Case 2.3
Case 2.3
Case 2.3
economic d
The steel sector is a capital-intensive sector, both in terms of production facilities and working capital needs.
Balance Sheet
Assets 2014 2015 2016
Cash and Marketable Securities ₹ 15,579 ₹ 12,290 ₹ 7,000
Accounts Receivable ₹ 69,969 ₹ 57,466 ₹ 47,918
Inventories ₹ 39,984 ₹ 34,962 ₹ 28,210
Other Current Assets ₹ 3,736 ₹ 2,483 ₹ 4,230
Total Current Assets ₹ 129,268 ₹ 107,201 ₹ 87,358
Four year forecasted financials are required for the company. Below information is given for that purpose:
1. SteelCo’s revenues can be grouped into 2 product groups. The “long” products group and the “flat” products group.
The quantity for the forecast period is to be calculated by using Linear forecast on the historical rate of change
2. The Selling price for the forecast period is to be calculated as minimum of historical prices
3. For the purpose of forecasting the Gross Profit, average of historical GP margin will be used
4. Other Operating Income & Other Operating Expenses will be calculated by using linear forecast on the historical percentage
5. 70% of operating expenses as fixed, which are increased in line with the annual inflation rate, and 30% of them as variable,
assuming constant inflation over the years equal to 2%. Operating Expenses forecaset is to be made by keeping 2016 as bas
6. Working capital components to be estimated using Linear forecast on the operating cycle
7. The interest expense is comprised of the interest that the company pays for its short-term debt plus the interest that it pays
long-term debt. Interest cost on the long term and short term debts are 5.7% p.a. and 6.7% p.a (to be calculated on closing
8. Interest income from the cash deposits of the firm is 1% (to be calculated on closing balance)
9. CAPEX will be kept to a minimal Rs. 300k in each of the years
10. Depreciation will be based on the average rate of depreciation on closing gross PPE
11. The company has to repay the principal lof long term debt in annual installemts of Rs. 6033,000
12. The minimum cash balance for SteelCo is set at Rs. 6,500k.
13. Short term debt to be used as the plug
14. Other Non current assets is assumed as constant
Output
Gross Profit
Net Profit
Debt Equity ratio
Long term & Short term debt amounts
Revenue Forcast
Years 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Long Products (MT) 200000 170000 150000 137206 129942.042
Growth rate -0.15 -0.117647 -0.0853 -0.05294118
Working Capital
No of days 365
Current Assets 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Cash 15579 12290 7000 6500 6500
Accounts Receivables 69969 57466 47918 48052.8 44819.4749
Sales 185500 154700 132500 115493 105134.096
DTR 2.651174 2.427904 2.514613
ACP 137.6749 150.3354 145.1515 151.864 155.602312
Inventories 39984 34962 28210 29814.4 28506.7261
COGS 170289 139696 119912 104945 95532.1465
ITR 4.258929 3.727911 3.796365
IHP 85.70231 97.91007 96.14459 103.695 108.915746
2017 2018
Interest Exp LTD 2695.19 2351.307
STD 3932.18 4407.74914
Total 6627.37 6759.05614
2017 2018
Capex 300 300
24230.64 17884.52
-0.238095 -0.261905
650 650
650 650
82723.4 83696.61
15749.92 11624.94
98473.32 95321.55
2019 2020
8993.617 8705.765
0.09133 0.09133
2019 2020
1998.776 1934.7
0.020298 0.020297
2019 2020
733.1986 766.5649
0.007446 0.008042
2019 2020
7937.29 7999.34
6077.963 6199.522
1859.328 1799.818
2019 2020
6500 6500
42988.5 42588.89
98473.32 95321.55
159.3407 163.079
27980.64 28324.08
89479.7 86615.79
114.1369 119.358
2019 2020
4556.732 4972.54
0.046274 0.052166
2019 2020
8082.493 7364.755
89479.7 86615.79
32.9696 31.03517
2019 2020
3951.37 4165.90
0.044159 0.048096
2019 2020
35218 29185
75711.9 88565.63
6033 6033
2019 2020
2007.426 1663.545 LTD 5.70% 57
5072.697 5933.897 STD 6.70% 67
7080.123 7597.442
Interest ra 1.00% 1
2019 2020
65 65
2019 2020
7015.123 7532.442
2019 2020
300 300
2019 2020
62740 63040
2239.451 2250.159
0.035694 0.035694
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Income Statement 2014 2015 2016 2017(P)
Long Products (MT) 200000 170000 150000 137205.88235
Flat Products (MT) 70000 60000 50000 40476.190476
270000 230000 200000 177682.07283
Long Products (Rs./MT) 700 670 650 650
Flat Products (Rs./MT) 650 680 700 650
₹ 843 ₹ 82 -₹ 376
0 0 0
-₹ 5,851 -₹ 6,933 -₹ 7,908
Balance Sheet
Assets 2014 2015 2016 2017(P)
Cash and Marketable Securities ₹ 15,579 ₹ 12,290 ₹ 7,000 6500
Accounts Receivable ₹ 69,969 ₹ 57,466 ₹ 47,918 48052.815229
Inventories ₹ 39,984 ₹ 34,962 ₹ 28,210 29814.409838
Other Current Assets ₹ 3,736 ₹ 2,483 ₹ 4,230 3983.2966358
Total Current Assets ₹ 129,268 ₹ 107,201 ₹ 87,358 ₹ 88,351