University 0f Gondar
College of Business and Economics
    School of Management and Public
                   Administration
   Masters of Business Administration Program
                  Project Management
Project profile on the establishment of cotton yarn making plant
           By Fikreselassie.F
           Submitted to Yihays F. (PhD)
                                                         Table of Contents
         1. Executive Summary............................................................................1
         2. Product Description and Application..................................................1
         3. Market Study, Plant Capacity and Production Program................1
Market Study 1
Present Demand and Supply...........................................................................................................1
Projected Demand 3
Pricing and Distribution.................................................................................................................4
Plant Capacity 4
Production Program........................................................................................................................5
         4. Raw Materials and Utilities...........................................................5
Availability and Source of Raw Materials.....................................................................................5
Annual Requirement and Cost of Raw Materials and Utilities......................................................5
         5. Location and Site................................................................................6
         6. Technology and Engineering..............................................................6
Production Process.........................................................................................................................6
Machinery and Equipment.............................................................................................................6
Civil Engineering Cost...................................................................................................................7
         7. Human Resource and Training Requirement.................................7
Human Resource............................................................................................................................7
Training Requirement.....................................................................................................................8
         8. Financial Analysis..............................................................................8
Underlying Assumption.................................................................................................................8
Investment      9
Production Costs...........................................................................................................................10
Financial Evaluation.....................................................................................................................11
         9. Economic and Social Benefits and Justification...............................12
       1. Executive Summary
    The project envisages production of 400 tons of Cotton Yarn per annum. The total
    investment requirement of the project including the working capital is estimated at about
    Birr 8.1 million; of which 4 million is for building and construction, Birr 2.5 million is
    for machinery and equipments, and Birr 934 thousand is the cost of the working capital.
    Based on the cash flow statement, the calculated internal rate of return (IRR) of the
    project is 39.4 % and the net present value (NPV) at 18 % discounting rate is about Birr
    6,564 thousand. The plant is expected to create employment opportunities for about 51
    persons.
       2. Product Description and Application
    Cotton yarn is a type of yarn made from cotton fibers. Of various yarns in the world at
    present, the cotton yarn is predominant not only because it has many excellent properties
    in use but because it can be produced and supplied at stable and reasonable prices.
    Therefore, with a long history and accumulation of technical know-how as the largest
    textile industry of the world, the cotton yarn spinning industry has greatly improved its
    productivity based on modernized facilities.
    Most woven fabrics and knitwear fabrics are made from cotton yarn which is made in
    textile spinning factories. Yarn is produced to be an input for the weaving department in
    textile mills and to be sold in the market to the handloom industry where it is made to
    traditional clothes for women and men.
       3. Market Study, Plant Capacity and Production Program
Market Study
Present Demand and Supply
    Almost all Ethiopian wear traditional clothes- such as netela, gabi, kutta, buluko and
    others- made from cotton yarn by traditional weavers using traditional or semi-modern
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weaving machines. Besides, Ethiopian wear traditional dresses (Ye Habesha Libse)
woven by traditional weavers made from cotton yarn. Such demand for cotton yarn in
Ethiopia is met mainly from local suppliers who spin cotton manually in a very small
scale at a household level. Moreover, currently, large numbers of newly emerging cottage
industries (which are working on diversifying, upgrading and modernizing Ethiopian
traditional costumes) are demanding large amount of cotton yarn as their major input.
These cottage industries are being supplied by the existing textile factories which sell
cotton yarn after satisfying their own requirement of yarn to produce cotton fabrics. The
gap between the demand for yarn and the domestic supply is filled by imports;
particularly in the recent year there is a huge surge in the cotton yarn imports. Unless
there additional cotton yarn plants will be established in the country the import growth
seems to continue.
                                       Table 3.1
                     Domestic Production and Imports of Cotton Yarn
                        Year E.C Domestic Production Import
                                         (In Kg)          (In Kg)
                         2005                                   -
                                              2,657,000
                         2006                               3,707
                                              3,408,000
                         2007                               2,625
                                              3,977,000
                         2008                                  50
                                              5,726,000
                         2009                                   -
                                              7,736,000
                         2010                                  62
                                              5,467,000
                         2011                               2,342
                                              5,487,000
                         2012                             14,534
                                              4,299,000
                         2013                                446
                                              9,193,000
                         2014                             31,586
                                            10,736,000
                         Total
                                            58,686,000
                         Average
                                              5,668,600
In the past decade, except the slight declines witnessed in 2010 E.C and 2011 E.C the
local production of cotton yarn has exhibited a continues growth; which was computed to
be 17 % per annum on average. During the period, the average annual local production of
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    cotton yarn was nearly 5,669 tons. If we consider the past five years alone, this figure
    increases to more than 7,036 tons. In parallel to this, the import in cotton yarn has shown
    a big surge in the past three years. The price of the imported cotton yarn is very large as
    compared to the price of the local yarn. This clearly justifies the immediate establishment
    of additional cotton yarn producing plants in the country.
