LCOE Analysis Lazard
LCOE Analysis Lazard
June 2025
Table of Contents
I EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3
II ENERGY GENERATION 5
IV ENERGY SYSTEM 25
V APPENDIX 31
A LCOE v18.0 32
B LCOS v10.0 41
I Executive Summary
4
Copyright 2025 Lazard
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
CONFIDENTIAL
II Energy Generation
Introduction
Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy analysis addresses the following topics:
• Comparative LCOE analysis for various generation technologies on a $/MWh basis, including sensitivities for U.S. federal tax subsidies, fuel prices, carbon
pricing and cost of capital
• Illustration of how the LCOE of onshore wind, utility-scale solar and hybrid projects compare to the marginal cost of selected conventional generation
technologies
• Illustration of the historical LCOE declines for onshore wind and utility-scale solar
− Deconstruction of the LCOE for various generation technologies by capital cost, fixed operations and maintenance (“O&M”) expense, variable O&M expense
and fuel cost
Other factors would also have a potentially significant effect on the results contained herein but have not been examined in the scope of this current analysis.
These additional factors, among others, may include: recent tariff-related cost impacts; implementation and interpretation of the full scope of the IRA; economic
policy, transmission queue reform, network upgrades and other transmission matters, congestion, curtailment or other integration-related costs; permitting or
other development costs, unless otherwise noted; and costs of complying with various environmental regulations (e.g., carbon emissions offsets or emissions
control systems). This analysis is intended to represent a snapshot in time and utilizes a wide, but not exhaustive, sample set of Industry data. As such, we
recognize and acknowledge the likelihood of results outside of our ranges. Therefore, this analysis is not a forecasting tool and should not be used as such given
the complexities of our evolving Industry, grid and resource needs. Except as illustratively sensitized herein, this analysis does not consider the intermittent nature
of selected renewables energy technologies or the related grid impacts of incremental renewable energy deployment. This analysis also does not address
potential social and environmental externalities including, for example, the social costs and rate consequences for those who cannot afford distributed
generation solutions as well as the long-term residual and societal consequences of various conventional generation technologies that are difficult to measure
(e.g., airborne pollutants, greenhouse gases, etc.).
7
Copyright 2025 Lazard
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
Energy Generation Energy Storage Energy System
$0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 $150 $175 $200 $225 $250 $275
Levelized Cost of Energy ($/MWh)
Source: Lazard estimates and publicly available information.
Note: Here and throughout this analysis, unless otherwise indicated, the analysis assumes 60% debt at an 8% interest rate and 40% equity at a 12% cost. See page titled “Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison—Sensitivity to Cost of Capital” for
cost of capital sensitivities.
1 Reflects the LCOE for a system composed of standalone generation plus standalone storage less the combined system-level synergies (assumed to be 10% of storage capital costs and 25% of inverter costs). The synergies capture
potential cost reductions or efficiency gains from integrating generation and storage, such as shared interconnection infrastructure, improved energy dispatch, enhanced capacity utilization and operational efficiencies.
2 Given the limited public and/or observable data available for new-build geothermal, coal and nuclear projects, the LCOE presented herein reflects Lazard’s LCOE v14.0 results adjusted for inflation and, for nuclear, are based on then-
estimated costs of the Vogtle Plant. Coal LCOE does not include cost of transportation and storage.
3 The fuel cost assumptions for Lazard’s LCOE analysis of gas-fired generation, coal-fired generation and nuclear generation resources are $3.45/MMBTU, $1.47/MMBTU and $0.85/MMBTU, respectively, for year-over-year comparison
purposes. See page titled “Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison—Sensitivity to Fuel Prices” for fuel price sensitivities.
4 Represents the illustrative midpoint LCOE for Dominion’s Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (“CVOW”) project, based on the publicly disclosed capital cost of ~$8.7 billion (excluding onshore transmission costs) and offshore wind estimates
from Lazard. Dominion’s projected LCOE for CVOW as of February 2025 is $91/MWh in 2027 dollars, with an expected COD in 4Q 2026.
