View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.
uk                                                                      brought to you by   CORE
                                                                                                                  provided by Research Papers in Economics
                          Management & Marketing (2009) Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 97-110.
                                 THE INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT
                                  ANALYSIS OF ROMANIAN NAVAL INDUSTRY
                                            WITH SWOT MODEL
                                                           Carmen GASPAROTTI
                                                      „Dunărea de Jos” University of Galaţi
                          Abstract. SWOT analysis is an effective method used for strategic planning to identify
                          potential, priorities and creating a common vision of achieving the development strategy for a
                          company. This should answer the question “Where are we?” involving the analysis of the
                          internal and external environment generally and specifically. It used to evaluate the company
                          environment factors.
                                  Only by taking into consideration the components of general environment : economic
                          environment, social environment, political environment, legislation and pressure groups, a
                          company will be able to adopt the particular way of action, which will assure its performance
                          and advantages on present and potential competitors.
                          Keywords: opportunities, strengths, threats, weaknesses
                                    1. Introduction
                                   SWOT model (Strengths, Weakness, Opportunities and Threats) represents
                          the established instrument used to analyze the internal and external environment,
                          which a company functions in. Based on this model, the company’s strategies can be
                          formulated by combining internal environment factors, which are: strengths and
                          weaknesses, with external environment factors: opportunities and threats.
                                   A good knowledge of the environment, the interrelations between this one and
                          the organization, its evolution, represent the base of politics and strategies elaboration
                          and also, may be considered as a main condition for an efficient activity of the
                          organization.
                                   Speaking about the strategically answer of the company towards competitive
                          environment, Reason showed that this answer has to satisfy three criteria (www-
                          denis.kearney@ul.ie):
                                       to be adequate to competitive environment pressures;
                                       to be satisfactory to shareholders;
                                       to be reliable, which means the company must have the necessary abilities
                                       and resources in order to generate the strategically answer asked for.
                                   Strengths and weaknesses of the organization, internal environment, are
                          important for resources, programs and organization in key points such as (Catrinescu,
                          2002): sells/marketing/distribution, management system/survey report, production
                          efficiency/capacity, products /quality/price.
Management & Marketing
        The opportunities and threats that a company confronts with may exist or may
develop in the next points:
             the own company industry where structural changes may be produced;
             the market place, which can be deteriorated by economical and social
             factors;
             competitiveness, where new dangers and opportunities may appear;
             new technologies that may cause fundamental chances of products,
             processes etc.;
        The achievement and practical use of SWOT analysis require the following
steps (Catrinescu, 2002):
             to identify strengths and weaknesses, as well as opportunities and threats;
             to identify SWOT quadrant;
             to formulate the concrete strategy.
        SWOT quadrant identification can be realized in two different ways:
             By placing the strategy, based on the elements of internal and external
             environment of the company, in one of the four quadrants of SWOT
             model; this placing is intuitively made by strategically managers and is
             applicable only to small companies;
             By placing the strategy in one of the four strategically quadrants of SWOT
             model using the evolution matrix of company ‘s internal and external
             factors, which consider the importance coefficients γ j and marks of each
            Nj factor that are used to calculate their weighted marks γ j Nj and, finally,
            the weighted score for all   ∑γ N
                                            j   j   factors.
       Since SWOT quadrant is identified, the concrete strategy of the company can
be formulated and that will depend on the company’s concrete conditions.
       SWOT analysis, as a model of total diagnosis, is also used to find out the
economical and financial situation of a company.
       This analysis includes (www-denis.kearney@ul.ie):
            Opportunities of favorable chances which are considered to be the events
            and processes produced in the macro-environment and competitive
            environment that create favorable conditions for local naval industry to
            function and develop;
            Threats or dangers which are considered to be the factors and events pro-
            duced in the macro-environment and competitive environment that create
            unfavorable conditions for local naval industry to function and develop;
            Strengths, represented by resources and abilities in fields such as: marke-
            ting, finance, human resources, technology and production, organization
            and management, that give emphasis to the local naval industry;
            Weaknesses represent those aspects of local naval industry function in
            fields like marketing, finance, human resources, technology, production,
            organization and management that limit the efficiency or prevent the
            development of local naval industry.
