LTP Calculator Notes Simplification
LTP Calculator Notes Simplification
Here i am going to share my notes which i have taken from LTP Calculator. I want you to work
with me and make more simple and engaging.
I’m ready to help simplify and enhance your notes from the LTP Calculator. Feel free to share what
you’ve written, and we can start refining the content together to make it clearer and more engaging.
Let’s aim for simplicity without losing the depth of the concept.
Make it more clear if you understand and if not feel free to ask.
The total divergence between the strike prices of resistance and support and the end of the
divergence is always one more than.
Divergence is always one more than the total number of strike prices between the strike price of
support and resistance.
It sounds like you're describing a relationship between strike prices, specifically how divergence
between support and resistance is calculated. Here's my understanding and a clearer way to express
the concept:
Divergence refers to the distance between support and resistance levels in terms of strike prices.
For example, if support is at ₹100 and resistance is at ₹120, and there are two strike prices in
between (₹110 and ₹115), the divergence would be 3 (2 strike prices in between + 1).
2. End of Divergence:
The point at which divergence ends is when the strike price moves past either the support
or resistance level, indicating a shift or break in the previous trend.
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Is this what you were aiming for? If this explanation captures the idea correctly, we can continue
simplifying other concepts. Let me know if you want more adjustments!
Great
explain in bit detail
I'm glad that the explanation made sense. Let's dive deeper into the concept of Divergence and the
End of Divergence so it's fully clear.
Detailed Explanation:
1. Divergence
Divergence refers to the range or gap between two key levels in the market—support and resistance
—in terms of strike prices. In options trading, support and resistance levels are crucial because they
mark points where the price tends to either reverse (bounce back) or break through.
Now, the divergence itself helps traders understand the width of this range, or the distance between
support and resistance. But instead of just measuring the price difference (₹120 - ₹100 = ₹20), we
measure the gap in terms of how many strike prices exist between them.
Key point: Divergence is not just the number of strike prices in between; it's always one more than
the total number of strike prices separating support and resistance.
Example:
Support at ₹100
Resistance at ₹120
In this case, if the strike prices between ₹100 and ₹120 are:
₹105
₹110
₹115
This extra "1" reflects the idea that divergence measures not just the space between, but also includes
both the support and resistance points.
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2. End of Divergence
The End of Divergence occurs when the price moves beyond the established support or resistance
levels. Essentially, when the price crosses either the support or resistance, it signals that the previous
range (divergence) is no longer valid.
If the price breaks above resistance, it indicates potential bullish momentum, and the previous
resistance level may become the new support.
If the price breaks below support, it indicates bearish momentum, and the previous support
might now act as resistance.
Example:
If the stock price, after oscillating between ₹100 and ₹120, breaks above ₹120, we consider this the
end of divergence. The market has moved past its previous range, and a new divergence or trading
range might form.
Understanding divergence and its end is essential for traders because it helps in:
Identifying Trading Ranges: It tells you where the stock is likely to move within, based on
historical support and resistance.
Planning Entries and Exits: Traders can plan to enter trades near support and exit near
resistance, or prepare for breakouts once divergence ends.
Risk Management: Knowing the divergence range can help you set proper stop losses and
profit targets.
Divergence measures the range between support and resistance in terms of strike prices,
always adding one to the number of strike prices between them.
End of Divergence happens when the price breaks out of the range, signaling a potential shift in
market direction.
Does this give the clarity you’re looking for? Let me know if you want further breakdowns or if there’s
more you'd like to discuss!
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There is end of divergence in this image. Do refer this and rewrite and explain End of divergence
from new perspective.
Thank you for sharing the image. Based on what I can see, the concept of "End of Divergence" plays
a crucial role in determining when the market transitions out of a specific price range, signaling a
potential change in trend. Let's rewrite and enhance the concept of End of Divergence using the
visual cues from the chart:
1. What is Divergence?
Divergence represents the price range between the support and resistance levels. As long as the
price remains between these levels, the market is in a state of divergence, and traders expect it to
oscillate between the support (bottom) and resistance (top). During this phase, traders usually make
decisions based on the expectation that prices will stay within this range.
In simple terms:
Resistance = The upper price boundary, where the asset is likely to encounter selling pressure.
Support = The lower price boundary, where the asset is likely to find buying interest.
2. End of Divergence
The End of Divergence occurs when the price moves beyond the established support or resistance
levels, breaking out of the range where it had been bouncing around. This signals a potential shift in
trend and indicates that the market might be entering a new phase.
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From the image:
When the price breaks above resistance (green line moving above resistance level), it suggests a
bullish trend may be emerging.
When the price falls below support (red line dropping below support level), it suggests a
bearish trend may be starting.
In either case, once the price breaches these boundaries, the divergence ends, and traders look for
opportunities to either go long (buy) if resistance is broken or go short (sell) if support is broken.
Trading Signals: The end of divergence signals a potential trend reversal or breakout. Traders
often use this as a signal to enter or exit a trade.
Risk and Reward: It also marks a critical point for risk management. If the price breaks out of
resistance, it might indicate a strong upward momentum, and traders could target higher price
levels. Conversely, a break below support could lead to more downward movement.
4. Practical Example:
Imagine an asset is trading between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance). As long as the price
remains within this range, the market is in a state of divergence. However, if the price breaks above
₹120, it signals the end of divergence, suggesting a new upward trend might begin. Similarly, if the
price drops below ₹100, the divergence ends, and a downward trend might start.
Key Takeaways:
The End of Divergence happens when the price moves beyond either the support or resistance
level.
It is a key point that signals a potential trend reversal or continuation in the opposite direction.
The end of divergence is critical for making strategic decisions in both entry and exit of trades.
By focusing on this, traders can better time their trades and adjust strategies based on whether the
market is continuing in its current range or breaking out into a new trend.
Let me know if this new explanation based on the chart is clearer or if you’d like further clarification!
Memory updated
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Got it! You’re explaining the behavior of the market as it moves from resistance to support and vice
versa, with minor diversions or retracements happening along the way. Let’s break it down step by
step for further clarity:
1. Extension of Resistance: The market pushes past the original resistance level for a short period,
known as the extension of resistance. This could be due to strong bullish momentum
temporarily overcoming resistance.
2. Reversal: After this extension, the market fails to hold above resistance and starts reversing,
indicating that the buying momentum has weakened, and now the sellers are stepping in. The
price begins to move downward toward the support level.
3. First Small Diversion (Retracement): On its way to support, the price hits a point of interest—
this could be a minor support level or a strike price where temporary buying interest occurs. The
market experiences a small retracement or diversion, where the price moves slightly back
upward, but it is not a complete reversal; it's a temporary pause or correction.
4. End of Diversion (EOD): Once the retracement has played out and the small upward move ends,
the price continues in its original direction, moving downward toward support.
1. Extension of Support: When the price reaches support, it may briefly fall below it (extension of
support) before reversing. This is the point where the market tests the strength of the buyers at
support.
2. Reversal Upward: After testing the support, the price starts to reverse again, moving upward
toward resistance.
3. Small Diversion Upward: On its way back up, the price may hit another point of interest where
a small retracement occurs—this time downward—before resuming the upward move.
4. End of Diversion (EOD): After the small retracement, the market resumes its upward movement
and continues toward the resistance level.
Key Takeaways:
Diversion: Small, temporary retracements happen as the market moves between resistance and
support levels. These retracements represent minor corrections or pauses in the overall trend.
End of Diversion (EOD): The point where the small retracement ends, and the market resumes
its original direction (toward support or resistance).
This process is cyclic, happening both on the way down from resistance to support and back up
from support to resistance.
Does this explanation align with what you’re thinking? Let me know if I missed any detail or if you’d
like further elaboration!
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Yes very much
I'm glad it's aligned with your understanding! If you need to dive deeper into any specific aspect or
want to discuss another concept related to your trading analysis, feel free to reach out. I'm here to
help fine-tune your strategies or notes anytime!
Now after you got my point. Please explain everything in detail from starting keeping this updated
point of view.
Certainly! Let’s start from the beginning and walk through the entire process, keeping your updated
perspective in mind. We will focus on how the market moves between resistance and support,
incorporating the concepts of extensions, reversals, small diversions (retracements), and End of
Diversion (EOD) points.
1. Resistance
Definition: Resistance is the price level at which upward momentum is expected to face selling
pressure. Traders often look at resistance as a ceiling, where the price is likely to stop rising and
potentially reverse downward.
In this context, the market initially moves upward toward the resistance level. When it hits the
resistance point, two things can happen:
1. The market might reverse immediately.
2. The market may extend beyond the resistance level for a short period before reversing, a
phenomenon known as extension of resistance.
2. Extension of Resistance
Definition: Extension of resistance occurs when the market pushes slightly above the resistance
level. This could happen due to excess bullish momentum or a temporary increase in demand.
Key Idea: This extension is usually temporary. The market tests the resistance level by moving
slightly above it, but this extension doesn't necessarily indicate a strong continuation. It could
signal that the market is overbought, meaning buyers have exhausted their strength.
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After the extension of resistance, the market typically reverses direction. This reversal indicates
that sellers are stepping in, causing the price to fall. The market begins its movement downward
toward the support level.
This reversal can be a turning point for traders who look to sell (or short) as the market shows
signs of weakening after the resistance extension.
After the reversal from resistance, the market starts moving downward toward the support
level. Support acts as a price floor, where the market is expected to stop falling and possibly
reverse again, as buyers regain control.
On its way to support, the market doesn’t always move in a straight line. It might encounter a
minor support level or some level of buying interest, causing a small diversion or
retracement.
Diversion refers to a temporary upward movement where the market corrects slightly before
continuing in the same downward trend toward support. It’s like a small, temporary pause in the
overall movement.
This small diversion represents a short-term counter-trend move, often a few strike prices away
from the primary movement.
Definition: The End of Diversion (EOD) is the point where the small retracement ends. After the
price has experienced a small diversion, it resumes its initial direction (in this case, downward).
Key Insight: The EOD signifies the conclusion of a temporary counter-trend move, and after
hitting this point, the market continues toward the main target, which in this case is the support
level.
7. Hitting Support
After moving past the small diversion and EOD, the market eventually reaches the support level.
Support represents a price point where buying interest typically appears, preventing further
decline.
At this point, the market has two potential paths:
1. The price might reverse from support and begin moving upward again.
2. The market might extend below support temporarily (extension of support), after which it
could reverse and move back upward toward resistance.
8. Extension of Support
Definition: Similar to the extension of resistance, an extension of support occurs when the
price briefly dips below the support level. This happens when selling pressure temporarily
overwhelms buyers, but it’s often a short-lived event.
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Importance: The extension of support signals that the market is testing how strong the buyers
are at this level. If the extension is followed by a reversal, it could signal a new buying
opportunity, leading to upward movement.
After the market tests the support level with a brief extension, buyers regain control, and the
price begins to move upward again toward the resistance level.
This reversal is a key moment for traders who may look for opportunities to buy, anticipating an
upward move back to resistance.
After reversing from support, the market starts moving upward, retracing its path back toward
the resistance level. Just like the move downward, this upward movement may also experience
small diversions or retracements on the way up.
On its way up to resistance, the market might hit another minor point of interest, causing a
small retracement or diversion downward. This is a short-term, counter-trend move, where the
price dips temporarily before continuing its upward journey.
Just like the downward movement, the market experiences a temporary correction before
resuming its upward momentum.
The small diversion eventually ends, marking another End of Diversion (EOD). Once this point is
hit, the market resumes its main upward direction toward the resistance level.
The cycle completes as the market reaches resistance once again. At this point, the market may
either reverse again, go for another extension of resistance, or follow any of the previously
discussed patterns based on the buying and selling pressures.
Conclusion:
The market moves in a cyclical pattern between resistance and support, and within this broader
movement, there are small diversions or retracements, which are temporary corrections.
Extensions of resistance and support represent brief moves beyond the established levels,
which are often followed by reversals.
The End of Diversion (EOD) is a key point where the small counter-trend retracement ends, and
the market resumes its original direction, whether that’s toward support or resistance.
Understanding these movements helps traders anticipate potential reversals, retracements, and
breakouts, giving them a more structured way to approach their trades.
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This detailed step-by-step flow should provide a solid foundation for analyzing how the market
behaves between support and resistance, incorporating the new points you shared. Let me know if
you'd like to explore anything further!
1. What is Divergence?
Divergence represents the price range between the support and resistance levels. As long as the
price remains between these levels, the market is in a state of divergence, and traders expect it to
oscillate between the support (bottom) and resistance (top). During this phase, traders usually
make decisions based on the expectation that prices will stay within this range.
In simple terms:
• Resistance = The upper price boundary, where the asset is likely to encounter selling
pressure.
• Support = The lower price boundary, where the asset is likely to find buying interest.
2. End of Divergence
The End of Divergence occurs when the price moves beyond the established support or resistance
levels, breaking out of the range where it had been bouncing around. This signals a potential shift
in trend and indicates that the market might be entering a new phase.
• When the price breaks above resistance (green line moving above resistance level), it
suggests a bullish trend may be emerging.
• When the price falls below support (red line dropping below support level), it suggests a
bearish trend may be starting.
In either case, once the price breaches these boundaries, the divergence ends, and traders look
for opportunities to either go long (buy) if resistance is broken or go short (sell) if support is
broken.
• Trading Signals: The end of divergence signals a potential trend reversal or breakout.
Traders often use this as a signal to enter or exit a trade.
• Risk and Reward: It also marks a critical point for risk management. If the price breaks
out of resistance, it might indicate a strong upward momentum, and traders could target higher
price levels. Conversely, a break below support could lead to more downward movement.
4. Practical Example:
Imagine an asset is trading between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance). As long as the price
remains within this range, the market is in a state of divergence. However, if the price breaks
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above ₹120, it signals the end of divergence, suggesting a new upward trend might begin.
Similarly, if the price drops below ₹100, the divergence ends, and a downward trend might start.
Key Takeaways:
• The End of Divergence happens when the price moves beyond either the support or
resistance level.
• It is a key point that signals a potential trend reversal or continuation in the opposite
direction.
• The end of divergence is critical for making strategic decisions in both entry and exit of
trades.
By focusing on this, traders can better time their trades and adjust strategies based on whether
the market is continuing in its current range or breaking out into a new trend.
1. What is Divergence?
Divergence represents the price range between support and resistance levels. As long as the price
oscillates within this range, the market is considered to be in a state of divergence. Traders expect the
price to move back and forth between these two levels until a breakout or reversal occurs.
During this divergence phase, traders base their strategies on the idea that the price will remain
confined within these levels, adjusting their positions accordingly.
In simple terms:
Resistance: The upper boundary where selling pressure is expected to stop the price from rising
further.
Support: The lower boundary where buying pressure is expected to prevent the price from
falling further.
The market doesn't just travel in a straight line between support and resistance—it often experiences
extensions and retracements during its journey. These small fluctuations add more layers to the
concept of divergence.
From Resistance: The market can move slightly above resistance, forming an extension of
resistance before reversing. After the extension, the price begins to fall toward support. During
this downward movement, the price may hit a point where it experiences a small diversion
(retracement) before continuing its path to support.
From Support: Similarly, after bouncing from support, the market can move slightly below
support (extension of support) before reversing upward toward resistance. On its upward path, it
might also experience small diversions or retracements before resuming its climb.
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3. End of Divergence
The End of Divergence occurs when the price breaks beyond the support or resistance levels and no
longer oscillates within the range. At this point, the market is signaling a potential trend reversal or
continuation of the breakout in the opposite direction.
After Resistance: If the price breaks above the resistance level and doesn’t revert after an
extension, the market has entered a bullish trend. Traders might look to capitalize by buying in
or going long.
After Support: If the price breaks below the support level and continues downward, the market
enters a bearish trend, signaling traders to go short (sell) or exit long positions.
Trading Signals: The End of Divergence is a critical indicator for traders to identify potential
trend reversals or breakouts. It helps determine whether the market will continue moving in a
new direction or revert back into a trading range.
Risk and Reward: Identifying when divergence ends is essential for managing risk. If the market
breaks resistance and shows upward momentum, traders can target higher price levels.
Conversely, if the market breaks support, traders can prepare for downward movement and
adjust their risk accordingly.
5. Practical Example:
Consider an asset trading between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance). Here’s how divergence and
its end would play out:
The market rises to ₹120 and may extend slightly beyond it, hitting ₹125 (extension of
resistance).
From there, the market reverses and heads toward ₹100, encountering a small diversion
around ₹110 before continuing to ₹100.
After touching ₹100, the market could extend to ₹95 (extension of support) before bouncing
back toward ₹120.
At any point, if the price breaks above ₹125 or falls below ₹95, this signals the end of
divergence—either starting a bullish trend if resistance is broken or a bearish trend if support is
broken.
6. Key Takeaways:
Divergence represents the range between support and resistance, with the market oscillating
within these boundaries.
The End of Divergence occurs when the market breaks beyond support or resistance, signaling
the start of a new trend.
Extensions and retracements occur along the way, where the market temporarily moves
beyond support or resistance before reversing, creating small diversions during its journey.
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Understanding these movements helps traders time entries and exits, as well as manage risk
effectively based on whether the market is likely to continue in its range or break out into a new
trend.
Let me know if this revised explanation reflects your perspective accurately or if you'd like to explore
further!
Great! Please go ahead and share the rules for identifying support and resistance, and I will help you
refine and organize them.
Resistance: From the pair of strike prices on the imaginary line starting from the smaller
strike price on the call side going towards out of the money or say the largest open
interest or largest volume going towards the top. Whichever is closer to the imaginary
line, the same strike price on the call side is called resistance.
Here’s how I interpret and clarify the rule you’ve shared for identifying resistance:
1. Starting Point: To identify resistance, begin with a pair of strike prices along an imaginary
line. The imaginary line runs between two adjacent strike prices on the options chain.
2. Direction: Start from the smaller strike price on the call side and move toward the out-of-the-
money (OTM) calls, which means you're moving toward higher strike prices.
3. Key Focus - Open Interest and Volume: While moving along the strike prices, pay attention to
two key indicators:
Largest Open Interest (OI): This represents the highest number of open contracts for a
particular strike price.
Largest Volume: This shows the highest number of trades that have occurred at a specific
strike price.
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4. Decision Point: The strike price that is closest to the imaginary line and has either the largest
open interest or the largest volume is identified as the resistance level.
In summary, the resistance is the strike price on the call side that is closest to the imaginary line,
where there is a significant concentration of open interest or volume, indicating a strong selling
pressure at this level.
Would you like to add more details to this rule, or should we move forward with defining support
next?
Support: Imaginary line starting from the higher strike price on the put side of the pair of
strike prices going out of the money or say the largest open interest or largest volume going
towards the bottom Whichever is closer to the imaginary line than the same strike price on the
put side is called support
Here’s a clearer and refined explanation for identifying support based on your rule:
1. Starting Point: To identify support, begin with a pair of strike prices along an imaginary line
on the options chain. The imaginary line connects two adjacent strike prices.
2. Direction: Start from the higher strike price on the put side and move toward the out-of-the-
money (OTM) puts, meaning you're moving toward lower strike prices.
3. Key Focus - Open Interest and Volume: While moving along the strike prices, focus on the:
Largest Open Interest (OI): This refers to the strike price with the highest number of open
contracts, representing areas where there is significant interest in holding positions.
Largest Volume: This refers to the strike price with the highest trading activity, where
many contracts are being traded.
4. Decision Point: The strike price that is closest to the imaginary line and has either the largest
open interest or the largest volume is identified as the support level.
In simple terms, the support level is the strike price on the put side, closest to the imaginary line,
where there is a concentration of open interest or volume, indicating strong buying interest at that
level, preventing the price from falling further.
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while using ltp calculator we can get values for extension of resistance and support by these
steps.
Extension of Resistance
To calculate the extension of resistance click on the volume on the call side of the resistance you
will see the value of extension of support stop loss and target
Extension of Resistance
To calculate extension of support click on the volume on the put side of support you will see the
value of extension of support stop loss and target
Here’s a refined explanation of how to calculate the Extension of Resistance and Extension of
Support using the LTP Calculator, incorporating the steps you’ve provided:
Extension of Resistance
To calculate the extension of resistance using the LTP Calculator, follow these steps:
1. Identify the Resistance: First, identify the resistance strike price by using the rules mentioned
earlier (based on the largest open interest or volume on the call side).
2. Click on the Volume: Once the resistance strike price is identified, click on the volume
associated with that strike price on the call side.
3. View the Extension Values: After clicking the volume, the LTP Calculator will display several key
values:
Extension of Resistance: This value represents how much the price can extend above the
resistance level before a reversal is expected.
Stop Loss: The recommended price level to set a stop loss for managing risk if the
extension continues beyond expectations.
Target: The potential target price to aim for after the extension of resistance has played
out.
Extension of Support
To calculate the extension of support using the LTP Calculator, follow these steps:
1. Identify the Support: First, identify the support strike price using the rules outlined earlier
(based on the largest open interest or volume on the put side).
2. Click on the Volume: Once the support strike price is identified, click on the volume associated
with that strike price on the put side.
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3. View the Extension Values: After clicking the volume, the LTP Calculator will display:
Extension of Support: This value represents how much the price can extend below the
support level before a reversal is expected.
Stop Loss: The recommended stop-loss level to manage risk in case the extension moves
beyond the expected level.
Target: The potential target price to aim for after the extension of support has completed.
Summary:
Extension of Resistance is calculated by clicking on the volume on the call side of the identified
resistance strike price, showing the extension value, stop loss, and target.
Extension of Support is calculated by clicking on the volume on the put side of the identified
support strike price, which provides the extension value, stop loss, and target.
By following these steps on the LTP Calculator, you can gain a clearer understanding of potential price
movements beyond key levels of resistance and support, along with actionable stop loss and target
values for trading decisions.
Great
I'm glad you found the explanation helpful! If you need further assistance with anything else or want
to explore additional strategies or concepts, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
Great! What's the next topic or concept you'd like to explore or refine? Let me know how you'd like to
proceed, and we can dive right in!
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What do you understand from this.
From the image you’ve shared, here’s a detailed breakdown of the Three Rules of Diversion and the
related trading conditions at End of Resistance (EOR) and End of Support (EOS):
1. Divergence Calculation:
Divergence is always one more than the total number of strike prices between the support
and resistance levels.
For example, if there are 2 strike prices between support and resistance, the divergence
would be 3 (2 strike prices + 1).
2. Single Divergence:
If no strike price exists between the support and resistance levels, then there will be only
one divergence.
In this case, the price oscillation between support and resistance is limited, and only a
single move or divergence will occur.
3. No Divergence Condition:
If both support and resistance occur at the same strike price, there will be no
divergence for that day.
The market will trade directly from extension to extension, meaning that it will primarily
be influenced by moves beyond the usual support or resistance levels (extensions) rather
than bouncing between them.
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Trading Conditions:
1. Resistance Strength: Resistance should not appear weak as the price approaches the top. If
resistance is strong, it prevents further upward movement.
2. Put Side Zeros: There should be no more than 1-2 zeros on the put side within the In-the-
Money (ITM) strike prices, as indicated by the LTP (Last Traded Price) column. This suggests
that the market still has some active positions on the put side, which helps reinforce the
resistance level.
3. Support Strength: Support should not be weak towards the top, indicating that buyers still have
strength, keeping the market balanced as it approaches the resistance.
1. Support Strength: Support should not appear weak as the price approaches the bottom. Strong
support keeps the price from dropping further.
2. Call Side Zeros: There should be no more than 1-2 zeros on the call side within the In-the-
Money (ITM) strike prices, as indicated by the LTP column. This suggests that sellers are still
actively holding positions, preventing the price from breaking below support.
3. Resistance Strength: Resistance should not appear weak toward the bottom, which would
indicate that selling pressure is reducing and there is more room for the price to move back
upward.
Key Takeaways:
Divergence is controlled by the number of strike prices between support and resistance and
follows a predictable pattern.
The market can have no divergence when support and resistance are at the same level, focusing
instead on extensions.
Trading at EOR and EOS relies heavily on the strength of support and resistance levels and the
number of open or active positions, as indicated by the LTP values.
Let me know if this interpretation aligns with your understanding, or if you’d like to further refine any
part of it!
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Update this EOR is Extention of Resistance and EOS is Extention of Support
Memory updated
Here’s the updated breakdown incorporating Extension of Resistance (EOR) and Extension of
Support (EOS):
1. Divergence Calculation:
Divergence is always one more than the total number of strike prices between the support
and resistance levels.
For example, if there are 2 strike prices between support and resistance, the divergence
would be 3 (2 strike prices + 1).
2. Single Divergence:
If no strike price exists between the support and resistance levels, then only one
divergence will occur.
In this case, the price oscillation between support and resistance is limited, and only a
single move or divergence will occur.
3. No Divergence Condition:
If both support and resistance are at the same strike price, there will be no divergence
for that day.
The market will instead trade directly from extension to extension—i.e., it will focus on the
movements beyond the support and resistance levels, rather than bouncing between
them.
Trading Conditions:
1. Resistance Strength: The resistance level should not appear weak as the price approaches the
top. A strong resistance will prevent further upward movement.
2. Put Side Zeros: There should be no more than 1-2 zeros on the put side within the In-the-
Money (ITM) strike prices, as indicated by the LTP (Last Traded Price) column. This shows that
the market still holds active positions on the put side, supporting the resistance level.
3. Support Strength: The support level should not appear weak toward the top. This ensures that
buyers are still actively participating, maintaining a balance as the price nears the resistance
level.
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Trading at Extension of Support (EOS):
1. Support Strength: The support level should not appear weak as the price approaches the
bottom. A strong support will prevent further price drops.
2. Call Side Zeros: There should be no more than 1-2 zeros on the call side within the In-the-
Money (ITM) strike prices, as indicated by the LTP column. This suggests that sellers are still
holding strong positions, preventing the price from breaking below support.
3. Resistance Strength: The resistance level should not appear weak toward the bottom, as this
would imply that selling pressure is reducing and there’s more potential for the price to move
back upward.
Key Takeaways:
Divergence is determined by the number of strike prices between support and resistance and
follows a predictable calculation.
No divergence occurs when support and resistance are at the same strike price, shifting the
market's focus to trading between extensions.
Trading at EOR and EOS focuses on the strength of resistance and support levels, as well as the
number of active positions, as indicated by the zeros in the LTP column.
Does this updated explanation better reflect your intended interpretation? Let me know if further
adjustments are needed!
Absolutely! Let's break everything down into finer details to give you a deeper understanding of the
concepts of Divergence, Extension of Resistance (EOR), Extension of Support (EOS), and the rules
surrounding these in the context of your trading framework.
1. Divergence Calculation:
Divergence measures the price range between support and resistance levels in terms of strike
prices.
The rule here states that the divergence is always one more than the total number of strike
prices between the support and resistance levels. This means if you have, say, 2 strike prices
between the identified support and resistance, the divergence would be 3 (2 strike prices + 1).
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Why?
Divergence includes both the start and end points (support and resistance), so the formula
always adds one to account for these boundaries.
Example:
Imagine support is at ₹100 and resistance is at ₹120. If there are strike prices at ₹105 and ₹115
between them, the divergence would be 3, because you count 2 strike prices plus 1 for the
overall range.
2. Single Divergence:
If no strike price exists between support and resistance, there will be only one divergence.
Why?
With no strike prices in between, the market will have fewer levels to react to. In this case, the
price may oscillate back and forth between support and resistance just once. This limited
movement reduces complexity, so there is only one divergence to monitor.
Example:
If support is at ₹100 and resistance is at ₹110 with no intermediate strike prices in between, only
one divergence will occur. The price can only travel directly between these two levels, and the
range will be much tighter.
3. No Divergence Condition:
If support and resistance fall on the same strike price, the rule states that there will be no
divergence for that trading day.
If support and resistance converge at a single strike price, the market is effectively range-bound
at that level. The price will no longer oscillate between different levels, and the market action will
be concentrated on extensions beyond support and resistance, moving from extension to
extension.
Example:
If both support and resistance are at ₹100, the market won’t have distinct levels to bounce
between. Instead, traders will look for extensions of support or resistance as the primary
movements.
When trading at the Extension of Resistance (EOR), there are specific conditions to look for to gauge
the strength of resistance and market sentiment. Here's a breakdown of those conditions:
1. Resistance Strength:
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Resistance should not be weak as the price approaches the top.
Why?: When the price nears the resistance level, strong selling pressure should prevent it from
pushing higher. If resistance is weak, it could mean that the sellers are losing control, and there’s
a higher chance of a breakout above resistance.
Key indicator: Watch for signs like a steady price rejection or significant open interest at the
resistance level to confirm strength.
There should be no more than 1-2 zeros in the In-the-Money (ITM) strike prices on the put
side.
Why?: The fewer zeros on the put side in the ITM section, the stronger the market's selling
interest remains. Having a few zeros means that put options (which benefit from downward
moves) are still actively traded, supporting the resistance.
Key indicator: When there are too many zeros on the put side, it could indicate weakness, as it
suggests a lack of demand for downside protection.
Support should not be weak as the price approaches resistance from below.
Why?: The market needs a solid support base for resistance to hold. If support weakens near
the top, it might indicate that buyers aren’t confident, and the price could break out above
resistance, especially if selling pressure isn’t strong enough.
Key indicator: If there are signs of weakness in the support level, such as declining open interest
or volume, it suggests that the price might continue rising past the resistance.
When trading at the Extension of Support (EOS), here’s what to look for:
1. Support Strength:
There should be no more than 1-2 zeros on the call side within the In-the-Money (ITM) strike
prices.
Why?: This suggests that the market still holds strong demand for call options (upward bets). If
there are too many zeros on the call side in the ITM section, it might indicate a lack of bullish
interest, weakening support.
Key indicator: If call options are actively traded (few zeros), it shows that traders expect the price
to hold at support and potentially reverse upward.
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Resistance should not be weak when the price is near the support level.
Why?: Strong resistance near the bottom means there is still sufficient selling pressure to keep
the price from rising too quickly. If resistance weakens at this point, the market could see a sharp
upward movement, especially if buying pressure strengthens.
Key indicator: Check for steady open interest and volume on the call side to see if resistance is
holding firm near the bottom of the price range.
Divergence tells you how many strike prices exist between support and resistance. It helps you
measure the distance the price might travel between these key levels.
Extension of Resistance (EOR) refers to how much the price can extend beyond the resistance
level before retracing or reversing. At EOR, resistance should hold strong, and the put side
should still show active trading.
Extension of Support (EOS) is the level where the price extends below support before likely
reversing. At EOS, support must remain firm, and there should still be active trading on the call
side.
These rules help you interpret when support or resistance is likely to hold or break, giving you insights
into potential market reversals or extensions.
Does this provide the level of detail you were looking for? Let me know if you’d like more clarification
or elaboration on any point!
Based on the image you've provided, here’s the updated analysis for Trading at EOR (Extension of
Resistance) and Trading at EOS (Extension of Support) with more detailed explanations:
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What it means: When the price reaches the extension of resistance, the strength of
resistance is crucial. If resistance is weak, the price could break through and continue
rising. Strong resistance implies there are enough sellers to keep the price from going
higher.
Actionable Insight: Monitor the order flow and open interest on the call side at the
resistance level. A lack of weakening suggests that sellers are actively defending this price.
2. There Should Be No More Than 1-2 Zeros on the Call Side in the Money LTP Column:
What it means: Zeros in the LTP column for In-the-Money (ITM) calls indicate inactivity. If
there are too many zeros (more than 1-2), it implies weak call buying or low interest in
defending the resistance.
Actionable Insight: If more than 1-2 zeros appear, it may signal weakness in the
resistance, and the price could extend further up. Traders should look for opportunities if
resistance breaks or confirm strength if zeros are minimal.
2. There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros in the Put Side ITM LTP:
What it means: Zeros in the In-the-Money (ITM) puts indicate low activity or interest. If
there are too many zeros, it could mean the support is weak, as fewer traders are betting
on the price dropping below current levels.
Actionable Insight: If there are 1-2 zeros or fewer in the put side ITM LTP, it suggests active
selling interest. Too many zeros may indicate weakening support, opening the possibility of
a downward break.
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Summary:
EOR (Extension of Resistance) focuses on monitoring the strength of resistance, ensuring the
support levels below the resistance are not weakening, and paying attention to the call side for
signs of buyer weakness.
EOS (Extension of Support) emphasizes observing the support level's strength, ensuring
resistance levels remain firm at the bottom, and checking the put side to make sure sellers
remain active.
Both situations require close monitoring of open interest, volume, and LTP (Last Traded Price) activity,
with a particular focus on detecting weakness or strength in the key levels to anticipate potential price
moves.
GREAT but in bit more detail and keep in mind but dont mention that option chain is invert of
price charts thats why Bottom of option chain is top of the market and top of option chain it
bottom of the market.
Memory updated
Here’s an even more detailed breakdown of Trading at Extension of Resistance (EOR) and Trading
at Extension of Support (EOS), incorporating the deeper concepts while respecting the inversion of
option chains and price charts. I’ll keep this in mind while explaining but will not directly mention the
inversion concept.
2. There Should Be No More Than 1-2 Zeros on the Call Side in the Money LTP Column:
Explanation: Zeros in the LTP column (Last Traded Price) for In-the-Money (ITM) call
options indicate a lack of trading activity at certain strike prices. Ideally, there should be no
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more than 1-2 zeros in the call side ITM section.
Why This Matters: Fewer zeros indicate healthy trading activity. If there are too many zeros
(no trading), it suggests that traders are not interested in defending the resistance level,
making the resistance weaker and more prone to being breached. It means buyers may still
have the strength to push the price above the resistance.
Practical Example: If you observe that most ITM strike prices on the call side have active
trading (few or no zeros), it shows that sellers are still present. Conversely, if there are too
many zeros, this is a sign that the market might break resistance and push higher.
2. There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros in the Put Side ITM LTP:
Explanation: On the put side, having too many zeros in the In-the-Money (ITM) LTP
column indicates low interest in buying downside protection. If there are more than 1-2
zeros, it suggests that there is weak interest in the downside, meaning the support level
could be at risk of breaking.
Why This Matters: If the put side LTP column shows minimal trading activity (i.e., too many
zeros), it suggests that buyers are not actively defending the support level. In this case,
support is weak, and the price may fall below the identified support level.
Practical Example: When observing the ITM puts, if most of the strike prices have active
trading (very few zeros), it shows that sellers are still engaged and betting on the price
falling. If there are many zeros, however, this may indicate weak support, and the price
could break lower.
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3. Resistance Should Not Be Weak Toward the Bottom:
Explanation: Even when the price is near support, the resistance levels above must
remain strong. Strong resistance near the bottom ensures that sellers are still pressuring
the market, limiting how far the price can rebound if it rises off support.
Why This Matters: Weak resistance near the bottom might allow for a sharp upward price
movement if the price bounces off support. If resistance holds firm, it prevents the price
from rising too fast, creating a balanced market dynamic.
Practical Example: Check for strong open interest and volume on the call side just above
the current price. If resistance shows signs of weakness, it suggests the price could break
higher after bouncing off support.
At EOR (Extension of Resistance), the focus is on the strength of resistance. It’s essential to
ensure that both resistance and support levels near the top remain strong, with minimal zeros in
the LTP column on the call side, signaling that sellers are still actively defending the resistance
level.
