The 2018 Michigan Attorney General election took place on November 6, 2018, alongside elections to elect Michigan's governor, Class I United States Senator, Secretary of State, as well elections for Michigan's 14 seats in the United States House of Representatives, all 38 seats in the Michigan Senate and all 110 seats in the Michigan House of Representatives; to elect the Secretary of State of Michigan. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Bill Schuette was prohibited from seeking a third term due to term limits and unsuccessfully ran for Governor of Michigan instead. The Michigan GOP was unsuccessful in looking to win its 5th straight attorney general election. Along with the offices of Lieutenant Governor and Secretary of State, the nominees for attorney general were chosen by party delegates at their respective party conventions.
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Nessel: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Leonard: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Nessel defeated Leonard by 115,000 votes, becoming the first Democratic attorney general of Michigan since 2003, when Jennifer Granholm left office to become governor.
Republican Party
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated at convention
editDeclined
edit- Mary Beth Kelly, former Associate Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court (2011–2015)[3]
Democratic Party
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Dana Nessel, civil rights attorney[4]
Eliminated at convention
edit- Patrick Miles Jr., former United States Attorney for the Western District of Michigan (2012–2017)[2][5]
- William Noakes, former Wayne County Deputy Corporation Counsel[6]
Declined
edit- Steve Bieda, state senator (running for Congress)[7]
- Tim Greimel, state representative and former minority leader of the Michigan House of Representatives (running for Congress)[8]
- Eric Smith, Macomb County Prosecutor[9]
General election
editPolling
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tom Leonard (R) |
Dana Nessel (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glengariff Group | October 25–27, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 45% | 5%[b] | 17% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 18–23, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 9%[c] | 13% |
| Michigan State University | October 13–22, 2018 | 169 (RV) | – | 40% | 37% | – | – |
| Marketing Resource Group | October 14–18, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 39% | 10%[d] | 16% |
| Glengariff Group | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 32% | 39% | 6%[e] | 24% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 21–25, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 32% | 38% | 11%[f] | 19% |
| Glengariff Group | September 5–7, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 42% | 5% | 24% |
Fundraising
edit| Campaign finance reports as of October 21, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Tom Leonard (R) | $1,988,558.29 | $1,900,406.09 | $88,152.20 |
| Dana Nessel (D) | $1,573,966.91 | $1,329,134.98 | $244,831.93 |
| Source: Michigan Department of State[10] | |||
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dana Nessel | 2,031,117 | 49.04% | +4.85% | |
| Republican | Tom Leonard | 1,916,117 | 46.26% | −5.81% | |
| Libertarian | Lisa Lane Giola | 86,807 | 2.10% | +0.24% | |
| Independent | Chris Graveline | 69,889 | 1.69% | N/A | |
| Constitution | Gerald Van Sickle | 38,114 | 0.92% | −0.08% | |
| Total votes | 4,142,044 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
By congressional district
editDespite losing the state, Leonard won 9 of 14 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[12]
| District | Leonard | Nessel | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 56% | 39% | Jack Bergman |
| 2nd | 56% | 39% | Bill Huizenga |
| 3rd | 52% | 43% | Justin Amash |
| 4th | 58% | 36% | John Moolenaar |
| 5th | 44% | 51% | Dan Kildee |
| 6th | 51% | 44% | Fred Upton |
| 7th | 53% | 42% | Tim Walberg |
| 8th | 49% | 46% | Mike Bishop |
| Elissa Slotkin | |||
| 9th | 40% | 55% | Sander Levin |
| Andy Levin | |||
| 10th | 60% | 36% | |
| Paul Mitchell | |||
| 11th | 48.3% | 48.0% | Dave Trott |
| Haley Stevens | |||
| 12th | 32% | 64% | Debbie Dingell |
| 13th | 17% | 79% | Brenda Jones |
| Rashida Tlaib | |||
| 14th | 19% | 78% | Brenda Lawrence |
Notes
edit- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Giola (L) with 3%; Van Sickle (UTP) with 1%; Graveline (I) with 1%
- ^ Giola (L) with 4%; "Other candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%; Giola (L) with 4%
- ^ Giola (L) with 4%; Graveline (I) with <1%
- ^ "Other party candidate" with 6%; Giola (L) with 5%
References
edit- ^ Oosting, Jonathan (October 5, 2017). "House speaker joins race for Michigan attorney general". The Detroit News. Retrieved October 17, 2017.
- ^ a b Gray, Kathleen (September 19, 2017). "2018 races getting crowded for attorney general, secretary of state". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved September 20, 2017.
- ^ Livengood, Chad (August 17, 2015). "Justice Kelly to leave Michigan Supreme Court". The Detroit News. Retrieved November 19, 2017.
- ^ Brand-Williams, Oralandar (August 15, 2017). "Same-sex case lawyer to run for Mich. attorney general". The Detroit News. Retrieved October 18, 2017.
- ^ McVicar, Brian (September 27, 2017). "Former U.S. Attorney Pat Miles announces candidacy for Michigan attorney general". MLive.
- ^ Gray, Kathleen (December 18, 2017). "Who's running for Michigan Attorney General in 2018?". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved February 12, 2018.
- ^ Spangler, Todd (December 6, 2017). "Michigan state Sen. Steve Bieda want Sander Levin's seat in Congress". Detroit Free.
- ^ Spangler, Todd (October 17, 2017). "State Rep. Tim Greimel joins crowded congressional field". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved October 19, 2017.
- ^ Cook, Jameson (January 23, 2018). "Eric Smith turns down request to run for Attorney General". Macomb Daily. Retrieved February 12, 2018.
- ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved September 27, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Michigan Official General Election Results - 11/06/2018". mielections.us.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting.
External links
edit- Official campaign websites