5 Reflects the average of the high and low LCOE marginal cost of operating fully depreciated gas peaking, gas combined cycle, coal and nuclear facilities, inclusive of decommissioning costs for nuclear facilities. Analysis assumes that the
salvage value for a decommissioned gas or coal asset is equivalent to its decommissioning and site restoration costs. Inputs are derived from a benchmark of operating gas, coal and nuclear assets across the U.S. Capacity factors, fuel,
variable and fixed operating expenses are based on upper- and lower-quartile estimates derived from Lazard’s research. See page titled “Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison—New Build Renewable Generation vs. Marginal Cost of
Conventional Generation” for additional details.
6 Represents illustrative LCOE values for Vogtle nuclear plant’s units 3 and 4. The analysis is based on publicly available estimates and suggestions from selected industry experts, indicating a cost “learning curve” of ~30% between Vogtle
units 3 and 4. Analysis assumes total operating capacity of ~2.2 GW, total capital cost of ~$32.3 billion, capacity factor of ~97%, operating life of 70 years and other operating parameters estimated by Lazard’s LCOE v14.0 results, adjusted
for inflation. 8
Copyright 2025 Lazard 7 Illustrative high case reflects elevated capital costs ($2,400/kW – $2,600/kW) based on recently observed market quotes for CCGT projects in early stages of development (post-2028 COD).
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
Energy Generation Energy Storage Energy System
$0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 $150 $175 $200 $225 $250 $275 $300
Levelized Cost of Energy ($/MWh)
Renewable
Geothermal $66 $109
Generation
$0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 $150 $175 $200 $225 $250 $275
Levelized Cost of Energy ($/MWh)
$0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 $150 $175 $200 $225 $250 $275 $300
175 $167
$180 Wind—Offshore
$153
$154 $153
150
$131 $137 Geothermal
1
Solar PV—Utility (PTC) $20 $45
1
Wind—Onshore (PTC) $15 $75
1
Wind + Storage—Onshore (ITC) $21 $103
320
Since v3.0 Since v17.0
$275 Gas Peaking Gas Peaking
(27%) 18%
260 $248
U.S. Nuclear2 U.S. Nuclear2
$243 $227 47% (1%)
$216
$205 $205 Coal Coal
$200 10% 3%
200 $192 $191
$183 $179 $180 $182
$175 $175 $173 Geothermal Geothermal
$180 16% 3%
$157 $155 $169
$148 $151 $163 $167 $168
Gas Combined Gas Combined
140 $135
$124 $125 Cycle Cycle
$118 $122
$123 $116 $116 $117 $117 $112 $117 (5%) 3%
$111 $111 $116 $109 $108
$102 $105 $112 $108 $102 $102 $102
$111 $107 $104 $104 $109 Wind— Wind—
$83 $96 $95 $96 $98 $100 $98 $80 $82 $85 $88 Onshore Onshore
$83 $79 $97 $91 $91 $75
80 $75 $74 (55%) 23%
$82 $65 $63 $70 $78
$76 $74 $60 $58 $59 $60 $76
$71 $72 $70 $64 $56 $60 $61 Solar PV— Solar PV—
$55 $50 $61
$59 $55 $43 $41 $40 $58 Utility Utility
$47 $38 $50 $50
$45 $42 (84%) (4%)
$40 $37 $36
20 //
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025
LCOE
3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 17.0 18.0
Version
Wind—Onshore 2009 – 2025 Percentage Decrease/CAGR: (56%)1/(5%)2 Solar PV—Utility 2009 – 2025 Percentage Decrease/CAGR: (84%)1/(11%)2
LCOE LCOE
($/MWh) ($/MWh)
Wind—Onshore 2020 – 2025 Increase/CAGR: 49%1/8%2 Solar PV—Utility 2020 – 2025 Percentage Increase/CAGR: 54%1/9%2
$250 $450
$394
375
200
$169
300 $323 $270
$148
150
225
$226
$166
100 $92 $95 $95 $86 $149
$101 $99 $81 $77 $75 $73 150
$62 $60 $148 $104
$56 $54 $96 $92
$54 $50 $86 $78
50 $70
$61 $53
$50 $48 75 $101
$91 $46 $44 $42 $41
$45
$37 $37 $72
$32 $32
$30 $29 $28 $26 $26 $24 $27 $58
$49 $46
$40 $36 $31 $30 $24 $29 $38
0 // 0 //
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025
LCOE LCOE
3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 17.0 18.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 17.0 18.0
Version Version
Wind—Onshore LCOE Range Wind—Onshore LCOE Average Solar PV—Utility LCOE Range Solar PV—Utility LCOE Average
Introduction
Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Storage analysis addresses the following topics:
• LCOS Analysis:
− Comparative LCOS analysis for various energy storage systems on a $/MWh basis
− Comparative LCOS analysis for various energy storage systems on a $/kW-year basis
Other factors would also have a potentially significant effect on the results contained herein but have not been examined in the scope of this current analysis.
