VPP SL Notes
VPP SL Notes
            Evaporation
               484
                          Outflow
                           316
                            1350
                            3850
                            10000
                            37500
                            325000
Watershed system
 Water Balance
The water balance defines the conservation of mass across the different
compartments of the hydrological cycle (atmosphere, water bodies, soil
and ground, vegetation, snowpack and ice, …)
The concept of conservation of mass implies the identification of an
incoming and an outgoing flux, and of a storage variation over a given
unit of time.
                                                  S
Water Budget Equation
  P-(R+G+E+T)=∆S
Q. A small catchment of area 150 ha received a rainfall of 10.5 cm
in 90 minutes due to a storm. At the outlet of the catchment, the
stream draining the catchment was dry before the storm and
experience a runoff lasting for 10 hours with an average discharge
value of 2 m3 /s. The stream was again dry after the runoff event.(a)
what is the amount of water which was not available to runoff due to
combined effect of infiltration, evaporation, transpiration? (b) what
is the ratio of runoff to precipitation?
Q. The Catchment area of a reservoir is 10.5 km2. A uniform
precipitation of 0.5 cm/hr for 2h was observed on a particular day.
50% of the rainfall reached the reservoir. A canal carrying a flow of
1 m3/s is taken from the reservoir. The rate of evaporation was
0.7mm/h/m2. Assuming seepage loss to be 50% of evaporation loss,
find the change in reservoir level for 8 hours in the next, if the water
spread of the reservoir was 0.45 km2
Development of hydro-meteorological study in Nepal
 Precipitation
Structure of Presentation
    –Definition, Causes, forms and types of precipitation
    –Measurement of rainfall (types and adequacy of rain gauges)
    – Snow fall and its measurements
    –Estimation of missing rainfall data
    –Test for inconsistencies of rainfall data (Double Mass Curve)
    –Presentation of rainfall data
    –(Mass curve, Hyetograph, Average curve of annual rainfall)
    –Estimation of mean rainfall over an area
    –Development of Intensity - Duration - Frequency (IDF) curve
     and equation
    – Depth - Area - Duration (DAD) curve
 Definition of Precipitation
  The various forms of water that reaches to the surface of
  the earth is known as precipitation. The various forms of
  precipitation are rain, snow, hail, frost, dew etc.
• However, major
  parts of ppt are rain
  & snow.
• Other forms of ppt
  are all very small &
  generally ignored in
  the design of most
  hydrological
  structures &
  therefore they are
  not much importance
Definition of Precipitation
The magnitude of ppt varies with time & space. In Nepal,
75% of annual rainfall falls in 3 months (June-August)
           Mechanism of Precipitation
 Evaporation/    Transfer of moisture from the earth surface to
Transpiration    atmosphere
Hail : These are the lumps of ice of size ≥ 8mm & falls along
       with rains
              Forms of precipitation
Sleet
It is frozen raindrops of transparent grains which
forms when rain falls through air at subfreezing
temperature
               Forms of precipitation
Dew
 It is the result of atmospheric vapor condensing on
 the surface in the colder night air
Dew point is the temperature in which condensation
 starts to take place or when dew is created
           Lifting mechanism to cool the air
• Cyclonic Precipitation
• Convective precipitation
• Orographic Precipitation
Cyclonic or Frontal Precipitation
Frontal precipitation results when the leading edge front of a warm
air mass meets a cool air mass. The warmer air mass is forced up
over the cool air. As it rises the warm air cools, moisture in the air
condenses, clouds & precipitation results
Cyclonic or Frontal Precipitation
This is also caused by lifting of an air mass due to the pressure
difference. If low pressure occurs in an area, air will flow
horizontally from the surrounding area, causing the air in the
low pressure area to lift. The precipitation that results is called
cyclonic ppt
  Convective Precipitation
 This type of precipitation results from the heating of the earth surface
that causes air to rise rapidly. As the air rises, it cools & moisture
condenses into clouds & precipitation
Orographic Precipitation
The moist air masses may get lifted up to higher altitudes, due
to the presence of mountain barriers and continuously cooling,
condensation and precipitation.
precipitation results on the windward side of the mountain
have heavy while the leeward side receives very little rainfall.
 Measurement of precipitation Measurement methods of precipitation
• Amount of precipitation     • Rain gauges
• Duration of precipitation   • Snow gauges
• Intensity of precipitation  • Radars
• Areal extent of ppt         • Satellites
                              • Scratching of snow packs
                              • Water equivalent in snow packs
                        Criteria for Rain gauge
  •   Should be Accessible
  •   The land surface should be horizontal
  •   Should be fenced with minimum 5.5 m to 5.5 m
  •   Should be free from vertical obstacles
  •   Should be place above the ground level
 Measurement methods of precipitation
  Types of Rain gauges
  Mainly 2 types of rain gauges
• Non recording type & recording type
• Non recording rain gauges (Symon’s Type of Raingauge) measures
  only the total amount of rainfall & not the intensity of rainfall from
  time to time
Measurement methods of precipitation
                                 Ww = Ws
                                 rw*A*h = rs*A*H
                                 h = rs*H
Rain gauge Network
• To get a representative picture of a storm over a catchment area, the
  number of rain gauge should be as large as possible
• Catchment area per gauge should be small
• On the other hand economic considerations, topography &
  accessibility also restrict the number of gauges to be maintained
• The minimum rain gauge density required for different types of
  catchments as per the guideline of WMO.
Adequacy of Rain gauge stations (Optimum no. of stations)
• Statistics has been used in determining the optimum number of rain
  gauges required to be installed in a given catchment.
• The basis behind such statistical calculations is that certain no. of
  rain gauge stations are necessary to give average rainfall with a
  certain % of error.
•The optimum number of rain gauge (N) can be
 obtained by the following equation
 Adequacy of Rain gauge stations (Optimum no. of stations)
               Station                     A        B     C      D      E
    Normal annual rainfall(cm)             88      104 138       78     56
Q. For a basin, the normal annual rainfall depths recorded are shown in
table below. Determine the optimum number of rain gauge stations to
be established in the basin if it is desired to limit the error in the mean
value of rainfall to 10%. What is the percentage accuracy of the
existing network in the estimation of the average depth of rainfall over
the basin? Station A B C D E
                Normal
                annual
                rainfall(c
                m)           88   104    138        78         56
                                                Station        Normal annual rainfall,x(cm)         x-x ̅        (x-x ̅)^2
        Normal annual
Station                    x-x ̅ (x-x ̅)^2      A                                              88      -4.8             23.04
        rainfall, x(cm)                         B                                             104     11.2             125.44
A                       88 ?      ?             C                                             138     45.2           2043.04
n=5
                                                                                                            N=     10.92914=    11
Σx=     ?                     ∑?
x ̅=    ?                    σ=?               b.                   =?
                             Cv?           %
                             N=?                    ∴the percentage accuracy=85.2%
Presentation of rainfall data
a. Mass curve
• The mass curve of rainfall is a
  plot of the accumulated
  precipitation against time,
  plotted in chronological order.
• Records of float type and
  weighing-bucket type gauges
  are of this form.
• Mass curves of rainfall are
  very useful in extracting the
  information on the duration
  and magnitude of a storm.
• Also, intensities at various
  time intervals in a storm can
  be obtained by the slope of the
  curve.
b. hyetograph
• A hyetograph is a graphical
  representation of the distribution
  of rainfall intensity over time.
• The hyetograph is usually
  represented as a bar chart
• It is a very convenient way to
  represent characteristics of a
  storm and is particularly
  important in the development of
  a design storms to predict
  extreme floods.
• The area under a hyetograph
  represents the total precipitation
  received in that period.
c. Point rainfall
Interpretation of precipitation data
1. Estimate missing precipitation data at a station
 2. Checking inconsistency in a particular data at a station
3. Average precipitation over an area
Estimating missing precipitation data at a station
• Due to several reasons such as absence of the observer, instrument
   failure etc
• Given the annual precipitation values P1, P2, P3…Pm at neighboring
   m stations 1, 2, 3…m respectively, it is required to find the missing
   annual precipitation Px at a station x not included in the above m
   stations. Given the normal annual precipitations (30 years) N1,
   N2, ….Ni at each of the above (m+1) stations, including station x
   are known.
• Missing precipitation data is estimated by two commonly used
   methods
• Arithmetic mean method &
• Normal ratio method (NRM)
Arithmetic mean method
If the normal annual precipitation at various stations are within
about 10% of the normal annual precipitation at station X, then a
simple arithmetic average procedure is followed to estimate Px thus
Correction
Factor = c/a
          P7
          P2
                    P6
P8
                     P1
                          P5
     P3        P4
Mean Precipitation over an area
• Rain gauges represent only point sampling of the areal distribution of a
  storm
• The important rainfall for hydrological analysis is a rainfall over an area,
  such as over the catchment
• As the rainfall over a large area is not uniform, the average depth of
  rainfall over the area is determined by one of the following three
  methods.
   – Arithmetic mean method
   – Thiessen Polygon method
   – Isohyets method
Arithmetic Mean Method
• This method is fast and simple and yields good results in flat
  country where rain gauge stations are uniformly distributed
• Applicable rarely for practical purpose
Thiessen polygons method
A7
                                        A6
                         P2
                              A2
                                         A1
          A8                                                 A5
                                                   P1
P8 P5
                                   A4
          A3
P3
                                              P4
                                Thiessen polygons ……….
