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Interest Rate Risk Management Techniques

Chapter Seven discusses risk management for changing interest rates, focusing on asset-liability management and duration techniques. It covers key topics such as interest rate risk, goals of hedging, and the measurement of interest-sensitive gaps. The chapter also highlights the limitations of various hedging techniques and the impact of interest rate changes on a bank's net worth.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
50 views38 pages

Interest Rate Risk Management Techniques

Chapter Seven discusses risk management for changing interest rates, focusing on asset-liability management and duration techniques. It covers key topics such as interest rate risk, goals of hedging, and the measurement of interest-sensitive gaps. The chapter also highlights the limitations of various hedging techniques and the impact of interest rate changes on a bank's net worth.

Uploaded by

050610220643
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Chapter Seven

Risk Management for Changing Interest


Rates: Asset-Liability Management and
Duration Techniques
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
7-2

Key Topics
• Asset, Liability, and Funds Management
• Market Rates and Interest-Rate Risk
• The Goals of Interest-Rate Hedging
• Interest-Sensitive Gap Management
• Duration Gap Management
• Limitations of Hedging Techniques

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-3

Asset-Liability Management

The Purpose of Asset-Liability Management is


to Control a Bank’s Sensitivity to Changes in
Market Interest Rates and Limit its Losses in
its Net Income or Equity

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-4

Historical View of Asset-Liability


Management
• Asset Management Strategy (control over
assets, no control over liabilities)
• Liability Management Strategy (control over
liabilities by changing rates and other terms)
• Funds Management Strategy (work with both
strategies)

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-5

Asset-Liability Management

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-6

Interest Rate Risk


• Price Risk
▫When interest rates rise, the market value of the
bond or asset (fixed-rate loans) falls. If a financial
institution wishes to sell these financial instruments
in a rising rate period, it must be prepared to accept
capital losses.
• Reinvestment Risk
▫When interest rates fall, forcing a financial firm to
invest incoming funds in lower-yielding earning
asset, lowering its expected future income.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-7

Interest Rate Risk: One of the Main Challenges

• Forces Determining Interest Rates


▫ Loanable Funds Theory

• The Measurement of Interest Rates


▫ YTM
▫ Bank Discount

• Components of Interest Rates


McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-8

Yield to Maturity (YTM)

n
CFt
Market Price  t
t 1 (1  YTM)

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-9

Bank Discount Rate (DR)

FV - Purchase Price 360


DR  *
FV # Days to Maturity

Where: FV equals Face Value of a Security,


such as Treasury Bills
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-10

Market Interest Rates


Function of:
• Risk-Free Real Rate of Interest
• Various Risk Premiums
▫ Default Risk
▫ Inflation Risk
▫ Liquidity Risk
▫ Call Risk
▫ Maturity Risk

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-11

Yield Curves
• Graphical Picture of Relationship Between Yields
and Maturities on Securities
• Generally Created With Treasury Securities to Keep
Default Risk Constant
• Shape of the Yield Curve
▫ Upward – Long-Term Rates Higher than Short-Term Rates
▫ Downward – Short-Term Rates Higher than Long-Term
Rates
▫ Horizontal – Short-Term and Long-Term Rates the Same
• Shape of the Yield Curve and a Maturity Gap

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-12

Net Interest Margin

Interest Income - Interest Expenses


NIM 
Total Earnings Assets

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-13

Goal of Interest Rate Hedging

One Important Goal of Interest Rate Hedging


is to Insulate the Bank from the Damaging
Effects of Fluctuating Interest Rates on Profits

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-14

Quick Quiz
• What forces cause interest rates to change?
• What makes it so difficult to correctly forecast
interest rate changes?
• What is the yield curve, and why is it important to
know about its shape and slope?
• What is the goal of hedging?
• First National Bank of Bannerville has posted interest
revenues of $63 million and interest costs from all of its
borrowings of $42 million. If this bank possesses $700 million
in total earning assets, what is First National’s net interest
margin? Suppose the bank’s interest revenues and interest
costs double, while its earning assets increase by 50%. What
will happen to its net interest margin?
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-15

Interest-Sensitive Gap Measurements


Dollar Interest- Interest-Sensitive Assets –
Sensitive Gap = Interest Sensitive Liabilities

Relative
Dollar IS Gap
Interest- 
Sensitive Gap Bank Size

Interest Interest Sensitive Assets


Sensitivity 
Interest Sensitive Liabilities
Ratio
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-16

Examples of Repriceable (Interest


Sensitive) Assets and Liabilities

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-17

Asset-Sensitive Bank Has:

• Positive Dollar Interest-Sensitive Gap

• Positive Relative Interest-Sensitive Gap

• Interest Sensitivity Ratio Greater Than One

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-18

Liability Sensitive Bank Has:


