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Lecture

1) The document discusses several papers on heterogeneous agents in macroeconomics, including Gorman (1961), Rubinstein (1974), Constantinides (1982), and Deaton and Paxson (1994). 2) Gorman (1961) introduces a model with heterogeneous agents and derives conditions for when aggregate demand can be represented by a single "representative agent". 3) Rubinstein (1974) analyzes when heterogeneous agents with HARA utility functions can be aggregated into a single agent under different market structures and preferences. 4) Constantinides (1982) shows that an Arrow-Debreu economy with heterogeneous consumers and firms can be represented by a single representative agent under complete markets.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
30 views16 pages

Lecture

1) The document discusses several papers on heterogeneous agents in macroeconomics, including Gorman (1961), Rubinstein (1974), Constantinides (1982), and Deaton and Paxson (1994). 2) Gorman (1961) introduces a model with heterogeneous agents and derives conditions for when aggregate demand can be represented by a single "representative agent". 3) Rubinstein (1974) analyzes when heterogeneous agents with HARA utility functions can be aggregated into a single agent under different market structures and preferences. 4) Constantinides (1982) shows that an Arrow-Debreu economy with heterogeneous consumers and firms can be represented by a single representative agent under complete markets.

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1sen7luxd8
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We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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L ECTURE 0: F OUNDATIONS

Heterogeneous Agents in Macroeconomics

Rustam Jamilov

University of Oxford
Fall, 2023
G ORMAN (1961)

Finite set N with cardinality N of agents, indexed by i. Denote yi (p, ωi ) as preference for a
homogenous good of agent i, given price p ∈ R1 , and wealth ωi . Then, aggregate demand:
N
X N
X
Y(p, ω1 , . . . , ωN) = yi (p, ωi ) ≡ Y(p, ωi )
i i
| {z }
?

1/15
G ORMAN (1961)

Aggregate-wealth-preserving re-distribution. Total differentiation of Y:


N
d Y(p, N
P
i ωi )
X ∂ yi (p, ωi )
=0→ d ωi = 0
d ωi ∂ ωi
i

True iff:
∂ yi (p, ωi ) ∂ yj (p, ωj )
= ∀i, j ∈ N
ωi ωj
Strong static aggregation if linear Engel curves = MPC homogeneity.

Argument in Gorman (1961) is through indirect utility functions.

2/15
R UBINSTEIN (1974)

Agent maxes consumption ct given HARA utility, discount factor β, wealth ωt , risky asset
f
allocation αt , risky return Rat , risk-free return Rt , and linear absolute risk aversion
′′ ′ 1
RA(c) ≡ −U(c) /U(c) = A+Bc :

T
!
X
max E β t U(ct )
{ct ,αt }
t
 
f
s.t. ωt+1 = (ωt − ct ) αt Rt + (1 − αt )Rat

3/15
R UBINSTEIN (1974)
T
!
X
t
max E β U(ct )
{ct ,αt }
t
 
f
s.t. ωt+1 = (ωt − ct ) αt Rt + (1 − αt )Rat

Strong dynamic aggregation if:


1. Homogeneous curvature B (necessity).
2. Homogeneous ω0 , β, and U (sufficiency).
3. Homogeneous β and B ̸= 0 (sufficiency).
4. Complete markets & B = 0 (sufficiency).
5. Complete markets & ω0j = ω0 & B = 1 & A = 0 (sufficiency).
Need condition (1) plus any of (2)-(5).
4/15
C ONSTANTINIDES (1982)

Debreu (1959) model: m consumers indexed by i, n firms indexed P by j, l goods indexed by h,


wealth endowments ωi ≡ (ωi,1 , . . . , ωil ), shares in firms sin with m sij = 1, consumption
xi ≡ (xi1 , . . . , xil ) ∈ Xi , production yj ≡ (yj1 , . . . , yjl ) ∈ Yj , concave utility U over consumption
of goods, price vector p ≡ (p1 , . . . , pl ).

Equilibrium is the price vector p∗ such that (m + n)-tuple [(x∗i )m ∗ n


i=1 , (yj )j=1 ] achieves: (1)
consumers max utility subject to budget constraint and X , (2) firms max profit subject to Y,
(3) markets clear. Under standard Arrow-Debreu assumptions, the equilibrium exists and is
Pareto optimal.