    There are only two textile mills in the whole ANRS; and one of them is about 50 years
    old with very little renovation during all these years. The two mills produce small
    quantities (up to 500 tons per year) of cotton yarn for the local market, but their yarn
    production is not sufficient to satisfy the yarn demand of the Region which is estimated
    to be more 2,500 tons of cotton yarn per annum.
    As a result, large quantities of yarn are supplied to the Region from other parts of the
    country and via imports. With the existing two textile mills getting old and obsolete, the
    production of yarn from these factories will decrease. To supply the yarn requirement of
    the Region from Regional production, one medium scale spinning mill is needed.
    Textile factories can be built either as integrated units (spinning and weaving) or as
    separate units like spinning or weaving. Spinning mills can have different capacities and
    still be viable. The yarn market in the ANRS can absorb the production of a small to
    medium spinning mill which can be viable technically and financially.
Projected Demand
    As noted earlier cotton yarn based clothes are very common in rural and urban Ethiopia.
    It is believed that this favorable market situation will persist in the future. Since income
    rise and population growth rate affect the demand for cotton yarn based domestic
    products, 10 % annual growth rate is taken to project the future demand. Besides, by
    ignoring the highly fluctuating cotton yarn import, the local production of cotton yarn in
    the year 1999 E.C is taken as base year figure for the projection (See Table 3.3).
                                                                                             3
                                          Table 3.3
                               Demand Projection for Cotton Yarn
                   Year E.C                   National                       ANRS
                                             ( In Tons)                    (In Tons)
                     1999                       10736                         2684
                     2000                       11810                         2952
                     2001                       12991                         3248
                     2002                       14290                         3572
                     2003                       15719                         3930
                     2004                       17290                         4323
                     2005                       19019                         4755
                     2006                       20921                         5230
                     2007                       23014                         5753
                     2008                       25315                         6329
                     2009                       27846                         6962
                     2010                       30631                         7658
     As it is seen in the above projection, the demand for cotton yarn at the national level is
     expected to reach at 19,019 tons in 2005 E.C and at 30,631 tons in 2010 while it is
     expected to reach at 4,755 tons and 7,658 ton in 2005 E.C and in 2010 E.C, respectively
     ,at ANRS level. This huge future demand clearly justifies the establishment of additional
     cotton yarn producing plant both at the regional and country level.
Pricing and Distribution
     The price of imported cotton yarn ranges from Birr 20 to Birr 35 per Kg depends on the
     quality and country of origin. The wholesale price of the locally produced cotton yarn
     ranges from Birr 22 to Birr 25 per kg. The envisaged plant is assumed to sell its product
     to the wholesalers at Birr 22 per Kg. The product will find its market outlet through the
     existing textile and yarn distributors throughout the country.
Plant Capacity
     Based on the available minimum economic capacity, it is envisaged to establish a plant
     with capacity of 400 ton per annum. The plant will operate 16 hours per day, in two shifts
     and 275 days per year. The working days are set by deducting Sundays and public
     holidays and assuming that annual maintenance works and unexpected work interruptions
     will take 25 days.
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Production Program
    Considering a little period needed for production skill development and market
    penetration, the capacity utilization rate in the first year is assumed to be 90 %; and it will
    be 100 % starting from the second year of the operation.
          4. Raw Materials and Utilities
          Availability and Source of Raw Materials
    The land resources of the ANRS can produce all the cotton that the region needs to
    produce the textile fabrics and yarn requirement of the people. Of course, to produce this
    cotton, large scale cotton plantation should be allowed to be started in suitable areas of
    the region.
          Annual Requirement and Cost of Raw Materials and Utilities
    The major raw material is cotton fiber, and its annual requirement is indicated in Table
    4.1.The total cost of raw material and other miscellaneous inputs is estimated to be Birr
    3.5 million.
                                      Table 4.1
                        ANNUAL RAW MATERIAL REQUIREMENT
                                (AT FULL CAPACITY)
                                                                            Cost(In Birr)
     No            Raw Material         Unit        Qty.
                                                                  F.C           L.C          Total
      1          Cotton Fiber          Tons         430                       3,440,000     3,440,000
      2         Miscellaneous
                   Materials                                       12,000          8,000       20,000
              Total                                                12,000      3,448,000    3,460,000
    Electricity and water requirement is about 816 MWH and 1000 m3, respectively. Based
    on this, the total annual cost of utility at full capacity is equal to Birr 451,450.