• Negative Dollar Interest-Sensitive Gap

• Negative Relative Interest-Sensitive Gap

• Interest Sensitivity Ratio Less Than One

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-19

Computer-Based Techniques and Maturity Buckets

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-20

Gap Positions and the Effect of Interest Rate


Changes on the Bank

• Asset-Sensitive • Liability-Sensitive
Bank Bank
▫Interest Rates Rise ▫Interest Rates Rise
 NIM Rises  NIM Falls
▫Interest Rates Fall ▫Interest Rates Fall
 NIM Falls  NIM Rises

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-21

Zero Interest-Sensitive Gap

• Dollar Interest-Sensitive Gap is Zero


• Relative Interest-Sensitive Gap is Zero
• Interest Sensitivity Ratio is One
▫ When Interest Rates Change in Either Direction - NIM
is Protected and Will Not Change

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-22

Important Decision Regarding IS Gap

• Management Must Choose the Time Period Over


Which NIM is to be Managed
• Management Must Choose a Target NIM
• To Increase NIM Management Must Either:
▫ Develop Correct Interest Rate Forecast
▫ Reallocate Assets and Liabilities to Increase Spread
• Management Must Choose Volume of Interest-
Sensitive Assets and Liabilities

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-23

NIM Influenced By:

• Changes in Interest Rates Up or Down


• Changes in the Spread Between Assets and Liabilities
• Changes in the Volume of Interest-Sensitive Assets
and Liabilities
• Changes in the Mix of Assets and Liabilities

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-24

Cumulative Gap

The Total Difference in Dollars Between


Those Bank Assets and Liabilities Which Can
be Repriced over a Designated Time Period

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-25

Aggressive Interest-Sensitive Gap Management

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-26

Problems with Interest-Sensitive Gap


Management
• Interest Paid on Liabilities Tend to Move Faster than
Interest Rates Earned on Assets

• Interest Rate Attached to Bank Assets and Liabilities Do


Not Move at the Same Speed as Market Interest Rates

• Point at Which Some Assets and Liabilities are Repriced


is Not Easy to Identify

• Interest-Sensitive Gap Does Not Consider the Impact of


Changing Interest Rates on Equity Position
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-27

Quick Quiz
• Commerce National Bank reports interest-sensitive assets of $870 million
and interest-sensitive liabilities of $625 million during the coming month.
Is the bank asset sensitive or liability sensitive? What is likely to happen to
the bank’s net interest margin if interest rates rise? If they fall?

• People’s Savings Bank , a thrift institutions, has a cumulative gap for the
coming year of +$135 million, and interest rates are expected to fall by
two and a half percentage points. Calculate the expected change in net
interest income that this thrift institution might experience. What will
occur in net interest income if interest rates rise by one and a quarter
percentage points?

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-28

The Concept of Duration

Duration is the Weighted Average Maturity of


a Promised Stream of Future Cash Flows

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-29

To Calculate the Instrument’s Duration


n n

 (1  YTM)t * CFt
t  (1  YTM) t * CFt
t
D  t 1  t 1
n Current Market Value or Price
 (1  YTM)
t 1
CFt
t

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-30

Price Sensitivity of a Security

P i
- D *
P (1  i)

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-31

Convexity

The Rate of Change in an Asset’s Price or


Value Varies with the Level of Interest Rates
or Yields

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-32

Dollar-Weighted Duration of Asset Portfolio

n
D A  w i * D A i
i 1

Where:
wi = the dollar amount of the ith asset divided by total assets
DAi = the duration of the ith asset in the portfolio

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-33

Dollar-Weighted Duration of a Liability


Portfolio
n
D L  w i * D Li
i 1

Where:
wi = the dollar amount of the ith liability divided by total liabilities
DLi = the duration of the ith liability in the portfolio
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-34

Duration Gap

TL
D D A - D L *
TA

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-35

Change in the Value of a Bank’s Net Worth

 i   i 
NW  - D A * * A -  - DL * * L
 (1  i)   (1  i) 

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-36

Impact of Changing Interest Rates on a Bank’s


Net Worth

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-37

Limitations of Duration Gap Management


• Finding Assets and Liabilities of the Same Duration
Can be Difficult
• Some Assets and Liabilities May Have Patterns of
Cash Flows that are Not Well Defined
• Customer Prepayments May Distort the Expected Cash
Flows in Duration
• Customer Defaults May Distort the Expected Cash
Flows in Duration
• Convexity Can Cause Problems

McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.
7-38

Quick Quiz
• What is duration? How is a financial institution’s
duration gap determined?
• What are the advantages of using duration as opposed
to interest-sensitive gap analysis?
• Suppose that a thrift institution has an average asset
duration of 2.5 years and an average liability duration
of 3.0 years. If the thrift holds total assets of $560
million and total liabilities of $467 million, does it
have a significant leverage-adjusted duration gap? If
interest rates rise, what will happen to the value of its
net worth?
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Bank Management and Financial © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights
Reserved.

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