5/15
C ONSTANTINIDES (1982)

There exists a vector of positive numbers λ ≡ (λ1 , . . . , λm ) such that the solution to (1) below
is (xi ) = (x∗i ) and (yj ) = (y∗j ):
Xm
max λi Ui (xi )
x,y
i=1

subject to

yj ∈ Yj , ∀j
xi ∈ Xi , ∀i
X X X (1)
xih = yjh + ωih , ∀h
i j i

6/15
C ONSTANTINIDES (1982)

Problem (1) is equivalent to (2) below:

m
" #
X
max max λi Ui (xi )
y x
i=1

subject to

yj ∈ Yj , ∀j
xi ∈ Xi , ∀i
X X X (2)
xih = yjh + ωih , ∀h
i j i

7/15
C ONSTANTINIDES (1982)

Paggregate consumption z ≡ (z1 , . . . , zl ) and good-specific total consumption


Define
zh ≡ i xih . Now solve (3) below:
m
X
U(z) ≡ max λi Ui (xi )
x
i=1

subject to

xi ∈ Xi , ∀i
(3)
X
xih = zh , ∀h
i

8/15
C ONSTANTINIDES (1982)
Finally, solve (4) below:
max U(z)
z,y

subject to

yj ∈ Yj , ∀j
(4)
X
yjh + ωh = zh , ∀h
j

Given λ ≡ (λ1 , . . . , λm ), if m consumers are replaced by one representative agent with utility
over aggregate consumption U(z), endowment equal to the sum of m consumers’
endowments, and shares P the sum of the m consumers’ shares, then price vector p∗ and the
associated (1 + n)-tuple ( i x∗i , y∗j ) is an equilibrium of Problem (4).

Weak static aggregation under complete markets.


9/15
D EATON AND PAXSON (1994)
1
Discount factor is δ = (1+r) , C∗ is the bliss level, ω0 ≥ 0 is initial endowment, quadratic utility.
Permanent and transitory shocks. Agent solves:
T
" #
1X t ∗ 2
max E0 − δ (C − Ct )
C 2
t=1

subject to:
T
X
δ (yt − Ct ) + ωo = 0
t=1
p
(5)
yt = yt + ϵt
p p
yt = yt−1 + ηt

10/15
D EATON AND PAXSON (1994)
First-differencing the solution:

1
∆Ct = ηt + PT−t ϵt ≈ ηt (6)
τ
τ =0 δ

Assume covi Cit−1 , ηti = 0. Then:




   
vari Cit − vari Cit−1 ≈ var (ηt ) (7)

Within-cohort rise in consumption inequality is the variance of permanent shocks. Complete


markets benchmark: consumption inequality should not rise within cohorts.
The permanent income model:
1. Consumption inequality rises linearly within cohorts.
2. Substantial, uninsured idiosyncratic risk.
11/15
D EATON AND PAXSON (1994)

12/15
B LUNDELL , P ISTAFERRI , AND P RESTON (2008)
General empirical model:
1
∆ct = αηt + β PT−t ϵt
τ
τ =0 δ

1. α = β = 1: permanent income model.


2. α = β = 0: complete markets.

BPP (2008) estimate: α̂ = 32 .


Three general identification problems:
Issue 1: accumulation of wealth and the precautionary savings motive lower α.
Issue 2: permanent shocks are anticipated, i.e. news about future shocks.
Issue 3: shocks are less persistent and AR(1) process decays exponentially.

13/15
TAKEAWAY

A representative agent can be constructed with complete markets.

Moreover, with linear Engel curves, equilibrium does not depend on (re-distribution).

Existence of a representative agent by itself does not imply irrelevance of (re-)distribution.

The choice of λ and the distribution of ω can influence the aggregate outcome.

14/15
TAKEAWAY

Complete markets are unrealistic.

The permanent income model may be a better “standard model”.

Substantial idiosyncratic risk and a single risk-free asset to insure.

May be too extreme. Reality is more flexible.

Either agents have access to devices to partially insure against shocks or . . .

. . . idiosyncratic risk is persistent but perhaps not permament.

15/15

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