Evolution of Private Equity Ecosystem: September 20, 2009
Evolution of Private Equity Ecosystem: September 20, 2009
    Companies in high growth phase, sunrise industry, e.g. Suzlon – CVC, IDFC &
     ChrysCapital (2004)
                                                                                   2
Why Private Equity? (Cont’d.)
 Difficulty in obtaining debt (low rating) at the right cost or public equity
  (insufficient market standing, unfavorable market conditions) also
  often drives issuers towards private equity
 Microfinance companies
 Non-monetary benefits:
     PE funds may bring in experts to advise the firm on strategy and financial/capital
      structuring
                                                                                           3
Stages and Nature of Investments
                                                          NDTV                                   Special Situation
                            Apollo Hospitals
                                                     Punjab Tractors
    Aster Infrastructure     Allcargo Global                                                    These may include
                                                     Sanghvi Movers            Buyout
        INX Media             M&M Finance                                                        project financing,
          JustDial          Nagarjuna Const.         Replacement            Acquiring a              one-time
       Lemon Tree          Reid & Taylor India           Capital         majority share in a    opportunities etc.
        Meru Cabs                                   Buying out other     concern, which is
                                                                         usually associated         Spice Jet
      Suzlon Energy         Expansion Stage           investors to
                                                                          with a change in         DLF Assets
                                                     smoothen the
                            Funds directed at                            management. This
        Early Stage                                   capital and
                              growth and                                 process is usually
                                                     organizational
      The product or        expansion of the                                 leveraged
                                                        structure
     service is ready.         enterprise
      Finance at this                                                        Flextronics
       stage aims at                                                          Gokaldas
     launching it into                                                     Sigma Electric
        the market                                                        Intelenet Global
                                           Maturity of the Company
    Role of private equity fund in its investee companies can be that of active or passive investor
     depending upon its overall investment policy and investment thesis
            Passive role is generally limited to board level representation and guiding/influencing overall long
             term policies and direction of the company
            Active role is more intense and apart from above involves participation in day to day operations of
             the company by the PE Fund, which is typical in case of buyout transactions
                                                                                                                      4
Current Landscape – Who’s Who in India
 Global PE
  Players
Indian Private
   Equity
                                         5
      2003 & Ahead – Growth of PE in India
                              The Trendsetter                                         16
                                                                                       16
                                                                                                                                         500
                                                                                                                                           500
                                                                                                                                         450
Warburg Pincus made US$ 1.1 Billion by selling                                        14
                                                                                       14                                                  450
off two-thirds of its 18 per cent share in Bharti                                                                                        400
                                                                                                                                           400
                                                                                      12
Tele-Ventures, reflecting a huge payoff on a US$                                       12                                                350
                                                                                                                                           350
292 Million investment made in stages between                                         10
                                                                                       10                                                300
                                                                                                                                           300
                                                                           (US$ bn)
1999 and 2001
(US$ bn)
                                                                                                                                                  (Nos.)
                                                                                                                                                 (Nos.)
                                                                                          8                                              250
                                                                                           8                                               250
                         Private Equity In India                                          6                                              200
                                                                                                                                           200
                                                                                           6
            Calendar                                      Investment                                                                     150
                                                                                          4                                                150
              Year                                         ( mn US$ )                      4                                             100
                                                                                                                                           100
                                                                                          2                                              50
                 2003                                             507                      2                                               50
                 2004                                            1,629                -                                                  -
                                                                                          -                                                -
                                                                                               CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
                                                                                                CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
                 2005                                            2,200                                                         YTD
                                                                                                                                YTD
                 2006                                            7,460                            Deal Value (LHS)        Deals (RHS)
                                                                                                   Deal Value (LHS)        Deals (RHS)
                 2007                                            14,234
                 2008                                            10,793               Recent meltdown has severely impacted PE deals
                                                                                                                                                           6
      Size and Type-wise Deal Activity – CY08
                Total Deal Volume – Size-wise                                                                           Deal Value by Type
                        US$ 100-200             >US$ 200 mn                                             7,000
                            mn                    9 (2%)
                          14 (4%)
                                                                                                                5,555
       US$ 50-100 mn                                                                                    6,000   52%
          30 (8%)
                                                                                                        5,000
       Total number of deals = 399 (53 deals above US$                                                  Late stage investment (52%) and PIPE (15%)
        50 mn)                                                                                            were most preferred by the investors
