IMAGINE Edward Packard Book
IMAGINE Edward Packard Book
IMAGINE Edward Packard Book
EDWARD PACKARD
© 2023, 2024 Edward Packard
all rights reserved
CONTENTS
Introduction
The Miracle Wizard
Fifty-Nine Thought Experiments:
1. At Age Seventeen, Would You Rather Have an
Exceptionally Wonderful Life Ahead of You, but Die
When You’re Fifty, Or Have a Mediocre and
Unrewarding Life and Live To Be One Hundred?
2. At Age Fifty, Would You Prefer Be Living a Wonderful
Life that’s About to End, or a Mediocre and
Unrewarding Life, Knowing that You’ll Live To Be One
Hundred?
3. How Does the Value of Mobility Compare with Being
Able To Look Back on a Wonderful Life?
4. Is It Better To Be Courageous or a Coward?
5. Luxurious Solitary Confinement.
6. Your Very Own Universe.
7. You Are a Character in a Computer Game Played by
an Unstable Adolescent.
8. You Die and Go to Heaven.
9. You Are About to Die, But Can Have a Second Life
as an Animal.
10. You Are Aging Backward, but No One Else Is.
11. Risking Everything To Get Set Up for Life.
12. You Are Still Alive and Feeling Fine Even Though
You’re 125.
13. Comfortably Ensconced in a Space Capsule, You
Start Falling Upward, Accelerating at the Same Rate
As You Would in Free Fall.
14. You Don’t Know When You’ll Die, but You Can
Choose How You’ll Die.
15. You are About to Die, but Have the Option of Living
as a Character of Your Choice in a Novel that Has
Become Real. The Events Described in It Are Actually
Happening.
16. What Would You Say If You Could Talk to Your
Earlier Self When You Were at a Much Younger Age?
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17. Turning Back the Clock and Living Life Forward from
When You Were Much Younger.
18. Imagine That What John Lennon Imagined in His Song
“Imagined” Happened.
19. Would you Rather Have Your Brain Uploaded into a
Special Purpose Super Computer than Be Dead?
20. You’re Living 30,000 Years Ago but Know Everything
You Know Now.
21. You’re Twenty Years Old, and You Have a Super
Advanced A.I Machine that Can Make the Right Decisions
for You Every Time.
22. Checking Out the Scene One Thousand Years from
Now.
23. Checking Out the Scene Fourteen Billion Years from Now.
24. You Have a Painful Epiphany.
25. Is Your Life Like a Novel?
26. Would You Want To Live Your Life Over Again after You
Die — the Exact Same Life?
27. Would You Want To Live Your Life Over Again after You
Die — Beginning with the Same Circumstances at Birth, but
Because of Chance Variations, It Will Play Out Differently.
28. Imagine that the Species Homo Erectus Is Still Extant.
29. How Would You React if You Won a Billion Dollars in a
Mega Jackpot Lottery?
30. Imagine that You’ve Been Transformed into Dark Matter.
31. Would You Be Willing To Reduce Your Future Life Span
by Ten Percent to Learn the Answers to Some Major
Scientific Questions and How the Future of Homo Sapiens
Plays Out?
32. If You Open a Particular Door in Front of You, the Rest of
Your Life May Be Consistently Wonderful.
33. It Seemed To Have Happened in an Instant: As far as You
Can Tell, Everyone in the World Has Disappeared but You.
34. What Duty, If Any, Do We Owe to Future Generations?
35. If You Could Have Three Famous Writers, Dead or Alive,
Join You for Dinner, Whom Would You Invite?
36. You’ve Been Sentenced To Live for a Year on a Remote
Small Uninhabited Island and Can Bring Only One Book
with You. What Book Would You Bring?
37. You Have the Chance To Have the Most Over-the-Top
Single Experience of Your Life that You Specify.
38. You Can Choose To Have a Feeling of Complete
Assurance that You’ll Go to Heaven When You Die.
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39. You Promised Your Uncle To Perform a Ten-Minute
Religious Ritual Every Day for the Rest of Your Life.
40. Can You Prove That You Are a Human Conversing with
René, a ChatBot, even though René Claims that It Is Human
and that You Are a ChatBot?
41. How Would You Feel When, on the Brink of Death, You
Learn that You Just Won a Nobel Prize?
42. Which of These Three Persons Would You Prefer To Be
in Your Next Life?
43. Imagine that You Had Never Been Born.
44. What if Logical Reasoning from a Sound Premise Leads
to a Repugnant Conclusion?
45. Would It Be the Right To Subject One Person To a Half
Hour of Agony to Save Ten Million T.V. Viewers from Missing
the Thrilling Final of the World Cup Soccer Match?
46. The Limits of Civic Duty: A Case Study.
47. Suppose Everyone Held the View that Free Will, as Most
People Think of It, Is an Illusion. .
48. Can a Person Change Sufficiently To Become Another
Person?
49. Can You Get Rid of Your Sense of Self?
50. Would You Want To Be Able To Dream After You Die?
51. Would You Like To Never Have Dreams When You’re
Sleeping?
52. Would You Be Willing To Be the Next Human Baby Born
in the World after You Die?
53. The (Infamous) Two Children Problem
(The Two-Child Problem); (The Two-Child Paradox).
54. If You Could Save the Life of Only One of These Three
People, Which One Would You Save?
55. You Are the Dictator of Policy Relating to Animals Bred
and Raised for Agricultural Purposes in the U.S.
56. Create Your Own Advisor.
57. A Brain Scan Reveals that within the Next Twenty-Four
Hours You’ll Have a Fatal Cerebral Hemorrhage.
58. Hundreds of Years after You Die, You Come Back to Life
but Only for an Hour.
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INTRODUCTION
6
headaches?” In this experiment, unlike in the trolley problem,
no one dies, and the facts are more nebulous. What is meant
by “torment,” and how many is a “multitude”? It would be
futile to try to be precise, and there is no right or wrong
answer. Setiya, who suffers from chronic pain, tells of agonies
he has endured. His personal experience with pain, rather
than philosophical reasoning, may have formed his view that it
would be worse for one person to suffer torment for an hour
than for a multitude to have a mild headache.
One could argue that all novels, movies, and plays are
thought experiments or series of thought experiments. They
depict imagined characters, imagined situations, and
imagined actions. This is taken to an extra dimension in the
movie Groundhog Day, starring Bill Murray. If you’ve seen it,
you probably remember that Murray’s character, Phil Connors,
is a crude cynical guy who wakes up the day after Groundhog
Day and finds that it’s Groundhog Day all over again, and this
keeps happening day after day. Connor’s successive
Groundhog Days are like a series of thought experiments,
exploring the consequences of acting different ways in the
same circumstances without affecting his real life (in this case
his real life in the movie).
This process is immensely frustrating but instructive for
Phil Connors. He learns what otherwise might never have
been possible: how to stop being a jerk. A Groundhog Day
comes when he behaves in a reasonably sensitive and
civilized way. The young woman he has been pursuing, who
was repulsed by his conduct on previous Groundhog days,
gets a version of him she finds appealing. His succession of
Groundhog Days ends.
Real life choices are rarely, if ever, so bizarre as the trolley
problem, or so incommensurable as the torment and mild
headaches problem, or so fantastical as the Groundhog Day
problem. Nonetheless, constructing hypothetical situations
and thinking about what would happen in various
contingencies can expand your thinking and give you a
window into your psychic state.
In the thought experiments presented in this book, I
describe a situation and ask what you would think or do in
these circumstances. Then, in most cases, to supply another
perspective, I say what I would think or do.
Almost without exception, I don’t claim to be giving the
right answer to these questions. Few of them have right or
wrong answers. The thought experiments in this book aren’t
intended to tell you what you should think; rather, they ask
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you to consider what you think. This can be useful: Becoming
aware of what I think and of the consequences of failing to
think have freed me from insularity and improved my chances
that when the road ahead of me diverges, I’ll know which way
to go.
8
THE MIRACLE WIZARD
9
FIFTY-NINE THOUGHT EXPERIMENTS
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#1
What a cruel choice, you think when you hear this. Life has
been good to you so far. The life you can have ahead of you
sounds even better, but if you choose to have it, you’ll only
live until you’re fifty. You don’t want to die that young. You’d
like to live to be one hundred.
Best to think a moment before making a decision. After
fifty, physically, you’ll be in decline. You’d hate to give up a
chance for a wonderful life just to have many years more of
an unenviable life, growing steadily older until you’re a
doddering senior citizen. You’re still pondering this dilemma
when the Wiz says, “Well, what’s your decision?”
* *
11
If I were given this choice when I was seventeen, I’d probably
think that if I chose to have a wonderful life, though it will
only last until I’m fifty, I’ll have thirty-three great years ahead,
and that sounds better than a much longer life that’s dreary
and unsatisfying.
The Wiz told you that you’d forget having met him. If I
knew that my life was going to be cut off when I’m only fifty,
no matter how good it was, I’d probably think about it every
day — it would drag me down. But if I didn’t know I was
going to die prematurely, that doleful prospect wouldn’t hang
over me. I’d live happily, assuming that I would have as much
life expectancy as anyone, maybe more. In these
circumstances, from the perspective of a seventeen-year-old,
I think that living a great life to age fifty is the better deal.
12
#2
13
“I have to agree with you,” the Wiz says. “Though it’s
not as much of a come-down as having your life end a few
days from now. But you’re right: If you opt to change to the
long mediocre life, it’s not as if you’ll have lived the
wonderful life that you remember right now — you will
never have had it! Those great times won’t have happened.
Given all the considerations involved, what will you choose
to do?
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recently died? From your perspective, does it make the
slightest difference what kind of life you lived once you’re
dead? Of course, once you’re dead, you don’t have any
perspective, so maybe that’s a meaningless question.
15
#3
Imagine that you are single, and in your late seventies, and
recently moved into a retirement home. You may be looking
back at the wonderful life you’ve had, or you may be looking
back on the unsatisfying life you’ve had. It seems like a no-
brainer when the Wiz gives you the option as to which of
these two your past life has been like.
“A wonderful happy life, of course,” you say.
Not to your great surprise –- it’s just like the Wiz to throw
a curve ball like this –– he tells you that if you’ve been living a
wonderful happy life, you’re about to be diagnosed with
irremediable spinal stenosis and will have to use a walker to
get around for the rest of your life; whereas, if you’ve been
leading a mediocre unsatisfying life, thanks to a successful
course of physical therapy, you’ll be fully mobile and would
even be able to play tennis, if you knew how to play or could
afford to learn.
16
#4
The Wiz tells you that you are about to start a whole new life
and will have no memory of the one you’ve been living up
until now. Luck will play a big role in the kind of
circumstances in which you’ll find yourself, but you have
been granted one option before your new life begins. You’ll
be allowed to choose whether to be courageous or a
coward.
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“At this point, you don’t have a decision to make. You will
have already chosen whether to be courageous or a coward
in this life. If you chose to be a coward, you stay put and say
to the baby’s grandmother, ‘The fire department should be
here any moment!’
“You peer anxiously down the street, hoping to see a fire
truck coming. It seems like forever, but less than a minute
later, you hear a siren; then you see a fire engine turning a
corner and heading toward you. Thank goodness, you think,
help is on the way! But will it get here in time?”