                 10 km
  A                           B
  D                           5 km
                                C
                                                                              D
                                                                        a5
      6                                         C
                                                                             12
                                         9.2
                                                                         12
                                                                         a4
                                                     a3
                            7.0
                        B
  4
                                          7.2
                                                A
                                                                    E
                                                a2                       10.0
                                                              9.1
          4.0               a1
                                     6
                    4
Isohyetal Method
NOTE
          P2
                    P6
P8
                     P1
                          P5
     P3        P4
Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curve
 An intensity-duration-frequency curve (IDF curve) is a
 mathematical function or graph that relates the rainfall intensity with
 its duration and frequency of occurrence.
 In IDF curve, Duration plotted as abscissa, intensity as ordinate and
 series of curves one for each return period
 These curves are commonly used in hydrology for flood
 forecasting and civil engineering for urban drainage design, design
 of hydraulic structure.
 IDF curves can be expressed as
 equation in the exponential form
 given by:
Where, i=intensity
T=return period or frequency
D=Duration
K,x,a,n=constants
                      RUNOFF ESTIMATION
• Value of rainfall intensity is calculated
  by comparing time of concentration
  (Tc) and rainfall duration (t)
    – If Tc ≥ t i =(total rainfall amount)/t.
    – If Tc < t i = (total rainfall until Tc)/Tc.
Type of runoff:
 1) Characteristics of precipitation
 2) Characteristics of drainage basin
  Characteristics of precipitation
• Type of pptn:
• Rain intensity:
• Duration of rainfall:
• Rainfall Distribution:
• Soil moisture deficiency :
• Direction of prevailing storm:
• Other climatic conditions:
• Staff gauge
• Displacement of
  float due to rising
 or lowering of water
 level causes an angular
 displacement of pulley
 & also the input shaft of
 recorder.
• Mechanical linkages convert this angular displacement to linear
   displacement of a pen to record over a drum.
• The float gauge is protected by installing a stilling well
Bubble gauge recorder
 It consist of a small tube placed at the lowest water level through
  which compressed air (CO2 & N2 gas) is continuously bubbled out
• The pressure required to push the gas stream out beneath the
  water surface is a measure of depth of water over the nozzle
  of the bubble stream.
            yi
                        W = (W1 + W2 / 2)
                        A = ½(W * yi)
                        yi/ / y1 = (W1 + W2 / 2) / W1
            For first segment and last segment
he = Ke * (v12/2g-v22/2g)
• growth of weeds
• channel encroachment
• aggradations or degradation phenomena in alluvial
  channel &
• variable back water effects affecting the
     gauging section
Finding Stage corresponding to zero discharge
      a. Method-1         Step i)
In this method, plot of stage vs
discharge is best fitted to obtain
a stage discharge curve.
The curve is than extrapolated
backward by judgment. It
intersects Y-axis at a point(a)
corresponding to zero discharge.
ii)
      For ‘a ‘obtain from step 1,
      plot a graph of log Q vs
      log(G-a)
      If the graph is straight line the
      value of a is acceptable
      If graph is not straight line
      repeat above process.
Method:2 Graphical method
                                         23.41
 Flow estimation method
Based on the possible combinations of hydrological &
meteorological data available at proposed site & at hydrological
similar catchment (HSC), river basins shall be classified into 2
categories
• 1. gauged river basin
• 2. ungauged river basins
 For ungauged basins, the mean monthly flows & flow duration
   curve shall be determined from following 3 methods
1. Medium irrigation project (MIP) method
2. WECS/DHM method
3. Catchment area ratio method (CAR)
 Flow estimation method
 Medium irrigation project method
 • It gives a technique for estimating the distribution of monthly
   flows throughout a year for ungauged location
 • In this method, Nepal is divided into 7 hydrological zones.
 • To find the average monthly flow of a catchment area 3
   parameters are required
1. catchment area
2. one time flow measurement in the dry month period
3. hydrological zone.
 • Hydrological zone can be identified based on the location in
   the hydrological map of Nepal
 • MIP method is best for catchment area less than 100km2
Flow estimation method (MIP method)
Hydrological regions of Nepal
If 27 June discharge of the river is 10 m3/s having lies in the MIP
zone 3. Find the monthly discharge of the river,
i cm/h Dh-hydrograph
Dh-UH
Discharge
                   Time
                                      5.1 Components of a hydrograph
HYDROGRAPH
• is a graph showing the rate of
flow (discharge) versus time past a
specific point in a river, or other
channel or conduit carrying flow.
• It can also refer to a graph
showing the volume of water
reaching a particular outfall.
• Hydrograph analysis is the most
widely used method of analyzing
surface runoff.
Time (hr)   0    4 8 12 16 20 24 28                  32   36   40 44
4h-UH       0    20 80 130 150 130 90 52             27   15   10 0
(m3/s)
                        4h
            4-h
0.25 cm/h
12-h- UH
               Derivation of unit hydrographs with different duration
                          Change 4h-UH to 8h-UH
Method of superposition   Change 8h-UH to 4h-UH
S-curve method
                          Change 3h-UH to 6h-UH
                          Change 6h-UH to 3h-UH
 D-h_UH
           4-h
1/D cm/h
6-h
  T-h_U
  H
6-h
T-UH is (SA-SB)/(T/D)
= D/T * (SA-SB)
           Dh
1/D cm/h
1/D cm/h
           Th
           Dh     D h- UH
1/D cm/h
           Th                                                1/D cm/h
                Depth of rainfall
                T/D cm
1/D cm/h
           Th
1/D cm/h
           Th   1/D cm/h
1/D cm/h
           Th
 Engineering Hydrology (CE 606)
                                                                                                       March 2021
                                                                                                • Editors: Vishnu Pandey,
                                                                                                  Sangam Shrestha &
                                                                                                  David Wiberg
                                                                                                • Publisher: Wiley
           Prof. Vishnu Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L0_1                   3
Contents
                Prof. Vishnu Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L0_1   4
Rationale & Objectives
• Hydrological knowledge are important for engineering application, e.g.
   – Designing dams, hydropower/irrigation projects, water supply projects, bridge/culvert, etc.
• Many water infrastructure or water resources management projects are to be designed
  based on hydrological facts/figures, such as;
   – Water discharge or water availability, & its spatial and temporal distribution
        Long-term average annual, monthly/season distribution, average daily flows, flow duration
         curve, downstream water requirements (e.g. environmental flows), etc.
        Linkage of rainfall and runoff
   – Water balance (P = evapotranspiration + runoff + change in storage)
   – Design floods of different return periods for designing water infrastructure projects
• Course objectives
   – To provide concept of Hydrology and computational analysis for the design and
     management of water resources projects using practical approach with the emphasis on the
     application of hydrological knowledge to solve engineering problems.
                Prof. Vishnu Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L0_1   5
Course Outline
1. Introduction [2 hrs] [SL]
    – Applications of Engineering Hydrology; Hydrological Cycle; Hydro-met stations
2. Precipitation [8 hrs] [SL]
    – Rainfall and snowfall measurements; data quality assessment; presentation of rainfall data;
      estimation of mean rainfall; intensity-duration-frequency curve; depth-area-duration (DAD) curve
3. Hydrological Losses [8 hrs] [VP]
    – Initial losses; evaporation process; Evapotranspiration; Infiltration
4. Surface Runoff [8 hrs] [SL]
    – Drainage basin characteristics; rainfall-runoff relationship; streamflow measurements; rating curve
5. Hydrograph Analysis [7 hrs] [SL]
    – Computation of hydrograph; baseflow separation; unit hydrographs
6. Flood Hydrology [7 hrs] [VP]
    – Design flood and its frequency; methods for flood frequency analysis (statistical, rational, empirical)
7. Flood Routing [5 hrs] [VP]
    – Linear reservoir routing; time area method; Clark unit hydrograph
                  Prof. Vishnu Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L0_1       6
Course Outline – Tutorials & Practical Sessions
1.    Estimation of missing rainfall data                                                                   PRACTICALS
2.    Test for inconsistencies of rainfall data                                                             1. Rainfall runoff
3.    Estimation of mean rainfall over an area by 3 methods                                                   simulation
4.    Estimation of Potential evapo-transpiration by Penman’s equation [VP]
                                                                                                            2. Field visit at a
5.    Use of Horton’s equation and problems related to infiltration indices [VP]                              meteorological
6.    Discharge computation by velocity area and slope area methods                                           station
7.    Determination of stage at zero discharge and preparation of rating curve
                                                                                                            3. Streamflow
8.    Derivation of unit hydrographs from isolated and complex storms                                         measurement by
9.    Derivation of unit hydrographs of different durations                                                   current meter &
10.   Drainage basin Characteristics [VP]                                                                     floats
11.   Estimation of design frequency of a design flood [VP]
                                                                                                            4. Streamflow
12.   Estimation of floods by plotting positions and distributions [VP]                                       measurement by
13.   Estimation of floods by Rational and Empirical methods [VP]                                             dilution technique
14.   Flow routing and Clark UH [VP]
                                                                                                            5. Construction of
• These tutorials are embedded with Lecture classes with appropriate examples as far                          unit hydrograph
  as possible. We will also provide some tutorials as Assignments
                  Prof. Vishnu Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L0_1                  7
Course Delivery Plan [Vishnu Pandey’s Part]
Chapter               Contents                                                                             Lecture
        3.1, 3.2
 3                    Initial losses; Evaporation processes                                                L#3_1
