Apollo Hospitals
Apollo Hospitals
Valuation 2(historical
(historical
PEPE
/ PB,
/ PB,
current
fwd EPS
EPS)
@ historical growth)
th
ow
0 Gr Valuation (historical PE /
Business Summary
PB, fwd EPS @ SS growth)
7,255
0
Shareholder Funds Rest Aug-13 Dec-14 May-16 Sep-17 Feb-19 Jun-20 Oct-21 Mar-23 Jul-24 Dec-25 Tangible assets (Non-current) Investments (Current) Inventories (Current) Receivables (Current) Cash (Current) Rest
1.50 10%
200.00
1.00
5%
0.50 100.00
0.00 0%
-
CY-4 CY-3 CY-2 CY-1 CY
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
Qualatative parameters
10
11
4
1
5
6
5
Criteria Goal Actual
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
The increase in
Creation of value for MCap in last 10
shareholders from the profits yrs. > Retained
retained profits in last 10
yrs.
MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS
Background check of
Web Search
promoters & directors
Good succession
Management succession plans plan should be in
place
No salary increase
Salary of promoters vs. net
with declining
profits
profits/losses
Green/brownfield
Project execution skills
project execution
Promoter shareholding > 51% 65%
FII shareholding ~ 0% 18%
OTHER BUSINESS PARAMETERS
No govt.
Govt. influence interference in
profit making
Labor Problems
Pricing Power
Margin of Safety
The ratio is mainly used to give an idea of the company's ability to pay back its
Positive CFO is necessary. It’s great if CFO meets the outflow for CFI and CFF
short-term liabilities (debt and payables) with its short-term assets (cash,
inventory, receivables). BUSINESS
The higher&theINDUSTRY ANALYSIS
current ratio, the more capable the
company
The Company must show sales growth higher than1peers.
is of paying its obligations. A ratio under suggests
If itsthat thegrowth
sales company
is
similar to peers, then there is no Moat
Company must have shown increased market penetration by selling higher
volumes of its product/service
MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS
There should not be any information questioning the integrity of promoters &
directors
Salary being paid to potential successors should be in line with their
experience
The company should have shown good project execution skills with cost and
time overruns.Exclude capacity increase by mergers & acquisitions.
Higher the better
the lower the better
OTHER BUSINESS PARAMETERS
The company should be either a pure play (only one business segment) or
related products. Pure play model ensures that the management is specialized
in what they are doing. Entirely different unrelated products/services are a
strict NO. An investor should rather buy stocks of different companies if she
wants such diversification.
That's what is called "pricing power". Companies with moat (as seen from
other screening metrics as suggested above (like high ROE, high grow margins,
low debt etc.) are able to adjust prices to inflation without the risk of losing
significant volume sales.
Margin of Safety
Companies that consistently need capital to grow their sales and profits are like
bank savings account, and thus bad for an investor's long term portfolio. Seek
companies that don't need high capital investments consistently. Retained
earnings must first go toward maintaining current operations at competitive
levels, so the lower the amount needed to maintain current operations, the
better. Here, more than just an absolute assessment, a comparison against
competitors will help a lot. Seek companies that consistently generate positive
and rising free cash flows.
Review Weight Score
50% 43.5
10% 7
9% 9
5% 9
4% 3
4% 1
6% 6
4% 4
3% 3
3% 0
1% 0.50
1% 1.00
13% 0
5% 0
2% 0
2% 0
4% 0
23% 3
8% 0
2% 0
4% 0
2% 0
4% 3
3% 0
10% 0
3% 0
2% 0
2% 0
3% 0
4% 0
4% 0
Gross Profit Net Profit Inventory/ Receivables/
OTHERS PE PB Margin Margin Sales Sales
Promoter Pledged
Salary/PAT Holding Promoter FII DII
Holding
20% 21% 9%
Scenario Estimates
Revenue 19,059 20,965 23,062 25,368 27,905 30,695 Revenue drivers
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Net Profit 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0%
RM Cost 51% Cost drivers
Employee Cost 13%
SG&A 9%
Depreciation 4%
EPS 146 160 176 194 213 235 10% 10%
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Company APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE LTD
Sector
Business Summary
Current Price 6052
Promoter shareholding 4%
FII shareholding 3%
Product diversification 3%
Govt. influence 2%
Labor Problems 2%
Pricing Power 3%
There should not be any information questioning the integrity of promoters &
directors
Salary being paid to potential successors should be in line with their experience
promoter should not have a history of seeking increase in remuneration when the
profits of the company declined in past
The company should have shown good project execution skills with cost and time
overruns.Exclude capacity increase by mergers & acquisitions.
