Project Engineering
Project Engineering
A project is a unique endeavor to produce a set of deliverables within clearly specified time, cost and
quality constraints. A deliverables is a quantifiable outcome of the project, which results in the
partial (or full) achievement of the project objectives.
A project is a human endeavor, which creates change; is limited in time and scope; has mixed goals
and objective; involves a variety of resources; and is unique (Andersen, Grude, Hang and Turner,
1987)
In other words, project is an endeavor in which human, material and financial resources were
organized in a novel way, to undertake a unique scope of work, of given specification, within
constraints of cost and time, so as to achieve beneficial change defined by quantitative and
qualitative objectives. (Turner, 1993)
• Connected
• Conducted over a limited period of time
• Targeted to generate a unique but well-defined outcome (Baguley, 1995)
A project is a unique complex of activities aimed at achieving a jointly predetermined, unique result
that must be realized with limited means (Kor and Wijnen, 2000).
A project can be defined as a “non-repetitive activity” with the following unique characteristics:
• It is goal oriented – it is being pursued with a particular end or goal in mind;
• It has a particular set of constraints – usually centered around time and resource;
• The output of a project is measurable;
• Something has been changed through the project being carried out (Maylor,1991)
• Are unique in nature: They do not involve repetitive processes. Every project undertaken is
different from the last, whereas operational activities often involve undertaking repetitive
(identical) processes.
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• Have a defined timescale: Projects have a clearly specified start and end date within which
the deliverables must be produced to meet a specified requirement.
• Have an approved budget: Projects are allocated a level of financial expenditure within
which the deliverables must be produced to meet a specified requirement.
• Have limited resources: At the start of a project an agreed amount of labor, equipment and
materials is allocated to the project.
• Involve an element of risk: Projects entail a level of uncertainty and therefore carry risk.
• Achieve beneficial change: The purpose of a project, typically, is to improve an
organization/ society.
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5) expansion, mobilization, diversification projects of various kinds
6) writing a book, thesis, project report or field assignment; preparing a plan
Characteristics of Project:
Characteristics of a
Constraints (time, cost and quality) Planning and Control
Project
projects important?
Failure to deliver a project on time, within budget and to specification poses a major threat to the
strategic direction and financial viability of any organization.
Every project is different but the things that go wrong tend to fall into two categories - aspects of
completion such as time, cost and delivery and failure to achieve the outcomes and benefits. All too
often, the completion failures are the ones that grab the headlines but the outcome failures can have
the greatest impact.
Managers and internal auditors need to understand which will have the most impact in their
organization. A project that achieves all the delivery criteria but fails to deliver the expected
outcomes or one that delivers the expected outcomes but overruns on time and budget?
The success or failure of a project can have a significant impact on the organization's ability to
provide a much-needed service, take advantage of a market opportunity or ensure compliance with
the law and other important requirements.
Classification of Project:
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a. Mega project (Upper Karnali, Nijgadh-Kathmandu Fast Track, Nijgadh International
Airport)
b. Major project (Madhya Marshyangdi, Out Ringroad in Kathmandu valley)
c. Medium project (Bhotekoshi, khimti, Melamchi water supply)
d. Small project (Manang hydropower, Land pooling projects)
e. Micro project (community based water supply project, micro hydro, waste collection
project)
E. According to nature of project
a. Simple project ( residential building construction, road construction)
b. Complex project (apartment and sky scrapper building construction)
c. Innovative project (car pooling project, ICT in traffic management, pathao, tootle)
d. Emergency project (reconstruction project, Jure flood obstruction clearing project)
F. According to orientation of project
a. Product oriented (cement manufacturing, brick manufacturing)
b. Process oriented ( personnel trainings, workshops and orientation project, health
related projects)
G. According to time frame
a. Normal project (in normal time @ normal cost)
b. Crash project (in short duration @ higher cost)
1. Specific
2. Measureable
3. Attainable / achievable
4. Realistic
5. Time bound
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What is Project Management?
Project management is the process by which projects are defined, planned, monitored, controlled and
delivered to achieve agreed outcomes and benefits.
As there are many people involved with different disciplines and expertise a key task is to ensure that
everyone knows what is expected of them. This requires the definition and scheduling of activities in
terms of duration, cost, resources and interdependencies. It is important to keep in mind that the
overall aim is to deliver objectives and benefits efficiently and effectively.
Knowledge, skill and experience in project management are critical to achieving successful projects.
The organization will need qualified and competent project managers, either in-house employees or
appointed consultants, with a proven track record to develop and apply its project management
process. It is also important to have good project control knowledge amongst members of the Project
Board.
Project Management is the skills, tools and management processes required to undertake a project
successfully. Project Management comprises of:
• a set of skills: specialist knowledge, skills and experience are required to reduce the level of
risk within a project and thereby enhance its likelihood success
• a suite of tools: various types of tools are used by project managers to improve their chances
of success. Examples include document templates, registers, planning software, modeling
software, audit checklists and review forms
• a series of process: various management techniques and processes are required to monitor
and control time, cost quality and scope on projects. Examples include time management,
cost management, quality management, change management, risk management and issue
management.
Projects are difficult to study for several reasons. They are generally multi-organizational and hence
often involve sensitive issues that many people are reluctant to have publicly discussed; they are
often of long duration and there is multiplicity or issues to be handled.
According to Project Management Institute of USA, “Project management is the art of directing and
coordinating human and non-human resources throughout the life of the project by using modern
management techniques to achieve predetermined objectives of scope, cost, time, quality and
participant satisfaction.”
Project management is the task of getting the project activities done on time, within budget and
according to specifications by a project team in a dynamic environment.
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8) Body of knowledge (knowledge about time management, change management, integration
management, cost management, quality management, HRM, conflict management, risk
management and procurement management)
A project can be split into a number of activities or stages. The lifecycle refers to the overall time
span and progress of the project made up of the individual activities and stages. Not all projects will
visit every stage as projects can be terminated before they reach completion but what happens during
each of these stages needs to be firmly defined with clear boundaries. The important thing to
appreciate is that it is an orderly process that involves a series of steps and procedures to bring about
a successful outcome. The diagram developed by the internal audit team for projects at Transport for
London illustrates the progression through the stages and the sort of activities that may take place
within each stage. It is possible to manage the steps, procedures and stages through a process of
project management. It is worth noting that in some cases the 'project' may finish but the 'change'
may continue for some time after the project team has disbanded, particularly in terms of the delivery
of benefits.
- A series of project phases which are under taken in either sequential or parallel order.
- Having a beginning and an end, project goes through several stages of development. However
well defined the desired outcomes might be, the project process itself is, like all human
endeavors, subject to change, growth and decline. This pattern of growth and decline is a familiar
one which we see in the life cycles of many organic systems or organisms.
There are many versions of the project life cycle. The simplest has four basic stages (Turner, 1993):
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1. Germination (conception):
- During this stage the project is identified, its feasibility reviewed and initial estimates of cost
generated.
- This stage will also involve an initial definition of performance and time.
- The end of this stage, during which the project is compared with other projects or standards of
performance, will be marked by a decision to implement the project or not. The decision to
implement will then lead to the next stage of growth.
2. Growth:
- In this stage the detailed design of the project outcome is developed and decisions are made about
who will do what and when.
- Cost and time estimates are also refined.
- Both this and the earlier stage involve a relatively low, though accelerating pace of activity.
3. Maturity:
- This is the stage in which the planned work takes place.
