TGG CMD Presentation May 2022
TGG CMD Presentation May 2022
Markets Day
19 May 2022
Forward-looking statement disclaimer
This presentation should be read in conjunction with the announcement published by The Gym Group plc on 19 May 2022.
This presentation and information communicated verbally to you contains certain projections and other forward-looking statements with
respect to the financial condition, results of operations, businesses and prospects of The Gym Group plc.
These projections and forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to
events and depend upon circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. There are several factors which could cause actual results
or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Any of the assumptions underlying
these projections and forward-looking statements could prove inaccurate or incorrect and therefore any results contemplated in the
projections or forward-looking statements may not actually be achieved.
Investors or other recipients are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any projection or forward-looking statements contained herein.
Save as required by law or by the Listing Rules of the UK Listing Authority, The Gym Group plc undertakes no obligation to update or revise
(publicly or otherwise) any projection or forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or other
circumstances. Neither this presentation nor any verbal communication shall constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to
subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in The Gym Group plc.
First gym opened Successful IPO on Gyms and members Business significantly Revenue recovery starts 300+ sites
in Hounslow London Stock Exchange more than doubled impacted by COVID-19
in 4 years Accelerated growth plan £95-105m EBITDA
Rollout slowed to
Funded 20 new sites reduce capital spend £40-50m PBT
from operating cash flow
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
01 02
Significant investment made in core Rapid growth in estate
infrastructure to run business of 200+ gyms • 104 organic new sites
• New Tech platforms to support enhanced • 36 sites acquired through
Member Experience (via Website and App) four separate acquisitions
• ERP system (Workday)
• New Gym Team model (Personal Trainers)
03 04
Market-leader in sustainability Great place to work
• First Carbon Neutral Gym in UK • #25 in Glassdoor’s top 50 places to
• Commitment to Net Zero by 2035 work for in the UK
Member demographic
Reinvestment
High quality,
in estate
great value
and growth
gyms
of new sites
Self-financing
growth delivering
financial returns
(30% ROIC)
Strong
Growing
financial
membership
returns and
base
social value
Scale benefits
from operating
200+ sites
25-30 £95-105m
new sites per year EBITDA
£40-50m
PBT
Next generation
technology
Revenue
optimisation
Brand
Unique
market
gym market
Attractive Accelerated
property opportunity move to
market for The Gym low cost
Group
Scale
advantage
Source: LDC State of the Industry Report 2019 (as at March); Deloitte EHFMR 2022 for 2020-21 data (as at year end), segment split not available
Unique
market
Scale
advantage
Number of sites by category 2016-211 • Substantial growth in high performing City Residential
(+147%) and Greater London (+88%) locations
43
City Residential +63
106 • City Centre now ex-growth
0
Town +15
15
0 2016
Small Town +1
1 2021
Unique
Attractive market Accelerated
property opportunity
market for The Gym
move to
Group low cost
Scale
advantage
Fitness frequency now above pre-COVID levels Sustained opportunity to target people interested in
and expected to increase further the gym but put off by cost
UK Fitness frequency vs pre-COVID levels1 Main reasons to not join a gym2
Unique
market Accelerated
to low cost
Attractive
property opportunity
market for The Gym
move to
Group low cost
Scale
advantage
01 02 03
Growth in low cost an existing Parts of Health & Cost of living crisis will increase
theme pre-COVID Fitness market weakened focus on low cost options
+21% CAGR pre-COVID Premium & mid-market distress; Budget operators typically
vs. +1% rest of market restructuring and administration outperform the market during
recession / downturns
2015-19
CAGR %
+21%
+1% +1%
Unique
Attractive market Accelerated
property opportunity move to
market for The Gym low cost
Group
Scale
advantage
Other
1) The Gym Group number of sites inside M25 as of 2021 year end 2016 2021
2) Company estimates for the number of sites per low cost operator as at year end; low cost defined as majority of membership options <£25 per month and <£30 within London
Unique
Attractive market
Scale
advantage
Retail Park High Street Mixed use Supermarket Office Shopping Stand alone
development Centre
Low cost gym members penetration UK potential for low cost gyms
% of total population Number of low cost gyms
7.0 – 8.9% 1700 - 1900
4.2%
3.4% 3.7% 756
2.9%
2.0%
1.5%
Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 2026F 2030F 2022 2026F 2030F
PwC Forecast Management Estimate
• Fitness penetration in Northern Europe above UK • Pre-COVID PwC research2 potential for c.1,200-1,400
(Denmark 19%, Norway and Sweden 22%)1 low cost gyms in 2026
• PwC forecast 17% for UK by 2026 • Management forecast c.1,700-1,900 gyms by 2030
• Forecast penetration: • Growth potential of low cost:
• 5.0-6.9% by 2026 (PwC forecast) • Up to 2x by 2026
• 7.0-8.9% by 2030 (Management estimate) • Up to 2.5x by 2030
• Management estimate extends low cost growth to 2030
01 02 03
Outstanding Highly Flexible model
product & satisfied & product
operational members formats
delivery
Convenient
High quality Multi-gym Bring a
gym equipment locations access* friend*
with 24/7 access
in the market
operational delivery
No license fee
Highly effective Aligns our commercial and social interests with our
members interest - becoming and staying healthy and fit
operational Drives member engagement
delivery at scale Links into improving tenure and reducing churn
“ I really like the layout of The Gym, and always felt that
there was plenty of equipment and a good range too.
