[go: up one dir, main page]

0% found this document useful (0 votes)
8 views58 pages

Syllabus and Lecture 1

Uploaded by

yujenchen061694
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
8 views58 pages

Syllabus and Lecture 1

Uploaded by

yujenchen061694
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 58

Financial Management

Lecture 1

Lawrence Hsiao

1
Introduction
This course provides an introduction to the principles of modern finance, emphasizing
the financial aspects of managerial decisions.

• Financial managers are hired to make the financial decisions of the business for the
stockholders (firm owners).

• Goal: to maximize the wealth of the stockholders.

• Making investment decisions:


 Weigh the costs and benefits of each investment project: accept or reject?
 Example: whether to invest in the development of the first “iPhone”?

• Making financing decisions:


 Raising capital: to sell more shares of stock (equity) or borrow the money instead
(bonds and other debt)
 How does the investing public interpret a firm’s capital structure decision?

2
Introduction

Definition of Financial Management: the efficient acquisition


and allocation of financial resources to ensure that the
objectives of a firm are achieved.

3
The Goal(s) of Financial Management

A. Maximize profits, minimize costs.

B. Maintain steady earning growth

C. Reduce stock price volatility

D. …?

4
The Goal(s) of Financial Management

→ Add value for the owners!

→ Maximize the current value per share of the existing stock.

5
Terminology

*Capital structure: the proportions of the firms’


financing from debt and equity.

• The accounting equation: Assets = Liabilities + Equity.

• Assets (total value): things of value owned by a firm

• Liabilities (debt): obligations owed to others

• Equity (shareholder’s equity): the book value of a firm


(the value of a firm after all its debts have been paid)
6
Capital structure

Assets

Equity
40%
Liabilities
60%

7
The Principal-agent problem
• Shareholders (principals) hire managers (agents) to run the
company. However, do managers always act in the shareholders’
best interests?

• Example: work 1 hour a week you get $1,000; work 40 hours a week
you get $2,000.

• There are, apparently, conflicts of interests.

Source: Dilbert.com

8
Logistics
• Grading:

Midterm (10/20): (50%)

Final (12/15): (50%)

• Relative Grading System: Final grades will be assigned


based on how students perform relative to each other.

• The target distribution for A+ grades is approximately 10%-


15%

9
Logistics (continued)

• Office hour: By appointment

• No class on 9/29 (Make-up holiday as Teachers' Day)


and 10/6 (Moon Festival)

• I’ll assign some exercises as homework. We’ll go over


those problems in the following week.

• TA:
Paul (r12723057@ntu.edu.tw)
Paula (b12702097@ntu.edu.tw)

10
Textbook

• Corporate Finance: Core Principles and Applications, Stephen A. Ross,


Randolph W. Westerfield, Jeffrey F. Jaffe, Bradford D. Jordan (Main)

• Corporate Finance, Stephen A. Ross, Randolph W. Westerfield,


Jeffrey F. Jaffe, Bradford D. Jordan (Supplementary)

• Prerequisites for this course: Accounting principles

11
Big picture
• Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

• Interest Rates and Bond Valuation

• Stock Valuation

• Making Capital Investment Decisions

• Risk and Return, CAPM, Market efficiency, Portfolio theory

• Cost of Capital and Valuation

• Capital Structure with and without leverage

• Behavioral Finance

• Advanced topics
12
Registration

• Our classroom is near maximum capacity.

• On 9/4, I’ll hold a draw and send registration stickers to those who are
selected.

• If you do not receive a sticker by the end of 9/5 → you are not selected.

• Now, please come to front with your student ID card if you are
interested in taking the course.

13
Chapter 4

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

14
The Time Value of Money

• A dollar today is more valuable than a dollar in the


future.

• Interest rate (discount rate)

• In this class we assume there’s no inflation

→ nominal interest rate = real interest rate

15
16
Present Value (PV) and Future Value (FV)

The value today of a payment to be received in the future.


• This measure is called the “present value.”

The value in the future of a sum invested today.


• This measure is called the “future value.”

17
4.1 The One-Period Case

If you were to invest $10,000 at 5-percent interest for one year,


your investment would grow to $10,500.

• $500 interest (= $10,000 × .05)


• $10,000 principal repayment (= $10,000 × 1)
• $10,500 ($500+$10,000) is the total due.

