INFLATION
By Group-9
By Group-9
CONCEPTS
INFLATION
DEFINATION
 GENERAL PRICE LEVELS INCREASES  VALUE OF MONEY (PURCHASING POWER OF MONEY ) FALLS  MONEY CIRCULATION > PRODUCTION
PROBLEMS
 PRICE RISE IS FASTER THAN INCOME  STANDARD OF LIVING DECLINES  MAJOR SOCIAL TENSIONS
Term Related to Inflation
Inflationary Spikes Hyper inflation Stagflation Disinflation Deflation
Reflation
Inflation data of past 5 year
FIVE YEAR INFLATION TREND
Data source: www.rbi.gov.in
METHODS
WPI
OF
CALCULATION
CPI Measures the average price of consumer goods and services purchased by households.
Measure the temporal price change of wholesale transactions of all commodities in the country.
The weights of items have been assigned in proportion to their share in the total value of transaction (output) in the economy
Weights are assigned in proportion to their share in the consumption expenditure of the family of industrial workers in the selected centers
Measures inflation at each stage of production
Measures inflation only at final stage of production.
India, is amongst few countries of the world, which selected WPI as its official scale to measure the inflation in the economy.
Most of the major economies like US, UK, Japan, France, Singapore and even our arch rival China have selected CPI as its official barometer to weigh its inflation
CAUSE OF INFLATION IN INDIA
 Demand-pull inflation refers to the idea that the
economy actual demands more goods and services than available. This shortage of supply enables sellers to raise prices until an equilibrium is put in place between supply and demand.
 The cost-push theory , also known as "supply shock
inflation", suggests that shortages or shocks to the available supply of a certain good or product will cause a ripple effect through the economy by raising prices through the supply chain from the producer to the consumer. You can readily see this in oil markets. When OPEC reduces oil supply, prices are artificially driven up and result in higher prices at the pump.
Contd..
 Money supply plays a large role in inflationary
pressure as well. Low interest rates correspond with a high levels of money supply and allow for more investment in big business and new ideas which eventually leads to unsustainable levels of inflation as cheap money is available.
EFFECTS OF INFLATION
 Income Distribution
# wages earner # producers #fixed income class #borrowers and lenders  Employment
CRUDE OIL PRICES AND INFLATION
 Crude oil
245 240 235 230 225 220 215
inflation
Series2
210
205 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
REMEDIES
Cash Reserve Ratio increased. Control over Price of Petrol and Diesel. Decreased import tariff. Tax increase Cement price control. Import duty on non-agricultural products was brought down to 10% from 12.5% 7. Allowed appreciating the Rupee.
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
CURRENT SCENARIO
 . The inflation rate in India was recorded at 7.25 percent in June of 2012
 Indias retail inflation, measured by the
Consumer Price Index, dropped marginally to 10.02% in June compared to 10.36% in the previous month of May
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