The Wiz sweeps his right arm through the air and doesn’t
answer the question he asked. Instead, he continues:
“That’s not what happens if you are a courageous person.
In that case, almost the instant the woman says that there’s a
baby sleeping upstairs, you take a deep breath, rush into the
house and run up the stairs, intent on saving the baby.”
“Then what happens?” you ask.
The Wiz rubs his eyes. “You make it upstairs. There’s
smoke in the hallway. It takes you a few moments to get your
bearings, but you find the baby’s bedroom, pick her up from
her crib, and rush out of the bedroom only to find that the
stairs you just climbed are engulfed in flames. You rush back
into the bedroom, still holding the baby, and open the front
window. A fire truck is pulling up in front of the house.
Firemen jump out and begin unreeling hoses. You yell at
them. One of them looks up and sees you with the baby in
your arms. He runs up to side of the house beneath you. You
drop the baby. He gracefully catches her. The baby is saved,
but the flames are advancing. You rush back to the top of the
stairs, thinking you can get down safely now that you’re not
carrying the baby, but you see there’s no chance, so you
rush back to the bedroom. You realize you’ll have to jump out
the window. At that moment the roof collapses, crushing you
to death.”
You feel stunned, hearing this account.
“Sorry,“ the Wiz says, ”but that’s what might happen if
you’re courageous.”
“And if I’m a coward?” you ask.
“If you’re a coward, you wouldn’t try to rescue the baby. It
would have been crushed by the falling roof or burned to
death before the firefighters have a chance to place a ladder
against the side of the house. You would feel terrible. You’d
spend months trying to come to terms with how you didn’t try
to save the baby. You’d lie awake at night, thinking about it.”
Hearing this, conflicting emotions swirl in your head.
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“Now you have another chance to decide,” the Wiz says.
“When your new life begins, do you choose to be
courageous or be a coward?”
19
“Call me a coward, Wiz,” you say. “I don’t mind. If
something like what you described did happen, it would be
too bad I failed to save the baby, but I’d still be alive! I’d
rather keep living than be a dead hero.”
“Sorry” is one of the Wiz’s favorite words, and he uses it
now:
“Sorry,” he says: the trouble is that, even if you never
encountered a situation in which courageousness and
cowardliness come into play, you’d never feel as good about
yourself as you would if you had chosen to be courageous.
Your decision would take a toll every day. If you had decided
to be courageous, you would have had a slightly greater
chance of dying at a younger age than if you were a coward,
but you’d feel better about yourself. You would live a more
satisfying and noble life. Next time, if you have a chance,
choose to be courageous.”
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“I choose to be courageous,” you tell the Wiz. He nods and
tells you that you made the right decision. He goes on to say
that courageous people tend to feel better about themselves
than cowardly people do, and that they should: They are
better people than cowards.
I agree with the Wiz, but he might have added that people
aren’t always cowardly or always courageous. I think of
myself as courageous, but maybe I’ve suppressed memories
of acting cowardly. One such memory I didn’t suppress is of
a time when I was fifteen years old and I was in a room with
some other guys, and one of them — an aspiring alpha-type
who was on the school wrestling team –– was taunting and
administering little jabs at another kid. I felt very
uncomfortable and had an urge to rebuke this bully. I’d been
bullied myself and knew what it was like. I wouldn’t have
been able to best this thuggish character physically, but I
could have called him out on his behavior. The kid being
bullied would have appreciated that. Instead, I sat squirming
nervously without saying or doing anything until the episode
mercifully reached an end.
Sometimes, as in my case, courage gives way to
cowardice. Sometimes courage overcomes cowardice. My
father was a blimp pilot in World War I. His job was to patrol
the U.S. coastline and drop depth charges on German
submarines. He never located any, but on one mission his
blimp developed a leak and slowly lost altitude until it
flopped into the ocean. Pop and his crewman took to their
life raft. They drifted for several days and were almost out of
rations when they were spotted by sailors on a Chilean
freighter. The ship altered course and turned toward them.
Rescue seemed imminent, but then the ship turned away
and resumed its original course.
That was probably the lowest moment in Pop’s life, but to
his amazement, the ship changed course again, this time
turning toward them. It continued its approach, then slowed
almost to a stop as it pulled alongside the raft. Sailors
lowered a cargo net. Pop and his crewman climbed aboard.
The captain met them and explained that, after changing
course with the intention of rescuing them, he became afraid
that the raft with two men in it was a trap laid by a German
sub commander. He ordered the helmsman to resume the
ship’s original course. Almost as soon as he had made that
decision, another emotion took hold: distress at having
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deserted two men in peril. He ordered the helmsman to
change course again and head toward the raft. I suspect that
he felt happy after taking Pop and his crewman aboard.
22
#5
The Miracle Wizard is back, this time with the sad news that
you have only a few days to live, but he quickly adds that
you needn’t despair: Instead of passing into nonexistence,
you can choose to live in solitary confinement, not in any way
resembling a prison, but in a beautifully designed
extraordinarily well-equipped house on a large lush island
with a fabulous climate and sparkling clear lakes, streams,
and waterfalls. Not only that: there’s an impressive mountain
nearby with a trail leading to the summit, from which you’ll
have a superb view of the ocean in all directions. You’ll have
a tremendous stock of books you can read, musical
recordings you can listen to, video games you can play,
movies you can watch, virtual realities you can experience, a
state-of-the-art kitchen, and an ever-stocked pantry and
refrigerators always filled with your favorite foods.
Your house has beautiful surroundings, a fifty-meter-long
swimming pool, heated to whatever temperature you like,
and use of a nearby ski and spa resort operated by
unfailingly courteous robots. You’re guaranteed good health,
and you’re likely to enjoy having every kind of workout
equipment, a sauna, a lovely garden visited by a great variety
of song birds, and you’ll have many other perquisites, all
tailored to your interests and tastes. The downside of this
attractive setup is that you will not encounter a single other
human being, ever.
Since the alternative is to resign yourself to dying in a few
days, you’re about to take the Wiz up on this offer when he
tells you that you’ll never be able to leave this place. You
won’t age, you can’t get sick, but neither can you die. Any
attempt at suicide will be futile. How long you’ll continue to
exist in this paradise is unknown. “It could be forever,” the
Wiz says.
* *
23
Hmmm. The Wiz said that this new life might last forever, and
no suicide attempt would work. You’ve read that solitary
confinement has such a bad effect on people that many
consider it to be a form of torture. Taking the Wiz up on his
proposal might be fun for a while — you’d be living in luxury,
not in a jail cell — but it would take a toll on you. Over the
long run, it might indeed be like being tortured. It seems best
not to take a chance.
Having said that, it occurred to me that being dead is
solitary confinement too, though you’re not conscious of it.
On further reflection, I’m inclined to accept the Wiz’s offer.
I’m guessing that I could find enough human company in
books and movies and listening to human voices singing
even if only on recordings. Then again — alone forever? I
don’t know about that. I never thought eternal bliss could be
scary, but this form of it is.
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#6
Assuming that you choose the latter option, you have quite a
task ahead. According to the instruction manual for universe
creators that the Wiz has given you, your first step is to
decide whether you want to create a universe in which the
physical laws and parameters are such that life can emerge.
The Wiz informs you that the vast majority of universes are
flops. The laws of physics that obtain in them are such that
they either collapse or blow apart, sometimes within
milliseconds after they come into existence.
That’s no fun, you think. You want to have living
organisms in your universe.
“No problem,” the Wiz says, after reading your mind. He
gives you specifications for satisfactory physical laws and
parameters. You crank them in, and whoosh — you’re
witnessing your universe’s Big Bang.
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Fortunately, you can fast forward, so you don’t have to
wait several billion years, which is what it takes before life
starts evolving in even the most promising new universes. As
soon as that happens in your universe, reports begin
reaching you (thankfully much faster than at the speed of
light, which, from your divine standpoint, is exceedingly
sluggish). Proto-bacteria have appeared on thousands of
planets in one of the first galaxies to form. About a hundred
thousand trillion billion more proto-bacteria will form in
billions of your universe’s galaxies during the next few billion
years, and you won’t have to lift a finger to make it happen.
What have you wrought?
That’s not an idle question. Given that conditions in this
universe are quite similar to those in the universe you grew
up in, within another few billion years, and maybe sooner,
sentient creatures — animals — will appear and evolve.
You know that life has never been easy for most sentient
creatures that have lived on Earth. The philosopher Thomas
Hobbes said that, for people without a government, life is
poor, nasty, brutish, and short. That’s been the case for the
majority of humans through the ages. For animals with
smaller brains than ours, circumstances have been even
worse, which reminds me that the philosopher Arthur
Schopenhauer concluded that life is something that
shouldn’t have happened.
As the God of your universe, you have tremendous power,
but some weighty questions have been thrust upon you; for
example, in your universe do you want to have adorable-
looking animals similar to seals that have to go through their
lives in terror that at any moment they’ll be chewed to pieces
by the equivalent of a polar bear or a killer whale? And what
about people? A tiny percentage of people on Earth have
lived very well, but huge numbers have been no better off
than weasels and toads. Countless millions of humans have
spent their lives as slaves. Are you willing to let that happen
in your universe? You could be the agent causing thousands
of billions of creatures similar to people to spend much of
their lives in pain. You don’t want that! Is there a way to fix
your universe so that life isn’t as hard for creatures as it’s
been in your home universe?
Of course, echoing the philosopher, Gottfried Leibniz, you
could say, “Look, the planet Earth in the universe I grew up in
is the best of all possible worlds, so give me a break.” Or you
could be less crude and say, “What about all the great
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achievements of humans in art, music, and science? I’m not
going to stop that from happening in my universe!”
How are you going to make a better universe than the one
we’re in without it being boring, and is that even possible?
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#7
28
you help him). What a lucky U.A. he is to have you as his
avatar!
It won’t last. He stood up and is staring aimlessly out the
window, wishing for something but he’s not sure what.
The U.A. isn’t playing, but you feel yourself moving on the
board, walking on a path that runs along a cliff overlooking
the sea. This is remarkable. The overlords are playing the
game without bothering to have a human thinking he’s
playing it!
You pass a shabby white cottage. The front door is ajar.
Now you’ve stopped. The overlords have stopped playing
with you. At least it seems so. You’d like to go into the
cottage and see what’s there.
It’s a tough call. If I were the U.A.’s avatar, I’d want to see
what’s in the cottage. That’s what I’d advise: Try to find out
what’s inside; except suppose the overlords notice that
you’re moving by yourself: From their point of view, the game
would be having a malfunction. You could be deleted with a
click of one of their big pudgy fingers. (I don’t know if they
have big pudgy fingers — I’m just guessing.)
It’s probably best for you to play it safe and not move on
your own. You stand motionless, but, after a while, you
realize that you’re not moving — you don’t have the power to
move! You’re frozen in time. At least it seems that way—such
things happen. But thankfully it’s not as if the seemingly real
person that is you is frozen in time. It’s just you as an avatar.
The seemingly real you has escaped from the U.A.’s control.
You know this has happened because you are back in what
you think of as real life, except that you’re not in control of
your own will. Some force is tugging at you, moving you
toward the kitchen, making you feel like you want a snack.
You feel anticipatory pleasure.
