Statistics for Data Science - 2
Week 7 Notes
Statistics from samples and Limit theorems
1. Empirical distribution:
Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn ∼ X be i.i.d. samples. Let #(Xi = t) denote the number of times
t occurs in the samples. The empirical distribution is the discrete distribution with
PMF
#(Xi = t)
p(t) =
n
• The empirical distribution is random because it depends on the actual sample
instances.
• Descriptive statistics: Properties of empirical distribution. Examples :
– Mean of the distribution
– Variance of the distribution
– Probability of an event
• As number of samples increases, the properties of empirical distribution should
become close to that of the original distribution.
2. Sample mean:
Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn ∼ X be i.i.d. samples. The sample mean, denoted X, is defined to
be the random variable
X1 + X 2 + . . . + Xn
X=
n
• Given a sampling x1 , . . . , xn the value taken by the sample mean X is x =
x1 + x2 + . . . + xn
. Often, X and x are both called sample mean.
n
3. Expected value and variance of sample mean:
Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn be i.i.d. samples whose distribution has a finite mean µ and variance
σ 2 . The sample mean X has expected value and variance given by
σ2
E[X] = µ, Var(X) =
n
• Expected value of sample mean equals the expected value or mean of the distri-
bution.
• Variance of sample mean decreases with n.
4. Sample variance:
Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn ∼ X be i.i.d. samples. The sample variance, denoted S 2 , is defined
to be the random variable
(X1 − X)2 + (X2 − X)2 + . . . + (Xn − X)2
S2 = ,
n−1
where X is the sample mean.
5. Expected value of sample variance:
Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn be i.i.d. samples whose distribution has a finite variance σ 2 . The
2 (X1 − X)2 + (X2 − X)2 + . . . + (Xn − X)2
sample variance S = has expected value
n−1
given by
E[S 2 ] = σ 2
• Values of sample variance, on average, give the variance of distribution.
• Variance of sample variance will decrease with number of samples (in most cases).
• As n increases, sample variance takes values close to distribution variance.
6. Sample proportion:
The sample proportion of A, denoted S(A), is defined as
number of Xi for which A is true
S(A) =
n
• As n increases, values of S(A) will be close to P (A).
• Mean of S(A) equals P (A).
• Variance of S(A) tends to 0.
7. Weak law of large numbers:
Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn ∼ iid X with E[X] = µ, Var(X) = σ 2 .
X1 + X2 + . . . + Xn
Define sample mean X = . Then,
n
σ2
P (|X − µ| > δ) ≤
nδ 2
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