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M&A Course Overview

Cours 1 M&A

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
45 views48 pages

M&A Course Overview

Cours 1 M&A

Uploaded by

cocosartt
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Introduction

Mergers, Acquisitions, and Corporate Restructurings


Professor Boris Nikolov
Tentative outline
 Introduction
 Agency conflicts
 Corporate governance
 M&A
 LBOs
 Bankruptcy
 Refocus
 Insider trading
 Project finance

2
Guest speakers
 September 30th
 Loïc Rubat and Davy Marcolino, Senior Managers, PWC
 Valuation
 …TBD

3
Course organization
 Lectures and case studies

 Class attendance
 Must have name tag at each class
 Be ACTIVE!!!
 Participation is mandatory
 Expect substantial amount of cold calling
 Objectives
 Learn to communicate and debate effectively your ideas

4
Course organization
 Group assignments
 Must form groups
 The maximum number of students per group is 4
 The minimum number of students per group is 3!
 The optimal number of students per group is 4!
 You should keep the same group for all assignments

5
Course organization
 Case reports
 We will discuss 5 cases
 Must be completed in groups
 Submit via Moodle in a pdf format (do NOT include Excel files)
on Monday before class starts, at the latest 2.15pm!
 Maximum length of 3 pages, with unlimited appendix containing
supporting exhibits
 All cases are part of the following course pack available on the
HBS website: https://hbsp.harvard.edu/import/1216360

6
Course organization
 Case presentations
 Every group will present one case
 Need to submit presentation via e-mail to me in pdf format at least
1h before the class starts the day you are presenting

 Case discussions
 Every group will be assigned one case to discuss
 This case will be presented by another group
 The objective is to stimulate class discussion

 Evaluation
 You will be evaluated on both the quality of your
presentation/discussion input and your ability to communicate your
ideas to the audience

7
Course organization
 Course evaluation
 There is no exam for the course during the regular exam
session
 Course grade = 0.20N1 + 0.50N2 + 0.20N3 + 0.10N4 where
 N1 is the grade for class participation
 N2 is the average grade of case study reports
 N3 is the grade for the case presentations
 N4 is the grade for case discussion

8
Course organization
 Teaching assistant
 Madhushree Ayalasomayajula
 madhushree.ayalasomayajula@unil.ch

 Office hours: Thursday from 2pm to 4pm


 TA session
 How to structure and write the case reports
 Continued guidance and feedback on case reports

9
Course organization
 Reference textbook for the course
 Donald De Pamphilis, Mergers, Acquisitions and Other Restructuring
Activities, AP / Elsevier, 8th-11th Ed.
 Note that this is a reference textbook. I do not require
that you buy this book as class notes are self-contained!
 All class material is on Moodle
 Moodle password: MACR24

10
Course organization
 Course pre-requisite
 Valuation course, 1st year MSc in Finance

11
Learning objectives
 Why do firms engage in mergers, acquisitions, and corporate
restructurings?
 Hostile takeovers and takeover defenses
 How to value an acquisition target
 Where do synergies come from? Are there any?
 How are deals financed?
 Contractual features of merger agreements
 What are the determinants of LBOs?
 Why do firms break up? Do conglomerates make sense?
 Recognize key principles of successful negotiations
 Work with a team to manage large workload in short time-period
 Gain confidence in presenting and defending ideas in front of large
audience

➢ Be able to identify, structure, and pitch an M&A or restructuring transaction

12
Mergers are everywhere
 The case of Burger King
 1953: established
 1959: acquired by its Miami franchises
 1967: acquired by Pillsbury Inc.
 1988: acquired by Grand Metropolitan plc (UK)
 1997: merged with Guinness plc (UK): renamed Diageo
 2002: TPG-led consortium buys out Burger King from Diageo
 2006: TPG exits via IPO, listed on NYSE
 2010: 3G capital takes Burger King private again
 2014: Burger King mergers with Tim Hortons in an inversion deal,
now part of Restaurant Brands International, listed on TSX

13
Le Temps, September 14th, 2020

14
UBS finalise l’acquisition de Credit Suisse
Le premier groupe bancaire du pays a finalisé ce lundi
l’acquisition de sa concurrente Credit Suisse
ordonnée dans le cadre du plan de sauvetage de la
banque aux deux voiles décrété par la Confédération
en mars dernier