Overall, a great experience and I have referred many
of my friends to The Gym West End!”
Glasgow West End Our reviews increased by 23.1% in March 2022
01 Live classes
Solutions from full studio to open
05 Product solutions
Range of kit tailored to membership profile
plan flexible spaces and usage
02 Digital classes
App integration of exercise plans
06 Flexible space
Designed space to maximise flexibility of
and on-line classes function and layout
03 Gym amenities
Changing and showering facilities
07 Inclusive & relevant
Innovation and diverse formats to remain
to match gym profile relevant to all members
04 Operating model
Flexing our resource model and
deploying self serve
Gym size Gym ancillary (sq.ft & %) Gym (sq.ft & %) TOTAL (sq.ft)
Small 660 9% 6,840 91% 7,500
Medium 1,600 13% 10,900 87% 12,500
Large 2,720 18% 12,280 82% 15,000
Rolling average size Annual average new site size sq.ft 2019 ROIC in mature sites
20,000 18,000
35%
18,000 16,000
16,000 30%
14,000
14,000 25%
12,000
12,000
10,000 20%
10,000
8,000
8,000 15%
6,000
6,000
10%
4,000 4,000
5%
2,000 2,000
0 0 0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2008 to 2013 2014 to 2017
Activity in Q1 2022
Ecommerce >14m >19m >6.5m
gym visits app sessions web sessions
Data App
Technology @
Technology drives every area:
The Gym Group
• Online joining
• Gym entry
• Operational efficiency
Internal
systems In gym • Digital content
• Decision support
Driving marketing
• Increased search visibility
• Improved speed and stability
• Stronger merchandising
• Quicker online joining
Driving engagement
• Improved mobile experience
• More engaging content
• Improved testing tools
Improving website conversion
by 50bps could deliver
Driving product an additional £8m in
• Data driven product design annualised revenue
• Faster time to market * Based on Jan/Feb conversion data
App usage has increased significantly: Our app ratings are now the best in the industry:
Monthly Active App Users as % of Apple App Store Google Play Store
Operator
Rating * Rating *
Closing Membership 2022 vs 2019
The Gym Group 4.7 4.6
70%
PureGym (UK) 4.8 4.1
60%
50% Virgin Active (UK) 4.7 2.8
* Ratings as at 15-05-22
Our app enriches the gym experience for our members
Capital Markets Day 2022 41
New data capabilities enable us to optimise price,
churn and operational efficiency
03 – Further opportunity
We are building further competitive advantage Ex-EMEA Director of Architecture
+£5-7
On-Demand
1, 3, 5 Day
Unlimited 24/7 Gym Time, Free Fitness App -
DO IT Group Classes, 200 Free On- Passes
Fiit
Demand Workouts. Prices currently
(67% of members)1
range from £13.99 to £35.99
Commercial sophistication
03 Leveraging the benefits of scale and investments
to unlock new levels of optimisation
Average across all locations Average difference to The Gym Group in competing locations
£19.27 Average
£19.96
+£4.12 Average
£22.69
£23.21
18-26%
higher than
+£4.48
Other gym sectors
1) Company analysis of average headline rates December 2021 (no contract option if available)
In members’ views, the value we deliver outweighs …and they see little difference between The Gym Group
the price we charge… and Pure Gym on the top 10 most important criteria
Value Map – The Gym Group Price vs Value Performance1 The Gym Group vs Pure Gym – Relative Rating on Top 10 Purchase Criteria1
Very High
expensive Weights Range & Quality Monthly Price
Gym Busy-ness
Importance
24 / 7 Access
Joining Fee
Staff & PT Service
Low Perceived value High Pure Gym Relative performance The Gym Group
(performance on non-price purchase criteria) Better Better
Average headline rate, Jan 2019 to Apr 20221 • Headline price increased across 178 sites in April
• But The Gym Group remains best value in competing
New
£21.00 £20.85 locations…
members
• …and well placed to benefit from customers trading
£20.50 down from mid-market / public authority
+8%
£20.00