       Bulk of the deals (346 deals, ~87%) happened in                                                  Both Venture (7%) and Buyout (4%) deals are still
        <US$50mn category                                                                                 nascent and yet to take-off in a big way
       About 23 (6%) deals in US$100mn+ segment
       Average overall deal size = US$27mn
                                                                                                                                                                       7
      Sector-wise Deal Activity – CY08
                Total Deal Value – Sector-wise                                   Total Deal Volume – Sector-wise
                                                                                           Textiles & Education          Others
                                                                       Hotels & Resorts    Garments    7 (1.8%)         35 (8.8%)
                                                                          12 (3.0%)         8 (2.0%)                                  Energy
                                                                                                                                     28 (7.0%)
                                                                     Food &
                                                                    Beverages
                                                                     6 (1.5%)
                                                                   Shipping &
                                                                    Logistics
                                                                    13 (3.3%)
                                                                                                                                            IT & ITES
                                                                   Healthcare
                                                                                                                                           107 (26.8%)
                                                                    33 (8.3%)
                                                                      Engg. &
                                                                    Construction
                                                                      24 (6.0%)
                                                                                                                                            Telecom
                                                                              Media &                                                       10 (2.5%)
                                                                           Entertainment
                                                                             22 (5.5%)                                                BFSI
                                                                                              Manufacturing
                                                                                                                                    45 (11.3%)
                                                                                                49 (12.3%)
Note: Figures are the total deal value in the sector (in US$ mn) Note: Figures are the total number of deals in the sector
        Energy emerged as favorite sector attracting US$1.7 bn            IT&ITES witnessed maximum number of deals (107,
         (15.7%)                                                            16%)
        Top 5 sectors – Energy, IT&ITES, Telecom, BFSI and                Telecom, food & beverage, energy, textiles & garments
         Manufacturing accounted for ~63%                                   and shipping & logistics were high value deal sectors
                                                                            (i.e. large deals)
                                                                           IT/ITeS, healthcare, education were low value deal
                                                                            sectors                                                                8
  Notable PE Transactions Announced in CY08
S. No   Target                     Investor (s)                         Transaction Size, US$ mn
 1      Aditya Birla Telecom       Providence                                     640
 2      Indiabulls Power           Farallon Capital, LN Mittal                    395
 3      Cairn India                Orient Global                                  278
 4      Bharti Infratel            KKR                                            250
 5      Cafe Coffee Day            JP Morgan                                      250
 6      Ballarpur Paper Holdings   JP Morgan, GIC                                 175
 7      Mahindra & Mahindra        Goldman Sachs                                  175
 8      WinWind                    Masdar                                         174
 9      International Amusement    DE Shaw                                        158
 10     Konaseema Gas Power        IDFC PE, Lehman                                125
 11     Shriram Retail Holdings    TPG Capital                                    120
 12     National Stock Exchange    Premji Invest                                  100
 13     Narayana Hrudayalaya       JP Morgan, AIG                                 100
 14     Moser Baer Photo Voltaic   IDFC PE, Morgan Stanley and others             100
                                                                                                   9
     Notable Exits by PE in CY08
S.
No    Company                      Exiting Investor (s)             Exit Type
                                                                                10
      Size and Type-wise Deal Activity – H1 CY09
                      Deal Volume – Size-wise                                                                        Deal Value by Type
                                                US$ 100-200                                      1,000
                     US$ 50-100 mn
                                                    mn
                        4 (5%)
                                                  1 (1%)
         US$ 25-50 mn                                                                                         718
                                                                                                     800
           13 (16%)                                                                                          51%
                                                                                                     400              284
 US$ 15-25 mn
                                                                                                                      20%     216
   11 (14%)
                                                                                                                              15%
                                                                                                     200                                102      79
                                                                                                                                        7%       6%       16
                                                                                                                                                          1%
            US$ 10-15 mn                                      US$ 5-10 mn
                                                               17 (21%)                              -
              10 (13%)
                                                                                                              Late    PIPE   Growth   Venture   Buyout   Others
                                                                                                             Stage             PE     Capital
Note: Figures are the total number of deals in the category
       Total number of deals = 80 (5 deals above US$                                                   Late stage (51%) and PIPE (20%) still remains
        50mn)                                                                                            popular with investors
       Bulk of the volume (~94%) contributed by <US$50                                                 No Pre-IPO investment during the period due to
        mn deals                                                                                         lack of interesting companies going public
       Only 1 deals in US$100mn+ segment
       Average overall deal size = US$18mn
                                                                                                                                                                  11
      Sector-wise Deal Activity – H1 CY09
                Total Deal Value – Sector-wise                                   Total Deal Volume – Sector-wise
Note: Figures are the total deal value in the sector (in US$ mn) Note: Figures are the total number of deals in the sector
        Telecom was the sector with highest deal value (18%)              Highest number of deals were seen in IT/ITES (25)
         with Quippo Telecom raising US$125mn                               followed by BFSI (9) and Healthcare (8)
        Top 5 sectors accounted for ~62%. Telecom, BFSI,
         IT&ITES retained while Energy and Manufacturing lost
         their place to Healthcare and Engg. & Construction in
         top 5 slot                                                                                                             12
     Notable PE Transactions Announced in H1
     CY09
S.                                                                 Transaction size, US$
No   Target                          Investor (s)                           mn
                                                                                           13
     Notable Exits by PE in H1 CY09
S.