These additional factors, among others, may include: recent tariff-related cost impacts; implementation and interpretation of the full scope of the IRA;
economic policy, transmission queue reform, network upgrades and other transmission matters; congestion, curtailment or other integration-related costs;
permitting or other development costs, unless otherwise noted; and costs of complying with various regulations (e.g., federal import tariffs or labor
requirements). This analysis also does not address potential social and environmental externalities as well as the long-term residual and societal
consequences of various energy storage system technologies that are difficult to measure (e.g., resource extraction, end-of-life disposal, lithium-ion-related
safety hazards, etc.). This analysis is intended to represent a snapshot in time and utilizes a wide, but not exhaustive, sample set of Industry data. As such, we
recognize and acknowledge the likelihood of results outside of our ranges. Therefore, this analysis is not a forecasting tool and should not be used as such given
the complexities of our evolving Industry, grid and resource needs.
18
Copyright 2025 Lazard
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
Energy Generation Energy Storage Energy System
Utility-Scale Standalone
$129 $277
(100 MW, 2-Hour)
Utility-Scale Standalone
$95 $209
(100 MW, 2-Hour) (ITC)
In-Front-of-the-
Meter Storage
Utility-Scale Standalone
$115 $254
(100 MW, 4-Hour)
Utility-Scale Standalone
$83 $192
(100 MW, 4-Hour) (ITC)
C&I Standalone
$319 $506
(1 MW, 2-Hour)
C&I Standalone
$249 $396
(1 MW, 2-Hour) (ITC)
Behind-the-Meter
Storage
Residential Standalone
$547 $860
(0.006 MW, 4-Hour)
Residential Standalone
$385 $632
(0.006 MW, 4-Hour) (ITC)
Utility-Scale Standalone
$81 $174
(100 MW, 2-Hour)
Utility-Scale Standalone
$60 $132
(100 MW, 2-Hour) (ITC)
In-Front-of-the-
Meter Storage
Utility-Scale Standalone
$145 $319
(100 MW, 4-Hour)
Utility-Scale Standalone
$105 $241
(100 MW, 4-Hour) (ITC)
C&I Standalone
$201 $319
(1 MW, 2-Hour)
C&I Standalone
$157 $250
(1 MW, 2-Hour) (ITC)
Behind-the-Meter
Storage
Residential Standalone
$719 $1,129
(0.006 MW, 4-Hour)
Residential Standalone
$505 $830
(0.006 MW, 4-Hour) (ITC)
$400 $800
700
$643
$296
$590
300 600
$257 $254 $518
$245 $506
$232 500
$448
100
0 // 0 //
2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025
LCOS LCOS
6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0
Version Version
Utility-Scale Standalone Utility-Scale Standalone C&I Standalone C&I Standalone
(100 MW, 4-Hour) (100 MW, 4-Hour) (1 MW, 2-Hour) (1 MW, 2-Hour)
LCOS Range LCOS Average LCOS Range LCOS Average
Source: Lazard estimates and publicly available information.