        (partly)
      3.2 (partly),Actual evapotranspiration and Lysimeters; Potential
 3                                                                                                         L#3_2
           3.3     evapotranspiration (Penman’s equation)
 3         3.4     Infiltration – Horton’s equation; infiltration indices; infiltrometers                  L#3_3
        6.1, 6.2   Design flood and its frequency; continuous probability
 6                                                                                                         L#6_1
        (partly)   distribution; return period; frequency, and risk
                   Plotting positions, frequency factors, log Pearson III method;
 6    6.2 (partly)                                                                                         L#6_2
                   Gumbel’s Extreme value Type I method
 6        6.3      Flood frequency by Rational and Empirical methods                                       L#6_3
 7        7.1      Linear reservoir routing                                                                L#7_1
 7        7.2      Time area method                                                                        L#7_2
 7        7.3         Clark Unit Hydrograph                                                                L#7_3
                 Prof. Vishnu Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L0_1             8
Text Book & References
               Prof. Vishnu Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L0_1   9
Evaluation System
• Course Instructor(s):
    – Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey, PhD (Chapters 3, 5 (partly, as required), 6, 7)
    – Assoc. Prof. Dr. Surj Lamichhane (Chapters 1, 2, 4, 5)
                 Prof. Vishnu Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L0_1   10
 Engineering Hydrology (CE 606)
                Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1      2
3. Hydrological Losses
3.1 Initial losses (Interception and depression storage)
3.2 Evaporation process
    3.2.1 Meteorological parameters (Radiation, Temperature, Vapor pressure, Humidity, Wind)
    3.2.2 Energy Budget methods and Mass transfer approach (Dalton’s law)
    3.2.3 Evaporimeters
3.3 Evapotranspiration
    3.31 Actual evapotranspiration and Lysimeters
    3.3.2 Potential Evapotranspiration (Penman’s equation)
3.4 Infiltration
    3.4.1 Horton’s equation
    3.4.2 Infiltration indices (Ф and W)
    3.4.3 Infiltrometers
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   3
Losses in Hydrological Cycle
• Losses in Hydrological
  Cycle is the change
  from one component
  of Hydrological Cycle
  to another – BUT not
  really a loss
• Evaporation is a key
  component of the
  Hydrological Cycle. It
  takes place from
   – Oceans
   – Lakes
   – Streams
   – Land/soil (soil
     moisture)
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   4
Initial Losses
• Depression storage:
   – Some of the rainfall reaching to the ground is stored in
     depressions on the ground surface, which is eventually
        lost through processes of evaporation to the atmosphere
         and infiltration to the ground
• Depression storage depends upon
   – Soil type – clayey soil has less loss
   – Condition of the surface reflecting the amount, size &
     nature of the depression
   – Slope of the catchment – steeper slope has less loss
   – Antecedent precipitation, as a measure of soil moisture
• There is no specific equations to estimate depression
  losses.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   6
3. Hydrological Losses
3.1 Initial losses (Interception and depression storage)
3.2 Evaporation process
    3.2.1 Meteorological parameters (Radiation, Temperature, Vapor pressure, Humidity, Wind)
    3.2.2 Energy Budget methods and Mass transfer approach (Dalton’s law)
    3.2.3 Evaporimeters
3.3 Evapotranspiration
    3.31 Actual evapotranspiration and Lysimeters
    3.3.2 Potential Evapotranspiration (Penman’s equation)
3.4 Infiltration
    3.4.1 Horton’s equation
    3.4.2 Infiltration indices (Ф and W)
    3.4.3 Infiltrometers
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   7
Evaporation Process – Meteorological Parameters
• Evaporation – It is the process by which liquid is converted to varpor. Evaporation occurs
  from water bodies as well as from soil surface
• Evaporation is the primary pathway that water moves from the liquid state back into the
  water cycle as atmospheric water vapour.
• The rate of evaporation is dependent upon various factors, which are;
   – Vapor pressure at the water surface and air above: higher vapour pressure  higher
     evaporation
   – Air and water temperatures  increase in Temperature increase Evaporation, in general
   – Radiation, Humidity, Wind speed; Atmospheric pressure (decrease in barometric pressure
     increases Evaporation if all other factors remain the same!)
   – Quality of water – when a solute is dissolved in water, the vapour pressure of the solution is
     less than that of pure water, and hence causes reduction in evaporation rate.
        % reduction in evaporation is approximately % increase in specific gravity. Example: under
         identical conditions, evaporation sea water is about 2-3% less than that from freshwater.
   – Size of the water body (larger the surface area, higher the evaporation)
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   8
Evaporation Process – Meteorological Parameters (Radiation)
• Radiation – it is the direct transfer of energy by means of electromagnetic waves.
    – Radiation obtained from the sun is called “Solar Radiation”
• Hydrological cycle is driven by solar radiation, and it is responsible for the weather and
  climate of the earth.
• Solar radiation is measured in the form of
    – Average sunshine duration in a day (unit: hrs)  DHM collects this parameter at Climatic Stations.
    – Solar radiation in the unit of MJ/m2/day  some hydrological models need this
• Sunshine hours can be converted into solar radiation using
    – Angström-Prescott’s formula: H/H0 = (a + b*n/N’); where, H0 is the monthly average daily sunshine
      radiation (MJ/m2/day); H is the solar radiation (MJ/m2/day) at the surface of the earth; H/H0 is
      called as Clearness Index; n is actual sunshine duration in a day (hrs); N’ average maximum possible
      bright sunshine duration in a day (hrs); a is a constant that depends on latitude, (a = 0.29 cosφ; φ is
      latitude); b is an empirical coefficient with an average value of 0.52; n/N’ is called as Cloudiness
      index.
• Link to evaporation  Other factors remaining the same, higher the radiation, higher will be
  evaporative water demand, and more hydrological loss as Evaporation.
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   9
Evaporation Process – Meteorological Parameters (Radiation)
• Short wave radiation: Solar radiation from the sun.
• Long wave radiation: The radiation from the earth
• Albedo: When radiation strikes a surface, it is either reflected or absorbed.
   – Ratio of amount of solar radiation reflected to incoming radiation is called Albedo.
• Net radiation at the Earth’s surface (Rn) = Long wave radiation (RL) + Shortwave
  radiation (RS). If “r” is albedo and Re is the radiation emitted by the earth,
   – Net radiation of the Earth’s surface (Rn) is given by; Rn = (RL + RS) (1 – r) – Re.
• Intensity of solar radiation depends upon;
   – Scattering in the atmosphere
   – Absorption by Clouds
   – Obliqueness of the Earth’s surface to the incoming radiation
• Radiation Measurement  Actinometers and Radiometers measure intensity of radiant
  energy. The data are used in the studies of evaporation & snowmelt.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   10
Evaporation Process – Meteorological Parameters (Temperature)
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   13
Evaporation Process – Meteorological Parameters (Humidity)
• Measurement of Humidity
   – By using Psychometer: it contains wet bulb Thermometer (continuous moisture supply by
     wrapping with wick and submerging the other end in distilled water) and dry bulb
     thermometer (recording ambient air Temperature)
   – By using hygrograph: Automatic recording of humidity.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   14
Evaporation Process – Meteorological Parameters (Vapor Pressure)
• In other words, vapor pressure is the pressure caused by the evaporation of liquids
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   15
Evaporation Process – Meteorological Parameters (Vapor Pressure)
• Saturation Vapor Pressure (es): pressure at which air is
  saturated with water is called saturation vapor pressure. It is
  the maximum moisture content that air can hold for given
  Temperature (T). Increase in T increases saturation vapor
  pressure.
                           17.27𝑇
    – 𝑒𝑠 = 611 𝑒𝑥𝑝            ; where: es is saturation vapour pressure
                     237.3+𝑇
      (N/m2) and T (°C). If dew point temperature (Td) is provided, T is
      replaced with Td.
• Saturation vapor pressure gradient (∆): It is the gradient/slope
  of saturation vapor pressure (es) curve; and found by
  differentiating es with respect to Temperature (T, °C);
            𝑑𝑒𝑠         4098𝑒𝑠
       ∆=         =              ;   where es has the unit of N/m2.
            𝑑𝑇         237.3+𝑇 2                                                                                   17.27𝑇
                                                                                          𝑒𝑠 = 4.584 𝑒𝑥𝑝             ; where: es
• Dew point temperature                                                                                     237.3+𝑇
                                                                                          is saturation vapour pressure (mm of
    – The temperature at which air just becomes saturated when                            Hg) and T (°C).
      cooled at constant pressure and moisture content is called dew
      point temperature.
                  Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1            16
Evaporation Process – Meteorological Parameters (Wind Speed)
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_1   17
 Engineering Hydrology (CE 606)
                Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2            2
3. Hydrological Losses
3.1 Initial losses (Interception and depression storage)
3.2 Evaporation process
    3.2.1 Meteorological parameters (Radiation, Temperature, Vapor pressure, Humidity, Wind)
    3.2.2 Energy Budget methods and Mass transfer approach (Dalton’s law)
    3.2.3 Evaporimeters
3.3 Evapotranspiration
    3.31 Actual evapotranspiration and Lysimeters
    3.3.2 Potential Evapotranspiration (Penman’s equation)
3.4 Infiltration
    3.4.1 Horton’s equation
    3.4.2 Infiltration indices (Ф and W)
    3.4.3 Infiltrometers
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   3
Estimating Evaporation
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   4
Evaporation – Energy Budget Method
• The energy budget method estimates Evaporation by applying
  law of conservation of Energy. The energy available for
  evaporation is determined by considering the incoming energy,
  outgoing energy and energy stored in the water body over a
  period of time.
• Hn= Ha + He + Hg + Hs + Hi; Where:
    – Hn = net heat energy received by the water surface = Hc(1-r) -
      Hb; in which,
         r = reflection coefficient called albedo; Hc(1-r) = incoming
          solar radiation; Hb = back radiation from water body;
    – He = Heat energy used up for evaporation (or heat transfer by
      latent heat) = ρLEL; in which,
         ρ = density of water; L = latent heat of evaporation; EL =
          evaporation in mm;
    – Hg = heat flux into the ground;                                                    All energy terms in above equation
    – Hs = heat stored into water body;                                                  have unit of calories per sq. mm
    – Hi = net heat conducted out from the system due to water flow                      per day.
