Steel June 2021
Steel June 2021
Steel June 2021
June 2021
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Table of Contents
Executive Summary 3
Advantage India 4
Market Overview 6
Growth Drivers 21
Opportunities 27
Appendix 32
2
Executive summary
3
Advantage India
4
Advantage India
1. Robust Demand 4. Increasing Investment
► India’s finished steel consumption is ► To achieve steel capacity build-up of
anticipated to increase to 230 MT by 300 MTPA by 2030, India would
2030-31 from 93.43 MT in 2020-21. need to invest US$ 156.08 billion by
2030-31.
► In April 2021, India’s finished steel
consumption stood at 6.78 MT. ► The industry is witnessing
consolidation of players, which has
► To drive post COVID-19 economic
led to investment by entities from
recovery, for the government has
other sectors. The ongoing
planned investments in roads,
consolidation also presents an
railways, metro connectivity, industrial
parks, industrial corridors, DFC,
1 4 opportunity to global players to enter
the Indian market.
transportation of water, oil and gas,
transmission towers, affordable
housing. All these sectors will drive 3. Policy Support
demand for steel. ADVANTAGE
INDIA ► The National Steel Policy (NSP) 2017
was implemented to encourage the
2 3 industry to reach global benchmarks.
2. Competitive Advantage ► Government introduced Steel Scrap
Recycling Policy to reduce import.
► As of 2019, India is the world’s
second-largest producer of crude ► Export duty of 30% has been levied on
steel (up from eighth spot in 2003) iron ore* (lumps and fines) to ensure
with 111.2 MT. supply to domestic steel industry.
► Easy availability of low-cost ► The Government of India raised import
manpower and presence of abundant duty on most steel items twice, each
iron ore reserves make India time by 2.5%, and imposed measures
competitive in the global set up. including anti-dumping and safeguard
duties on iron and steel items.
► India is home to fifth-highest reserves
of iron ore in the world. ► Under the Union Budget 2021-22, the
government allocated Rs. 39.25 crore
Notes: MT - Million Tonnes, FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, ^National Steel Policy 2017, #USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries
2020, *except low grade (below 58% ), MT- million tonnes , MoM – month over month
(US$ 5.4 million) to the Ministry of
Source: Metallurgical and Materials Engineering Division Board Steel.
5
Market Overview
MARKET OVERVIEW
6
Evolution of the Indian steel sector
Production of steel Mysore Iron and Hindustan Steel Ltd SAIL was created in • Foreign players • In 2019, India
started in India Steel Company was and Bokaro Steel 1973 as a holding began entering the ranked as the
(TISCO was setup set up in 1923. Ltd. were setup in company to oversee Indian steel market second-largest
in 1907) According to the 1954 and 1964, most of India's iron • No license crude steel producer
IISC was set up in new Industrial Policy respectively. and steel requirement for in the world.
1918 to compete Statement (1948), In the early 1990s, production. capacity creation • Between April 2020
• Imposition of export and January 2021,
with TISCO. new ventures were the public sector In 1989, SAIL
duty on iron ore, to India’s cumulative
only undertaken by dominated steel acquired Vivesvata
focus more on production of crude
the central production. Iron and Steel Ltd.
catering growing steel stood at 87.21
Government. Private players were In 1993, the domestic demand MT and finished
in downstream Government set • Decontrol of steel at 76.04 MT.
production mainly plans in motion to domestic steel
producing finished partially privatise prices
steel using crude SAIL. • Launch of Scheme
steel products. for promotion of
Research and
Development in Iron
and Steel sector.
Notes: (1)TISCO - Tata Iron and Steel Company; IISC - Indian Iron and Steel Company; SAIL -Steel Authority of India Ltd; MT- million tonnes
7
Structure of the steel sector
Steel
Finished Non-alloy
Liquid steel Crude steel Alloy Structural steel
steel steel
Low
Ingots Flat Stainless carbon Construction steel
steel
Medium
Silicon Rail steel
Semis Non-flat carbon
electrical
steel
High
High
carbon
speed
steel
8
Steel production capacity has expanded rapidly
290
300
265
240
BOF
215 32.99
190
165 49.45
140
142
142
EAF
138
115
128
122
90
65
40
15 28.48 IF
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY31P
India’s steel production capacity has expanded rapidly over the past few years, growing at a CAGR of 3.93% from 122 MT in FY16 to 142 MT in
FY20. The National Steel Policy 2017 has envisaged achieving up to 300 MT of production capacity by 2030-31.
BF-BOF route is expected to contribute 65% of the capacity, while the remaining 35% is expected to come from EAF & IF routes.
Expansion of production capacity to 300 MT will translate into additional investment of Rs. 10 lakh crore (US$ 156.08 billion) by 2030-31.
Steel companies are looking to restart expansion projects on the back of surging steel process with a capacity addition of 29 MT.