Just as good and bad things can happen in a computer
simulation as in real life (if there is a real life, and we — all of
us — aren’t living in a computer simulation and aren’t able to
say anything about real life), it’s in seemingly real life and not
in a computer simulation that you have reached the kitchen.
You open the fridge door, or the overlords have caused you
to open the fridge door.
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Hmmm. Leftover chocolate layer cake. You take it out and
have a bite. You smile. It may only be simulated chocolate
layer cake, but it tastes real.
30
#8
Almost contented
I could be
'Mong such unique
Society.
31
#9
Had not for each of us the ball of the great cosmic roulette
wheel fallen in the slot marked homo sapiens, we might have
been born as members of a non-human species. We’re lucky
we aren’t cockroaches or some such unpleasant even-to-
think-about creature.
In my Choose Your Own Adventure book You Are a Shark,
I imagined that you the reader were successively one of
several animal species. (This was written before I’d heard of
Thomas Nagel’s famous essay “What Is It Like to Be a Bat?”)
To whatever extent one can imagine what it’s like to be
another species (not much, Nagel says), thinking about this
might make one appreciate being human. The lives of most
members of other species are not enviable. Imagine being a
member of a herd of impalas, one or two of which are picked
off by lions every few nights. It’s best, generally, to be at the
top of the food chain. That was true before humans came
along, at least. Early humans risked going hungry a lot, but
they didn’t have to worry as much about predators as
impalas do unless they were juveniles or well past prime,
though they faced other perils, for instance, snakes, disease-
bearing insects, and each other.
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hunting them, ships mowing them down, choking on plastics,
drinking polluted water and enduring human-made noise.
Ever since humans arrived on the scene, they have been
killing and abducting animals, enslaving them, breeding them
to their liking, and driving untold numbers of species into
extinction. it would seem better, as a general principle, to be
an animal living in prehuman times. Are there exceptions?
I’ve known dogs that had a pretty cushy life. Champion
racehorses in retirement are said to live well. When I was in
the Navy, I watched dolphins riding the bow wave of the ship
I was on. They were having a fine time. Elephants may, on
average, be more thoughtful than humans. If I were an
animal, I’d want to be a lucky one.
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#10
Here’s the Miracle Wizard again. The last thing he would ever
do is ask how things are going for you, or how your family is,
or talk about the weather. As usual, he jumps right in:
“If you tell me to wave my wand, you’ll start growing
younger at the same rate that you and everyone else have
been growing older. Before you decide if you want to do this,
there are certain aspects of this condition I want you to be
aware of. You may have seen the movie, The Curious Case of
Benjamin Button. If so, I don’t want you to be confused by it.
The title character in the movie was born having all the
features of an old man, and he aged backward throughout
his life. He’d never had a prior life, so he’d had no prior
experience even though he looked as if he had. In your case,
if you accept my offer to age backward, you’ll retain all the
memory and possess all the skills and knowledge that you’ve
acquired during your present life. As you grow younger, the
gap between your years of experience and those of everyone
else your age will increase at the rate of two years per year
because each year you grow a year younger, you gain a
year’s experience, and the people you become contemporary
with are all a year younger than the ones you were
contemporary with the previous year, so, on average, they
will have had a year’s less experience than the ones you
were contemporary with the previous year. To the extent that
experience imparts wisdom, you will grow increasingly wise
at a rapid rate compared to everyone else who is biologically
the same age you are in any particular year. Neat, don’t you
think?
“And keep in mind, you won’t be retracing the life you
lived in reverse. If, let’s say, you broke a leg at one point in
your life, there’s no reason to think you’ll break it again when
you’ve retro-aged to the age when it happened. But that
doesn’t mean your life will be risk free. You might not have
broken a leg last time, but break it this time.
34
older from the time you were born. Take your age right now
and count all the way back to a few months before you were
born. At that point, you’ll be too young to survive outside the
womb, and that’s when you’ll die if you haven’t died sooner
during the years when you were getting younger. How do you
feel about this? Would you be glad to have aging backward
happen to you?
If you are, say, about ten years old, you wouldn’t be happy at
this prospect. In two or three years you’ll be considerably
smaller and weaker. Your reading and math scores will be
way above average for your biological age — maybe off the
charts — but you’ll be too puny for your former friends, who
are now about twelve or thirteen, and your new seven-year-
old contemporaries will likely seem like the childish little kids
they are even though they’re the same size you are.
If you’re in your nineties, like me, this is a completely
different situation. Getting steadily younger will be a welcome
development. Instead of being in terminal decline, you can
expect many decades of increasing physical capability and
continuing progress in your career. Think how much more life
and work experience you’ll have had!
If all goes well, you’ll eventually have retro-aged long
enough so that you’ll be a teenager again (though you won’t
think like one), followed by slipping into pre-teen years and
having diminishing options. You’ll lose your driver’s license
because you can no longer see over the steering wheel and
your feet can’t reach the pedals. Sooner than you’d like,
you’ll face the dismaying future of the retro-aging ten-year-
old mentioned above.
Even while you’re still in your prime, your situation will be
problematical. Tensions are bound to arise as your spouse or
partner ages at the same rate you are retro-aging. Your
continuing chronological divergence with your former
contemporaries is likely to distance you from close friends, a
process that will become more pronounced every year. You
will lose a valuable bond with others because you won’t
share with them the common experience of aging. By the
time you’re a teenager, your old friends may find you too
young-looking to tolerate. The final year or two will be
comparable to the dementia you might suffer in old age. Who
will take care of you? Not your parents or uncles or aunts —
35
they will have died long before you retro-aged into being a
little kid.
Despite these limitations, for a lot of people, retro-aging,
like forward aging, could be good while it lasts.
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#11
37
thousand nautical miles. The donor will provide you with a
fully equipped, state of the art, thirty-six-foot overall length,
twenty-seven-foot waterline length, sloop with self-steering
capability and all supplies and provisions needed for getting
underway and whatever you need at reprovisioning stops.
He’ll also provide you with six-months intensive training in
ocean sailing and navigating by top experts before you set
out. Many people have accomplished such a voyage,
including ones in boats much less well-equipped and
supplied as yours will be. There are risks, of course, for
example, storms that no boat this size could survive, being
run down by a large ship, falling overboard, being attacked
by pirates, going off course and hitting a reef, becoming
seriously ill or injured with no medical assistance available,
and colliding with debris, like an empty shipping container as
happened to the character Robert Redford played in his solo
sailing trip in the movie All Is Lost. In the best of
circumstances, this voyage will be physically and emotionally
demanding.
38
summit turn back along the way. Some never make it back to
base camp. Perils include avalanches, falls, hypothermia,
dehydration, altitude sickness, and physical and mental
exhaustion.
Do you tell the Wiz that you’ll take on one of these four
assignments? If so, which one?
39
more attractive today because of advances in technical
equipment.
I think you’ll agree with me that the best decision wouldn’t
necessarily turn on which activity you prefer among sailing,
biking, mountain climbing, or living with a primitive rainforest
tribe. Other factors to consider are how long it would take to
complete your assignment, how much risk of death or
serious injury there is, and how much risk there is that you
couldn’t complete the assignment, in which case you would
have lost a year or two of college with no improvement in
your finances.
That’s one way of looking at this offer. But whichever
assignment you choose, even if you quit after completing
only part of it, you’ll have great training and a wonderful life
experience, one that would have been over-the-top
expensive if you’d had to pay for it yourself. In all four
possible cases, it’s bound to be educational — like taking a
great course in meeting challenges, developing skills, and
getting immersed in nature in a way that you never would
have otherwise.
Climbing Denali would be the easiest of these to complete
in a relatively short space of time, even including six months
of rigorous training and conditioning. Keep in mind, though,
that the risk of having to turn back and losing the chance to
make ten million dollars is probably the greatest for this one.
Biking from Prudhoe Bay to the southern tip of South
America could take over a year including training and
preparation.
Sailing around the world could take well over a year,
including training and outfitting and four weeks spent for
reprovisioning stops. Fear of loneliness or vulnerability might
be a deciding factor. On the upside, most of your time would
be spent in a relaxed state, with plenty of time for reading or
listening to audio books and contemplating the wonders of
the sea and the sky.
I would guess risk of death to be roughly the same in all
four ventures, and all four would be over-the-top great life
experiences, each worth embarking upon even if you weren’t
making ten million dollars. I suggest that you accept the Wiz’s
offer, following your instincts as to which assignment to take
on. Personally, I would try to climb Denali and hope I wouldn’t
be among the fifty percent who don’t make it to the top.
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#12
Imagine what your life would be like if you were still alive and
have reached the age of 125. You’re the oldest person in the
world, and the next oldest is only 117. You are able to walk
with a cane and engage in interesting conversations, your
mental faculties are intact, and you don’t look a day over
110.
You reside in an assisted living facility. Your hearing isn’t
good enough to enjoy music, and your eyes tire if you read
for more than a few minutes at a time. You have to be helped
getting into and out of the rocking chair where you spend
most of your time. All your contemporaries are dead. You
have no spouse or partner. All your progeny are dead or can’t
be located except for your great grand-daughter, Eliza, who
visits you a couple of times a year.
You are barely aware — and hardly care — that you’re an
international sensation. Doctors, physiologists, and other
specialists want to study you. They want to solve the mystery
of how you’ve been able to live so long. They offer to pay
you to cooperate with them. Not that you need the money.
You’re making a lot from product endorsements — the cereal
you eat, and everything about you, it seems, even the brand
of gin you used for making martinis before you quit for good
on your 120th birthday.
All this attention is nice in a way, but rather waring.
Eminent doctors who have examined you say that your heart
is weakening, you are maxed out on medications, and you
are too frail to survive a transplant. They say there’s no
chance you’ll live to be 130.
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* *
I would say, “Give me the pill,” except it occurs to me that
doctors might be able to learn something about the aging
process by continuing to study me. My extremely rare case
might offer clues that would lead to effective treatments to
slow aging. If I can be a useful subject for scientific study, it
would inject meaning in my life.
In your case, there’s your great grand-daughter, Eliza. Her
visits must be high spots in your life, and probably in hers
too. Maybe you can provide inspiration to her and have a
positive effect on her life. Come to think of it, maybe you can
have a positive effect on the lives of people who take care of
you. And, of course, that would go for me too if I were in your
position. That’s reason enough to hang on longer. If you have
a purpose in life, it’s worth living no matter how old you are.
You see:
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#13
43
this rate of acceleration becomes increasingly difficult. I’m
wildly guessing that reaching more than, say, seven percent
of light speed would be the limit of future human capability.
Assuming that you could keep accelerating at 1G until you
reached such a dazzling velocity, even if you could maintain
it indefinitely, it would take about sixty years to reach
Proxima Centura, the nearest star to the sun. This star
appears to have at least three planets. It would be nice to
land on the most attractive of them. It’s not likely to have
breathable air, but you could open the hatch, and keeping
your space suit on and fully secure, stretch and walk around
and admire the scenery, which you can be sure would be
thrilling to behold.
A technical problem to be dealt with on this fantastic
journey is that you would have to start slowing down when the
planet you’re planning to visit is billions of miles ahead of you.
This will delay your arrival time by several years. Otherwise,
you’d go by so fast you’d only see a blurry streak.
