1
1 When Ted is looking for his pen, the probability that it is in his pencil case is 0.7. If his pen is in his
pencil case he always finds it. If his pen is somewhere else, the probability that he finds it is 0.2.
Given that Ted finds his pen when he is looking for it, find the probability that it was in his pencil
case. [4]
2
2 Tim throws a fair die twice and notes the number on each throw.
(i) Tim calculates his final score as follows. If the number on the second throw is a 5 he multiplies
the two numbers together, and if the number on the second throw is not a 5 he adds the two
numbers together. Find the probability that his final score is
(a) 12, [1]
(b) 5. [3]
(ii) Events A, B, C are defined as follows.
A: the number on the second throw is 5
B: the sum of the numbers is 6
C: the product of the numbers is even
By calculation find which pairs, if any, of the events A, B and C are independent. [5]
3
3 Bag A contains 4 balls numbered 2, 4, 5, 8. Bag B contains 5 balls numbered 1, 3, 6, 8, 8. Bag C
contains 7 balls numbered 2, 7, 8, 8, 8, 8, 9. One ball is selected at random from each bag.
(i) Find the probability that exactly two of the selected balls have the same number. [5]
(ii) Given that exactly two of the selected balls have the same number, find the probability that they
are both numbered 2. [2]
(iii) Event X is ‘exactly two of the selected balls have the same number’. Event Y is ‘the ball selected
from bag A has number 2’. Showing your working, determine whether events X and Y are
independent or not. [2]
4
4 There are a large number of students in Luttley College. 60% of the students are boys. Students can
choose exactly one of Games, Drama or Music on Friday afternoons. It is found that 75% of the boys
choose Games, 10% of the boys choose Drama and the remainder of the boys choose Music. Of the
girls, 30% choose Games, 55% choose Drama and the remainder choose Music.
(i) 6 boys are chosen at random. Find the probability that fewer than 3 of them choose Music. [3]
(ii) 5 Drama students are chosen at random. Find the probability that at least 1 of them is a boy. [6]
5
5 In a group of 30 teenagers, 13 of the 18 males watch ‘Kops are Kids’ on television and 3 of the 12
females watch ‘Kops are Kids’.
(i) Find the probability that a person chosen at random from the group is either female or watches
‘Kops are Kids’ or both. [4]
(ii) Showing your working, determine whether the events ‘the person chosen is male’ and ‘the person
chosen watches Kops are Kids’ are independent or not. [2]
