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Decision Making
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Relevant Information
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DECISION MODELS
Chapter 11 Decision making and
relevant information
Learning Objectives: A decision model is a formal method of making a
After studying this chapter, you should be able to: choice, often involving both quantitative and
1. Use the five-step decision-making process
qualitative analyses.
2. Distinguish relevant from irrelevant information in decision situations Managers often use some variation of the five-step
3. Explain the concept of opportunity cost and why managers should consider it
decision-making process.
when making insourcing-versus-outsourcing decisions
4. Know how to choose which products to produce when there are capacity
constraints
5. Discuss the factors managers must consider when adding or dropping customers
or business units
6. Explain why book value of equipment is irrelevant to managers making
equipment replacement decisions.
FIVE-STEP DECISION-MAKING PROCESS RELEVANCE
Relevant information has two characteristics:
It occurs in the future
It differs among the alternative courses of action
Relevant costs—expected future costs
Relevant revenues—expected future revenues
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RELEVANT COST ILLUSTRATION FEATURES OF RELEVANT INFORMATION
Past (historical) costs may be helpful as a basis for making
predictions. However, past costs themselves are always irrelevant
when making decisions.
Different alternatives can be compared by examining differences in
expected total future revenues and expected total future costs.
Not all expected future revenues and expected future costs are
relevant. Expected future revenues and expected future costs that
do not differ among alternatives are irrelevant and, hence can be
eliminated from the analysis. The key question is always, What
difference will an action make?
Appropriate weight must be given to qualitative factors and
quantitative nonfinancial factors.
SUNK COSTS ARE IRRELEVANT IN
T YPES OF INFORMATION
DECISION MAKING
Quantitative factors are outcomes that can be
measured in numerical terms.
Costs that have already occurred and can not be
Qualitative factors are outcomes that are difficult to
changed are classified as sunk costs.
measure accurately in numerical terms, such as
Sunk costs are excluded because they can not be satisfaction.
changed by future actions.
Qualitative factors are just as important as
These are costs that were incurred in the past and quantitative factors even though they are difficult to
are not recordable. measure.
TERMINOLOGY T YPES OF DECISIONS
Incremental cost—the additional total cost incurred One-time-only special orders
for an activity Insourcing vs. outsourcing
Differential cost—the difference in total cost between
two alternatives Make or buy
Incremental revenue—the additional total revenue Product-mix
from an activity Customer profitability
Differential revenue—the difference in total revenue Branch/segment: adding or discontinuing
between two alternatives Equipment replacement
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ONE-TIME-ONLY SPECIAL ORDERS SPECIAL ORDER ILLUSTRATION
Accepting or rejecting special orders when there is
idle production capacity and the special orders have
no long-run implications
Decision rule: D oes the special order generate
additional operating income?
Yes—accept
No—reject
Compares relevant revenues and relevant costs to
determine profitability
MAKE-OR-BUY ILLUSTRATION POTENTIAL PROBLEMS WITH
RELEVANT-COST ANALYSIS
Avoid incorrect general assumptions about
information, especially:
“All variable costs are relevant and all fixed costs are
irrelevant.”
There are notable exceptions for both costs.
Problems with using unit-cost data:
Including irrelevant costs in error
Using the same unit-cost with different output levels
Fixed costs per unit change with different levels of
output
AVOIDING POTENTIAL PROBLEMS WITH
RELEVANT-COST ANALYSIS INSOURCING VS. OUTSOURCING
Insourcing—producing goods or services within an
Focus on total revenues and total costs, not their organization
per-unit equivalents. Outsourcing—purchasing goods or services from
outside vendors
Also called the make-or-buy decision
Continually evaluate data to ensure that it meets the
requirements of relevant information. Decision rule: Select the option that will provide the
firm w ith the lowest cost, and therefore the highest
profit.
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QUALITATIVE FACTORS OPPORTUNIT Y COSTS
Non-quantitative factors may be extremely impor tant Oppor tunity cost is the contribution to operating
in an evaluation process, yet do not show up directly income that is foregone by not using a limited
in calculations: resource in its next-best alternative use
Quality requirements “How much profit did the firm ‘lose out on’ by not
Reputation of outsourcer selecting this alternative?”
Employee morale Special type of oppor tunity cost: holding cost for
Logistical considerations—distance from plant, and so inventor y—funds tied up in inventor y are not available
on for investment elsewhere
PRODUCT-MIX DECISIONS ADDING OR DROPPING CUSTOMERS
The decisions made by a company about which D e cision r u le: D o e s ad ding o r d ropping a cu stomer ad d
products to sell and in what quantities. o p erating i n come to t h e fi r m?
Yes—add or don’t drop
Decision rule (with a constraint): Choose the product No—drop or don’t add
that produces the highest contribution margin per Decision is based on profitability of the customer, not how
unit of the constraining resource much revenue a customer generates.
CUSTOMER PROFITABILIT Y ANALYSIS, CUSTOMER PROFITABILIT Y ANALYSIS,
ILLUSTRATED EXTENDED
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ADDING OR DISCONTINUING ADDING/CLOSING OFFICES OR
BRANCHES OR SEGMENTS SEGMENTS
Decision rule: Does a dding or discontinuing a branch
or segment add operating income to the firm?
Yes—add or don’t discontinue
No—discontinue or don’t add
Decision is based on profitability of the branch or
segment, not how much revenue the branch or
segment generates.
EQUIPMENT-REPLACEMENT DECISIONS,
EQUIPMENT-REPLACEMENT DECISIONS ILLUSTRATED
Sometimes difficult due to amount of information at
hand that is irrelevant:
Cost, accumulated depreciation, and book value of
existing equipment
Any potential gain or loss on the transaction—a
financial accounting phenomenon only
Decision rule: Select the a lternative that will generate
the highest operating income.
EQUIPMENT-REPLACEMENT DECISIONS,
ILLUSTRATED (RELEVANT COSTS ONLY)