Note: The methodology for the Levelized Cost of Storage has evolved between v1.0 and v10.0 given technological advances and data availability. Page presents the most comparable Utility-Scale and C&I Standalone storage technologies
1
included in the Levelized Cost of Storage report for that year.
Reflects the average percentage increase/(decrease) of the high end and low end of the LCOS range. 21
Copyright 2025 Lazard 2 Reflects the average compounded annual growth rate of the high end and low end of the LCOS range.
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
Energy Generation Energy Storage Energy System
Storage Value Snapshot Case Studies—Revenue Potential for Selected Use Cases
The numerous potential sources of revenue available to energy storage systems reflect the benefits provided to customers and the grid
• The scope of revenue sources is limited to those captured by existing or soon-to-be commissioned projects—revenue sources that are not clearly identifiable
or without publicly available data have not been analyzed
Use Cases1
Commercial & Commercial &
Utility-Scale Utility-Scale Utility-Scale
Industrial Industrial
Description Standalone PV + Storage Wind + Storage
Standalone PV + Storage
Demand
• Manages high wholesale price or emergency conditions on the grid by
Response—
Wholesale
calling on users to reduce or shift electricity demand
Energy • Storage of inexpensive electricity to sell later at higher prices (only
Arbitrage evaluated in the context of a wholesale market)
Wholesale
Utility-Scale CAISO1
1 Large-scale energy storage system 100 – 4
Standalone (SP-15)
• Energy Arbitrage
• Spinning/Non-Spinning Reserves
3 Utility-Scale ERCOT2 Energy storage system designed to be paired
50 100 4
Wind + Storage (South Texas) with large wind generation facilities
• Incentives
350 350
300 300
250 250
200 200
150 150
100 100
50 50
0 0
Utility-Scale Utility-Scale Utility-Scale C&I C&I
Standalone PV + Storage Wind + Storage Standalone PV + Storage
(CAISO) (ERCOT) (ERCOT) (PG&E) (PG&E)
Energy Arbitrage 1 Frequency Regulation Spinning/Non-Spinning Reserves Capacity/Resource Adequacy Demand Response—Utility Bill Management Local Incentive Payments
IV Energy System
Solar: 7% • Increasing levels of solar penetration in CAISO have shifted peak demand later in the day, reducing the
4-Hour Lithium- ELCC value for solar
CAISO PV + Storage3: 41% $18.92 • CAISO significantly reduced ELCC values for 4-hour battery storage systems, driven by significant growth
Ion Battery
Wind: 12% in 4-hour storage capacity
• SPP published seasonal accreditation values based on 2024, assigning separate values to resources for
Natural Gas Solar: 51% summer and winter seasons
SPP $8.38 • Summer wind and solar contributions are 15.2% and 25.5%, respectively, whereas winter values shift to
Peaker Wind: 20%
39.1% for wind and 62.2% for solar
Solar: 12% • PJM adopted a new, marginal ELCC methodology to begin in the 2025/2026 delivery year that reduces the
Natural Gas
PJM PV + Storage3: 33% $10.29 reliability value of highly correlated resources, such as solar and short-duration storage4
Peaker • The update is expected to better capture expected resource performance during system peak
Wind: 38%
• ERCOT maintains notably high ELCC values despite having the highest renewable penetration by
Natural Gas Solar: 38%
ERCOT $9.92 capacity of the U.S. regulatory markets
Peaker Wind: 25% • ERCOT updates its capacity scheme every three years; the most recent publication was December 2022
Source: Publicly available information.
1 Net “CONE” is defined as capital and operating costs less expected market revenues for a new, firm resource (e.g., gas peaker or battery storage). Net CONE is established by the respective balancing authority.
2 ELCC values are calculated by the respective balancing authority. ELCC is an indicator of the incremental reliability contribution of a given resource to the electricity grid based on its contribution to meeting peak electricity demand. For
example, a 1 MW wind resource with a 15% ELCC provides 0.15 MW of capacity contribution and would need to be supplemented by 0.85 MW of additional firm capacity to represent the addition of 1 MW of firm system capacity. Where
seasonal accreditation values exist, values have been annualized.