No    Company                     Exiting Investor (s)                                    Exit Type
Public market sale has emerged as preferred exit route for PE Funds with recent market upsurge
                                                                                                       14
What PE Investors Look For?
 Overall sector attractiveness – potential for immense future growth
    Sunrise sectors like Alternative Energy, Education, Microfinance, Insurance are
     drawing significant interest
                                                                                       15
What PE Investors Look For? (Cont’d.)
 High return ratios – high return on capital employed and return on
  equity are the most significant parameters for investors
 Reasonable valuation
    Though PE investors have the capability to pay a premium given their long term
     focus, they do a lot of valuation diligence and expect valuations to be reasonably
     benchmarked against trading / listed peers
    Term sheets ask private companies to undertake IPO within stipulated period
     else there is a put option / drag along mechanism
                                                                                          16
  Negotiable Restrictive Covenants
                     Board seat
 Management
representation
                     Representation on committees
                                                                                               17
Negotiable Restrictive Covenants (Cont’d.)
                 Non-compete clause
 Corporate
                 Independent directors
governance
                 ‘Arms length’ dealing with other group companies of the promoters
 Mandates the private company to undertake qualified IPO within a stipulated period
Exit Rights  Put option on promoters if IPO doesn’t happen in specified period
                                                                                                       18
Basic Types of Instruments
          Instrument             Orientation     Comments
                                    Equity
                                                     Full equity exposure
       Straight Equity
                                                     Returns, both negative & positive are not capped
                                     Debt
    Other hybrid structures are also used to meet specific needs of the transactions
         Investment with minimum return guarantee from company / promoter. e.g. several deals in real estate
          sector specially SPV level investments
         Investment with valuation linked to future committed performance, achieved thorough stake adjustment
          or profit share. Mostly used incase of private companies can also be used incase of public companies
                                                                                                                     19
          Current Valuations Not Cheap
          Valuation are currently driven more by liquidity and sentiments
                                                                       Sensex P/E and P/B – Over Last Decade
              30.0                                                                                                                                                                7.0
                                                                                                                                                                                        (x)
              15.0
 (x)
                                                                                                                                                                                  3.0
              10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                  2.0
                                                                                                                              Average TTM P/B: 3.3x
                5.0                                                                                                                                                               1.0
                -                                                                                                                                                                 -
Nov-06
Nov-07
                      Nov-08
                      Jan-00
Jul-00
Jun-02
Jan-08
                      Jan-09
                      Jun-01
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Jul-06
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jul-08
                       Jul-09
                      Mar-00
Aug-00
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Aug-02
Dec-02
Apr-03
Feb-04
                      Dec-04
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Sep-06
Mar-08
Sep-08
                      Mar-09
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                      Sep-09
                      May-00
                      Oct-00
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Aug-01
Oct-02
Feb-03
                      Aug-03
                      Oct-03
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                      Oct-04
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                      Mar-07
                      May-07
Sep-07
                      May-08
                                                           TTM P/B (RHS)                                                                    TTM P/E (LHS)
              Sensex vs. Global Valuations – Trailing P/E & P/B                                              Sensex vs. Global Indices Returns – Last 5 Yrs
                                                                                                           Indonesia                                                        202
                                                                                                               India                                                        200
                                                                                                         South Korea                                      100
                                                                                                          Hong Kong                                65
                                                                                                            Malaysia                          42
          4.0                                                                                    3.5
                                                                                       2.8                Singapore                          39
          3.0                                                                  2.7
P/B (x)
 Private equity deals are taking longer to close and terms are getting tougher, making it less
  attractive compared to Equity Capital Markets
 Option like QIP is quicker and no special rights need to be created unlike in PE situation
      Easy listing norms and low thresholds, compared to other countries, make IPO an attractive
       option to raise equity for unlisted firms
 After recent recovery of Capital Market, companies are finding that public markets offer better
  valuations to raise equity finance as
      Equity returns expected by public market investors are lower than that expected by PE
       investors and investment horizon is also shorter
      Indian Valuations in recent years have been more driven by liquidity and sentiments
       leading to several sectors being richly valued from a fundamental perspective
                                                                                                    21
 Key Challenges and Emerging Trends
 (Cont’d.)
                                         Private Equity Funds
 PE Funds are cautious with regard to fresh investments in listed companies due to MTM losses on
  existing investments
 Demand for downside protection is increasing from investors leading to use of hybrid structures
  and instruments
      Use of convertible instruments are rising both to bridge valuation gap and provide down side
       protections to investors
      Buyout Challenges: Indian promoters are emotionally wedded to their business and are
       typically averse to ceding control. Exceptions being cases where stake owned by promoters
       is too small, there being generation change or business is promoted by professional
       entrepreneurs
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