- It is also the stage with the highest activity rate and as such it requires effecting monitoring,
- control and forecasting procedures which will tell the project manager and the staff what
- has or has not been done or spent, what ought to have been done or spent, and what will
- need to be done or spent in the future.
4. Death:
- This stage involves a slower pace of activity, involving the review and audit of the project and,
ultimately, the break-up of the project team.
More formally,
the Project
Lifecycle has, in general, the following four stages (note: sometimes there are additional stages such as
‘Project Selection’ and/or ‘Project Monitoring and Controlling’):
1. Initiation
2. Planning
3. Execution
4. Closure
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(3) Project Execution
The Execution stage is typically the longest phase of the project (in terms of duration).
- Within this phase, the deliverables are physically constructed and presented to the target group for
acceptance.
- To ensure that the requirements are met, the PM monitors and controls the activities, resources and
expenditure required to build each deliverable throughout the execution phase.
Project Environment:
Project environment represents a connection, where the project is processed. It impacts the project and is,
therefore, conditioned. Such an interaction is provided by numerous factors as operational, physical,
ecological, social, cultural, economic, psychological, financial, organizational etc. The environment not only
formulates the project but also estimates it.
The project environment analysis is held at the beginning of the project. This method identifies the lobbies
and integrates the project stakeholders into project group. All impact factors are analyzed in this
analysis: project risks and chances, stakeholders and their interests, measures for the control. The stakeholder
type is thereby analyzed. It distinguishes between active and passive type. The first group represents project
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team and project manager, principal and customer. The second group contains authorities, works council,
competitors, persons affected by the project indirectly.
The project environment can be analyzed from various perspectives. For the purpose of this article, we would
analyze the project environment from three perspectives, which are:
The project time environment is best described using the project phases. The project phases, as we all know
are the initiation, planning, execution and closure. The figure above shows the relationship between these
phases.
For easy analysis, in explaining the project time environment, the production of an everyday product (mobile
phone) has been used. The table below shows the various processes that are carried out in each of the project
phase when manufacturing a mobile phone.
It is important to mention that the project environment is dynamic and has a high probability to change during
a projects life cycle. It is the duty of the project manager to analyze, understand and identify changes in the
project environment and adapt to the changes as they occur during the cause of a project.
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Agreement • Testing and project records
• Select project team verification of
members performance
Table 1. Process required for the manufacturing of mobile phones
Each of the project phases can be broken down and treated as individual projects. While the senior management
and project manager mostly handles the project initiation, when subdivided, it can be characterized as a full project.
It is temporary; time bound and sets out to achieve a specific goal. All these characteristics also apply to the other
phases of a project (planning, executing and control). In the project time environment, the successful completion of
each project phase is a major milestone and usually marks the opening of the next phase. Due to the high rate of
dependency, the success of the execution phase would be tied to the success of the planning phase, also a delay in
one of the project phases would lead to a delay in all of the other phases causing a disruption of the project time
environment.
Project phase, environment and communication: Since the project phases are highly related to the
environment. Each project phase can be described as a project environment. It is now time for us to see the
relationship between these environment and communication. As we all know, the more people required in a project,
the more the communication channel required and the more difficult it is to manage the communication channels.
Below is the formula for calculating the communication channel
No of channels required = [N (N-1)] / 2 where N = No of people.
From the diagram in fig xxx above, we should realize that at the beginning of the project life cycle, fewer people
were required which gradually increases and peaks at the at the execution phase before a sharp decline is realized
during the project closure phase. This simply means that more communication channels would be established
during project execution leading to a more complex communication management process. The least amount of
communication channel is recorded during the initiation and project closure phase. The chat in figure xxx can also
be used as a resource chat.
As earlier mentioned, since the project phases are mostly dependent on the success of the previous phase, then it
becomes very important for the project manager to ensure the success of the execution phase. This is because the
execution phase is actually the phase where the product of the project is being manufactured. Also, experience has
shown that one of the major challenges that face the project closure phase is the ability to ensure the project team
members do not run out of steam to engage in a proper project closure. There is generally a struggle between
ensuring team members loyalty to the project and reducing the team’s size when there is not enough work to cater
for all members.
If at any point in time during the project the planning was inadequate due to a lack of understanding of the project
time environment; this can lead to budget and time overrun even if the project is in its final stage.
The study of the internal project environment focuses on understanding the leadership structure, organizational
culture, organizational structure and the organizational policy and politics that is adopted within an organization
while implementing a project. This spans across all the various phases of the project lifecycle (initiation, planning,
execution, monitoring &control and close-out). The organizational culture often determines the internal project
environment. The nature of project might affect the internal project environment sometimes, but this is largely
related to the external project environment.
Leadership Structure: Effective leadership is the ability to bring people of various skills and background
together and coordinate them to achieve a common goal. It is the function of the leader to establish the
organizational vision, develop the corporate strategy and motivate the employees in achieving the organizational
goal. The strategic role leadership plays in an organization implies that the overall success of a project is dependent
on the leadership style of the organization. This is because it sets the pace for the organizational performance,
determines the type of project that the company undertakes and how it is implemented.
Organizational culture: The organizational culture refers to the way operations are carried out within the
organization. As project managers, the organizational process asset (OPA) is a very good starting point when trying
to understand the culture within an organization. The OPA is a comprehensive database where information about
previous projects is stored. Information on the database includes, but is not limited to, organizational processes,
template, policies, procedures, lessons learnt, historical information, etc. The information in the OPA gives the
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project manager an inroad to the organizational culture. Although the project organizational culture is not rigid,
improper understanding or deviation from the organizational culture without a buy in from the management can
jeopardize the success of a project.
Organizational structure and politics: The organizational structure highlights the chain of command in the
company. Who do you report to and who reports to you? What kind of project environment is it? Is it a functional,
projectized or mixed environment? Who are the company shareholders? Etc. These questions and more can help in
determining the way the organization is structured. The aim of knowing the organizational structure is to
understand the command chain, recognize the stakeholders at various levels, realize their interest and develop a
plan to satisfy the interest of the various stakeholders. The organizational politics on the other hand helps in
explaining the reason why some decisions are taken. These criteria were based on profitability and return of
investment. However, as a result of organizational politics, organizations embark on some projects that are not
profitable. This could be to increase organizations public relations, strategic reasons, personal (intrinsic), and so on.
It is, however, important for us as project managers to understand the reason for which a project was undertaken, as
it would help us in deciding the best way to approach the project.
However a project environments can be better understood from the following diagram.
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2.0 Project Appraisal and Formulation
Project appraisal is a generic term used to refer the process of assessing the investment
proposals. It is a technique of evaluating, analyzing the investments and effort of calculating the
project’s viability. Project appraisal is an overall assessment of the relevancy, feasibility and
sustainability of a project prior to making decision whether to undertake it or not.
• Will the project meet its objectives as well as the larger need of the societies or country?
• How does project compare with other projects (alternatives) in term of funds and other
resources?
Project appraisal is carried out in systematic and scientific manner because it determines the
success and failure of the project. It helps in the optimum allocation of the resources, proper
selection of project, systematic planning and evaluating the costs and benefits.
Ex-ante appraisal is carried before the project implementation; it is the review of the investment
proposal. On going appraisal is carried during the course of implementation and ex-post is done
after the completion of project before commissioning.
After the completion of project appraisal, the following issues are addressed:
• Whether or not the objective of the project has been successfully achieved?
• Whether or not resources were properly utilized?
• Whether or not project completed within the stipulated time?