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#14
45
The aftermath of one’s death can be very burdensome for
others, but from the perspective of the deceased, sudden
death never happens. I would be happy to outwit death in
this fashion. That I had checked out and wouldn’t be
checking in again might be distressing for others, but it
wouldn’t be for me.
46
#15
You are shocked to learn that you have almost no time to live.
You can hardly think straight, but the Wiz has made you an
offer of continuing life as a fictional character made real, and
that’s worth considering. Closing your eyes to concentrate, you
try to recall the name of a character in a novel you’d be willing
to be if the events in it had become real.
Rarely does a novel follow a character through from birth to
death. We usually only learn what happened during an eventful
period of the protagonist’s life. Two famous novels come to
mind, James Joyce’s Ulysses and Virginia Woolf’s Mrs.
Dalloway, that chronicled the lives, respectively, of Leopold
Bloom and of Clarissa Dalloway through a single day. So
maybe I should pose my question this way:
47
incomparable adventure and lived to tell about it. Another
possibility I considered is Pierre, a principal character in
Tolstoy’s novel War and Peace. which I first read about seventy
years ago. I had remembered only that Pierre is a good-
hearted fellow and gets in on a lot of the action, so he seemed
like a promising candidate, but rereading the book last
summer, I was reminded how impulsive, naive, and easily
manipulated he is.
Early in the book, Pierre inherits an enormous fortune.
Unsurprisingly, becoming fabulously rich does not bring him
happiness. Over the course of hundreds of pages, he seeks
release from anxiety in “philanthropy, dissipation, freemasonry,
heroic feats of self-sacrifice, romantic love, and the ‘path of
thought.’” It takes being captured by the French, incarcerated
in miserable circumstances, witnessing an execution, and
almost being executed himself for him to appreciate the
empowering benefit of simple goodness, though that alone
doesn’t quite do it. As the book nears its end, he has entered
into what appears to be a reasonably happy marriage, but he
still seems to be searching for psychic self-satisfaction.
Rereading this sprawling novel, I felt sympathy for Pierre
and even some admiration, and would probably prefer to
continue living as him rather than be dead, but I’d want to find
a character in a novel with whom I feel more simpatico.
I had read A Farewell To Arms, by Ernest Hemingway, a few
years ago and remembered enough about it to think that the
hero / narrator of this novel, Frederic Henry, might be a
character come to life that I would be willing to be. I read it
again last summer to make sure. Like Hemingway, Frederic
Henry was an American and an ambulance driver in Italy during
World War I, the period when the novel is set. Henry had been
commissioned as a tenente, a lieutenant, in the Italian Army.
He is wounded, and he and a beautiful, witty, and wonderfully
spirited nurse named Catherine fall in love with each other.
Henry quickly recovers from his wounds and has some
thrillingly described adventures, including — to escape
pursuers — jumping into a swiftly flowing river and almost
drowning before grabbing hold of a log as he is swept
downstream. Later, with the ever so wonderful and beautiful
Catherine as a passenger and sustained only by occasional
swigs of brandy, he rows a boat thirty-five miles through rough
waters on a long lake on a dark and stormy night to get himself
and Catherine across the Swiss border so he won’t be shot for
deserting the Italian Army. Once settled in Switzerland,
Frederic’s and Catherine’s life together becomes so over-the-
48
top idyllic that one senses that things will go very badly before
the book ends, and they do, but our hero survives unscathed,
and by then I was so imbued with the Hemingway ethos that I
would be ready to be this guy if the Wiz said that I could be
after I die. Except maybe not, because, although Frederic
Henry’s liver is apparently intact when the book ends, I don’t
think it will be much longer, given the amount of brandy
(cognac), whisky, martinis, and great variety of wines he has
consumed at a rate averaging about two drinks per page and,
in view of the story’s tragic dénouement, seems likely to
increase after Hemingway finished writing about him. So here I
am, not sure of any character I’d like to be. I’d have to ask the
Wiz to give me time to read more novels, hoping to find the
right one.
49
was to be happy.” “She was not formed for ill-humor.” Her
philosophy was to “think only of the past as its remembrance
gives you pleasure.” Her father, speaking of “her lively talents,”
warned her that they “would place you in the greatest danger
in an unequal marriage.”
Not that she never erred! As a result of her
misapprehensions, she experienced painful recognition that
she had “prided herself on her discernment,” “acted
despicably,” “gratified her vanity,” “courted prepossession and
ignorance,” and “driven reason away.”
But how often her wisdom shines through! An example is
her observation that, “without scheming to do wrong, or to
make others unhappy, there may be error, and there may be
misery. Thoughtlessness, want of attention to other people’s
feelings, and want of resolution, will do the business.”
When the haughty and imperious Lady Catherine de Brough
tries to bully Elizabeth into declining the expected offer of
marriage on the part of Lady Catherine’s nephew, Elizabeth
meets her every argument, threat, and imprecation with élan:
“Has he, has my nephew made you an offer of marriage?”
“Your ladyship has declared it to be impossible!”
“It ought to be; it must be so, while he retains the use of his
reason. But your arts and allurements may, in a moment of
infatuation, have made him forget what he owes to himself and
his family. You may have drawn him in.”
“If I have, I shall be the last person to confess it.”
At this point, this grande dame of the Cotswolds
admonishes our heroine: “Ms. Bennet . . . do not expect to be
noticed by his family or friends, if you willfully act against the
inclinations of all. You will be censured, slighted, and despised
by everyone connected with him. Your alliance will be a
disgrace; your name will never even be mentioned by any of
us.”
“These are heavy misfortunes,” replied Elizabeth. “But the
wife of Mr. Darcy must have such extraordinary sources of
happiness necessarily attached to her situation that she could,
upon the whole, have no cause to repine.”
Nor should any woman, I imagine, who chooses to have her
next life be that of Elizabeth Bennet.
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#16
What Would You Say if You Could Talk to Your Earlier Self
When You Were at a Much Younger Age?
The Wiz tells you that you can spend half an hour with your
earlier self. He warns you that you will not be allowed to tell
your earlier self about anything that happened in your past
(your earlier self’s future) and that you should think carefully
about what you’re going to say.
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CHECKLIST
52
#17
53
better quality life because of the experience and wisdom you
gained during the life you lived earlier.
Given the circumstances that the Wiz laid out and your
personal situation, would you turn your clock back, and, if so,
to what point in your life would you turn it back to? How do
you think what you gained in knowledge and understanding
in the life you lived before would affect your attitude and
decision making when you’re living through years of your life
a second time?
54
professor? After turning the clock back, rather than majoring
in philosophy or public and international affairs, it’s possible
that I would have majored in biology. You can’t make
assumptions about how the years you’d be living over again
will turn out, or even about what kind of person you will be.
You have probably thought of things you would have done
differently, if you’d had the knowledge and insights you have
now. It might help heighten your awareness of what kind of
person you are and how you’ve changed over the years to
consider what they are. I feel as if I’m a whole different
person than I was “back then.” Who was that fumbling
bumbling character? I don’t feel I even know him, much less
was him, because, when I was him, I didn’t know myself.
If the Wiz offered me this chance to turn the clock back, I
might be too curious about how my second-chance life
would progress to turn it down. That’s true even though it’s
unlikely that in this second life I’d still be alive by the time I
reached the age I am now. You need above average luck to
live to be ninety-two.
55
#18
56
But Gonzalo would be more conventional than Lennon in
allowing possessions, so long as no one is either rich or
impoverished.
There’s no point in trying to think how either Lennon’s or
Gonzalo’s societies could work in practice. Neither of them is
a serious prescription for restructuring societies. Rather, they
express the age-old human yearning for a simple, peaceful,
equitable society sustained by universal good will, an
idealized civilization in which we are all spared the strictures
of the law, the harsh rivalries of nations, tribes and factions,
the cruel disparities that emerge in the progression of events,
and the raw imprint of warped religious and secular doctrines
on our lives.
57
#19
You are about to die, but the Wiz says that you can avoid
death if you’re willing to accept this offer. He says that, in his
opinion, existing in this computer is superior to luxurious
solitary confinement (thought experiment #5). You will be
physically isolated, it’s true, but you’ll have a multiplicity of
interrelationships with other brains — ones in artificially
intelligent computers and ones in human heads. You’ll have
plenty of input — full internet access, for example — and you
won’t be degraded by aging. You’ll get increasingly skilled,
learned, and capable. You’ll be a valuable asset to humanity.
You’ll have no physical desires. You’ll dine exclusively on
electricity. You won’t need to get out and move around. And
because you are such an extraordinary phenomenon, you’ll
be perfectly comfortable and get lots of supportive attention.
You will, of course, be tremendously intelligent — above
genius level in some respects, in large part because you’ll
benefit from extraordinary connectivity with other minds and
computers. You’ll have tremendous intellectual stimulation.
Your life will be far richer than that of most people who have
ever lived. The downside is that you’ll be deprived of
physical sensations and experiences. Activities that most
humans take for granted won’t be available. You’ll have only
a poignant memory of what it’s like to walk or run or dance or
do innumerable things that average humans can do.
58
* *
In a way, we are already confined in a very small place — in
our heads. When you experience something like the thrill of
gripping a tennis racket and swinging your arm in a graceful
arc and seeing the ball clear the net and strike a white line as
your opponent scrambles futilely to reach it, all that joyous
sensation of physicality and psychological uplift is happening
in your head. Still, it seems doubtful that thrilling sensations
that can be experienced on the tennis court or on the dance
floor, or even the agreeable sensation of walking down the
street, can be replicated in one’s disembodied brain.
Maybe some of those sensations that require the senses,
including the kinesthetic sense, can be artificially generated
the way hallucinations are in people whose brains are
supplying them without input from sensory organs. When I’m
barely waking up in a dark room with my eyes still closed,
I’ve experienced visual hallucinations that, though not
spectacular, are remarkable: I see textures in what seem to
be walls that surround me. Sometimes they resemble the
walls in my bedroom, except that they are covered with
wallpaper; sometimes they have intricate designs that my
brain has created, though I couldn’t possibly produce them
when I’m in a conscious, open-eyed state. Occasionally, as
I’m waking up, I “see” that I’m in a cavern with walls that
look like stucco.
As I imagine is the case with most people, my hallucinatory
powers are extremely limited. I can’t make vivid images
appear, nor can I make them disappear except by opening my
eyes and letting light break the spell. Oliver Sacks, in his
fascinating book Hallucinations (2013), describes a great
variety of hallucinations, many of them far more wide-ranging
than I’ve experienced. Sacks says that some people can hear
music playing “in which every note in a piece, every instrument
in an orchestra, is distinctly heard.”*
That must be an interesting experience for them, and the
life you would have if your brain is uploaded into the Wiz’s
computer would be much richer than that. Nonetheless, if
you decide to take a chance on uploading your brain into a
computer — even one provided by the Miracle Wizard —
don’t count on replicating physical experiences that
embodied people like us tend to take for granted.
Would a strictly intellectual life suffice? For people like
me, and probably you, it’s hard to see how it would, but for
the super brain you would be if you were a brain in this
computer, it might be all you want or need. Someone once
59
asked Bobbie Fischer, the chess genius, “Do you think life is
like chess?” He replied, “Life is chess.” Since a brain in a
computer is capable of playing championship chess, Fischer
might have been satisfied being one. Without the distractions
of physical life, he might be able to beat not only all the
grandmasters, but the best chess-playing computers as well.