15
Le Temps, June 12th, 2023
Largest merger transaction, 1998-2021

16
State of the M&A market

17
State of the M&A market

Source: Berk and DeMarzo

18
Historical perspective

19
M&A markets around the world
 Largest M&A markets in absolute dollars
 U.S. $1.4 trillion
 China $500bn
 U.K. $184bn
 Canada/Germany $110bn
 From: Thomson Reuters M&A 2017 Review

20
M&A markets around the world

M&A activity and labor regulation


 EPL: Employment Protection Legislation
 Sample: OECD countries, 1985-2007
 Source: Dessaint, Golubor, and Volpin, 2017, Journal of Financial Economics

21
Current trends affecting the market
 Record corporate cash holdings – $2.0-5.0 trillion
 Lots of “dry powder” in PE funds – $1.4 trillion
 Record low borrowing costs for large secure borrowers
(AAA ~3.5%) (BBB ~4.0%), although rates are now
increasing again!
 Major shocks in certain industries (e.g. oil)
 Historically high equity valuations
 U.S. tax changes

22
Some more facts
 25% of deals and growing are cross-border
 20-25% are PE deals
 2-3% of deals are hostile
 90% of deals above $100m are litigated
 50% of target CEOs are not retained
 5-6% of the combined workforce laid off
 30% chance a Fortune 1000 company will engage in M&A
in any given year

23
Types of mergers

24
Does M&A pay? Short-run

Average cumulative abnormal returns to targets and initial bidders


 Sample: U.S. , 1980-2005
 Source: Betton, Eckbo, Thorburn, 2008
25
Does M&A pay? Long-run

Long-term performance of acquirers relative to a benchmark (3 years)


 Sample: U.S. , 1980-2009 (9,854 deals)
 Source: Duchin and Schmidt 2013, Journal of Financial Economics

26
Does M&A pay?
 Study after study shows that while targets gain
substantially from the premium, ~50% of deals fail to
create value for acquirers
 Yet firms continue to spend trillions on deals
 Why?

27
How to succeed in M&A?
 Take this class!

 There is only one way to create value as a buyer


 Buy something for less than it’s worth (to you!)
 Target selection (strategy), due diligence (accounting/law),
valuation/pricing (finance), structuring and financing (finance,
law), integration (operations, management)

28
How to succeed in M&A?

29
Parties involved
 Bidder(s)/acquirer
 Target
 Seller (parent, private shareholders)
 Financial advisors
 Lenders/investors
 Due diligence accountants, Lawyers
 PR consultants, HR/Pension consultants
 Market participants (arbitrageurs, activists)
 Regulators (competition, securities)

30
Financial advisors
 Financial advisor role
 Gives general financial advice
 Drafts some, coordinates all documentation
 Controls other advisors and the client/directors
 Advises on target valuation and deal pricing
 Manages overall strategic direction of the offer
 Lends its good name to the transaction
 Financial advisors often also help with financing (underwriting
equity issues, arranging bridge or long-term borrowing)
 But single line “boutique” advisors gaining in popularity
 Financial advisor role differs depending on whether
representing the bidder or target
 Which mandate do you think is more desirable?

31
Advising the buyer
 Finding acquisition opportunities, e.g. identifying an acquisition target
 Evaluating the target from the bidder’s strategic and other perspectives;
valuing the target; providing a “fairness” opinion
 Devising appropriate financing structure for the deal, covering offer price,
method of payment and sources of finance
 Advising the client on negotiating tactics and strategies or, in some cases,
negotiating deals
 Collecting information about potential rival bidders
 Profiling the target shareholders to ‘sell’ the bid effectively; helping the
bidder with presentations and ‘road shows’
 Gathering feedback from the stock market about the attitudes of financial
institutions to the bid and its terms
 Identifying potential ‘showstoppers’, such as antitrust investigation and
helping prepare the bidder’s case in any regulatory investigations
 Helping prepare offer document, profit forecast, circulars to shareholders
and press releases, and ensuring their accuracy

32
Advising the target
 Valuing the target and its component businesses to negotiate a
higher offer price; providing a “fairness opinion”
 Helping the target and its accountants prepare profit forecasts
 Arranging buyers for any divestment or management buyout of
target assets
 Getting feedback concerning the offer and the likelihood of it
being accepted
 Negotiating with the bidder and its team
 If the bid is hostile or unsolicited
 Crafting effective bid resistance strategies
 Finding white knights