• Whether or not decisions taken during project implementation were really useful?
• Whether or not the quality of product and services of the project are according to
standards?
The feasibility study serves as the groundwork for project appraisal. The aspects covered in
feasibility study are re-examined during the appraisal.
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It is also known as social cost benefit analysis concerned with judging a project from the
larger social point of view. It ascertains the contribution of the project on self sufficiency,
employment generation and social order. Similarly it measures the impact of the project
on saving, investment, distribution of income in the society.
3. Financial appraisal (assessment)
It focuses on the financial viability of the project. In simple words, whether this project
will be able to satisfy the return expectations of those who provide capital. The aspects to
be looked during financial analysis include an investment outlay, cost of capital, means
of financing, projected profitability, break even points, cash flows, investment worth
judged in terms of various criteria of merit and risk.
4. Management appraisal (assessment)
Management analysis focuses on project organization, management, institutional
relationships and management capabilities in planning, organizing, staffing, leading,
implementing and controlling.
5. Marketing appraisal (assessment)
Marketing analysis is primarily concerned with marketing related issues. It will analyze
the aggregate demand, sales forecast, estimated revenue, market share etc.
6. Environmental appraisal (assessment)
Environmental assessment is concerned with the impact of the project on environmental
issues such as environmental damage by the proposed project and environmental
restoration measures. IEE, EIA are reexamined.
Once the appraisal is completed and the results come positive, the funding agency
approves the project and the project is ready to move for planning followed by
implementation.
A project proposal is common and better understood in academic, commercial, industrial and
governmental sectors. The proposal could be a request for a grant to conduct academic research
or to sell an item or to build infrastructure or to conduct income generation training and capacity
development.
Once the project idea is identified, selected and projects parameters are developed, then the
project proposal are prepared. A proposal is basic document containing the explanation of all
activities to be performed while undertaking an investment venture. In other words, it is written
document prepared to do something in a pre-planned way with the view to successfully carry out
the proposed assignment. Generally project proposal should satisfactorily answer the following
questions:
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On the other hand it is an art in the sense that the proposal you prepare should have a sales value.
The sales value depends upon how much convincing strength lies in your proposal and how
tactfully you organize and present it. The words you use, the sentences you construct and the
logic you give in your project proposal make significance for its approval and disapproval.
A project proposal is basic document for the project. Thus it should be prepared incorporating
technical and professional details. The project manager must work as the role of the proposal
manger. The project manager has to consider various aspects while developing or preparing
project proposal.
1. Project problem
The proposal manger should identify the project problem. The problem of the proposed
project is given in the terms of reference by the client. Client may be departments,
donors, individual etc. the organization should have enough capability to handle the
technical problem and issued as specified in TOR.
2. Organization and staffing provisions
How the proposal preparing process should be organized and what are the staffing
provisions should be answered by the project manager. Generally multi-disciplinary cross
functional teams should be formed in this process.
3. Cost of proposal
How much should be spent in preparing proposal for bids is considered while preparing
project proposal. The proposal development involves cost for the organization. The
guidelines can be:
a. Cost estimates
How should the proposed bid price should be set is the customer’s ability to bear. So
cost estimates (proposed project cost of work) should be prime considerations in
estimating the cost of the proposal.
b. Bidding strategy
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Bidding strategy of the organizations (who calls proposal) affects the proposal so the
cost of preparation. It can be:
• Winning the project at any cost
• Competing the bid
• Participating in the bid
Contents of proposal
Every project is unique and different to each other. For instance, the development of project
proposals relating to establish drinking water supply, to construct school building, conducting
detailed feasibility study of hydropower (DPR), to provide some health facilities, to conduct
socioeconomic survey, to conduct training packages etc. may differ to great extent. Since each
project proposal entails its own uniqueness, it is not possible to get a standard format for
developing a project proposal equally applicable for all types and natures of projects. However,
the contents of all types of project proposal are broadly classified into two parts: technical and
financial. Some time management part is highlighted separately from technical part.
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In this part generally format of BOQ (provided along with TOR or bid document) is
prepared and rate is quoted for the proposed work.
• Organizational structure
• The financial stability
• Financial litigation history
• Accounting system
• Employee safety, health & Labor related aspects
• Cost and schedules
• Past work experiences
A project proposal development is logical, systematic and professional activities which involves
various steps.
Statement of work is prepared by the client at the project formulation phase. It is also
known as wish list of the client which describes the needs and requirements. It is provided by the
client in the form of TOR. SOW some time called as scope of the work. The major contents
covered in SOW are:
This study is carried to find the implement ability of the proposed project. If the proposed
project work is to carry out the detailed feasibility study (DPR) then client has prepared the pre-
feasibility study report but if the proposed project is the construction of infrastructure client
should prepared the feasibility study. It covers the aspects like technical analysis, economic
analysis, financial analysis, marketing analysis, management analysis and environmental
analysis. Technical feasibility is the main focus aspect of pre/feasibility study.
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This phase is also known as conceptual design or architectural design. It is the expanded form of
project idea and is based on pre/feasibility study. The objective of this phase is to create a design
that will correctly and completely implements the requirements shown by study. It includes
technical aspects like survey, engineering drawings, project schedule, WBS, estimated project
cost etc.
This is the final step of the procedures in developing project proposal. According to the SOW,
pre/feasibility study and preliminary design the project proposal is then developed integrating
with the goal and objectives of the proposing organizations. It contains following details:
• Project title: a proposal begins with the title. Generally it is written in present participle of
an action verb
• Executive summary: a brief ES should be prepared which describes the brief information
and objectives of the project
• Project description: it provides the general description of the project. The major areas of
descriptions include:
o Project objective: the objective should be SMART. General objective is set up
followed by specific
o Project component: major sub sectors are specified if any
o Methods of implementation: it deals with the description about the
implementation methods proposed for the project
o Project schedule: Bar chart, network schedule for proposed project duration etc
o Project budget: cost component and sub components are detailed. Itemized in
expenses head should be mentioned
o Project monitoring and evaluation: mechanism of M&E. logical framework can
be provided.
Appendices for separate supporting documents like tax clearance certificate, firm registration
certificate, VAT registration certificate, previous work experience, signed CVs etc. can be
provided with proposal.
Step 2 Step 4
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1. Feasibility analysis
2. Cost Benefit analysis
3. Input output analysis
4. Environmental / ecological analysis
5. Network analysis
6. Financial analysis
A. Feasibility analysis
Project involves massive investments. Project decisions have long term impacts and cannot be
easily altered. Before investing in ay project, investors would like to know the potential of the
project. Potential of project can be financial potential as well as socio-economic development
potential or technical potential. Feasibility analysis makes it possible to screen out non-feasible
project idea and selection of project idea. Feasibility analysis answers which project (s) to
undertake. The aspects of feasibility analysis are described as follows:
feasibility Study
If no terminate
a. Technical analysis:
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In the technical part of the feasibility study the alternate methods of selection of best
available technology and course of action are identified. In this study following works are
carried out.