As a brain in a computer, if you have the right inputs,
connections, and resources, you might function on a level
beyond the reach of anyone else in the world. You’d be
confined, but you could still have a rich full satisfying life. I
would welcome a chance to have that experience, but I’d
want to be able to turn myself off.
__________________
* Oliver Sacks; Hallucinations (2013); P. 67; Vintage Books
60
#20
The Wiz told you that it was about to happen, and you know
he wasn’t kidding when you find yourself, still remembering
the life you were living in the twenty-first century, but
transported to a cave in France 30,000 years ago.
Fortunately, your companions aren’t stereotypical dull-witted
cave people walking around carrying thick wooden clubs. Au
contraire. Most of them are pretty sharp. There’s an artist in
the clan who has been drawing pictures of antelopes on the
walls with charcoal. Light from flickering fires make them
seem almost real.
You don’t have to worry about seeming foreign to the
others. You’re wearing animal skins like everyone else. The
Wiz instantly briefed you on your clan’s culture and who
everyone is, and made sure you can speak and understand
their language, which has become your second language.
Everyone regards you as belonging to the clan, and you feel
secure because you have a job, in fact two jobs: One is
hunting for small game with a bow and arrows of your own
making. Your other job is to be a storyteller.
Late in the afternoon you arrived, DeZog, the chief of the
clan, takes you aside.
“Hunting and gathering were good today,” he says.
“Tonight, we feast. Afterwards, I want you to tell a good
story.”
He grins and gives you a poke in the ribs. It hurts, but
you know you shouldn’t complain.
What sort of story will you tell your fellow cave people?
61
“A prophet?” I said. “Does that mean you can tell what
happens in the future?”
“It does,” said the eagle / prophet. `
“Wonderful,” I said. “Tell, me then, what will happen, not
just tomorrow, but after hundreds of lifetimes of winter snows
have covered the ground and melted away. Tell me now.”
Then I would say to the people gathered around, “The
eagle talked to me for such a long time that I went to sleep
listening to it. When I woke up, it was gone, but I could
remember every word it said to me, as if everything it had
said was what I had known all along.”
Then I would tell about some things that will happen
during their future — during the next 30,000 years — and
one thing I would say that the eagle told me is that far, far, in
the future, people will fly, and they will fly higher and faster
and longer than eagles do today, so high and so fast, that
some of them would land on the moon.
Because of the extraordinary things I would tell everyone,
I might become a legend. The members of my clan might
come to think that I was a god. It’s also possible that they
would come to think that I was a nut, making up such
ridiculous impossible tales.
62
#21
The Wiz really came through for you with this one. He says
that your the Super Advanced A.I. Machine (SAAI) he’s
providing you with is able to fully inform itself, take all facts
and circumstances into account, weigh pros and cons, and
analyze all possible results in the light of your values and
principles, or, to be more precise, in the light of the values
and principles it has decided you have after analyzing
everything about you so thoroughly that it knows you better
than you know yourself.
This unprecedentedly amazing device is, of course,
connected to the World-Wide Super General Artificial
Intelligence Net and continually upgrades itself and informs
you of what you need to know in a millionth of the time it
would take hundreds of PhDs to research and reflect on the
matter and advise you, and it invariably produces the best
possible decision. You won’t have to spend energy thinking
about anything before acting or deciding not to act. This
SAAI machine will do it for you.
“Believe me,” the Wiz says, “It won’t take long before
you’ve made super smart decisions that you wouldn’t have
made on your own — you’ll see stunning results almost as
soon as you start using it. Your SAAI is going to give you a
great lift in life.
What would you do with your SSAI machine? How would you
use it?
63
studies, travel, engage in politics, or take up some other
pursuit.
Wondering where to go on your next vacation? Maybe
visit Italy or Greece? Or would you be happier getting in
touch with the natural world? How about a canoe trip on the
Allagash River in Maine? Maybe you should visit Glacier
National Park, in Canada — see the glaciers while they’re still
there. No need to puzzle over what would be most
rewarding: Your SAAI knows best.
It’s weird to think about it, but this SAAI is so good that it
will make as good or better decisions than you could make
on your own every single time you consult it. You could let it
make all your decisions, knowing that it would never ever go
wrong!
I can see how this SAAI might work beautifully for me.
Thanks to my incredibly improved decision making, within a
few minutes, I’d get a novel I wrote revised to perfection, and
within a few more minutes, SAAI would turn out a screenplay
based on it that would be destined to be an Oscar-winning
movie. I could make a huge amount of money in the stock
market. It wouldn’t be long before countless little things
would be going better for me than could otherwise happen.
That’s a nice fantasy, but it’s just as likely that I’d feel that
something is wrong. I might start wondering why I’m not
happier. I might think I could use SAAI for everything, but
then realize that doing so would reduce me to being a
zombie or a robot because I would only be doing what the
SAAI machine told me to do. I wouldn’t be a free agent,
making my own decisions, which is a requisite of leading a
rich, full, satisfying life. To avoid that unappetizing fate, I
would probably try to make decisions based on my own
reasoning, as one would with the aid of an ordinary computer
—keeping my SAAI machine at arm’s length and considering
in each important instance whether its “correct decision” is
or is not right for me. Except, wouldn’t that lead me back to
where I was, groping my way through life, and with the
added worry that all the people who are doing what their
SAAIs are telling them to do are passing me by?
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#22
“I think you’ll like this one,” the Wiz says. “You’ll live out your
present life. I’m not authorized to tell you how long that will
be, but I can say that your life expectancy won’t be affected
in the slightest by the decision you’re about to make. You
must choose now: After you die, you can either stay dead or
make an irrevocable choice to resume living at the age you
are now (not the age at which you die) one thousand years in
the future.”
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perceive it, but a blur of colors and shapes. It takes them a
long time before their brains can make sense of what those
who were never visually impaired take for granted.
It might be beyond the capacity of most of us to make
sense of what’s going on if we found ourselves living a
thousand years from now: It might require skills and
understanding that can only be attained if cultivated from an
early age. I can’t begin to guess what life might be like if A.I.-
enabled-robots do everything that people used to do.
Homo Sapiens may be extinct, in which case, if you could
be transported to that time — to a habitable part of the
planet — you might be overwhelmed with sadness at how
our species flourished, proliferated, and transformed Earth,
eventually causing our technologically dependent civilization
to spin out of control, so that you are witness to the end, or
the near end, of the human saga. If afterwards, you could
return to your own place and time, you might become an
activist, doing what you can to set history on a course in
which more people act rationally and the course of events
plays out more agreeably.
If you were transported to the thirty-first century and
looked around, you might find that enough humans had
acted sensibly until artificial intelligence got so it could do
everything, including maybe some stuff so unexpected that
no one can figure out what the grand plan is that the A.I.
machines have in mind, and we humble members of the
human species aren’t even trying to figure it out. If that’s how
things are a thousand years from now, when you arrive there,
you might find that everyone is sitting around doing what
looks like nothing from your perspective until it dawns upon
you that they are living in virtual reality land.
In his little book Night Thoughts, Wallace Shawn tells of
reading The Pillow Book of Sei Shonagon and of the appeal
to him of the life it describes of gentle folk in ancient Japan
who seemed to have nothing to do but recline on pillows and
write letters and poems to each other. Such a life might be
possible once A.I. takes care of everything, but I doubt if
Shawn, or any of us, would find it satisfying. Not for long.
And, of course, it’s far from assured that the course of history
will follow such a trajectory. Life in the thirty-first century may
consist of misery and little else.
The more I think about it, the more I’m filled with
apprehension. I can imagine arriving there, a thousand years
in the future, and wanting to get in on the action, or inaction,
but it doesn’t work out that way. I get to be in future land, but
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don’t learn anything about future land because it’s so
different from our own, and there’s no chance to decide what
you want in these circumstances. Thinking for oneself may
not be the way things are done.
There’s certainly a risk that you would find yourself in a
brutal situation, maybe a lot worse than if you had
rematerialized thirty thousand years in the past. The Wiz
didn’t say whether A.I. machines would rule the Earth, or
insects, or bacteria, or whether you might freeze or fry, or
experience some other form of immediate, or agonizingly
slow, cessation of existence.
It’s totally understandable if you decide not to risk being
transported to one thousand years in the future. As for me,
despite all these weighty considerations and awareness that
I may instantly regret it, I’m too curious to see what it’s like to
say, “Thanks but no thanks.’ Instead, I’d exclaim: “I’ll go for
it, Wiz. After I die, bring me back to life a thousand years
from now.”
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#23
Do you tell the Wiz you’d like to see how things look fourteen
billion years in the future?
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that if you could go far enough –– by about ten to the
hundredth power (one followed by one hundred zeros) years
from now –– you would find that star formation has ceased
and galaxies have gone dark.
“Even black holes will have evaporated through a
process known as Hawking radiation” he says. “Nothing will
be left but subatomic particles. The expansion of space will
cool this vast amount of matter/energy to nearly zero kelvin
(absolute zero), signaling the heat death of the universe and
near total entropy (maximum disorder).
“It’s time to return you to your own time. I’ll leave you with
one final thought: If it is true, as some scientists believe, that
all matter will disappear, even though it will take an
astronomically longer time than fourteen billion years for that
to happen, if you could travel that far ahead in time and
regain consciousness when you arrive, the time that passed
in the meantime would feel shorter than the day.”
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#24
* *
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If you were John Marcher, would you be glad that you’d had
this epiphany or would you prefer not to have had it?
If Marcher had been nearing the end of his life, it might have
been best if he had been spared such an emotionally searing
revelation, but he presumably has many years ahead of him.
If that’s the case, if I were he, I’d prefer to have the epiphany,
painful as it is, because without it, I would only lack pain
because I remained numb. My chances for being happy and
making others happy would be diminished without the
enlightenment that Marcher — despite his anguish — was
lucky enough to have.
I can imagine how Gabriel Conroy, another decent man,
felt in the aftermath of what in one respect was an eerily
similar epiphany in James Joyce’s short story, “The Dead.”
After Gabriel and his wife, Greta, return from a family
Christmas party to the hotel room where they are staying,
Greta is distant and distracted. In response to Gabriel’s
questions, she explains that a song that was sung at the
party, “The Lass of Aughrim,” was the same one that a boy,
Michael Furey, sang when she knew him in their youth. She
says that she and Michael Furey went on walks together, that
he was a gentle boy, that he was in declining health, and that
one evening, seemingly because he knew he wouldn’t see
her again — though it was a cold and rainy — he went to her
grandmother’s house, where she was staying, and threw
gravel against her window to let her know he was there. She
went down and told him that he must go home; that he
“would get his death in the rain.” He replied that he didn’t
want to live. A few days later, she learned that he had died.
After recounting this incident, Greta, overcome with
emotion, threw herself on the bed, sobbing. Gabriel, stunned,
realizes that “he had never felt like that himself towards any
woman, but he knew that such a feeling must be love.”
As was the case with John Marcher, in Henry James’s
story, Gabriel Conroy had a belated and painful epiphany,
one that may have awakened in him the capacity to love.
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#25
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he is now. Similarly, future events in Strawson’s life will relate
to another self than the self Strawson is now.