                                           98
             The internal and external environment analysis of Romanian naval industry
         For this purpose diagnosis are synthesized on components (production,
quality, competition, rate of turnover, financial situation, management, staff etc.), by
pointing out the strengths and threats of company’s activity, as well as the malfun-
ctions and their causes that may appear in the company’s activity. The analysis uses
scores system which allows calculating an average mark based on which the company
may be placed in one of the following situations: economical viable or non-viable.
        2. Romanian naval industry evolution during the last years
        Romanian naval industry has 12 shipyards, 9 of them are centered on shipbuil-
ding and 3 of them on repairs. Regarding the employees number the size of these 12
shipyards is the following:
             1 shipyard with more than 5000 employees (SN Damen Galati);
             3 shipyards with 3000-5000 employees;
             3 shipyards with 1500-3000 employees;
             5 shipyards below 1500 employees.
        The large number of employees from Romanian Shipyards is due to high level
of production integration, which can be compared with the level in Japan and Korea.
This level is different from those in European shipyards, which generally exercise
subcontracting.
        In UE the most shipyards have below 1000 employees. Only 17 shipyards
have a number of 1000-2000 employees and 28 large shipyards have together 64 000
employees (AWES, 2005).
        From achieved production, because the internal market does not offer
opportunities due to the capital lack, the ship production was orientated to the export,
its weight has increased from year to year, reaching to represent 99% from total
production of 2008 (ANCONAV, 2000-2008) (Figure 1).
                         Figure 1. The export weight in total naval production
                                          99
Management & Marketing
        The evolution of shipbuilding production and repairs during 2000-2008 is
presented in Figure 2.
                 Figure 2. Romanian naval industry during 2000-2008
        During 2000-2008 Romanian naval industry had an increasing evolution
(Figure 3).
             Figure 3. The evolution of ship production value in Romania
       Shipyards build maritime ships and river vessels, the production being
concentrated on ships such as: bulk carrier, port-containers, cargo tankers, LPG, and
LNG, chemical tankers, Ro-Ro, coastal fishing ships.
                                         100
               The internal and external environment analysis of Romanian naval industry
        Romania had 2,4% from international orders portfolio in cgt (compensated
gross ton) at 01.07.2007 (ANCONAV, 2003-2008). Considering the ship type, the
weight is the following:
             0, 9 % tankers;
             2,2 % bulk-carriers;
             0,1 % port-containers;
             5,6 % cargo.
        Work productivity in Romanian shipyards is below the eastern European
shipyards level (Stranschi, 2002; ANCONAV, 2003-2008) (Table 1).
                                                                                          Table 1
                     Work productivity for Romanian naval industry
       Work productivity                           Romania                     Western Europe
      (hours-men/tonne)               2000-2002    2003-2005   After 2006
       Total, from which:              200-140       140-90        80                40
               hulls                    100-70        70-45        35                19
              plant                     75-40         50-35        25                13
            painting                    25-20         20-15        10                 8
        For the year 2006, the forecast announces that the Romanian productivity will
reach the Western European level, as a result of modern technologies and IT systems.
As a condition to UE accession, the average work productivity will have to become at
least equal with average work productivity of shipyards from the whole world, which
is 88 hours/men/cgt (CESA, 2006-2007).
        In the international industry and economy, naval industry has a modest place,
by its weight in the industrial production value, PIB industry, active population and
export (Table 2).
                                                                              Table 2
                        Naval industry in Romanian economy
                Indicators                          Year                    Percentage
 Weight to active population in industry            2006                       1,02
                                                    2007                       1,15
 Weight to active population in the whole           2006                       0,178
 economy                                            2007                       0,15
 Weight to industrial production value              2006                       0,712
                                                    2007                       0,715
 Weight to PIB industry                             2006                       1,08
                                                    2007                       1,12
 Weight to industry’s export                        2006                       2,49
                                                    2007                        2,5
 Weight to Romanian total export                    2006                        2,2
                                                    2007                        2,3
                                                  101
Management & Marketing
        Considering the gradual increasing of maritime trading, as a result of the
world economical growth and the ship volume, which are to be disablement and lost,
as well as the implementation of some regulation concerning the safety of maritime
transport and pollution warning, different specialized institutions, famous in the world
(KSA, SAJ, AWES), concerning the external environment, that between 2005-2010
there will be an increase of ships demand, by almost 1% towards precedent period of
time. In the same time in the last years the ship market had known a decrease of ship
price, comparing to the precedent years, which had stimulated the increasing of new
ships orders. Considering all these global tendencies, can be anticipated a favorable
conjuncture for Romanian shipyards in the next periods (SAJ, 2007).
