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PAS206 Exercises Unit 2A (Answers)

This document contains sample exercises and questions about probability. There are 6 questions with multiple parts testing concepts like probability, independent and mutually exclusive events, probability calculations for events from sample spaces, conditional probability, and probability calculations involving sampling with and without replacement.

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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
172 views6 pages

PAS206 Exercises Unit 2A (Answers)

This document contains sample exercises and questions about probability. There are 6 questions with multiple parts testing concepts like probability, independent and mutually exclusive events, probability calculations for events from sample spaces, conditional probability, and probability calculations involving sampling with and without replacement.

Uploaded by

Johannah Manoko
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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PAS206 Exercises: Unit 2A

PAS206B Exercises for Unit 2A

Question 1

The bag contains similar cards, 12 are green, 13 are red and 15 are blue.

1.1 the probability of drawing a green card. [Ans: 0.3000]

12
------------- =0,3
12+13+15
1.2 the probability of drawing a red card. [Ans: 0.3250]

13
------------ =0,325
12+13+15

1.3 the probability of drawing a blue ball. [Ans: 0.3750]

15
------------ =0,375
12+13+15
Question 2

A school has a raffle and the winning prize is a sheep. A total of 560 tickets were sold. Tom, Maki and Joyce
purchased 10 tickets, 12 tickets and 6 tickets, respectively.

2.1 between the three, Tom, Maki and Joyce, who has a high chance of winning the sheep?

Maki

2.2. what is the probability that Maki will win the sheep? [Ans: 0.0214]

12
------- = 0,0215
560

2.3 what is the probability that Tom will not win the sheep? [Ans: 0.9821]

10
1- ------- = 0,981
560
2.4 what is the probability that Tom or Joyce will win the sheep? [Ans: 0.0286]

= P(Tom)+P(Joyce)

= 10/560 + 6/560= 0,0286

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PAS206 Exercises: Unit 2A

2.5 what is the probability that Tom or Maki or Joyce will win the sheep? [Ans: 0.0500 ]

= P(Tom)+P(Maki)+P(Joyce)

= 10/560 + 12/560+6/560= 0,05

Question 3

Source: John Bird, 649.

(a) P(p1) x P(p2) xP(p3) [Ans: 0.0071]


=1/8 x 1/5 x 2/7 = 0,0071

(b) P(A and B) [Ans: 0.0179]


=1/8 x1/5 x (1- 2/7) = 0,0179

(c) p2 = 1/5 = 0,125 [Ans: 0.1250]

(d) P(A union B) [Ans: 0.3250]


=1/8 +1/5 = 0,325

2
PAS206 Exercises: Unit 2A
Question 4

A box contains 60 identical transistors. Of these 60 transistors, 25 are satisfactory, 12 give too high gain under
normal operating conditions and the remaining once give too low a gain. Assume two resistors are drawn at two
consecutive draws without replacement.
Let A represent satisfactory; Let H represent high gain under normal operating conditions; let F represent too low
gain under normal operation conditions.

4.1 what is the probability of drawing two satisfactory resistors? [Ans: 0.1695]

P(A) = 25/60 x 24/59 = 0,1695

4.2 what is the probability of drawing a satisfactory resistor on the first draw and a resistor that gives too low gain
on the second draw? [Ans: 0.1624]

25/60 x 23/59 = 0,1624

4.3. what is the probability of drawing a resistor that gives a high gain and a resistor that gives a low gain?
[Ans: 0.0780]
12/60 x 37/59 = 0,0780

Question 5

Match Column A with Column B. Write the symbol that matches with Column A in Symbol column.

Column A Symbol Column B


1 Sample space C A: Probability
2 A subset of a sample space. E B: Experiment
3 Process followed to obtain an C: Collection of all possible outcomes of
experimental unit B an experiment
4 A value between 0 and 1 A D: 1
5 Probability of a sample space D E: Event
6 6 H F. An arrangement of all or part of a set
of objects, with regard to the order of
arrangement
7 Permutation G. The number of ways 3 letters (ABC)
F can be arranged
8. Combination G H. Recipe

3
PAS206 Exercises: Unit 2A
Question 6

6.1 A fair die is rolled and resulted in the following sample space: S = {1; 2; 3; 4; 5; 6}. What is:

6.1.1 the probability you will get a 4? [Ans: 0.1667]

1/6

6.1.2 the probability that you will get an odd number? [Ans: 0.5000]
3/6

6.1.3 the probability that you will get a number greater 6? [Ans: 0.0000]

6.2 Events K and M are not mutually exclusive and the following information is provided:
P(K) = 0.4; P(M) = 0.7 and P(K|M) = 0.38. Determine:

6.2.1 P(K and M) [Ans: 0.2660]


= P(K and M) = 0,4 x 0,7 = 0,28

6.2.2 Are the events K and M independent? Substantiate your answer.

Dependent ---- P(K/M) given

6.3 If P(C) = 0.4; P(D) = 0.5 and P(C and D) = 0.1. Find

6.3.1 the probability of the complement of C. [Ans: 0.6000 ]

1 - P(c)
1 - 0,4 = 0,6

6.3.2 the probability of event D given event C. [Ans: 0.2500]

P(D/C) = P(D intersection C) / P(C)


= 0,1 / 0,4 =0,25

4
PAS206 Exercises: Unit 2A
6.4 The owner of a restaurant conducted research to establish the eating habits of his clientele. A total of 200 adult
clients were classified according to their gender and their food preferences. The information is summarised in
the table below:

Food preference
Vegetarian Total
Gender Beef (B) Sea Food (SF)
(V)
Male (M) 72 28 2 102

Female (F) 44 40 14 98

Total 116 68 16 200

Use the appropriate notation of probabilities and determine the probability that a randomly chosen client:

6.4.1 prefers beef. [Ans: 0.5800]

116 / 200 = 0,58

6.4.2 is a female and a vegetarian food. [Ans: 0.0700]

14 / 200 = 0,07

6.4.3 is male or prefers beef. [Ans: 0.7300]

P(M or B) = P(M) + P(B) - P(M and B)


=102 /200 + 16 / 200 - 72 /200 = 0,73

6.4.4 prefers sea food given that he is a male. [Ans: 0.2745]

P(SF/M) = P(SF intersection M) / P(M)


= 28 /200 divided by 102 / 200
= 0,2745

6.4.5 Are female and vegetarian mutually exclusive?

No, there is intersection at 14

6.4.6 are male and female mutually exclusive?

Yes, there is no intersection

5
PAS206 Exercises: Unit 2A

6.4.7 are male and beef independent?

No, there is intersection at 72

6.5 Consider independently rolling two fair dice, one red and the other green. Let R be the event that the red die
shows 3 dots, G be the event that the green die shows 4 dots, and T be the event that the total number of dots
showing on the two dice is 7. Are these events pairwise independent (i.e.,are R and G independent events)?

Yes

6.6 From a box containing 7 black balls and 4 green balls, 2 balls are selected in succession without replacement.
What is the probability :

6.6.1 of selecting 2 green balls. [Ans: 0.1091]

4 /11 x 3 / 10 = 0,1091

6.6.2 of selecting the green ball first. [Ans: 0.3636]


4 / 11 = 0,3636

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