33
M&As

34
AT&T has used almost every restructuring
method in the last 20 years!
 1984 antitrust break up: split-up using spinoffs
 Shareholders receive 1 share of each “Baby Bell” for
every 10 AT&T shares
SBC Southwestern Bell

http://www-inst.eecs.berkeley.edu/~eegsa/images/pactel.gif

Spinoff
http://www.acm.org/sigchi/chi97/ap/logos/nynex.jpg

ameritech.jpg (2588 octets)

 AT&T Capital
 1993 $107.5 million public offering of 14%
 1996 $2.2 billion asset sale to an investor group

35
AT&T has used almost every restructuring
method in the last 20 years!
 1995-6 Split-up
 Lucent: $3 billion carve-out in 18% IPO, followed by
spinoff (.324 shares Lucent for each AT&T)
 NCR: spinoff (0.0625 NCR shares per AT&T)
 Universal Card: asset sale for $3.5 billion to
Citicorp
Carve-out, Lucent Technologies, Bell Labs Innovations

Spinoff

http://www.acm.org/sigchi/chi97/ap/logos/ncr.jpg

Spinoff

Asset sale
Universal Card
36
AT&T has used almost every restructuring
method in the last 20 years!
 AT&T Wireless
 Tracking stock representing 15.6% interest was sold
in IPO for $10.6 billion
 Later, exchange offer gave shareholders choice of
AT&T or AT&T Wireless stock
 Last, spinoff executed in which .32 wireless shares
were distributed to AT&T holders
 AT&T Broadband
 10/00 – AT&T announces it will divest unit
 7/01 – Comcast makes unsolicited bid, forcing
AT&T into an auction
 12/01 – Comcast declared auction winner
Dollar value of U.S. divestitures
($ Millions)

750.000
700.000
650.000
600.000
550.000
500.000
450.000
400.000
350.000
300.000
250.000
200.000
150.000
100.000
50.000
0
89

97

06

14
85
86
87
88

90
91
92
93
94
95
96

98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05

07
08
09
10
11
12
13

15
16
Source: Thomson Securities Financial Data

38
Dollar value of European divestitures
($ Millions)

800.000
750.000
700.000
650.000
600.000
550.000
500.000
450.000
400.000
350.000
300.000
250.000
200.000
150.000
100.000
50.000
0
89

92

95

11

14
85
86
87
88

90
91

93
94

96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10

12
13

15
16
Source: Thomson Financial Securities Data

39
Dollar value of Asian divestitures
($ Millions)

600.000
550.000
500.000
450.000
400.000
350.000
300.000
250.000
200.000
150.000
100.000
50.000
0
00
01
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Source: Thomson Financial Securities Data

40
U.S. M&A vs. divestitures
14.000

12.000

10.000
Total Number

8.000

6.000

4.000

2.000

0
65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16
Divestitures M&A

Sources: Mergerstat Review


41
U.S. Spin-offs
($ Millions)

250.000

200.000

150.000

100.000

50.000

0
90

98

03

11
85
86
87
88
89

91
92
93
94
95
96
97

99
00
01
02

04
05
06
07
08
09
10

12
13
14
15
16
Source: Thomson Financial Securities Data

42
Conglomerate discount

Source: Khorana et al., Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 2011

43
Corporate restructuring
 What is corporate restructuring?
 Corporation as a nexus of contracts
 Define restructuring as the process by which firms change the
terms of the contracts
 “Recontracting”

44
Corporate restructuring
 Why do firms restructure?
 Poor performance or financial distress
 Change in strategy or corporate policy
 Information gap between insiders and outsiders

45
Corporate restructuring
 How do corporations create value by restructuring the
firm’s financial claims and contracts?
 Restructuring affects market value because of various market
frictions and institutional rigidities
 Transaction costs
 Taxes
 Agency conflicts
 Information disparity between insiders and outsiders

46
Corporate restructuring
 What kind of restructuring is most appropriate for
dealing with a given problem?
 What determinants favor one restructuring alternative vs.
another?
 Private reorganization vs. chapter 11
 Spin-off vs. targeted stock

47
Corporate restructuring
 How does the restructuring affect the distribution of
value among firm’s claimholders?
 Value creation vs. transfer of value

48

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