        Regarding the ships structure KSA (Korea Shipbuilder’s Associations)
prognosis for the world level is the following:
                                                                          Table 3
Prognosis for the ship market evolution, considering the types of ships (mil tdw)
    Ship types/year            2009                 2010                    2012
        Tankers                385,2                393,3                   407,3
     Bulk-carriers             290,5                293,4                   302,4
    Port-containers             85                  87,8                    90,6
         Cargo                  73                   77,5                    80,2
        If we compare the world productivity at world level, we will discover some
differences between Japan and western European countries and between the last ones
and the new members of UE (Figure 4 and 5).
               Figure 4. Work productivity of world naval industry (2007)
                                           102
              The internal and external environment analysis of Romanian naval industry
Source: www.nobe.pl
        Figure 5. Work productivity of the new members of UE (compared with
                                  Germany=100%)
        The production cost in shipyards is high in European countries, USA and
Japan and low in China and the South East of Asia (KSA, 2007) (Table 4).
                                                                                  Table 4
             Production cost in shipyard (2007, world average = 100 %)
                    Country                             Production cost (index)
 China                                                            60
 SUA                                                             175
 Western Europe                                                  150
 Japan                                                           160
 Korea                                                           130
 Scandinavian countries                                          152
 South Europe                                                    140
 Balkan countries                                                125
 South East of Asia                                               82
 England                                                         142
 Middle Orient                                                   105
 Poland                                                          128
        Shipyards adjustment to external environment is realized through complex
actions pointed to 4 factors: the ship-product, shipyard hierarchical position, the ship
promotion in order to attract potential clients, the price for which the ship is accepted.
                                           103
Management & Marketing
         Beside these 4 factors, there are others, including political and
macroeconomic factor, from which, the most important once are the market price, the
trade rate, demand and competition.
         These are the factors which marketing strategies are centered on.
       3. SWOT analysis of Romanian naval industry
        The analysis was made based on the information concerning Romanian naval
industry.
Opportunities
        Macro-economical situation
           stable macro-economical environment;
           favorable economical growth.
        Competitive situation
           growth tendencies for world export and international maritime and river
           transport;
           favorable market conjuncture;
           favorable geographical position (coming out of the Black Sea and over
           1.000 km of Danube river);
           specialized ships demand increase.
Strengths
        Marketing
           great stock of orders, all addressed to the export;
           competitive prices;
           the image of a reliable partner with traditional knowledge of ship
           building;
           operation as western shipyards sub-contractor.
        Finance
           good profit (3-5%);
           financial stability.
        Human resources
           qualified work force, famous abroad.
        Technology-production
           very good facilities: dry docks, shipways, sincrolift
           specialized ship building abilities
           abilities for ships overhauling and conversion
           integrated I.T. system: projection – production –management
           flexible organization
           good management
           utilization of other countries shipyards (Ukraine) as sub-contractor for
           Romanian shipyards
                                        104
             The internal and external environment analysis of Romanian naval industry
Threats
        Macro-economical situation
            lack of a banking system specialized in shipping;
            lack of some mechanisms specialized in financing and bank guarantees;
            slight tendency of national currency devaluation.
        Competitive situation
            aggressive market strategies of many countries (Korea, China, Croatia) for
            their development on the world ship market;
            material expense increase tendency;
             increase the cost of manual work as a result of the accession to European
            Union;
            low possibilities to have access to the capital and money market.
Weaknesses
        Marketing
            lack of an aggressive market strategy.