3 For PV + Storage cases, the effective ELCC value is represented. CAISO and PJM assess ELCC values separately for the PV and storage components of a system. Storage ELCC value is provided only for the capacity that can be charged
directly by the accompanying resource up to the energy required for a 4-hour discharge during peak load. Any capacity available in excess of the 4-hour maximum discharge is attributed to the system at the solar ELCC. ELCC values for
28
Copyright 2025 Lazard
storage range from 55% to 75% for PJM and CAISO, respectively.
4 This year’s analysis does not reflect this future methodology. This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
Energy Generation Energy Storage Energy System
• The firm capacity value of a new resource is calculated as Nameplate Capacity × ELCC %, where:
− Nameplate Capacity of a resource refers to its maximum potential energy output, and
− ELCC measures the performance of a resource at times of greatest “capacity need” for the system, where capacity need is a function of
electricity demand patterns and the generation mix in each region
• Over time, increased renewable penetration or changes in demand patterns can shift the timing of the capacity need, impacting ELCC
• The remaining non-firm capacity (Nameplate Capacity × (1 – (ELCC %))) is “firmed” at the Net CONE, a $/kW-month figure which is intended to
reflect capital and operating costs less expected market revenues for a new, firm resource (e.g., gas peaker or battery storage)
− Net CONE is assessed and published by grid operators for each regional market
In the following analysis, the Levelized Firming Cost is defined as the additional capacity payment, priced at Net CONE, required to bring
the ELCC of the combined system (intermittent and firming resource) to 100%. The LCOE plus Levelized Firming Cost varies between
ISOs, due to (1) the standalone LCOE in the region based on regional capacity factor for wind or solar, (2) the ELCC value of the standalone
renewable resource and (3) the region’s Net CONE
Nameplate Capacity (kW) × (1 – ELCC (%)) × Net CONE ($/kW-month) × 12 Months Levelized Firming Cost
Nameplate Capacity (MW) × Regional Capacity Factor (%) × 8,760 Hours ($/MWh)
29
Copyright 2025 Lazard
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
Energy Generation Energy Storage Energy System
225
200
175 $164
$142 $142 $144
150 $137
$127 $128 $131 $51
$116 $122 $118 Gas Combined Cycle LCOE
125 $109 $111 v18.0 ($48 – $109/MWh)
$103 $51
$66 $96 $99 $97
100 $73
$48 $42 $86 $91
$50 $84 $86 $66 $73 $42 $80
$71 $86 $44 $72 $24
75 $50 $44 $48 $42
$23
$14
$57 $42 $24
$23 $114
50 $14 $93
$77 $69 $74 $77 $70 $67
$66 $61 $63 $59 $65 $58
25 $53 $49 $51 $52 $51 $55 $55
$41 $43 $44
0
Solar Wind Solar PV + Storage Wind Solar Wind Solar PV + Storage Wind Solar Wind
ELCC3 39% 26% 7% 41%4 12% 51% 20% 38% 33%4 38% 38% 25%
Capacity Factor 20% 37% 27% 27% 33% 21% 40% 18% 18% 30% 24% 34%
Resource Penetration 13% 26% 43% 43% 17% 2% 61% 2% 2% 5% 34% 46%
MISO CAISO SPP PJM ERCOT
2 4,5 1
Unsubsidized Regional LCOE Subsidized Regional LCOE (excl. Energy Community) Levelized Firming Cost
Source: Lazard estimates and publicly available information.
Note: Total, including firming cost, does not represent the cost of building a 24/7 firm resource on a single project site but, instead, the LCOE of a renewable resource and the additional capacity costs required to achieve the resource adequacy
requirement in the relevant reliability region based on the net cost of new entry (“Net CONE”). ISO ELCC data as of April 2025 and representative of annualized ELCC values.