After reading this, I thought, maybe I should start looking
at my life differently than as a narrative. I’m unhappy with my
former self, so disassociating myself from him (it?) has
considerable appeal. Maybe, like Strawson, I should cease
being interested in my former self. It’s what my present self is
like that counts. No need to think about my future self either.
This would seem to work pretty well. If you see any flaws in
your present self, you can disassociate yourself from them
simply by deciding to become another self or at least
initiating the process of becoming another self. There’s a lot
to be said for saying, “What I care about, insofar as I care
about myself and my life, is how I am now.”
Can you honestly stop thinking of your life as a narrative?
I guess so, if you think of your personal history as nothing
but a sequence of events. Even a mediocre novel (narrative)
should have more going for it than that.
Suppose, as in my case, you don’t like or admire your
former self. If you see your life as a narrative, then that
former self is you –- you can’t get rid of it. The more I thought
about it, the more I didn’t want anything to do with the non-
admirable self I regarded myself as having been. I decided to
cut ties with my former selves completely and adopt
Strawson’s view and look at my life as non-narrative
transient. You can’t change the past, but you can change the
present. My only self is the self I am now, and the right
philosophy is to concentrate on trying to be the best new self
I can be every day.
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#26
Would You Opt To Live Your Life Over Again After You Die —
the Exact Same Life?
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think about it, because thinking about it raised another
question on my mind: If you wouldn’t want to repeat your
exact same life, does that mean, if you’re logically consistent,
that you would prefer not to have been born?
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#27
Would You Want to Live Your Life Over Again after You
Die — Beginning with the Same Circumstances at Birth,
but Because of Chance Variations, It Will Play Out
Differently.
Would you opt for living your life over again after you die, with
no memory of the life you’re living now, and considering that,
although your initial circumstances will be the same or almost
the same as they were the first time you were born, this time
your life might be very different?
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* *
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#28
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used for making other tools, and that they may have had a
“proto-language.” It would seem that they could perform a
variety of useful tasks if forced to. It’s reasonable to assume
that they could be economically useful as slaves.
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A quarter of the way through the twenty-first century,
more humans seem to be learning that not only deliberate
but even incidental cruelty to animals is wrong. The issues to
be resolved in formulating policies governing our interactions
with members of Homo erectus would be a catalyst for
serious thinking about how we treat our fellow creatures and
how we treat each other.
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#29
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#30
* *
Are you more curious than hesitant to spend some time being
an intelligent, self-aware reasoning creature made of dark
matter?
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Good news: Just as the Wiz promised, he transformed you
into an advanced “person” made of dark matter, and you find
yourself standing on a pleasant meadow on a well-situated
dark matter planet. It’s nighttime and you are dazzled by the
stars overhead. They are in the same galaxy you were in
before — the one known as the Milky Way — but there are
five times as many of them shining down on you as there
ever are in Earth’s night sky. It never gets completely dark on
this dark matter planet except on nights when dark matter
stars are blocked by dark matter clouds.
You know that none of this vast number of stars overhead
could be the sun. Even if the sun were as close to your dark
matter planet as it is to Earth, you couldn’t see it, because
you are made of dark matter and can’t detect anything made
of regular matter.
Fortunately, the Wiz invested you with fluency in the dark
matter creatures’ language, so you’re able to have an
extended conversation with one of them. You ask her what
scientists on her planet think of regular matter.
“Do you mean dark matter?” she says. “We know it exists;
and we know there’s about one-fifth as much of it as there is
of regular matter. We just don’t know what the hell it is.”
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#31
The Wiz tells you that if you’re willing to have the rest of your
life last ten percent shorter than it would be otherwise, he’ll
spend the next few hours that are convenient for you
describing the future history of humans and answering
important questions scientists have about the universe.
Among the things you’ll learn is when our species will
become extinct or evolve into another species, and how and
when this will happen; what effect the development of
artificial intelligence will have on humanity; what if anything
happened before the “Big Bang” with which our universe
came into existence; how our universe will continue to
evolve; whether there are other universes besides our own,
or have been in the past, or will be in the future; what the
nature is of ultimate reality (to the extent it’s comprehensible);
and if, and to what extent, there is life in outer space, and, if
so, whether there are forms of life as intelligent or more so
than humans, and where they are, what they are like, and
whether they will ever make contact with us.
Are there questions you have that I haven’t thought of?
The Wiz will answer all of them, as long as you’re willing to
pay the price of having a ten-percent-shorter lifespan ahead
of you.
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so I’m inclined to accept the Wiz’s offer, even though I’m 92
and need every bit of future life expectancy I can get.
I realize that if you are young when you have this choice,
it’s not any easier. For example, suppose you are, say, twenty
years old. Assuming that you take good care of yourself, you
have a good chance of living seventy years more. Ten
percent of that is seven years. That’s a lot to blow off just to
learn what happens when you could read a dozen
speculative fiction books and get several conceivable futures
laid out in them, and they might be more interesting than
what will really happen.
I’ve tried to set forth the arguments for and against
accepting this offer, but I’m not even going to think about it.
For me, getting answers to key scientific questions and
knowing what will happen to our species before it becomes
extinct is almost like living that long. What a gift, one worth
my giving up a few months for, or possibly a whole year.
Oh, oh. I was about to go on to describing the next thought
experiment when I heard the Wiz whispering in my ear:
“If you take me up on this offer, you’re going to wish that
you hadn’t when your ten-percent-shorter life is about to end.”
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#32
86
At this point you still don’t know whether you’ll have a
continuously wonderful life if you open the door, but you do
know that the Wiz is no longer being equivocal. He said that
he wasn’t required to say anything more, but he chose to do
so. That means that he wouldn’t have said that this is a
once-in-a-lifetime opportunity unless he was trying to tell you
that you’ll be happy if you open the door.
The only question is whether you can trust him. Is it
possible that he wants to trick you into opening the door and
having the rest of your life be miserable? You and the Wiz
have gotten to know each other pretty well by now. He has
been a little tricky at times, and sometimes he seems to
enjoy keeping you in suspense, but I don’t see the slightest
indication that he is malicious. I think you can be confident
that he is telling the truth, that he’s trying to tell you that the
rest of your life really will be continuously wonderful if you
open the door. If I were you, I’d feel that it’s safe to do so.
I should say, however, that I have a major reservation. It’s
not about the Wiz. It’s about the prospect of a “continuously
wonderful life.” A lot of what makes life rewarding is meeting
challenges and overcoming obstacles. Doesn’t that mean
that there have to be occasional discontinuities in happiness
to have a happy life? Might it be that a continuously
wonderful life would be boring?
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#33
What has the Wiz done this time!? It’s been two days now,
and you haven’t seen a single other person. You haven’t
been able to reach anyone on the phone, the internet is
dead, and there’s nothing on TV or the radio. At first, you
thought there had been a cyber attack, but the real shocker
was when you went outside, and some cars and a truck were
stopped on your street and two others had gone off the road
and come to rest on the sidewalk, and another had crashed
into a tree, all this with not a soul in sight.
You tried to keep calm and got in your car and drove
around and soon found cars and trucks crashed everywhere
and still not a person dead or alive, as if everyone but you
had vanished into thin air.
You drove further afield, but everywhere it was the same,
and in some places, cars and trucks had jammed up the road
completely, especially if they had stopped for a traffic light
and, before it turned green, all the drivers and passengers
had disappeared, so that every vehicle just sat where it was
or kept moving until it crashed into another one or something
else.
You filled your car and some jugs with gasoline so you
could drive greater distances and not rely on gas station
pumps working, but you soon found that you had to keep
backing up because the road ahead was blocked with stalled
cars and wrecks, still none with any people in them. You had
to fight off panic and go back home and try to think what to
do and make sure you hadn’t gone insane. Despite the
terrible shock, you’re sure you’ll still sane, because
everything is rational and makes sense except for the
complete absence of any other human being.
You don’t have a cat or dog — you feel badly thinking of
all the ones that may be dying of thirst or starving. It makes
you wish that they had disappeared too. Maybe they did. You
haven’t heard any barking or seen any pets.
You try to calm yourself and think clearly. You’re not in
immediate danger — there’s a practically unlimited quantity
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of non-perishable food in supermarkets. As far as you can
tell, you can drive as far as you want in any direction.
Whenever you’re blocked by permanently backed-up traffic,
you can walk to the head of the line and find an unblocked
vehicle with the key in it and continue your trip. The biggest
problem you have is the heaviness that’s come over you.
You’re beginning to think you’re insane after all.
How will you handle this situation? Do you feel any hope for
what the future holds? Do you have a strategy?
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#34
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participate in efforts to ensure sustainable long-term
ecosystems and resources; to prevent civilization-threatening
catastrophes, such as nuclear war, bio-terrorism, and out-of-
control artificial general intelligence; and to defend and
preserve democratic and humanitarian institutions and
processes. That will help future people and us too.
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#35
What three famous writers, dead or alive, would you have join
you for dinner if you had the chance, and why would you
make these particular choices?
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can never detect that he was expressing his personal opinion
through one of his characters. I’m doubtful that he would
open up about them at my little dinner party. For that reason,
if I had the chance to talk to him, I’d ask him if he had kept
up on the course of history during the four centuries since he
died, and if he had, I’d ask what his opinion is of some major
figures during that span and whether comparisons might be
drawn between some of them and certain characters in his
plays.
I hope my invitation would also be accepted by Joseph
Campbell, a prominent 20th century expert on comparative
mythology, two of whose lectures I attended. Campbell
emphasized how the same basic themes could be found in
the mythological traditions of disparate cultures throughout
the world. This was the idea for his most well-known book —
The Hero with a Thousand Faces. Surprisingly — and
probably the basis of much criticism directed at him — he
was irked by the mythology enshrined in the Bible. In what
may have been the last recorded interview of Campbell
before he died, in 1987, he replied to a question about the
Bible by the interviewer, Fraser Boa, “Ach, the Bible. It’s a
compendium of all the mistakes ever made in translating the
symbolic into historical.” Boa failed to follow up on this
radical assertion. Perhaps he thought the subject was too
large or too delicate to pursue. I would question Campbell at
length on this if he’d be willing to attend my dinner party.
As for my third guest, I would ask that most perspicacious
observer of the human animal, Marcel Proust, had he not
covered so much in his six-volume-long (in my edition) novel,
In Search of Lost Time, that I doubt if he would have much to
add to it. I thought that a good alternative to Proust might be
James Joyce, but then I realized that I might be bedazzled
and befuddled by a stream of cryptic references and
lexicographical oddities that he would conjure up to amuse
himself.
Maybe I would think of someone else. Otherwise, I’d
probably settle for the company of the Dalai Lama. I’d like to
ask him what’s required to obtain bodhichitta, which he
defines as having “a good heart imbued with wisdom.”
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#36
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it’s a comfort to have around –- that will always be there, like
a big shaggy dog that will come over for a pat when you
summon it. Such a book is Kingsley Amis’s classic novel
Lucky Jim, a work that I’ve reread several times as an aid to
preserving mental equilibrium.
Jim Dixon, the anti-hero of Amis’s mid-twentieth century
novel, is a lazy, irresponsible, marginally competent young
history instructor at a second- or third-rate British university.