      (called as advected energy).
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2             5
Evaporation – Energy Budget Method
• If time periods are short, the terms Hg and Hi can be neglected as they are negligibly small. All
  other terms except Ha can either be measured or estimated indirectly.
• The sensible heat term (or heat lost in air), Ha, which can’t be measured readily, is estimated
  using Bowen’s ratio (β), given by the following expression;
• For estimation of Evaporation from Lakes, energy balance method has been found to give
  satisfactory results.
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2              6
Evaporation – Mass Transfer Method
• Two key factors controlling the evaporation rate from open water surface are;
    – Supply (or availability) of heat energy
    – Ability to transport vapour away from the surface
• Mass transfer (aerodynamic) method considers the second factor (i.e., ability to transport
  vapour away from the surface).
    – It is based on the theories of Turbulent mass transfer in boundary layer to calculate the mass water
      vapour transfer from the surface to the surrounding atmosphere.
• The transport rate is governed by;
    – Humidity gradient in the air near the surface
    – Wind speed across the surface
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   7
Evaporation – Mass Transfer Method
• The methods based on mass transfer techniques use Dalton’s law to estimate
  Evaporation; Ea = C (es – ea); where C is the constant that depends upon barometric
  pressure, wind speed, etc.; es and ea are saturated and actual vapour pressures; and
  Ea is evaporation (mm/day).
• Some of those methods that uses different approaches for estimating C are;
   – Modified Dalton’s equation: It estimates C as, C = k * f(u); where,
        k is a constant and f(u) is wind speed correction factor.
   – Meyer’s equation: it estimates C as, C = KM * (1 + U9/16); where,
        KM is a coefficient with a value of 0.36 for large lakes and 0.5 for shallow lakes; U9 is monthly
         mean wind speed in km/hr measured at 9m above ground.
                                                               𝟎.𝟔𝟐𝟐∗𝒌𝟐 ∗𝝆𝒂 ∗𝒖𝟐
   – Thornthwaite-Holzman equation: 𝑪 𝒐𝒓 𝑩 =                                    𝟐   ; where,
                                                                           𝒛𝟐
                                                                𝒑∗𝝆𝒘 𝐥𝐧    𝒛𝟎
        k is Relative Humidity (-), ρa is density of air (kg/m3); u2 is wind speed at 2m above water
         surface (m/s); p is air pressure (Pa or N/m2), pw is density of water (kg/m3), z2 is 2m, z0 is
         roughness height (m), generally taken as 0.03 cm; C (or B) has the unit of m/Pa.s.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   8
Evaporation – Mass Transfer Method
• Question#01: Calculate evaporation rate from an open water surface by using aerodynamic
  (or mass transfer) method with air temperature of 25°C, relative humidity of 40%, air pressure
  of 101.3 kPa, and wind speed of 3 m/s. All are measured at height 2m above the water
  surface. Take density of air and water as 1.19 kg/m3 and 1000 kg/m3, respectively. Assume a
  roughness height (Z0) as 0.03 cm.
    – Ea = B (es – ea)
            𝟎.𝟔𝟐𝟐∗𝒌𝟐 ∗𝝆𝒂 ∗𝒖𝟐
    –B=                    𝟐
                      𝒛𝟐
            𝒑∗𝝆𝒘 𝐥𝐧   𝒛𝟎
                   𝟎.𝟔𝟐𝟐∗𝟎.𝟒𝟐 ∗𝟏.𝟏𝟗∗𝟑
        =                               𝟐       𝟐   = 4.524*10-11 m/Pa.s
            𝟏𝟎𝟏.𝟑∗ 𝟏𝟎𝟑 ∗𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟎 ∗ 𝐥𝐧
                                    𝟎.𝟎𝟑∗𝟏𝟎−𝟐
                            17.27𝑇
    – 𝑒𝑠 = 611 𝑒𝑥𝑝
                           237.3+𝑇
                            17.27∗25
        = 611 ∗ 𝑒𝑥𝑝                     = 3,168.8 Pa (or N/m2)
                            237.3+25
    – ea = RH * es
        = 0.4* 3,168.8 = 1,267.5 Pa (or N/m2).
    – Ea = B (es – ea) = 8.60* 10-08 m/s = 7.43 mm/day.
                 Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   9
Evaporation – Mass Transfer Method
• Question#02: A large reservoir (or lake) with a surface area of 2.5 km2 has following
  average values of parameters for the 1st week of March: water temperature = 20oC,
  relative humidity = 40%, wind velocity at 1.0 m above ground = 16km/h. Estimate the
  average daily evaporation from the lake/reservoir and volume of water Evaporated
  from the lake during that one week. Take saturated vapor pressure (es) = 17.54 mm of
  Hg at 20oC.
   – Here, we need to use Meyer’s equation.
   – As es = 17.54 mm of Hg, ea = RH * es = 0.4*17.54 = 7.02 mm of Hg
   – Wind speed at 9m height is given as; V9 = V1* (9/1)1/7 = 16 * (9)1/7 = 21.9 km/hr
   – By using Meyer’s equation, Evaporation (mm/day) is;                                                         A large
                                                                                                                volume of
        Ea = KM * (1 + U9/16) (es – ea); where KM for large reservoir can be taken as 0.36.
                                                                                                              water from
   – Therefore, Ea = 0.36* (1+21.9/16) * (17.54 – 7.02) = 8.97 mm/day                                          reservoir is
   – Evaporated volume in 7 days = 7 * 8.97/1000*2.5*106 = 157,000 m3.                                            lost as
                                                                                                              Evaporation
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2          10
Evaporation – Reducing reservoir evaporation?
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   11
                                                                                                   Reservoir
                                                                                                  filled with
                                                                                                      many
                                                                                                  millions of
                                                                                                  black balls
                                                                                                   to reduce
                                                                                                 evaporation
Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2          12
3. Hydrological Losses
3.1 Initial losses (Interception and depression storage)
3.2 Evaporation process
    3.2.1 Meteorological parameters (Radiation, Temperature, Vapor pressure, Humidity, Wind)
    3.2.2 Energy Budget methods and Mass transfer approach (Dalton’s law)
    3.2.3 Evaporimeters
3.3 Evapotranspiration
    3.31 Actual evapotranspiration and Lysimeters
    3.3.2 Potential Evapotranspiration (Penman’s equation)
3.4 Infiltration
    3.4.1 Horton’s equation
    3.4.2 Infiltration indices (Ф and W)
    3.4.3 Infiltrometers
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   13
Evaporimeters
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2               14
Evaporimeters
• Class A Evaporation Pan:
   – Dia. =1210mm; depth =255 mm; water depth maintained between 18-20 cm
   – Made of unpainted galvanized iron sheet; Extensively used by US Weather Bureau
   – Placed on a wooden platform of 15cm height above the ground to maintain free circulation
     of air below the pan
• ISI Standard Pan (Specified by IS:5973, called as Modified Class A Pan)
   – Dia. = 1220mm; Depth = 255mm; Made of a copper sheet 0.9mm thick, tinned inside and
     painted white outside
   – Placed on a square wooden platform of width 1225mm and 100mm height above ground
   – The top of the pan is covered with a hexagonal wire net of GI to protect water in the pan
     from birds
   – Water is added or removed from pan to maintain water level.
   – A fixed point gauge indicates the level of water
   – Evaporation from this pan is ~14% lower as compared to that from an Class A Pan
            Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   15
Evaporimeters
• Colorado sunken pan
   – This is a 92 cm (3 ft) square and 46 cm (1.5 ft) deep pan
   – Made of galvanized iron and set in the ground with a rim 50
     mm above the ground surface.
   – Water level is maintained at or slightly below the ground level
   – Key advantage: radiation and aerodynamic characteristics are
     similar to that of a lake.
• Evaporation stations – It’s usually installed at locations where • Arid zone: Dry, hot all the
                                                                     year
  other meteorological parameters are also observed.
  Recommended density is;                                          • Humid Temperate: located in
                                                                                            30 to 60 degrees N; cold
   – Arid climatic zones: 1 station/30,000           km2.
                                                                                            winters and mild summers
   – Humid and Temperature climate: 1 station/50,000 km2.
                                                                                        • Tropical zone: hot and wet
   – Cold regions: 1 station/100,000          km2.                                        all year
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2       16
Evaporimeters
• Pan Coefficient –
   – A ratio of the amount of evaporation from a large body of water to that measured in an
     evaporation pan.
   – Lake evaporation=Cp *pan evaporation
   – Volume of water lost due to evaporation from a reservoir in a day is estimated as; VE = A
     * Ep * Cp; where A is average reservoir area; Ep is pan evaporation (m/day); Cp is
     relevant pan coefficient.