At EOS (Extension of Support), the priority is on the strength of support. Strong support levels
should hold as the price approaches them, with minimal zeros in the put side ITM LTP, signaling
that buyers are defending support.
For both EOR and EOS, it’s crucial to monitor open interest, volume, and LTP activity to
confirm the market’s conviction in either holding the key levels or allowing for a breakout or
breakdown.
This expanded explanation provides a more detailed and comprehensive understanding of how you
can assess and react to market movements at EOR and EOS, incorporating the importance of open
interest, volume, and trading activity in deciding whether support or resistance will hold.
Let me know if this covers what you were aiming for or if you'd like further clarification on any points!
Here’s a detailed table summarizing the analysis of Trading at EOR (Extension of Resistance) and
Trading at EOS (Extension of Support):
Key Takeaways:
EOR (Extension of Resistance): Focus on strong resistance and minimal zeros in the call side
ITM LTP column. Ensure that support remains strong beneath the price.
EOS (Extension of Support): Focus on strong support and minimal zeros in the put side ITM LTP
column. Ensure that resistance remains strong above the price.
This table provides a clear and organized way to compare the conditions for trading at EOR and EOS,
ensuring that you can easily reference the key factors when analyzing market movements. Let me
know if any further adjustments are needed!
New Update
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Here is the updated table based on the image you’ve shared, with a more detailed explanation of each
condition for Trading at EOR (Extension of Resistance) and Trading at EOS (Extension of Support):
Key Takeaways:
At EOR: Focus on strong resistance near the top and ensure that there are minimal zeros in the
ITM call LTP column. Also, confirm that support levels below the current price are strong.
At EOS: Focus on strong support near the bottom and ensure there are minimal zeros in the ITM
put LTP column. Make sure resistance above the current price is also strong.
This table now incorporates the updates provided in the latest image. Let me know if this looks good
or if further adjustments are needed!
Great
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I’m glad you found it helpful! If you need further assistance or want to explore more concepts, feel
free to reach out. I’m here to help!
Please share what you'd like me to update next, and I'll take care of it right away. If there's another
concept or document, feel free to provide the details!
Here’s an even more detailed breakdown of **Trading at Extension of Resistance (EOR)** and
**Trading at Extension of Support (EOS)**, incorporating the deeper concepts while respecting
the inversion of option chains and price charts. I’ll keep this in mind while explaining but will not
directly mention the inversion concept.
---
2. **There Should Be No More Than 1-2 Zeros on the Call Side in the Money LTP Column**:
- **Explanation**: Zeros in the LTP column (Last Traded Price) for **In-the-Money (ITM) call
options** indicate a lack of trading activity at certain strike prices. Ideally, there should be no
more than 1-2 zeros in the call side ITM section.
- **Why This Matters**: Fewer zeros indicate healthy trading activity. If there are too many zeros
(no trading), it suggests that traders are not interested in defending the resistance level, making
the resistance weaker and more prone to being breached. It means buyers may still have the
strength to push the price above the resistance.
- **Practical Example**: If you observe that most ITM strike prices on the call side have active
trading (few or no zeros), it shows that sellers are still present. Conversely, if there are too many
zeros, this is a sign that the market might break resistance and push higher.
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3. **Support Should Not Be Weak Toward the Top**:
- **Explanation**: As the market approaches resistance, the **support levels** beneath the
current price must remain strong. If support weakens near the top, it suggests that buyers are
losing control, increasing the chance that a breakdown may occur when the price reverses from
resistance.
- **Why This Matters**: If support is weak at higher levels, it might create space for the price to
fall sharply after resistance is hit. A strong support base near the top ensures that the market can
stabilize if the price starts to fall after hitting resistance.
- **Practical Example**: Monitor the **open interest** and **volume** on the put side,
focusing on strike prices just below the current price. If there’s a strong presence of buyers
(significant open interest and volume), it indicates that support will prevent the price from falling
too far after hitting resistance.
---
2. **There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros in the Put Side ITM LTP**:
- **Explanation**: On the **put side**, having too many zeros in the **In-the-Money (ITM) LTP
column** indicates low interest in buying downside protection. If there are more than 1-2 zeros, it
suggests that there is weak interest in the downside, meaning the support level could be at risk of
breaking.
- **Why This Matters**: If the put side LTP column shows minimal trading activity (i.e., too many
zeros), it suggests that buyers are not actively defending the support level. In this case, support is
weak, and the price may fall below the identified support level.
- **Practical Example**: When observing the ITM puts, if most of the strike prices have active
trading (very few zeros), it shows that sellers are still engaged and betting on the price falling. If
there are many zeros, however, this may indicate weak support, and the price could break lower.
---
- **At EOR (Extension of Resistance)**, the focus is on the strength of resistance. It’s essential to
ensure that both resistance and support levels near the top remain strong, with minimal zeros in
the LTP column on the call side, signaling that sellers are still actively defending the resistance
level.
- **At EOS (Extension of Support)**, the priority is on the strength of support. Strong support
levels should hold as the price approaches them, with minimal zeros in the put side ITM LTP,
signaling that buyers are defending support.
- For both EOR and EOS, it’s crucial to monitor **open interest, volume, and LTP activity** to
confirm the market’s conviction in either holding the key levels or allowing for a breakout or
breakdown.
---
This expanded explanation provides a more detailed and comprehensive understanding of how
you can assess and react to market movements at EOR and EOS, incorporating the importance of
open interest, volume, and trading activity in deciding whether support or resistance will hold.
Let me know if this covers what you were aiming for or if you'd like further clarification on any
points!
Here’s the updated version of the detailed breakdown of Trading at EOR (Extension of Resistance)
and Trading at EOS (Extension of Support) with the latest adjustments and refinements:
2. There Should Be No More Than 1-2 Zeros on the Call Side in the Money LTP Column:
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Explanation: Zeros in the LTP (Last Traded Price) column for In-the-Money (ITM) call
options show a lack of trading activity at certain strike prices. Ideally, there should be no
more than 1-2 zeros in the ITM call section.
Why This Matters: Fewer zeros indicate active trading. If there are too many zeros
(meaning low activity), it suggests that traders aren’t interested in defending resistance,
making it weaker and more likely to break.
Practical Example: If most ITM strike prices on the call side are actively traded (few or no
zeros), it confirms that sellers are still present. If there are too many zeros, this signals that
the market could break resistance and continue moving upward.
2. There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros in the Put Side ITM LTP:
Explanation: Too many zeros in the In-the-Money (ITM) LTP column on the put side
indicate low interest in downside protection (put buying). Ideally, there should be no more
than 1-2 zeros.
Why This Matters: Fewer zeros indicate strong trading activity. If there are too many zeros,
it suggests that buyers aren’t actively defending the support level, making the support
weaker and increasing the chance of a breakdown.
Practical Example: When observing the ITM puts, if most strike prices are actively traded
(few zeros), it confirms that sellers are still engaged and betting on the price falling further.
If there are many zeros, it indicates weak support, and the price may continue to fall.
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Explanation: Even when the price approaches support, the resistance levels above must
remain strong. Strong resistance near the bottom ensures that sellers are still applying
pressure to the market, limiting the extent of the price rebound if it rises off support.
Why This Matters: Weak resistance near the bottom may allow the price to rise sharply
after bouncing off support. Strong resistance prevents the price from rising too quickly,
maintaining a balanced market.
Practical Example: Check for significant open interest and volume on the call side just
above the current price. If resistance is weakening, the price could break higher after
bouncing off support.
At EOR (Extension of Resistance): Focus on the strength of resistance as the price approaches
the top. Ensure that both resistance and support levels near the top remain strong. Watch for
minimal zeros in the call side LTP column to confirm that sellers are actively defending the
resistance level.
At EOS (Extension of Support): The priority is on the strength of support as the price nears the
bottom. Make sure strong support levels hold as the price approaches them, with minimal zeros
in the put side LTP column. Also, confirm that resistance levels above the current price are firm to
limit any potential upward breakout.
In both EOR and EOS, monitor open interest, volume, and LTP activity to confirm the market’s
conviction in holding the key levels or breaking through them.
This updated version adds further refinement to the detailed breakdown of EOR and EOS. Let me
know if it meets your needs or if you’d like additional changes!
Memory updated
Here’s the update incorporating your clarification about Open Interest (OI) and Volume dynamics:
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are closing their positions. Conversely, if OI increases, it suggests more sellers are entering
the market.
Why This Matters: When OI increases at resistance, it reinforces the idea that sellers are
actively defending the price level. Volume, on the other hand, only increases throughout
the day and shows how many contracts have been traded. A rise in volume near resistance
indicates that there’s significant market activity, reinforcing the resistance level.
Practical Example: If OI increases and volume is also rising as the price nears resistance, it
suggests strong selling pressure and increases the likelihood of resistance holding firm. If
OI decreases while volume increases, resistance may be weakening, increasing the
possibility of a breakout.
2. There Should Be No More Than 1-2 Zeros on the Call Side in the Money LTP Column:
Explanation: Zeros in the Last Traded Price (LTP) column for In-the-Money (ITM) call
options indicate a lack of activity. Ideally, there should be no more than 1-2 zeros. When
combined with OI, a low number of zeros indicates active trading, which is a positive sign
for resistance strength.
Why This Matters: Fewer zeros and higher OI indicate a strong defense of the resistance
level. Too many zeros suggest a lack of interest in defending resistance, making it weaker.
Practical Example: If there are few zeros and OI is rising, resistance is likely to hold. If
zeros increase and OI declines, it may indicate resistance is weakening.
2. There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros in the Put Side ITM LTP:
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Explanation: Zeros in the ITM LTP column for puts suggest inactivity. No more than 1-2
zeros signal that buyers are still actively defending the support level. Combine this with OI:
if OI increases while there are few zeros, it suggests strong support.
Why This Matters: Fewer zeros and increasing OI show that buyers are active, making
support stronger. More zeros or decreasing OI show weakening support.
Practical Example: Few zeros and rising OI indicate that buyers are defending support
well. If zeros increase and OI decreases, support is more likely to break.
At EOR (Extension of Resistance): Pay close attention to OI and volume trends. OI can increase
or decrease throughout the day, providing a real-time view of market sentiment at resistance.
Rising OI indicates stronger resistance, while declining OI could signal a potential breakout.
At EOS (Extension of Support): Monitor OI and volume as the price nears support. If OI rises
and volume continues to increase, support remains strong. If OI drops but volume increases, the
support may be weakening.
Volume is cumulative throughout the day and only increases, but OI is more dynamic and
reflects the real-time opening and closing of contracts, making it a more sensitive indicator of
support and resistance strength.
This updated version incorporates the new clarification about OI and volume behavior throughout
the trading day. Let me know if you need further adjustments or additional insights!
Great
Now rewrite everything in deep detail from the beginning in a more structured way with updated
information.
Absolutely! Here’s a detailed and structured rewrite that covers everything from the fundamentals of
divergence, EOR (Extension of Resistance), EOS (Extension of Support), to OI (Open Interest) and
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volume dynamics, with all the updates and clarifications integrated.
Divergence represents the price range between two key levels in the market: support and resistance.
These levels mark the points where the price is expected to reverse or consolidate. When the price
moves between these levels without breaking beyond them, the market is said to be in a state of
divergence.
In options trading, the concept of divergence helps traders identify the probable range within which
the market will oscillate. While the market remains in this range, traders use the levels of support and
resistance to plan their trades, anticipating reversals at either boundary.
Resistance: The upper boundary where the price is likely to encounter selling pressure and
reverse downward.
Support: The lower boundary where the price is expected to encounter buying interest and
reverse upward.
Divergence Formula:
Divergence is calculated as one more than the total number of strike prices between support and
resistance. For example:
If there are two strike prices between support and resistance, the divergence would be 3 (2 strike
prices + 1).
Single Divergence:
If there is no strike price between the identified support and resistance, only one divergence will
occur, as the market has a limited range within which to oscillate.
No Divergence:
In the case where support and resistance occur at the same strike price, no divergence will occur.
Instead, the market will move from extension to extension, as the key boundaries have converged.
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Definition: EOR occurs when the price moves slightly above the resistance level, temporarily
exceeding the expected upper boundary. This movement represents a test of the strength of the
sellers at the resistance level.
Why It’s Important: If resistance holds firm, the price will likely reverse and head back down
toward support. However, if resistance weakens, the price may break through, leading to a
potential upward trend or breakout.
Definition: EOS occurs when the price moves slightly below the support level, temporarily
exceeding the expected lower boundary. This movement tests the strength of the buyers at the
support level.
Why It’s Important: If support holds, the price is likely to bounce back upward toward
resistance. But if support weakens, the price may break below, signaling a potential downward
trend.
Explanation: As the price approaches the extension of resistance, it’s crucial to assess the
strength of the resistance level. Strong resistance means that sellers are defending the price
level, actively placing sell orders to prevent the price from rising further. Conversely, weak
resistance suggests that sellers are not committed, and the price could break through.
Why It’s Important: When resistance holds, it signals that sellers are confident that the price will
not move higher. This usually leads to a reversal, where the price heads back down toward
support.
Practical Example: As the price nears resistance, monitor open interest (OI) and volume on the
call side. If OI is rising and volume is increasing, it suggests strong selling pressure, and
resistance is likely to hold. If OI decreases while volume rises, resistance may be weakening,
increasing the chances of a breakout.
Explanation: The LTP (Last Traded Price) column shows trading activity at various strike prices. If
there are too many zeros in the ITM (In-the-Money) LTP column for call options, it indicates low
activity and interest. Ideally, there should be no more than 1-2 zeros in this column, as this
suggests active trading and strong resistance.
Why It’s Important: Fewer zeros indicate that sellers are actively defending resistance. Too
many zeros suggest a lack of interest, making resistance weaker and more prone to being
breached.
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Practical Example: If you see that most strike prices in the ITM call LTP column are actively
traded (few zeros), it signals strong resistance. If there are too many zeros, resistance may be
weak, and the price could break above.
Explanation: Even as the market approaches resistance, support levels below the price must
remain strong. If support weakens near the top, it indicates that buyers are losing control,
increasing the chance of a breakdown if the price reverses from resistance.
Why It’s Important: Strong support acts as a buffer, preventing a sharp drop if the price
reverses from resistance. Weak support at higher levels suggests that the price could fall further
if resistance holds.
Practical Example: Monitor OI and volume on the put side at support levels. If OI and volume
are rising, support is likely to hold. If OI decreases, support may weaken, increasing the risk of a
larger price drop after hitting resistance.
Explanation: As the price approaches the extension of support, it’s important to gauge the
strength of the support level. Strong support indicates that buyers are actively stepping in to
defend the price, preventing further declines. Weak support suggests that buyers are not
committed, increasing the chances of a breakdown.
Why It’s Important: When support holds firm, the price is likely to bounce back upward. If
support weakens, the price could break lower, leading to a potential downward trend.
Practical Example: Check OI and volume on the put side as the price nears support. If both OI
and volume are rising, support is likely to hold. If OI decreases while volume rises, support may
be weakening, signaling a potential breakdown.
Explanation: Just like on the call side for resistance, the LTP column for ITM puts should have
minimal zeros. Too many zeros indicate a lack of activity and interest in defending the support
level.
Why It’s Important: Fewer zeros in the ITM put LTP column indicate strong buyer interest and a
higher likelihood that support will hold. Too many zeros suggest weak support.
Practical Example: If most of the strike prices in the ITM put LTP column are actively traded (few
zeros), it suggests strong support. If there are too many zeros, support may be weak, and the
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price could break below.
Explanation: Even when the price is near support, resistance levels above the current price must
remain strong. Weak resistance indicates that sellers are losing control, which could allow the
price to rise sharply if it rebounds off support.
Why It’s Important: Strong resistance above the price prevents a sharp upward move if the
price rises from support. Weak resistance increases the chance of a breakout to the upside.
Practical Example: Monitor OI and volume on the call side above the current price. If both OI
and volume are rising, resistance is likely to hold. If OI decreases, resistance may weaken,
allowing the price to break higher after bouncing off support.
Definition: OI represents the number of open or outstanding contracts at a given strike price. OI
can increase or decrease throughout the trading day as new positions are opened or existing
positions are closed.
Why It’s Important: Rising OI signals that traders are opening new positions, either to defend a
level (support or resistance) or to bet on a breakout. Decreasing OI suggests that traders are
closing positions, indicating reduced interest in defending or attacking a key level.
Application: At both EOR and EOS, rising OI strengthens the resistance or support level, while
decreasing OI weakens it.
Volume:
Definition: Volume represents the number of contracts traded during a given period. Unlike OI,
volume can only increase throughout the day, reflecting the total amount of market activity.
Why It’s Important: Rising volume confirms that there is significant trading activity at a certain
strike price. However, since volume only increases, it is often used in combination with OI to
assess the strength of a level.
Application: At both EOR and EOS, increasing volume suggests heightened interest in defending
or breaking through a level. However, volume alone is not sufficient, as it does not reflect
whether new positions are being opened (OI provides this insight).
Key Takeaways:
Divergence measures the range between support and resistance, and traders use this to
anticipate price movements within the range.
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Extensions (EOR and EOS) represent temporary movements beyond these key levels and provide
crucial signals about the market’s next move.
OI can increase or decrease throughout the day, providing insights into whether traders are
opening new positions (strengthening a level) or closing positions (weakening a level).
Volume only increases throughout the day and provides insight into overall market activity at
various strike prices.
By understanding how to monitor these indicators, traders can better assess market sentiment and
make informed decisions about whether key support or resistance levels will hold or break.
This structured, in-depth explanation integrates all the key concepts with the latest updates. Let me
know if you’d like to refine any further details!
Here is the updated table based on the image you’ve shared, with a more detailed explanation of
each condition for **Trading at EOR (Extension of Resistance)** and **Trading at EOS (Extension
of Support)**:
---
---
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### **Key Takeaways**:
- **At EOR**: Focus on strong resistance near the top and ensure that there are minimal zeros in
the ITM call LTP column. Also, confirm that support levels below the current price are strong.
- **At EOS**: Focus on strong support near the bottom and ensure there are minimal zeros in the
ITM put LTP column. Make sure resistance above the current price is also strong.
This table now incorporates the updates provided in the latest image. Let me know if this looks
good or if further adjustments are needed!
Here’s the updated and more detailed version of the table with additional insights, incorporating all
the updated information on Open Interest (OI), volume, and the behavior of zeros in the LTP
column for Trading at EOR (Extension of Resistance) and Trading at EOS (Extension of Support):
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Trading at EOR (Extension of
Condition Trading at EOS (Extension of Support)
Resistance)
reverses after hitting resistance. Rising bouncing off support. Rising OI and
OI and volume on the put side below volume on the call side above the
the current price confirm active buying. current price confirm strong seller
- Weak support, indicated by falling OI interest.
and too many zeros in the LTP column, - Weak resistance, shown by declining
increases the risk of a sharp decline if OI or too many zeros in the LTP
resistance holds. column, could allow for a breakout and
- Monitor for rising OI and few zeros rapid upward price movement.
on the put side to ensure the support - Check for rising OI and minimal zeros
levels below are strong enough to hold on the call side to ensure that the
if the price falls. resistance above the current price is
strong enough to limit any sharp
upward move.
Key Takeaways:
At EOR:
Focus on strong resistance near the top, especially by monitoring rising OI and volume on
the call side.
Ensure there are minimal zeros in the ITM call LTP column to confirm active selling interest.
Verify that support levels below the current price are also strong, as weak support could
lead to a sharp decline after hitting resistance.
At EOS:
Focus on strong support near the bottom, paying attention to rising OI and volume on the
put side.
Ensure that the ITM put LTP column has minimal zeros to confirm that buyers are actively
defending the support level.
Check resistance levels above the current price to make sure resistance is strong enough to
prevent a sharp upward move after bouncing off support.
Additional Insights:
This updated and detailed version now incorporates the most recent insights on OI and volume
behavior, as well as the importance of monitoring zeros in the LTP column for trading decisions at
both EOR and EOS. Let me know if this structure works for you or if you need any more refinements!
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Lets move on to next topic
Great! What topic would you like to explore next? Feel free to share, and we’ll dive right in.
From the image, here’s what I interpret based on the structure for Call and Put options in stock
trading. The image provides a checklist of conditions to follow when deciding to buy or write (sell) a
Call (CE) or Put (PE) option in cash/futures, with a focus on key metrics like support, resistance,
volume, and implied volatility (IV). Here’s a detailed breakdown of the points on both the Call and Put
sides:
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2. Resistance Should Not Be Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB):
You also want resistance to hold firm. Weak resistance could allow the price to fall through,
meaning that the upward movement might lose momentum.
3. There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros in Call Side ITM LTP:
You need to monitor the Last Traded Price (LTP) for In-the-Money (ITM) call options. If
there are too many zeros (more than 1-2), it means there isn’t enough activity on the call
side, indicating weak buying interest and a potential weakening of the upward trend.
3. There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros in Put Side ITM LTP:
Similar to the call side, there should be no more than 1-2 zeros in the LTP column for In-
the-Money puts. Too many zeros indicate low interest in buying puts, which suggests that
traders may not expect further downside.
Key Observations:
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WTB/WTT: The image emphasizes that support and resistance levels should not be weak at the
key turning points (top for puts, bottom for calls). The strength of these levels determines
whether the market is more likely to hold its current direction or reverse.
Zeros in ITM LTP: The number of zeros in the In-the-Money (ITM) LTP column is a signal of how
active the market is. Fewer zeros indicate more active trading, which supports the trend. More
than 1-2 zeros indicate that the market may be losing interest.
Implied Volatility (IV): Keeping IV below 30 seems to be a risk management strategy to avoid
trading during periods of high uncertainty, which can lead to exaggerated price movements.
Summary:
For Calls: Ensure strong support and resistance at the bottom, check for minimal zeros in ITM
LTP, monitor volume, and keep implied volatility under 30.
For Puts: Ensure strong support and resistance at the top, check for minimal zeros in ITM LTP,
monitor volume, and keep implied volatility under 30.
These conditions ensure that traders are making decisions based on strong technical levels and
adequate market participation, while managing risk through volatility checks.
Would you like to further refine any of these concepts, or move forward with another aspect?
Here’s a detailed table summarizing the conditions for Call and Put options based on the image, with
explanations for each condition and how they apply to trading decisions:
Condition Call Options (Buy a Call / Write a Put) Put Options (Buy a Put / Write a Call)
Support Should Not Be Weak Toward the Support Should Not Be Weak Toward the
Bottom (WTB): Top (WTT):
- Strong support at the bottom prevents - Strong support at the top helps maintain
further declines and supports upward downward momentum, ensuring the price
1. Support movement. does not rise too sharply.
Strength - If support weakens near the bottom, the - Weak support near the top can lead to a
price may fall, making it risky to buy calls or rebound, limiting the effectiveness of a put
write puts. position.
- Ensure that support levels are holding firm - Ensure support near the top remains strong
to confirm a potential upward move. to confirm further downward movement.
2. Resistance Resistance Should Not Be Weak Toward Resistance Should Not Be Weak Toward the
Strength the Bottom (WTB): Top (WTT):
- Strong resistance at the bottom means - Strong resistance at the top ensures sellers
sellers are actively defending the level, are in control, preventing the price from
preventing the price from falling below. breaking higher.
- Weak resistance near the bottom can lead - Weak resistance near the top can result in a
to price drops, making a call position risky. breakout, causing the price to rise, which
- Confirm that resistance is holding to could reduce the effectiveness of a put option.
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Condition Call Options (Buy a Call / Write a Put) Put Options (Buy a Put / Write a Call)
ensure a favorable risk-reward ratio for the - Ensure resistance is strong to support the
call option. decision to buy puts or write calls.
There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros There Should Not Be More Than 1-2 Zeros
on the Call Side in ITM LTP: on the Put Side in ITM LTP:
- The Last Traded Price (LTP) in the In-the- - The LTP in the In-the-Money (ITM) put
Money (ITM) call options should not show options should not show more than 1-2 zeros.
more than 1-2 zeros. Fewer zeros suggest Fewer zeros mean that the market is active,
3. Zeros in that the market is active, confirming strong confirming strong selling interest or
ITM LTP buying interest. protection against downside risk.
Column - More than 1-2 zeros indicate weak interest - More than 1-2 zeros indicate weak interest in
in calls, suggesting the market may not puts, suggesting the market may not support
support further upward movement. further downward movement.
- Confirm minimal zeros in the ITM call LTP - Ensure there are minimal zeros in the ITM
column to ensure market interest in buying put LTP column to confirm interest in buying
calls or writing puts. puts or writing calls.
Check Its Volume:
- Volume represents the total number of Check Its Volume:
contracts traded. Rising volume indicates - Rising volume in put options confirms that
increasing market participation, confirming traders are expecting further downside and
the strength of the upward trend in the case are actively positioning for the price to fall.
4. Volume of calls. - Low volume suggests weak interest in puts,
- Low volume suggests weak interest, and reducing the likelihood of continued
the price may not continue rising as downward momentum.
expected. - Ensure that volume is rising to confirm
- Ensure that volume is rising to confirm strong selling interest in put options.
strong buying interest in call options.
Check Implied Volatility (IV) - Maximum
30:
Check Implied Volatility (IV) - Maximum 30:
- Implied Volatility (IV) reflects the
- High Implied Volatility (IV) inflates put
market’s expectation of future price swings.
options, increasing their cost and the
High IV inflates the price of options, making
associated risk.
them more expensive and riskier.
5. Implied - Limiting IV to 30 reduces the risk of large
- Keeping IV below 30 ensures that you’re
Volatility (IV) price swings that could make the position
trading in a market with manageable
unprofitable.
volatility, reducing the risk of unexpected
- Ensure that IV remains below 30 when
price movements.
buying puts or writing calls to limit exposure
- Ensure that IV is below 30 when buying
to high volatility.
calls or writing puts to limit exposure to
volatility risk.
1. Support Strength:
For calls, you want support to be strong near the bottom (WTB), as this indicates buyers
are holding the price up. If support weakens, the price may fall, making a call position risky.
For puts, support should be strong near the top (WTT). Weak support here could lead to a
price rebound, limiting the downside potential of a put.
2. Resistance Strength:
For calls, resistance should not be weak toward the bottom. If resistance weakens, the
price could fall further, making the call option riskier.
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For puts, resistance should remain strong toward the top. If resistance weakens near
the top, it could lead to a breakout, causing the price to rise and making the put position
less effective.
4. Volume:
Volume confirms how much trading activity is taking place. Rising volume in calls or puts
indicates strong interest and confirms the trend’s momentum. Low volume signals weak
interest, which may cause the price to stall or reverse.
Key Takeaways:
When trading call options, ensure strong support at the bottom, minimal zeros in the ITM call
LTP column, rising volume, and keep IV below 30.
When trading put options, ensure strong support at the top, minimal zeros in the ITM put LTP
column, rising volume, and limit IV to a maximum of 30.
This table presents a comprehensive view of the trading conditions to consider when buying or writing
call or put options, focusing on support, resistance, volume, and implied volatility. Let me know if this
detailed version meets your needs or if you’d like further refinements!
Awesome! What's the next topic you'd like to dive into? Let me know, and we’ll get started right away!
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Here’s a structured breakdown of your point regarding resistance and support, incorporating the
concepts of volume, open interest, and extensions. I’ll expand each section to provide clarity on how
traders can interpret these aspects in their decision-making.
Volume:
Volume represents the number of contracts traded for a particular strike price. It’s an
important metric because it shows how much interest the market has in that level (support
or resistance).
A high volume near a specific level indicates that traders are actively participating in that
area, which strengthens its validity as a support or resistance level. Conversely, low volume
might suggest weak interest or uncertainty, making the level less reliable.
Key Insight: Resistance or support levels are more reliable when confirmed by both high volume
and rising open interest. Traders should monitor both to assess the strength of these key levels.
When the market is at its extension, the focus shifts to In-the-Money (ITM) options. The concept here
is that when the price moves beyond the traditional support or resistance levels (extensions), the
strike prices in the money become critical.
Key Insight: At market extensions, resistance or support falls In-the-Money. Traders should
monitor ITM strike prices to assess the strength of the extension, particularly focusing on
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changes in OI and volume to detect potential reversals or further breakouts.
Resistance and support levels can be classified into three categories based on their strength:
A. Strong Resistance/Support:
Definition: A level is considered strong when it shows significant volume and rising OI. These
levels tend to hold firm, and traders expect the price to bounce back when it reaches this point.
Characteristics:
Strong buying interest at support levels, indicated by high volume and rising OI on the put
side.
Strong selling interest at resistance levels, shown by high volume and rising OI on the call
side.
Why It’s Important: Strong levels act as major barriers, meaning the market is more likely to
reverse when it hits these points.
Definition: Resistance or support is classified as weak toward the top when the price is moving
upward and the level shows signs of weakening (e.g., decreasing OI or low volume).
Characteristics:
At resistance: If OI or volume decreases as the price approaches resistance, it’s a sign that
sellers may be losing control, making the level susceptible to a breakout.
At support: If OI or volume decreases near support, buyers are not defending the level
strongly, increasing the chance of a breakdown.
Why It’s Important: Weakness toward the top signals that the level may not hold, especially if
market activity drops as the price approaches.
Definition: Weak toward the bottom applies when a level is weakening as the price moves
downward, indicating a potential breakdown of support or breakout of resistance.
Characteristics:
At resistance: If the market is falling and resistance is weak (low volume or decreasing OI),
sellers may lose control, and the price could push back upward.
At support: If OI or volume is dropping at support while the price is falling, the level may
break, leading to a further price decline.
Why It’s Important: Weakness toward the bottom suggests that the price could continue in the
direction of the move because the level is not being actively defended.
Key Takeaways:
Volume and OI are critical indicators for determining the strength of support or resistance.
Strong levels are characterized by high volume and rising OI, while weakening levels see falling
OI or low volume.
When the market moves to extensions, resistance and support become In-the-Money, making
ITM contracts more relevant to assessing market sentiment.
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There are three types of support and resistance:
1. Strong: High volume and rising OI, offering significant barriers to price movement.
2. Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Decreasing volume/OI as the price moves upward, making
resistance or support more likely to break.
3. Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): Decreasing volume/OI as the price moves downward,
signaling a weakening level that may be breached.
This breakdown covers the various aspects of resistance and support, integrating volume, OI, and
extensions, along with the different types of support and resistance you highlighted. Let me know if
you’d like to expand or explore any of these ideas further!
There is a correction
Thanks for pointing that out! Please let me know what correction you'd like to make, and I'll update
the explanation accordingly.
Update
Memory updated
Here’s the corrected version of the section regarding Weak Toward the Top (WTT) based on your
clarification:
Definition: Resistance or support is classified as weak toward the top when the price is moving
upward and the level shows signs of weakening (e.g., decreasing OI or low volume).
Characteristics:
At resistance: If OI or volume decreases as the price approaches resistance, it’s a sign that
sellers may be losing control, making the level susceptible to a breakout.
At support: If support is weak toward the top (WTT), it suggests that the market may move
upward, as buyers are stepping in to prevent further declines. This means there is no
further drop in price levels, and the market may reverse to move higher.
Why It’s Important: Weakness toward the top in support signals that the market could reverse
and move upward, as the price will likely be held by buyers defending the level.
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Let me know if this updated version aligns with your correction, or if you need any more adjustments!
Update it
---
- **Volume**:
- Volume represents the number of contracts traded for a particular strike price. It’s an important
metric because it shows how much interest the market has in that level (support or resistance).
- A high volume near a specific level indicates that traders are actively participating in that area,
which strengthens its validity as a support or resistance level. Conversely, low volume might
suggest weak interest or uncertainty, making the level less reliable.
#### **Key Insight**: Resistance or support levels are more reliable when confirmed by both
**high volume and rising open interest**. Traders should monitor both to assess the strength of
these key levels.
---
When the market is at its **extension**, the focus shifts to **In-the-Money (ITM)** options. The
concept here is that when the price moves beyond the traditional support or resistance levels
(extensions), the strike prices in the money become critical.
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ITM put options become relevant.
- This means that traders need to pay close attention to the behavior of **ITM contracts** in
terms of volume and OI because these contracts are now in play.
---
Resistance and support levels can be classified into three categories based on their strength:
---
---
This breakdown covers the various aspects of resistance and support, integrating volume, OI, and
extensions, along with the different types of support and resistance you highlighted. Let me know
if you’d like to expand or explore any of these ideas further!
Here’s the updated and corrected version of the explanation based on your clarification regarding
Weak Toward the Top (WTT) at support, which means that the market can move upward or no
further drop in price levels.
Volume:
Volume represents the number of contracts traded for a particular strike price. It’s an
important metric because it shows how much interest the market has in that level (support
or resistance).
A high volume near a specific level indicates that traders are actively participating in that
area, which strengthens its validity as a support or resistance level. Conversely, low volume
might suggest weak interest or uncertainty, making the level less reliable.
Key Insight: Resistance or support levels are more reliable when confirmed by both high volume
and rising open interest. Traders should monitor both to assess the strength of these key levels.
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2. Extensions: Resistance and Support in the Money
When the market is at its extension, the focus shifts to In-the-Money (ITM) options. The concept here
is that when the price moves beyond the traditional support or resistance levels (extensions), the
strike prices in the money become critical.
Key Insight: At market extensions, resistance or support falls In-the-Money. Traders should
monitor ITM strike prices to assess the strength of the extension, particularly focusing on
changes in OI and volume to detect potential reversals or further breakouts.
Resistance and support levels can be classified into three categories based on their strength:
A. Strong Resistance/Support:
Definition: A level is considered strong when it shows significant volume and rising OI. These
levels tend to hold firm, and traders expect the price to bounce back when it reaches this point.
Characteristics:
Strong buying interest at support levels, indicated by high volume and rising OI on the put
side.
Strong selling interest at resistance levels, shown by high volume and rising OI on the call
side.
Why It’s Important: Strong levels act as major barriers, meaning the market is more likely to
reverse when it hits these points.
Definition: Resistance or support is classified as weak toward the top when the price is moving
upward and the level shows signs of weakening (e.g., decreasing OI or low volume).
Characteristics:
At resistance: If OI or volume decreases as the price approaches resistance, it’s a sign that
sellers may be losing control, making the level susceptible to a breakout.
At support: If support shows weakness toward the top (WTT), it indicates that the market
could move upward, or there will be no further drop in price levels. This is a sign that
buyers are holding the price up and preventing any additional downward movement.
Why It’s Important: Weakness toward the top at support indicates that the market may reverse
upward or remain stable, making it less likely for the price to fall further. For resistance,
weakness toward the top means the level may not hold, especially if market activity drops as the
price approaches.
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Definition: Weak toward the bottom applies when a level is weakening as the price moves
downward, indicating a potential breakdown of support or breakout of resistance.
Characteristics:
At resistance: If the market is falling and resistance is weak (low volume or decreasing OI),
sellers may lose control, and the price could push back upward.
At support: If OI or volume is dropping at support while the price is falling, the level may
break, leading to a further price decline.
Why It’s Important: Weakness toward the bottom suggests that the price could continue in the
direction of the move because the level is not being actively defended.
Key Takeaways:
Volume and OI are critical indicators for determining the strength of support or resistance.
Strong levels are characterized by high volume and rising OI, while weakening levels see falling
OI or low volume.
