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Probability Calculations for Normal and Exponential Distributions

1. The value of X is 5.44 2. The probability is 0.9994 or 99.94% 3. The probability is 0.3015 or 30.15%

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Joel Arriola
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
402 views6 pages

Probability Calculations for Normal and Exponential Distributions

1. The value of X is 5.44 2. The probability is 0.9994 or 99.94% 3. The probability is 0.3015 or 30.15%

Uploaded by

Joel Arriola
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1. Suppose X is normally distributed with a mean of 5 and a standard deviation of 0.35.

Using the standard score formula, we find the z-score as 1.25. What is the value of X?

Given : Mean = 5
Standard deviation = 0.35
Z-score = 1.25
x=?

Solution : Formula: z = X – μ /σ  x = (z)(σ) + μ


x = (z)(σ) + μ

x = (1.25)(0.35) + 5

x = 0.4375 + 5

x = 5.4375  5.44

Checking:
z = x – μ /σ  z = 5.4375 – 5 /0.35 => 0.4375/0.35 => z = 1.25

Answer : The value of x is 5.44


2. What will be the probability if X ≥ 230, given that a normal distribution has µ = 240 and δ = 3.1

Given : Mean = 240

Standard deviation = 3.1


X ≥ x = X ≥ 230

Solution : Formula: P(X ≥ x) = 1 – P(Z ≥ x)

P(X ≥ 230) = Z = x – μ /σ

P(X ≥ 230) = Z = 230 – 240 / 3.1

P(X ≥ x) = Z = -10 / 3.1

P(X ≥ x) = Z = -3.23

Z-score value of -3.23 = 0.0006

P(Z ≥ -3.23) = 0.0006

P(X ≥ x) = 1 – P(Z ≥ x)

P(X ≥ x) = 1 – 0.0006

P(X ≥ x) = 0.9994 or 99.94%

Answer : The probability is 0.9994 or 99.94%.


3. The average hourly wage of workers at a fast-food restaurant is ₱338/hr. Assume the wages
are normally distributed with a standard deviation of ₱23. If a worker at this fast-food
restaurant is selected at random, what is the probability that the worker earns more than
₱350?

Given : Mean = 338

Standard deviation = 23
X > x= X > 350

Solution : Formula: P(X > x) = 1 - P(Z > x)

P(X > 350) = Z = x – μ /σ

P(X > 350) = Z = 350 – 338 /23

P(X > 350) = Z = -12 /23

P(X > 350) = Z = -0.52

Z-score value of -0.52 = 0.6985

P(Z > x) = 0.6985

P(X > 350) = 1 - P(Z > x)

P(X > 350) = 1 – 0.6985

P(X > 350) = 0.3015 or 30.15%

Answer : The probability is 0.3015 or 30.15%.


4. On the day before an exam in an online class, students e-mailed questions to the professor at a
rate of 1 every 18 minutes, exponentially distributed. Determine the probability that the
interval between succeeding messages is more than an hour.

Given : Mean = 1/18  0.05555555556

x = 1 hour  60
X = exponentially distributed e-mailed questions

Solution : Formula: P(X > x) = e


-μx

-μx
P(X > 60) = e
-(0. 05555555556)(60)
P(X > 60) = e
-3.3333
P(X > 60) = e

P(X > 60) = 0.035674  0.0357 or 3.57%

Answer : The probability is 0.0357 or 3.57%.


5. For an exponential distribution, what is the probability that the value of the exponential
random variable with parameter µ = 3 will be having a value higher that 0.2454?

Given : Mean = 3

x = 0.2454
X = exponential random variable

Solution : Formula: P(X > x) = e


-μx

-(3)(0.2454)
P(X > 0.2454) = e
-0.7362
P(X > 0.2454) = e

P(X > 0.2454) = 0.4789 or 47.89%

Answer : The probability is 0.4789 or 47.89%.


6. A normal distribution has a mean of 8 and a standard deviation of 10. What is the probability
of selecting a value between 7 and 9.5?

Given : Mean = 8

Standard deviation = 10
P(x1 < X < x2) = P(7 < X < 9.5)

-μx1
Solution : Formula: P(x1 < X < x2) = P(X < x2) - P(X < x1) = e - e-μx2
P(X < x1) = z = x – μ /σ  P(X < 7) = z = 7 – 8 /10

P(X < 7) = z = – 1/10  -0.1

Z-score value of z = 0.4602

P(X < x2) = z = x – μ /σ  P(X < 9.5) = z = 9.5 – 8 /10

P(X < 9.5) = z = 1.5/10  0.15

Z-score value of z = 0.5596

-(8)(0.4602)
P(7 < X < 9.5) = P(X < 9.5) - P(X < 7) = e - e-(8)(0.5596)
-(3.6816)
P(7 < X < 9.5) = P(X < 9.5) - P(X < 7) = e - e-(4.4768)
P(7 < X < 9.5) = P(X < 9.5) - P(X < 7) = 0.02518265034 – 0.01136973817

P(7 < X < 9.5) = P(X < 9.5) - P(X < 7) = 0.01381291217  0.0138 or 1.38%

Answer : The probability is 0.0138 or 1.38%

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