It can be calculated as: $10,500 = $10,000 × (1.05)

The total amount due at the end of the investment is the


Future Value (FV).
18
Future Value Formula

In the one-period case, the formula for FV can be written as:

FV = C0  (1+ r)

Where C0 is cash flow today (time zero), and r is the interest


rate.

19
Present Value formula

In the one-period case, the formula for PV can be written as:

C1
PV =
1+ r

Where C1 is cash flow at Date 1, and r is the appropriate


interest rate.

20
Example: Present Value
Suppose you were promised $10,000 due in one year when
the annual interest rate is 5%.

Your investment would be worth $9,523.81 in today’s dollars.

$10, 000
$9,523.81 =
1.05

Note that $10,000 = $9,523.81 × (1.05).

21
Net Present Value

The Net Present Value (NPV) of an investment:

NPV = PV –Cost

the present value of the expected cash flows, less the cost of
the investment today.

22
Net Present Value: Example

Suppose an investment that promises to pay $10,000 in one


year is offered for sale for $9,500. Your interest rate is 5%.

Accept the investment?

23
Net Present Value Formula

In the one-period case, the formula for NPV can be written as:

NPV = –Cost + PV

NPV= –9,500+10,000/1.05 >0

The present value of the cash inflow is greater than the cost.

24
Net Present Value

If we had not undertaken the positive NPV project considered


on the last slide, and instead invested our $9,500 elsewhere
at 5 percent.

Our FV would be less than the $10,000 the investment


promised, and we would be worse off in FV terms:

$9,500 × (1.05) = $9,975 < $10,000

25
4.2 The Multiperiod Case

The previous examples considered only one period of time.

We’d like to compute PV & FV for multiple periods of time.

26
Compound Interest

Suppose an investor has $1,000 to invest at an interest rate


of 9%.

In one year, she will have earned $90.

Now suppose that the investor reinvests both the original


$1,000 capital AND $90 earnings for another year at 9%.

In one year she will have earned $98.10.

27
Compound Interest

• The effect of earnings interest on both the original principal


plus the accumulated interest is known as compound
interest.

28
Multiperiod Future Value

The general formula for the future value of an investment


over many periods can be written as:

FV = C0  (1+ r)T

Where C0 is cash flow at date 0, r is the appropriate interest


rate, and T is the number of periods over which the cash is
invested.

29
Example: Multiperiod Future Value

Suppose you save $1.10 in a bank for five years. The annual
interest rate is 40%.

What is the amount of your investment in five years?

FV = C0  (1+ r) T

$5.92 = $1.10  (1.40)5

30
Future Value and Compounding illustrated

31
Example: Multiperiod Present Value and Discounting

How much would an investor have to set aside today in order


to have $20,000 five years from now if the current rate is
15%?

32
Solve for Any Variable

Examples thus far have offered the time and interest rate and
solved for PV or FV.

Keep in mind that there are four variables:

• PV
• FV
• T
• R
𝑃𝑉 ∗ (1 + 𝑅)𝑇 = 𝐹𝑉
33
Example: Solving for Time

If we deposit $5,000 today in an account paying 10%, how


long does it take to grow to $10,000?

$10,000 = $5,000  (1.10)T


$10,000
(1.10) =
T
=2
$5,000

ln(1.10)T = ln(2)
ln(2) 0.6931
T= = = 7.27 years
ln(1.10) 0.0953
34
Example: Solving for Required Rate of Return

Assume the total cost of a college education will be $50,000


when your child enters college in 12 years. You have $5,000
to invest today. What rate of interest must you earn on your
investment to cover the cost of your child’s education?

FV = C0  (1+ r)T $50,000 = $5,000  (1+ r)12


$50,000
(1+ r) =
12
= 10 (1+ r) = 10 1 12
$5,000

r = 101 12 −1 = 1.2115−1 = .2115


35
Multiple Cash Flows

Consider an investment that pays $200 one year from now,


with cash flows increasing by $200 per year through year 4.
If the interest rate is 12%, what is the present value of this
stream of cash flows?

If the issuer offers this investment for $1,500, should you


purchase it?

36
Example: Multiple Cash Flows

Present Value < Cost → Do Not Purchase


37
Computing FV with Multiple Compounding Periods

Compounding an investment m times a year for a total of T


years results in a future value of

mT
 r
FV = C0  1+ 
 m

38
Compounding Periods

For example, if you invest $50 for 3 years at 12%


compounded semi-annually, your investment will grow to:

23
 .12 
FV = $50   1 +  = $50  (1.06) 6 = $70.93
 2 

39
Effective Annual Rates of Interest

What is the effective annual rate of interest on that investment?