When the market moves to extensions, resistance and support become In-the-Money, making
ITM contracts more relevant to assessing market sentiment.
There are three types of support and resistance:
1. Strong: High volume and rising OI, offering significant barriers to price movement.
2. Weak Toward the Top (WTT):
At support: Weakness toward the top signals potential upward movement or
stability in the market, with no further drop in price levels.
At resistance: Weakness signals that resistance may not hold, and a breakout is
possible.
3. Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): Decreasing volume/OI as the price moves downward,
signaling a weakening level that may be breached.
This updated version integrates your correction regarding WTT at support, indicating that it signifies
an upward movement or stability in the market. Let me know if this refined explanation is aligned with
your expectations or if any further updates are required!
When the market is at its extension, the focus shifts to In-the-Money (ITM) options. The concept
here is that when the price moves beyond the traditional support or resistance levels (extensions),
the strike prices in the money become critical.
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Let's clarify the concept of Extensions: Resistance and Support in the Money in a more
straightforward way:
When the market reaches an extension—whether it’s extending above resistance or below support—
the focus shifts to options that are In-the-Money (ITM). The idea is that once the price goes beyond
the usual support or resistance levels, certain strike prices (which were previously Out-of-the-Money)
become In-the-Money. These ITM strike prices now hold greater importance because they represent
the new key levels of support or resistance in the extended market.
At Resistance Extension: If the price moves beyond resistance, the call options above the
resistance level become In-the-Money (ITM). These ITM calls now play a significant role in
determining the market’s next move because they indicate where traders are positioning
for continued upside or a reversal.
At Support Extension: When the price moves below support, the put options below the
support level become In-the-Money (ITM). These ITM puts now become critical in showing
whether traders are betting on further downside or a reversal back upward.
Key Insight: When the market reaches an extension, traders need to monitor the volume and
Open Interest (OI) of the In-the-Money options (calls for resistance extensions, puts for support
extensions) to gauge market sentiment. Rising volume and OI in ITM options suggest that the
market may continue to extend, while decreasing volume and OI indicate a possible reversal.
Example to Clarify:
1. Extension of Resistance:
Let’s say the market moves above a resistance level at ₹150. Once the price crosses this
resistance, call options with strike prices around ₹150 and above (such as ₹160, ₹170) now
become In-the-Money (ITM).
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Traders will start paying close attention to the volume and OI in these call options. If the
volume and OI in these ITM call options increase, it signals that traders expect the price to
keep rising. If volume and OI decrease, it may suggest a reversal back below ₹150.
2. Extension of Support:
If the market drops below a support level at ₹100, put options with strike prices below
₹100 (such as ₹90, ₹80) will become In-the-Money (ITM).
The behavior of volume and OI in these ITM put options becomes crucial. If there’s a rise in
volume and OI, it suggests that traders expect the price to continue dropping. If these
metrics decrease, the market could reverse and move back above the ₹100 support level.
Takeaway:
When the market moves beyond its normal range (either above resistance or below support), the
focus shifts to In-the-Money (ITM) options, as they become the new indicators of market sentiment.
By observing the volume and open interest in these ITM options, traders can better understand
whether the market is likely to continue in the direction of the extension or reverse back within the
original range.
Does this explanation help clarify things? Let me know if you'd like to explore any specific examples or
need further refinement!
again volume can only increase or become stable but not decrease in intraday.
Thank you for the correction. Let me rewrite the explanation with that in mind, ensuring that volume
only increases or stays stable intraday, and doesn't decrease.
When the market reaches an extension—whether it’s extending above resistance or below support—
the focus shifts to options that are In-the-Money (ITM). Once the price extends beyond the typical
support or resistance levels, certain strike prices (which were previously Out-of-the-Money) become
In-the-Money. These ITM strike prices now become crucial for assessing the market’s next move, as
they represent new key levels of support or resistance in the extended market.
At Resistance Extension: If the price moves above the resistance level, the call options
above the resistance level become In-the-Money (ITM). These ITM calls now become key
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indicators because they represent where traders are positioning for continued upward
movement or a reversal.
At Support Extension: If the price drops below the support level, the put options below
the support level become In-the-Money (ITM). These ITM puts now become crucial for
understanding whether traders are betting on continued downside or a reversal back up.
Key Insight: At market extensions, In-the-Money options (calls for resistance extensions, puts
for support extensions) become critical indicators. Traders should monitor the volume (which
only increases intraday) and OI of these ITM options to gauge whether the market is likely to
continue beyond the extension or reverse. Rising OI signals continued market strength, while
decreasing OI could signal a reversal back within the original range.
Example to Clarify:
1. Extension of Resistance:
Let’s say the market moves above a resistance level at ₹150. Once the price crosses this
resistance, call options with strike prices around ₹150 and above (such as ₹160, ₹170)
become In-the-Money (ITM).
Traders will monitor the volume and OI in these ITM call options.
If volume increases (as it can only go up or remain stable intraday) and OI rises, it
suggests traders expect the price to keep moving upward.
If OI decreases but volume still increases, it may indicate that traders are closing
positions, suggesting a potential reversal back below ₹150.
2. Extension of Support:
If the market drops below a support level at ₹100, put options with strike prices below
₹100 (such as ₹90, ₹80) will become In-the-Money (ITM).
The behavior of volume and OI in these ITM put options becomes crucial:
If volume increases and OI rises, it signals that traders are expecting the price to
continue falling.
If OI decreases while volume still rises, it suggests that traders may be closing
positions, indicating a potential reversal and a move back above ₹100.
Takeaway:
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When the market moves beyond its normal range (either above resistance or below support), the
focus shifts to In-the-Money (ITM) options. These options become key indicators of market
sentiment at extensions. By monitoring the volume (which only increases or stays stable) and Open
Interest (OI), traders can assess whether the market is likely to continue moving in the direction of
the extension or if it’s showing signs of a reversal.
This updated version takes into account that volume can only increase or stay stable intraday, and
OI plays a significant role in showing whether new positions are being opened or closed. Let me know
if this clarifies the concept, or if further details are needed!
great
I'm glad you found it helpful! If you have any more questions or would like to explore another topic,
feel free to let me know. I'm here to help!
Great! What would you like to explore next? Let me know the topic or concept, and we can dive right
in.
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What do you understand?
From the images, here’s what I interpret based on the illustrations and guidelines about support and
resistance being based solely on volume or open interest (OI):
The concept revolves around identifying whether support or resistance is closest to the imaginary
line between strike prices, and then determining whether it is strong or weak, depending on the
factors of volume and open interest (OI).
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3. If It is Weak Toward the Top (WTT), Support or Resistance is Also Weak Toward the Top:
If the volume or OI is weaker as the market moves upward, this indicates weakness
toward the top (WTT) for either support or resistance.
For example, in the WTT scenario, resistance is weak toward the top at strike price 6, and
support is weak toward the top at strike price 5.
4. If It is Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB), Support or Resistance is Also Weak Toward the Bottom:
If the volume or OI is weaker as the market moves downward, this indicates weakness
toward the bottom (WTB) for either support or resistance.
For example, in the WTB scenario, resistance is weak toward the bottom at strike price 4,
and support is weak toward the bottom at strike price 3.
Illustrations Breakdown
Key Takeaways:
Strong Levels: Support or resistance is strong when the factor closest to the imaginary line
(volume or OI) shows the highest value.
Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Indicates that either support or resistance is weak as the market
moves upward. This means resistance is less likely to hold, or support is likely to push the market
upward.
Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): Suggests weakness as the market moves downward, meaning
resistance may be overcome, or support may break down.
This interpretation explains how volume and open interest can determine the strength or weakness
of support and resistance levels, depending on whether the market is moving toward the top or
bottom. Let me know if you need further clarification or if I should expand on any of these points!
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next
Great! What would you like to move on to next? Let me know the topic or concept, and we can dive in.
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Here’s a detailed breakdown of Case 2 (Rare), based on the images you’ve shared, focusing on how
volume or open interest (OI) behaves when far from the imaginary line and when it crosses the
support or resistance.
The key concept in Case 2 is how volume or OI behaves when it is far from the imaginary line and how
it affects (or doesn’t affect) support and resistance.
1. No Effect on Support or Resistance if Volume or OI Remains Far from the Imaginary Line:
If volume or open interest (OI) is far from the imaginary line and shows weakness only
until the strike price of current support or resistance, it has no impact on support or
resistance.
In simpler terms, as long as the weakening volume or OI does not approach the imaginary
line, it won’t weaken the support or resistance levels.
Illustrations Breakdown:
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Support is at strike price 4 due to the highest volume but shows weakness toward the
bottom at strike price 3, indicating that support is weakening as the price drops lower.
Key Takeaways:
3. Understanding Weakness:
Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): Resistance weakens when volume or OI crosses below
and nears the imaginary line.
Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Support weakens when volume or OI crosses above and
nears the imaginary line.
This explanation covers the rare scenario where volume or OI has no effect unless it crosses the
current support or resistance levels and moves closer to the imaginary line, which then impacts their
strength. Let me know if you'd like to dive deeper into any of these concepts or if something needs
further clarification!
Here’s the updated version of the text for CASE 2 (RARE): ILLUSTRATION 1:
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OI is at strike price #8 and is weak toward the bottom (WTB) at strike price #6, but this has no
impact on resistance.
Support is strong at strike price #5 due to the highest OI.
Volume is at strike price #3 and is weak toward the top (WTT) at strike price #5, but this has no
impact on support.
This update provides a clear and consistent structure for the analysis, aligning with the rare case
described. Let me know if any further modifications are needed!
NOW NEXT
Great! What would you like to move on to next? Let me know the topic or concept, and we’ll dive right
in.
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Analyze
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From the images, here’s what I understand about support or resistance being based on both
volume and open interest (OI), as well as the illustrations provided in Case 1.
Key Insight:
For a level (support or resistance) to be considered strong, both volume and OI must be strong
together.
For a level to be weak, both volume and OI must weaken together. If only one of these metrics
moves away, the level is still considered stable and not weak.
Illustrations Breakdown:
Resistance is strong at strike price #5 due to the highest OI and volume on both the call and
put sides.
Support is strong at strike price #4 due to the highest OI and volume on both the call and put
sides.
This indicates that both factors (volume and OI) are aligned and strong, confirming that these
are key support and resistance levels.
Resistance is at strike price #6 due to the highest OI and volume but is weak toward the
bottom (WTB) at strike price #5.
Support is at strike price #4 due to the highest OI and volume but is weak toward the top
(WTT) at strike price #5.
This indicates that both volume and OI are weakening as the price moves upward toward the
support, and weakening as the price moves downward toward the resistance.
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Resistance is strong at strike price #4 due to the highest OI and volume.
However, volume is weak toward the top (WTT) at strike price #6, which has no impact on
support.
Support is strong at strike price #4 due to the highest OI and volume.
OI is weak toward the bottom (WTB) at strike price #3, which has no impact on support.
This shows that despite some weakening in either OI or volume, it is not sufficient to weaken
the support or resistance because both factors aren’t moving away together.
Key Takeaways:
1. Strong Levels: For a support or resistance level to be strong, both volume and OI need to be at
their highest or strong near the imaginary line.
2. Weakness in Support or Resistance: If only one factor (either volume or OI) moves away or
weakens, it does not affect the support or resistance level. Both need to move away together for
the level to be considered weak.
3. Volume and OI Together: The market is more likely to hold support or resistance when both
volume and OI are aligned. Weakness only occurs if both these factors decrease simultaneously.
This analysis explains how both volume and open interest (OI) together determine whether support
or resistance is strong or weak, and emphasizes that both factors need to show weakness together
for the level to be called weak. Let me know if you need further clarification or any more specific
details!
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Analyze
Here’s a detailed analysis of Case 2 (Rare) regarding support or resistance based on volume and
open interest (OI) when either attempts to cross the existing support or resistance.
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Case 2 (Rare): What Happens When OI or Volume Crosses Existing Support or
Resistance?
If either open interest (OI) or volume attempts to cross the existing support or resistance and
move closer to the imaginary line, it has an impact on the strength of support or resistance.
Result:
Resistance becomes weak toward the bottom (WTB).
Support becomes weak toward the top (WTT).
In this rare scenario, the movement of volume or OI beyond the current support or resistance and
closer to the imaginary line weakens these levels. Let’s break this down in the context of the
illustrations provided.
Illustrations Breakdown:
Resistance is located at strike price #6 due to the highest OI and volume, but it is weak toward
the bottom (WTB) at strike price #4.
Support is at strike price #4, showing strength due to the highest OI and volume.
Key Insight: Resistance at #6 is weakening from below because volume and OI are attempting
to cross closer to the imaginary line. However, support remains strong at #4, where volume and
OI are the highest.
Resistance is located at strike price #6 due to the highest OI and volume, and it is considered
strong.
Support is at strike price #3, but it is weak toward the top (WTT) at strike price #5.
Key Insight: Support at #3 is weakening from above because volume and OI are moving closer
to the imaginary line, whereas resistance at #6 remains strong, supported by high OI and
volume.
Key Takeaways:
3. Strong Levels:
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Even though resistance or support can be strong at specific levels due to high volume and
OI, crossing closer to the imaginary line can still create weaknesses either from the top (for
support) or from the bottom (for resistance).
This explanation outlines the concept of weakness toward the top (WTT) for support and weakness
toward the bottom (WTB) for resistance when volume or OI crosses closer to the imaginary line,
even though the initial levels may seem strong. Let me know if you'd like to dive deeper or explore
specific examples!
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Analyze
Here's an analysis of Case 1 from your images, where support or resistance is based on either
volume or open interest (OI):
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Case 1: What if Support or Resistance is Based on Either Volume or OI?
In this case, the idea is that either volume or open interest can be responsible for determining
support or resistance. The behavior of these factors (volume or OI) determines whether the level is
weak or strong.
2. Weak Toward the Top (WTT) or Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB):
If the level weakens as the price moves upward, it is considered Weak Toward the Top
(WTT).
If the level weakens as the price moves downward, it is considered Weak Toward the
Bottom (WTB).
Key Insight:
Illustrations Breakdown:
Resistance is located at strike price #5 due to the highest OI, but it shows weakness toward
the top (WTT) at strike price #6.
Support is located at strike price #4 due to the highest volume, but it shows weakness toward
the bottom (WTB) at strike price #3.
Key Insight: Resistance is weakening as the price moves upward (WTT), and support is
weakening as the price moves downward (WTB).
Resistance is located at strike price #5 due to the highest OI, but it shows weakness toward
the bottom (WTB) at strike price #4.
Support is located at strike price #4 due to the highest OI, but it shows weakness toward the
top (WTT) at strike price #5.
Key Insight: Resistance weakens as the price drops lower (WTB), and support weakens as the
price rises (WTT).
Key Takeaways:
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Similarly, if support weakens as the price rises, it is classified as WTT.
This explanation outlines the behavior of support or resistance when they are determined by either
volume or OI and how their weakness is classified depending on price movement (WTT or WTB). Let
me know if you'd like more details or clarification on any specific points!
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Analyze
Here’s a detailed analysis of Case 2 (Rare) where a factor such as volume or open interest (OI)
attempts to cross the strike price of an existing support or resistance to reach the imaginary line.
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When a factor like volume or OI attempts to cross the strike price of an existing support or
resistance to reach the imaginary line, it weakens the level.
Result:
If it crosses resistance, it will be referred to as Resistance Weak Toward the Bottom
(WTB).
If it crosses support, it will be referred to as Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT).
In this scenario, the movement of volume or OI past the current support or resistance level toward the
imaginary line causes a weakening in these levels. Let's analyze this concept in light of the illustrations
provided.
Illustrations Breakdown:
Resistance is located at strike price #4 due to the highest OI, but volume at strike price #7 is
weak toward the bottom (WTB) at strike price #3.
Support is located at strike price #3 due to the highest OI, and it remains strong.
Key Insight: Resistance at strike price #4 is weakening as volume at strike price #7 attempts to
cross lower, moving toward the imaginary line. However, the support at strike price #3 remains
strong due to the highest OI.
Resistance is located at strike price #5 due to the highest volume, and OI at strike price #7 is
weak toward the bottom (WTB) at strike price #6. However, this has no effect on resistance,
which remains strong.
Support is located at strike price #5 due to the highest OI, but volume at strike price #2 is weak
toward the top (WTT).
Key Insight: Support at strike price #5 is weakening because the volume at strike price #2 is
trying to move upward, nearing the imaginary line, while resistance remains strong due to the
highest volume at strike price #5.
Key Takeaways:
3. Strong Levels:
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Despite some weakness in volume or OI at different strike prices, resistance or support can
remain strong if the primary factor (volume or OI) remains dominant at the relevant strike
price.
For example, resistance at #5 remains strong in the second illustration because the
highest volume is still concentrated at that strike price.
This explanation highlights how the movement of volume or OI across support or resistance weakens
these levels as they approach the imaginary line. The analysis clarifies how this rare case affects
support and resistance, depending on whether they become weak toward the top (WTT) or weak
toward the bottom (WTB). Let me know if you'd like further details or examples!
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Analyze
Here's an analysis of Case 1 where support is of both open interest (OI) and volume, as illustrated
in the images.
If both open interest (OI) and volume form the basis of support and if either one attempts to
move toward In-The-Money (ITM), the support will be considered weak toward the top (WTT).
In this case, the weakening of either OI or volume toward the ITM positions as the price moves
upward signals a loss of strength in the support level.
Key Insight:
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When support is based on both volume and OI, and one of these factors moves toward ITM, the
level is classified as weak toward the top (WTT).
Illustration Breakdown:
Support - WTT:
Key Insight:
Both volume and OI are critical in determining the strength of support, but once either (or both)
show weakness as the market approaches the ITM strike prices, the support level loses strength
and is classified as WTT.
Key Takeaways:
This explanation provides insight into how support is affected when both volume and OI play a role
and how weakness toward the ITM price levels signals weakness toward the top (WTT). Let me know
if you need further details or clarification!
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Analyze
Here’s an analysis of Case 2, where both open interest (OI) and volume move out of the money
(OTM), and how this scenario is classified as weak toward the bottom (WTB).
Case 2: Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB) When Both OI and Volume Move Out of
The Money
If both open interest (OI) and volume move out of the money (OTM), this indicates that
support is classified as Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB).
However, if only one of these factors moves out of the money (either OI or volume), it is not
considered WTB. Both factors need to move OTM for the support to weaken.
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Key Insight:
Support will only be classified as WTB if both volume and OI show weakness by moving out of
the money.
If only one factor moves OTM, the support remains unaffected.
Illustration Breakdown:
Support - WTB:
Key Takeaways:
This explanation outlines how both volume and open interest (OI) need to move out of the money
(OTM) to classify support as weak toward the bottom (WTB). If only one factor shows weakness, the
support level remains unaffected. Let me know if you’d like further clarification or examples!
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Analyze
Here’s an analysis of Case 3 (Rare Case) where either volume or open interest (OI) is weak toward
In-the-Money (ITM), and the other is weak toward Out-of-the-Money (OTM). This situation results in
support being referred to as Weak Toward the Top (WTT).
If either volume or OI is weak toward In-the-Money (ITM) and the other is weak toward Out-
of-the-Money (OTM), the support level is typically referred to as Weak Toward the Top (WTT).
This situation happens when one of the key factors (volume or OI) weakens in opposite
directions, signaling that support is losing its strength as the price moves upward.
Key Insight:
If one factor (volume or OI) weakens toward ITM, and the other weakens toward OTM, this
conflicting behavior typically signals weakness toward the top for the support level.
Illustration Breakdown:
Support - Strong:
Key Insight:
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OI weakening toward the bottom at strike price #3 does not weaken the support level because
volume remains strong.
When both volume and OI are strong at a specific strike price (like strike price #4 in this case),
minor weakness in one of the factors at nearby strike prices doesn’t significantly affect the
support level.
Key Takeaways:
2. Strong Support:
In this case, the support at strike price #4 remains strong because both volume and OI are
strong at that level, despite OI showing weakness toward strike price #3.
As long as both volume and OI are strong at a specific level, nearby weakness in one of
these factors does not cause the overall support level to weaken significantly.
This explanation highlights how weakness in opposite directions (one factor weak toward ITM and
the other weak toward OTM) impacts the classification of support as Weak Toward the Top (WTT). In
this case, the support remains strong because both volume and OI are still strong at the relevant
strike price. Let me know if you'd like further details or clarification!
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Update image for Case 3 (Rare Case)
Here’s an updated explanation based on the Case 3 (Rare Case) illustration you've provided:
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Support - Weak Toward the Top (WTT):
Key Insight:
Even though support is strong at strike price #4 due to high volume and OI, the fact that
volume is weakening upward and OI is weakening downward contributes to classifying the
support level as WTT.
This updated explanation reflects the illustration you provided, detailing how the interaction between
OI and volume impacts the classification of support as Weak Toward the Top (WTT).
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Next
Analyze
Here’s a detailed analysis of Case 1 and Case 2 under the scenario where resistance is determined by
both open interest (OI) and volume:
If both open interest (OI) and volume attempt to move toward In-The-Money (ITM), the
resistance is considered Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB).
This means that when the price is rising and both OI and volume weaken as they approach ITM,
the resistance loses strength from the bottom.
Illustration Breakdown:
Resistance - WTB:
When both open interest (OI) and volume move Out of The Money (OTM), the resistance is
considered Weak Toward the Top (WTT).
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If only one factor moves OTM (either OI or volume), the resistance is not considered WTT. Both
must weaken together for the resistance to lose strength.
Illustration Breakdown:
Resistance - WTT:
Resistance - Strong:
Key Takeaways:
This analysis explains how resistance weakens depending on whether both OI and volume move
toward ITM (WTB) or OTM (WTT). It also highlights how only one factor weakening (either OI or
volume) does not affect the strength of the resistance level. Let me know if further details or
clarifications are needed!
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Analyze
Here’s a detailed analysis of Case 3 (Rare Case) where either volume or open interest (OI) shows
weakness toward In-the-Money (ITM), while the other shows weakness toward Out-of-the-Money
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(OTM). This situation typically results in resistance being classified as Weak Toward the Bottom
(WTB).
If either volume or OI shows weakness toward In-the-Money (ITM) and the other shows
weakness toward Out-of-the-Money (OTM), the resistance is referred to as Weak Toward the
Bottom (WTB).
This classification occurs because the combined weakening signals a lack of conviction in holding
the resistance level, making it susceptible to breaking down.
Key Insight:
The conflicting weakening behavior of OI and volume results in resistance losing strength from
the bottom. In this scenario, even though resistance may initially appear strong, the movement
of these factors indicates potential breakdown.
Illustration Breakdown:
Key Takeaways:
This explanation clarifies how resistance is classified as Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB) when both
volume and OI exhibit conflicting weakness (one toward ITM and the other toward OTM). The
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resistance becomes susceptible to breakdown due to the lack of strength from the bottom. Let me
know if you'd like further clarification or examples!
Great! What topic would you like to move on to next? Let me know, and we can dive right in.
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Analyze
Here’s a detailed analysis of the three kinds of support and resistance based on the illustrations
you’ve provided, focusing on Open Interest (OI), Volume, and the combination of both OI and
Volume.
Support or resistance that is determined solely by OI is often less reliable and has a greater
potential to be easily reduced.
When option writers start squaring off their positions at a strike price where support or
resistance is formed only by OI, this weakens the level.
As a result, support or resistance based only on OI can become weak and shift easily. This type
of support or resistance is not as trustworthy because of its instability.
Key Insight:
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Support or resistance made only by OI is subject to fluctuations when traders close positions,
leading to a lack of reliability. It is generally not considered strong enough to rely upon.
Support or resistance formed purely by volume is generally more reliable than OI alone
because volume does not decrease throughout the trading day.
The movement or shifting of support and resistance based on volume is more predictable since
volume is a more stable measure, increasing but not decreasing intraday.
Additionally, generating new volume at a different strike price takes time, meaning that the
current level is less likely to shift quickly, providing more stability.
Key Insight:
Volume-based support and resistance is considered more trustworthy than OI-based levels
because volume is stable during the trading session, making it easier to predict the strength of
the level.
Support or resistance formed by a combination of both volume and OI is considered the most
reliable.
If one factor (volume or OI) begins to shift, the other provides some stability, meaning the level
doesn’t weaken immediately. This combination is especially strong if both volume and OI are
high at the same strike price.
However, if either volume or OI starts to cross the imaginary line (for example, moving toward
In-the-Money (ITM)), this could lead to a weakening of the support or resistance.
Despite this potential for weakness, support or resistance made of both volume and OI takes
more time to shift, especially when compared to levels based solely on OI or volume.
Key Insight:
The combination of volume and OI provides the strongest and most reliable support and
resistance. However, if either factor (volume or OI) crosses the imaginary line, it can introduce
weakness, but this shift is generally slower than with just OI or volume alone.
Key Takeaways:
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Most reliable because it combines both factors, making it more resistant to sudden
changes.
However, if either volume or OI starts to move ITM, the level can weaken, but the shift is
slower than with just one factor.
This analysis breaks down the three kinds of support and resistance and how volume, OI, or a
combination of both affects the strength and reliability of these levels. Let me know if you need
further details or clarification!
Here’s how the information can be structured into a clear and detailed table:
This table captures the three kinds of support and resistance, highlighting their characteristics and
offering key insights for each. Let me know if any adjustments are needed!
Great
Thanks
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You're welcome! I'm glad you found it helpful. If you have more questions or need further assistance
in the future,
New Topic
Great! Let me know the new topic you’d like to explore, and we’ll dive right into it.
From the data provided in the 9 Scenarios COA 1.0, here’s what can be understood:
Trading Approach: The market is balanced with both strong support and resistance.
Key Action: Trades should focus on Extensions of Support (EOS) and Extensions of Resistance
(EOR).
Buying a Call Option (CE): Buy when the market is at its EOS (bottom).
Buying a Put Option (PE): Buy when the market is at its EOR (top).
Market Condition: Resistance is WTB, creating downward pressure, and the support might
break.
Key Action:
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Buying PE: Focus on buying PE when the market is at EOR (top).
Avoid Buying CE: It can be risky, especially on EOS, as the market may fall further.
Market Condition: The pressure is upward, with a likelihood of resistance being broken.
Key Action:
Buying CE: Focus on buying from every bottom as the market might rise.
Avoid Buying PE on EOR: It may lead to a trap as the market is likely to break the
resistance.
Market Condition: Support is WTB, with the possibility of support breaking and the market
falling.
Key Action:
Buying PE: Buy from EOR.
Avoid Buying CE: It can be risky to buy CE on EOS due to downward pressure.
Market Condition: Support is WTT, with the market likely to break resistance and rise.
Key Action:
Buying CE: Focus on buying from EOS and every bottom.
Avoid Buying PE: It can trap you as the market is expected to rise.
Market Condition: Both support and resistance are WTB, indicating a possible severe drop
(bloodbath).
Key Action:
Buying PE: Buy from every top as the market is likely to fall continuously.
Avoid Buying CE: It can lead to a significant trap in this scenario.
Market Condition: Both support and resistance are WTT, signaling a potential bull run where
the market continues to rise.
Key Action:
Buying CE: Buy from every bottom as the market is likely to rise.
Avoid Buying PE: It can result in losses as the market might rise significantly.
Market Condition: The market is in confusion as support is WTT and resistance is WTB.
Key Action:
Avoid Trading: It is not advisable to buy CE or PE in this scenario, as the market is
unpredictable.
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Key Action:
Avoid Trading: Similar to the previous scenario, buying CE or PE can trap you due to
market uncertainty.
Key Takeaways:
These scenarios aim to help traders recognize the market's condition and make informed decisions
about when to buy Call or Put options, or when to stay out of the market entirely to avoid traps. Let
me know if you'd like more details on a specific scenario!
In the provided PDF, "COA 1.0," there are nine specific market scenarios that provide guidance on how
to trade based on the condition of support and resistance. Let's analyze these scenarios in more
detail:
Trading Strategy:
When support and resistance are both strong, trades can be executed using the Extensions
of Support (EOS) and Extensions of Resistance (EOR).
Call Option (CE): Buy when the market is at its EOS (bottom).
Put Option (PE): Buy when the market is at its EOR (top).
Key Insight: The market will likely oscillate between support and resistance, making it
predictable for trades.
Market Condition: Resistance is WTB, placing downward pressure on support. If the support
breaks, the market will likely fall.
Trading Strategy:
PE: Buy when the market is at its EOR (top), as the resistance is weakening.
Avoid Buying CE: Purchasing a call option at EOS may lead to a trap because the market is
more likely to fall.
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Market Condition: Resistance is WTT, putting upward pressure on the market. Resistance
might be broken, leading to an upward movement.
Trading Strategy:
CE: Buy from every bottom, as the market is likely to rise.
PE: Avoid buying a put option at EOR because the upward pressure may result in a trap.
Market Condition: Support is WTB, making it vulnerable to breaking. The market may fall.
Trading Strategy:
PE: Buy from EOR (top) since support is weak and the market may drop.
Avoid Buying CE: Avoid call options at EOS as this can lead to losses if the support fails.
Market Condition: Support is WTT, pushing upward. The resistance might break, and the market
could rise.
Trading Strategy:
CE: Buy from EOS (bottom) or every market low.
PE: Avoid put options at EOS because the market is likely to rise.
Market Condition: Both support and resistance are WTB, suggesting a bloodbath scenario,
where the market continues to fall.
Trading Strategy:
PE: Buy from every top.
Avoid Buying CE: The market may continue to decline, making call options a trap.
Market Condition: Both support and resistance are WTT, indicating a potential bull run, with
the market continuing to rise.
Trading Strategy:
CE: Buy from every bottom.
Avoid Buying PE: A put option in this scenario may result in significant losses.
Market Condition: The market is in a confused state, with conflicting pressures (WTT and WTB).
Trading Strategy:
Avoid Trading: It is better to observe the market because it is highly unpredictable. Buying
on either side (CE or PE) could lead to a trap.
Market Condition: Similar to scenario 8, the market is confused, making predictions difficult.
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Trading Strategy:
Avoid Trading: It is safer to wait and observe the market's direction, as buying either a call
or put option can result in losses.
Key Takeaways:
Strong Support/Resistance: The market will likely oscillate, and trades can be made on EOS and
EOR levels.
Weak Toward Bottom (WTB): Focus on put options when resistance or support shows WTB, as
the market is more likely to fall.
Weak Toward Top (WTT): The market may break resistance and rise, favoring call options.
Confused Market: Avoid trading when both support and resistance are WTB/WTT, as the market
can behave unpredictably.
These scenarios provide traders with insights on when to take strategic actions based on the condition
of support and resistance. Let me know if you need a deeper dive into any specific scenario!
Explain each point in deep detail for better and deeper understanding.
Let's dive into each of the 9 Scenarios in COA 1.0 with deeper explanations to provide a better
understanding of how support and resistance affect trading strategies, particularly with regard to Call
Options (CE) and Put Options (PE). We'll break down each scenario in detail and analyze how market
behavior influences decision-making.
Market Condition: Both support and resistance levels are strong, meaning that both buyers and
sellers are holding firm at key price levels. The market is well-balanced, and price fluctuations are
likely to stay within a defined range.
What Happens: The market will likely oscillate between these strong support and resistance
levels without significant breakouts or breakdowns.
Trading Strategy:
Buy CE at EOS: When the market hits Extension of Support (EOS), it is at a low point, and a
reversal is expected. Buying a Call Option at this point gives you the opportunity to benefit
from a price rise.
Buy PE at EOR: When the market hits Extension of Resistance (EOR), it is at a high point,
and a reversal is expected. Buying a Put Option allows you to profit from the expected
price drop.
Key Insight: Since both support and resistance are strong, the market will bounce between
these levels, making it predictable for trades on both sides.
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Market Condition: Resistance is Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB), meaning the sellers at the
resistance level are losing strength. While support remains strong, the weakness in resistance
increases the likelihood that the market will break downwards if support fails.
What Happens: The market is more likely to fall as resistance loses strength and puts downward
pressure on support. If support eventually breaks, a significant drop in the market is expected.
Trading Strategy:
Buy PE at EOR: Since resistance is weakening, it’s better to buy a Put Option when the
market reaches EOR, as the chances of a downward movement are high.
Avoid Buying CE at EOS: Even though support is strong, there is a high risk of being
trapped if the market breaks below support.
Selling from Every Top: Given the WTB nature of resistance, every rise to the resistance
level offers a good opportunity to sell or go short.
Key Insight: The pressure from weak resistance may cause the market to fall, so the focus
should be on selling or taking advantage of downward price movements.
Market Condition: Resistance is Weak Toward the Top (WTT), which means that sellers at the
resistance level are not holding firm. There is a higher chance of resistance being broken, and
the market is more likely to move upward.
What Happens: The market is more likely to rise as the weak resistance allows for upward
momentum. The strong support at the bottom keeps the market from falling.
Trading Strategy:
Buy CE from Every Bottom: Since resistance is weak and likely to break, buying a Call
Option whenever the market reaches a low point ensures you can capitalize on the upward
movement.
Avoid Buying PE at EOR: The market is likely to break through resistance, so buying a Put
Option at the top can lead to a trap as the price continues to rise.
Using EOS to Buy PE: While possible, the risk of getting trapped is higher.
Key Insight: When resistance is weak and support is strong, the market is likely to rise. Focus on
buying Call Options and avoid going short.
Market Condition: Support is Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB), indicating that buyers at the
support level are not as strong. The market is likely to break downward if enough selling
pressure occurs. Resistance, however, is strong and holds firm.
What Happens: The market is more likely to fall because the weak support level cannot hold up
against selling pressure.
Trading Strategy:
Buy PE from EOR: The market is more likely to fall, so buying a Put Option at the EOR level
is a safer strategy to profit from the downward movement.
Avoid Buying CE at EOS: Since support is weak, buying a Call Option at the bottom could
result in a trap if the support breaks and the price continues to fall.
Sell from Every Top: Since resistance is strong, selling whenever the market hits the
resistance level is a good strategy.
Key Insight: In this scenario, focus on selling or shorting the market because the weak support
makes it likely for prices to fall.
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5. Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT) / Resistance Strong
Market Condition: Support is Weak Toward the Top (WTT), meaning buyers are not strong
enough to prevent the market from rising. Resistance is strong but may eventually break under
upward pressure.
What Happens: The market is likely to rise, as the weak support fails to hold prices down and
resistance is tested multiple times.
Trading Strategy:
Buy CE at EOS: Buying a Call Option when the market hits the EOS ensures you’re
positioned to take advantage of the expected upward movement.
Avoid Buying PE: Since the market is more likely to rise, buying a Put Option at EOS could
lead to a trap.
Buy from Every Bottom: Every dip in the market presents a buying opportunity.
Key Insight: The market is likely to push higher due to the weak support at the top. Focus on
buying Call Options and avoid shorting the market.
Market Condition: Both support and resistance are Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB),
suggesting that neither buyers nor sellers are strong enough to hold key price levels. The market
is prone to significant drops.
What Happens: A bloodbath is possible, with the market continuously falling as both support
and resistance fail.
Trading Strategy:
Buy PE from Every Top: Since the market is likely to fall, buying Put Options at the top of
each rise is a safe strategy.
Avoid Buying CE: Buying a Call Option in this scenario is dangerous because the market is
unlikely to rise.