• Rate increases unlock potential to reprice existing
£19.50 members who joined on lower rates
Existing • We are increasing the volume and level of repricing…
£19.27
£19.00 members
• …but keep this below the full headline rate to reward
£18.80 loyalty and discourage churn
£18.50
£18.43
£18.00
30%
25%
20%
Volume
Adding the ‘LIVE IT’
15% Total DO IT premium membership has
enabled us to capture value
£24.2m LIVE IT
from members willing to pay
10% profit Jan 18 - more for extra benefits
Mar 22 Value
addressed by
DO IT Value
5% added by
LIVE IT
0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Price
2018 2019 2020 2021
Current structure
(Illustrative)
The opportunity
Customers not
yet reached
Volume
(priced out)
A lower priced membership package can attract
incremental volume (net of cannibalisation) from
Volume
LIVE IT
Yield
Willingness to ‘pay
more’ not realised There is potential to capture more willingness to
Value
addressed pay with an enhanced premium package
by DO IT Value
added by
LIVE IT
Price
New Entry Membership • Better monetisation of new membership benefits and features
DO IT
New Core Package
LIVE IT
Timing
New Premium Membership • Opportunity unlocked by new tech platform
• Expecting to begin trials before the end of the year
• Phased introduction of new features and benefits
Incremental
yield unlocked • Value delivered will build over time
Price
More sophisticated
Site-level tailoring strategies for Stronger ‘test &
across more new site pricing, member learn’ capability
elements repricing, tactical (volume, pace and
promotions and agility of trials)
retention / re-activation
Behavioural Improving
Data science
economics price and
and modelling
to improve the way we value awareness
to drive faster and
communicate and nudge to attract new and
better decision making
member decisions existing gym goers
01 02 03
Brands are People pay more Reduce
remembered for brands the cost to acquire
Increase consideration Reduced price sensitivity Increase conversion, lowering CPA
Brands need to update their identity and meaning to… 1971 1987 1992 Current
Domain Equity
BROAD CATEGORY
THE GYM
CPA
BLENDED
UNIQUE / CATEGORY
THE
THEGYM
GYMGROUP
GROUP Marketing
Investment
BROAD UNIQUE NAME
FITNESS FIRST
Unique Memorability
low competition,
lower cost &
Consumer
HYPER UNIQUE NAME HUSSLE stronger
Research
-
defensibility
Moving to The Gym Group allows us to retain play in the category, the broad category but also unlock
more brand defensibility by being more unique which is critical as we harvest more brand demand
Capital Markets Day 2022 69
We’re creating a new digital first, visual identity system Identity
Marketing Team
High brand
Our new brand delivers:
health
metrics
01 More awareness
Brand High
investment Awareness
02 More consideration
Reduced
Reduced
03 More members
need for
price
Performance
sensitivity
media
04 Outstanding financial
Decreased
CPA performance
2019 P&L £million Target mature site economics by gym size £000
Revenue 153.1 16,000 sqft 12,000 sqft 8,000 sqft
Cost of sale (1.4) In 2019 the Revenue 1,100 900 630
Gross Profit 151.7 business opened Cost of sale 11 9 6
Fixed costs including rent (40.6)
Controllable Costs (49.7) Site EBITDA 20 Gross Profit 1,089 891 624
margin includes Fixed Costs including rent 300 250 170
Site EBITDA1 less rent 61.4 mix of mature & new sites Controllable Costs 355 280 200
Site EBITDA1 margin % 40.1% immature sites
(12% growth) Site EBITDA1 less rent 434 361 254
Central costs (12.9) Central costs at funded entirely Site EBITDA1 margin % 40% 40% 40%
Group EBITDA1 less rent 48.5 8.4% of revenue
from operating Initial capital invested 1,425 1,200 850
Group EBITDA1 margin % 31.7%
cash flow Target ROIC2 30% 30% 30%
2019 ROIC for mature sites
Average Site
ROIC
EBITDA1 £’000
Sites open between 2008 and 2013 457 30%
Sites open between 2014 and 2017 426 31%
Total 437 31%
39.1 48.5
30.6
5.7
(10.2)