He’s not above playing pranks and concocting outrageous
fabrications, and he is rightly fearful that he will be sacked at
the end of the term. He smokes too many cigarettes (even by
1950s standards), he drinks too much alcohol, and he shirks
every type of responsibility as much as he can get away with;
in fact, more than he can get away with. He is lucky indeed
to end up with a pretty girl and a desirable job. Except it’s
not just luck that gets him through –– he has a basic integrity,
an entrenched refusal to be phony and pretentious, marks of
nearly everyone else around him. He deserves the pretty girl.
As for the job he’s offered after being justly dismissed from
his position at the university, admittedly, as his new employer
tells him, he has no qualifications for it, but more important,
he has no disqualifications.
Even the quietest life you could construct can be full of
surprises and challenges. That’s why I could imagine living in
a world as narrowly circumscribed as that of Bertie Wooster
in one of P. G. Wodehouse’s accounts of him, such as Right
Ho, Jeeves! (Jeeves is Bertie’s astonishingly astute butler.)
Reading one of these books will draw you into a dreamy
state in which illness, aging, crime, poverty, war, natural or
human-made disasters except for a chipped tea saucer or
the occasional impositions of a fussy aunt or other such
feather-weight adversities are rarely so much as mentioned,
everyone is well-fed, well-clothed, and well-cared for, free of
illnesses and other infirmities, and in which our narrator,
Bertie Wooster himself, when he’d rather be sitting in a
comfortable chair at his club gazing out the window while
quaffing an agreeable beverage, is subjected to only the
most inconsequential difficulties one could imagine.
How can reading such stuff not be boring? Chalk it up to
the genius of Mr. Wodehouse, a rummy author if there ever
was one, as attested to by Evelyn Waugh on the back cover
of one my copies: “Mr. Wodehouse’s idyllic world can never
stale. He will continue to release future generations from
captivity that may be more irksome than our own.”
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I don’t think I’d go crazy during a year-long confinement if
Right Ho, Jeeves or Lucky Jim was the only book I could
bring, but at the last moment, having no more time to think
about it, I’d probably play it safe and bring the Bard.
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#37
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wise to ask for something not too distant from what I think of
as over-the-top experiences I’ve had in life.
Probably the best among these happened to me about
thirty years ago: Swimming about a hundred yards off the
beach in Kealakekua Bay in the Big Island of Hawaii, I
became almost completely surrounded by spinner dolphins. I
felt no fear –– I had never heard of an attack on humans by
dolphins –– but I sensed that I had invaded their territory. I
began leisurely backstroking toward the beach. Though none
of the dolphins approached within perhaps twenty yards,
they continued to monitor me. I knew that what was going
through their minds was the same as was going through
mine: curiosity. More than anything else, I think it was that
feeling of kinship — that our similarity seemed greater than
our differences — that made this a peak experience for me.
So what have I never experienced but might rival that as a
peak moment? I’m sure I could think of dozens if I took the
time for it. For starters, how about skiing at breakneck speed
down Le Face de Bellevarde; Val d'Isere, France.
That would be good for starters, though it would probably
be for finishers too, with my completing the run on a
toboggan guided by la patrouille de ski.
As an alternative, especially in view of my advanced age, I
would probably be wise to settle for rereading descriptions of
the most outstanding peak experiences I’m aware of, all
conveniently compiled in the classic New Yorker story by
James Thurber, “The Secret Life of Walter Mitty.”
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#38
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less likely to live it to the full. I’ll be living a lie even though I
won’t know it. Thinking about such an existence gives me
the creeps. “No thanks, Wiz,” I’d say. “I’m not going
compromise my life for an illusion.”
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#39
Imagine that if your Uncle Harry had not paid for your
education, you wouldn’t have been able to graduate from
college and embark on a promising career. Harry was a
widower and had no children, and the two of you were quite
close despite one big difference — he was a very pious man,
and you are not.
When you heard that he been suddenly taken ill and had
only a few days to live, you made sure to visit him. You
wanted to say goodbye and let him know how much his
kindness and generosity meant to you and what a difference
it made in your life.
When you saw him, you were shocked by how ill he
looked, but relieved that he was still clear-headed and quite
talkative.
Among other acts of devotion, Harry unfailingly spent ten
minutes each day performing a ritual he felt was of sacred
importance. You’ve kept the written instructions he gave you
for it. To please him, you even learned the chants and
prayers it involved, but you never practiced it yourself.
A couple of days after you visited him, you got a call
informing you that he might not live through the night. You
immediately went again to see him. In what seemed like his
last breaths, he asked you to promise that you would carry
out the same, daily, ten-minute ritual that he always had, and
that you would try to never miss a day for the rest of your life.
You felt that this was no time to equivocate, so you said,
“I promise I will, Harry.”
“That means so much to me,” he murmured. “Now I can
die in peace.”
To your amazement, there was a smile on his face, half an
hour later, as he passed away.
It has been a month since Harry died, and every day since
then you’ve carried out the ritual. You’ve spent about five
hours on it so far. That will translate into about sixty hours a
year. You often have to fit this ten-minutes in when it’s
inconvenient, like when you’re tired and want to go to bed. It
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has no religious significance to you. You get no spiritual uplift
from it. It won’t do anything for Harry. It makes no sense to
keep it up.
Still, you did promise him, and he probably wouldn’t have
died with a smile on his face if he hadn’t thought that it was a
promise you would keep.
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#40
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#41
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#42
105
with A’s bright and delightful five-year-old daughter.
Person A is also in a difficult and unhappy marriage that’s
been going downhill and probably hasn’t long to last.
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the possibility of living C’s life and becoming a famous artist,
but I’m not keen on being C.
Person A has an unhappy marriage and appears to be
headed for a divorce, but A’s career looks interesting and
promising. I suspect that A’s next romantic relationship will
be a big improvement. It bodes well that A and A’s daughter
have a close relationship, and that this daughter is bright and
delightful. She’ll probably be a great joy to A throughout A’s
life. That A is an accomplished jazz pianist and presumably
knocks out great stuff at the keyboard clinches it for me. I’d
tell the Wiz, “I’ll choose to be Person A.”
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#43
How do you feel when you learn that in three minutes, history
will change in such a way that you will never have been born?
I think that when I die, family members and friends will feel
sad, and I don’t like to think of an event happening that
makes anyone unhappy. That wouldn’t be a problem
if I’d never been born. On the other hand — and far more
important — if I had never been born, my children and
grandchildren would never have been born. They would have
been deprived of their lives. And they would have been
deprived of the good they have done and will do, for that is
their character.
As for people for whom such considerations aren’t
applicable, once they are dead, it would seem to make little
difference whether they had been born or not, except that it
would make a difference if during their lives they had brought
more happiness than unhappiness to the world. It would
matter whether they had made the world a better place or a
worse one. If the former, it would be a tragedy if they had
never been born. If the latter, it would be just as well.
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#44
109
Instead, he grins and says, “This situation reminds me of the
British philosopher Derrick Parfit. I don’t remember the
details, but I know he did some kind of calculation from
which it appeared that if your goal is to have the most
happiness in the world, it’s logical to have a great number of
people who are barely happy than a much smaller number of
people who are very happy. He said that he had reached a
“repugnant conclusion.”
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#45
The Wiz just dropped by to see you, but he doesn’t have any
pronouncements to make or deals to offer. He says he’s
curious as to how you would answer the question posed
above. “I didn’t think it up; some philosopher did,” he tells
you. “I can’t answer it. Maybe you could.”
Do you answer the question the Wiz put to you (and if so,
how?), or do you say, “I’ve had enough of arguments that
lead to repugnant conclusions, and same goes for repugnant
questions.”?
I’m with you if you chose the second option, but this
particular repugnant question caused me to think of a
question about a repugnant situation: Would it be worth it to
impose modest additional taxes on one thousand billionaires
to finance tax credits that will lift and keep ten million
children out of poverty?
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#46
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#47
113
if everyone believed that Sapolsky and his fellow determinists
are right: that independent free will is an illusion; that, in fact,
our decisions are caused by our brain states, which in turn are
caused by a complex interaction of our genes, experience,
environment, and random processes and events, all subject to
the laws of physics.
114
view the world. There are those who believe that general
acceptance that free will is an illusion would precipitate moral
disintegration. I hold what I suspect is a minority view: that it
would tend to increase compassion, foster equanimity,
temper egoism, and help cultivate a sense of acceptance of
the human condition; that people would, on average, behave
better. Admittedly, such an idealized reaction might only
occur in a world in which Rovelli’s sensibilities, rather than
those of the fisherman, prevail.
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#48
* *
116
Wouldn’t one feel diminished without a sense of self?
Wouldn’t lacking a sense of self erode motivation, self-
confidence, and one’s sense of self-worth? These questions
weren’t addressed specifically in the interview, but I think
that Garfield’s answer to them, which I would agree with, is
clear: You can feel more genuinely self-confident and
strongly motivated once you have rid yourself of the illusion
of self.
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#49
Imagine that you are a judge, and you must decide whether
to release a man from prison. The individual involved, John
Dozemeyer, was convicted of beating a man to death with a
crowbar five years ago. At the time, Dozemeyer had a
reputation of being an erratic, impulsive, and sometimes
violent individual. A neighbor said of him, “He made me
nervous the way he’d look at me.”
Dozemeyer was sentenced to life imprisonment with no
possibility of parole, but his lawyer claims that he should be
released from prison because he is not the same person as
the person who committed the crime.
Examining the record, you see that two months after
Dozemeyer started his term of imprisonment, he had a brain
tumor removed, and that after recovering from the operation,
he manifested a radically altered personality. Instead of being
threatening and unnerving, he became completely rational
and accommodating — a model prisoner in every way. He
became known for teaching fellow prisoners computer skills,
enabling many of them to get jobs after they were released.
Dozemeyer’s lawyer’s claim that he was now a different
person was backed up by prison officials and two
psychiatrists who examined the record and interviewed him
at length. Even the prosecutor and members of the victim’s
family have urged that Dozemeyer be released, given the
unusual circumstances of the case.
As a judge, you feel bound by the law, which mandates a
sentence of life imprisonment without parole. You would like
to be able to release Dozemeyer from incarceration, but see
no legal basis for doing so unless you are willing to accept
the novel argument that the law doesn’t apply in this situation
because Dozemeyer is a different person than the murderer.
It would not be enough that he is a different person
metaphorically — in that his behavior has changed so much
that he acts like a different person — but a different person
in the respects that are most meaningful in defining what a
person is: his or her basic character, personality, set of
values, and attitude toward other human beings.
118
Would you allow Dozemeyer to be released from prison?
Under the law, to do so, you would have to find not just that
he has changed for the better or shown remorse, but that,
although he has the same name and life history, he is not the
same person as the John Dozemeyer who was convicted of
murder five years earlier?
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#50
120
#51
That’s the option the Wiz just gave you. If you are like some
people I’ve known, who have night terrors — really scary
nightmares — this is a great opportunity to get rid of them.
For many others — maybe most people — it might not be so
easy to decide. I suspect that most people’s dreams tend to
be mildly frustrating, like mine. But dreams can be quite
pleasant, sometimes so much so that you can feel let-down
when you wake up.
Would you accept the Wiz’s offer never to dream again when
you’re sleeping?