Higher the better
The company should be either a pure play (only one business segment) or related
products. Pure play model ensures that the management is specialized in what
they are doing. Entirely different unrelated products/services are a strict NO. An
investor should rather buy stocks of different companies if she wants such
diversification.
No cap on profit returns or pricing of the product.No compulsion to supply to
certain clients.
That's what is called "pricing power". Companies with moat (as seen from other
screening metrics as suggested above (like high ROE, high grow margins, low debt
etc.) are able to adjust prices to inflation without the risk of losing significant
volume sales.
Companies that consistently need capital to grow their sales and profits are like
bank savings account, and thus bad for an investor's long term portfolio. Seek
companies that don't need high capital investments consistently. Retained
earnings must first go toward maintaining current operations at competitive
levels, so the lower the amount needed to maintain current operations, the better.
Here, more than just an absolute assessment, a comparison against competitors
will help a lot. Seek companies that consistently generate positive and rising free
cash flows.
Assessment Comments
List of mistakes made in the market made over and over again -
Do not be taken in by the new highs. Once the past peak of the index has been crossed, every new level is a new high & there
These are journeys of an index which will go up as the market prices of stocks go up. They are not urgent reminders that tell y
Do not treat them like immediate calls for actions. Do not check the index everyday, and do not make generalizations based o
Explanations about why the market is up or down is equally useless. Discount them. How you will do is a function of what you
Stay focussed on that micro reality, not on the macro nartatives floating around.
Do not sacrifice quality for anything. The rising tide allows lightweights to also soar. Do not use price as an indicator of how go
What you see as the rise in the price of the stock in the past is history. What will matter to you is how the stock stock will beha
While it is not possible to predict the future with any degee of certainity, you need to have an investment thesis or a basic set
Make sure your holdings are worth your hard earned money. Do not take chances with unknown stocks and overhyped IPO w
Your money deserves better
Do not benchmark your returns with what you may have gained in the short-term by participating in the equity markets. It is a
A bull market attracts investors as their confidence moves up when what they have invested in begins to do well, or exceed th
Investors who see a 10% return as fantastic will begin to believe that a 40% return is to be normally expected.
Do not be taken in by recent experiences of appreciation in the value of your investments. Learn to see these as the buffer fo
It does not matter when that would happen, not is it necessary to predict the next fall. Returns will eventually average out ove
Do not quit in great haste. The desire to be right about timing the market is very high with investors. Coming off from a flat int
Stories about how someone did not make all the money because of not getting out at the right time remain in memory.
Tentativeness about how far the markets will run up will increase as naysayers point to the end of the bull market with every
Remember that a bull market is not defined by its highs, but by its lows. No one knows how far your stock will run and you ma
Allow your gains to run. What you have to be hawk-eyed is the loss.
Do not hesitate to throw out the bad apples. There is no way you will get each one of the stock picks right - even if you did the
There are too many unknowns and a stock you picked might end up doing worse that you expected. Your portfolio will do wel
Do not hope to recover your loss from the stock you wrongly picked. You can make it in a another stock.By letting your losses
If you are unable to see at a loss and move on, you may still not be ready for equity investing.If you do not cut your loss, your
Do not indulge in day trading if you not mastered the art of managing your capital. Trading is very different from investing & c
Riding the momentum in a stock and booking some quick gains can make you mistakenly believe that it is all easy. Its just that
Traders are tested when the bets move against them and a good one will bow out and take the loss on the chin. The amateur
Trading is about moving the capital quickly across positions, evaluating them as you go along. If you merely buy & sell without
Particpate in the market with the power of information and preparedness. There are sensible approaches for discerning inves
evel is a new high & there is nothing extraordinary about it.
rgent reminders that tell you about loss opportunities.
ke generalizations based on the index.
o is a function of what you are buying, holding and selling.
n the equity markets. It is a good feeling to see the value of investments go up.
ns to do well, or exceed their expectations
see these as the buffer for the inevitable correction that will come in the future.
eventually average out overtime and these abnormal gains will bufer you again.