.12 23
FV = $50 (1+ ) = $50 (1.06) 6 = $70.93
2

The Effective Annual Rate (EAR) of interest in this


example is the annual rate that would give us the same
end-of-investment wealth after 3 years:

$50  (1+ EAR) 3 = $70.93

40
Example 1: Effective Annual Rates of Interest

FV = $50  (1+ EAR) 3 = $70.93


$70.93
(1+ EAR) = 3
$50
13
 $70.93 
EAR =   −1 = .1236
 $50 

So, investing at 12.36% compounded annually is the same as investing at


12% compounded semi-annually.

41
Example 2: Effective Annual Rates of Interest

Find the Effective Annual Rate (EAR) of an 18% loan that is


compounded monthly.

What we have is a loan with a monthly interest rate of 1.5%.

This is equivalent to a loan with an annual interest rate of


19.56%.
m
 r   .18 
12

1+  = 1+  = (1.015)12 = 1.1956


 m  12 

42
Computing FV with Multiple Compounding Periods

Compounding an investment m times a year for T years


provides for the future value of wealth:

mT
 r
FV = C0  1+ 
 m

43
44
Continuous Compounding

The general formula for the future value of an investment compounded


continuously over many periods can be written as:

FV = C0  e rt

Where C0 is cash flow at date 0, r is the stated annual interest rate, T is


the number of years, and e is a constant that is approximately equal to
2.718.

• Proof (take-home exercise)


45
Simplifications: Four classes of cash flow streams

• Perpetuity

• Growing Perpetuity

• Annuity

• Growing Annuity

46
Perpetuity
A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever.

C C C
PV = + + +
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 + r )
2 3

C
PV =
r
Example: Perpetuity

What is the value of a British consol that promises to pay £15


every year forever?

The interest rate is 10%.

PV= 15/0.1 = 150


Growing Perpetuity

A growing stream of cash flows that lasts forever.

C C  (1 + g ) C  (1 + g ) 2
PV = + + +
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) 2
(1 + r ) 3

C
PV =
r−g
Example: Growing Perpetuity

The expected dividend next year is $1.30, and dividends are


expected to grow at 5% forever.

If the discount rate is 10%, what is the value of this promised


dividend stream?

$1.30
PV = = $26.00
.10 − .05
Expected v.s. current
Annuity

A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.

C C C C
PV = + + +
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 + r )
2 3
(1 + r )t

C 1 
PV = 1 −
r  (1 + r )t 
Example 1: Annuity

If you can afford a $400 monthly car payment, how much car
can you afford if interest rates are 7% on 36–month loans?

$400  1 
PV = 1− 36 
= $12,954.59
.07 /12  (1 + .07 12) 
Example 2: annuity

What is the present value of a four–year annuity of $100 per


year that makes its first payment two years from today if the
discount rate is 9%?
4
$100 $100 $100 $100 $100
PV1 =  t
= 1
+ 2
+ 3
+ 4
= $323.97
t =1 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09

$327.97
PV = 1.09 = $297.22
0
Growing Annuity

A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.

C C  (1 + g ) C  (1 + g )t −1
PV = + + +
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) 2
(1 + r )t

C   (1 + g )  
t

PV = 1 −   
r − g   (1 + r )  
Example: Growing Annuity

A retirement plan offers to pay $20,000 per year for 40 years


and increase the annual payment by three–percent each year.
What is the present value at retirement if the discount rate is
10 percent?

$20,000   1.03  
40

PV = 1 −    = $265,121.57
.10 − .03   1.10  
Application 1: Pure Discount Loans

If a T-bill promises to repay $10,000 in 12 months and the


market interest rate is 7 percent, how much will the bill sell
for in the market?

• PV = 10,000 / 1.07 = 9,345.79 = the price of this T-bill

• What if the price is lower/higher than $9,345.79?

56
Application 2: Loans with interests

Consider a 5-year loan with a 7% interest rate. The principal amount is


$10,000. Interest is paid annually.

• What would the stream of cash flows be?

• Years 1 to 4: Interest payments of .07(10,000) = 700

• Year 5: Interest + principal = 10,700

What is the price of this loan? We need a discount rate, r.

57
What Is a Firm Worth?

Conceptually, a firm should be worth the present value of the

firm’s future cash flows.

The tricky part is determining the size, timing and risk of

those cash flows.

58

You might also like