PROJECT MANAGEMENT: CRITICAL PATH METHOD
MODULE 9
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LESSON 2 - CRITICAL PATH METHOD - STEPS: A. B. C.
A. Develop a list of activities
B. Identify the immediate predecessors
C. Determine Completion Time
D. Draw a project network
E. Identify the ES and EF (Forward Pass)
F. Identify the LS and LF (Backward Pass)
G. Determine the slack time
H. Find the activity with zero slack
D. Project Network Create Nodes/6-cell Boxes for each Activity
AC ES EF
T LS LF
[format]
FORWARD PASS (ES TO EF)
ES - EARLIEST START TIME - earliest time that a task can be started in your project.
W/O PREDECESSOR = 0
W/ PREDECESSOR = ↑ OF EF OF PREDECESSOR
EF - EARLIEST FINISH TIME - earliest an activity can be completed
EF = ES + T (DURATION)
BACKWARD PASS (LF TO LS)
LF - LATEST START TIME - the very last minute in which you can start a task before it causes delay
LS = LF – T (DURATION)
LS - LATEST FINISH TIME - latest an activity can be completed
LAST ACTIVITY = COPY/BRING DOWN EF
NEXT ACTIVITIES = ↓ OF LS OF SUCCESSOR
E. FORWARD PASS (ES TO EF) NO PREDECESSOR
ES = 0
EF = ES + T
=0+6=6
WITH PREDECESSOR
ES = 8 (↑ of EF [6 or 8])
EF = ES + T
= 8 + 10 = 18
F. BACKWARD PASS (LF TO LS) (START FROM LAST ACTIVITY)
H: LF = 45 D: LF = 24 (LS OF F)
LS = 45 – 7 = 38 LS = 24 – 5 = 19
G: LF = 38 (LS OF H) C: LF = 18 ((↓ OF LS [18 or 19])
LS = LS = 38 – 13 = 25 LS = 18 – 10 = 8
F: LF = 38 (LS OF H) B: LF = 8 (LS OF C)
LS = 38 – 14 = 24 LS = 8 – 8 = 0
E: LF = 24 (↓ OF LS [24 or 25]) A: LF = 8 (LS OF C)
LS = 24 – 6 = 18 LS = 8 – 6 = 2
G. SLACK TIME AND ACTIVITIES WITH ZERO SLACK
CRITICAL PATH:
T of Critical Path Activities = 8 + 10 + 6 + 14 + 7 = 45 weeks
PROJECT MANAGEMENT: PROGRAM/PROJECT
EVALUATION AND REVIEW TECHNIQUE
1. Get the Te and σ2 (variance) of every activity.
2. Draw a Project Network Diagram.
3. Identify the ES and EF (Forward Pass)
4. Identify the LS and LF (Backward Pass)
5. Determine the slack time.
6. Find the activity with zero slack.
7. Determine the variance of Critical Activities
8. Determine the Standard Deviation
(Square Root of Summation of CPA)
9. Use Z-test value for Probability.
STEP 1. Te and Variance
ACT a m b Te (T) σ2
A 10 15 26 16 7.13
B 8 10 18 11 2.79
C 4 5 6 5 0.11
D 10 12 14 12 0.45
E 1 2 3 2 0.11
F 1 3 11 4 2.79
G 1 2 3 2 0.11
H 1 2 3 2 0.11
I 3 4 5 4 0.11
J 1 2 5 2.33 0.45
STEP 2-4. Project Network, Forward Pass, Backward Pass
STEP 5-6. Slack Time, Critical Path Activities
ACT ES LS EF LF SLACK CRITICAL
A 0 0 16 16 0 YES
B 0 5 11 16 5 NO
C 16 16 21 21 0 YES
D 0 5 12 17 5 NO
E 12 19 14 21 7 NO
F 12 17 16 21 5 NO
G 21 21 23 23 0 YES
H 23 23 25 25 0 YES
I 16 21 20 25 5 NO
J 25 25 27.33 27.33 0 YES
CRITICAL PATH:
THEREFORE, OUR CRITICAL PATH IS A – C – G – H – J with 27.33 weeks to finish the project.
STEP 7. VARIANCE OF CRITICAL PATH ACTIVITIES
σ2 = 7.13 + 0.11 + 0.11 + 0.11 + 0.45 = 7.91
STEP 8. STANDARD DEVIATION (Square Root of Step 7)
σ = √𝟕. 𝟗𝟏 = 2.81
STEP 9. Z-TEST (Probability to meet 30-week deadline)
𝑻 − 𝑬(𝒕) 𝟑𝟎 − 𝟐𝟕. 𝟑𝟑 𝟐. 𝟔𝟕
𝒁= = = = 𝟎. 𝟗𝟓
𝝈 𝟐. 𝟖𝟏 𝟐. 𝟖𝟏