1 Firming costs reflect the cost of additional capacity required to supplement the net capacity of the renewable resource (nameplate capacity * (1 – ELCC)) and the Net CONE of a new firm resource (capital and operating costs, less expected market
revenues). Net CONE is assessed and published by grid operators for each regional market. Grid operators use a natural gas peaker as the assumed new resource in MISO ($10.03/kW-mo), SPP ($8.38/kW-mo), PJM ($10.29/kW-mo) and ERCOT
($9.92/kW-mo). In CAISO, the assumed new resource is a 4-hour lithium-ion battery storage system ($18.92/kW-mo). For the PV + Storage cases in CAISO and PJM, assumed storage configuration is 50% of PV capacity and 4-hour duration.
2 Reflects the average of the high and low of Lazard’s LCOE v18.0 for each technology using the regional capacity factor, as indicated, to demonstrate the regional differences in project costs.
3 ELCC is an indicator of the incremental reliability contribution of a given resource to the electricity grid based on its contribution to meeting peak electricity demand. For example, a 1 MW wind resource with a 15% ELCC provides 0.15 MW of
capacity contribution and would need to be supplemented by 0.85 MW of additional firm capacity in order to represent the addition of 1 MW of firm system capacity.
4 For PV + Storage cases, the effective ELCC value is represented. CAISO and PJM assess ELCC values separately for the PV and storage components of a system. Storage ELCC value is provided only for the capacity that can be charged directly by
the accompanying resource up to the energy required for a 4-hour discharge during peak load. Any capacity available in excess of the 4-hour maximum discharge is attributed to the system at the solar ELCC. ELCC values for storage range from 55%
to 75% for PJM and CAISO, respectively.
30
Copyright 2025 Lazard 5 This sensitivity analysis assumes that projects qualify for the full ITC, have a capital structure that includes sponsor equity, debt and tax equity and assumes the equity owner has taxable income to monetize the tax credits.
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
CONFIDENTIAL
V Appendix
A LCOE v18.0
4
After-Tax Net Equity Cash Flow (Q) = (I) + (M) + (P) ($228.0) $53.7 $81.0 $51.5 $33.7 $33.5 ($6.2)
IRR For Equity Investors 12%
Source: Lazard estimates and publicly available information.
Note: Numbers presented for illustrative purposes only. Technology-Dependent
* Denotes unit conversion.
1 Assumes half-year convention for discounting purposes.
2 Reflects initial debt financing to fund capex. Consistent Across
3 Assumes full monetization of tax benefits or losses immediately. Versions/Technologies
4
5
Reflects initial cash outflow from equity investors to fund capex.
Reflects a “key” subset of all assumptions for methodology illustration purposes only. Does not reflect all assumptions. 33
Copyright 2025 Lazard 6 Economic life sets debt amortization schedule.
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
A LCOE V18.0
34
Copyright 2025 Lazard Source: Lazard estimates and publicly available information.
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
A LCOE V18.0
Total Capital Cost $/kW $5,000 – $6,460 $1,900 – $2,300 $3,450 – $6,550
Levelized Cost of Energy $/MWh $66 – $109 $37 – $86 $70 – $157
35
Copyright 2025 Lazard Source: Lazard estimates and publicly available information.
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
A LCOE V18.0
Storage
Power Rating MW 50 50
Duration Hours 4 4
Total Capital Cost (excl. Inverter) $/kWh $122 – $313 $122 – $313
Generation
Total Capital Cost $/kW $1,150 – $1,450 $9,020 – $14,820 $3,405 – $7,210 $1,200 – $1,600
Fixed O&M $/kW-yr $10.00 – $17.00 $136.00 – $158.00 $40.85 – $94.35 $10.00 – $25.50
Variable O&M $/MWh $3.50 – $5.00 $4.40 – $5.15 $3.10 – $5.70 $2.75 – $5.00
Heat Rate Btu/kWh 10,275 – 11,175 10,450 8,750 – 12,000 6,475 – 6,550
Capacity Factor % 15% – 10% 92% – 89% 85% – 65% 90% – 30%
Levelized Cost of Energy $/MWh $149 – $251 $141 – $220 $71 – $173 $48 – $109
37
Copyright 2025 Lazard Source: Lazard estimates and publicly available information.