• Location of suitable site
• Selection of appropriate method of construction
• Selection of suitable equipment for construction
• Specifications of construction materials
• Determining the availability of different resources
• Choice of available technology
• Design requirements and HR requirements
• Technical risks and uncertainties
b. Economic analysis:
It is also required at the time of feasibility study stage of the project. Economic analysis
is the systematic approach to determining the optimum use of scare human and non-
human resources involving comparisons of two or more alternatives in achieving a
specific objectives under the given assumptions and constraints. It measures the effect of
the project on the community and national economy. It gives the answers about the
economic viability of the project and also known as cost benefit analysis. The economic
viability of a project is analyzed using four basic steps as:
i. Identify the economic costs and benefits
ii. Quantity the costs and benefits as much as possible
iii. Value the costs and benefits
iv. Compare the benefits and costs.
c. Marketing analysis:
Marketing analysis is carried put to find out the project’s capability to address customer
needs along with the integrity and consistency of the marketing assumptions and helps to
reformulate the project if necessary on its likelihood of viability and sustained market
performance. This analysis is carried out in four basic steps as:
i. Marketing definition
ii. Market analysis
iii. Strategic appraisal
iv. Expected performance
d. Management analysis:
Management analysis during feasibility analysis deals with the assessment of managerial
capability in terms of planning, organizing, staffing, leading and controlling. The areas of
focus in management analysis include:
i. Institutional relationship with the project, funding agency, contracting authority,
implementing agency and beneficiaries
ii. Project management
iii. Stakeholder analysis
e. Financial analysis:
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Financial analysis during feasibility analysis examines the adequacy of return to the
project operating entity and to the project participants. In financial analysis, all
expenditures incurred under the project and revenues from it are taken into account.
Financial analysis also identifies the estimation of the capital cost requirements, and the
sources and means of financing, cash flow, accounting and reporting system,
profitability. Generally six approach step is carried in financial analysis as:
i. Preparing cost estimates
ii. Forecasting incremental project net cash flow
iii. Determining the financial NPV
iv. Calculating financial IRR
v. Understanding risk
vi. Performing sensitivity analysis
f. Environmental analysis:
It studies the impact of the project on the environment. Study of EIA or IEE is carried
simultaneously during the feasibility analysis. Environmental assessment is the process of
identifying, predicting, evaluating and mitigating the bio-physical, social and other
relevant effects of development proposals prior to major decisions being taken and
commitments made. The areas of focus during environmental analysis are environmental
sustainability, environmental impact and its mitigation measures.
g. Socio-political analysis:
Socio-political analysis is a systematic study of the social, political and economic relation
and factors that shape a particular environment and how these affect the lives and
opinions of those live within it. It is necessary because this forces positively or negatively
impact project implement-ability a lot.
B. Cost- Benefit analysis:
In simple term it is known as economic analysis of the investment proposal from the larger social
point of view. Therefore it is regarded as social cost benefit analysis (SCBA) in general. Cost
benefit analysis is the comparison of different projects competing for the same resource budgets.
The use of payoffs matrices is currently fashionable in this regard. It evaluates the cost involved
and the benefits of the projects. In developing economy, governments are involved large sum of
investments; consider a SCBA in their investment including donor agencies.
SCBA measures the income gained or lost by individuals, groups within the society, other
private business, government, workers, consumers, external forces. The gain or loss to an
individual group within the society as a result of the project is equal to the difference between
the shadow price and the market price of each input in case of physical resources or the
difference between the price paid and the value received in the cost of financial transactions.
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Market imperfections:
Actual monetary costs and benefits of the project can be obtained only on perfect market system.
When imperfection exists, market prices do not reflect social values. Market imperfection is due
to rationing of commodity, minimum wages and foreign exchange regulations.
Externalities:
A project may have a beneficial effect externally or may have a harmful effect externally. The
monetary value may not capture the beneficial or harmful effect to external.
From the private point of view, taxes are definite monetary costs whereas subsidies are definite
monetary gains. But from a social view point they are just regarded as transfer payments and
hence considered as irrelevant.
For the private point of view, it is not a different valuation of consumption or saving in the
economy. Form a social point of view, higher valuation for savings and lower valuation for
consumption.
Merit wants:
Goals and preferences are not expressed in the market place, but believed by policy makers to be
in the larger interest. It is referred as merit wants. The merit wants are not relevant form a private
view point but are important in social point of view.
A private firm do not bothers how its benefits are distributed across various groups in the
society. In contrary to this, the society concerns about the distribution of benefits across different
social groups.
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• IRR
• NPV
Limitations of SCBA
• The estimation of costs and benefits are subjective and lack accuracy
• Social costs and benefits are difficult to forecast and quantify
• Spin-off benefit remains un quantified
• Shadow price provides room for discretion and arbitrariness
The shadow price is imputed market valuation of a commodity or service which has no market
price. It is worth of obtaining an extra unit of a scarce resource.
It is used to analyze the inter industrial relations and dependencies among the sectors in a
comprehensive economic system. The IOA can be used to determine intermediate materials,
labor, capital and import requirements with mutually consistent production level and resource
requirements. It is based on empirical investigations.
Input analysis:
It deals with the analysis of human and non-human resources that serves as inputs for the project.
The inputs such as labor, capital, HR, information and physical resources etc. are used in order to
produce finished goods or services in sectors and industries. In any investment project the inputs
are analyzed and reviewed. The key areas of inputs are:
• Human resources: to ascertain the right people at right post at right time
• Materials: procurement, quantity and specification
• Equipment: procurement, hiring, repair and maintenance, operating manual and technical
know-how
• Money: financial obligations, financial capability, cost of capital etc
• Information: PMIS, reliable, accurate, updated and sufficient information for decision
making
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2.0 Project Appraisal and Formulation
D. Environmental analysis:
It studies the impact of the project on the environment. The areas of focus for environmental
analysis are Environment Suitability and Environment Impact.
An overview of EIA
Definition:
Need to “identify and predict the impact on the environment and in human’s health and
wellbeing of legislative proposals, policies, programmes, projects and operational procedures
and to interpret and communicate information about the impact.”
Usefulness of EIA:
EIA is considered as a project management tool for collecting and analyzing information on the
environmental effects of projects to aid planning and implementation of decisions. It is used to:
Purpose of EIA
Project types:
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2.0 Project Appraisal and Formulation
The main activities of EIA process are explained in brief in their logical sequence
1. Project screening
2. Scoping
3. Project descriptions and consideration of alternatives
4. Description of environmental base line
5. Prediction of impacts
6. Evaluation of impacts
7. Mitigation measures
8. Stakeholder involvement
9. Monitoring and auditing measures
10. EIA report
11. Review
12. Decision making
EIA needs for only those projects which adversely affect the environment and possessed likely
impact.
Environment protection ACT 2053 B.S and Environmental protection rules categorize the project
according to output. Act and rule clearly defines the project types which need either EIA or IEE.
IEE is carried out to determine if significant adverse effects are likely to occur which requires
detailed study before mitigation measures can be determined
Mitigation measures
• Mitigation measures are recommended actions which reduce, avoid or offset the
potential adverse environmental consequences of development activities.
• The objective of mitigation measures is to maximize benefits and minimize
undesirable impacts.
Corrective measures:
To reduce the adverse impacts to acceptable level Example: pollution control device, fish
ladder
Compensatory measures:
To address adverse impacts which are un-avoidable. Example:restoration, compensation
Preventive measures:
To prevent from the occurrence. Example: awareness, capacity development
C:2 Page 13
Chapter- 3: Project Planning and Scheduling
Planning
Thinking ahead of an operation to be performed.
Function of deciding what has to be done, how, by whom, by when and with what i.e.
doing the job in the mind.
Managers who do not plan cannot control because they have no yardstick to judge the
progress.