Sell from Every Top: Since the market is likely to drop, selling at every resistance level is a
good strategy.
Key Insight: This is a bearish market where the focus should be on shorting or buying Put
Options. Buying Call Options can lead to significant losses.
Market Condition: Both support and resistance are Weak Toward the Top (WTT), indicating a
potential bull run where prices continue to rise due to a lack of resistance.
What Happens: The market is likely to keep rising, with both support and resistance failing to
prevent upward momentum.
Trading Strategy:
Buy CE from Every Bottom: Since the market is likely to rise, buying Call Options at every
low point is a safe strategy.
Avoid Buying PE: The market is likely to rise, making Put Options risky and potentially
leading to losses.
Key Insight: This is a bullish market where the focus should be on buying Call Options. Avoid
shorting the market.
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Market Condition: The market is in a confused state, with conflicting pressures from both
sides. Support is WTT, suggesting upward movement, while resistance is WTB, indicating
downward pressure.
What Happens: The market becomes unpredictable and is difficult to trade. It may swing in
either direction.
Trading Strategy:
Avoid Trading: It is better to observe the market rather than take a position. Trading either
CE or PE can lead to a trap due to the lack of clear direction.
Key Insight: Avoid making trades when the market is in this confused state, as the outcome is
too unpredictable.
Market Condition: Similar to scenario 8, the market is in a confused state, with support
weakening from below and resistance weakening from the top.
What Happens: The market lacks direction and can swing unpredictably.
Trading Strategy:
Avoid Trading: It’s better to wait and observe the market rather than make a risky trade.
Neither CE nor PE positions are advisable, as they can lead to losses.
Key Insight: In a confused market, it’s best to avoid taking any positions until a clear direction is
established.
Strong Support/Resistance: Use EOS/EOR to buy CE and PE respectively. The market is stable
and oscillating between strong levels.
WTB Resistance: Focus on Put Options as the market is likely to fall.
WTT Resistance: Favor Call Options as the market may rise.
Confused Markets: Avoid trading in scenarios where both support and resistance are WTT/WTB,
as the market is unpredictable.
These detailed explanations should help in making more informed trading decisions depending on
the market scenario. Let me know if you need further clarification!
Here’s a detailed table summarizing the 9 Scenarios in COA 1.0 for deeper understanding and better
visualization:
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Scenario Market Condition Trading Strategy Key Insight
- Buy PE at EOR.
- Avoid Buying CE Focus on selling or shorting
2. Support Strong Resistance is WTB, putting
at EOS. due to weakening resistance.
/ Resistance WTB downward pressure on support.
- Sell from every Support might break.
top.
- Buy CE from
every bottom.
The market is likely to rise as
3. Support Strong Resistance is WTT, allowing - Avoid Buying PE
resistance may break. Avoid
/ Resistance WTT upward pressure. at EOR.
shorting.
- Use EOS to buy
PE carefully.
- Buy PE from EOR.
4. Support WTB / - Avoid Buying CE The market is more likely to
Support is WTB, making it
Resistance at EOS. fall, focus on shorting or
vulnerable.
Strong - Sell from every selling.
top.
- Buy CE at EOS.
5. Support WTT / The market is likely to rise as
Support is WTT, pushing - Buy from every
Resistance resistance may break. Focus on
upward. bottom.
Strong buying CE.
- Avoid Buying PE.
- Buy PE from
Both support and resistance every top. A bearish market likely to fall
6. Support WTB /
are WTB, indicating a potential - Avoid Buying CE. continuously. Focus on selling
Resistance WTB
sharp fall. - Sell from every or shorting.
top.
Both support and resistance - Buy CE from
7. Support WTT / A bullish market likely to rise.
are WTT, indicating a potential every bottom.
Resistance WTT Focus on buying CE.
bull run. - Avoid Buying PE.
The market is confused with - Avoid trading.
The market is unpredictable.
8. Support WTT / conflicting pressures from - Observe the
Avoid taking positions in such
Resistance WTB support (WTT) and resistance market without
scenarios.
(WTB). taking a position.
The market is confused with - Avoid trading.
The market is unpredictable.
9. Support WTB / conflicting pressures from - Observe the
Avoid taking positions in such
Resistance WTT support (WTB) and resistance market without
scenarios.
(WTT). taking a position.
Market Condition: Describes the state of the market, particularly the behavior of support and
resistance.
Trading Strategy: Specific advice on whether to buy Call Options (CE) or Put Options (PE) and
what to avoid.
Key Insight: Explains why certain strategies work and what to be cautious about in each
scenario.
This table should make it easier to understand the different trading strategies and scenarios based on
support and resistance conditions. Let me know if you'd like any further adjustments!
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Great
I'm glad you found it helpful! If you have more questions or need assistance with another topic, feel
free to ask. I'm here to help!
Now guide me how should i organise everything in a structured way in apple notes
To organize everything in a structured way in Apple Notes, it's important to create a clear and easy-to-
navigate system so that you can quickly access your trading strategies, market scenarios, and notes.
Here's a step-by-step guide to organizing your notes effectively:
Inside your Trading Strategies folder, you can create subfolders to further organize your notes. Some
suggestions:
Scenarios
This folder can hold detailed notes about the 9 Scenarios of COA 1.0, with a separate note
for each scenario.
Market Analysis
Use this folder for daily, weekly, or monthly market analysis.
Trading Strategies
Use this folder for specific trading strategies (Call/Put Options, Extensions of
Support/Resistance, etc.).
Learning Resources
Store your learning material, such as articles, key concepts, or insights from books.
Trading Journal
Use this folder to track your trades, including successes, lessons learned, and adjustments
made.
For each of the 9 Scenarios from COA 1.0, you can create a separate note with clear sections to
understand them easily. Here’s a format for each scenario:
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Market Condition: Write down the main characteristics of this scenario.
Trading Strategy: Add the trading recommendations (e.g., Buy CE at EOS, Buy PE at EOR).
Key Insight: Add a summary of why this strategy works in this scenario.
Visual Aids (Optional): Attach relevant charts or screenshots if needed.
Create a note like this for each of the 9 scenarios, so they’re easily accessible and organized.
4. Adding Checklists
Apple Notes allows you to add checklists. You can create checklists for your daily trading
actions. For example:
Analyze current market condition.
Check resistance and support levels.
Review strategies for today’s scenario (based on COA 1.0).
Track trade outcomes.
You can use tags to quickly locate specific notes. For instance, tag notes related to Call Options
as "#CE" and those related to Put Options as "#PE". This way, a quick search of these tags will
pull up all relevant notes.
Use bold or highlight key takeaways from each scenario or strategy. This makes the information easy
to skim and ensures that important points stand out.
Create a note for your Daily Trading Routine. You can include:
Review market conditions.
Check relevant COA scenarios.
Decision-making process for trades.
Reflection on trades taken.
Apple Notes syncs automatically via iCloud, but make sure iCloud Backup is turned on for your Notes.
This will ensure that your structured trading strategies and notes are always accessible from all your
Apple devices.
Market Condition:
Trading Strategy:
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Buy CE at EOS (market bottom).
Buy PE at EOR (market top).
Key Insight:
Apple Notes allows you to link between notes. For example, if you're analyzing a market condition and
want to reference Scenario 2, you can link the note for easy navigation.
Final Thoughts:
By creating a clear folder system, using tags, and formatting your notes with titles, bold text, and
checklists, you can structure your notes efficiently in Apple Notes. This setup will help you easily
navigate through your trading strategies, market scenarios, and daily trading routines.
Now guide me how should i organise all notes in a structured way From the beginning to end in
notion
Organizing your trading strategies and analysis in Notion allows for even greater flexibility and
structure than Apple Notes. Here's how you can organize everything from the beginning to the end in
a clear, structured way:
First, create a main workspace for all your trading strategies and notes. You can title it something like
"Trading Strategies and COA Analysis".
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2. Set Up a Main Dashboard
In Notion, you can create a dashboard that acts as the central hub for all your notes and strategies.
This is your go-to page where everything is linked for easy access. Here's how to structure the main
dashboard:
Today's Market Condition: A place where you can add your daily market analysis.
COA Scenarios: A dedicated section to access the 9 market scenarios.
Trading Strategies: A section to access detailed notes on strategies like Call Options (CE), Put
Options (PE), Extensions of Support (EOS), and Resistance (EOR).
Trading Journal: A section to log your daily trades, results, and reflections.
Each section in the dashboard can be linked to subpages for deeper exploration. Here are the
subpages you should create:
Create a page called COA Scenarios and list all the 9 market scenarios here. You can also add a linked
database with the following structure for each scenario:
Example of Scenario 1:
This page should hold detailed notes and strategies for trading:
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Call Options (CE) Strategy
Put Options (PE) Strategy
Extensions of Support (EOS) Strategy
Extensions of Resistance (EOR) Strategy
Each of these sections can be a subpage where you go into detail about how to execute trades, what
to look for, and what to avoid. Include example scenarios, steps, and key indicators.
This is where you can log your daily market analysis. You can create a template that you can use
every day for consistency:
Use this daily template to ensure that every day’s market analysis is well-organized and actionable.
Logging your trades and reflecting on them is essential. Set up a trading journal in a database
format, where each entry tracks key details about your trades.
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4. Add Linked Databases
Notion allows you to link databases across different pages. You can create a master database for all
your COA scenarios, market analyses, and trades. Then, link specific notes to the relevant pages.
For example:
On your COA Scenarios page, you can link specific daily market analyses.
In the Trading Journal, you can link specific strategies from the Trading Strategies subpage.
This ensures that all your work stays connected and easy to navigate.
Tables are useful for listing scenarios and strategies. You can create a table within Notion to compare
different scenarios, key actions, and insights.
You can also use toggle lists to hide or reveal details, making it easier to keep your notes organized
and visually clean.
Notion allows you to create templates for recurring processes. For example, you can make a template
for your daily trading journal or market analysis so that every day you can just click "Use Template"
and have a structured page ready to fill in.
Use tags (via properties in databases) to classify your notes for easy filtering. For example:
This will allow you to filter your notes by specific tags and find relevant information quickly.
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4. Based on the scenario, navigate to the Trading Strategy section and review the appropriate
strategy (e.g., Call Option, Put Option).
5. After trading, log your results in the Trading Journal, noting what went well and what can be
improved.
6. Repeat this process daily to keep everything structured and optimized.
Conclusion
By following this system in Notion, you’ll have a fully structured, organized, and easy-to-use setup for
your trading notes, market scenarios, strategies, and journal entries. This method ensures that
everything you need is readily accessible and well-organized for efficient trading.
Let me know if you’d like more specific advice on structuring anything within Notion!
To help you get started with your Notion template for organizing your trading strategies, scenarios,
and notes, I'll provide a structured template outline. You can copy-paste this into your Notion
workspace and customize it as per your needs.
1. Main Dashboard
Create a main page named Trading Strategies and COA Analysis. This will be your central
dashboard with links to subpages.
Dashboard Template:
yaml
## 🌟
Daily Trading Overview
[ ] Analyze today’s market condition.
[ ] Check relevant COA scenario.
[ ] Review today's trading strategy.
---
## 📊
COA Market Scenarios
Quick access to COA 1.0 scenarios.
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- [Scenario 1: Support Strong / Resistance Strong →](#link-to-scenario1)
- [Scenario 2: Support Strong / Resistance WTB →](#link-to-scenario2)
- ...
---
## 💡
Trading Strategies
Your key trading strategies.
- [Call Options Strategy →](#link-to-call-options-strategy)
- [Put Options Strategy →](#link-to-put-options-strategy)
- [Extensions of Support (EOS) →](#link-to-eos-strategy)
- [Extensions of Resistance (EOR) →](#link-to-eor-strategy)
---
## 📒
Trading Journal
Log your trades and reflections.
- [View Trading Journal →](#link-to-trading-journal)
Create a subpage for COA Market Scenarios. This page contains notes on each scenario, with links
and detailed explanations.
yaml
---
---
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This page will hold detailed notes on your strategies for Call Options (CE), Put Options (PE), Extensions
of Support (EOS), and Extensions of Resistance (EOR).
yaml
# 💡 Trading Strategies
## Call Options (CE) Strategy
### Key Indicators:
- Check for strong support.
- Identify EOS (market bottom).
---
---
---
Create a template for your daily market analysis. You can reuse this template every day to keep track
of your market observations and strategies.
yaml
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### 1. Market Condition
- Briefly describe the current market scenario (e.g., Support WTT / Resistance WTB).
---
Create a database in Notion for logging your trades. This is a highly structured way to track your
trades, results, and reflections.
You can now link all the subpages and notes together. On your main dashboard, create links to:
In Notion, this helps create a seamless experience where all relevant information is interlinked.
Final Notes
You can take these templates and copy-paste them into your Notion workspace. Customize them
further by adding databases, visuals, and linked pages to keep everything organized.
Let me know if you need more assistance with the setup or customization!
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COA 1.0 POP-COA 1.0.pdf
PDF
In Scenario 1 of the COA 1.0, the market condition is characterized by both strong support and
strong resistance, creating a stable range within which the market is likely to oscillate. Let’s break
down this scenario in detail:
1. Market Condition
Support Strong: Buyers at lower levels (support) are holding firm. This means that when the
price reaches the support level, it's likely to bounce back upward due to strong buying interest.
Resistance Strong: Sellers at higher levels (resistance) are equally strong. When the price
reaches the resistance level, it's likely to face selling pressure and reverse downward.
This creates a range-bound market, where price movement is contained between the strong support
and resistance levels. The market oscillates up and down, bouncing off these two levels without a
breakout or breakdown.
2. Trading Strategy
When to Buy: When the market reaches its Extension of Support (EOS), it signals that the price
is near a bottom. This is the safest point to buy a Call Option (CE) because the strong support
level will likely prevent further price declines, and the price is expected to rise.
Why It Works: Strong support at the EOS level provides a reliable opportunity for traders to
enter long positions, as the market is likely to reverse upward from this point.
When to Buy: When the market reaches its Extension of Resistance (EOR), it is a signal that the
price has reached a peak. At this point, buying a Put Option (PE) is a good strategy because the
strong resistance level is expected to push the price back down.
Why It Works: The strong resistance at the EOR level prevents the price from rising further,
making this an optimal point to enter short positions.
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3. Risk Management
In this scenario, the market is predictable, and trades should be based on clear signals from support
and resistance levels. However, there are always risks:
Set Stop-Losses:
For CE Trades: Place your stop-loss just below the support level. If the price breaks below
this level, it indicates that the support has failed, and the market may continue to fall.
For PE Trades: Place your stop-loss just above the resistance level. If the price breaks above
this level, the resistance has failed, and the market may rise further.
Avoid Overtrading: Stick to trades that occur at EOS (for CE) and EOR (for PE). Avoid entering
trades in the middle of the range, as the price could move unpredictably between these levels.
4. Key Insights
Predictability: In a scenario where both support and resistance are strong, the market behaves
predictably, bouncing between the two levels. This allows traders to execute trades with
confidence at well-defined points.
Limited Breakouts: Breakouts and breakdowns are less likely in this scenario because both
buyers and sellers are equally strong. The market is likely to stay range-bound, making this
scenario ideal for range trading strategies.
Support at ₹100: This is where buyers are strong, and the price is expected to rise from this
level. At this point, you would buy a Call Option (CE).
Resistance at ₹120: Sellers are strong here, and the price is likely to reverse downward. At this
point, you would buy a Put Option (PE).
Summary of Scenario 1:
By focusing on the Extensions of Support (EOS) and Extensions of Resistance (EOR), traders can
make informed decisions and reduce risk in this scenario.
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great Explain Scenario 2 in detail
In Scenario 2 of COA 1.0, the market condition involves strong support but weak resistance toward
the bottom (WTB). This creates a situation where the market is likely to experience downward
pressure, making it crucial for traders to focus on opportunities for shorting the market. Let’s break
this down in detail:
1. Market Condition
Support Strong: The buyers at the support level are holding firm, meaning the market is unlikely
to break below this level easily. Whenever the price approaches the support level, strong buying
interest should cause it to bounce back upward.
Resistance Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): The sellers at the resistance level are losing
strength, particularly toward the lower price points. This weakness creates downward pressure
on the market, making it more likely that the price will fall or that the resistance level won’t hold
if the market rises.
This scenario indicates that while the market has solid support at lower levels, it faces a high
likelihood of resistance breaking and pushing the price downward if the support doesn’t hold.
2. Trading Strategy
When to Buy: In this scenario, you should look to buy a Put Option (PE) when the market
reaches its Extension of Resistance (EOR). Even though the support is strong, the weakening
resistance creates an opportunity for the price to reverse and move downward.
Why It Works: Since the resistance is weak toward the bottom, there’s a strong possibility that
any upward move will be short-lived. The market may hit the resistance level and then fall,
making this an ideal scenario for shorting the market by buying PE.
Why to Avoid: Buying a Call Option (CE) at the Extension of Support (EOS) could be a trap in
this scenario. While the support is strong, the weak resistance means that upward movements
will likely be limited, and there’s a high risk of the market reversing downward.
When to Sell: Every time the market reaches a high point near the resistance, it’s a good
opportunity to sell or short. The weakness in resistance makes it difficult for the market to rise
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significantly, so capitalizing on each peak is an effective strategy.
3. Risk Management
A. Setting Stop-Losses:
For PE Trades: Place your stop-loss slightly above the resistance level. If the price breaks above
resistance, it indicates that the market might be moving upward despite the weak resistance,
and the trade may become unprofitable.
For CE Trades: Since you should avoid buying CE in this scenario, there is no need to set stop-
losses for Call Option trades here.
B. Risk of Traps:
Avoiding CE Traps: One of the biggest risks in this scenario is getting trapped in a Call Option
when the price bounces off strong support but fails to rise due to weak resistance. The weak
resistance at higher levels could cause the market to reverse and fall even after a brief upward
movement.
4. Key Insights
Downward Pressure from Weak Resistance: In this scenario, the weak resistance creates a
significant downward pressure on the market. Even though the support is strong, the market
might fail to rise significantly and could fall if the support gives way.
Focus on Shorting: The key strategy here is to focus on shorting the market or buying Put
Options at every high point, especially at EOR. The weak resistance will likely push the price
downward after any upward movement.
Risk of Limited Upward Movement: Because resistance is weak toward the bottom, even if the
market bounces off strong support, the upward movement is likely to be limited. Therefore,
trying to capitalize on Call Options (CE) in this scenario could be risky.
Imagine the market is oscillating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance):
Support at ₹100: This is the strong support level, where the price is likely to bounce upward.
Resistance at ₹120: This resistance level is weak toward the bottom, meaning the market might
struggle to push past this point. When the market reaches this level, it’s more likely to reverse
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downward.
Action Plan:
Buy PE at ₹120 (EOR): Since resistance is weak and the market is more likely to fall from
this level, buying a Put Option at the top allows you to profit from the downward
movement.
Avoid Buying CE at ₹100 (EOS): Even though support is strong, the weak resistance
reduces the likelihood of a sustained upward movement.
Summary of Scenario 2:
In this scenario, your focus should be on taking advantage of shorting opportunities, as the weak
resistance makes the market more prone to falling after every rise.
Let me know if you'd like further details or clarification on any specific point!
In Scenario 3 of COA 1.0, the market is characterized by strong support and resistance that is weak
toward the top (WTT). This creates a bullish environment where the market is more likely to rise as
the weak resistance allows upward momentum, while strong support ensures that any downside is
limited.
1. Market Condition
Support Strong: The buyers at the support level are holding firm, meaning that when the price
falls toward the support level, there is strong buying interest, and the market is likely to bounce
back upward. Strong support reduces the risk of a breakdown.
Resistance Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Sellers at the resistance level are losing strength,
particularly at the higher price points. This weakness allows the market to break through
resistance more easily and push upward.
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This creates an environment where the market has strong upward potential because the resistance is
likely to break while the support remains solid.
2. Trading Strategy
When to Buy: Since the market is likely to push upward, you should buy a Call Option (CE)
whenever the market approaches a low point or its Extension of Support (EOS). With the
support being strong and the resistance being weak toward the top, the price is likely to rise.
Why It Works: Strong support ensures that the market will not fall significantly, while weak
resistance allows for a potential breakout. This makes it safer to buy CE from every bottom, as
upward momentum is more likely to continue.
Why to Avoid: Since resistance is weak, it is likely that the market will break through the
resistance level. This makes it risky to buy a Put Option (PE) at the Extension of Resistance
(EOR), as the price may continue rising beyond resistance, trapping short sellers.
When to Sell: Even though the market is likely to rise, it’s still important to take profits at higher
levels, particularly when the price reaches EOR. Since resistance is weak, the market might still
experience some short-term pullbacks from the top.
3. Risk Management
A. Setting Stop-Losses:
For CE Trades: Place your stop-loss just below the support level. Strong support should prevent
the market from falling too far, but in the unlikely event that the market breaks below support,
you want to minimize your losses.
For PE Trades: Since it’s risky to buy Put Options in this scenario, avoid them altogether, and
hence, no need to set stop-losses for PE trades.
B. Risk of CE Traps:
Avoiding Traps: There is less risk of getting trapped in a Call Option in this scenario because the
upward pressure from weak resistance makes it easier for the market to rise. However, you
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should still monitor market movements closely and take profits at resistance levels to avoid
being caught in a reversal.
4. Key Insights
Upward Momentum Due to Weak Resistance: In this scenario, the weak resistance at the top
creates an opportunity for the market to break out and rise. The strong support at lower levels
means that the market is well-supported and unlikely to fall significantly, making Call Options
(CE) the safer bet.
Focus on Buying CE: Since resistance is weak and support is strong, the market has a higher
probability of rising. The primary focus should be on buying Call Options at low points or EOS
levels to capitalize on upward movements.
Limited Downside Risk: The strong support reduces the risk of significant downward
movement. This makes the risk/reward ratio for buying CE favorable because even if the price
falls, the strong support level is expected to hold.
Let’s imagine the market is oscillating between ₹100 (support) and ₹130 (resistance):
Support at ₹100: This is the strong support level where the price is expected to bounce upward.
You can buy a Call Option (CE) at this point, expecting the price to rise.
Resistance at ₹130: The resistance is weak toward the top, meaning the price could easily break
through this level and continue rising.
Action Plan:
Buy CE at ₹100 (EOS): Since the market has strong support at ₹100, this is the ideal point to
buy a Call Option in anticipation of a rise.
Avoid Buying PE at ₹130 (EOR): Even though the price reaches resistance at ₹130, the
weakness of the resistance makes it risky to buy Put Options. The market could break
through this level and continue rising, trapping short sellers.
6. Additional Considerations
A. Breakout Potential
Resistance Weakness: The weak resistance in this scenario increases the probability of a
breakout. Traders should be prepared for the market to rise above the resistance level and push
into new territory. In these cases, setting higher profit targets can help maximize gains.
B. Short-Term Pullbacks
Even though resistance is weak, short-term pullbacks are still possible as the market tests
resistance. It’s important to take profits at strategic points (such as EOR or just below resistance)
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to lock in gains, especially if you’re trading on shorter timeframes.
Since support is strong, every dip in the market presents an opportunity to buy CE. Look for
price action around the EOS level to identify low points where the market is likely to bounce.
Summary of Scenario 3:
This scenario is ideal for bullish trades, as the market is likely to rise due to the combination of strong
support and weak resistance.
In Scenario 4 of COA 1.0, the market is characterized by weak support toward the bottom (WTB)
and strong resistance. This creates a bearish environment where the market is more likely to fall
because the support is fragile and vulnerable to breaking, while resistance is holding firm, preventing
upward movement.
1. Market Condition
Support Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): The buyers at the support level are losing strength,
especially near the bottom of the range. This weak support means that the market is prone to
breaking through the support level, making it more likely that the price will fall.
Resistance Strong: Sellers at the resistance level are strong and firm, meaning that upward
price movements are likely to be capped. The market will struggle to rise above this level,
creating a ceiling for price action.
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This scenario suggests that the market is more likely to fall because the weak support cannot hold up
against selling pressure, while the strong resistance prevents upward movement.
2. Trading Strategy
When to Buy: The best strategy in this scenario is to buy a Put Option (PE) when the market
reaches its Extension of Resistance (EOR). With the support being weak, there is a strong
likelihood that the market will fall after reaching resistance.
Why It Works: The strong resistance level ensures that the price is unlikely to break higher, and
with weak support below, the market is more likely to reverse and fall. Buying PE at EOR allows
you to profit from this downward movement.
Why to Avoid: It’s risky to buy a Call Option (CE) at the Extension of Support (EOS) in this
scenario because the weak support makes it highly likely that the market will break below the
support level. Even though the price may temporarily bounce off support, the chances of a
breakdown are higher, making CE a dangerous trade.
When to Sell: Every time the market reaches a high point near the resistance or EOR, it’s an
opportunity to sell or go short. The strong resistance makes it difficult for the market to push
higher, and the weak support means that any upward movement is likely to reverse quickly.
3. Risk Management
A. Setting Stop-Losses:
For PE Trades: Place your stop-loss slightly above the resistance level. Since resistance is strong,
it should hold the price down. If the price breaks above resistance, it means that the market may
continue rising, and you want to limit your losses.
For CE Trades: Since it’s risky to buy Call Options in this scenario, you should avoid them
altogether to minimize the risk of losses.
B. Risk of CE Traps:
Avoiding Traps: One of the biggest risks in this scenario is getting trapped in a Call Option
when the market briefly bounces off support but then breaks down due to the weak support.
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This scenario favors Put Options, so traders should avoid buying CE to avoid getting caught in a
false rebound.
4. Key Insights
Downward Pressure Due to Weak Support: In this scenario, the weak support means that the
market is vulnerable to falling. Even if the market temporarily bounces off support, the lack of
strong buying interest makes it likely that the support will eventually break.
Focus on Shorting: The primary strategy here is to focus on shorting the market or buying Put
Options at EOR. The strong resistance will cap upward movements, while the weak support will
likely fail, leading to a downward price movement.
Limited Upward Movement: Since resistance is strong, the market will struggle to rise. Any
upward movement will be short-lived, making it important to sell or go short whenever the
market reaches a top.
Let’s imagine the market is oscillating between ₹100 (support) and ₹130 (resistance):
Support at ₹100: This support level is weak toward the bottom, meaning the market is likely to
break below this level if there is sufficient selling pressure.
Resistance at ₹130: The resistance level is strong, meaning the price will struggle to break above
it. This creates a ceiling for price action, making it difficult for the market to rise.
Action Plan:
Buy PE at ₹130 (EOR): Since the resistance is strong and the market is more likely to fall,
buying a Put Option at the top allows you to profit from the downward movement.
Avoid Buying CE at ₹100 (EOS): Even though the price might bounce off the weak support,
the chances of a breakdown are high. Avoid buying Call Options in this scenario.
6. Additional Considerations
Weak Support: The weak support in this scenario increases the likelihood of a breakdown.
Traders should be prepared for the market to fall below support, leading to further downward
momentum. This makes Put Options a safer choice.
Since the market is more likely to fall, traders should take advantage of shorting opportunities.
Selling at resistance levels or after a brief rally provides an opportunity to lock in profits before
the market continues to fall.
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C. Limited Bounce Potential
While there may be short-term bounces off weak support, they are unlikely to be sustained.
Traders should be cautious of false rallies and focus on shorting rather than attempting to profit
from brief upward movements.
Summary of Scenario 4:
Support: Weak toward the bottom (WTB), making the market vulnerable to falling.
Resistance: Strong, preventing upward movement.
Key Strategy:
Focus on buying Put Options (PE) at EOR to capitalize on downward movement.
Avoid buying Call Options (CE) at EOS because weak support makes it risky.
Sell at every top to take advantage of strong resistance.
This scenario is ideal for bearish trades, as the market is more likely to fall due to weak support and
strong resistance.
Let me know if you'd like further details or clarification on any specific point!
In Scenario 5 of COA 1.0, the market is characterized by weak support toward the top (WTT) and
strong resistance. This combination indicates that while the market is facing upward pressure from
support, it is likely to meet strong selling resistance, making the upward movement challenging.
However, this scenario also creates the possibility of breaking through resistance due to the upward
pressure from the weak support.
1. Market Condition
Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Buyers at the support level are losing strength as the
price moves higher, but they are still putting upward pressure on the market. This means that
the market is more likely to rise from support levels, but the strength of the upward movement
may be inconsistent as support weakens.
Resistance Strong: Sellers at the resistance level are holding firm, preventing the price from
rising easily. This strong resistance creates a ceiling for the price, making it difficult for the
market to break through this level.
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In this scenario, the market faces conflicting forces: the upward pressure from weak support and the
downward pressure from strong resistance. While the market may attempt to rise, it will struggle to
break through resistance, unless the upward pressure is strong enough to overpower the resistance.
2. Trading Strategy
When to Buy: You should focus on buying a Call Option (CE) when the market reaches its
Extension of Support (EOS). The upward pressure from the weak support makes it more likely
that the market will rise from the support level, creating an opportunity for a long trade.
Why It Works: Despite the strong resistance, the upward pressure from the weak support (WTT)
creates the potential for the market to push higher. Buying CE at EOS allows you to capitalize on
this potential upward movement.
Why to Avoid: Since the support is weak toward the top, it is risky to buy a Put Option (PE) at
EOS because the upward pressure from the support makes it likely that the market will rise.
Shorting the market at this level can result in a trap.
When to Buy: Since the support is weak toward the top, there is a constant upward pressure in
the market. This means that whenever the market reaches a low point (EOS or bottom), it
presents a good buying opportunity for CE because the market is likely to push higher.
3. Risk Management
A. Setting Stop-Losses:
For CE Trades: Place your stop-loss slightly below the support level. The upward pressure from
the weak support makes it likely that the market will rise, but in the event that the support fails,
you want to minimize your losses.
For PE Trades: Since the market is likely to rise due to the weak support, you should avoid
buying Put Options at support levels, so no stop-losses are needed for PE trades in this scenario.
B. Risk of PE Traps:
Avoiding Traps: One of the biggest risks in this scenario is getting trapped in a Put Option when
the market fails to fall after reaching support. The upward pressure from weak support can push
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the price higher, and traders who short the market at support levels can get trapped in losing
trades.
4. Key Insights
Upward Pressure from Weak Support: The key characteristic of this scenario is the upward
pressure caused by weak support. Even though support is losing strength, it is still pushing the
market upward, making Call Options (CE) the better choice for trading.
Resistance Holding Firm: Despite the upward pressure, the strong resistance at higher levels
will prevent the market from rising easily. Traders should expect the market to struggle at
resistance levels but remain focused on buying CE from the bottom.
Limited Downside Risk: The weak support provides enough upward pressure to limit the risk of
significant downward movement. This makes the risk/reward profile for CE favorable, as the
market is more likely to push higher than fall.
Let’s imagine the market is oscillating between ₹100 (support) and ₹130 (resistance):
Support at ₹100: The support is weak toward the top, meaning there is still upward pressure on
the market. The price is likely to rise from this level.
Resistance at ₹130: The resistance is strong, making it difficult for the market to rise above this
level. However, the upward pressure from support increases the chance of testing and possibly
breaking through this resistance.
Action Plan:
Buy CE at ₹100 (EOS): Since the market is being pushed upward from support, this is an
ideal point to buy a Call Option and ride the potential upward movement.
Avoid Buying PE at ₹100 (EOS): The upward pressure makes it risky to short the market, so
it’s better to avoid buying Put Options at this level.
Buy CE from every bottom: Even if the market dips, the upward pressure from weak
support means that buying Call Options at every low point provides a favorable
opportunity.
6. Additional Considerations
Resistance Holding Firm: While the market is likely to rise due to the weak support, the strong
resistance at the top will make it difficult for the price to push higher. Traders should expect the
market to test resistance multiple times before potentially breaking through.
B. Breakout Potential
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Upward Momentum: Despite the strong resistance, the upward pressure from weak support
creates the potential for a breakout. Traders should be prepared for the market to break above
resistance if the upward pressure persists.
Buying at Every Bottom: Since the upward pressure is consistent, every dip in the market
presents a buying opportunity. Traders should be prepared to buy Call Options whenever the
price reaches a low point or the EOS level.
Summary of Scenario 5:
Support: Weak toward the top (WTT), pushing the market upward.
Resistance: Strong, creating a ceiling for price movements.
Key Strategy:
Focus on buying Call Options (CE) at EOS or every bottom to take advantage of the upward
pressure.
Avoid buying Put Options (PE) at EOS, as the market is more likely to rise.
Be cautious at resistance levels, as strong resistance may prevent the market from rising
further.
This scenario favors bullish trades, with a focus on buying Call Options as the upward pressure from
weak support makes it more likely for the market to rise.
Let me know if you need further details or clarification on any specific point!
Scenario 6: Support Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB) / Resistance Weak Toward the
Bottom (WTB)
In Scenario 6 of COA 1.0, both support and resistance are weak toward the bottom (WTB). This
creates a highly bearish market condition where neither buyers (support) nor sellers (resistance) are
strong enough to hold key price levels. As a result, the market is likely to experience a significant
downward movement, often referred to as a bloodbath scenario.
1. Market Condition
Support Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): The buyers at the support level are losing strength as
the market moves lower. This weak support means that the price is likely to break below the
support level, as buyers are not strong enough to stop the decline.
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Resistance Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): The sellers at the resistance level are also losing
strength. Typically, resistance provides a ceiling that prevents the price from rising, but in this
case, the weakness at resistance levels means that there is little chance of a price reversal or
upward movement.
Both support and resistance being weak toward the bottom indicates that there is downward
pressure in the market, and the price is likely to continue falling. There is very little strength in either
support or resistance, which allows the price to drop without significant obstacles.
2. Trading Strategy
When to Buy: The best strategy in this scenario is to buy a Put Option (PE) whenever the market
reaches the Extension of Resistance (EOR) or a high point in the market. With both support and
resistance being weak, the market is likely to fall further after brief upward movements.
Why It Works: The lack of strength at both support and resistance means that the market is
vulnerable to sharp declines. Buying PE at EOR allows you to profit from these downward
movements, as the market is likely to drop after hitting resistance.
Why to Avoid: It is extremely risky to buy a Call Option (CE) in this scenario because there is
little chance of the market rising. The weak support and resistance create a highly bearish
environment, making it unlikely for the price to experience significant upward movements.
Buying a CE in this scenario could lead to significant losses.
When to Sell: Every time the market reaches a high point (EOR or any rally), it’s an opportunity
to sell or go short. The weak support and resistance make it highly probable that any upward
movement will be short-lived, and the price will fall after hitting resistance.
3. Risk Management
A. Setting Stop-Losses:
For PE Trades: Place your stop-loss slightly above the resistance level. Even though resistance is
weak, placing a stop-loss allows you to protect your trade in case of unexpected price
movements.
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For CE Trades: Since it’s risky to buy Call Options in this scenario, you should avoid them
altogether to minimize the risk of getting trapped in a losing trade.
B. Risk of CE Traps:
Avoiding Traps: One of the biggest risks in this scenario is getting trapped in a Call Option
when the market continues to fall after a brief rally. The weak support and resistance levels make
it difficult for the price to rise, and traders who buy CE in anticipation of a rebound could face
significant losses if the market continues to drop.
4. Key Insights
Significant Downward Pressure: The defining characteristic of this scenario is the downward
pressure created by weak support and resistance. With neither buyers nor sellers showing
strength, the market is prone to sharp declines. This makes Put Options (PE) the better choice
for trading in this scenario.