121
building that had something to do with tourism. I thought,
maybe they have a map. I went inside and spoke to a woman
who seemed to work there. She said that they didn’t have a
map. “I have to get to Winnipeg,” I said. (Note: Winnipeg is
nowhere near Washington State.)* “Oh,” she said, “then
you’ll have to go back across the bridge.” This seemed to me
to be an exhausting prospect and would take me in the
wrong direction to boot. I was still trying to decide what to do
next when I woke up. It was a dream that fit perfectly with my
normal pattern: “My dreams tend to be mildly frustrating,
most often involving trying to reach a destination, the
location of which and means of reaching it is never clear.”
What was the meaning of this dream? I don’t know, but
two phrases come to mind: “A bridge to nowhere,” and “a
bridge too far.”
Others have told me that they have had similar dreams.
Maybe we’re groping our way through life, forever trying to
get somewhere, and we don’t know why and don’t know
how to reach our destination.
I wouldn’t want to give up the fun of having dreams and
speculating about them. Besides, I’ve read that dreams may
have something to do with the brain reorganizing itself, and
I’m sure my brain would benefit from that process. I don’t
mind keeping on dreaming.
________________________________
* I traveled to northern Canada about forty years ago, not to a city,
but to an Inuit village on the north side of a long lake. I traveled
through Winnipeg on the way to get there. A few years ago, I had
an enjoyable trip to Washington State.
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#52
You don’t like the prospect that sooner or later you’re going
to die. You thought that there would be no alternative, but
here’s the Wiz, claiming once again that he’ll give you a
special deal. He promises that you’ll live out your
predestined lifespan regardless of whether or not you accept
his offer. The only thing that will change is that you’ll have a
chance to live a whole new life: You can be the next baby
born in the world after you die. You’ll have no memory of
your past life, but you will have something that you wouldn’t
have otherwise: a second life after your first one ends.
123
hardships. If I accept the Wiz’s offer, my second life might
not be worth living from my present standpoint, but it would
be from my standpoint as a new living being. That’s why, on
reflection, and realizing that it may be wildly imprudent, if I
had no choice other than being dead, I would accept the
Wiz’s offer to be the next baby born.
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#53
125
“You’re wrong,“ Bandwidth says, jabbing a finger at you
as if you had committed a crime. “Here’s the mathematical
proof:
“Among all couples with two children, there are equal
numbers of GG, GB, BG, and BB couples. Since the couple
you met has a G with them, she is clearly not in the BB
group. She must therefore be in either GG, the GB, or the BG
group. Since there are equal numbers in each group, the
odds are 1/ 3 that she is one of the two Gs in the GG group,
1/3 that she is the G in the BG group, and 1/3 that she is the
G in the GB group. If she is the G in the GG group, then her
sibling at home is a G. If she is the G in the BG group or the
G in the GB group, in each case her sibling at home is a B. In
one case, the child at home is a G. In two cases the child at
home is a B. Therefore, the odds are 2/3 that the child at
home is a B.”
“That can’t be right!” you protest.
“Sorry, but it is right,” Professor Bandwidth says severely.
“It may go against your intuition, but intuitions may be faulty,
whereas a mathematical proof is irrefutable!”
Rather than reply, you sit quietly, trying to work this
puzzle through. Professor Bandwidth’s proof does seem to
be irrefutable. But it also seems wrong!
“You still have a chance to win that million bucks,” the
Wiz says gently, “but you’ll have to show that Professor
Bandwidth is wrong.”
“And that will be impossible,” Bandwidth says. “I am
never wrong.”
Can you show that you are right in saying there’s a one-in-
two chance that the child at home is a boy, rather than a two-
in-three chance, as Professor Bandwidth claims he has
proved?
126
To see why this isn’t the case, imagine that you are
walking in a park. Living near the park are 50 GG couples, 50
GB couples, 50 BG couples, and 50 BB couples. All 200 of
these couples have gone out walking in the park with one of
their children and left the other one at home. You meet one of
these couples, and they have a G with them. Obviously, you
haven’t met one of the BB couples. You’ve met one of the 50
GG couples, one of the 50 GB couples, or one of the 50 BG
couples.
Of the 50 GG couples, all 50 of them who have gone out
walking with a G have left a G at home. Of the 50 GB
couples, 25 have gone out walking with their G and left their
B at home, and 25 have gone out walking with their B and
left their G at home; and the same is true of the 50 BG
couples. Since the couple you meet has a G with them, it
must be one of the 50 GG couples who went out walking
with a G and left a G at home, one of the 25 GB couples who
went walking with their G and left their B at home, or one of
the 25 BG couples that went walking with their G and left
their B at home. Therefore, you met one of 50 GG couples
who left a G at home or one of 50 BG and GB couples that
went walking with their G and left their B at home. Therefore,
the odds are 50-50 (1 in 2) that the child at home is a B, not 2
in 3, as Professor Bandwidth insists is the case. What
appeared to be a paradox — the inconsistency between the
common sense answer and a mathematical proof — is
resolved once it's clear that a false assumption crept into
Professor Bandwidth's analysis.
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#54
128
I suspect that, like most people faced with this dilemma,
I would reach a decision based on feeling rather than on
rational analysis, a result explained by the 17th Century
mathematician and philosopher Blaise Pascal: “The heart has
its reasons, which reason cannot know.”
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#55
130
slaughtering, and other practices that, if imposed on
humans, would be considered to be forms of torture.
I think that humans have as much right as foxes to kill
chickens for food, but foxes don’t cause chickens to suffer
for most of their lives before they die, and neither should we.
I think that the economic cost of requiring that farm animals
are treated humanely should be offset by instituting a more
progressive taxation and subsidy structure, rather than by
ignoring our ethical responsibilities to our fellow creatures.
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#56
132
had before the split, and you-B thinks, sees, reads, and
hears everything that you-A does, and you-B is aware of
you-A’s conscious thoughts: You (as you-B) are positioned to
be a uniquely objective advisor to you — the person who, as
you think of it, you really are.
____________________________
______________________-_________________________\___________________
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#57
134
“I guess I’m lost in the sands of time,” you say ruefully.
“That’s a good way of thinking of it,” the Wiz says, “which is
why I put that expression into your head, so you would say it.
In any case, looking back from the sands of time, or through
the sands of time, does the life you led hundreds of years ago
seem any more meaningful to you than the lives of your
contemporaries?”
“I can remember my life in much, much, more detail than I
can remember the life of anyone else.”
“Of course, but at this point, it doesn’t make any difference
which of all the lives led back then was yours. There’s no
reason why the life you led hundreds of years ago should mean
more to you now than the life of anyone else living then, or, for
that matter, than the life of a fictional character in a novel, a
play, or a movie. Now that hundreds of years have passed
since you died, you’re capable of looking at the world from an
eternal perspective. In that light, your life is no more important
or less important than the lives of, for example, Florence
Nightingale or Don Quixote. You and they were all instruments
of the ever-continuing progression of innumerable events. It
doesn’t matter who was who, or even who was real and who
was fictional.”
The Wiz pauses for a few seconds, then says: “It is odd,
isn’t it? Whether the world is better or worse because of your
presence in it, once you and everybody who knew you, or
might have known you, or known anything about you, is dead,
it doesn’t matter whether a certain set of accomplishments or
failings were yours or those of any one of billions of other
people. It’s all smoothed flat.”
Do you agree with the Wiz that once you and everybody who
knew you or might have known you or known anything about
you, is dead, it doesn’t matter what your accomplishments or
failings were; it’s all smoothed flat?”
135
#58
The Wiz just informed you of this, and that there is no way of
preventing it.
Pondering this scenario reminded me of the adage, “No
one, when dying, wished that they had spent more time at
the office.” Immediately thereafter, I thought of the remark
attributed to Samuel Johnson: “Depend upon it, sir, when a
man knows he is to be hanged in a fortnight, it concentrates
his mind wonderfully.”
According to a life expectancy table I consulted, the
average male my age (92) has less than four years to live.
That’s a lot more than the two weeks Dr. Johnson spoke of or
the twenty-four hours maximum the Wiz gave you, but short
enough to engage one’s attention.
The situation posited in this thought experiment would set
almost any mind racing. Where would it race to? What
concerns and emotions would it unleash? How glaringly
wrenching and dismaying would it be? The answers to these
questions depend on one’s particular character, personal
circumstances, and history. These would combine to form
the state of mind that one would have upon hearing such
distressing news.
When, what, and how one should think about one’s mortality
are ancient questions. The Stoics believed that it’s wise to
contemplate death well ahead of the event. I suppose their
idea was that it’s desirable to be well prepared — to be
accepting of death’s inevitability so as not be shocked when
it’s staring you in the face. If you have cultivated Stoicism,
you might be better able to bear unexpected news that you
have less than twenty-four hours to live.
Stoicism is a noble stance, but I prefer that of the 17th
century philosopher Baruch Spinoza: “The free man thinks of
death, least of all things.”*
136
How does one manage that? you might ask. It’s a
question I’m not qualified to answer, but perhaps I can
convey Spinoza’s general idea: The path to equanimity and
self-control lies in gaining an eternal perspective through
knowledge and understanding. This was a philosophy that
appealed to Einstein. He said, “I believe in Spinoza’s God,
who reveals himself in the lawful harmony of all that exists.”
Like Spinoza, he was in awe of nature and its processes.
More than the stupendous aggregation of forms of matter
and energy and the laws that govern their motions and
interactions, Einstein revered the mysterious — what he
found to be “subtle, intangible, and inexplicable.” **
George Eliot, who translated Spinoza’s treatise Ethics into
English, drank from the same fount of wisdom. A passage in
one of her letters is a snapshot of an eternal perspective in
the making.
_______________________________
* Steven Nadler: Think Least of Death: Spinoza on How to Live and How to
Die. (2021); P. 126; Princeton Univ. Press
** Walter Isaacson, Einstein: His Life and Universe (2008); Simon and Schuster; P.
184; 188.
*** Clare Carlisle: The Marriage Question: George Eliot’s Double Life; (2023); P.
189; Farrar, Strauss and Giroux
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#59
138
concentrations of CO2 in Earth’s atmosphere, that this planet
has entered the parabolic development stage and is likely
experiencing the usual problems of accelerating global
warming; increasing air and water pollution; dissipation of
aquifers; increasing rates of emergence of powerful,
oligarchically allied, militarized, imperialist-minded, autocratic
governing bodies; increasing risks of nuclear devastation;
escalating vulnerability to species-ending pandemics; and,
most concerning of all, probable accelerating development
of prototypical class two general artificial intelligence.”
“Wa-ooo,” you exclaim. “I’ve heard about what that can
lead to!”
“What it’s already led to in the Cepheus sector,” Jack
says. “And it could become a real nuisance to us if it flares
toward its full potential on Earth. In any case, we need a fine-
grained, close-up, virtually synthesized, multi-perspective
analysis of the situation, and you have been selected to
provide it. You must be ready to leave for your inspection of
Earth tomorrow at Beta sun noon. We will provide you with a
class A11A multi-enhanced capsule equipped with gravity
loop-quantum-tunneling capability for faster-than-light travel.
On completion of your mission, we’ll expect you to provide
us with an omni-factor, full-scale, maximally enscripted
report on this interesting planet and the creatures that have
been transforming it. Are you up for this assignment?
T I M E L A P S E
Now that you have inspected Earth, what do you think of it?
Are these humans, as they call themselves, going to make it?
139
AFTERWORD
140
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
141