Productivity and The Economics of Regulatory Compliance in Pharmaceutical Production
Productivity and The Economics of Regulatory Compliance in Pharmaceutical Production
Productivity and The Economics of Regulatory Compliance in Pharmaceutical Production
Business
Manufacturing
Systems
Big pharma
Our Thesis
Risk
Win - regulators & consumers
Compliance effectiveness
Cost
Win - business
Shareholder returns
15
10
% Market Growth
5
24% 22%
20% Mar-98 Sep-98 Mar-99 Sep-99 Mar-00 Sep-00 Mar-01
70 65 60 55
50 45
40
35 30 25
50
45 40 35 30 25 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00
20 15
10 5 0
Invirase 1995
Recombinate 1992 Difulcan 1990 Mevacor 1987 AZT 1987 Seldane 1985 Prozac 1985 Capoten 1980 Tagamet 1977 Inderal 1968
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Years of Exclusivity
8
Utilisation levels - 15% or less (but low levels masked). Scrap and rework - we plan for 5-10% (accepted as necessary). Time to effectiveness - takes years (not challenged).
Conclusions
Hostile environment. Intense competition for resources. Manufacturing has to contribute ( la Wheelwright).
10
Processes are transferred that are neither fully understood or capable at commercial scales. Lengthy & elaborate new product introduction exercises that generate data but fail to provide critical information. 50% of production costs locked in before Phase III begins, process inefficiencies "institutionalized".
No scientific basis for trading-off time in return for deeper process understanding.
11
450
500
550
12
0.2AU
0.1AU
450
500
550
13
1. Value-added -vs- non value-added activities. 2. Measurement for accounting -vs-measurement for productivity
14
1%
94,7%
Cost
Delays
Time
15
3 Days
Packaging
Cost
Comp Gran.
0%
Disp.
3 days
Time
16
35 days
Cost reduction
Time Compression
0%
3days
35 days
Scheduled Downtime
Allocation for:
Traditional Losses and Other Unexpected Losses Operational Uptime
Conversion Time
18
24 hrs/day, 7 days/week
Scheduled Downtime
168 hrs/wk
Total Available Time
Operational Uptime
Effective Uptime
Quantifies process ability to generate defect-free output. Allows comparison of any two processes. Higher sigma values indicate better processes. Should be the scientific basis for process transfer.
Sigma ppm Defects Yield 69.2% 2s 308,537 93.3% 3s 66,807 99.4% 4s 6,210 99.98% 5s 233 99.99966% 6s 3.4 Cost of Quality 25-35% 20-25% 12-18% 4-8% 1-3%
Pharma Semicon
20
22
2s
Cost
5s
Compliance Gain
0%
Level of Compliance
24
100%
High
5
QUALITY
4
3 2 1
PRODUCTIVITY
25