The Safe Development Paradox in Flood Risk Management: A Critical Review
<p>Distribution of Safe Development Paradox/ Levee Effect/ Safety Dilemma articles and general flood risk articles over the review period (2000 to 2021), with Hurricane Katrina and the emergence of new related concepts are annotated.</p> "> Figure 2
<p>Distribution of published literature regarding the lock-in cyclical process, referred to in this article as the <span class="html-italic">Safe Development Paradox</span> over the review period (2000 to 2021). Articles have been divided by the terminology used.</p> "> Figure 3
<p>Published literature, divided by the hydrological hazard studied (coastal or fluvial) over the review period (2000 to 2021).</p> "> Figure 4
<p>Geographic distribution of locations studied in literature by country (2000 to 2021). The map features the Brandt line, delineating the Global North and Global South (Lees, 2020). Colour scale represents the paper count.</p> "> Figure 5
<p>Published analysed literature divided by the key recommendation provided by the authors in the papers published throughout the review period (2000 to 2021).</p> "> Figure A1
<p>High-Level Flowchart of Data Collection from Literature Review.</p> ">
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methods
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Temporal Distribution
3.2. Hydrological Hazard
3.3. Geographic Distribution
3.4. Literature Recommendations
4. Conclusions and Outlook
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Database | Query Strings |
---|---|
Web of Science | AK=(“Safe Development Paradox”) OR TI=(“Safe Development Paradox”) OR AB=(“Safe Development Paradox”) Timespan = 2000–2021 AK=(“Levee Effect”) OR TI=(“Levee Effect”) OR AB=(“Levee Effect”) Timespan = 2000–2021 AK=(“Safety Dilemma”) OR TI=(“Safety Dilemma”) OR AB=(“Safety Dilemma”) Timespan = 2000–2021 |
Scopus | TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Safe Development Paradox”) AND PUBYEAR > 1999 TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Levee Effect”) AND PUBYEAR > 1999 TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Safety Dilemma”) AND PUBYEAR > 1999 |
Google Scholar | “Safe Development Paradox” “Levee Effect” “Safety Dilemma” |
Filter | Criteria |
---|---|
Grey Literature? |
|
Mentions Keyword? |
|
Flooding Hazard? |
|
Theme | Category | Inclusion Criteria |
Local Hydrology | Fluvial |
|
Coastal |
| |
Terminology | Safe Development Paradox |
|
Levee Effect |
| |
Safety Dilemma |
| |
Geographic Distribution | Nation |
|
Recommendation | Housing Defence |
|
Improved Communication |
| |
Improved Modelling |
| |
Improved Science |
| |
Insurance |
| |
Planning Control |
| |
Relocation |
| |
None |
|
Database | Query Strings |
---|---|
Web of Science | AK=(“Flood Risk”) OR TI=(“Flood Risk”) OR AB=(“Flood Risk”) |
Scopus | TITLE-ABS-KEY (“Flood Risk”) AND PUBYEAR > 1999 |
Authors | Year Published | Title | Journal | DOI |
---|---|---|---|---|
Akhter, F., Mazzoleni, M., Brandimarte, L. | 2021 | Analysis of 220 Years of Floodplain Population Dynamics in the US at Different Spatial Scales | Water | 10.3390/w13020141 |
Anderson, W., Kjar, S. | 2008 | Hurricane Katrina and the levees: taxation, calculation, and the matrix of capital | International Journal of Social Economics | 10.1108/03068290810889198 |
Angelo, C., Fiori, A., Volpi, E. | 2020 | Structural, dynamic and anthropic conditions that trigger the emergence of the levee effect: insight from a simplified risk-based framework | Hydrological Sciences Journal | 10.1080/02626667.2020.1729985 |
Armstrong, S., Lazarus, E. | 2019 | Reconstructing patterns of coastal risk in space and time along the US Atlantic coast, 1970–2016 | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 10.5194/nhess-19-2497-2019 |
Auerswald, K., Moyle, P., Selbert, S., Gelst, J. | 2019 | HESS Opinions: Socio-economic and ecological trade-offs of flood management-benefits of a transdisciplinary approach | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 10.5194/hess-23-1035-2019 |
Barendrecht, M., Viglione, A., Blöschl. G. | 2017 | A dynamic framework for flood risk | Water Security | 10.1016/j.wasec.2017.02.001 |
Burby, R. | 2006 | Hurricane Katrina and the Paradoxes of Government Disaster Policy: Bringing About Wise Governmental Decisions for Hazardous Areas | The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science | 10.1177/0002716205284676 |
