvwie Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ndokwa East/Ndokwa West/Ukwuani Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ughelli North/Ughelli South/Udu Federal Constituency[r] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Warri North/Warri South/Warri South West Federal Constituency[s] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
editThe results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Aniocha North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Aniocha South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bomadi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Burutu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ethiope East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ethiope West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ika North East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ika South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Isoko North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Isoko South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ndokwa East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ndokwa West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oshimili North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oshimili South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Patani | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Sapele | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Udu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ughelli North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ughelli South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ukwuani | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Uvwie | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Warri North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Warri South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Warri South West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ethiope East, Ethiope West, Sapele, Okpe, Udu, Ughelli North, Ughelli South, and Uvwie.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Aniocha North, Aniocha South, Ika North East, Ika South, Ndokwa East, Ndokwa West, Oshimili South, Oshimili North, and Ukwuani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bomadi, Burutu, Isoko North, Isoko South, Patani, Warri North, Warri South, and Warri South West.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Aniocha North, Aniocha South, Oshimili North, and Oshimili South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bomadi and Patani.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Burutu.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ethiope East and Ethiope West.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ika North East and Ika South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Isoko North and Isoko South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Okpe, Sapele, and Uvwie.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ndokwa East, Ndokwa West, and Ukwuani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Udu, Ughelli North, and Ughelli South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Warri North, Warri South, and Warri South West.
References
edit- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.