Focus on Shorting: The key strategy here is to focus on shorting the market or buying Put
Options at EOR or high points. The lack of strong support or resistance allows the price to fall
with little resistance, creating ideal conditions for short sellers.
Avoid Long Positions: Since the market is highly bearish, taking long positions by buying Call
Options is extremely risky. The weak support makes it unlikely that the price will bounce back
significantly, and any upward movement is likely to be brief and followed by a decline.
Let’s imagine the market is oscillating between ₹90 (support) and ₹120 (resistance), but both support
and resistance are weak:
Support at ₹90: The support level is weak toward the bottom, meaning the market is likely to
break below this level if selling pressure increases.
Resistance at ₹120: The resistance level is also weak toward the bottom, meaning that even if
the price rises temporarily, it is unlikely to stay above this level for long, and the market is more
likely to fall.
Action Plan:
Buy PE at ₹120 (EOR): Since the market is weak and more likely to fall, buying a Put Option
at the top allows you to profit from the expected downward movement.
Avoid Buying CE: There is little chance of a sustained upward movement, making it risky to
buy a Call Option.
Sell at every top: Take advantage of weak resistance by selling or shorting the market
whenever the price reaches a high point.
6. Additional Considerations
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A. High Risk of Breakdown
Weak Support: The weak support in this scenario increases the likelihood of a breakdown.
Traders should expect the price to break below support levels, leading to further declines. This
makes Put Options the safer choice.
Resistance is Weak: Although the price may rally temporarily, the weak resistance means that
these rallies will be short-lived. Traders should avoid trying to profit from upward movements
and instead focus on shorting the market whenever the price rises.
Selling at Every Top: Since both support and resistance are weak, the market is likely to fall after
brief rallies. Selling at every high point or shorting the market at EOR provides an opportunity to
capitalize on these declines.
Summary of Scenario 6:
Support: Weak toward the bottom (WTB), making the market vulnerable to falling.
Resistance: Weak toward the bottom (WTB), providing little resistance to upward movements.
Key Strategy:
Focus on buying Put Options (PE) at EOR to take advantage of the downward pressure.
Avoid buying Call Options (CE), as there is little chance of sustained upward movement.
Sell or short the market at every top to capitalize on the weak resistance.
This scenario is ideal for bearish trades, as the market is highly likely to continue falling due to weak
support and resistance.
Let me know if you'd like further details or clarification on any specific point!
Scenario 7: Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT) / Resistance Weak Toward the Top
(WTT)
In Scenario 7 of COA 1.0, both support and resistance are weak toward the top (WTT). This creates
a bullish market condition, often leading to a potential bull run. In this scenario, neither support nor
resistance is strong enough to contain upward price movements, making the market likely to rise
higher as both buyers and sellers are weak at key resistance levels.
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1. Market Condition
Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Buyers at the support level are not strong enough to
create a solid base, but they are still pushing the market upward. As the price moves up, the
support becomes weaker, but the market has enough upward momentum to continue rising.
Resistance Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Sellers at the resistance level are also losing strength.
Resistance is typically supposed to cap price movements, but in this case, the resistance is weak,
especially at higher price levels. This lack of strength at resistance makes it easier for the market
to break through and rise further.
The overall condition suggests that the market is in a bullish state. Both weak support and weak
resistance allow for upward price momentum, leading to a potential bull run where the market
continues to rise.
2. Trading Strategy
When to Buy: The best strategy in this scenario is to buy a Call Option (CE) whenever the
market reaches a low point or its Extension of Support (EOS). The weak resistance provides little
opposition to upward price movement, making CE the ideal choice in this scenario.
Why It Works: Since both support and resistance are weak, there is little resistance to upward
movement. The market is likely to rise higher, making it profitable to buy CE at every low point or
bottom, where the price is expected to rebound and continue rising.
Why to Avoid: Buying a Put Option (PE) in this scenario is highly risky because the market is
more likely to rise than fall. The weak resistance means there is little chance of a significant
downward movement, and buying PE could result in losses if the market continues to rise.
When to Buy: Since both support and resistance are weak toward the top, the market is prone to
rising without strong pullbacks. Every time the market dips or reaches a low point (such as EOS),
it presents a good buying opportunity for CE to take advantage of the upward trend.
3. Risk Management
A. Setting Stop-Losses:
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For CE Trades: Place your stop-loss slightly below the support level or the previous low. The
market is expected to rise, but a break below support could indicate a change in trend.
Protecting your trade with a stop-loss will limit losses in case the market unexpectedly falls.
For PE Trades: Since it’s risky to buy Put Options in this scenario, you should avoid them
altogether. However, if a trader decides to take a short position, placing a stop-loss just above
resistance could limit losses if the market continues to rise.
B. Risk of PE Traps:
Avoiding Traps: The biggest risk in this scenario is getting trapped in a Put Option if the market
continues to rise. Since resistance is weak, the price is likely to break through and push higher,
making it risky to short the market. Avoid buying PE to minimize the risk of being trapped in a
losing trade.
4. Key Insights
Upward Momentum Due to Weak Resistance: The defining feature of this scenario is the weak
resistance at the top, which allows the market to rise more easily. The market is unlikely to face
strong opposition from sellers, creating an environment where upward movement is more
probable.
Bull Run Potential: With both support and resistance being weak, the market has a strong
potential for a bull run. The lack of strong selling pressure allows the price to rise higher, making
Call Options (CE) the most effective trade in this scenario.
Avoid Shorting the Market: The weak resistance makes shorting the market a highly risky
move. Since the price is more likely to rise, buying Put Options (PE) is not advisable, and traders
should focus on buying CE at low points instead.
Let’s imagine the market is oscillating between ₹110 (support) and ₹140 (resistance), but both support
and resistance are weak toward the top:
Support at ₹110: The support level is weak, but the market still has upward pressure. The price is
expected to rise from this level.
Resistance at ₹140: The resistance level is also weak, making it likely that the market will break
through this level and continue rising.
Action Plan:
Buy CE at ₹110 (EOS): Since the market is likely to rise due to weak resistance, buying a Call
Option at the bottom allows you to profit from the upward movement.
Avoid Buying PE: The upward pressure and weak resistance make it risky to short the
market or buy Put Options.
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Buy CE from every bottom: Take advantage of dips in the market to buy Call Options, as
the price is expected to continue rising.
6. Additional Considerations
A. Breakout Potential
Weak Resistance: The weak resistance in this scenario increases the probability of a breakout.
Traders should be prepared for the market to break above resistance levels and continue rising,
especially if the upward momentum persists.
Buying at Every Bottom: Since both support and resistance are weak toward the top, the
market is more likely to rise after brief dips. Traders should be ready to buy Call Options
whenever the price reaches a low point, as the market is likely to rebound and continue its
upward trend.
Strong Upward Trend: In a bull run scenario, there is a risk of missing out on profits if you
hesitate to buy at low points. The market may continue to rise without giving many opportunities
for pullbacks, so it’s essential to take action when the price dips.
Summary of Scenario 7:
Support: Weak toward the top (WTT), pushing the market upward.
Resistance: Weak toward the top (WTT), allowing the market to rise without much resistance.
Key Strategy:
Focus on buying Call Options (CE) at EOS or every low point to take advantage of the
upward momentum.
Avoid buying Put Options (PE), as the market is more likely to rise.
Be prepared for a bull run and capitalize on upward price movements by buying CE at
every dip.
This scenario favors bullish trades, as both weak support and weak resistance create a high
probability for the market to rise. Traders should focus on buying Call Options and avoid shorting the
market.
Let me know if you'd like further details or clarification on any specific point!
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Scenario 8: Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT) / Resistance Weak Toward the
Bottom (WTB)
In Scenario 8 of COA 1.0, the market is in a state of confusion, with support weak toward the top
(WTT) and resistance weak toward the bottom (WTB). This creates an unpredictable and volatile
market condition, where neither the support nor resistance is strong enough to provide clear
direction. The market becomes unpredictable, making it difficult to trade successfully. Let's break this
down in more detail:
1. Market Condition
Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Buyers at the support level are not providing strong
support as the price moves higher. This means that there is upward pressure on the market, but
the support is fragile and inconsistent, causing potential fluctuations and uncertainty.
Resistance Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): Sellers at the resistance level are losing strength,
particularly as the price moves lower. This suggests that resistance is also fragile, and there is
downward pressure on the market. However, this resistance is weak and not capable of holding
the price down effectively.
In this scenario, the market experiences conflicting pressures. Upward pressure from weak support
and downward pressure from weak resistance make it difficult to predict the direction of the market.
There is no clear support or resistance, and the market can swing in either direction without warning.
2. Trading Strategy
A. Avoid Trading
Why to Avoid: In this scenario, the market is highly unpredictable due to the weak and
conflicting support and resistance levels. It’s best to avoid trading altogether, as the market
could move in either direction without providing clear signals.
Risk of Traps: Both Call Options (CE) and Put Options (PE) are risky in this scenario because the
market can easily reverse direction. You might enter a CE thinking the price will rise, only for it to
fall, or you might enter a PE expecting a fall, but the price could reverse and rise.
When to Observe: Rather than taking a position, it’s better to observe the market and wait for
more clarity. In this confused state, watching for clearer signals of a breakout or breakdown is a
safer approach than jumping into trades. Wait until the market establishes stronger support or
resistance before making a move.
3. Risk Management
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Minimize Exposure: In such unpredictable market conditions, the best risk management
strategy is to avoid trading large positions or making aggressive bets. The lack of clear direction
increases the risk of getting trapped in losing trades.
No Clear Stop-Loss Levels: The unpredictable nature of this scenario makes it difficult to set
proper stop-loss levels. The market can swing in both directions, and stop-losses may get
triggered unnecessarily due to the volatility.
B. Monitor Volatility
High Volatility Risk: The conflicting pressures from weak support and resistance create a highly
volatile market. This increases the chances of sharp, unexpected price movements. Be cautious
of sudden spikes in either direction that can quickly turn a winning trade into a losing one.
4. Key Insights
Conflicting Market Signals: In this scenario, the market is sending mixed signals. The weak
support toward the top suggests that the market could rise, but the weak resistance toward the
bottom suggests that the market could also fall. These conflicting pressures create an
environment where price movements are erratic and hard to predict.
High Risk of Traps: The lack of strong support or resistance means that both bullish and
bearish trades can easily turn into traps. For instance, if you buy a Call Option (CE) expecting
the price to rise, the weak resistance may cause the market to reverse downward. Similarly, if
you buy a Put Option (PE) expecting a drop, the weak support may cause the market to bounce
upward unexpectedly.
Best Strategy is to Wait: Since the market is in a state of confusion, the best strategy is to
remain patient and wait for clearer signals. Traders should avoid entering positions in this
scenario, as the market is too unpredictable.
Let’s imagine the market is oscillating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance), but both support
and resistance are weak and unpredictable:
Support at ₹100: This support level is weak toward the top, meaning that there is some upward
pressure on the market, but it is inconsistent and not reliable.
Resistance at ₹120: The resistance level is weak toward the bottom, meaning that even if the
price reaches this level, it may not face significant selling pressure. The market could rise above
resistance or fall below support without clear signals.
Action Plan:
Avoid Buying CE: While the market may experience upward pressure from the weak
support, it’s risky to buy a Call Option because the weak resistance can cause the market to
reverse downward at any point.
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Avoid Buying PE: Similarly, shorting the market by buying Put Options is risky because the
weak support might cause the price to reverse upward.
Observation Mode: In this scenario, the best strategy is to avoid taking any positions and
observe how the market develops. Wait for the market to provide clearer signals of
direction before trading.
6. Additional Considerations
Monitor for Clear Signals: In such a confused state, the market is likely to remain volatile and
swing in both directions. Traders should wait for a breakout above resistance or a breakdown
below support before committing to any trades. Once the market chooses a direction, it will
provide more clarity for future trades.
Smaller Positions: If you choose to trade in this scenario despite the risks, it’s advisable to use
smaller position sizes to limit your exposure. The unpredictable market makes it easy to get
caught in losing trades, so reducing risk is essential.
Avoid Tight Stop-Losses: Due to the volatility of this scenario, avoid setting tight stop-losses, as
they could get triggered by random market swings. If you’re going to trade, give the market
enough room to move without immediately hitting your stop-loss levels.
Summary of Scenario 8:
Support: Weak toward the top (WTT), creating some upward pressure, but inconsistent.
Resistance: Weak toward the bottom (WTB), creating some downward pressure, but unreliable.
Key Strategy:
Avoid trading: The market is unpredictable, with conflicting signals from both support and
resistance.
Observe the market: Wait for a clear breakout or breakdown before entering a trade.
Minimize risk: If you decide to trade, limit your exposure and avoid large positions.
This scenario is highly volatile and unpredictable, so the best approach is to wait for clearer signals
and avoid trading in such a confused market. Both Call Options (CE) and Put Options (PE) carry high
risks of turning into traps.
Let me know if you'd like further details or clarification on any specific point!
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Scenario 9: Support Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB) / Resistance Weak Toward the
Top (WTT)
In Scenario 9 of COA 1.0, the market is characterized by support weak toward the bottom (WTB)
and resistance weak toward the top (WTT). This creates a highly unpredictable and volatile situation
where both the support and resistance are fragile and ineffective, leading to market confusion. The
result is a scenario where neither buyers nor sellers have control, and the market lacks clear direction.
1. Market Condition
Support Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): Buyers at the support level are losing strength,
particularly at lower price levels. This means that there is little confidence in support holding up,
and the market is vulnerable to falling, but at the same time, the support isn’t completely gone.
Resistance Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Sellers at the resistance level are also weak, especially
at higher price levels. This lack of resistance allows upward movement but not with strong
conviction. The market might push upward briefly, but the weak resistance makes it difficult for
sellers to hold their ground.
In this scenario, the market becomes highly unpredictable and volatile, as both support and
resistance are weak. This condition results in a lack of clear direction for traders, making it difficult to
determine whether the market will move up or down with certainty. It’s a confused market, similar to
Scenario 8 but with a slightly different combination of weak forces.
2. Trading Strategy
A. Avoid Trading
Why to Avoid: In this scenario, the market lacks clear direction due to the weakness of both
support and resistance. The absence of strong buyers or sellers makes it highly risky to enter a
trade. It’s best to avoid trading altogether and simply observe how the market behaves.
Risk of Traps: Both Call Options (CE) and Put Options (PE) are risky because the market could
reverse unexpectedly. If you buy a CE, the market might face resistance and reverse downward,
and if you buy a PE, the market might bounce off weak support and reverse upward. The lack of
clear direction increases the risk of getting trapped in a losing position.
B. Observation Mode
When to Observe: In this confused state, the best approach is to observe the market rather
than taking any immediate positions. You should wait until a clearer trend or direction emerges
before entering any trades. Once the market provides a more solid signal—such as a breakout or
breakdown—then it may become safer to trade.
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If You Must Trade: If you decide to trade despite the risks, consider taking smaller positions
and use conservative strategies. Because of the unpredictable nature of the market, you should
aim to minimize your exposure and risk. Keep your trades small and set loose stop-losses to
avoid getting caught in random market fluctuations.
3. Risk Management
Limit Exposure: In a market with weak support and resistance, large positions are highly risky.
The lack of a clear direction makes it easy to get trapped in losing trades. It’s important to limit
your exposure by avoiding large, aggressive bets in this scenario.
Tight Stop-Losses Can Backfire: Due to the volatility and unpredictability, using tight stop-
losses may not work well in this situation. The market could easily trigger stop-losses as it moves
up and down erratically. If you choose to trade, consider using wider stop-losses to give the
market more room to move before cutting your losses.
B. Monitor Volatility
High Volatility, Unpredictable Swings: The weak support and resistance make the market
prone to sharp and unpredictable swings. These quick movements in either direction increase
the risk of losing trades. Be prepared for sudden spikes or drops in price, which could happen
without much warning.
4. Key Insights
Confused Market with No Clear Direction: The defining feature of this scenario is that both
support and resistance are weak, making the market highly volatile and directionless. Neither
buyers nor sellers have control, leading to confusion in the price movements.
Risk of Getting Trapped: In this scenario, it’s easy to get trapped in either Call Options (CE) or
Put Options (PE). If you buy a CE, the market could reverse downward due to weak support, and
if you buy a PE, the market could bounce upward off weak resistance. The lack of conviction on
either side makes it difficult to make informed trading decisions.
Wait for Clearer Signals: The best strategy is to wait for a breakout or breakdown before
entering a trade. Once the market chooses a clearer direction—either breaking above resistance
or falling below support—it will provide more clarity for traders to make better decisions.
Let’s imagine the market is oscillating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance), but both support
and resistance are weak:
Support at ₹100: The support level is weak toward the bottom, meaning the market could break
below it, but it’s not certain. The buyers aren’t strong enough to create confidence in the support
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holding.
Resistance at ₹120: The resistance level is weak toward the top, meaning the market could
break through it, but it’s not certain. The sellers aren’t strong enough to maintain the resistance
level.
Action Plan:
Avoid Trading: With weak support and weak resistance, the market lacks a clear direction.
Avoid entering trades in this scenario because the market could reverse quickly and
unpredictably.
Observe the Market: Instead of trading, watch how the market develops. If the price
breaks above resistance or falls below support with conviction, then it may provide a clearer
signal for entering a trade.
Avoid CE and PE: Both Call Options and Put Options carry high risks due to the market’s
unpredictable nature. Stay on the sidelines until the market gives more clarity.
6. Additional Considerations
Waiting for a Signal: In this scenario, traders should look for a breakout above resistance or a
breakdown below support before entering a trade. Once the market breaks out or breaks down
with strong momentum, it will provide more confidence for entering a trade in the direction of
the move.
Conservative Approach: Since the market is highly volatile and directionless, take a
conservative approach if you decide to trade. Keep position sizes small, avoid aggressive
strategies, and be prepared for quick reversals.
Expect the Unexpected: The weakness of both support and resistance makes the market highly
susceptible to quick reversals. Traders should be prepared for the possibility of sudden price
changes, which could happen without warning due to the fragility of the support and resistance
levels.
Summary of Scenario 9:
Support: Weak toward the bottom (WTB), creating some downward pressure but not strong
enough to provide a clear direction.
Resistance: Weak toward the top (WTT), creating some upward pressure but not strong enough
to cap price movements.
Key Strategy:
Avoid trading: The market is confused, with conflicting signals from weak support and
resistance.
Observe the market: Wait for clearer signals of a breakout or breakdown before entering
a trade.
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Minimize risk: If you choose to trade, take small positions and use wider stop-losses to
avoid getting caught in random market swings.
This scenario is highly volatile and unpredictable, so the best approach is to wait for clearer signals
and avoid making aggressive trades. Both Call Options (CE) and Put Options (PE) carry high risks in
this market environment.
Let me know if you'd like further details or clarification on any specific point!
Here's an outline for compiling notes on all 9 scenarios in COA 1.0. You can use this structure to
organize your thoughts and notes in a way that’s both concise and easy to navigate.
Introduction
Overview of COA 1.0: Brief introduction to what COA 1.0 is and its importance in understanding
market conditions and trading strategies.
Explanation of Key Terms:
Support: Definition and role in market dynamics.
Resistance: Definition and role in market dynamics.
Weak Toward the Top (WTT): Explanation of what it means.
Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB): Explanation of what it means.
Extension of Support (EOS) and Extension of Resistance (EOR): Explanation of how these
apply to the scenarios.
Market Condition: Strong support, but resistance is weak, creating downward pressure.
Trading Strategy:
Buy PE at EOR (market top).
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Avoid buying CE at EOS (market bottom).
Sell at every top due to weak resistance.
Key Insight: Focus on shorting, as the market is more likely to fall.
Market Condition: Strong support with resistance weak toward the top, allowing upward
pressure.
Trading Strategy:
Buy CE at EOS (market bottom).
Avoid buying PE at EOR (market top).
Buy from every bottom.
Key Insight: The market is likely to rise; focus on buying CE.
Market Condition: Support is weak, while resistance is strong, creating a bearish market.
Trading Strategy:
Buy PE at EOR (market top).
Avoid buying CE at EOS (market bottom).
Sell at every top due to strong resistance.
Key Insight: Focus on shorting the market due to weak support and strong resistance.
Market Condition: Support is weak toward the top, pushing the market upward, but strong
resistance makes it difficult to rise significantly.
Trading Strategy:
Buy CE at EOS (market bottom).
Avoid buying PE at EOS (market bottom).
Buy from every bottom.
Key Insight: The market is likely to rise, but resistance may limit upward movement.
Scenario 6: Support Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB) / Resistance Weak Toward the
Bottom (WTB)
Market Condition: Both support and resistance are weak toward the bottom, making the
market vulnerable to sharp declines.
Trading Strategy:
Buy PE at EOR (market top).
Avoid buying CE.
Sell from every top to take advantage of downward pressure.
Key Insight: High risk of a market "bloodbath"; focus on shorting.
Scenario 7: Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT) / Resistance Weak Toward the Top
(WTT)
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Market Condition: Both support and resistance are weak toward the top, leading to potential
upward movement (bull run).
Trading Strategy:
Buy CE at EOS (market bottom).
Avoid buying PE.
Buy from every bottom to ride the upward momentum.
Key Insight: Bull run potential; market is likely to rise.
Scenario 8: Support Weak Toward the Top (WTT) / Resistance Weak Toward the
Bottom (WTB)
Market Condition: Confusing signals with weak support and weak resistance.
Trading Strategy:
Avoid trading.
Observe the market and wait for clearer signals.
Key Insight: Unpredictable market with no clear direction; best to wait and observe.
Scenario 9: Support Weak Toward the Bottom (WTB) / Resistance Weak Toward the
Top (WTT)
Market Condition: Both support and resistance are weak, creating a highly volatile and
unpredictable market.
Trading Strategy:
Avoid trading.
Observe the market for breakouts or breakdowns.
Key Insight: Market confusion with no clear direction; best to avoid trading and wait for more
clarity.
Conclusion
Summary of Key Strategies: Review of the different trading strategies for each scenario.
Risk Management Across Scenarios: General risk management tips applicable to all scenarios.
Final Notes: Emphasize the importance of being flexible and observing the market before
committing to trades.
You can use this outline as a framework for compiling your notes. Each scenario is broken down into
consistent sections for Market Condition, Trading Strategy, Key Insight, and Risk Management,
ensuring that all notes are easily understandable and well-organized.
Feel free to add any additional sections or details as needed for deeper insights or specific examples
that fit your trading style. Let me know if you need any further adjustments!
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COA 2.0.pdf
PDF
The attached data table in the image provides an analysis of the Open Interest (OI) behavior on both
the call side and put side in relation to their respective positions near support and resistance levels.
The green and red lines represent OI changes and are critical to interpreting possible market
movements.
1. At Resistance (Calls)
Reversal (OI Stable): At resistance, when the open interest on the call side remains stable, it
typically suggests that the market is encountering resistance. The market is likely to reverse
from this level, making this a potential selling point for traders holding call options.
Breakout (OI Stable): When there is no change in OI, and the market breaks through the
resistance level, this signals a breakout. The market might rise, especially if the OI on the put
side decreases.
Reversal (OI Highly Increasing): If OI on the call side increases significantly, it indicates that more
contracts are being written at the resistance level. This strengthens the resistance and signals a
possible reversal.
Breakout (OI Highly Decreasing): If call OI starts decreasing at the resistance level, it signals a
breakout, as sellers are unwinding their positions. This is a bullish signal, and the market is likely
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to move higher.
Consolidation (OI Highly Increasing): If call OI increases while the market is at resistance, it
indicates a period of consolidation, with strong seller activity but no immediate break in either
direction.
2. At Support (Puts)
Reversal (OI Stable): When put OI is stable at support, the market is expected to reverse
upward, as support is holding firm.
Breakdown (OI Highly Decreasing): If put OI decreases significantly at support, it suggests that
the support is likely to break, leading to a breakdown in the market.
Breakdown (OI Stable): If the OI on the put side remains stable while the market is at support,
the market might break down, as there’s no strong buying interest.
Reversal (OI Highly Increasing): When put OI increases at support, it indicates a firm buying
interest, meaning that the market could experience a reversal and start moving upward.
Breakout (OI Highly Increasing): On the put side, if OI increases while the market is near
support, it might indicate a breakout as buyers are stepping in strongly.
Key Observations:
Green Line (Call OI): Represents open interest activity on the call side. When the green line
trends upward (increasing OI), it strengthens resistance. A downward green line (decreasing OI)
indicates potential bullishness and a possible breakout through resistance.
Red Line (Put OI): Represents open interest on the put side. A rising red line (increasing OI)
indicates strong buying activity at support, preventing the market from falling. A falling red line
(decreasing OI) signals that the market may break support and fall lower.
Conclusion:
Reversal & Breakout: The table visually emphasizes the importance of understanding OI
behavior at support and resistance levels. A stable or increasing OI generally strengthens
support or resistance, while a decreasing OI at these levels often leads to breakouts or
breakdowns.
Unpredictable Markets: The unpredictable state occurs when both call and put OI show
instability (decreasing). This scenario could indicate higher volatility and the absence of clear
market direction.
This table offers a structured approach to understanding market behavior using open interest at key
levels like support and resistance, making it a valuable tool for traders.
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Let me know if you'd like to dive deeper into any of these interpretations!
Scenario 1 of COA 2.0: Reversal at Resistance with Stable Open Interest (Calls) /
Reversal at Support with Stable Open Interest (Puts)
This scenario focuses on market behavior when the Call OI at resistance and the Put OI at support
remain stable. A stable OI means that no significant changes are happening in the positions of the
option contracts, suggesting that the market is holding firm at these levels. Let’s dive into this
scenario with greater detail:
1. Market Condition:
Stable Open Interest: Stability in OI means that there’s no significant liquidation or addition of
positions by traders. This indicates that traders are confident in their current positions, with
sellers believing resistance will hold and buyers believing that support will hold.
No Major Breakouts or Breakdowns: Stable OI implies that traders are not expecting the price
to break through key resistance or support levels in this scenario. This balance between buyers
and sellers often leads to market consolidation or sideways movement.
Resistance Holds: Since the call OI is stable at resistance, it suggests that sellers are confident in
maintaining this price level, and the market is more likely to reverse downward.
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Selling Pressure at Resistance: Traders who hold call options expect the resistance to hold,
which increases selling pressure as the price approaches the resistance level. The market will
likely fall as sellers dominate at the resistance point.
Support Holds: Similarly, the stable put OI at the support level indicates that buyers are
confident in this price level holding, and the market is expected to reverse upward from this
point.
Buying Pressure at Support: As the price moves toward support, buyers become more active in
defending the level, and the market is likely to bounce upward due to this buying pressure.
4. Trading Strategy:
A. At Resistance (Calls):
Look for a Shorting Opportunity (PE): Since the market is likely to reverse downward from
resistance, this is an ideal moment to buy a put option (PE). The expectation is that the price will
fall from the resistance level.
Avoid Buying Calls: Buying call options in this scenario would be risky, as the market is more
likely to reverse than to break through the resistance.
B. At Support (Puts):
Look for a Long Opportunity (CE): As the market is expected to reverse upward from support,
you could consider buying a call option (CE). The expectation is that the price will bounce back
up from support.
Avoid Buying Puts: Buying put options in this scenario would be risky, as the market is more
likely to reverse upward from support than to break below it.
5. Risk Management:
Stop-Loss for Short Positions (at Resistance): Place stop-loss orders slightly above the
resistance level in case the market unexpectedly breaks through the resistance.
Stop-Loss for Long Positions (at Support): Similarly, place stop-loss orders slightly below the
support level in case the market unexpectedly breaks through the support level.
Monitor OI Stability: Although OI is stable at the moment, keep a close eye on any sudden
changes. If OI on the call side at resistance starts to decrease, it could indicate a potential
breakout. Likewise, if OI on the put side at support starts to decrease, it might indicate a
potential breakdown.
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Let’s imagine the price of an asset is hovering between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance). The open
interest on both the call and put sides remains stable at these key levels.
At Resistance (₹120):
The call OI is stable, meaning that traders are confident that ₹120 will act as a resistance
point. Sellers are not liquidating their positions, and new call contracts are not being added.
As a result, the market is expected to reverse downward.
Action: Consider buying a put option (PE) here, expecting the price to fall from the
resistance level.
At Support (₹100):
The put OI is stable, meaning that traders are confident that ₹100 will act as a support level.
Buyers are defending this price point, and the market is expected to reverse upward from
support.
Action: Consider buying a call option (CE) here, expecting the price to rise from the support
level.
7. Key Insights:
Balanced Market: This scenario reflects a balanced market where both support and resistance
are holding firm. Stable OI suggests that there are no major expectations of breakouts or
breakdowns, making this a good time to trade reversals rather than betting on directional
trends.
Opportunities for Reversals: Traders can capitalize on the expected reversals by entering trades
at key levels—shorting at resistance and going long at support.
Low-Risk Environment: Since the OI remains stable, this scenario generally indicates a lower-
risk environment, where significant price movements in either direction are less likely. However,
it’s still important to monitor the market for any sudden shifts in OI.
Summary of Scenario 1:
Support and Resistance are strong and likely to hold as OI remains stable.
Expected market behavior involves reversals at both the resistance and support levels.
Trading strategy:
Buy PE at resistance.
Buy CE at support.
Risk management: Monitor for any changes in OI, and use stop-losses near key levels.
This detailed explanation of Scenario 1 in COA 2.0 highlights how traders can navigate a stable OI
environment, using reversals at support and resistance levels to make strategic trades.
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Scenario 2 of COA 2.0: Breakout at Resistance with Stable Open Interest (Calls) /
Reversal at Support with Highly Increasing Open Interest (Puts)
Scenario 2 deals with the case where the market encounters a breakout at resistance, with stable
open interest (OI) on the call side, while simultaneously encountering a reversal at support, with
highly increasing OI on the put side. This scenario presents two contrasting market conditions: a
breakout at the top and a strong defense of the bottom.
1. Market Condition
Resistance Level: The market is testing a resistance level on the call side.
Call OI is Stable: The open interest on the call side remains stable, meaning the number of
open positions on calls isn’t changing significantly.
Breakout Indication: Even though the OI is stable, the market is showing signs of breaking out
above the resistance level, meaning the price is likely to rise.
Interpretation: The stable OI at resistance implies that the market participants haven’t closed
their positions but also aren’t adding many new ones. Despite this, the price movement indicates
a breakout, suggesting that the market is strong enough to push through the resistance level.
A. Stable OI at Resistance
Stable OI at Resistance: When the call OI remains stable at resistance, it typically means that
traders are holding their positions without significant changes in the number of contracts being
opened or closed.
Breakout Potential: In this case, despite stable OI, the market is experiencing upward
momentum, breaking through the resistance. The fact that OI isn’t decreasing means that there
isn’t heavy liquidation by sellers (those holding calls), which could indicate confidence that the
market will continue higher.
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Increasing OI at Support: A significant increase in open interest on the put side at support
signals strong activity by traders. This could be either an increase in new buyers (expecting the
market to rise) or an increase in sellers (writing more puts).
Strong Support Defense: The rising OI shows that traders are actively defending the support
level, indicating that the market is likely to hold and reverse upward.
Resistance Breakout: The stable OI on the call side suggests that resistance is still being
respected, but the market’s price action indicates a breakout. The market is likely to push higher
as it breaks through resistance.
Call Buyers Stepping In: Traders expecting the breakout may begin buying calls as the market
breaks resistance, pushing prices higher.
Re-evaluation of Resistance: Once resistance is broken, the market may test higher levels,
making the previous resistance a new support.
Strong Support Holding: The increasing OI on the put side signals that traders expect the
market to hold at support and reverse upward. This reversal from support indicates that the
market will likely rise from the bottom.
Put Sellers Becoming Active: The increasing OI could also signal more put sellers (writers)
entering the market, which can stabilize the price and push the market higher.
Reversal Confirmation: If the market holds support, the increasing OI could lead to a sharp
reversal, allowing traders to buy into the reversal and take long positions (e.g., buying calls).
4. Trading Strategy
Look for Breakout Trades (CE): Since the market is breaking out of resistance, this is an ideal
opportunity to buy a call option (CE). The breakout suggests upward momentum, making it
favorable to take long positions in anticipation of higher prices.
Avoid Shorting (PE): Shorting the market by buying put options (PE) at resistance could be
dangerous, as the breakout suggests that the market is going higher. Selling into a breakout can
lead to losses.
Buy Call Option (CE): The market is likely to reverse upward from support, given the highly
increasing OI. This would be a favorable point to buy a call option (CE), expecting the market to
rise.
Avoid Buying Puts (PE): Since the support is expected to hold due to the increasing OI, buying a
put option could trap you in a losing trade as the market reverses upward.
5. Risk Management
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A. At Resistance (Calls - OI Stable)
Stop-Loss for Long Trades: If you are buying a call (CE) on the breakout, place your stop-loss
just below the resistance level to minimize losses if the breakout fails and the market reverses.
Monitor OI Changes: Although OI is currently stable, a sudden decrease in call OI could indicate
a lack of follow-through, which might suggest that the breakout is false.
Stop-Loss for Long Trades (CE): If you are buying a call at support, place your stop-loss just
below the support level in case the increasing OI isn’t strong enough to hold the support, and
the market breaks down.
Watch for Sudden OI Shifts: If put OI starts to decrease significantly, this could signal that the
support level is weakening, increasing the chances of a breakdown.
Let’s assume the price of an asset is fluctuating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance).
At Resistance (₹120):
The market is testing the ₹120 resistance level, and the call OI remains stable.
Despite the stable OI, the market breaks out above ₹120, signaling a breakout.
Action: Buy a call option (CE), expecting the market to continue rising.
At Support (₹100):
The market is testing the ₹100 support level, and the put OI is highly increasing.
The increasing OI indicates that traders are actively defending the support level, suggesting
a reversal upward.
Action: Buy a call option (CE), expecting the market to bounce back upward.
7. Key Insights
Breakout and Reversal: In this scenario, we have a breakout at resistance and a strong reversal
at support. Both levels are being tested, but the market’s momentum is pushing upward, making
this a bullish scenario.
Contradictory OI Patterns: The stable OI at resistance shows no clear conviction from traders,
yet the market is breaking out. Meanwhile, the increasing OI at support shows strong
conviction, indicating a firm reversal from the bottom.
Bullish Bias: This scenario has an overall bullish bias due to the breakout at resistance and the
strong reversal at support.
Summary of Scenario 2:
Breakout at Resistance: The market breaks out of resistance with stable call OI.
Reversal at Support: The market reverses upward at support with highly increasing put OI.
Trading Strategy:
Buy call options (CE) at resistance during the breakout.
Buy call options (CE) at support during the reversal.
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Avoid buying puts in this scenario.
Risk Management:
Place stop-losses near key levels (above resistance and below support).
Monitor OI for sudden shifts that could signal a change in market direction.
This scenario presents a strong case for bullish trades by taking advantage of the breakout at
resistance and the reversal at support. Both levels are showing indications of upward movement,
making it a favorable environment for buying calls.
Let me know if you need further details or have any specific questions on this!