Collenteur, R., De Moel, H., Jongman, B., Di Baldassarre, G. | 2014 | The failed-levee effect: Do societies learn from flood disasters? | Natural Hazards | 10.1007/s11069-014-1496-6 |
Cutter, S., Emrich, C., Gall, M., Reeves, R. | 2018 | Flash Flood Risk and the Paradox of Urban Development | Natural Hazards Review | 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000268 |
Di Baldassarre, G., Kemerink, J., Kooy, M., Brandimarte, L., | 2014 | Floods and societies: the spatial distribution of water-related disaster risk and its dynamics | WIREs Water | 10.1002/wat2.1015 |
Di Baldassarre, G., Viglione, A., Carr, G., Kuil, L., Yan, K., Brandimarte, L., Blöschl, G. | 2015 | Debates—Perspectives on socio-hydrology: Capturing feedbacks between physical and social processes | Water Resources Research | 10.1002/2014WR016416 |
Di Baldassarre, G., Kreibich, H., Vorogushyn, S., Aerts, J., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Barendrecht, M., Bates, P., Borga, M., Botzen, W., Bubeck, P., De Marchi, B., Llasat, C., Mazzoleni, M., Molinari, D., Mondino, E., Mård, J., Petrucci, O., Scolobig, A., Viglione, A., Ward, P. | 2018 | Hess Opinions: An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 10.5194/hess-22-5629-2018 |
Domeneghetti, A., Carisi, F., Castellarin, A., Brath, A. | 2015 | Evolution of flood risk over large areas: Quantitative assessment for the Po river | Journal of Hydrology | 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.05.043 |
Eakin, H., Lemos, M., Nelson, D. | 2014 | Differentiating capacities as a means to sustainable climate change adaptation | Global Environmental Change | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.04.013 |
Ferdous, M., Wesselink, A., Brandimarte, L., Di Baldassarre, G., Rahman, M. | 2019 | The levee effect along the Jamuna River in Bangladesh | Water International | 10.1080/02508060.2019.1619048 |
Ferdous, M., Di Baldassarre, G., Brandimarte, L., Wesselink, A. | 2020 | The interplay between structural flood protection, population density, and flood mortality along the Jamuna River, Bangladesh | Regional Environmental Change | 10.1007/s10113-020-01600-1 |
Ferreira, S., Hamilton, K., Vincent, J. | 2013 | Does development reduce fatalities from natural disasters? New evidence for floods | Environment and Development Economics | 10.1017/S1355770X13000387 |
Fox-Rogers, L., Devitt, C., O’Neil, E., Brereton, F., Clinch, J. | 2016 | Is there really “nothing you can do”? Pathways to enhanced flood-risk preparedness | Journal of Hydrology | 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.10.009 |
Georgic, W., Klaiber, H. | 2021 | A Flood of Construction: The Role of Levees in Urban Floodplain Development | Land Economics | 10.3368/le.98.1.071520-0106R1 |
Gissing, A., Van Leeuwen, J., Tofa, M., Haynes, K. | 2018 | Flood levee influences on community preparedness: a paradox? | Australian Institute for Disaster Resilience | 10.3316/agispt.20180827001081 |
Haer, T., Husby, T., Botzen, W., Aerts, J. | 2020 | The safe development paradox: An agent-based model for flood risk under climate change in the European Union | Global Environmental Change | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102009 |
Harwood, S., Carson, D., Wensing, E., Jackson, L. | 2014 | Natural Hazard Resilient Communities and Land Use Planning: The Limitations of Planning Governance in Tropical Australia | Journal of Geography & Natural Disasters | 10.4172/2167-0587.1000130 |
Herreros-Cantis, P., Olivotto, V., Grabowski, Z., McPhearson, T. | 2019 | Shifting landscapes of coastal flood risk: environmental (in)justice of urban change, sea level rise, and differential vulnerability in New York City | Urban Transformations | 10.1186/s42854-020-00014-w |
Hutton, N., Tobin, G., Montz, B. | 2019 | The levee effect revisited: Processes and policies enabling development in Yuba County, California | Journal of Flood Risk Management | 10.1111/jfr3.12469 |
Jiao, S., Li, W., Wen, J. | 2021 | Spatiotemporal changes of manufacturing firms in the flood prone Yangtze Delta | Environmental Hazards | 10.1080/17477891.2021.1988502 |
Kates, R., Colten, C., Laska, S., Leatherman, S. | 2006 | Reconstruction of New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina: A research perspective | PNAS | 10.1073/pnas.0605726103 |
Lazarus, E., Ziros, L. | 2021 | Yachts and marinas as hotspots of coastal risk | Anthropocene Coasts | 10.1139/anc-2020-0012 |