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
A LCOE V18.0
Fixed O&M $/kW-yr $4.00 – $6.10 $89.00 – $121.60 $21.70 – $33.80 $8.90 – $13.60
Variable O&M $/MWh $2.70 – $9.30 $2.70 – $3.90 $3.20 – $7.20 $0.80 – $1.80
Heat Rate Btu/kWh 10,900 – 12,550 10,400 – 10,400 10,250 – 11,800 6,950 – 7,475
Fuel Price $/MMBtu $2.50 – $2.90 $0.80 – $0.80 $1.70 – $2.40 $2.50 – $2.90
Levelized Cost of Energy $/MWh $47 – $170 $30 – $38 $31 – $114 $24 – $39
38
Copyright 2025 Lazard Source: Lazard estimates and publicly available information.
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
A LCOE V18.0
Renewable
Geothermal $55 $2 $9 $66
Energy
Renewable
Geothermal $82 $2 $25 $109
Energy
$0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 $150 $175 $200 $225 $250 $275
Levelized Cost of Energy ($/MWh)
Capital Cost Fixed O&M Variable O&M Fuel Cost
B LCOS v10.0
Units (100 MW/200 MWh) (100 MW/400 MWh) (1 MW/2 MWh) (0.006 MW/0.025 MWh)
Initial Capital Cost—DC $/kWh $113 – $244 $107 – $232 $238 – $445 $721 – $1,338
Initial Capital Cost—AC $/kW $26 – $70 $25 – $67 $40 – $80 $0 – $0
EPC Costs $/kWh $29 – $122 $28 – $116 $56 – $168 $0 – $0
Solar/Wind Capital Cost $/kW $0 – $0 $0 – $0 $0 – $0 $0 – $0
Total Initial Installed Cost M$ $31 – $80 $56 – $146 $1 – $1 $0 – $0
Storage O&M $/kWh $3.0 – $8.2 $3.0 – $8.0 $7.3 – $9.1 $0.0 – $0.0
Extended Warranty Start Year 3 3 3 3
Warranty Expense % of Capital Costs % 0.65% – 1.50% 0.66% – 1.85% 0.50% – 1.30% 0.00% – 0.00%
Investment Tax Credit (Solar) % 0% 0% 0% 0%
Investment Tax Credit (Storage) % 30.00% – 40.00% 30.00% – 40.00% 30.00% – 40.00% 30.00% – 40.00%
Production Tax Credit $/MWh $0 $0 $0 $0
Charging Cost $/MWh $33 $27 $111 $152
Charging Cost Escalator % 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97%
Efficiency of Storage Technology % 91% – 87% 92% – 86% 92% – 88% 91% – 88%
Unsubsidized LCOS $/MWh $129 – $277 $115 – $254 $319 – $506 $547 – $860
Utility-Scale Standalone
$62 $20 $47 $129
(100 MW, 2-Hour)
In-Front-of-the-Meter
Storage
Behind-the-Meter
Storage
Utility-Scale Standalone
$174 $49 $53 $277
(100 MW, 2-Hour)
In-Front-of-the-Meter
Storage
Behind-the-Meter
Storage
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000
dispatch signal
• Variations in system discharge duration are designed to meet varying system • Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP)
Storage
Utility-Scale
needs (i.e., short-duration frequency regulation, longer-duration energy arbitrage1 • Lithium Nickel Manganese
Standalone or capacity, etc.) Cobalt Oxide (NMC)
− To better reflect current market trends, this analysis analyzes 2- and 4-hour
durations2
• Energy storage system designed for behind-the-meter peak shaving and demand
Commercial & charge reduction for C&I users • Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP)
Behind-the-Meter Storage
Industrial − Units are often configured to support multiple commercial energy management • Lithium Nickel Manganese
Standalone strategies and provide optionality for the system to provide grid services to a Cobalt Oxide (NMC)
utility or the wholesale market, as appropriate, in a given region
2
case.