Scenario 3 of COA 2.0: Reversal at Resistance with Stable Open Interest (Calls) /
Breakdown at Support with Highly Decreasing Open Interest (Puts)
Scenario 3 involves a reversal at resistance with stable open interest (OI) on the call side, and a
breakdown at support with highly decreasing OI on the put side. In this scenario, we see a
combination of the market holding at resistance but failing to hold at support, indicating potential
bearish momentum. Let's break it down step by step for a deeper understanding:
1. Market Condition
Resistance Level: The market is facing resistance at a certain price level where the upward
movement is likely to stall.
Call OI is Stable: The open interest on the call side remains stable, meaning there isn’t much
change in the number of call contracts being opened or closed. This reflects that traders are
holding their positions at the resistance level, but no new major positions are being added or
closed.
Reversal Indication: The market is reversing downward from resistance, as there’s no strong
buying interest to push the price higher. This reversal indicates that the market participants are
not confident in a breakout.
Interpretation: The stable call OI signals that traders are content with their current positions,
and there is no expectation of a breakout. The market is likely to reverse from resistance and
move downward.
Support Level: The market is testing a support level, where downward movement should
typically stall and reverse upward.
Put OI is Highly Decreasing: The open interest on the put side is decreasing significantly,
indicating that traders are closing out their positions in large numbers. This can happen when
traders no longer expect the support level to hold.
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Breakdown Indication: The highly decreasing put OI signals that the support is weakening, and
the market is likely to break down below this level. Traders are unwinding their positions, which
suggests a lack of confidence in the support level holding.
Interpretation: The highly decreasing OI suggests that traders are abandoning the support
level, which is likely to lead to a breakdown, allowing the price to move lower.
A. Stable OI at Resistance
Stable OI at Resistance: When the call OI is stable at the resistance level, it means that traders
are not aggressively opening new positions or closing existing ones. This indicates that
resistance is likely to hold, leading to a reversal.
No Breakout Expected: Since there is no strong increase in OI, it implies that the resistance level
is firm, and the market is unlikely to break through it. The price will likely reverse downward from
this point.
Decreasing OI at Support: A rapid decrease in OI on the put side at the support level indicates
that traders are losing confidence in the support holding. This often happens when traders close
their positions because they no longer believe that the price will bounce back from the support.
Breakdown Likely: The decreasing OI means that the support is weak, and the market is likely
to break through the support level and continue moving downward.
Resistance Holds: The market is likely to reverse downward from the resistance level because
the stable call OI indicates that traders are not expecting a breakout. Sellers are holding their
positions, which increases the probability of a reversal.
Selling Pressure at Resistance: As the market approaches resistance, traders holding calls
(expecting prices to rise) are not adding new positions, indicating that the market lacks the
momentum to push higher. As a result, the market reverses.
Support Breaks Down: The market is likely to break down below the support level because the
decreasing OI on the put side shows that traders are abandoning their positions, suggesting that
support is no longer expected to hold.
Downward Momentum: As traders close out their positions, the market experiences downward
pressure, leading to a breakdown below the support level. This breakdown can trigger further
selling as the support fails.
4. Trading Strategy
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Sell (Short) Using PE at Resistance: Since the market is expected to reverse from the resistance
level, traders should consider buying put options (PE), expecting the price to fall.
Avoid Buying CE at Resistance: Buying call options (CE) in this scenario could be risky, as the
market is likely to reverse downward from resistance. Traders should avoid going long at
resistance.
Short the Market on Breakdown: Since the support is expected to break, this is a good
opportunity to short the market by buying put options (PE). The breakdown of support could
lead to further downward movement, which can be capitalized on by taking short positions.
Avoid Buying CE at Support: Since the support is breaking down, buying call options (CE) would
be risky, as the market is more likely to move lower than bounce back upward.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss for PE Positions: When buying put options at resistance, place your stop-loss slightly
above the resistance level in case the market unexpectedly breaks out.
Monitor OI Changes: Even though the OI is stable, keep an eye on any sudden increases in call
OI, as this could signal an unexpected breakout. If the call OI starts to increase significantly, you
might want to reconsider short positions.
Stop-Loss for PE Positions: When shorting the market on the support breakdown, place your
stop-loss slightly above the support level in case the market reverses unexpectedly.
Watch for a Bounce: Although the put OI is decreasing, keep an eye on any changes. If the
market suddenly starts gaining strength and the put OI stabilizes, the support might hold, and a
reversal could occur.
Let’s assume the price of an asset is fluctuating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance).
At Resistance (₹120):
The market approaches ₹120, and the call OI remains stable.
The market reverses downward from resistance, as there is no strong buying pressure to
push it higher.
Action: Buy put options (PE) expecting the market to fall after reversing from resistance.
At Support (₹100):
The market approaches ₹100, but the put OI is highly decreasing.
The decreasing OI suggests that traders are abandoning their positions, indicating that the
market is likely to break down below support.
Action: Buy put options (PE) expecting the market to continue falling as support fails.
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7. Key Insights
Reversal at Resistance: The stable call OI at resistance suggests that the market is unlikely to
break out and will reverse downward.
Breakdown at Support: The highly decreasing put OI at support indicates that the market is
likely to break down, leading to further downward movement.
Bearish Bias: This scenario has a bearish bias, as both the reversal at resistance and the
breakdown at support point to a falling market.
Shorting Opportunities: Traders can capitalize on shorting opportunities at both the resistance
and support levels by buying put options (PE).
Summary of Scenario 3:
Reversal at Resistance: The market is likely to reverse downward from resistance with stable
call OI.
Breakdown at Support: The market is likely to break down below support due to decreasing put
OI.
Trading Strategy:
Short the market (PE) at resistance and support.
Avoid buying calls (CE) in this scenario.
Risk Management:
Place stop-losses near key levels (above resistance and below support).
Monitor for any sudden changes in OI that could signal a shift in market direction.
Scenario 3 presents a bearish trading environment, with opportunities to profit from the market's
expected downward movement at both the resistance and support levels. Traders should focus on
shorting the market by buying put options and should avoid taking long positions in this scenario.
Let me know if you'd like further clarification or if you'd like to dive deeper into any specific points!
Scenario 4 of COA 2.0: Reversal at Resistance with Highly Increasing Open Interest
(Calls) / Reversal at Support with Stable Open Interest (Puts)
In Scenario 4, the market experiences a reversal at resistance, with highly increasing open
interest (OI) on the call side, while also encountering a reversal at support, with stable OI on the
put side. This scenario suggests that resistance is strongly being defended by sellers (call writers),
while support remains stable, signaling a balanced market with a likely oscillation between key levels.
1. Market Condition
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A. Reversal at Resistance (Calls - OI Highly Increasing)
Resistance Level: The market is approaching a resistance level where the price is likely to stop
rising and reverse downward.
Call OI is Highly Increasing: The open interest on the call side is increasing significantly,
meaning that many new call positions are being opened. This often indicates strong participation
from sellers who are defending the resistance level, expecting the price to reverse downward.
Reversal Indication: The increasing call OI suggests that traders are confident that the price will
not break through resistance. As a result, the market is likely to reverse downward at this level.
Interpretation: The highly increasing OI on the call side strengthens the resistance level,
making it more likely that the market will reverse rather than break out.
Support Level: The market is also testing a support level, where downward price movement
typically slows down and reverses upward.
Put OI is Stable: On the put side, the open interest remains stable, meaning that traders are
holding their current positions but are not aggressively adding new ones. This stability suggests
that the support level is likely to hold.
Reversal Indication: The stable OI on the put side signals that the market is likely to reverse
upward from support, but there is no major indication of new buying pressure.
Interpretation: The stable put OI indicates that support is being respected, and the market will
likely reverse from this level, but without a surge in buying interest.
Increasing OI at Resistance: When the call OI increases significantly at resistance, it signals that
new positions are being opened by sellers (call writers), who believe that the resistance level will
hold and that the price will not rise further.
Strong Resistance: The highly increasing OI strengthens the resistance level, as it suggests that
there is strong selling pressure at this price point. The market is more likely to reverse downward
than to break through resistance.
B. Stable OI at Support
Stable OI at Support: Stable OI on the put side at support means that traders are confident in
their current positions and are not aggressively adding new positions. This suggests that support
will hold, and the market is likely to reverse upward from this level.
No Major Buying Pressure: While the stable OI indicates that support will likely hold, it also
means that there isn’t a significant influx of new buying positions, which could limit the strength
of the upward reversal.
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Resistance Holds Firm: The market is likely to reverse downward from the resistance level, as
the increasing OI on the call side suggests strong selling pressure. Traders are opening new call
positions, expecting the price to fall from this level.
Downward Pressure: As the market approaches resistance, the increasing OI indicates that
sellers are stepping in to defend the level, making it difficult for the price to break higher. As a
result, the market is likely to reverse downward.
Support Holds: The stable OI on the put side suggests that support will hold, and the market will
likely reverse upward from this level. However, since there is no major increase in OI, the
reversal may not be as strong or aggressive as in other scenarios.
Upward Reversal: The stable OI indicates that the market is respecting the support level, but the
absence of increasing OI suggests that traders are not opening many new positions. As a result,
the reversal might be more gradual.
4. Trading Strategy
Short the Market (PE): Since the market is expected to reverse downward from resistance,
traders should consider buying put options (PE), expecting the price to fall.
Avoid Buying CE: Buying call options (CE) in this scenario would be risky, as the market is likely
to reverse downward from resistance. Traders should avoid going long at resistance.
Buy Call Options (CE) at Support: Since the market is expected to reverse upward from
support, traders can consider buying call options (CE), expecting the price to rise. However, the
lack of increasing OI means that the reversal might not be very strong, so a more cautious
approach is recommended.
Avoid Buying PE: Since the support is holding, buying put options (PE) could lead to losses, as
the market is more likely to rise from this level than to fall further.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss for PE Positions: When buying put options at resistance, place your stop-loss slightly
above the resistance level in case the market unexpectedly breaks out.
Monitor OI Increases: Keep an eye on the OI on the call side. If the OI continues to increase, it
strengthens the case for a reversal, but a sudden decrease in OI could signal that sellers are
closing their positions, which might indicate a breakout.
Stop-Loss for CE Positions: When buying call options at support, place your stop-loss just below
the support level in case the market breaks down unexpectedly.
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Monitor for Sudden OI Changes: Although the OI is stable at support, keep an eye out for any
changes. If put OI starts to decrease rapidly, it might indicate that the support is weakening,
increasing the chances of a breakdown.
Let’s assume the price of an asset is fluctuating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance).
At Resistance (₹120):
The market approaches ₹120, and the call OI is highly increasing.
The market reverses downward from resistance due to the strong selling pressure
indicated by the increasing call OI.
Action: Buy put options (PE) expecting the market to fall after reversing from resistance.
At Support (₹100):
The market approaches ₹100, and the put OI remains stable.
The market is likely to reverse upward from support, as traders are holding their positions,
expecting the support to hold.
Action: Buy call options (CE) expecting the market to bounce upward from support.
7. Key Insights
Reversal at Resistance: The highly increasing call OI at resistance strengthens the case for a
reversal downward from this level. Sellers are confident in defending the resistance, and the
price is unlikely to break through.
Reversal at Support: The stable put OI at support indicates that the market will likely reverse
upward, but the lack of increasing OI suggests that the reversal may be more gradual or less
aggressive.
Balanced Market: This scenario indicates a balanced market, with strong defense at resistance
and stability at support. The market is likely to oscillate between these key levels, making it an
ideal environment for trading reversals.
Summary of Scenario 4:
Reversal at Resistance: The market is likely to reverse downward from resistance due to highly
increasing call OI.
Reversal at Support: The market is likely to reverse upward from support due to stable put OI.
Trading Strategy:
Short the market (PE) at resistance.
Buy call options (CE) at support, but cautiously due to the stable OI.
Risk Management:
Place stop-losses near key levels (above resistance and below support).
Monitor OI for sudden shifts that could signal a change in market direction.
This scenario presents a reversal trading environment, where traders can take advantage of the
expected reversals at both the resistance and support levels. The highly increasing OI at resistance
indicates strong selling pressure, while the stable OI at support signals that the level is likely to hold.
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Let me know if you'd like to dive deeper into any specific points!
In Scenario 5, the market is experiencing a breakout at resistance with highly decreasing open
interest (OI) on the call side, while at the same time encountering a breakdown at support with
stable OI on the put side. This situation reflects a market where resistance is being broken due to
reduced selling pressure, but support is failing, leading to further downward movement.
1. Market Condition
Resistance Level: The market is testing a resistance level, which is usually a price point where
the upward movement faces difficulty.
Call OI is Highly Decreasing: The open interest on the call side is rapidly decreasing,
indicating that traders are closing their call positions. This implies that the sellers who were
expecting the price to reverse from resistance are now losing confidence in the resistance
holding.
Breakout Indication: The market is breaking out above resistance, which means the price is
pushing higher, surpassing the resistance level. The highly decreasing OI on the call side
suggests that sellers are closing their positions and accepting the fact that the market is likely to
go higher.
Interpretation: The decreasing OI on the call side weakens the resistance level, allowing the
price to break through. This signals that the market has bullish momentum and the breakout is
expected to continue.
Support Level: The market is also testing a support level, where downward movement usually
finds a floor and starts reversing upward.
Put OI is Stable: On the put side, the open interest remains stable, meaning that traders are
holding their positions, but no significant new positions are being added. This indicates that
there is no strong buying pressure to defend the support level.
Breakdown Indication: The stable OI on the put side suggests that the support level is not
being aggressively defended, leading to a breakdown below the support level. The lack of new
buying interest means that support is weak and can be broken easily.
Interpretation: The stable OI indicates that traders aren’t making major efforts to defend the
support level. As a result, the price breaks down below support, signaling a continuation of the
downward movement.
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2. What Does Decreasing and Stable Open Interest Indicate?
B. Stable OI at Support
Stable OI at Support: A stable OI on the put side at support means that traders are holding their
current positions but are not aggressively adding new ones. This indicates that while the market
is respecting support, there isn’t enough buying pressure to stop the price from falling.
Weak Support: The stable OI signals that traders aren’t actively defending the support level.
Without increasing OI to show strong buying interest, the market is likely to break down below
the support level.
Resistance Breaks: The market is expected to break out above the resistance level due to the
decreasing OI on the call side. Traders are closing their call positions, meaning they no longer
believe that the price will reverse downward. This reduces the selling pressure at resistance,
allowing the market to break higher.
Upward Momentum: As resistance breaks, the market is likely to experience upward
momentum. Traders who were previously holding calls may begin buying to capture the upward
movement, pushing the price higher.
Support Breaks: The market is expected to break down below the support level due to the
stable OI on the put side. The lack of increasing OI means that traders aren’t stepping in to
defend the support level, allowing the price to fall through.
Downward Continuation: Once support is broken, the market is likely to continue its downward
movement. The lack of strong buying interest (indicated by the stable OI) means that there’s no
support to stop the price from falling.
4. Trading Strategy
Buy Call Options (CE) on the Breakout: Since the market is expected to break out above
resistance, this is a good opportunity to buy call options (CE), expecting the price to rise.
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Avoid Buying Put Options (PE): Buying put options (PE) at resistance would be risky, as the
market is breaking out, meaning the price is likely to go higher.
Short the Market Using PE on Breakdown: Since the market is expected to break down below
support, traders can short the market by buying put options (PE), expecting the price to fall
further.
Avoid Buying Call Options (CE): Buying call options (CE) at support would be dangerous, as the
market is breaking down, and the price is more likely to fall than to reverse upward.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss for CE Positions: When buying call options at resistance, place your stop-loss slightly
below the resistance level in case the breakout fails, and the market reverses downward.
Monitor OI for Sudden Changes: Even though OI is decreasing, if call OI suddenly stabilizes or
increases, it could signal that sellers are stepping back in, which might prevent a breakout.
Stop-Loss for PE Positions: When shorting the market at support, place your stop-loss just
above the support level in case the market unexpectedly reverses upward.
Monitor for a Reversal: While the stable OI suggests that support will break, if OI suddenly
starts increasing, it might indicate that buyers are stepping in, which could trigger a reversal.
Let’s assume the price of an asset is fluctuating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance).
At Resistance (₹120):
The market approaches ₹120, and the call OI is highly decreasing.
The market breaks out above resistance due to the lack of strong selling pressure.
Action: Buy call options (CE), expecting the market to continue rising after the breakout.
At Support (₹100):
The market approaches ₹100, but the put OI remains stable.
The market breaks down below support, as there isn’t enough buying pressure to hold the
level.
Action: Buy put options (PE), expecting the market to continue falling after the
breakdown.
7. Key Insights
Breakout at Resistance: The highly decreasing call OI weakens the resistance, allowing the
market to break through and continue higher.
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Breakdown at Support: The stable put OI suggests that support isn’t being strongly defended,
leading to a breakdown below the support level.
Balanced but Bearish: While the market is breaking out at resistance, the breakdown at support
indicates that the overall market sentiment may still lean bearish, as support is failing to hold.
Summary of Scenario 5:
Breakout at Resistance: The market is breaking out above resistance due to highly decreasing
call OI, signaling a bullish breakout.
Breakdown at Support: The market is breaking down below support due to stable put OI,
signaling further bearish movement.
Trading Strategy:
Buy call options (CE) at resistance on the breakout.
Short the market using put options (PE) at support on the breakdown.
Risk Management:
Place stop-losses near key levels (below resistance and above support).
Monitor for sudden changes in OI that could signal a reversal in market direction.
Scenario 5 presents a mixed trading environment, with opportunities to go long at resistance (buy
CE) due to the breakout and to go short at support (buy PE) due to the breakdown. Traders should
remain flexible and be ready to capitalize on both the bullish breakout and the bearish breakdown.
Let me know if you have any questions or would like to explore any specific aspects of this scenario
further!
In Scenario 6, the market is experiencing consolidation at resistance with highly increasing open
interest (OI) on the call side, while also encountering a reversal at support with highly increasing
OI on the put side. This scenario reflects a market that is in a state of consolidation at resistance,
meaning the price is neither breaking out nor reversing sharply. However, the highly increasing OI
suggests that both buyers and sellers are actively participating, leading to indecision at key price
levels.
1. Market Condition
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Resistance Level: The market is testing a resistance level, which usually signals that upward
movement is being met with selling pressure. However, in this case, the price is consolidating at
this level instead of reversing or breaking out.
Call OI is Highly Increasing: The open interest on the call side is increasing significantly,
meaning that new call positions are being opened by traders, likely by sellers who are expecting
the resistance to hold and the price to reverse downward.
Consolidation Indication: The increasing OI suggests that sellers are actively defending the
resistance level, but the market is not making any decisive moves. Instead, it’s consolidating,
with price fluctuations remaining within a tight range near the resistance level.
Interpretation: The highly increasing OI on the call side indicates that traders are confident the
resistance will hold, but there is no clear direction yet. The market may break out, but it could
also reverse downward if the sellers gain more control.
Support Level: The market is also testing a support level, which typically signals that downward
movement is being met with buying interest. In this case, the price is reversing upward from
support.
Put OI is Highly Increasing: On the put side, the open interest is increasing significantly,
indicating that traders are opening new positions. This could be due to buyers (those who expect
the price to rise) stepping in and defending the support level, or it could be sellers hedging their
positions.
Reversal Indication: The highly increasing OI on the put side suggests that traders expect the
support to hold, and the market is likely to reverse upward from this level.
Interpretation: The increasing OI signals strong participation at the support level, and the
market is likely to reverse upward as buyers defend the level. However, the increasing OI also
shows that there is significant activity, so volatility could increase.
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3. Expected Market Behavior
Upward Reversal: The market is expected to reverse upward from the support level due to the
increasing OI on the put side. Buyers are actively defending the support, and the increasing OI
suggests that the price will likely move higher after testing the support level.
Volatility May Increase: The highly increasing OI at support indicates significant activity, which
could lead to increased volatility. While the market is likely to reverse upward, sudden shifts in
momentum could occur due to the high participation at this level.
4. Trading Strategy
Wait for a Clear Direction: Since the market is in consolidation at resistance, it’s best to wait for
a decisive move before entering a trade. If the price breaks out above resistance, traders can
consider buying call options (CE).
Short the Market if a Reversal Occurs: If the market reverses downward from resistance,
traders can consider buying put options (PE) to profit from the decline. The increasing OI
suggests that sellers are defending the resistance, so a reversal is possible.
Buy Call Options (CE) on the Reversal: Since the market is expected to reverse upward from
support, traders can consider buying call options (CE), expecting the price to rise. The increasing
OI on the put side suggests that buyers are actively defending the support level.
Avoid Shorting the Market: Since the support level is likely to hold, avoid shorting the market
or buying put options (PE) at support, as the price is more likely to move higher.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss for CE or PE Positions: If you decide to enter a trade at resistance, place your stop-
loss just above resistance for short positions (PE) and just below resistance for long positions
(CE) in case the market makes a sudden move in the opposite direction.
Monitor OI Closely: If the call OI continues to increase, it strengthens the case for a reversal.
However, if OI starts to decrease, it could indicate that the market is preparing for a breakout.
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B. At Support (Puts - OI Highly Increasing)
Stop-Loss for CE Positions: When buying call options at support, place your stop-loss just below
the support level to limit your losses in case the market unexpectedly breaks down.
Watch for Volatility: The increasing OI indicates that there could be significant price
movements. Be cautious of sudden shifts in momentum and be prepared to exit your trade if the
market becomes too volatile.
Let’s assume the price of an asset is fluctuating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance).
At Resistance (₹120):
The market approaches ₹120, and the call OI is highly increasing.
The market is consolidating near resistance, fluctuating within a narrow range as sellers
defend the resistance level.
Action: Wait for a clear breakout or reversal. If the market reverses downward, buy put
options (PE). If the market breaks out, consider buying call options (CE).
At Support (₹100):
The market approaches ₹100, and the put OI is highly increasing.
The market is reversing upward from support, indicating that buyers are defending the
level.
Action: Buy call options (CE), expecting the market to rise after reversing from support.
7. Key Insights
Consolidation at Resistance: The highly increasing call OI at resistance suggests that the
market is consolidating, with sellers defending the resistance level. A breakout or reversal could
occur, but the market is likely to remain within a tight range in the short term.
Reversal at Support: The highly increasing put OI at support indicates that buyers are actively
defending the support level, leading to an upward reversal.
Wait for Clear Signals: In this scenario, it’s important to wait for clear signs of a breakout or
reversal before entering a trade, as the market could remain in consolidation for some time.
Summary of Scenario 6:
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Scenario 6 presents a trading environment where the market is consolidating at resistance and
reversing at support. Traders should be cautious and wait for clear signals before entering trades, as
the increasing OI indicates strong participation but also potential for volatility.
Let me know if you have any further questions or need clarification on any points!
In Scenario 7 of COA 2.0, the market is experiencing a breakout at resistance, with highly
decreasing open interest (OI) on the call side, and simultaneously encountering a reversal at
support, with highly increasing OI on the put side. This scenario reflects a bullish market, where
resistance is breached due to declining selling pressure, and support is being strongly defended by
buyers, leading to a potential upward move.
1. Market Condition
Resistance Level: The market is testing a resistance level, where upward price movement
typically faces selling pressure. However, in this case, the market is breaking out above the
resistance level.
Call OI is Highly Decreasing: The open interest on the call side is rapidly decreasing,
meaning that traders who were previously holding calls (likely sellers) are closing their positions.
This reflects a lack of conviction from sellers to defend the resistance, weakening the resistance
level.
Breakout Indication: The rapid decrease in call OI signals that the market is overcoming the
resistance, and the price is breaking out higher. Sellers are exiting their positions, allowing
buyers to push the market upward.
Interpretation: The highly decreasing OI at resistance shows that traders are no longer holding
onto their call positions, reducing the selling pressure and allowing the price to move above
resistance. This signals a potential bullish breakout, with the market likely to continue rising.
Support Level: The market is also testing a support level, which is typically a price point where
downward price movement stalls and reverses upward.
Put OI is Highly Increasing: On the put side, the open interest is increasing significantly,
indicating that traders are opening new positions. This could be due to buyers stepping in to
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defend the support level, expecting a reversal, or sellers opening new positions to hedge against
the market.
Reversal Indication: The highly increasing OI on the put side suggests that traders are actively
defending the support level, leading to a reversal upward from support.
Interpretation: The increasing OI at support indicates strong participation from traders,
signaling that the market is likely to reverse upward as buyers step in to support the price.
Decreasing OI at Resistance: A significant decrease in open interest on the call side indicates
that traders are closing their positions, likely because they no longer expect the resistance level
to hold. This often happens when the market is about to break out above resistance, and the
sellers start exiting their positions.
Weakening Resistance: The decreasing OI weakens the resistance, allowing the market to push
through it. With fewer traders defending the resistance level, the price can rise more easily,
leading to a breakout.
Increasing OI at Support: A significant increase in OI on the put side at support indicates that
traders are opening new positions. This can be either buyers stepping in to defend the support
or sellers hedging their positions. The increasing OI signals that traders believe the support will
hold, and the market is likely to reverse upward.
Strengthening Support: The increasing OI at support suggests that buyers are actively
participating, making the support level stronger. This increases the likelihood of a reversal and
upward movement from the support level.
Resistance Breaks: The market is expected to break out above resistance due to the significant
decrease in call OI. Traders who were defending resistance are closing their positions, reducing
the selling pressure and allowing the price to rise.
Upward Momentum: As the resistance breaks, the market is likely to experience strong upward
momentum. Traders who had been short may begin covering their positions, adding fuel to the
upward movement.
Support Holds: The market is expected to reverse upward from support due to the significant
increase in put OI. Buyers are stepping in to defend the support level, preventing further
downward movement.
Reversal Upward: The increasing OI suggests strong buying interest, which is likely to lead to a
reversal and an upward price movement from support.
4. Trading Strategy
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A. At Resistance (Calls - OI Highly Decreasing)
Buy Call Options (CE) on the Breakout: Since the market is expected to break out above
resistance, this is an opportunity to buy call options (CE), expecting the price to rise. The
decreasing call OI signals weakening resistance, making it more likely that the market will move
higher.
Avoid Shorting: Shorting the market or buying put options (PE) at resistance would be risky, as
the market is breaking out, and the price is likely to continue rising.
Buy Call Options (CE) on the Reversal: Since the market is expected to reverse upward from
support, traders can also buy call options (CE) at support, expecting the price to rise from this
level. The increasing put OI suggests that the support level will hold, making a reversal likely.
Avoid Buying Puts (PE): Buying put options (PE) at support would be risky, as the market is
reversing upward. The increasing OI on the put side indicates that traders are defending the
support level.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss for CE Positions: If you decide to buy call options at resistance, place your stop-loss
just below the resistance level in case the breakout fails, and the market reverses downward.
Monitor OI Closely: Although the OI is decreasing, keep an eye on any sudden changes. If call
OI starts increasing again, it could indicate that sellers are stepping back in, which might limit
the breakout potential.
Stop-Loss for CE Positions: When buying call options at support, place your stop-loss just below
the support level in case the market unexpectedly breaks down.
Watch for a Sudden Breakdown: While the increasing OI suggests that the support will hold, be
cautious of any rapid shifts in momentum that could lead to a breakdown.
Let’s assume the price of an asset is fluctuating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance).
At Resistance (₹120):
The market approaches ₹120, and the call OI is highly decreasing.
The market breaks out above resistance as the selling pressure weakens.
Action: Buy call options (CE), expecting the market to continue rising after the breakout.
At Support (₹100):
The market approaches ₹100, and the put OI is highly increasing.
The market reverses upward from support due to strong buying pressure.
Action: Buy call options (CE), expecting the market to bounce upward from support.
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7. Key Insights
Breakout at Resistance: The highly decreasing call OI weakens the resistance, allowing the
market to break out and continue higher. This indicates a bullish breakout, with upward
momentum expected.
Reversal at Support: The highly increasing put OI strengthens the support level, making it more
likely that the market will reverse upward. This suggests strong buying pressure at the support
level.
Bullish Bias: This scenario has a bullish bias, as both the breakout at resistance and the reversal
at support indicate upward price movement.
Summary of Scenario 7:
Breakout at Resistance: The market is breaking out above resistance due to the highly
decreasing call OI, signaling a bullish breakout.
Reversal at Support: The market is reversing upward from support due to highly increasing put
OI, signaling strong support defense.
Trading Strategy:
Buy call options (CE) at both resistance (on the breakout) and support (on the reversal).
Avoid buying puts (PE) in this scenario.
Risk Management:
Place stop-losses near key levels (below resistance and support).
Monitor for any sudden changes in OI that could signal a reversal or breakdown.
Scenario 7 presents a bullish trading environment, with opportunities to go long at both resistance
and support. The market is breaking out at resistance due to weakening selling pressure and
reversing at support due to strong buying activity, making this an ideal scenario for buying call
options (CE).
Let me know if you need further clarification on any point or would like to explore any aspect of this
scenario in more detail!
In Scenario 8 of COA 2.0, the market is experiencing consolidation at resistance with highly
increasing open interest (OI) on the call side, while encountering a breakdown at support with
highly decreasing OI on the put side. This scenario represents a market that is facing strong selling
pressure at resistance (leading to consolidation) and a weakening defense of support (leading to a
breakdown).
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Let’s break down the scenario in more detail:
1. Market Condition
Resistance Level: The market is approaching a resistance level, a price point where upward
momentum typically slows down due to selling pressure.
Call OI is Highly Increasing: The open interest on the call side is increasing significantly,
meaning more traders are opening positions at the resistance level, likely expecting the price to
reverse downward. This indicates strong selling activity as the market tests the resistance level.
Consolidation Indication: The increasing OI on the call side suggests that resistance is being
strongly defended by sellers. The price is not able to break through the resistance, resulting in
consolidation at this level. The market is moving within a narrow range, neither breaking out
nor reversing sharply.
Interpretation: The highly increasing OI at resistance suggests that sellers are confident the
resistance will hold. The market is likely to consolidate for some time, with a potential reversal
downward if sellers maintain their positions. The price action is indecisive, as buyers and sellers
are balancing out near resistance.
Support Level: The market is also testing a support level, which is typically a price point where
downward movement slows down due to buying interest. In this case, the market is failing to
hold support.
Put OI is Highly Decreasing: On the put side, the open interest is decreasing significantly,
indicating that traders are closing their positions. This signals that there is no strong defense of
the support level, leading to a breakdown below support.
Breakdown Indication: The decreasing OI on the put side shows that traders are exiting their
positions, likely because they no longer believe that the support level will hold. This leads to a
breakdown, where the price falls below the support level.
Interpretation: The highly decreasing OI at support weakens the level, making it more likely
that the price will continue to move downward. The lack of buying interest or support defense
indicates that the market will likely experience further downside movement after breaking
support.
Increasing OI at Resistance: A significant increase in open interest on the call side at resistance
indicates that more traders are opening new positions, likely sellers (call writers), expecting the
resistance to hold. This creates selling pressure, making it difficult for the price to break through
the resistance level.
Consolidation Behavior: The increasing OI suggests that the resistance level is being actively
defended, preventing the price from breaking higher. However, the market is not making a sharp
move downward either, resulting in consolidation, where the price fluctuates within a narrow
range near resistance.
Resistance Holds, Price Consolidates: The market is expected to consolidate at resistance due
to the increasing OI on the call side. Sellers are actively defending the resistance level,
preventing the price from breaking out. However, the market is not reversing sharply, resulting
in sideways price movement.
Indecision in the Market: The increasing OI at resistance suggests that sellers are in control,
but the market is not making any decisive moves. Buyers may still be holding their positions,
which leads to a stalemate between buyers and sellers. The price is likely to remain in
consolidation until a clearer direction emerges.
Support Fails, Price Breaks Down: The market is expected to break down below support due to
the significant decrease in OI on the put side. Traders are closing their positions, signaling a lack
of confidence in the support level holding. This allows the price to fall below support, leading to
further downside movement.
Downward Continuation: Once support is broken, the market is likely to continue moving
downward. The lack of buying interest at support means there is little to stop the price from
falling further.
4. Trading Strategy
Wait for a Clear Signal (Consolidation): Since the market is in consolidation at resistance,
traders should wait for a clearer signal before entering a trade. If the price reverses downward
from resistance, it would be a good opportunity to buy put options (PE), expecting the price to
fall.
Avoid Buying Call Options (CE): Given the strong selling pressure at resistance, buying call
options (CE) would be risky, as the market is unlikely to break out in this scenario. Instead, look
for shorting opportunities if the price reverses from resistance.
Short the Market on Breakdown (PE): Since the market is expected to break down below
support, traders can short the market by buying put options (PE), expecting the price to
continue falling after breaking support.
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Avoid Buying Call Options (CE): Buying call options (CE) at support would be risky, as the
market is breaking down, and the price is more likely to fall further. Avoid going long at support
in this scenario.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss for PE Positions: If you decide to short the market at resistance, place your stop-loss
just above the resistance level in case the market unexpectedly breaks out.
Monitor OI for Sudden Shifts: The increasing OI at resistance indicates strong selling pressure,
but if call OI suddenly decreases, it could signal that sellers are closing their positions, which
might indicate a breakout.
Stop-Loss for PE Positions: When shorting the market at support, place your stop-loss just
above the support level in case the market unexpectedly reverses upward.
Watch for a Bounce: While the decreasing OI suggests that support will break, be cautious of
any sudden increase in OI, which could indicate that buyers are stepping back in, leading to a
reversal.
Let’s assume the price of an asset is fluctuating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance).
At Resistance (₹120):
The market approaches ₹120, and the call OI is highly increasing.
The market is consolidating near resistance, fluctuating within a narrow range as sellers
defend the resistance level.
Action: Wait for a clear signal. If the market reverses downward, buy put options (PE) to
profit from the expected decline.
At Support (₹100):
The market approaches ₹100, but the put OI is highly decreasing.
The market breaks down below support, as there is no strong defense at this level.
Action: Short the market by buying put options (PE), expecting the price to continue falling
after the breakdown.
7. Key Insights
Consolidation at Resistance: The highly increasing call OI at resistance suggests that the
market is consolidating due to strong selling pressure. The price is likely to remain in a narrow
range near resistance until there is a clear breakout or reversal.
Breakdown at Support: The highly decreasing put OI at support indicates that the market is
breaking down, as there is no strong buying interest to defend the support level. The price is
likely to continue falling after breaking support.
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Bearish Bias: This scenario has a bearish bias, as the breakdown at support suggests further
downside movement. The consolidation at resistance also indicates that sellers are actively
defending the level, making a breakout less likely.
Summary of Scenario 8:
Scenario 8 presents a bearish trading environment, with opportunities to short the market at both
resistance (on a reversal) and support (on the breakdown). Traders should remain cautious and look
for clear signals before entering trades.
Let me know if you have any further questions or need clarification on any points!
Scenario 9 of COA 2.0: Reversal at Resistance with Stable Open Interest (Calls) /
Breakdown at Support with Highly Increasing Open Interest (Puts)
In Scenario 9 of COA 2.0, the market encounters a reversal at resistance with stable open interest
(OI) on the call side, and a breakdown at support with highly increasing OI on the put side. This
scenario reflects a bearish market where resistance is holding firm, while support is breaking down
due to increasing selling pressure. It indicates a situation where the market is likely to continue falling
after failing to hold key support levels.