                                                                                                5
                                         Table 4.2
                                 UTILITIES REQUIREMENT
          No.          Utility          Requirement           Unit Price          Cost
                                         (Annual)                                (Birr)
          1.      Electricity            816 MWH           Birr0.55 /KWH          448,800
          2.      Water                   1,000 m3          Birr2.65 /m3            2,650
                    Total                                                        451,450
       5. Location and Site
    For its convenience to procure raw cotton, Gondar is an appropriate choice for the cotton
    yarn producing plant in the ANRS.
       6. Technology and Engineering
Production Process
    The major steps in the manufacturing process of cotton yarn are stack mixing, blow room
    carding, drawing open and spinning process, doubling cane winding and quality
    inspection.
    With regard to alternative technology, instead of buying lint cotton as a raw material, it is
    possible to have a cotton ginnery plant that changes the raw cotton into lint cotton. This
    involves higher investment cost but it also brings additional profit.
Machinery and Equipment
    The lists of machinery and equipments required to establish a cotton yarn producing
    plant is given below (Table 6.1).
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                                 TABLE 6.1
                     LIST OF MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT
             Name                                                                No.
             1. Open End Rotor Machine                                           1Set
             2. Humidification Plant                                             1Set
             3. Carding Plant                                                    1Set
             4. Mixing Bale Operator                                             1Set
             5. De-dusting Unit                                                  1Set
             6. SHS Draw Frame with 4 Deliveries                                 1Set
             7. Cotton Weighing Machine                                          1Set
             8. Combined Delivery Apparatus for One MBO                          1Set
             9. ERM Cleaners
             10. 2-Way Distributor
    The total cost of machinery and equipment is estimated at Birr 2.5 million of which Birr
    million is in foreign currency and Birr 300,000 in local currency.
    Machinery Suppliers Address:
    Company Name: Ozcelik Textile Machinery and Die Casting Co.
    Product: Spinning Machine
    Location: Ornek Sanayi Sitesi 12 St. No. 3, Kusget, Gazianep, Turkey
       6.3     Civil Engineering Cost
    The building area required by the plant is estimated to be 2000m 2, and it costs Birr
    4,000,000. This would include cost of land preparation and associated civil works. The
    total land area of the plant, including the open space, is 5000 m 2 and its lease cost equals
    Birr 300,000. The cost of the land lease is as per ANRS land lease rate for Gondar which
    is equal to Birr 60 per square meter for industrial purpose. Of the total cost of the lease 5
    % is paid in the beginning while the rest will be paid in 40years.
       7. Human Resource and Training Requirement
Human Resource
    Details of the manpower requirement of the plant is shown in Table 7.1
                                                                                              7
                                            Table 7.1
                               MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
              Description           No Monthly Salary                 Annual
                                           (Birr)                   Salary (Birr)
    A. Administration
    1. Manager                          1                   3000               36000
    2. Supervisors( Sift Leaders)       2                   1000               24000
    3. Technicians                      6                   1000               72000
    4. Personnel Officer                1                   1000               12000
    5. Accountant                       1                   1000               12000
    6.Seretary                          1                    800                9600
    7.Slaesman                          1                    800                9600
    8. Cashier                          1                    600                7200
    9. Storekeeper                      1                    600                7200
    10.Driver                           1                    600                7200
    10.Guards                           4                    300               14400
    Sub-total                         20                                     211,200
    B. Production
    1. Skilled workers (Operators)     21                    600             151200
    2. Unskilled Workers               10                    300
    (Assistants and Laborers)                                                  36000
    Benefits (20%)                                                            79,680
                                       51                                    478,080
    The total annual wages and salary, including 20 % benefits, amount to Birr 478,080.
Training Requirement
    One month on job training is required for the technical personnel. And this can be
    managed by hiring one or two experts in the area from the technology suppliers.
       8. Financial Analysis
Underlying Assumption
    The financial analysis of Cotton Yarn producing plant is based on the data provided in
    the preceding chapters and the following assumptions.
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             A. Construction and Finance
           Construction Period                      2 Years
           Source Of Finance                        40% Equity and 60% Loan
           Tax Holidays                             2 Years
           Bank Interest Rate                       12%
           Discount For Cash Flow                   18%
           Value Of Land                            Based on Lease Rate of ANRS
           Spare Parts, Repair & Maintenance        3% of the Fixed Investment
             B. Depreciation
           Building                                 5%
           Machinery And Equipment                  10%
           Office Furniture                         10%
           Vehicles                                 20%
           Pre-Production (Amortization)            20%
             C. Working Capital (Minimum Days of Coverage)
             Raw Material-Local                           30 Days
             Raw Material-Foreign                         120 Days
             Factory Supplies In Stock                    30 Days
             Spare Parts In Stock And Maintenance         30 Days
             Work In Progress                             10 Days
             Finished Products                            15 Days
             Accounts Receivable                          30 Days
             Cash In Hand                                 30 Days
             Accounts Payable                             30 Days
Investment
    The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr 8.1
    million as shown in Table 8.1 below. The Owner shall contribute 40 % of the finance in
    the form of equity while the remaining 60 % is to be financed by bank loan.