• Value of pan coefficient (Cp) for different types of Pan are; Question#03: If a catchment with a
                                                                                       reservoir for a hydropower project
                                                                                       has average annual evaporation
                                                                                       rate of 2.1 mm/day measured by a
                                                                                       pan Evaporimeter. Assuming pan
                                                                                       coefficient of 0.8 and surface area
                                                                                       of reservoir as 6.1 km2, estimate
                                                                                       annual volume of Evaporation loss
                                                                                       from the Reservoir.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2          17
3. Hydrological Losses
3.1 Initial losses (Interception and depression storage)
3.2 Evaporation process
    3.2.1 Meteorological parameters (Radiation, Temperature, Vapor pressure, Humidity, Wind)
    3.2.2 Energy Budget methods and Mass transfer approach (Dalton’s law)
    3.2.3 Evaporimeters
3.3 Evapotranspiration
    3.3.1 Actual evapotranspiration and Lysimeters
    3.3.2 Potential Evapotranspiration (Penman’s equation)
3.4 Infiltration
    3.4.1 Horton’s equation
    3.4.2 Infiltration indices (Ф and W)
    3.4.3 Infiltrometers
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   18
Evapotranspiration – Actual evapotranspiration (AET)
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2        19
Evapotranspiration – Actual evapotranspiration (AET)
• Actual evapotranspiration (AET):
   – Actual amount of water lost due to evapotranspiration from the soil along with actively
     growing plant or crop in a given set of atmospheric conditions.
   – Factors affecting AET
        Plant and soil characteristics, and
        The amount of available water in the soil (for a given set of atmospheric conditions)
• Potential Evapotranspiration (PET)
   – Theoretical amount of moisture that could be lost from the surface, by both evaporation and
     transpiration, to the atmosphere if it were available.
   – Expressed in units of water depth.
• In which condition AET & PET will be equal?
   – If water supply to the soil is adequate, soil moisture will be at the “Field Capacity”, and at
     that condition, AET = PET. AET ~ PET in Humid Areas.
   – PET is equivalent to “demand” and AET is equivalent to “supply”.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   20
Evapotranspiration – Actual evapotranspiration (AET)
• AET varies with soil type and availability of moisture as
  shown in the Figure.
• AET/PET is aridity index 
   – If AET/PET = 1 (or AET = PET)  water supply to plant is
     adequate (100%); Energy is limiting factor (Humid area)
   – If AET/PET < 1  water supply is less than PET, the soil
     dries out. Water is limiting factor (case in Arid areas).
• The decrease in ratio of AET/PET depends upon
   – Type of soil and rate of drying
• Two important terminologies (PWP & FC): ?
   – PWP (Permanent Wilting Point): moisture content of a soil at
     which moisture is no longer available in sufficient quantity to
     sustain the plants
   – FC (Field Capacity): Max. amount of water that soil can
     hold against the gravity.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   21
Evapotranspiration – AET - Lysimeters
• Measurement of AET for a given vegetation type can be
  carried out in two ways;
   – i) Using Lysimeter; ii) Using field plots (using water budget)
• Lysimeter:
   – It is a special water tight tank containing a block of soil
     and a set in a field of growing plants for measuring amount
     of AET released by plants (usually crops or trees).
        By recording amount of precipitation that an area receives
         and the amount lost through the soil
   – Amount of water required to maintain constant moisture
     conditions within the tank is the measure of AET
   – It should be so buried that the soil is at same level inside
     and outside the container.
   – Lysimeter studies are accurate, but time consuming &
     expensive.
                                                                                                Fig.: Lysimeter
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2     22
Evapotranspiration – AET - Lysimeters
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   23
Evapotranspiration – Potential Evapotranspiration (PET)
• PET, as defined earlier is the maximum amount of water that can be lost as
  evapotranspiration for the given set of atmospheric conditions.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   24
Evapotranspiration – PET – Penman Equation
                Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   25
Evapotranspiration – PET – Penman Equation
NOTE:
                                                                                                If Ha (upper terrestrial
                                                                                                radiation or incident solar
                                                                                                radiation outside the
                                                                                                atmosphere on a
                                                                                                horizontal surface) is given
                                                                                                in mm of Hg, we need to
                                                                                                convert mm of Hg value
                                                                                                into mm of Water value
                                                                                                 1 mm of Hg = 13.6
                                                                                                mm of Water
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2           26
Evapotranspiration – PET – Penman Equation
         Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   27
Evapotranspiration – PET – Penman Equation
         Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   28
Evapotranspiration – PET – Penman Equation
• Question#04: Calculate PET             • From Table 3.3, A = 1.00 mm/°C, ew (or es) = 16.50
  from an area by Penman’s                 mm of Hg (for ew, we can use eqn in 2nd lecture too)
  formula based on following
  data: Latitude = 28°4’ N;              • ea = RH * es = 0.75*16.50 = 12.38 mm of Hg
  elevation = 230 masl; Mean
  monthly temperature (T) =
                                         • a = 0.29cos28°4’ = 0.29*cos(28.0667*pi/180) =
  19°C; mean relative humidity             0.2559. [please convert degree to radian]
  = 75%; Mean observed                   • b = 0.52 (fixed constant)
  sunshine hours (n) = 9 h;
  Mean monthly value of                  • Stefan Boltzman’s constant (σ) = 2.01*10-9 mm/day
  possible (or maximum)                  • Now,
  sunshine hours (N) = 10.716
  h; wind velocity at 2m height                     = 1.990 mm of water/day
  = 85 km/day; Nature of                 • Again,
  surface cover: close-group
  green crop (i.e. albedo =                                  = 2.208 mm/day
  0.25); Ha = 9.506 mm of                • Therefore,                                = 2.06 mm/day.
  water/day.
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L3_2   29
 Engineering Hydrology (CE 606)
• Since cumulative infiltration and infiltration rate are the function of time , the relation
  f(t) = fc + (f0 - fc) e-kt can be written as;
                                                   𝑓0 −𝑓𝑐
• Average infiltration in time t, F(t)/t =     𝑓𝑐 + 𝑘𝑡          1 − 𝑒 −𝑘𝑡
• Cumulative infiltration or total infiltration depth in between time t1 and t2,
            𝑡              𝑡                                                                𝑓0 −𝑓𝑐
  𝐹 𝑡 =  𝑡2 𝑓 𝑡 𝑑𝑡 =  𝑡2 𝑓𝑐 + 𝑓0 − 𝑓𝑐 𝑒 −𝑘𝑡 𝑑𝑡 = 𝑓𝑐 (𝑡2 − 𝑡1) +                                  (𝑒 −𝑘𝑡2   − 𝑒 −𝑘𝑡1 )
             1              1                                                                −𝑘
• Estimation of value of k;
   – From Horton’s equation; f = fc + (f0-fc) e-Kt
   – f - fc = (f0-fc) e-Kt
                      ∞
   – Integrating;    0 (𝑓       − 𝑓𝑐 )𝑑𝑡 = 𝐹 = 𝐴𝑟𝑒𝑎 𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑟 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑣𝑒
        ∞                  −𝑘𝑡          𝑓0 −𝑓𝑐
   –   0 (𝑓0   − 𝑓𝑐 ) 𝑒         𝑑𝑡 =
                                           𝑘
                                                                                        𝑓0 −𝑓𝑐
   – Equating above expressions, K can be determined by; 𝑘 =                                     (if time is until ∞)
                                                                                           𝐹
   – If time period is defined (i.e., not until infinity), then K can be estimated using this equation;
                                                         𝑓0 − 𝑓𝑐
                                                     𝑘=
                                                        𝐹 𝑡 − 𝑓𝑐 𝑡
• Here,
             𝑓0 −𝑓𝑐          6.0 −1.2
   –𝑘=𝐹                 =               = 0.89
              𝑡 −𝑓𝑐 𝑡       15 −1.2∗8
Carry out Trial & Error method with effective time (te);
• 1) Consider the whole duration of rainfall as effective in the beginning.
   – First trial: φ= (Total rainfall - Direct runoff)/te ; where te = total time of excess rainfall
     contributing for direct runoff (effective duration)
• 2) Compute rainfall excess of each rainfall pulse and find total rainfall excess.
   – Rainfall excess = (observed rainfall (R) - φ ∆t) where ∆t = interval of rainfall data for
     rainfall intensity> φ, 0 otherwise
• 3) Compare total rainfall excess with direct runoff. If rainfall excess (Re) is not same as
  direct runoff (Q), take another value of te.
   – New te = (whole period – duration of ineffective rainfall).
   – Second trial: φ= (Total rainfall - Direct Runoff-Ineffective rainfall)/te
• 4) Repeat steps 2 – 3 until Re = Q.
• Question#08: A storm with 10.0 cm precipitation produced a direct runoff of 5.8 cm.
  Given the time distribution of the storm as below, estimate the Φ-index of the storm.
      Time from start (h)                                        1       2       3       4       5        6       7          8
Incremental rainfall in each hr (cm) 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.5
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   3
6. Flood Hydrology
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   4
Flood, its Effects & Important Characteristics
• What is flood?
    – Flood is an unusually high stage (or water level) in a river, in which, normally,
      river overflows its banks and inundates the adjoining area.
• Effects/impacts of floods
    – It causes losses of life, property, physical infrastructure, and economy
    – It also costs significant amount of money for post-flood management activities
• Hydrologic design of water infrastructure projects ensures the structure can
  survive for the floods less than or equal to design flood.
• What aspects of floods are important for hydrologic design?
    – Hydrograph of extreme floods and corresponding stage data
    – Flood peak is the most important & widely used characteristics of flood
      hydrograph
    – Flood peak at a location varies from year to year, its time-series is valuable
      information.
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   5
Design Flood & its Frequency
• A flood used for the design of structure on
  considerations of its safety, economy, life
  expectancy and probable damage considerations
  is called as “design flood”.
• Small structures such as culverts and storm-
  drainages can be designed for less severe floods
  as the consequence of higher than design flood
  will not be very serious.