PLANNING
DIRECT INDIRECT Material Activity start & finish Cost Profile Resource Aggregation Materials Methods
Equipment dates Resource Levelling Equipment Organization
Manpower Limited Resource Manpower
Materials Overheads Project start & Allocation
Equipments Profits finish dates
Manpower
Sequence of operations
Objectives
Programs
Schedules
Budget
Forecast
Organization
Policy
Procedure
Standard
3. Long-range 8. Operational
Scheduling
Scheduling is laying out of the actual jobs of the project in the time order in which they have to be
performed. Manpower and material requirements needed at each stage of construction are calculated,
along with the expected completion time of each of the jobs.
Bar Chart –
o Gantt Chart
o Linked Bar Chart
o Milestone Chart
Network Diagrams –
It is one of the most popular and widely used techniques for planning and scheduling activities because
the graphical representation of a bar chart makes it easy to read and understand.
Easy to understand
The status of the project can be assessed in a short time
Easy to develop and implement
No training is required
Appropriate for small projects
Starting point for planning
Disadvantages of a Bar Chart
Linked Bar Chart is a modified version of Gantt bar chart. It was developed to overcome some of the
inherent limitations of bar chart. It shows the links between an activity and the preceding or succeeding
activities. The linking bars are very complicated, difficult and sometimes impossible to show graphically.
Start to Finish
Finish to Start
Start to Start
Finish to Finish
The linked bar chart has advantage of exhibiting the effect of delay on succeeding activities and also it
can provide some information of the extra time available (if there is) with an activity for its completion.
The extra time available for an activity for its completion is called float. Similarly, the activities, which do
not have extra time for completion, are called critical activities.
Milestone Chart
Milestone Chart is an improved version of a bar chart in which some of the limitations of bar chart are
eliminated. As Henry Gantt invented it, it is called Gantt Milestone Chart. Combined activity bar charts
can be converted to milestone bar charts by placing small triangles or circles or a flag at strategic
locations in the bars to indicate completion of certain milestones within each activity or group of activities
as shown in figure below. A milestone implies some specific stage or point where major activity either
begins or ends, or cost data become critical.
Each bar in a milestone chart again represents an activity or job or task and all the bars taken together
represent the entire project.
A milestone chart shows relationship between the milestones within the same activity or job or task. Thus
as compared to bar chart better control can be achieved with the help of a milestone chart, but it still
possesses the same deficiency that it does not depict the interdependencies between the various tasks or
the relationship between the milestones of different tasks.
Network Diagrams
Network Diagrams
Activities
Represented by Arrow Head from Tail event to Head Event, but length of arrow doesn’t represent the
length of duration.
Dummy Activity
It is the activity, which doesn’t consume resources like time, cost, manpower, equipments etc. but is only
used to show relationships.
Events
Head Event
Tail Event
Logical sequence of Events and Activities form the CPM / PERT Networks.
Fulkerson’s Rule
For any activity, the number on the Tail Event should not be greater than that on the Head Event.
In other words, the number on Head Event must always be greater than that on Tail Event.
Critical Path
It is the longest path of activities.
A Critical Path may consist of less no. of activities than Non-critical Path.
The Critical Activities demand the requirement of resources prior to other activities to
complete the project in time.
Forward Pass
Backward Pass
Floats
Float means the available free time for an activity, which is useful for managers to manage the limited
resources.
It is the spare time allowable for an activity so that the start time of succeeding activities are not affected.
It is the maximum delay allowable for an activity so that the start time of succeeding activities are not
affected. It may come negative but should be taken as zero.
- For development works, researches, space programs etc., with no fixed time.
CPM PERT
CPM is a deterministic tool, with PERT is a probabilistic tool used with
only single three
estimate of duration. estimate of duration.
CPM is activity oriented. PERT is event oriented.
The deterministic factor is more so The probability factor is major in PERT,
values or so outcomes may not be exact.
outcomes are generally accurate PERT considers more uncertainty.
and realistic. PERT is more suitable for R&D related
CPM considers less uncertainty projects where the project is performed for
CPM is best suited for routine the first time and the estimate of duration
projects requiring accurate time and are uncertain.
cost estimates. This tool is basically a tool for planning
CPM also allows and explicit and control of time.
estimate of
costs in addition to time, therefore
CPM can
control both time and cost.
Both tools lead to the same end: a Critical Path and Critical Activities with slack time equal to zero.
Extensions of both PERT and CPM allow the user to manage other resources in addition to time and
money, to trade off resources, to analyze different types of schedules, and to balance the use of resources.
tensions of both PERT and CPM allow the user to manage other resources in addition to time and money,
to trade off resources, to analyze different types of schedules, and to balance the use of resources.
However, in practice, resources are usually limited and scarce. There are many jobs sharing common
resources and available resources are not adequate enough.
But, the beauty of the scarce resources is that they can be managed.
The completion of a construction project at maximum efficiency of time and cost requires the judicious
scheduling and allocation of available resources. Men power, equipment and materials are important
project resources that require close attention.
The supply and availability of resources is seldom be taken for granted due to seasonal shortage, labor
disputes, equipment breakdowns, competing demands, delayed deliveries and many other uncertainties.
Most project managers are faced with:
The problem of relatively fixed manpower availabilities, a certain number of machines or other
pieces of equipments, and – considering money as a resource- a limited budget.
Jobs that occur on parallel paths through the network may compete for the same resources, and
even though precedence constraints would not prevent their being scheduled simultaneously, a
limited supply of resources might force them to be scheduled sequentially.
If there will be adequate resources available, the work goes according to established schedule and
no adjustment of the job completion date is required.
If the resources demand exceed the supply, remedial measures to combat inadequate resource
supply is to be made. If there are conflicts among project activities for the same resource items,
activity duration & precedence relationships should be considered and rescheduling the non-
critical activities will often solve the problem.
In most project situations resources can be acquired or released in practically any desired amounts
if one is willing to pay expenses involved in changing resource levels, such as the costs of hiring,
training, unemployment insurance, and so on.
It is usually prudent, however, to maintain relatively stable employment levels and to utilize
resources at a more constant rate.
The scheduler may use activity slack as a means of smoothing peak resource requirements.
Resource Leveling
It is the method of scheduling activities within their available float so as to minimize fluctuations in
day- to- day resource requirements. By resource leveling, we try to optimize the use of resources
required to complete a project. Resource leveling helps in obtaining uniformity (so far as possible) in
resource requirement throughout the life of a project. The benefit of resource leveling is to ease
resource management so that cost involved in managing resources can be minimized.
Monitoring
Evaluation
Evaluation is done to improve project implementation and to improve future project planning
and decision making. It is an external activity in the project.
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
• Terminal: It is conducted after project completion. it provides lessons for future project
planning.
• Ex Post: It is conducted some years after project completion to evaluate the impact of the
project.
Controlling
Controlling is the management function of comparing the actual achievements with the planned
ones at every stage and taking necessary action, if required, to ensure the attainment of the
planned goals. It includes three step processes- measuring, evaluating and correcting.
Measuring: determining through formal and informal reports the degree to which the progress
towards objective is being made
Evaluating: determining cause and of possible ways to act upon significant deviations from
planned performance
Measuring
Correcting Evaluating
Control is an essential function of management. it ensures that the right things are done in the
right manner and at the right time. Control is measuring, evaluating and correcting actual
performance to achieve planned targets.
Control is managerial process. It is interrelated with planning. Planning provides standards for
control. Control measures actual performance and compares it with standards to identify
deviations. Deviations are analyzed to take corrective actions.
Control is a continuous process. To be effective, it should give attention to critical control points
or benchmarks where deviations adversely affect the attainment of targets.