The Value Snapshot Case Studies only evaluate the 4-hour utility-scale use case.
46
Copyright 2025 Lazard
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.
B LCOS V10.0
A B C = D E F = G = H
Utility-Scale
Standalone
Commercial &
Industrial 20 1 – 2.6% 2 2 1 350 630 12,600
Standalone
Residential
Standalone 20 0.006 – 1.9% 4 0.025 1 350 8 158
Lazard’s LCOE+ will continue to evolve over time, and we appreciate that there can, and will be, varied views regarding the specifics of our analyses. Accordingly, we would be
happy to discuss any of our underlying assumptions and analyses in further detail—and, to be clear, we welcome these discussions as we try to improve our studies over time. In
that regard, the studies remain our attempt to contribute in a differentiated and impactful manner to the Industry.
More generally, Lazard remains committed to our Power, Energy & Infrastructure Group clients, who remain our highest priority. In that regard, we believe that we have the greatest
allocation of resources and effort devoted to this sector of any investment bank. Further, we have an ongoing and intense focus on strategic issues that require long-term
commitment and planning. Accordingly, Lazard strives to maintain its preeminent position as a thought leader and leading advisor to clients on their most important matters,
especially in this Industry.
If you have any questions regarding this memorandum or Lazard’s LCOE+, please feel free to contact any member of the Lazard Power, Energy & Infrastructure Group, including
those listed below.
George Bilicic
Vice Chairman of Investment Banking, Global Head of Power, Energy & Infrastructure
Tel: +1 212 632-1560
george.bilicic@lazard.com
Frank Daily Pablo Hernandez Gregory Hort Mark Lund Chris Miller Samuel Scroggins
Managing Director Schmidt-Tophoff Managing Director Managing Director Managing Director Managing Director
Tel: +1 713 236-4647 Managing Director Tel: +1 212 632-6022 Tel: +1 713 236-4639 Tel: +1 713 236-4675 Tel: +1 212 632-6758
frank.daily@lazard.com Tel: +1 713 236-4618 gregory.hort@lazard.com mark.lund@lazard.com chris.miller@lazard.com samuel.scroggins@lazard.com
pablo.hernandez@lazard.com
Kevin Chi Daniel Katz Gerard Pechal Gennadiy Ryskin Zac Scotton Sarah Steiner
Director Director Director Director Director Director
Tel: +1 212 632-8240 Tel: +1 212 632-1966 Tel: +1 713 236-4673 Tel: +1 713 236-4624 Tel: +1 713 236-4652 Tel: +1 212 632-1873
kevin.chi@lazard.com daniel.katz@lazard.com gerard.pechal@lazard.com gennadiy.ryskin@lazard.com zac.scotton@lazard.com sarah.steiner@lazard.com
Li Wynn Tan Lauren Davis Brody Adams Zain Baquer Clare Everts Sebastian Laso Errazuriz
Director Vice President Associate Associate Associate Associate
Tel: +1 212 632-1313 Tel: +1 332 204-5527 Tel: +1 917 994-3218 Tel: +1 917 994-3302 Tel: +1 917 994-3240 Tel: +1 917 994-3210
li.tan@lazard.com lauren.davis@lazard.com brody.adams@lazard.com zain.baquer@lazard.com clare.everts@lazard.com sebastian.laso@lazard.com
Isabelle Carpenter Quinn Lewis George Rao Bill Sembo
Analyst Analyst Analyst Senior Advisor
Tel: +1 917 994-3154 Tel: +1 332 204-5512 Tel: +1 713 236-4659 Tel: +1 713 236-4653
isabelle.carpenter@lazard.com quinn.lewis@lazard.com george.rao@lazard.com bill.sembo@lazard.com
48
Copyright 2025 Lazard
This analysis has been prepared by Lazard for general informational and illustrative purposes only, and it is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial or
other advice. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of Lazard.