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Pre-covid Pre-covid 2020 & 2021 New sites Increase in 2025
estate at estate full sites at 2022-2025 central costs EBITDA
2019 level maturity maturity
1) “EBITDA” here refers to EBITDA less Normalised Rent. “c.£100m” target based on £95-105m range
2) Adjusted Profit Before Tax
£95-105m 25-30
EBITDA new sites per year
£40-50m
PBT
Outperformed Top 10 European Revenue recovery above industry LFL revenue expected to be at
operators in membership recovery average across UK and rest of Europe pre-COVID levels by end of 2022
Basic-Fit +11%
30%
SATS Group +7%
20%
FitX -5%
10%
RSG Group -9%
Friskis&Svettis -10% 0%
Europe UK The Gym Group 1
Jan 2
Feb 3
Mar 4
Apr
1) Top 10 closing membership #s – ranked by % chg. (2021), Deloitte EHFMR 2022
2) 2021 revenue as a % of 2019 levels, Deloitte EHFMR 2022
3) Comparison of monthly revenue in 2022 with equivalent month in 2019 for sites open as at 31 Dec 2018. Excludes revenue from new Fitness Trainer model that was earned in 2022 but not in 2019
Short Fear from catching Work-from-home Expansion of digital and Consumers thinking
term covid still a factor but affecting gyms, outdoor fitness options carefully about any new
down from peak particularly city centres during lockdowns discretionary spend
Medium/ Covid has Gyms in residential Most people not Low cost gyms will
Long term increased the areas offering satisfied with attract trading down
benefits public’s focus on multi-site access will alternatives; from mid-market and
health & fitness have advantage likely to complement premium
gym usage
In the short term some of these factors are affecting the speed of recovery;
in the medium-to-long term they will benefit our business
Capital Markets Day 2022 83
Speed of recovery varies across estate
Disruption of normal routines, particularly working from home, is affecting the speed of return to gyms
Regions with highest prevalence of WFH Office-focused city centre gyms slowest Gyms with parking recovering faster
clearly more impacted to recover so far than those reliant on public transport
Apr 22 LFL revenue vs 2019 by region1 Apr 22 LFL revenue vs 2019 by gym type1 Apr 22 LFL revenue vs 2019 by parking2
99% 100%
96%
89% 89% 88% 89% 89% 88%
83% 82% 84%
London South North Total City Centre London Small Town City Total London Residential - London Residential - London Residential -
Residential Surburban No Parking Parking Total
1) For the 155 sites open up to 31st Dec 2018
2) London Residential sites only (No parking – 31 sites, Parking – 18 sites)
INVEST WHERE WE
CAN DELIVER
RETURN ON CAPITAL
OF 30%+
Focus on
member service
Yield optimisation
6% 1.5X – 2.0X
return on capital2 of
3% returned
(not a cap) of
Net Debt2 £
In 2022, Net debt2 level to
with EBITDA1
per site maintain leverage
at 1.5x EBITDA
recovering to pre-covid levels
and with significant growth
capex, net cash flow will be
negative Excess cash
In 2023,
the business starts to generate Net debt2 level if no cash
net cash flow, which grows in returned to shareholders
Leverage will drop below 1.5x EBITDA in the next 12 months, presenting
an opportunity for potential cash returns to shareholders in 2023
1) “EBITDA” here refers to EBITDA less Normalised Rent
2) “Net debt” here refers to Non-Property Net Debt, which excludes the IFRS16 liabilities associated with property leases
Membership recovery
Flexible formats
Technology platform
Pricing changes
Brand transformation
1) “EBITDA” here refers to EBITDA less Normalised Rent. “c.£100m” target based on £95-105m range
01 02 03
Resilient business Maximise site growth Immediate
well-positioned in low potential from market opportunity
cost gym market and opportunity around yield
recovering well
04 05 06
Brand and tech Route to Capital allocation
are key enablers to £40-50m PBT principles clearly
running a successful and £95-105m defined with excess
low cost business EBITDA in 2025 cash returned to
shareholders