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
Types of Control
Setting
Standards
Finding and
Analyzing
Deviations
Planning sets standards for performance. Standards are the starting point of control. They are
target or yardstick of performance. Standards should be clearly understandable. They should be
reasonable. Employees should see them fair and attainable
Standards can be in terms of quality, quality, costs, income, and time. Standard costs, standard
operating time, sales goals per salesperson, quality standards, kilometers per liter are examples of
standards.
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
The second step in control is measurement of actual performance within a given period. It is a
continuous on-going process to get feedback.
Internal reports relating to quantity, quality, costs, income, time etc., provide information about
actual performance.
3. Finding Deviations (Extent and causes of difference)
The third step in control is comparison of actual performance with standards. Performance can
be equal to, be higher, or be lower than standards.
The magnitude of deviation is identified. The causes and incidence of deviation are analyzed.
The responsibility for deviation is located.
4. Corrective Actions (Future Standards)
The performance is evaluated in terms of deviations. Corrective actions are taken. The actions
can be:
Do nothing: If the performance deviations are within the allowable tolerance, status quo is
maintained.
Correct deviations: Actions are taken to correct the deviations. They can be more training, better
raw materials, improvements in design, greater motivation, etc.
Change Standards: Standards are revised to make them appropriate and realistic.
Project control system is a process or mechanism for continuing regular monitoring and
controlling of a project. It serves two major functions.
• Ensures regular monitoring of performances
• Motivates project personnel to strive for achieving project objectives
Some important information a project control system should provide to the project
manager:
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
A successful project management system is one which monitors and responds by a control action
as early as possible after an event. Figure shows the elements of a project control system
• Planning
• PMIS
• Project Organization Structures
• Participation
• Timeliness
• Flexibility
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
• Normal Time Control: It is the estimated time for completion of an activity. Increase
beyond this time is not likely to result in cost reduction.
• Crash Time Control: It is the estimated time of completion of an activity which cannot be
reduced further irrespective of cost considerations.
Every project has an optimal time schedule which is effectively controlled to check time
overruns. Time delays result in cost overruns. Bar Chart and Network analysis are used to
control schedules.
Cost Control
Project cost estimation and budgeting serves as a foundation for cost control. Evaluation and
control of project costs are important components of project evaluation and controlling.
It involves the following:
• Establishing a project cost baseline plan
• Developing standard costing and budgetary control system for the project
• Establishing authority, responsibility and accountability for cost control at task level
• Ensure proper allocation of cost to project codes, authorization for decision making
• Measuring actual cost and comparing with standards
• Tracing out deviations
• Maintain financial discipline through internal auditing and external auditing
• Taking remedial and corrective actions
Quality Control
Quality control is checking errors during project implementation. Quality control inspectors are
used for checking quality. Statistical quality control techniques are also applied for monitoring
quality. Conformity to agree specifications are monitored. Adjustments are made for deviations.
Project outputs not meeting the standards are rejected, scrapped or reworked.
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
Schedule control
Time is on resources that we manage and control; it is non renewable. Schedules are graphical
representation of time management on a project.
Control of project progress is an on -going activity. Progress must be marked on the plan for
everyone to see; it should be reported from site and must be supplemented by the report on
expediting procurement activities so that reliable updated reports can be prepared at regular
intervals. During the process of implementing the plan according to the schedule, we may come
across one or more of the following possibilities:
If all activities are progressing according to the schedule, there is no need for the updating the
network but this is seldom the case. Therefore, based on the progress of the work and revised
durations of unfinished activities due to delays, the schedule has to be re drawn. Hence the
network diagram should be update to control the delays in schedule.
Updating
When the progress report has been received from the site, it is necessary to compare it with the
original schedule. Although the duration of each activity can be compared with its planned
duration, this does not give an accurate picture of actual performance. For a clear understanding
of what a delay on an activity means to the complete project plan, it is necessary to perform an
update. In effect this involves entering the progress information into the network plan and
analyzing the network with this added information.
The process of re-planning and rescheduling based on the results which serve as a guidance for
decision by performing calculations made by taking into consideration of new knowledge and
latest information at an intermediate stage of the project thus modifying the original network, is
known as the process of Updating
The following information is necessary to update the plan at an intermediate stage of execution
of a project:
• Original network
• Original network calculation chart
• Stage at which the updating is being done
• Execution position of the project at that stage and
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
• New information and knowledge, that affects the duration time of the activities to be
performed
Steps in updating process
Project Completed
• Cost estimating
• Cost accounting
• Project cash flow
• Company cash flow
• Direct labor costing
• Overhead cost
• Others such as incentives, penalties and profit sharing
Cost control can be achieved by appropriate decision making process and financial control
system
• The most important day to day use of cost control system to a contractor is to draw
his attention to any operation which proving to be costly
• To provide feedback to the estimator for guiding him for pricing of tender in future
• The cost control system must provide data for the valuation of those operations,
whose cost is found to differ from original estimated cost during the course of
construction.
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
In this method project is broken down in much smaller components and short term plan for
weeks or even days are prepared. Such plans are easy to evaluate and monitor. Also since the
short term plans have lesser degrees of uncertainties, there is very chance of project being
controlled effectively.
There are various types of accounting model of cost control, but all of them give historical record
only and generally not suitable for ongoing projects, some of the accounting models are as
follows
Profit/loss account is prepared after the project is completed. Profit or loss is determined and the
reason is analyzed. This information is used for next project. This system is generally used for
small projects only.
In this method, profit loss account is prepared for various periods after the project is started. This
principal is used for large projects.
Unit costing
In this method unit cost of each item is checked and compared with the planned for quoted by the
contractor) cost of item. Cost per cubic meter of earthwork, concrete etc is determined to check if
the items yield some profit.
EVA is a way to measure the amount of work actually performed on a project (i.e., to measure its
progress) and to forecast a project's cost and date of completion. The method relies on a key
measure known as earned value (also known as budgeted cost of work performed or BCWP).
This measure enables one to compute performance indices for cost and schedule, which tells how
the project is doing relative to its original plans. These indices also enable one to forecast how
the project will do in future.
Earned value actually uses three data values, which are computed each week, month or whatever
other period we wish to use. We use the term analysis date to refer to the date when three values
are analyzed. For example if we use the analysis date as October 31, it would include all values
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
form project inception until the end of October. If we plot these three data value with respect to
time, we will able to get the graph known as S-Curve.
$max
TIME VARIANCE
BCWS
ACWPt
RESOURCE FLOW VARIANCE
BCWSt COST VARIANCE
SCHEDULE VARIANCE
BCWPt
ACWP
BCWP
• Planned cost of the total amount of work scheduled to be performed by the milestone
date.
• Cost incurred to accomplish the work that has been done to date.
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
• The planned (not actual) cost to complete the work that has been done
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
What is Quality?
According to advanced learner dictionary, quality is degree of goodness. Similarly cross-by
defines as conformance to requirements. According to Juran, Quality is fitness for purpose.
• Zero defects
• Consistent conformance to expectation
• Doing things right the first time
• Quality is the totality of characteristics of an entity that bears on its ability to satisfy
stated and implied needs
• Quality is not grade (grade is an indicator of category or rank related to features that
cover different sets of needs for products or services intended for the same functional use.