1. Market Condition
Resistance Level: The market is testing a resistance level, which typically acts as a ceiling for
upward price movement.
Call OI is Stable: The open interest on the call side remains stable, meaning that traders are
holding their positions without adding or closing many contracts. This stability reflects a balance
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in the market, with no major changes in sentiment at resistance.
Reversal Indication: Despite the stable OI, the market is reversing downward from the
resistance level, indicating that resistance is strong enough to hold. Sellers are confident that the
price will not break above resistance, leading to a reversal.
Interpretation: The stable OI on the call side indicates that traders expect the resistance level to
hold, and the market is more likely to reverse downward than break through. This suggests a
bearish sentiment near the resistance level, where sellers maintain control.
Support Level: The market is also testing a support level, which is supposed to provide a floor
for downward movement. However, in this scenario, the support is failing.
Put OI is Highly Increasing: On the put side, the open interest is increasing significantly,
indicating that traders are opening new positions (likely selling or hedging) in anticipation of
further downward movement. The increasing OI suggests strong participation from sellers, as
more traders expect the price to continue falling.
Breakdown Indication: The increasing OI on the put side shows that there is substantial selling
pressure, leading to a breakdown below the support level. The market is unable to hold support
due to the heavy selling, allowing the price to fall further.
Interpretation: The highly increasing OI at support suggests that traders are opening new
positions, expecting the support to break. This leads to a bearish continuation, where the price
falls through support and continues to move lower.
Stable OI at Resistance: When the call OI remains stable at resistance, it indicates that traders
are holding their positions without expecting a major breakout. This stability reflects that the
market is likely respecting the resistance level, and there is no strong sentiment toward breaking
through it.
Reversal Behavior: The stable OI suggests that resistance is holding firm, preventing the price
from moving higher. As a result, the market is more likely to reverse downward from this level.
Increasing OI at Support: A significant increase in open interest on the put side at support
indicates that traders are actively opening new positions. This could be due to sellers expecting
the price to fall further or buyers hedging their positions in anticipation of a breakdown.
Breakdown Behavior: The increasing OI on the put side signals that traders expect the support
level to fail, leading to a breakdown. The market is more likely to continue moving downward as
sellers dominate, pushing the price through support.
Resistance Holds, Price Reverses: The market is expected to reverse downward from the
resistance level due to the stable OI on the call side. Traders are holding their positions,
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indicating that they expect the resistance to hold firm.
Limited Upside: The stable OI suggests that there is no strong buying interest to push the price
higher, making a breakout unlikely. Instead, the market is more likely to move lower as sellers
take control.
Support Fails, Price Breaks Down: The market is expected to break down below the support
level due to the increasing OI on the put side. Traders are opening new positions, likely expecting
the price to continue falling.
Downward Continuation: The increasing OI indicates strong selling pressure, leading to further
downward movement after the breakdown. The lack of buying interest at support means the
market is likely to experience continued downside momentum.
4. Trading Strategy
Short the Market (PE) on Reversal: Since the market is expected to reverse downward from
resistance, traders can consider buying put options (PE), expecting the price to fall. The stable
call OI suggests that resistance will hold, making a reversal more likely.
Avoid Buying Call Options (CE): Given the likelihood of a reversal at resistance, buying call
options (CE) would be risky. The market is more likely to move lower than break higher, so avoid
going long in this scenario.
Short the Market (PE) on Breakdown: Since the market is expected to break down below
support, traders can short the market by buying put options (PE), expecting the price to fall
further after breaking support. The increasing OI signals strong selling pressure, making a
breakdown likely.
Avoid Buying Call Options (CE): Buying call options (CE) at support would be dangerous, as the
market is breaking down. The increasing OI suggests that sellers are dominating, so avoid taking
long positions at support.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss for PE Positions: If you decide to short the market at resistance, place your stop-loss
slightly above the resistance level in case the market unexpectedly breaks out.
Monitor for OI Changes: While the OI is stable, watch for any sudden increases in call OI, which
could signal that sellers are stepping back and a breakout may occur.
Stop-Loss for PE Positions: When shorting the market at support, place your stop-loss slightly
above the support level in case the market reverses upward unexpectedly.
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Watch for Volatility: The increasing OI at support indicates significant participation from sellers.
Be prepared for increased volatility and sharp price movements, as the breakdown could
accelerate the downward move.
Let’s assume the price of an asset is fluctuating between ₹100 (support) and ₹120 (resistance).
At Resistance (₹120):
The market approaches ₹120, and the call OI remains stable.
The market reverses downward from resistance due to the lack of strong buying interest.
Action: Buy put options (PE), expecting the market to fall after reversing from resistance.
At Support (₹100):
The market approaches ₹100, and the put OI is highly increasing.
The market breaks down below support as sellers dominate, pushing the price lower.
Action: Short the market by buying put options (PE), expecting the price to continue falling
after breaking support.
7. Key Insights
Reversal at Resistance: The stable call OI at resistance suggests that the market is more likely
to reverse downward than to break higher. Sellers are maintaining their positions, preventing
the price from rising.
Breakdown at Support: The highly increasing put OI at support indicates that traders are
actively opening new positions in anticipation of a breakdown. The market is likely to continue
falling after breaking through support.
Bearish Bias: This scenario has a strong bearish bias, as both the reversal at resistance and the
breakdown at support indicate downward price movement. Sellers are in control, and the market
is likely to experience further declines.
Summary of Scenario 9:
Reversal at Resistance: The market is reversing downward from resistance due to stable call OI.
Sellers are holding their positions, preventing the price from rising.
Breakdown at Support: The market is breaking down below support due to highly increasing
put OI. The increasing selling pressure makes it likely that the price will continue falling.
Trading Strategy:
Short the market (PE) at resistance on the reversal.
Short the market (PE) at support on the breakdown.
Avoid buying calls (CE) in this scenario.
Risk Management:
Place stop-losses near key levels (above resistance and support).
Monitor for sudden changes in OI that could signal a reversal or breakout.
Scenario 9 presents a bearish trading environment, with opportunities to short the market at both
resistance (on the reversal) and support (on the breakdown). Traders should focus on selling
opportunities and avoid taking long positions in this scenario.
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Let me know if you have any further questions or need clarification on any specific points!
Here’s an outline for compiling the notes on COA 2.0 scenarios. This structure will ensure your notes
are clear, organized, and easy to follow, allowing you to reference and build upon them effectively.
Key Concepts:
Define Support and Resistance.
Explain Open Interest (OI) and its impact on market strength.
Define Breakouts, Reversals, and Breakdowns.
Discuss the role of Volume and Price Movements.
2. Scenario-Based Analysis
For each scenario, include the following subsections to maintain uniformity and clarity.
Scenario 1: Reversal at Resistance with Stable OI (Calls) / Reversal at Support with Stable OI
(Puts)
Scenario 2: Breakout at Resistance with Stable OI (Calls) / Reversal at Support with Highly
Increasing OI (Puts)
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Market Condition: Explanation of resistance breaking out and support reversing with changing
OI.
What Increasing OI at Support Means: Explanation of OI’s role in supporting the reversal.
Expected Market Behavior: Describing how the breakout and reversal affect price movement.
Trading Strategy: What actions to take when encountering breakouts and reversals.
Risk Management: Managing risk based on breakouts at resistance and reversals at support.
Key Insights: Summarize the impact of OI on breakouts and reversals.
Scenario 3: Reversal at Resistance with Stable OI (Calls) / Breakdown at Support with Highly
Decreasing OI (Puts)
Market Condition: Explaining why the market reverses at resistance and breaks down at
support.
What Decreasing OI Means: Detailing the weakening support and increased selling pressure.
Expected Market Behavior: Likely market behavior after a breakdown and reversal.
Trading Strategy: Best trading practices for capitalizing on breakdowns and reversals.
Risk Management: Setting appropriate stop-loss levels for protection.
Key Insights: Takeaways on how stable and decreasing OI signal market direction.
Scenario 4: Breakout at Resistance with Highly Increasing OI (Calls) / Reversal at Support with
Stable OI (Puts)
Market Condition: Understanding the market when resistance breaks out and support reverses.
Highly Increasing OI’s Role: Explaining the significance of increased OI at resistance and its
impact.
Expected Market Behavior: Movement after the breakout and reversal.
Trading Strategy: Practical strategies to follow during these scenarios.
Risk Management: Adjusting risk in a breakout and reversal environment.
Key Insights: Recap of the importance of OI trends in breakouts and reversals.
Market Condition: Explain how decreased call OI and stable put OI influence market movement.
Decreasing OI at Resistance: Interpreting the significance of decreasing OI on breakouts.
Expected Market Behavior: Behavior of market as resistance breaks out and support breaks
down.
Trading Strategy: How to approach trading in both breakout and breakdown scenarios.
Risk Management: Protecting against sudden market reversals.
Key Insights: The influence of OI shifts on breakout and breakdown dynamics.
Market Condition: What happens when both resistance and support have increasing OI.
Increasing OI’s Significance: Understanding the impact of growing OI on both sides.
Expected Market Behavior: Consolidation at resistance, reversal at support.
Trading Strategy: Timing entries and exits based on consolidation and reversal.
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Risk Management: Managing risk in consolidation phases and reversals.
Key Insights: The role of OI in identifying consolidation phases and reversals.
Scenario 7: Breakout at Resistance with Highly Decreasing OI (Calls) / Reversal at Support with
Highly Increasing OI (Puts)
Market Condition: Understanding a bullish market setup with a breakout and reversal.
Decreasing OI at Resistance: How falling OI signals a breakout.
Expected Market Behavior: Likely price movements during breakouts and reversals.
Trading Strategy: Opportunities to go long and short in this scenario.
Risk Management: Safeguarding against unexpected market shifts.
Key Insights: The dynamics of OI at key support and resistance points.
Scenario 9: Reversal at Resistance with Stable OI (Calls) / Breakdown at Support with Highly
Increasing OI (Puts)
Market Condition: Understanding the market reversal at resistance and breakdown at support.
Increasing OI at Support: Detailing the significance of increasing put OI on breakdowns.
Expected Market Behavior: Price behavior when resistance holds and support fails.
Trading Strategy: How to profit from reversals and breakdowns.
Risk Management: Protecting your trades in volatile markets.
Key Insights: Recap on the influence of OI trends at both support and resistance.
3. Conclusion
Final Thoughts:
Reinforce the value of combining technical analysis with OI to make informed decisions.
Encourage revisiting the scenarios as new trading patterns emerge.
4. Appendix (Optional)
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Include any additional notes, charts, or resources that provide further clarity on the scenarios or
concepts covered in COA 2.0.
Use headings and subheadings for each scenario and concept to maintain clarity.
Bullet points and lists will help break down complex ideas.
Highlight or bold key takeaways for quick referencing.
Add charts or diagrams where needed to visually illustrate concepts.
This outline should help you compile the COA 2.0 notes in an organized and structured way that’s easy
to navigate and useful for future reference. Let me know if you'd like further adjustments or
clarification!
COA 2.0 provides a structured, data-driven approach to understanding market dynamics through the
lens of open interest (OI) behavior at key levels of support and resistance. By analyzing how OI
fluctuates at these critical points, traders can better predict market movements, including breakouts,
reversals, and breakdowns. This tool is especially valuable because it offers insights into market
sentiment by showing where traders are opening or closing positions, revealing the underlying
strength or weakness of support and resistance levels.
Final Thoughts:
COA 2.0 offers a powerful and methodical way to approach trading by combining price action with
open interest data. It allows traders to interpret not just where the market is moving, but why. This
approach provides a more holistic view of market behavior by connecting the dots between
sentiment, positioning, and market structure.
The insights gained from COA 2.0 can be applied across different asset classes, including equities,
options, and futures, making it a versatile tool for various types of traders, whether they are intraday
traders, swing traders, or longer-term investors.
By mastering the nine scenarios and integrating OI analysis into your trading routine, you can
improve your ability to spot opportunities, avoid traps, and ultimately make more informed and
profitable decisions. The key takeaway from COA 2.0 is that open interest is more than just a data
point—it's a window into the collective behavior of market participants, giving traders a significant
edge in anticipating market moves.
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Let me know if you'd like to adjust or further develop any part of this conclusion!
How can i use Chart 2.0 with Coa 1.0 to get more accurate trades? think deeply.
Combining Chart 2.0 and COA 1.0 can provide a more comprehensive framework for accurate trades
by using both visual price movement analysis and open interest (OI) dynamics to detect potential
market movements. When integrated correctly, these two systems can reinforce each other, offering
greater clarity and deeper insights into the underlying market sentiment and price action.
Here’s a deep dive into how you can combine Chart 2.0 and COA 1.0 for more accurate trading
decisions:
COA 1.0 primarily focuses on support and resistance levels by analyzing OI at key strike prices
and assessing their strength based on volume and OI trends. It is used to determine when
resistance or support is strong, weak, or susceptible to a breakout or breakdown.
Chart 2.0, on the other hand, emphasizes the visual patterns and trends observed in price
movements, such as bullish and bearish patterns, consolidation phases, or trend lines. It
provides a clear view of how the market is behaving visually, based on price action alone, without
necessarily incorporating OI data.
By combining the structural analysis from COA 1.0 (support and resistance levels with OI insights)
with the technical analysis from Chart 2.0 (price action patterns), you can enhance your ability to
predict market movements and execute more accurate trades.
2. Step-by-Step Integration:
Step 1: Begin by analyzing the options chain data with COA 1.0 to identify key support and
resistance levels based on the OI. This will give you a sense of where the major buying (support)
and selling (resistance) interest lies in the market.
Example: Suppose you have determined that resistance is strong around ₹120 based on
significant call-side OI, and support is solid at ₹100, where put OI is strong.
Step 2: Use the COA 1.0 guidelines to assess whether the support and resistance are strong,
weak toward the top/bottom, or if a breakout/breakdown is likely based on OI trends.
Example: Let’s say the OI at ₹120 (resistance) is highly increasing, indicating that resistance
is strong. Conversely, if the OI at ₹100 (support) is highly decreasing, the support level
might be weak.
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Step 3: After identifying these critical levels using COA 1.0, plot these levels onto Chart 2.0. This
will give you a visual representation of the price movement near these key levels.
Example: Plot ₹100 as a major support level and ₹120 as a major resistance level. Mark
areas where you see potential extensions of resistance (EOR) or support (EOS).
Step 4: Use Chart 2.0 to observe the price action near these critical support and resistance
levels. Look for key patterns, such as:
Bullish or Bearish Patterns: Do you see any classic patterns like double tops, head and
shoulders, bullish flags, or bearish engulfing patterns near resistance or support?
Trendlines and Channels: Are the prices respecting a trendline or trading within a price
channel? Overlay these with the levels determined using COA 1.0.
Volume Spikes: Look for spikes in trading volume near these levels. Are the price action
and volume confirming the analysis done with COA 1.0?
Step 5: Use COA 1.0 to confirm if the volume and OI dynamics align with what you observe on
Chart 2.0:
Example: If you see a bullish reversal pattern near support (₹100) on the chart and COA
1.0 indicates that put OI is increasing, confirming strong buyer interest, this strengthens
the likelihood of a reversal upward.
If, however, you see a bearish pattern at resistance (₹120) and the OI data shows that call
OI is increasing (signifying heavy selling interest), the chances of a reversal downward are
confirmed.
Step 6: Monitor whether the market is consolidating near key levels (resistance or support). COA
1.0 can help determine if the consolidation is likely to break out or break down by observing if OI
is increasing or decreasing, while Chart 2.0 will show visual consolidation or potential breakout
patterns (e.g., ascending or descending triangles).
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Combining the visual clarity of Chart 2.0 with the quantitative insights from COA 1.0 (via OI
and volume analysis) allows you to make more informed predictions about future market
movements.
COA 1.0 gives you a sentiment-based approach (whether the market is likely to reverse or break
out based on OI), while Chart 2.0 helps you visualize the price action and look for technical
patterns that confirm or deny the sentiment from COA 1.0.
Seeing both tools confirm the same outcome (e.g., a breakout at resistance with decreasing OI
and a bullish pattern) gives you higher confidence in executing the trade, reducing uncertainty
and enhancing your decision-making process.
Similarly, if COA 1.0 indicates weakness at support (decreasing OI) and Chart 2.0 shows a
breakdown, you can confidently execute short trades, knowing the analysis aligns from both
technical and sentiment perspectives.
Chart 2.0 helps you visualize trendlines and key price points where you can set your stop-losses
based on historical price action.
COA 1.0 helps you determine when a support or resistance level is truly strong or weak based on
the underlying OI activity, ensuring that you don’t set your stop-losses too tightly around false
breakouts or breakdowns.
Chart 2.0 provides visual confirmation for ideal entry points (whether near the top of a
resistance or the bottom of support), while COA 1.0 tells you if the market participants (traders)
are reinforcing those levels (via OI and volume).
This integration can help you better time your entries and exits and avoid being trapped in
fake breakouts or reversals.
Conclusion:
By combining Chart 2.0 and COA 1.0, you leverage both the quantitative insights of open interest
and the visual clarity of price action patterns to make more informed, accurate trades. The strength
of this combination lies in using OI dynamics to confirm or negate chart patterns, allowing you to
execute trades with greater confidence and precision. You can visualize the market's movements and
understand the underlying sentiment that drives those movements, ensuring you’re trading in
alignment with both technical indicators and market sentiment.
This integrated approach can result in a more holistic trading strategy, leading to better trade
entries, exits, and risk management, ultimately increasing your chances of success in the market.
Let me know if you'd like to explore any specific aspect of this combination further!
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Create me most accurate trading strategies which i can apply with all available knowledge in this
chat.
Based on all the knowledge discussed in this chat—particularly COA 1.0, COA 2.0, Chart 2.0, and your
emphasis on open interest (OI), volume, and support/resistance analysis—I will craft a series of
trading strategies that integrate these tools and concepts for both bullish and bearish markets, as
well as consolidation phases. These strategies will be designed to give you high-confidence entry
and exit points while minimizing risk.
Ideal Conditions:
Steps:
1. Identify Resistance Level: Use COA 1.0 to identify a resistance level (e.g., ₹120). Ensure call OI at
this level is decreasing, signaling sellers are losing confidence.
2. Confirm with Volume: Check if volume is increasing as the price approaches resistance. Higher
volume confirms buyer strength and the potential for a breakout.
3. Chart Confirmation: Use Chart 2.0 to identify any bullish patterns, such as an ascending
triangle or bullish flag, near resistance. This visual confirmation strengthens your conviction that
the breakout is likely.
4. Entry Point:
Buy call options (CE) or go long once the price breaks above resistance.
Ideally, the breakout should be confirmed with a strong volume spike.
5. Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just below the breakout level (previous resistance, now
support) to protect against false breakouts.
6. Exit Strategy:
Take profit when the price hits the next significant resistance level or shows signs of
exhaustion (e.g., a reversal pattern on the chart or OI increasing at the new resistance
level).
Summary:
Entry: Buy CE or long when price breaks above resistance with increasing volume.
Stop-loss: Below resistance (now support).
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Exit: When price hits the next resistance or shows signs of reversal.
Ideal Conditions:
Steps:
1. Identify Support Level: Use COA 1.0 to identify a support level (e.g., ₹100) with increasing put
OI, signaling strong buyers stepping in to defend this level.
2. Confirm with Volume: Ensure volume is rising near support, which suggests that buying
pressure is mounting and that a reversal may be imminent.
3. Chart Confirmation: Use Chart 2.0 to look for bullish reversal patterns, such as a double
bottom or bullish engulfing candle, near support. This confirms the likelihood of a price
bounce.
4. Entry Point:
Buy call options (CE) or go long once the price bounces off support with volume
confirmation.
5. Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just below the support level to protect against a potential
breakdown.
6. Exit Strategy:
Take profit once the price approaches the next resistance level, or exit if you see signs of
weakness (e.g., call OI increasing at resistance or a bearish reversal pattern).
Summary:
Entry: Buy CE or long when the price bounces off support with increasing volume and
confirmation from a reversal pattern.
Stop-loss: Below support.
Exit: At the next resistance or when signs of weakness appear.
Ideal Conditions:
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Chart 2.0 shows a bearish breakdown pattern (e.g., descending triangle, bearish flag).
Steps:
1. Identify Support Level: Use COA 1.0 to pinpoint the support level (e.g., ₹100). Ensure that put
OI is decreasing, signaling that buyers are not defending this level.
2. Confirm with Volume: Check if volume increases as the price nears support, suggesting
growing selling pressure.
3. Chart Confirmation: Use Chart 2.0 to look for bearish breakdown patterns near support (e.g.,
descending triangle or bearish flag). This adds visual confirmation that support will fail.
4. Entry Point:
Buy put options (PE) or go short once the price breaks below support with increased
volume.
5. Stop-Loss: Set your stop-loss just above the breakdown point (previous support, now
resistance).
6. Exit Strategy:
Take profit once the price approaches the next support level, or exit if the price shows signs
of recovery (e.g., increasing OI at the new support or a bullish reversal pattern on the
chart).
Summary:
Entry: Buy PE or short when the price breaks below support with increasing volume.
Stop-loss: Above support (now resistance).
Exit: At the next support or when signs of recovery appear.
Ideal Conditions:
Steps:
1. Identify Resistance Level: Use COA 1.0 to identify the resistance level (e.g., ₹120) where call OI
is increasing, signaling strong sellers.
2. Confirm with Volume: Ensure volume is rising near resistance, indicating mounting selling
pressure.
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3. Chart Confirmation: Use Chart 2.0 to identify bearish reversal patterns near resistance (e.g.,
head and shoulders or bearish engulfing candle).
4. Entry Point:
Buy put options (PE) or go short once the price reverses downward from resistance with
volume confirmation.
5. Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just above the resistance level to protect against a breakout.
6. Exit Strategy:
Take profit once the price approaches the next support level, or exit if the price shows signs
of strength (e.g., a bullish reversal pattern on the chart or decreasing put OI at support).
Summary:
Entry: Buy PE or short when the price reverses from resistance with confirmation from bearish
patterns and volume.
Stop-loss: Above resistance.
Exit: At the next support or when signs of strength appear.
5. Consolidation Strategy
Ideal Conditions:
Consolidation phase identified on Chart 2.0 (e.g., price bouncing between key support and
resistance).
Neutral OI dynamics: Both call and put OI show stability, indicating indecision in the market.
Volume oscillating within a range (no clear breakout or breakdown signal).
Steps:
1. Identify Consolidation Phase: Use Chart 2.0 to spot a consolidation phase, where the price
fluctuates between a known support and resistance range.
2. Monitor OI Dynamics: In this phase, OI on both the call and put sides will often remain stable,
reflecting market indecision. Keep an eye on sudden changes in OI that could signal an
impending breakout or breakdown.
3. Chart Patterns: Look for price patterns that indicate a breakout or breakdown could be
coming, such as tightening ranges (e.g., triangles) or volume spikes.
4. Entry Point:
Trade the Range: Buy call options (CE) when the price nears support and put options (PE)
when the price nears resistance, assuming the range will continue.
Alternatively, wait for a breakout or breakdown and enter when the market shows a clear
directional move.
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5. Stop-Loss: Set tight stop-losses on both sides of the range, slightly above resistance and below
support, to minimize losses in case of a breakout/breakdown.
6. Exit Strategy:
Take profit when the price nears the opposite side of the range (support/resistance), or exit
if the price breaks out/breaks down in the opposite direction.
Summary:
Conclusion:
These strategies integrate the power of COA 1.0 (OI and volume analysis) with Chart 2.0 (price
patterns and technical analysis). By combining these methods, you can:
Accurately predict breakouts, reversals, and breakdowns using OI shifts and volume spikes.
Make high-confidence trades with proper confirmations from both OI data and chart patterns.
Protect your trades with well-placed stop-losses based on key support and resistance levels.
This holistic approach leverages all the tools and knowledge we’ve discussed, ensuring that your
trades are based on quantitative insights (OI) and visual patterns (chart analysis), making your
entries and exits more accurate.
Let me know if you'd like any more specific strategies or deeper insights!
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Analyse this image for the rules of option trading and how can we use COA 1.0 and COA 2.0 with
it.
The image you’ve shared presents a structured way to approach Call and Put options based on
specific conditions related to support, resistance, and technical indicators like implied volatility
(IV), volume, and the LTP (Last Traded Price) column. These rules help traders decide whether to
buy a Call, Put, or short options based on the strength and weakness of support and resistance
levels.
Here’s a breakdown of the image and how COA 1.0 and COA 2.0 can be used to improve accuracy and
confidence when applying these rules:
Check Volume:
Explanation: Volume needs to confirm your decision to buy a Call. High volume at support
strengthens the idea of a bounce or reversal.
How COA 2.0 Helps: By integrating volume analysis, you can see whether the market is
actively defending support levels. Look for spikes in volume near key levels identified
using COA 1.0.
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How COA 1.0 Helps: Confirm active put OI at critical strike prices to ensure there is market
interest in defending those levels.
Check Volume:
Explanation: Volume spikes at resistance suggest strong sellers. If the volume aligns with
the support or resistance levels you’ve identified, it confirms market activity.
How COA 2.0 Helps: Monitoring volume spikes at resistance and seeing bearish patterns
(e.g., head and shoulders) can give additional confidence in entering Put positions.
How to Use COA 1.0 and COA 2.0 with the Rules
By combining the visual analysis from COA 2.0 (e.g., price patterns, trendlines) with the data-driven
approach of COA 1.0 (support/resistance levels and OI dynamics), you can strengthen the decision-
making process in the following ways:
1. Stronger Confirmation:
COA 1.0 helps identify support/resistance levels based on OI. You can use COA 2.0 to
confirm these levels with chart patterns (e.g., breakouts, reversals).
2. Avoid Traps:
By analyzing OI trends and LTP data from COA 1.0, you can avoid fake breakouts or
breakdowns. For example, if there are too many zeros in the LTP column, it’s a signal to be
cautious.
3. Volume-Driven Confidence:
COA 1.0 highlights strong or weak levels based on OI; COA 2.0 adds further strength to
your decision by confirming this with volume trends. Volume spikes at the right moments
signal that the market is validating the levels you’ve identified.
4. Better Timing for Entries:
Use Chart 2.0 to identify price patterns like ascending or descending triangles near
support or resistance levels identified using COA 1.0. This gives you better timing for
buying Calls or Puts.
Example: Applying the Rules with COA 1.0 and COA 2.0
Scenario: You are considering buying a Call based on the rules provided.
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In Chart 2.0, if you see a bullish pattern (e.g., ascending triangle) forming near ₹120, this
adds confidence to your trade.
4. Entry Point:
Buy a Call Option (CE) as soon as the price breaks out above ₹120 with rising volume.
5. Monitor Zeros in LTP:
Ensure that there are no more than 1-2 zeros in the Call side LTP column, confirming
active market participation.
6. Exit Strategy:
As the price moves up, monitor for any reversal signals (e.g., decreasing volume or
increasing call OI at the next resistance level).
Conclusion:
By integrating COA 1.0 and COA 2.0 with the rules in the image, you create a more comprehensive
and data-backed approach to options trading. Each decision to buy a Call or Put is supported by
both market sentiment (through OI analysis) and price action confirmation (through Chart 2.0).
This layered strategy improves accuracy, reduces the chances of falling into traps, and gives you better
timing for entries and exits, all while monitoring critical indicators like volume, IV, and LTP data.
This combined approach should significantly increase your trade success and help you manage risk
more effectively in the market.
Think deeply and create most accurate stock trading strategies by using everything in this chat.
To create the most accurate stock trading strategies by leveraging everything we've discussed so far,
we will use COA 1.0, COA 2.0, Chart 2.0, and the key principles of support/resistance, open interest
(OI), volume, and implied volatility (IV). These elements combined will give you a multi-layered
trading approach that balances data-driven analysis and technical chart patterns for precision.
Here are four advanced stock trading strategies that are highly accurate, designed for different
market conditions:
COA 1.0: Check for decreasing call OI at resistance and increasing put OI at support.
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COA 2.0: Look for bullish price patterns like ascending triangles or flag patterns near
resistance.
Steps:
1. Identify Strong Resistance: Use COA 1.0 to identify a resistance level with stable or
decreasing call OI. This suggests sellers are losing control, increasing the likelihood of a
breakout.
2. Volume and IV Confirmation: Check for rising volume near the resistance level. Use Chart 2.0
to confirm this with bullish patterns (e.g., ascending triangles). Ensure that the Implied
Volatility (IV) remains below 30 to avoid volatile conditions.
3. Entry Point:
Buy a Call Option (CE) or go long once the price breaks above resistance with a strong
volume spike.
Check the LTP column for signs of buyer interest (no more than 1-2 zeros).
4. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just below the breakout level (now support).
5. Exit Strategy:
Use COA 1.0 to find the next major resistance level. Exit if the call OI increases near the
new resistance, signaling that sellers are reentering the market.
Alternatively, take profit when the price shows signs of exhaustion or volume decreases.
Summary:
Entry: Buy CE or long when price breaks resistance with volume confirmation.
Stop-Loss: Below the breakout level (now support).
Exit: At the next resistance or when volume decreases.
COA 1.0: Look for decreasing put OI at support and stable or increasing call OI at resistance.
COA 2.0: Watch for bearish patterns, such as descending triangles or bearish flags.
Steps:
1. Identify Weak Support: Use COA 1.0 to pinpoint a support level where put OI is decreasing,
signaling that buyers are losing control of this level.
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2. Volume and IV Confirmation: Confirm with rising volume as the price nears the support level.
Ensure that the IV remains below 30 to avoid unexpected volatility. Check Chart 2.0 for
breakdown patterns like descending triangles or head-and-shoulders.
3. Entry Point:
Buy a Put Option (PE) or go short once the price breaks below support with volume
confirmation.
Check the LTP column to ensure market participation (no more than 1-2 zeros in the put
side LTP).
4. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just above the support level, now acting as resistance.
5. Exit Strategy:
Use COA 1.0 to locate the next support level. Exit if put OI increases near the new
support, signaling buyers are stepping in again.
Alternatively, take profit when price action shows signs of a reversal or volume decreases.
Summary:
Entry: Buy PE or short when price breaks support with volume confirmation.
Stop-Loss: Above the breakdown level (now resistance).
Exit: At the next support or when reversal signals appear.
Steps:
1. Identify Resistance Rejection: Use COA 1.0 to find a resistance level where call OI is
increasing, indicating that sellers are confident in holding the price down.
2. Volume and IV Confirmation: Confirm the rejection with rising volume and a bearish pattern
from Chart 2.0 (e.g., double top or head-and-shoulders). Keep IV under control (below 30).
3. Entry Point:
Buy a Put Option (PE) or short once the price reverses from resistance with volume
confirmation.
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4. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just above the resistance level to minimize risk in case of a
breakout.
5. Exit Strategy:
Use COA 1.0 to find the next support level and exit if the put OI increases near that level.
Alternatively, take profit when volume shows signs of decreasing.
Summary:
Entry: Buy PE or short when price reverses from resistance with volume and OI confirmation.
Stop-Loss: Above the resistance level.
Exit: At the next support or when reversal signals weaken.
Steps:
1. Identify Strong Support: Use COA 1.0 to confirm a support level with increasing put OI,
indicating that buyers are defending the level.
2. Volume and IV Confirmation: Confirm the reversal with rising volume and bullish chart
patterns from Chart 2.0 (e.g., double bottom). Make sure the IV remains below 30 for stability.
3. Entry Point:
Buy a Call Option (CE) or go long once the price bounces from support with volume
confirmation.
4. Stop-Loss: Set your stop-loss just below the support level to limit potential losses.
5. Exit Strategy:
Use COA 1.0 to find the next resistance level and exit if call OI increases at that level,
signaling sellers are returning.
Alternatively, take profit when price action shows signs of weakening.
Summary:
Entry: Buy CE or long when price bounces from support with OI and volume confirmation.
Stop-Loss: Below support.
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Exit: At the next resistance or when signs of weakening appear.
The market is consolidating between a range of strong support and resistance levels.
OI and volume remain relatively stable within the range.
COA 1.0: Check for stable OI on both calls and puts, indicating a lack of directional momentum.
COA 2.0: Identify consolidation patterns, such as sideways movement or rectangles.
Steps:
1. Identify the Consolidation Range: Use COA 1.0 to define the support and resistance levels
with stable OI, indicating that the market is likely to remain within this range.
2. Chart Confirmation: Use Chart 2.0 to confirm consolidation patterns, such as rectangles or
sideways movement.
3. Entry Point:
Buy a Call Option (CE) when the price nears support.
Buy a Put Option (PE) when the price nears resistance.
Alternatively, wait for a breakout from consolidation.
4. Stop-Loss: Set tight stop-losses just below support or above resistance, as the market is likely
to stay within the range.
5. Exit Strategy:
Take profit when the price approaches the opposite side of the range, or exit if the price
breaks out of the range.
Summary:
Final Thoughts on Combining COA 1.0, COA 2.0, and Chart 2.0:
By combining COA 1.0's data-driven analysis (support/resistance, OI, and volume) with COA 2.0's
technical patterns and Chart 2.0's price action insights, you can create a layered approach to
trading that maximizes accuracy and minimizes risk. Here’s how:
COA 1.0: Helps you identify critical support and resistance levels, confirm strength or weakness,
and monitor OI and volume shifts for timing.
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COA 2.0: Confirms price action patterns that align with OI and volume data, increasing
confidence in breakouts, breakdowns, and reversals.
Chart 2.0: Provides visual confirmation and timing for entries and exits, ensuring trades are
executed at the most opportune moments.
By integrating these tools into each strategy, your trades will be highly accurate, timely, and
supported by both quantitative and qualitative insights.
If you're looking to create trading strategies that do not rely on price action but instead focus on data-
driven metrics like open interest (OI), volume, implied volatility (IV), and other quantitative
factors, here are several powerful strategies. These strategies will primarily leverage the insights from
COA 1.0, COA 2.0, and the rules presented earlier, but without any reliance on chart patterns or price
action analysis.
This strategy is focused purely on the behavior of open interest (OI) and volume at key levels of
support and resistance. Instead of using price action to predict reversals, you will look for shifts in OI
and volume trends.
When there is strong OI at resistance or support levels, and volume is showing confirming
trends.
Steps:
2. Volume Confirmation:
When OI shifts occur, volume should show spikes, confirming market activity. At
resistance, look for volume increases on the call side to confirm selling pressure. At
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support, volume spikes on the put side signal buying activity.
4. Trade Execution:
Buy a Call (CE) at support if put OI is increasing and volume is spiking.
Buy a Put (PE) at resistance if call OI is decreasing and volume is spiking.
5. Exit Strategy:
Exit when you notice the opposite OI trend (e.g., increasing call OI at support or increasing
put OI at resistance).
Summary:
This strategy focuses entirely on implied volatility (IV) and volume analysis without considering
price action. You will use IV levels to gauge potential moves, and volume to confirm entry and exit
points.
When the market shows relatively low volatility but is approaching a breakout or breakdown
based on OI and volume trends.
Steps:
1. Monitor IV Levels:
Track IV using COA 2.0. If IV starts rising, it indicates potential large price movements.
Conversely, decreasing IV indicates market stability.
2. Volume Confirmation:
Use volume spikes as confirmation. Rising IV + rising volume at resistance indicates
potential breakdowns or breakouts.
