Metode
1. River-Based Flood
- Implementing statistical-dynamical downscaling technique on the Global Climate
Model [21] to produce precipitation and other meteorological values
- Inputting precipitation values and land use change scenarios in HEC-HMS
(Hydraulic Modelling System) to analyze each river discharge from 13 Jakarta’s
rivers
2. Sea-Based Flood
- Modeling using Wave Watch III Model [14] to produce wave/surge/tidal values
affecting SLR
3. Producing Couple Model Results (River-Sea)
- Analyzing wall [13,27] —>Flow model set up is divided into two : with GGSW,
without GGSW
- Inputting river discharge, SLR/ocean results, and meteorological results to
FVCOM (Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model) to see the whole flood hazard
analysis (intensity, quantity, and inundation flood area) in Jakarta
4. Estimating Damages
- Using survey data to analyze 4 types of vulnerability damages (social, economic,
physical, environmental) with a method proposed by the Disaster Mitigation
Agency from Indonesia (BNPB)
Scenarios
Flood variable Bennet, 2023 Farah, 2018 Moe, 2015 Surya, 2019
Storm wave W1 (1.89 m, Velocity : 2 - 4
height and wind 20.21 m/s) m/s
speed W100 (2.16 m,
38.65 m/s)
River flow Q2 (223 m3/s) Q = 150 - 200 Q (different for
Q100 (563 m3/s) m3/s each rivers) =
(Observation 0.1 - 136 m3/s
Data 14-19 Jan
2013)
Storm Surge 0.5 - 1 m 13,5 (2007) - 15,
8 cm (2008)
SLR RCP4.5 (0.7 0,25 - 0,6 m
cm/year)
RCP8.5 (1.0
cm/year)