Level is a general indication of the extent of departure from the ideal. A high grade
article can be of inadequate quality as far as satisfying needs and vice versa. E.g. a
luxurious hotel with poor services or small guest house with excellent service)
• Quality costs more, but lack of quality costs even more
• Quality is means of achieving project success. It is not the goal in itself
• Process quality is more than product quality
• Quality standards do not demand the best quality; they establish the minimum
requirements to be achieved
• Quality does not happen by accident, it has to be properly planned and implemented
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
Quality Management
1.Quality Control
Quality Control is the operational techniques and activities that are used to fulfill requirements
for quality. Quality Inspection is done first for quality control. Activities such as measuring,
examining, testing, gauging one or more characteristics of a product or service and comparing
these with specified requirements to determine conformity is quality inspection.
Inspection is concerned with sentencing the product as good or bad, by comparison with the
standard. On the other hand, quality control is concerned with feedback of the comparative
information in order to regulate the process. In quality control, the limits are set so that the
process can be adjusted before product from the process reaches the limit where it has to be
rejected.
2.Quality Assurance
All planned and systematic actions necessary to provide adequate confidence that a product or
service will satisfy given requirements or quality both within the organization and Quality
assurance:
• Is a systematic way of ensuring those organized activities happen in a way that they
are planned
• Is concerned with anticipating problems and with creating the attitudes and control
that prevent problems from arising.
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
3. Quality Management
Quality management includes Quality Assurance (QA) and Quality Control (QC) as well as
other concepts of quality planning, quality policy and quality improvement. Total quality
management (TQM) develops these concepts as a long – term global management strategy
and the participation of all members of the organization for the benefit of the organization
itself, its members, its customers and society as a whole.
Total quality management is a new concept of quality management and is that aspect of the
overall management function that determines and implements the quality policy. The
essential elements of TQM are:
• Quality Planning
• Quality Control
• Quality audit
• Quality surveillance
• Quality Assurance
• quality Circles
Fig: TQM
Quality System
The provision made by management to ensure that quality is protected and promoted throughout
all an organization's activities is referred to as the 'Quality System' or Quality Management
System'.
Quality Plan
A Quality Plan (QP) is a document setting out the specific quality practices, resources, and
sequences of activities relevant to a particular product, service, contract or project. It should
define:
• The quality objectives to be attained
• The specific allocation of responsibilities/authority during the different phases of the
project.
• The specific procedures, methods and work instructions to be applied.
• Suitable testing, inspection and audit programs at appropriate stages.
• A method of modification for the quality plan as the project proceeds.
• Other measures necessary to meet the objectives
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
Quality Circle
Quality circle is a small group of employees in the same work area of doing a similar type of
work who voluntarily meet regularly for about an hour every week to identify, analyze and
resolve work related problems, leading to improvement in their total performance and
enrichment of their work life.QC is a technique of participative management for continuously
improving quality, quantity, efficiency and safety.
QC is a work group of employees, who meet regularly to discuss their quality problems,
investigate causes, recommend solutions and take corrective actions.
Quality Costs
Quality cost can be divided into two parts:
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
b. Failure Cost
Cost involved in the activities which result from not confirming to right first time and includes:
• Internal Failure Cost (Scrap, Rework, Failure Analysis, Re-inspection, Scrap and
rework from suppliers etc.)
• External Failure Cost (Warranty Charge, Returned Material etc.)
• Intangible Quality Cost (Loss of goodwill of the company)
Prevention and
Failure Appraisal Cost
Cost
Quality Level
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
Advantages of PMIS
PMIS is vital for proper functioning of the project. It offers the following benefits
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
Measure
Act Record
Analyze
Report
A project's performance is measured and recorded in prescribed forms. The forms are analyzed
and combined into reports by PMIS to act for corrective actions. Data are not collected if they
are not going to be analyzed. This is essential to avoid information overload.
Elements of PMIS
The project management information system consists of inputs-transformation-outputs-feedback,
INPUTS
INPUTS PROCESSING OUTPUTS
Feedback
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4.0 Project Implementation and Controlling
• Inputs: It consists of data generated internally by various project forms on a periodic basis.
External sources can also generate data, for example functional departments can provide
data to project.
• Transformation: it consists of analysis, storage, retrieval and dissemination of data and
information.
• Outputs: it consists of regular and special reports about project performance.
• Feedback: it provides information to redesign PMIS for inputs and transformation
activities.
Computerized PMIS are most commonly used to consolidate data in projects. Decision
support system database are used to analyze data. Software is carefully selected.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
In general, risk is a function of uniqueness of a project and the experience of the project
team.Risk = f (uniqueness, experience of project team)
Project Risk
Project risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect
on a project objective. A risk has a cause and, if it occurs, an impact. For example, the cause may
be requiring a permit or having limited personnel assigned to the project. The risk event is that
the permit may take longer than planned or the personnel may not be adequate for the task.
Project risk includes both threats to the project’s objectives and opportunities to improve on
those objectives.
The notion of project risk involves two concepts:
A project will be ordinarily considered risky whenever at least one factor – either the likelihood
or the impact- is large. For example, a project will be considered risky where the potential impact
is human fatality or massive financial loss even when the likelihood of either is small.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
Broadly, there are five main categories of risk types associated with project management.
1. External Risks
External events are mainly outside the control of the project manager and, in most cases, the
organization. Examples include:
Most of these risks are very difficult to control at the project manager level but can be identified
and, therefore, managed. This means that senior management must be involved in the risk
management process and have input into risk control issues.
2. Cost Risks
Many of these types of risks are directly or indirectly under the project manager's control or
within his or her area of influence. Cost risk, typically escalation of project costs due to poor cost
estimating accuracy and scope creep.
3. Schedule Risks
Schedule risks can cause project failure by missing or delaying a market opportunity for a
product or service. Schedule risk is the risk that activities will take longer than expected.
Slippages in schedule typically increase costs and, also, delay the receipt of project benefits, with
a possible loss of competitive advantage. Such risks are caused by:
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
4. Technology Risks
Technology risks can result from a wide variety of circumstances. The result is failure to meet
systems' target functionality or performance expectations. Performance risk is the risk that the
project will fail to produce results consistent with project specifications. Typical examples are:
5. Operational Risks
Any factor with an uncertain probability of occurring that can influence the outcome of a project
is considered as risk source or risk hazard. The most difficult part of risk identification is
discovering things we don’t already know! Project risk’s source can be classified as internal risks
and external risk
Internal risks originate inside the project and project managers and stakeholders usually have a
measure of control over these. Two main categories of internal risk source are market risk and
technical risk
a. Market risk
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
Market risk is the risk of not fulfilling either market needs or the requirements of particular
customers. The sources of market risk include
b. Technical risk
Technical risk is the risk of not meeting time, cost or performance requirements due to technical
problems with the end-item or project activities. These risks are high in projects involving
activities that are unfamiliar or require new ways of integration and especially high in projects
with untried technical applications.
One approach to expressing technical risk is to rate the risk of the project end item or primary
process as being high, medium or low according to the following features:
Concurrency or Dependency In general risk increases the more that activities overlap
one another. Sequential, dependent activities with no overlap are
much less risky than those with much overlap
External risk include only risk that stem from sources outside the project. Project managers and
stakeholders usually have little or no control over these. External risk hazards include changes
in:
• Market conditions
• Competitor’s actions
• Government regulations
• Interest rates
• Decisions made by senior management / customers regarding project priorities, staffing
or budgets
• Customer needs and behavior
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
• Weather (adverse)
• Labor availability (Strikes / Walkouts)
• Material / labor resources (Shortages) etc.
Risk Management
Risk management is the systematic application of the risk management processes on a project.