oaches for discerning investor to participate in the value that businesses create
Philip Fisher on What to Buy
1.Does the company have products or services with sufficient market potential to make possible a siz
2.Does the management has determination to continue to develop products or processes that will fu
3.How effective are the company's research and development efforts in relation to its size
10.How good are the company's cost analysis and accounting controls
11.Are there other aspects of the business, somewhat peculiar to the industry involved, which will gi
12.Does the company have a short-range or a long-range outlook in regard to its profits
13.In the foreseeable future will the growth of the company require sufficient equity financing so tha
14.Does the management talk freely to investors about its affairs when things are going well but calm
ts or processes that will further increase total sales potential when the growth potential of currently attractive product lines have largely been exploite
stry involved, which will give the investor important clues as to how outstanding the company maybe in relation to its competitors
to its profits
ent equity financing so that the large number of shares then outstanding will largely cancel the existing share holder's benefit from this anticipated grow
ngs are going well but calm up when trouble and disappointments happen
have largely been exploited
DuPont analysis is an extended analysis of a company's return on equity. It concludes that a company can earn a high return on equity if:
Score 6.00
Legend
Not likely to be Bankrupt 3+ The output of Altman score test gauges a publicly traded
Less Chances of Bankruptcy 1.8 to 3 company's likelihood of bankruptcy.
Likely to be Bankrupt 0 to 1.8
APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE LTD
Equity 70 70 70 70
Reserves & Surplus 3,102 3,262 3,244 3,182
Networth 3,171 3,331 3,313 3,252
Secured Loans
Unsecured Loans
Borrowings 1,992 2,834 3,125 3,427
Other Liabilities 1,296 1,195 1,665 1,917
Current Asset 2,372 2,448 2,759 2,759
Current Liabilities 1,296 1,195 1,665 1,917
Total Assets 6,459 7,360 8,103 8,596
Net Fixed Assets 3,244 3,997 4,591 4,773
Capital Work in Progress 533 562 347 712
Working Capital 1,076 1,253 1,095 841
Debtors 609 609 751 825
Inventory 350 406 467 566
Cash 377 379 525 417
Net Other Assets
Invested Capital 5,164 6,165 6,438 6,678
Capital Employed 5,164 6,165 6,438 6,678
Total Liability 3,287.8 4,028.7 4,789.8 5,344.1
Total Assets 6,459.2 7,359.8 8,103.0 8,595.6
RoE 7% 4% 2%
RoCE 10% 8% 7%
RoA 3% 2% 1%
70 70 72 72 72 72
3,264 3,270 4,531 5,551 6,126 6,864
3,334 3,339 4,603 5,623 6,197 6,935
META
Number of shares 14.38
Face Value 5
Current Price 6052
Market Capitalization 87018.46
Quarters
Report Date Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23
Sales 4251.1 4263.6 4302.2 4417.8
Expenses 3698.9 3779.7 3814.1 3908.8
Other Income 22.6 35.4 20 34.1
Depreciation 155 153.4 159.1 166.9
Interest 92.7 100 95.4 106.2
Profit before tax 327.1 265.9 253.6 270
Tax 114.3 103.5 108 96.6
Net profit 204 153.5 144.5 166.6
Operating Profit 552.2 483.9 488.1 509
BALANCE SHEET
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Equity Share Capital 69.56 69.56 69.56 69.56
Reserves 3101.77 3261.57 3243.64 3181.94
Borrowings 1992.26 2833.52 3125.29 3426.64
Other Liabilities 1295.58 1195.15 1664.52 1917.48
Total 6459.17 7359.8 8103.01 8595.62
Net Block 3244.12 3997.42 4591.06 4772.86
Capital Work in Progress 532.64 561.56 346.86 712.2
Investments 310.65 352.38 406.05 351.99
Other Assets 2371.76 2448.44 2759.04 2758.57
Total 6459.17 7359.8 8103.01 8595.62
Receivables 609.27 609.37 750.53 825.19
Inventory 350.26 406.13 466.87 565.84
Cash & Bank 377.33 378.79 524.5 417.25
No. of Equity Shares 139125159 139125160 139125160 139125160
New Bonus Shares
Face value 5 5 5 5
CASH FLOW:
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Cash from Operating Activity 469.95 597.17 622.55 536.96
Cash from Investing Activity -759.07 -888.21 -1151.88 -404.91
Cash from Financing Activity 392.31 329.93 476.96 -108.5
Net Cash Flow 103.19 38.89 -52.37 23.55
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 13.91 13.91 13.91 13.91
PLEASE DO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THIS SHEET
5 5 5 5 5 5