• Larger structures such as dams demands greater
  attention to the magnitude of floods used in the
  design, because of failure of these structures
  causes large loss of life and property on the
  downstream of structures
• Choosing appropriate magnitude of flood as
  “design flood” depends upon;
     – Types of structure
     – Importance of the structure
     – Economic development in the surrounding area
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   6
Design Flood & its Frequency
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   8
Return Period, Frequency & Risk
• Return period (or recurrence interval), T:
    – It is defined as the average interval of time (T) within which an event of given magnitude will be
      equalled or exceeded at least once.
    – It is the average interval between the occurrence of flood equal to or greater than a given magnitude.
      The return period is widely used in hydrologic frequency analysis.
• Risk (R): It represents probability of failure of a structure.
    – It is the probability of occurrence of event (x ≥ xT, where T is the return period) at least once over a
                                                                                           𝟏 𝒏
      period of n successive years (or design life of structure); 𝑹 = 𝟏 − 𝟏 −
                                                                                           𝑻
• Other relevant terminologies
                                                                                                            1
    – Probability of occurring an event in any year (P) with return period T is given by 𝑃 = .
                                                                                                            𝑇
                                                                    1
    – Probability of non-occurrence of event = 1- P = 1 −
                                                                    𝑇
                                                                                1 𝑛
    – Probability of non-occurrence in n years (Pn) = (1        –P)n    = 1−
                                                                                𝑇
                                                                                                                1 𝑛
    – Probability of occurrence of event at least once in n year (i.e., Risk!) = 1 – Pn = 1 − 1 −
                                                                                                                𝑇
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1         9
Return Period, Frequency & Risk
• Question#09: A flood of 4000 m3/s in a certain river has a return period of 40 years.
    – (a) What is its probability of exceedance?
    – (b) What is the probability that a flood of 4000 m3/s or greater magnitude may occur in
      the next 20 years?
    – (c) What is the probability of occurrence of a flood of magnitude less than 4000 m3/s?
• Solution;
    – Here, Flood (X) = 4000 m3/s; Return period (T) = 40 years
    – (a) Probability of exceedance, P                                                                    Probability of
        ▪ (P) =
                  1
                      =
                           1
                               = 0.025                                                                    exceedance is for
                  𝑇       40
                                                                                                          a specific value &
    – (b) P(X>=4000) in next 20 years =? (n=20 years)
                                                                                                          Risk is for a range
        ▪ P(X>4000) = 1−(1 − 𝑃)𝑛 = 1 − (1 − 0.025)20 = 0.397
                                                                                                          of values
    – (c) P(X<4000) = ?
        ▪ P(X<4000) = 1 – P = 1 – 0.025 = 0.975
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1            10
Return Period, Frequency & Risk
• Question#10: Compute the probability of a flood equal to or greater than the 50-
  year flood occurring next year, and the next 3 years.
• Solution;
    – Return period (T) = 50 year;
    – a) Probability (P) of a flood > = 50-year occurring next year (i.e., n =1) is;
                          1 𝑛                   1 1
        ▪ 𝑃 =1− 1−              =1− 1−              =   0.02
                          𝑇                    50
    – B) Probability (P) of a flood > = 50-year occurring next 3 years (i.e., n =3) is;
                          1 𝑛                   1 3
        ▪ 𝑃 =1− 1−              =1− 1−              =   0.0588
                          𝑇                    50
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   11
Plotting Positions & Frequency Factors
• The purpose of frequency analysis of an annual series is,
   – To obtain a relation between magnitude of the event & its probability of exceedance
• Probability analysis is made either by empirical or by analytical methods
• A simple empirical technique is Probability Plotting, using following steps;
   – Arrange the given annual extreme series in descending order of magnitude and assign an
     order number “m”.
       ▪ Thus for the first entry, m = 1, for the second entry, m = 2, and so on till the last event for which
         m = N = number of years of record.
   – Compute plotting position (i.e., probability (P) of an event equalled or exceeded), using
     Weibull Formula; P = m             and Return period, T = 1/P = (N+1)/m.
                                   N +1
   – When there are two or more magnitudes are same (but with different m), P is calculated for
     the largest m value of the set.
   – Plot given data versus P or T in semi-log or log-log paper; & Fit a straight line.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1      12
Plotting Positions & Frequency Factors
• A sample of
  Probability Plot for a
  Flood time series
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   13
Plotting Positions & Frequency Factors
• Plotting position
    – It refers to the probability value assigned to each piece of data to be plotted, most of
      which are empirical
    – There are several equations available for assigning plotting position. Among them,
      Weibull’s one is widely used.
• Probability Plotting:
    – Having calculated P (and hence T) for all the events in the time series, variation of flood
      magnitudes is plotted against the corresponding T on a semi-log or log-log paper. The plot
      is called as Probability Plotting.
    – By suitable extrapolation of this curve, the flood magnitude of specific duration for any
      recurrence interval can be estimated.
• Various analytical calculation procedures using frequency factors are available.
  Examples, used in this course, include;
    – Log Pearson Type III (LP III) Method
    – Gumbel (or Extreme Value Type I) Method
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   14
6. Flood Hydrology
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   15
Continuous Probability Distribution – Terminologies
• Frequency:
   – Number of occurrence of a variate
• Relative frequency (or probability of a function!)
   – Number of observations (ni) in interval “i” divided by total number of observations
• Cumulative frequency function
   – Sum of values of relative frequencies up to a given point
• Cumulative distribution function (CDF): its value ranges between 0 & 1 (0 ≤ CDF ≤ 1)
   – For a discrete random variable: CDF is the sum up of the probabilities
   – For a continuous random variable: CDF is integral of its probability density function (PDF)
• Probability density function (PDF):
   – PDF is derivate of the CDF.
   – It’s representation of randomness of continuous random variable
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   16
Continuous Probability Distribution
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   17
Continuous Probability Distribution – Normal distribution
• The Normal Distribution arises from the central limit theorem, which states that if a
  sequence of random variables “Xi” are independently & identically distributed with
  mean µ and variance σ2 , then the distribution of the sum of n such random variables,
       i =n
                  tends towards the Normal Distribution with mean nµ and variance nσ2 as
  y =  Xi
       i =1        n becomes large.
                                                                 ( x −  )2 
                                              f (x ) =
• The PDF of normal distribution,                          1                                for
                                                            exp −                                 −  x  
                                                        2         2 2
                                                                             
   – Where: µ and σ are population mean & standard deviation, and are parameters of the
     distribution.
• The parameters of the Normal Distribution are,  = x,  = S x , where x is sample
  mean and Sx is sample standard deviation.
• If z = x −  and Z → N (0, 1), it is called standard normal distribution.
           
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1     18
Continuous Probability Distribution – Normal distribution
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   19
Continuous Probability Distribution – Lognormal distribution
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1        20
Continuous Probability Distribution – Exponential distribution
                                                                            1
• The parameter of the distribution                 is given by,        =
                                                                            x
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   21
Continuous Probability Distribution – Gamma distribution
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   22
Continuous Probability Distribution – Log Pearson III distribution
• Pearson Type III distribution is also called 3-parameter gamma distribution, as it
  includes one more parameters parameter 𝜺 in the gamma distribution.
• This distribution can be used to describe distribution of the annual maximum flood.
                                                                                        ( x −  ) e −  ( x − )
                                                                                                         −1
                                                                                           
• The PDF for Pearson Type III distribution is given by;                      f (x ) =
                                                                                               ( )
   – Where,        x
• Parameters of Pearson Type III Distribution are; 𝝀, 𝜷 and 𝜺 ; which are given by;
                             2
          Sx         2    
     =      ,  =        ,  = x − S x 
                    Cs    
• By the method of moments, three sample moments (mean, standard deviation, &
  coefficient of skewness) can be transferred to 𝜆, 𝛽, and 𝜀
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1       23
Continuous Probability Distribution – Log Pearson III distribution
• If logX follows a Pearson Type III (LP III) distribution, then X is said to follow Log
  Pearson Type III distribution.
• The log transformation reduces the skewness of the transformed data.
• It is widely used for frequency analysis of the annual maximum flood.
• The PDF of LP III distribution is given by;
                                                                      ( y −  ) e −  ( y − )
                                                                                      −1
                                                                         
                                                            f (x ) =
                                                                            x( )
    – where: y = log X;         logx  
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   24
Continuous Probability Distribution – Gumbel (EV I) distribution
                                      x−u       x − u 
                    f (x ) =
                               1
                                 exp −    − exp −     
                                                 
                           6S x
                =                 , u = x − 0.5772
                           
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_1   25
 Engineering Hydrology (CE 606)
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   3
Statistical Techniques for Flood Frequency Analysis
• What are hydrological extremes?
   – Floods, Droughts, and Severe Storms (heavy rainfall)
   – Their annual time series (e.g. annual maximum flood series) is used for frequency analysis
• Flood frequency analysis aims at
   – Relating the magnitude of extreme events to their frequency of occurrence through the use
     of probability distribution.
• Various applications of results of flood frequency analysis are;
   – For the design of dams, bridge, culverts, and flood control structures
   – To determine the economic value of flood control works
   – To delineate flood plains
• Commonly used statistical techniques for flood frequency analysis are;
   – Gumbel’s Method
   – Log Pearson Type III (LP III) Method
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   4
Estimating Flood Peak – Various Methods
• Rational Method
• Empirical Methods,                                                                          Selection of a suitable
   – Dicken’s Method (1865)                                                                   method depends upon;
   – R. D. Richard’s Method
                                                                                              1) Desired objectives
   – Fuller’s Method
                                                                                              2) Availability of data
   – Horton’s Method                                                                          3) Importance of the
   – WECS/DHM method (or HYDEST method)                                                          objectives
• Statistical Methods (or Flood Frequency Analysis)
   – Gumbel’s Extreme Value Type I Method;
   – Log Pearson Type Methods – Type II (2 parameters), Type III (3 parameters)
   – Log-Normal Distribution-based Method
• Unit-hydrograph method
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2        5
Estimating Flood Peak – Gumbel Extreme Value Type I Method
• Gumbel (1941)’s method is one of the most widely used method for extreme values in
  Hydrological & Meteorological Studies for prediction of,
   – Flood peaks;
   – Maximum rainfalls;
   – Maximum wind speed, etc.