The processes consist of risk management planning, identification, analysis, responding, and
monitoring & control.
The objective of risk management is to maximize the probability and impact of positive events
and minimize the probability and consequences of events adverse to project objectives.
The curved line indicates the 'acceptable level of risk', whatever that may be in the
individual case. The risk may be reduced to an acceptable level by reducing either or
both of uncertainty and constraint. In practice, few people have the opportunity to
reduce constraint, so most focus on the reduction of uncertainty. It is also worth noting
from the diagram that total elimination of risk is rarely achieved. So we have to
consider how to manage that remaining risk most effectively.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
The processes of risk management are updated throughout the project life. It involves following
steps:
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
Risk management planning is the process of deciding how to approach and perform the risk
management activities for a project.
It is the document prepared after the risk management planning meetings which shows/describes
the way, mechanism and methods of performing risk identification, risk analysis, response
planning and risk Monitoring and controlling mechanism. RMP includes:
• Methodology
• Roles and responsibilities
• Timing
• Budgeting
• Risk categories and Risk Break down structure
• Risk Probability and impact
• Revised stakeholder’s risk tolerances
• Reporting format
• Tracking
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
2. Risk Identification
The process of identifying the risk with the involvement of various participants of project is
known as risk identification. The participants can be project team, risk management team,
subject matter experts, customers, end users, outside experts etc. The various sources are
analyzed in order to identify the associated risk with the project through risk identification. Risk
management plan and risk break down structures are required for the risk identification process.
Risk management plan and risk break down structures are required for the risk identification
process. Review of documents related to project files, checklists information gathering technique
like brainstorming, Delphi technique, interviewing, SWOT analysis, assumption analysis and
diagramming techniques are used for risk identification process. Risk register is prepared after
completion of the risk identification process.
Risk register is a record to document the results of the risk management process. It contains the
following information.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
Qualitative risk analysis is the application of methods for ranking the identified risks according
to their potential effect on project objectives. This process prioritizes risks according to their
potential effect on project objectives.
Qualitative risk analysis is one way of determining the importance of addressing specific risks
and guides risk response measures. The RMP and RR is required for the qualitative risk analysis
process. The risk probability and impact assessment is carried out. The risk probability and
impact are rated and presented in matrix known as probability-impact matrix. The risk register
will be updated after completing the qualitative risk analysis. Updates of risk categories
according to the impact scale and urgency is done.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
Quantitative risk analysis analyzes numerically the effect a project risk has on a project
objective. The process generally follows qualitative analysis and utilizes techniques such as
Monte Carlo simulation and decision analysis to:
• Determine the probability of achieving a specific project objective.
• Identify risks requiring the most attention by quantifying theirrelative contribution to
project risk.
• Identify realistic and achievable cost, schedule or scope targets.
• Quantify project outcomes and their probabilities.
• Guides project management decisions under conditions of uncertainty such as
determination of size of contingency.
The RMP, updated RR, Project scope statement and project management plan (cost, schedule
plan) are required for the quantitative risk analysis. Interviewing and expert judgment is carried
out for gathering and representation of data where as various modeling technique like Monte
Carlo, simulation, sensitivity analysis, decision tree analysis are used for the quantitative risk
analysis process. The risk register is again updated after the quantitative analysis. The updated
information is added like probability of the risk, forecast of potential impact, prioritized list of
risk etc.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
Risk response planning addresses the matter of how to deal with risk. Risk response must be
proportional to the severity of the risk, cost effective, timely, realistic and accepted as well as
owned by all concerned parties of the risk management.
• Develop options and determine actions to enhance opportunities and minimize threats to
project objectives.
• Assign responsibility to individuals or parties for each risk response.
Various data and documents are required for the risk response planning like RMP, RR, Risk
thresholds, Risk owners, risk priorities list etc. risk response can be carried out by using
following two strategies.
Avoid
Transfer
For Threat
Mitigate
Accept
Risk Response Planning
Exploit
Share
For oppurtunity
Enhance
Accept
Risk avoidance is the process to avoid the risk by changing the project plan to eliminate the risk.
It can also be carried out by relaxing the relevant objectives by extending the schedule or
increasing the cost in project. All risk cannot be avoided, but some may. Examples of risk
avoidance are: add resources, improve communication, avoid unfamiliar sub-contractor, adopt
familiar approach etc.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
2. Risk Transfer
Transfer the risk to the third party who will carry the risk impact and ownership of the response.
Risk transfer is most effective in dealing with financial risk exposure. The transfer of risk
liability to sub-contractor, the use of risk insurance and payment of risk premium, performance
bonds, warranties etc. are examples of risk transfer.
3. Risk Mitigation
Risk mitigation aims at reducing the probability and/or impact of a risk to within an acceptable
threshold. The probability/Impact should be mitigated before the risk takes place. Thus avoiding
dealing with the consequences after the risk had occurred. Mitigation costs should be appropriate
given the likely impact and probability of the risk. Examples of risk mitigation are: adopting less
complex process, adding resources to the schedule, conducting more engineering tests and
inspections etc.
4. Risk Acceptance
Acceptance indicates a decision not to make any changes to the project plan to deal
with a risk or that a suitable response strategy cannot be identified. This strategy can
be used for both negative and positive risks
There are two types of acceptance:
Active acceptance: may include developing a contingency plan to execute should a risk occur.
Passive acceptance: requires no action. The project team will deal with the risk as it occurs.
Contingency Plan
A contingency plan is developed in advance to respond to risks that ariseduring the project.
Planning would reduce the cost of an action the risk occurs. Risk triggers, such as missing
intermediate milestones, should be defined and tracked. The most usual risk acceptance response
is to establish a contingency allowance, or reserve, including amounts of time, money or
resources to account for known risks. The allowance should be determined by the impacts,
computed at an acceptable level of risk exposure, for the risks that have been accepted.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
Ensure that the risk event happens by eliminating the uncertainty. to take advantage of the
opportunity. Examples: assign qualified personnel, select an appropriate project delivery, and
provide better quality.
Allocate ownership to a third party who has a better chance of achieving the required results.
Examples: joint ventures, partnerships, rewards.
3. Enhance
Increase the likelihood of occurrence or the impact of the event. Improve chances for the event to
happen so the opportunity becomes more certain. Consider how the impact can be increased and
choose a course of action that in the increased impact
Similarly project management plan will be updated and contractual agreements are set up for the
risk response.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
Risk monitoring needs a data like RMP, updated RR, change request if any from the response
and performance indicators. Risk monitoring and control is carried out by following methods:
a. Risk Reassessment
Project risk reviews at all team meetings. Major reviews at major milestones
Risk ratings and prioritization may change during the life of the project. Changes may require
additional qualitative or quantitative risk analysis.
b. Risk audits
Examine and document the effectiveness of the risk response planning in controlling risk and
the effectiveness of the risk owner.
c. Variance and Trend Analysis
Used for monitoring overall project cost & Schedule performance against a baseline plan.
Significant deviations indicate that updated risk identification and analysis should be
performed.
d. Reserve Analysis
As execution progresses, some risk events may happen with positive or negative impact on
cost or schedule contingency reserves. Reserve analysis compares available reserves with
amount of risk remaining at the time and determines whether reserves are sufficient
e. Status meetings
Risk management can be addressed regularly by including the subject in project meetings.
Risk M&C helps to update the RR, it suggest the corrective and preventive actions along with
change request. More over project management plan will be finally updated.
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5.0 Project Risk Analysis and Management
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