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                                                 Table 8.1
                                         Total Initial Investment
     Items                                    L.C                F.C                Total
     Land
                                                  15,000                                     15,000
     Building and Civil Works
                                                4,000,000                                4,000,000
     Office Equipment
                                                  100,000                                   100,000
     Vehicles
                                                  250,000                                   250,000
     Plant Machinery & Equipment                  300,000          2,200,000
                                                                                         2,500,000
     Total Fixed Investment Cost                4,665,000          2,200,000
                                                                                         6,865,000
     Pre Production Capital
     Expenditure*                                343,250                                    343,250
     Total Initial Investment                   5,008,250          2,200,000
                                                                                         7,208,250
     Working Capital at Full Capacity             934,235
                                                                                           934,235
     Total                                      5,942,485        2,200,000               8,142,485
    *Pre-production capital expenditure includes - all expenses for pre-investment studies, consultancy fee
    during construction and expenses for company‘s establishment, project administration expenses,
    commission expenses, preproduction marketing and interest expenses during construction.
    The foreign component of the project accounts for Birr 2.2 million or 27 % of the total
    investment cost.
Production Costs
    The total production cost at full capacity operation is estimated at Birr 5.8 million (See
    Table 8.2). Raw materials and utilities account for 67.9 %.
                                                                                                        10
                                         Table 8.2
                       PRODUCTION COST AT FULL CAPACITY
                      Raw Material Requirement     Cost
                      1.Local Raw Materials                              3,448,000
                      2.Foreign Raw Materials                               12,000
                          Total Production Cost at full Capacity
                                  Items                     Cost
                      1. Raw materials                                    3,460,000
                      2. Utilities                                          451,450
                      3. Wages and Salaries                                 478,080
                      4. Spares and Maintenance                             205,950
                          Factory Costs                                   4,595,480
                      5. Depreciation                                       578,650
                      6. Financial Costs
                                                                            586,259
                           Total Production Cost                          5,760,389
Financial Evaluation
                I.        Profitability
     According to the projected income statement (See Annex 4) the project will generate
     profit beginning from the first year of operation and increases on wards. The income
     statement and other profitability indicators also show that the project is viable.
                II.       Breakeven Analysis
     The breakeven point of the projects is given by the formula:
            BEP =                        Fixed Cost
                                     Sale –Variable Cost             at full capacity.
     The project will break even at 18.6 % of capacity utilization
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             III.   Payback Period
Investment cost and income statement projection are used in estimating the project
payback period. The projects will payback fully the initial investment less working
capital in two years.
             IV.    Simple Rate of Return
The project’s simple rate of return (SRR) is given by the formula:
SRR= (Net Profit + Interest)/ (Total Investment Outlay) at full capacity utilization.
The SRR would be 32.9 % at full capacity utilization.
             V.     Internal Rate of Return and Net Present Value
Based on cash flow statement (See Annex 2) the calculated internal rate of return (IRR)
of the project is 39.4 % and the net present value (NPV) at 18 % discount is Birr 6,564
thousands.
             VI.    Sensitivity Analysis
The sensitivity test result which undertaken by increasing the cost of production by 10 %
still indicates that the project would be viable.
   9. Economic and Social Benefits and Justification
Based on the foregoing presentation and analysis, we can learn that the proposed project
possesses wide range of benefits that complement the financial feasibility obtained
earlier. In general, the envisaged project promotes the socio-economic goals and
objectives stated in the strategic plan of the Amhara National Regional State. These
benefits are presented below:
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 A. Profit Generation
The project is found to be financially viable and earns on average a profit of Birr 2.5
million per year and Birr 25.2 million within the project life. Such result induces the
project promoters to reinvest the profit which, therefore, increases the investment
magnitude in the region.
 B. Tax Revenue
In the project life under consideration, the region will collect about Birr 8.6 million from
corporate tax payment alone (i.e. excluding income tax, sales tax and VAT). Such result
create additional fund for the regional government that will be used in expanding social
and other basic services in the region.
 C. Employment and Income Generation
The proposed project is expected to create employment opportunity to several citizens of
the country. That is, it will provide permanent employment to 51 professionals as well as
support stuffs. Consequently the project creates income of Birr 478 thousands per year.
This would be one of the commendable accomplishments of the project.
 D. Pro Environment Project
The proposed production process is environment friendly.
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