• Gumbel defined a flood as the largest of the 365 daily flows and the annual series
  of flood flows constitute a series of the largest values of flows.
• Values of reduced mean and reduced standard deviation for different sample size (N);
                                                                                                             • for N → ∞ ,
                                                                                                               𝑦𝑛 → 0.577
                                                                                                             • for N → ∞ ,
                                                                                                               𝑠𝑛 → 1.2825
            Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2              8
Estimating Flood Peak – Gumbel Extreme Value Type I Method
• Second method for computing K: from K-T relationship for large samples (N > 100). The
  relation based on Chow’s formula is;
             6                           𝑇                                                  𝑇
   –𝐾=−     𝜋
                 0.5772 + 𝑙𝑛 𝑙𝑛 𝑇−1 ; OR, 𝐾 = − 0.45 + 0.78𝑙𝑛 𝑙𝑛 𝑇−1
   – This method can also be used if table or values of 𝑦𝑛 and Snis not given (assuming large
     samples)
• Alternatively, as n →, 𝑦𝑛 → 0.577, Sn → 1.2825.
                                                                      𝑦𝑇 −0.577
   – So for n → , K can also be computed from; 𝐾 =                    1.2825
• Procedures/Steps for estimating flood magnitude of given return period using Gumbel;
   – Compute mean, 𝑥ҧ and standard deviation, σ of the given data or variate (x).
   – Compute frequency factor (K) using formula in previous slide, for small size or second method
     for large sample size
                                                                      n −1 =
                                                                                 ( X − X )2
   – Compute XT; 𝒙𝑻 = ഥ  𝒙 + 𝒌𝝈𝒙
                                                                                   N −1
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   9
Estimating Flood Peak – Gumbel Extreme Value Type I Method
• How to verify whether given data follow the assumed Gumbel’s distribution?
   – Plot value of xT for different values of return period in semi-log or log-log or Gumbel’s
     probability paper and see whether the plot is straight line.
• Gumbel’s probability paper;
   – It’s an aid for convenient graphical representation of Gumbel’s distribution
   – It consists of Abscissa (X-axis) specially marked for various convenient values of the return
     period (T) (e.g., 2, 10, 50, 100, 500 and 1000 years).
   – Find the value of yT using equation for yT. Then mark-off those positions on the abscissa.
   – Then, plot discharge versus T (and yT).
• Gumbel’s distribution has the property which gives T = 2.33 yrs for the average of
  annual series, when N is very large.
   – Thus, the value of a flood with T = 2.33 years is called the mean annual flood (or normal
     flood).
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   10
Estimating Flood Peak – Gumbel Extreme Value Type I Method
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   12
Log Pearson III Method
• Steps for computing floods of various return periods using Log-Pearson III method,
   – First, transform peak discharge (X) to logarithm of base 10 ( Z = log10 X)
   – Compute mean (𝑍),  ҧ standard deviation (𝜎), and coefficient of skewness (Cs) of Z
                σ𝑧
       ▪ 𝑧ҧ =
                 𝑛
                     σ 𝑧𝑖 −𝑧ҧ 2
       ▪ 𝜎=
                       𝑛−1
                     𝑛     𝑧𝑖 −𝑧ҧ 3
       ▪ 𝐶𝑠 =
                  𝑛−1 (𝑛−2) 𝜎 3
   – Obtain the value of KT for Cs and selected/required return period (T) from the Table for
     Log Pearson Type III distribution (slide#15) (or by using formulae, slide#14).
   – Compute; 𝑍𝑇 = 𝑍ҧ + 𝐾𝑍 𝜎
   – Flood of return period T → XT = antilog (ZT).
• For Coefficient of Skewness (Cs) = 0, LP III method
   – reduces to → Lognormal Distribution.
                Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   13
Log Pearson III Method
– p = 1/T
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   14
Log Pearson III Method
         Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   15
Log Pearson III Method
• Question#12: A 20-year annual peak flow (m3/s) time series is transformed into log10.
  The log10 transformed time-series has mean of 3.632, standard deviation of 0.202,
  and coefficient of skewness of 1.2. Compute flood magnitude of 25 year return period
  using Log-Pearson Type III method using two methods: i) Taking values from Table; and
  ii) calculating values using formula.
• Solution:
• i) Taking values from Table –
   – For T = 25 years and Cs = 1.20, from Table,
       ▪ KT = 2.087.
   – 𝑍𝑇 = 𝑍ҧ + 𝐾𝑇 𝜎 = 3.632+2.087x0.201
       ▪ ZT= 4.05
   – And, flood of 25 year return period (X25) = Antilog (ZT)
       ▪ = 104.05 = 11,220 m3/s
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   16
Log Pearson III Method
• ii) Calculating values using Formula –
   – p = 1/T
       ▪ = 1/25 = 0.04
                     1/2
               1
   – 𝑤 = 𝑙𝑛
               𝑝2
       ▪ = 2.537
                2.515517+0.802853𝑤+0.010328𝑤 2
   –𝑧=𝑤     −
              1+1.432788𝑤+0.189269𝑤 2 +0.001308𝑤 3
       ▪ = 1.751
   – k = CS/6 = 1.2/6 = 0.2
                                  1                                                   1
   – 𝐾𝑇 = 𝑧 + 𝑧 2 − 1 𝑘 +             𝑧 3 − 6𝑧 𝑘 2 − 𝑧 2 − 1 𝑘 3 + 𝑧𝑘 4 + 𝑘 5
                                  3                                                   3
       ▪ = 2.08
   – 𝑍𝑇 = 𝑍ҧ + 𝐾𝑇 𝜎 = 3.632+2.09x0.201 = 4.05
   – Flood of 25 year return period (X25) = Antilog (ZT) = 104.05 = 11,220 m3/s.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_2   17
 Engineering Hydrology (CE 606)
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   3
Estimating Flood Peak – Rational Method
• It’s the most widely used method for the analysis of runoff response from small
  catchments
• Though it’s simple, a reasonable care is necessary to apply it effectively.
• It’s particular application is in urban storm drainage → to estimate peak runoff rates
  for the design of storm sewers and small drainage facilities.
• The hydrologic characteristics or processes that Rational method accounts for are;
   – Rainfall intensity
   – Rainfall duration
   – Rainfall frequency
   – Catchment area
   – Hydrologic abstractions
   – Runoff concentration,
   – Runoff diffusion: a measure of the catchment’s ability to attenuate the flood peaks.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   4
Estimating Flood Peak – Rational Method
• If a rainfall of uniform intensity and very long duration is
  occurring over a catchment, the runoff rate gradually increases
  from zero to a constant value (see figure), then the peak value
  of runoff at the outlet, a per Rational Method, is given by;
                                                                                                         QP
    – QP = C * i * A (for t ≥ tc) ; where, C is the coefficient of runoff (=
      runoff/ rainfall), i = intensity of rainfall, A = catchment area; tc =
      time of concentration.                                                                    tc
    – In SI unit, with Q in m3/s, “i” in mm/hr, and “A” in km2, the equation
      is modified as; QP = 1/3.6 * C * i * A .
• Limitations of Rationale Method
    – Applicable for small-sized catchments (< 50 km2)
    – Rainfall intensity must be of constant over the entire basin during
      tc. And, duration of rainfall intensity > tc
    – Gives only peak, but not a complete hydrograph
    – C assumed to be small for all storms
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   5
Estimating Flood Peak – Rational Method
• The rational method does NOT take into account these characteristics or processes;
   – Spatial or temporal variations in either total or effective rainfall
   – Time of concentration much greater than storm duration
   – A significant portion of runoff occurring in the form of streamflow
• The Rational Method also does NOT explicitly account for the catchment’s antecedent
  moisture content, however it may be implicitly accounted for by varying the runoff
  coefficient.
• Limit of catchment area:
   – Upper limit: There is no consensus on upper limit of catchment area to apply Rational
     Method. However, current trend is to use area <=2.5 km2 as upper limit.
   – Lower limit: There is no theoretical lower limit. Catchments as small as 1 ha or less can be
     analysed using rational method.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   6
Estimating Flood Peak – Rational Method
   – The most commonly used method is, Kirpich Equation (1940), tc = 0.01947 * L 0.77 * S –
     0.385; where, t is the time of concentration (in minutes), L is the maximum length of travel of
                    c
     water or the longest flow path (in meters), S is slope of the catchment = ΔH/L, in which, ΔH
     is the difference in elevation between the most remote point on the catchment and the
     outlet.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   7
Estimating Flood Peak – Rational Method
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3    8
Estimating Flood Peak – Rational Method
                                                     C=
                                                         (C A +C    1 1         2   A2 + C3 A3 + ..)
                                                                       A1 + A2 + A3 + ..
              Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   9
Rational Method
• In practice, frequencies of storms and floods are NOT necessarily the same, largely due
  to factors like …;
   – Antecedent moisture condition
   – Variability in channel transmission losses
   – Overbank storage, etc.
• In practice → take higher among the two (deterministic & probabilistic) estimates.
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   10
Estimating Flood Peak – Rational Method
• Question#13: Distribution of rainfall storm for a period of 180 minutes is given below.