Malecha, M., Woodruff, S., Berke, P. | 2021 | Planning to Exacerbate Flooding: Evaluating a Houston, Texas, Network of Plans in Place during Hurricane Harvey Using a Plan Integration for Resilience Scorecard | Natural Hazards Review | 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000470 |
Mallakpour, I, Sadegh, M., AghaKouchak, A. | 2020 | Changes in the exposure of California’s levee-protected critical infrastructure to flooding hazard in a warming climate | Environmental Research Letters | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab80ed |
Massazza, G., Bacci, M., Descroix, L., Ibrahim, M., Fiorillo, E., Katiellou, G., Panthou, G., Pezzoli, A., Rosso, M., Sauzedde, E., Terenziani, A., De Filippis, T., Rocchi, L., Burrone, S., Tiepolo, M., Vischel, T., Tarchiani, V. | 2021 | Recent Changes in Hydroclimatic Patterns over Medium Niger River Basins at the Origin of the 2020 Flood in Niamey (Niger) | Water | 10.3390/w13121659 |
Mazzoleni, M., Mård, J., Rusca, M., Odongo, V., Lindersson, S., Di Baldassarre, G. | 2019 | Floodplains in the Anthropocene: A Global Analysis of the Interplay Between Human Population, Built Environment, and Flood Severity | Water Resources Research | 10.1029/2020WR027744 |
Michaelis, T., Brandimarte, L., Mazzeloni, M. | 2020 | Capturing flood-risk dynamics with a coupled agent-based and hydraulic modelling framework | Hydrological Sciences Journal | 10.1080/02626667.2020.1750617 |
Mochizuki, J., Mechler, R., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Keating, A., Williges, K. | 2014 | Revisiting the ‘disaster and development’ debate—Toward a broader understanding of macroeconomic risk and resilience | Climate Risk Management | 10.1016/j.crm.2014.05.002 |
Richert, C., Erdlenbruch, K., Grelot, F. | 2019 | The impact of flood management policies on individual adaptation actions: Insights from a French case study | Ecological Economics | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106387 |
Sisi, J., Li, W., Wen, J. | 2021 | Spatiotemporal changes of manufacturing firms in the flood prone Yangtze Delta | Environmental Hazards | 10.1080/17477891.2021.1988502 |
Sivapalan, M., Blöschl, G. | 2015 | Time scale interactions and the coevolution of humans and water | Water Resources Research | 10.1002/2015WR017896 |
Stevens, M., Song, Y., Berke, P. | 2009 | New Urbanist developments in flood-prone areas: safe development, or safe development paradox? | Natural Hazards | 10.1007/s11069-009-9450-8 |
Toshiharu, K., Narantsetseg, C. | 2019 | Long term changes in flooding around Gifu City | The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences | 10.5194/isprs-archives-XLII-3-W8-421-2019 |
Tyler, J., Abdul-Akeem, S., Noonan, D. | 2019 | A review of the community flood risk management literature in the USA: lessons for improving community resilience to floods | Natural Hazards | 10.1007/s11069-019-03606-3 |
Undurraga, R., Vicuña, S., Melo, O. | 2020 | Compensating Water Service Interruptions to Implement a Safe-to-Fail Approach to Climate Change Adaptation in Urban Water Supply | Water | 10.3390/w12061540 |
Ventimiglia, U., Candela, A., Aronica, G. | 2020 | A Cost Efficiency Analysis of Flood Proofing Measures for Hydraulic Risk Mitigation in an Urbanized Riverine Area | Water | 10.3390/w12092395 |
Wasson, R., Jain, V., Katuri, A., Lahiri, S., Parkash, S., Singhvi, A., Varma, N., Bansal, P., Chuah, C. | 2019 | Riverine Flood Hazard: Part B. Disaster risk reduction in India | Proceedings of the Indian National Science Academy | 10.16943/ptinsa/2018/49502 |
Yu, D., Chang, H., Davis, T., Hillis, V., Marston, L., Oh, W., Sivapalan, M., Waring, T. | 2020 | Socio-hydrology: an interplay of design and self-organization in a multilevel world | Ecology and Society | 10.5751/ES-11887-250422 |
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Breen, M.J.; Kebede, A.S.; König, C.S. The Safe Development Paradox in Flood Risk Management: A Critical Review. Sustainability 2022, 14, 16955. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142416955
Breen MJ, Kebede AS, König CS. The Safe Development Paradox in Flood Risk Management: A Critical Review. Sustainability. 2022; 14(24):16955. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142416955
Chicago/Turabian StyleBreen, Morgan J., Abiy S. Kebede, and Carola S. König. 2022. "The Safe Development Paradox in Flood Risk Management: A Critical Review" Sustainability 14, no. 24: 16955. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142416955