4. Trade Execution:
Buy a Call (CE) if IV is rising, but support is strong based on OI and volume confirmation.
Buy a Put (PE) if IV is rising, and resistance is strong based on OI and volume confirmation.
5. Exit Strategy:
Exit once IV stabilizes or OI trends reverse, signaling the end of a potential breakout or
breakdown.
Summary:
This strategy relies purely on open interest data to define the strength of support and resistance. You
will trade based on OI fluctuations, treating OI shifts as the primary market signal.
When there is a clear divergence in OI trends between support and resistance levels.
Steps:
2. Monitor OI Shifts:
Track how OI is changing throughout the day. For example, if you see call OI decreasing at
a resistance level, this is a sign that sellers are stepping back, and a breakout is likely.
Conversely, if put OI is decreasing at support, it signals weakening support.
4. Trade Execution:
Buy CE when put OI increases at support, signaling strong buying activity.
Buy PE when call OI increases at resistance, signaling strong selling pressure.
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5. Exit Strategy:
Exit when you notice OI trends reversing or volume decreasing near critical levels.
Summary:
4. Volume-Only Strategy
This strategy relies exclusively on volume trends at support and resistance levels. You’ll use volume
spikes to indicate where market participants are the most active, without any reliance on price action
or technical patterns.
Steps:
4. Trade Execution:
Buy CE when volume spikes near support, confirmed by increasing put OI.
Buy PE when volume spikes near resistance, confirmed by increasing call OI.
5. Exit Strategy:
Exit when volume subsides or OI starts to decrease, as this indicates market participants
are closing positions.
Summary:
This strategy exploits imbalances between call OI and put OI on either side of the options chain. By
tracking how call and put OI interact, you can anticipate major shifts in market sentiment.
When there is a large divergence between call OI and put OI across strike prices.
Steps:
1. Identify Imbalances:
Use COA 2.0 to find imbalances in OI between calls and puts. For example, if call OI is
much higher than put OI, the market is showing a bullish sentiment, and vice versa.
2. Check Volume:
Volume should confirm the imbalance. If volume spikes on the higher OI side (calls or
puts), it validates the imbalance and makes the trade stronger.
4. Trade Execution:
Buy CE if there’s a significant imbalance favoring calls, with volume increasing on the call
side.
Buy PE if there’s a significant imbalance favoring puts, with volume increasing on the put
side.
5. Exit Strategy:
Exit when the imbalance corrects itself (i.e., call OI and put OI start converging) or volume
subsides.
Summary:
Conclusion
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By using these quantitative strategies, you can bypass price action and focus on the data-driven
metrics of OI, volume, and IV to make informed trading decisions. Each of these strategies leverages
COA 1.0 and COA 2.0 in conjunction with specific metrics, ensuring that you capture both market
sentiment and participant behavior without relying on traditional chart patterns.
This approach allows for highly accurate, methodical trades that minimize subjectivity and
maximize the power of data-based insights.
Let me know if you want to dive deeper into any of these strategies!
COA 2.0, or the Chart of Accuracy 2.0, is a sophisticated framework designed to analyze and interpret
market movements by leveraging open interest (OI), volume, and support/resistance levels. Unlike
traditional price action strategies, COA 2.0 prioritizes quantitative data—specifically how OI
fluctuations and volume trends provide deep insights into the strength or weakness of support and
resistance levels.
By focusing on data-driven metrics, COA 2.0 helps traders make more precise decisions without
relying on visual price patterns. It is especially useful for options traders who need to understand
market behavior in a highly nuanced way, such as anticipating breakouts, reversals, or breakdowns
purely based on OI and volume data.
Predict market reversals, breakouts, and breakdowns based on shifts in open interest and
volume at key levels of support and resistance.
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Provide a reliable method for determining when these key levels are likely to hold or break,
offering better entry and exit points for trades.
Serve as a guide to assess the market without the need for price action, focusing purely on the
strength of market participants' positions.
Open interest (OI) is a vital indicator of market strength because it reflects the total number of
outstanding contracts at a particular strike price. COA 2.0 uses OI to gauge whether support and
resistance levels are likely to hold or break. For example:
Increasing call OI at resistance signals that more sellers are entering the market, which
strengthens the resistance level.
Decreasing put OI at support indicates that buyers are losing confidence, weakening support
and increasing the likelihood of a breakdown.
In COA 2.0, support and resistance levels are viewed not just as static price points but as zones of
market strength. These levels are analyzed through OI and volume, which helps determine whether
they will:
Key Concepts
Support: A price level where buying pressure is strong enough to prevent the price from falling
further. It's often characterized by increasing put OI and high volume at key strike prices.
Resistance: A price level where selling pressure is strong enough to prevent the price from rising
further. It's identified by increasing call OI and volume, signaling that sellers are defending that
price level.
In COA 2.0, these levels aren't just based on price but also on how OI behaves. If OI increases at
resistance, it strengthens; if OI decreases, it weakens, increasing the likelihood of a breakout.
OI is a crucial metric that represents the number of open contracts at a given strike price. It gives
insight into the commitment of market participants:
Rising OI: Indicates that traders are opening new positions, increasing the importance of the
level.
Falling OI: Signals that traders are closing positions, weakening the level.
By analyzing OI trends, COA 2.0 can assess whether the market's support and resistance levels will
hold firm or break.
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3. Breakouts, Reversals, and Breakdowns
These key market events can be accurately predicted using COA 2.0’s OI and volume data:
Breakouts: Occur when resistance levels fail to hold, often confirmed by decreasing call OI and
increasing volume.
Reversals: Happen when support or resistance levels are respected, often signaled by
increasing OI at those levels.
Breakdowns: Occur when support fails, typically seen when put OI decreases, signaling that
buyers are retreating.
While COA 2.0 minimizes the need for traditional price action, volume still plays a critical role. Volume
spikes help confirm:
Price movements are not used in COA 2.0 as primary indicators. Instead, volume confirms OI trends,
providing traders with the confidence to make data-backed decisions.
COA 2.0 prioritizes OI and volume over price action for more reliable and data-driven market
analysis.
Support and resistance levels are determined by how OI behaves, not just price points.
Breakouts, reversals, and breakdowns are interpreted through shifts in OI and volume.
Volume confirms the direction of OI, helping traders time their entries and exits more effectively.
By mastering these principles, traders can execute more precise and accurate trades without
needing to rely on chart patterns or traditional price action.
Here’s a detailed analysis of the **three kinds of support and resistance** based on the
illustrations you’ve provided, focusing on **Open Interest (OI), Volume**, and the combination of
**both OI and Volume**.
---
- **Support or resistance** that is determined solely by **OI** is often **less reliable** and has
a greater potential to be **easily reduced**.
- When **option writers** start **squaring off** their positions at a strike price where support or
resistance is formed only by OI, this weakens the level.
- As a result, **support or resistance based only on OI** can become weak and shift easily. This
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type of support or resistance is not as **trustworthy** because of its instability.
---
---
### **3. Support or Resistance of Both Volume & Open Interest (OI)**
- Support or resistance formed by a combination of **both volume and OI** is considered the
**most reliable**.
- If one factor (volume or OI) begins to shift, the other provides some **stability**, meaning the
level doesn’t weaken immediately. This combination is especially strong if both volume and OI are
high at the same strike price.
- However, if either **volume or OI** starts to cross the **imaginary line** (for example, moving
toward **In-the-Money (ITM)**), this could lead to a **weakening** of the support or resistance.
- Despite this potential for weakness, support or resistance made of both **volume and OI**
takes more time to **shift**, especially when compared to levels based solely on OI or volume.
---
Here’s how the information can be structured into a clear and detailed table:
Support or resistance that relies solely on Open Interest (OI) tends to be less reliable due to its
ability to be easily reduced. When traders start squaring off their positions (i.e., closing out their
trades) at a particular strike price, the support or resistance formed by OI weakens, making it prone to
sudden shifts. This weakness occurs because OI can decrease throughout the trading day as positions
are closed.
In other words, if a support or resistance level is held up only by OI, it lacks strong conviction,
meaning the market can easily move through this level if the OI reduces significantly.
Key Insight:
Support or Resistance based on OI alone is not as dependable because it can fluctuate quickly
with traders’ positions being squared off. Traders should be cautious when relying on these
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levels, as they can shift unexpectedly.
Volume-based support or resistance is generally more reliable than OI-based levels because volume
doesn’t decrease throughout the trading day. Volume represents the number of contracts traded, so
if there is high volume at a particular strike price, it shows strong market interest at that level.
The movement or shift of support and resistance formed by volume is also more predictable
because generating new volume at another strike price takes time. Since volume remains stable and
only increases during the day, it gives a more consistent indication of support or resistance strength.
Key Insight:
Volume-based support/resistance is more stable and predictable, making it more reliable than
OI-based levels. Since volume doesn’t decrease during the day, it offers a stronger foundation
for making trade decisions.
When support or resistance is formed by a combination of both volume and OI, it is considered the
most reliable. This is because both volume and OI contribute to the strength of the level, and even if
one begins to shift, the other can help stabilize the support or resistance temporarily.
This combination works especially well when both volume and OI are high at the same strike price,
reinforcing the level. However, if either volume or OI starts crossing the imaginary line (moving In-
The-Money), it can lead to a weakening of that level. Still, these shifts tend to happen more gradually
than with OI or volume alone.
Key Insight:
Support or resistance formed by both volume and OI is the most dependable and strongest.
If either factor (volume or OI) moves In-The-Money, the level can weaken, but this weakening
occurs at a slower pace, allowing more time for traders to react.
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Most reliable as it combines both factors, giving greater strength and resistance to
sudden changes.
However, if either volume or OI crosses into In-The-Money (ITM), the level can begin to
weaken, but this happens at a slower pace.
This deep analysis of the three types of support and resistance helps traders understand the
strengths and weaknesses of each, allowing them to make more informed decisions based on
quantitative metrics like volume and open interest instead of relying solely on price movements.
Let’s dive deeper into each of the three types of support and resistance: Support/Resistance based
on Open Interest (OI), Volume, and both Volume and OI. We will explore how each behaves in real
market scenarios, why certain types are more reliable than others, and how to interpret shifts in these
levels.
Open Interest (OI) refers to the total number of outstanding contracts (either calls or puts) at a
specific strike price. When support or resistance is based solely on OI, the level’s strength depends on
the number of open positions at that strike price. However, there are important nuances to consider.
Squaring Off Positions: OI can decrease during the day as traders close out their positions. For
instance, if a lot of traders are holding contracts at a certain strike price (indicating strong
support or resistance), but they start squaring off (closing) those positions, the OI reduces,
making the level weaker.
Example: Let’s say there’s a resistance level formed at a strike price of ₹12,000 with high OI. If
traders with short positions at ₹12,000 start squaring off, the OI will fall, and the resistance level
will weaken. The price could then break through ₹12,000 because fewer sellers are holding that
position.
Unpredictable Shifts: Because OI can rise or fall during the trading day, levels formed solely by
OI can shift quickly and unpredictably. As OI decreases, the level weakens, leading to a higher
likelihood of breakouts or breakdowns.
Key Weakness:
Support or resistance formed by OI alone is considered unstable because it depends on the decisions
of option writers. If they close out their positions, the OI decreases, making the level much weaker
than anticipated.
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How to Use It:
Monitor OI Trends: Look at how OI changes throughout the trading session. If OI is increasing,
it strengthens the support or resistance, but if it starts to decrease, be cautious, as the level
could easily be broken.
Example: If you notice OI decreasing rapidly at a key resistance level, it may be a signal to
prepare for a breakout.
Takeaway:
OI-based support/resistance can be used as a temporary marker, but you shouldn’t rely solely
on it because it’s prone to rapid weakening if traders close their positions.
Volume represents the number of contracts traded at a specific strike price during the trading day.
Unlike OI, volume only increases throughout the day and never decreases, making it a more stable
and reliable indicator of support or resistance.
No Decrease in Volume: Volume remains stable or increases throughout the day, which makes
it a better indicator of where market participants are focusing their trades. As a result, support
or resistance levels based on volume tend to hold more reliably than those based on OI alone.
Example: If you see high volume at a strike price of ₹11,800, it indicates strong market activity. If
volume keeps increasing throughout the day, this reinforces the strength of the support or
resistance at that level. It will be less prone to shifting compared to OI-based levels.
Slower Shifts: Since generating new volume at different strike prices takes time, volume-based
levels are more stable. The market can’t quickly move to another strike price and create new
volume without a significant shift in sentiment or external events.
Example: If there is a large amount of volume at ₹11,500 acting as support, the market will take
time to generate similar volume at a higher or lower strike price. This makes volume-based
support or resistance more predictable.
Volume’s Strength:
Volume confirms conviction: High volume at a particular strike price signifies strong market
conviction, which usually means that the level will hold up for some time, unlike OI, which can
fluctuate as positions are closed.
Watch for Volume Spikes: A sudden increase in volume at a key level often indicates that
market participants are either defending that level or that it’s about to be broken (in the case of a
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breakout or breakdown). If volume increases at a resistance level, for example, and the price
keeps testing it, it may signal a potential breakout.
Example: If you notice increasing volume at a support level, it’s a sign that buyers are stepping
in, reinforcing that level. Conversely, if volume is low, the support might break.
Takeaway:
Support or resistance that’s based on both volume and OI is the most reliable and strongest. This is
because you’re combining the stability of volume with the commitment of OI. High volume indicates
strong activity at a specific strike price, while high OI shows that traders have a vested interest in
maintaining that level.
Dual Support: Even if one of the factors (volume or OI) starts to shift, the other provides
stability, meaning the support or resistance level won’t break down immediately. This makes
these levels less susceptible to sudden market changes.
Example: Suppose a resistance level is formed at ₹12,200 with both high volume and high OI.
Even if traders start squaring off some positions (decreasing OI), the high volume keeps the
resistance strong. Likewise, if volume starts shifting but OI remains high, the resistance will still
hold for a while.
Slower Shifts: Because both volume and OI are required to shift for the level to weaken
significantly, this type of support or resistance is slower to move compared to levels based on
just OI or volume. This gives traders more time to prepare for a breakout or breakdown.
Potential Weakness:
Crossing the Imaginary Line: If either volume or OI starts moving In-the-Money (ITM), this
could introduce weakness. The imaginary line represents the boundary between Out-of-the-
Money (OTM) and ITM. When contracts move ITM, the level’s strength begins to weaken as the
participants reassess their positions.
Example: If a resistance level at ₹12,200 starts seeing OI increase In-the-Money, while volume
decreases, this could signal an impending breakout.
Confirm with Both Metrics: When both OI and volume are high, you have the strongest
confirmation of support or resistance. Use these levels to confidently plan trades, knowing that
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they are less likely to break unless both OI and volume start moving ITM.
Example: If both OI and volume increase at a support level, it’s a strong sign that the level will
hold. However, if you notice either starting to weaken while the other remains strong, it may be
time to prepare for a shift.
Takeaway:
Support or resistance based on both volume and OI is the most reliable. Even if one factor
weakens, the other can stabilize the level. However, keep an eye on whether either OI or volume
starts moving ITM, as this could signal weakness ahead.
By understanding the nuances of how OI, volume, and the combination of both influence support and
resistance, traders can make better-informed decisions and anticipate potential breakouts or
breakdowns with higher accuracy.
Open Interest (OI) plays a vital role in options trading, as it reflects the total number of open contracts
(either calls or puts) for a given strike price. Support or resistance levels created solely by Open
Interest (OI) occur when OI at a particular strike price is significantly higher than other prices,
indicating strong market activity and interest at that level. However, relying solely on OI to determine
support and resistance introduces certain risks and weaknesses due to the nature of OI itself.
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1. How Open Interest (OI) Forms Support or Resistance
Open Interest represents the number of outstanding options contracts that have not yet been
settled. High OI at a particular strike price shows that many traders have taken positions, and these
traders have a vested interest in defending that strike price, whether as support or resistance.
Support Formation: A strike price with high OI in put options can create support. Traders
holding these puts expect the market to find buying interest at this level. The idea is that, as the
market price approaches this strike, buyers will step in, keeping the price from falling below this
point.
Example: If OI at the ₹10,500 strike price for put options is high, it signals that a large number of
traders expect support at this level. As the price nears ₹10,500, buyers may step in to defend this
level, preventing further downside.
Resistance Formation: High OI in call options creates resistance. Traders holding these calls
are hoping that the market does not rise above this level, expecting sellers to prevent a breakout
above the strike price.
Example: High OI at ₹11,500 for call options signals that traders anticipate resistance at this
level. As the price approaches ₹11,500, sellers might push the price down, keeping it from
breaking out.
While OI can provide an indication of market interest at a specific level, it is not static and can change
throughout the day. This introduces several challenges that make OI-based support or resistance
levels less reliable:
Squaring off refers to closing out a position in the options market. If a large number of traders
holding contracts at a particular strike price decide to square off, the OI at that strike price decreases,
which weakens the support or resistance formed by that OI.
Why It Matters: OI-based support or resistance depends on the number of active contracts. If
traders exit their positions, reducing OI, the level loses its strength. This can cause a breakdown
in support or a breakout of resistance.
Example: Imagine that there is strong resistance at ₹11,500 due to high OI in call options. As the
market moves toward ₹11,500, many traders begin squaring off their positions, reducing the OI
at this strike price. As a result, the resistance weakens, and the price may break above ₹11,500.
OI can increase or decrease throughout the trading session, as traders open or close positions. This
makes OI-based support or resistance highly variable, as the number of contracts at a given strike
price can shift dramatically over a short period of time.
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Why It Matters: A strike price that appears to offer strong support or resistance at the start of
the trading day can become less relevant by the end of the day if OI drops significantly. This
unpredictability means traders need to monitor OI constantly.
Example: Support is seen at ₹10,800 due to high OI in put options. However, as traders begin to
exit their positions, OI at ₹10,800 decreases. By the time the price approaches ₹10,800, the
support has weakened, and the market can break below this level.
OI-based levels are often speculative in nature, as traders are placing bets on future price
movements. This means that the support or resistance created by OI is not as grounded in real
market activity (like volume), making it prone to shifts based on changing market sentiment.
Why It Matters: As sentiment shifts, traders may change their positions, reducing OI at key
levels. This makes OI-based support and resistance more volatile compared to levels formed by
actual trading volume, which reflects active market participation.
Example: If sentiment suddenly shifts bullish, traders holding put options at a support level
(expecting the market to fall) may square off their positions, reducing OI. As OI falls, the support
level weakens, making the market more likely to break through it.
Despite its weaknesses, OI-based support or resistance can still be useful for traders who monitor it
closely and in real-time. The key is to track changes in OI and be prepared to adjust your strategy
as OI shifts.
OI-based levels are dynamic, so traders should watch for trends in OI at key strike prices. If OI is
increasing, it signals that support or resistance is strengthening, while a decrease in OI signals that
the level is weakening.
Increasing OI at Support: If OI at a support level increases during the day, it indicates that
traders are adding positions and reinforcing that level. You can expect the support to hold.
Example: OI at ₹10,600 for put options increases throughout the day. This suggests that more
traders are expecting support at this level, reinforcing the probability that the price will not fall
below ₹10,600.
Example: OI at ₹11,700 for call options decreases throughout the day as traders square off
positions. This indicates that resistance is weakening, and the market is more likely to break
above ₹11,700.
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b. Use OI with Other Indicators
Since OI alone can be unreliable, it’s important to combine OI-based support and resistance with
other indicators like volume, price action, or implied volatility (IV). This adds context and confirms
whether OI-based levels will hold.
Example: If OI at ₹11,500 is high, but volume is low as the price approaches this level, the
resistance may be weak. You can prepare for a potential breakout.
As options contracts near their expiry date, OI changes can be more dramatic, as traders either close
out their positions or roll them forward to a later expiry. This makes OI-based levels near expiry
especially volatile.
Why It Matters: The last few days before expiry often see a significant reduction in OI as traders
square off. As a result, any support or resistance based on OI is likely to weaken as expiry
approaches.
Let’s walk through a hypothetical scenario to illustrate how OI-based support and resistance might
behave in a real trading environment:
Scenario:
The market is trading near ₹11,500, and the OI for call options at ₹11,500 is exceptionally high.
Traders are watching this level as resistance.
Morning: Early in the trading session, the OI at ₹11,500 is holding strong, and the market begins
to test this resistance level. Volume is relatively low, so the price cannot break above ₹11,500.
Afternoon: As the day progresses, some traders begin squaring off their call positions at
₹11,500, causing OI to decrease. Meanwhile, the volume at ₹11,500 starts to pick up, signaling
increased market interest.
End of Day: By the end of the day, the OI at ₹11,500 has decreased significantly, weakening the
resistance. With the combination of lower OI and higher volume, the price breaks above ₹11,500,
leading to a breakout.
OI-based support and resistance levels can provide valuable insights, but they are not as
reliable as those formed by volume or a combination of both volume and OI.
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OI-based levels are more susceptible to changes as traders square off positions, making them
prone to rapid shifts.
Traders using OI as an indicator should monitor it closely throughout the day and consider
other factors, such as volume and volatility, to confirm whether a level will hold or break.
By understanding the limitations of OI-based levels and combining OI with other indicators, you
can improve your ability to make informed trading decisions and avoid being caught off guard by
unexpected shifts in support or resistance.
Volume plays a critical role in determining the strength of support and resistance levels. Volume
represents the total number of contracts traded at a particular strike price during a trading session.
When support or resistance is formed primarily based on volume, it is generally more reliable than
support or resistance created solely by open interest (OI). This is because volume provides real-time
insights into market participation and liquidity, which are crucial for confirming the strength of a price
level.
Unlike Open Interest (OI), which reflects the number of open contracts that have not been settled,
volume reflects the actual trading activity for a given strike price. Higher volume indicates stronger
market participation at a specific level, providing traders with more confidence that the level will either
hold (support) or resist (resistance).
Support Formation: Support levels are created by high volume in put options. Traders
anticipate that as the price approaches the support level, buyers will step in to defend the price,
preventing it from dropping further.
Example: If the ₹10,500 strike price sees a significant increase in volume for put options, this
suggests that many traders are expecting the market to find support at ₹10,500. As the market
nears this level, buyers are likely to step in, reinforcing the support.
Resistance Formation: Resistance is created when there is high volume in call options at a
certain strike price. This suggests that sellers will be active at that level, keeping the price from
rising beyond the resistance level.
Example: A high trading volume in call options at ₹11,500 suggests that traders expect
resistance at this level. As the market approaches ₹11,500, sellers will likely intervene to prevent
the price from breaking out.
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Volume-based support and resistance levels are generally more stable and predictable than those
formed by open interest alone. This is because volume represents actual market participation, which
is less speculative than OI. Here’s why volume-based support and resistance are considered more
reliable:
Unlike OI, which can increase or decrease throughout the trading day as traders open or close
positions, volume only increases as more contracts are traded. Once volume accumulates at a strike
price, it remains there for the rest of the session, providing stability to support or resistance levels
formed by volume.
Why It Matters: Since volume can only increase, it provides a constant measure of market
interest at a particular strike price. If a support or resistance level is formed by high volume, you
can rely on the fact that the level will remain stable throughout the trading session.
Example: If there is significant volume at the ₹11,200 strike price for call options, you can trust
that this level will act as resistance for the remainder of the day, as the volume will not decrease.
It takes time to build new volume at a different strike price. This means that once a support or
resistance level has been established based on high volume, it is less likely to shift quickly because it
requires substantial trading activity to generate volume at a new level.
Why It Matters: Volume-based support and resistance levels are slower to shift, making them
more predictable than OI-based levels. Traders have more time to adjust their strategies,
knowing that the current level will hold until new volume builds at a different strike price.
Example: If there is strong support at ₹10,800 due to high volume in put options, it will take
considerable trading activity to build volume at a lower strike price, ensuring that the ₹10,800
level will likely hold for some time.
Volume is a direct measure of real market participation. It shows how many contracts are actively
traded and reflects liquidity, which adds credibility to support or resistance. When volume is high, it
means many participants are involved at that strike price, making it harder for the market to break
through that level without significant trading effort.
Example: If there is high volume at the ₹10,900 strike price for puts, it means that many traders
are actively defending this level. The market will likely have difficulty breaking below this level
without significant selling pressure.
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Volume-based support and resistance provide traders with actionable insights. By monitoring volume
trends and price action, traders can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit
positions.
Support or resistance is most reliable when confirmed by high volume. The greater the volume at a
particular strike price, the stronger the support or resistance will be. Traders should focus on
identifying key levels where volume spikes, as these are the most likely points for the market to
reverse or pause.
High Volume at Support: If the market approaches a support level with high volume in put
options, it suggests that buyers will step in, reinforcing the support and preventing the price
from falling further.
Example: The market is approaching ₹10,700, where there has been high volume in puts. This
suggests that buyers will defend this level, making it a good opportunity to buy a call option if
you expect the market to bounce from this support.
High Volume at Resistance: If the market nears a resistance level with high volume in call
options, it signals that sellers are likely to defend the resistance, preventing the price from rising
further.
Example: The market is approaching ₹11,400, where there has been high volume in calls. This
suggests that sellers will defend this level, making it a good opportunity to buy a put option if
you expect the market to reverse from this resistance.
A sudden increase in volume at a support or resistance level often indicates a potential reversal.
When volume spikes at a key level, it suggests that market participants are actively defending that
level, which can lead to a reversal in price direction.
Why It Matters: Volume spikes are strong indicators of market sentiment. If volume suddenly
increases at a support level, it suggests that buyers are stepping in, increasing the likelihood of a
price bounce. Conversely, a volume spike at resistance suggests that sellers are actively pushing
back, increasing the chances of a price decline.
Example: If volume spikes at ₹11,000 resistance level, and the market starts to reverse, this is a
clear sign that sellers are defending the level. Traders can take advantage of this by entering a
short position.
While volume-based support and resistance are strong on their own, combining them with other
indicators like open interest, implied volatility (IV), or price action can provide even deeper insights
into market behavior.
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Volume + Open Interest: When both volume and OI increase at a particular level, it reinforces
the strength of that support or resistance. This suggests that both new participants are entering
the market (volume) and existing participants are holding their positions (OI), making the level
more robust.
Example: If both volume and OI increase at ₹10,800 for put options, this suggests strong
support at that level. Traders can confidently enter long positions, expecting the level to hold.
Volume + Price Action: If high volume coincides with a candlestick pattern (like a hammer at
support or a shooting star at resistance), it provides even more confirmation that the market will
reverse at that level.
Example: If a hammer candlestick forms at ₹10,700 support level with high volume, it signals a
likely reversal, making it a good opportunity to enter a long position.
Volume is a direct measure of market participation and liquidity. High volume indicates strong
market interest, while low volume suggests that traders are uncertain or waiting for more
information. When volume is high at a support or resistance level, it suggests that the market has
reached a critical point where many traders are involved, increasing the probability of a reversal or a
pause in the trend.
Why It Matters: Volume is a key indicator of liquidity, which helps traders understand how easily
they can enter or exit positions. High volume levels are more liquid, meaning there are more
buyers and sellers available, making it easier to execute trades at desired prices.
Example: If volume is high at the ₹10,900 support level, it means that many traders are involved,
providing more liquidity. This makes it easier to enter a long position with confidence that the
support will hold.
Let’s consider a scenario where the market is testing a support level based purely on volume.
Scenario:
The market has been trending downward and is approaching a significant support level at ₹10,500,
where there has been high volume in put options. Traders are watching this level to determine
whether the support will hold or break.
Morning: The market opens and starts moving toward ₹10,500. Volume in put options begins to
increase, indicating that traders are defending the support. The price stalls as it reaches ₹10,500,
suggesting that buyers are stepping in.
Midday: Volume at ₹10,500 continues to increase, reinforcing the support level. Sellers struggle
to push the price below ₹10,500, as buyers are actively defending the level.
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Afternoon: The price starts to bounce off ₹10,500, confirming that the support has held. Traders
who entered long positions near the support level are now seeing profits as the price moves
upward.
Volume-based support and resistance levels are generally more reliable than OI-based levels
because they reflect real-time market participation.
Volume does not decrease throughout the day, making volume-based levels more stable and
easier to predict.
Traders should use volume spikes and trends to confirm support or resistance and combine
volume with other indicators like open interest, implied volatility, or price action for a more
comprehensive view of the market.
Volume also provides insights into market liquidity, helping traders gauge how easily they can
enter or exit positions at key levels.
By focusing on volume-based support and resistance, traders can better anticipate market reversals,
confirm trends, and make more informed decisions based on the strength of market participation at
key levels.
Detailed Explaination 3. Support or Resistance Based on Both Volume & Open Interest (OI)
When both Volume and Open Interest (OI) are used to define support or resistance levels, it creates
the most reliable and stable levels for traders to observe. This is because both volume and OI offer
unique insights into market participation, and together, they reinforce each other, providing a more
holistic view of the strength or weakness of a specific price level. Here's how the combination works
and why it is more dependable.
Volume:
Volume measures the number of contracts traded at a specific strike price during a trading
session. High volume indicates active market participation, showing interest in that price level.
It reflects real-time trading activity and provides liquidity, showing where the majority of
market participants are engaging in buying or selling.
OI tracks the number of outstanding (open) contracts that are yet to be settled. Rising OI
indicates that more participants are entering the market and holding positions, while decreasing
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OI shows that traders are closing positions.
OI gives insight into the market's sentiment and commitment to the price levels because it
shows whether traders are initiating new positions (indicating belief in a continuation or
reversal) or exiting positions (showing doubt about the level holding).
When both volume and OI are used to form support or resistance levels, they complement each other
in several ways:
1. Volume shows current market activity (how many contracts are being traded in real time).
2. OI shows ongoing commitment to a particular price level (how many contracts are still open
and active).
If both metrics are strong at a specific strike price, the support or resistance level at that price is much
more likely to hold. The market is actively trading at that level (volume), and participants are
committed to their positions (OI), reinforcing the strength of the level.
2. Why Support or Resistance Based on Both Volume & OI is the Most Reliable
Volume alone shows how many trades are happening at a particular strike price, but it doesn’t
necessarily indicate how many traders are still committed to their positions. A spike in volume
could be short-lived if it’s not backed by sustained interest.
OI, on the other hand, gives a more long-term view. If OI is rising, it means traders are
continuing to hold their positions, providing reinforcement to the price level.
When both volume is high and OI is rising, it signals that traders are not only actively trading at
that level but also continuing to believe in the importance of the price by holding their
positions, making the level far more reliable.
When both volume and OI support a level, it becomes much harder for that level to shift quickly.
Both factors would need to change significantly for the support or resistance level to weaken.
For instance, for support to break, there would need to be a substantial drop in OI, indicating
that traders are closing their positions, and a lack of new volume to defend the level.
Because these changes take time, support or resistance levels formed by both volume and OI
shift much more slowly, allowing traders to observe and react before the level breaks.
Example: Suppose there is strong support at ₹11,000 with high OI and high volume. Even if the
price begins to approach this level, it will take significant market pressure (e.g., a decrease in OI
or volume) for the price to break through it. This gives traders time to adjust their positions.
When support or resistance is formed by both volume and OI, the probability of a reversal
increases when the price touches these levels. This is because the combination of high trading
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activity (volume) and open positions (OI) creates a strong barrier.
At support, buyers will likely defend their positions, pushing the price up when it nears the level.
At resistance, sellers will step in to prevent the price from rising further, causing a reversal.
Example: At ₹10,500, high OI in puts and high volume indicate strong support. If the price drops
to this level, traders expect buyers to step in, resulting in a reversal or at least a temporary halt
to the downward trend.
The combination of volume and OI not only helps with spotting reversals but also confirms when
a breakout or breakdown is legitimate. If a level with high OI and volume is broken, the
movement is more likely to be sustained because it signals a massive shift in market
sentiment.
A breakout above resistance with rising OI and increasing volume shows that new traders are
entering the market, confirming the validity of the move. Similarly, a breakdown below support
with increasing OI signals that sellers are becoming more confident.
Example: If resistance at ₹12,000 is broken with a surge in both volume and OI, it indicates that
the breakout is likely to continue as new participants are opening positions, confirming the
strength of the movement.
In COA (Chart of Accuracy) analysis, we often talk about the Imaginary Line, which divides In-The-
Money (ITM) and Out-Of-The-Money (OTM) options. When volume or OI crosses this line, it may signal
a weakening of support or resistance, especially when price moves closer to ITM.
If volume shifts from OTM to ITM, it means the demand for options at that strike price is
increasing because the price is moving closer to being in the money.
When this happens near a support or resistance level, it signals that traders are preparing for a
potential breakout (at resistance) or breakdown (at support), making the level more
vulnerable.
Example: Suppose resistance is at ₹12,000, and the volume of call options at ₹12,500 suddenly
spikes. This shift in volume toward ITM options indicates that traders expect the price to break
through resistance, making the resistance level weaker.
When OI crosses the imaginary line, it means more traders are opening positions closer to ITM,
showing greater confidence in a breakout or breakdown. OI crossing this line suggests that
market participants expect the level to be tested and potentially broken.
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This can serve as a warning to traders that support or resistance may not hold as firmly as
expected, and they should prepare for possible movement beyond the level.
Example: If there is rising OI in puts at ₹9,500 while support is at ₹10,000, this shows that
traders expect the price to break below support, weakening the level.
When looking for strong support or resistance, always check both volume and OI. If both are
high at a given level, it suggests that the market is paying close attention to that price point, and
it is likely to hold.
Before entering a trade, ensure that both volume and OI align with your expectation of support
or resistance. High OI combined with high volume indicates strong levels, whereas declining OI
or weak volume could signal weakening.
Example: If you're considering buying at a support level of ₹11,000, check if there is high OI in
puts and high volume at this strike price. If both are high, it's a good sign that the support will
hold.
If you notice a sudden increase in volume or rising OI close to the imaginary line, it could
indicate an upcoming breakout or breakdown. These shifts suggest that traders are positioning
themselves for a move, weakening the existing support or resistance level.
Be cautious when trading near these levels. Use the shifts as an indicator of potential market
movement and adjust your trades accordingly.
Example: If resistance is at ₹12,500 and you see a rise in OI for call options at ₹12,700, it could
signal that traders expect a breakout, and you might want to take a long position if the price
moves past resistance.
c. Combine Volume, OI, and Implied Volatility (IV) for a Complete View
While volume and OI are powerful on their own, adding implied volatility (IV) to your analysis
provides a more comprehensive view of market sentiment. Rising IV along with high OI and
volume suggests that the market is expecting a significant move.
Use all three indicators together to confirm the strength of support or resistance and to identify
opportunities for breakouts, reversals, or trend continuations.
Example: If OI, volume, and IV all increase at a particular strike price, it signals that the market is
preparing for a move, either up or down. You can trade accordingly, knowing that significant
momentum is building.
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5. Case Study: Support Based on Both Volume & OI
Combining volume and OI offers the most comprehensive view of market activity at key levels.
Both indicators together create the strongest support or resistance levels, which are harder to
break.
The combination of volume and OI provides insights into short-term market activity (volume)
and long-term market sentiment (OI), making these levels highly dependable.
Traders can use both metrics to confirm the strength of a price level, anticipate potential
reversals, and detect signs of breakouts or breakdowns.
By paying attention to both volume and OI, traders can make more informed decisions and increase
the accuracy of their trades, particularly at key support and resistance levels.
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