        Finance
            difficulties in getting financing;
            lack of monetary liquidity.
        Technology-production
            sub-utilization of the present production capacities;
            low manual work costs;
            constant investments increase (9-10% /year).
        Organization management
            low labor productivity;
            low level of sub-contractors use a smaller development of environment
            protection management.
        In table 6 are presented the grand strategies of general companies which
include the quadrants of SWOT model (Stăncioiu and Militaru, 1999).
                                                                                            Table 5
               Grand strategies of complex company’s general level
   SWOT          Grand                                 Concrete strategies
  quadrant     strategies              Name                        Application directions
                                                       – On a market share
                                Concentration
                                                       – On a product
      Ι      Growth
                                Mergers and firms      – Peacefully
                                acquisition            – forced
             Traction forces                           – in the branch
                                Horizontal diversify
             in         risky                          conglomerate
     ΙΙ
             external           Mergers and firms      – Peacefully
             environment        acquisition            – forced
                                                       – Readjustment
     ΙΙΙ     Restriction        Reorganization         – Assets sale
                                                       – Shut down factories
                                                 105
Management & Marketing
   SWOT                Grand                                 Concrete strategies
  quadrant           strategies              Name                        Application directions
                                                             – Moratorium
                                      Bankruptcy
                                                             – forced liquidation
                                                             – National
                                      Joint Venture
                                                             – international
                                                             – Upstream
                                      Vertical integration
                  Exceeding                                  – Downstream
       ΙV
                  weakness                                   – Conglomerate
                                      Horizontal diversify
                                      Mergers with other     – Peaceful consolidation
                                      firms
            The next step is to draw out the evaluation matrix for internal and external
factors.
            The importance coefficients γ j of factors have received values between (0)
and (1) depending on factors considered influence over the naval industry success, so
    ∑
that γ j = 1 .
         Internal factors have received an Nj mark between (1) and (4) depending on
the factor type: weak or strong. This way, Nj=1 for very weak factors; Nj=2 for weak
factors; Nj=3 for strengths; Nj=4 for very strong factors.
         In table 6 and table 7 are presented the evaluation matrix of internal factors
and respective, the evaluation matrix of external factors which characterize the
Romanian naval industry.
                                                                               Table 6
         Evaluation matrix of some internal factors (strengths, weaknesses)
                                              Importance         Granted
  CN                Factor name                coefficient        mark                    γ j Nj
                                                   γj               Nj
            Great stock of orders, all
   1                                               0,08             4                     0,32
            addressed to the export
   2        Competitive prices                     0,10             4                     0,4
   3        Qualified work force                   0,08             4                     0,32
            Very good facilities: docks,
   4                                               0,05             3                     0,15
            shipway, sincrolift
            Modern technological
   5                                               0,12             4                     0,48
            processes
   6        Low manual work costs                  0,10             3                     0,30
            Specialized ships building
   7                                               0,05             3                     0,15
            abilities
            Integrated IT system:
   8        projection- production-                0,14             4                     0,56
            management
   9        Good ship quality                      0,09             3                     0,27
                                                       106
             The internal and external environment analysis of Romanian naval industry
                                        Importance     Granted
  CN            Factor name              coefficient    mark            γ j Nj
                                             γj           Nj
        Sub-utilization of production
  10                                       0,05          2              0,10
        capacities
        Lack of an aggressive
  11                                       0,02          1              0,02
        market strategy
        A smaller development of
  12    environment production             0,02          1              0,02
        management
        Weighted score γ j Nj
   -                                         1            -             3,09
         Evaluation matrix of external factors was made using the same algorithm,
considering a particular way of granting Nj marks, which is: Nj=1 for major dangerous
factors, Nj=2 for medium influence factors, Nj=3 for factors whose answer for naval
industry is over average, Nj=4 for factors to which the company responds accordingly.