  The catchment has area of 400 ha of land with a maximum length of travel of 1250 m.
  The general slope of the catchment is 0.001 and its runoff coefficient is 0.4. Estimate
  the peak flow by rational method.
  Duration (min)                                    20             40               60              180
  Rainfall (mm)                                     50             80              100              120
• Solution:
    – A = 400 ha = 4 km2, C = 0.4, L = 1250 m, S = 0.001, Qp = ?
    – Using Kirpich equation, Time of concentration 𝑡𝑐 = 0.01947𝐿0.77 𝑆 −0.385 = 67.45 mins.
    – Rainfall at 67.45 min (i.e., time of concentration) from given data, by linear interpolation,
                                 120−100
         ▪ Rainfall = 100 +               𝑥7.45 = 101.24mm
                                 180−60
                                       101.24
    – Rainfall intensity (i)   at tc =        𝑥60 = 90 mm/hr.
                                        67.45
                                                             𝐶𝑖𝐴       0.4𝑥90𝑥4
    – Peak flood (Qp), using rational method: 𝑄𝑝 =                 =              = 40 m3/s.
                                                             3.6          3.6
                Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   11
Estimating Flood Peak – Empirical Methods
• Dicken’s Method (1865);                                   3
                                         Q p = CD A         4
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   12
Estimating Flood Peak – Empirical Methods
• Fuller’s Method
   – This method was developed in basins of USA and may be used to estimate flood discharges
     in the ungauged basins of Nepal for comparison purpose
   – The maximum instantaneous flood discharge as per Fuller’s Method is given by;
   –                     A   ; where, QT is the maximum 24 hr flood.
                                 −0.3
       Qmax   = QT 1 + 2       
                        2.59  
   – With frequency once in T years in m3/s and A as basin area in km2, QT is given by
    QT = Qav (1 + 0.8 log (T)),
       ▪ where Qav is yearly average 24 hour flood over a number of years, and given by,
       ▪ Qav = Cf * A 0.8, where Cf is Fuller’s Coefficient (= 0.18 to 1.88), with value of 1.03 in an
         average for Nepal.
               Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3   13
Estimating Flood Peak – Empirical Methods
• WECS/DHM Method: Water and Energy Commission Secretariat (WECS) & DHM has
  developed empirical relationships for analysing flood of different return periods;
Where: Q2 and Q100 are floods of 2 and 100 year return periods; A3000 is basin area
(km2) below 3,000 m elevation
                                                                               T (Years)                        S
                                                                                    2                          0
• For other return periods,
                                                                                    5                         0.842
                       QT = exp (ln Q2 + S )                                      10                         1.282
                                                                                   25                         1.645
Where: QT is flood of T year return period (m3/s),
S = standard normal variate, σ =                                                   50                         2.054
ln(Q100/Q2)/2.326                                                                 100                         2.326
             Prof. Vishnu Prasad Pandey | BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L6_3           14
 Engineering Hydrology (CE 606)
     reservoir,
       ▪ By knowing the volume-elevation characteristics
         of the reservoir and the outflow-elevation
         relationship for the spillways & other outlet
         structures in the reservoir.
       ▪ To predict design capacity of spillways & outlet
         structures
   – It helps to predict variation of reservoir
     elevation and outflow discharge with time.
                         BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L7_1                                   5
Types of Flood Routing
                                                                                                  O
   SN        T, hr        Inflow, I (m3/s)         C0I2            C1I1          C2O1
                                                                                                (m3/s)
    1          0                10                                                              10.00
    2          6
    3         12
    4         18
   …          …
   10         54
                            BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L7_1                      12
Linear Reservoir Routing
• Question#14: Route the following hydrograph through a rive reach for which K = 12
  hrs and x = 0.20. A the start the inflow flood, the outflow discharge is 10 m3/s.
  Estimate Attenuation & lag of peak as well.
T, hr               0     6        12          18         24         30          36         42   48   54
Inflow, I (m3/s)   10     20       50          60         55         45          35         27   20   15
• Here, first we need to calculate C0, C1 & C2 using;
              Inflow, I                                 O
 SN   T, hr               C0I2      C1I1     C2O1
               (m3/s)                                 (m3/s)
 1      0        10                                   10.00
 2      6        20       0.96    4.29      5.24      10.49
 3     12        50       2.40    8.58      5.50      16.48
 4     18        60       2.88    21.45     8.63      32.96
 5     24        55       2.64    25.74     17.27     45.65
 6     30        45       2.16    23.60     23.92     49.68
 7     36        35       1.68    19.31     26.03     47.02
 8     42        27       1.30    15.02     24.64     40.95
 9     48        20       0.96    11.58     21.46     34.00
 10    54        15       0.72    8.58      17.82     27.12
• Time area method or time-area histogram method, also known as Clark’s method,
   – aims to develop an Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (IUH)
       ▪ due to an instantaneous rainfall excess over a catchment.
• This Clark’s method considers two processes in the transformation of excess precipitation
  to runoff;
   – Translation or movement of excess rainfall from its origin to the watershed outlet (effect of
     time, time here refers to time of concentration)
   – Attenuation or reduction of the magnitude of the discharge (effect of storage)
• The translation is achieved by a travel time-area histogram,
   – It specifies watershed area contributing to flow at the outlet as a function of time.
• The attenuation by routing the results of the above
   – through a linear reservoir at the catchment outlet
   – Find the longest path (L) of the river and plot its profile as longitudinal section (elevation vs
     distance).
   – Divide L into number of equal segments “n” as the number of blocks of time-area histogram
     to be prepared. If a basin is divided into n time-area histograms, then –
   – Find the time of travel. This is the distance between the end of excess rainfall hyetograph
     and the point of inflection of recession limb of direct runoff hydrograph.
   – Repeat the procedure for the tributaries.
   – Draw isochrones passing through points at l distance apart.
   – Measure the area enclosed by successive isochrones.
   – Plot a bar graph showing area vs time.
• With the linear reservoir model, storage at time t is related to outflow as, S = K*O,
  where, K is the storage time constant.
                                          𝑑𝑆
• Also the continuity equation is,        𝑑𝑡
                                               =I−O
                                 𝑑O       1
• From these two equation,            =        I−O
                                 𝑑𝑡       𝐾
• For time interval ∆𝑡, the equation can be expressed as (t is tc)
        𝑂2 −𝑂1    1 𝐼1 +𝐼2   𝑂1 +𝑂2
    –            =𝐾        −
          ∆𝑡           2        2
                    0.5∆𝑡
    –   𝑂2 − 𝑂1 = 𝐾 𝐼1 + 𝐼2 − 𝑂1 − 𝑂2                                                             How to
                0.5∆𝑡      0.5∆𝑡       0.5∆𝑡              0.5∆𝑡                                  calculate
    –   𝑂2 1 +           =       𝐼1 +        𝐼2 + 𝑂1 1 −                                         Inflow (I)
                  𝐾          𝐾           𝐾                  𝐾
    –   𝑂2 =
              0.5∆𝑡
                       𝐼1 +
                              0.5∆𝑡
                                     𝐼2 +
                                           𝐾−0.5∆𝑡
                                                   𝑂 → 𝑶𝟐 = 𝑪𝟎 𝑰𝟐 + 𝑪𝟏 𝑰𝟏 + 𝑪𝟐 𝑶𝟏                between
             𝐾+0.5∆𝑡        𝐾+0.5∆𝑡        𝐾+0.5∆𝑡 1
                                                                                               Isochornes?
                               0.5∆𝑡           𝐾−0.5∆𝑡   (Muskingum Routing Equation)
    –   Where 𝐶0 = 𝐶1 = 𝐾+0.5∆𝑡 , 𝐶2 = 𝐾+0.5∆𝑡
                           BE (Civil) | IOE/TU - Nepal | Engineering Hydrology Course | L7_2           7
Time Area Method & Clark’s UH
• The inflow rate between an inter-isochrone area Ar (km2) with time interval Δt (hr) and
  1cm excess rainfall is;
                     𝐴𝑟 𝑥106 𝑥10−2              𝐴
   – 𝐼𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 (𝐼) =                    = 2.78 ∆𝑡𝑟 m3/s
                        3600𝑥∆𝑡
   – Since inflows are derived from the histogram, I1= I2 for each interval. Also, as
     shown earlier, C0 = C1;
   – Therefore; ordinates of IUH can be calculated as; 𝑶𝟐 = 𝟐𝑪𝟏 𝑰𝟏 + 𝑪𝟐 𝑶𝟏
• Question#15: A drainage basin has the following characteristics: Area = 110 km2, time
  of concentration = 18 h, storage constant = 12 h, and inter-isochrones are distribution
  as below. Determine IUH for this catchment.
Travel time, t (h)                       0       2      4        6        8        10         12       14   16   18
Inter-Iso-Chrome area, Ar (km2)          0       3      9       20       22        16         18       10   8    4
• For determining IUH for the catchment with A = 110 km2, tc = 18 hr, K = 12 hr, and Δtc
                                                      0.5∆𝑡         𝐾−0.5∆𝑡
  as 2 hrs, we need to calculate C1 & C2 using: 𝐶1 = 𝐾+0.5∆𝑡 , 𝐶2 = 𝐾+0.5∆𝑡
                                                                                                   𝐴
• Similarly, Inflows at each time-interval can be calculated as: 𝐼 = 2.78 ∆𝑡𝑟 m3/s
• Outflows or Ordinates of IUH can be calculated as: 𝑶𝟐 = 𝟐𝑪𝟏 𝑰𝟏 + 𝑪𝟐 𝑶𝟏
• The results – ordinates in Table & IUH plot – are shown in next slide.