                                                                                  Table 7
       Evaluation matrix of some external factors (opportunities, threats)
                                        Importance     Granted
  CN            Factor name              coefficient    mark            γj
                                             γj           Nj                 Nj
        Stable macro-economical
   1                                       0,10          3              0,30
        environment
        Favorable market
   2                                       0,15          4              0,60
        conjuncture
        Specialized ships demand
   3                                       0,10          3              0,30
        increase
        Favorable geographical
   4                                       0,05          2              0,10
        position
        Growth tendency of world
   5    export and international           0,10          3              0,30
        transport
        Lack of some mechanisms
   6    specialized in financing and       0,10          3              0,30
        banking guarantees
        Material expense increase
   7                                       0,10          1              0,10
        tendency
        Low possibilities to have
   8    access to the capital and          0,10          2              0,20
        money market
        Aggressive market strategies
   9                                       0,10          1              0,10
        of some countries for their
                                                 107
Management & Marketing
                                       Importance     Granted
  CN           Factor name              coefficient    mark              γj
                                            γj           Nj                   Nj
        development on the world
        ship market
        Increase the cost of manual
  10    work as a result of European      0,10          2                0,20
        Union accession
        Weighted score
   -                                        1            -               2,50
        γ j Nj
        After the weighted scores for evaluation matrix of internal and external factors
were obtained, the next step was to settle the SWOT model quadrant in order to
establish the Romanian naval industry position.
           4. Conclusion
        As a result of placing it in the SWOT model, the Romanian naval industry was
situated in the first quadrant. The identification of the SWOT quadrant facilities the
move to the final analysis’s step - to formulate the concrete strategy.
        According to grand strategies of complex companies’ general level, there are
four major strategies corresponding to the first quadrant, which are (Stăncioiu and
Militaru, 1999):
         1) concentration on a market share;
         2) concentration on a product;
         3) mergers and peaceful firms acquisitions;
         4) mergers and forced firms acquisitions.
         It is the responsible person’s problem to decide which one of these strategies
will be chosen.
         The strategy which Romanian naval industry must choose is the concentration
on a market share.
                                                108
              The internal and external environment analysis of Romanian naval industry
Ι - Growth strategies;
ΙΙ - Propelling strategies under risk conditions;
ΙΙΙ - Restriction strategies;
ΙV – Exceeding weaknesses strategies
 Figure 6. SWOT model utilization in order to identify the strategically quadrant where
                     the Romanian naval industry is situated
         References
Association of West European Shipbuilders and Ship repairers (AWES) (2003) Shipbuilding
    forecast, Annual Report, pp. 87-121
Association of West European Shipbuilders and Ship repairers (AWES) (2005) Average
    Earnings for Blue Collar Skilled Workers, pp.48-79
Catrinescu, Gh. (2002) Romanian Shipbuilding Industry, Present and Some
    Considerations About Perspectives, Doctoral Thesis, University “Dunărea de Jos” of
    Galaţi, România
Community of European Shipyard’s Association CESA (2006-2007) Annual report,
Korean Shipbuilding Association KSA (2007) World Shipbuilding and Market Development
    and New building Requirement Forecast and Shipbuilding Capacity Evaluation
Ministerul Industriei şi Comerţului (2000-2002) Annual report presented at the ANCONAV
Ministerul Industriei şi Comerţului (2003-2008) Annual report presented at the ANCONAV
Ministerul Industriei şi Comerţului (2006) Shipbuilding situation
NOBE Independent Center for Economic Studies (2004) The Shipbuilding and Ship Repair
    Sector in the Candidate countries: Poland, Estonia, the Czech Republic, Hungary and
    Slovenia, Accessed at: www.nobe.pl
Sladoljev, Z. (1998) Countries in Transition: Some of Croatia’s Aims in Shipyard
    Productivity Achievement, Journal of Ship Production, 14(1), pp. 56-60
Stancioiu, I., Militaru, Ghe. (1999) Management. Substantiate elements, Bucharest: Teora
    Publishing House
                                                109
Management & Marketing
Stranschi, C. (2002) Shipbuilding’s Performances in Romania, The works of National
    Association of Shipbuilders ANCONAV, pp.96-140
 The Shipbuilder’s Association of Japan (SAJ) (2007) New building Requirement Forecast,
    pp.122-160
***SWOT Analysis from www-denis.kearney@ul.ie
***Statistical Annuar of Romania (2007)
                                          110