Note: P - Projection, BF-BOF - Blast Furnace-Blast Oxygen Furnace, EAF - Electric Arc Furnace, IF - Induction Furnace, MT- million tonnes
Source: Joint Plant Committee, Ministry of Steel, New articles
9
Steel production in India has been growing at a fast pace
Total crude steel production (million tonnes) Total finished steel production (million tonnes)
140.0
120
120.0
126.86
120.14
110.92
108.50
100
103.13 100.0
106.60
97.95
101.03
101.29
89.79
80
102.49
80.0
94.66
60 60.0
40 40.0
20 20.0
0.0
0
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
The steel sector contributes over 2% to India’s GDP. Also, it employs 500,000 people directly and 2.50 million indirectly.
In FY21, production of crude steel and finished steel stood a 102.49 MT and 94.66 MT, respectively.
To support MSMEs, the government has reduced customs duty on stainless steel to 7.5%.
In FY20, crude steel production and finished steel production in stood at 108.50 MT and 101.03 MT, respectively.
According to CARE Ratings, crude steel production is expected to reach 112-114 MT, an increase of 8-9% YoY, in FY22. This demand will be
supported by economic recovery, government spending and enhanced liquidity.
• The Union Budget 2021-22 has a 34.5% YoY increase in allocation for capex at 5.54 lakh crore (US$ 74.60 billion). The budget’s focus is on
creating infrastructure and manufacturing to propel the economy. In addition, enhanced outlays for key sectors such as defence services,
railways, and roads, transport and highways would provide impetus to steel consumption.
10
Demand has outpaced supply over the last five years
Consumption of finished steel (in million tonnes) Per-capita consumption of steel (in kgs)
70.00
74.10
100.0
68.90
100.01
97.54
65.25
60.00
63.99
61.15
80.0 90.71
84.04
81.52
50.00
93.43
60.0 40.00
40.0 30.00
20.00
20.0
10.00
0.0
0.00
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
In April 2021, India’s finished steel consumption stood at 6.78 MT. The National Steel Policy aims to increase per capita steel consumption to 160
kgs by 2030-31.
It is expected that consumption per capita would increase, supported by rapid growth in the industrial sector and rising infra expenditure projects
in railways, roads and highways, etc.
The government has a fixed objective of increasing rural consumption of steel from the current 19.6 kg/per capita to 38 kg/per capita by 2030-31.
11
Trends in import and export of steel
Exports and imports of finished steel stood at 10.79 MT and 4.75 MT, respectively, in FY21. In April 2021, India’s export rose by 121.6% YoY,
compared with 2020. In FY20, India exported 8.24 MT of finished steel.
Import destinations of finished steel from India: Apr-21 vs. Apr-20 Finished steel export and import (in million tonnes)
15% 18% 14
3% 1%
3% 39% 4%
4% 12
Apr-21 4% Apr-20 50%
11.71
6%
10.79
19% 10
17%
9.62
17%
8.24
8.24
Korea China Japan Taiwan Germany Vietnam Others
7.83
7.48
7.22
6.69
Finished steel export source countries to India: Apr-21 vs. Apr-20 6
6.36
4.75
15% 16% 4
4.08
29%
15% 2
Apr-21 Apr-20 20%
57%
6% 0
13%
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
6% 4%
3%
7% 9%
Begium Italy Turkey Spain Vietnam Hongkong Nepal Others Imports Exports
12
Key players of the industry
Company Products
13
Key steel plants in India
SAIL
Tata Steel
14
Steel SEZs in India
Tata Steel Special Economic Zone (TSSEZ) Gopalpur, Odisha Steel and allied downstream industries
Source: Formal approvals granted in the Board of Approvals after the SEZ rules coming into force, Special Economic Zones in India website, www.sezindia.nic.in
15
Recent Trends and Strategies
16
Notable trends in the Indian steel industry… (1/3)
1
Growing investment
In June 2021, Mr. T.V. Narendran, the newly elected CII president and MD of Tata Steel, in an interview with The Telegraph, stated that steel
companies have firmed their plans to invest ~Rs. 60,000 crore (US$ 8.09 billion) over the next three years—this is was the biggest private
sector investment plan announced in recent times.
In April 2021, in a virtual roundtable conference organised by the Indian Chamber of Commerce, Mr. Shin Bongkil, the South Korean
Ambassador to India, announced that POSCO, the South Korean steel giant, is planning to set up an integrated steel plant in Odisha at an
investment of US$ 12 billion, which would make it the country's biggest FDI project.
In March 2021, Arcelor Mittal Steel signed Rs 50,000 crore deal with Odisha government to setup a steel plant in the state.
Most of the companies in the industry are undertaking modernisation and expansion of plants to be more cost efficient. E.g. SAIL has
undertaken modernisation and expansion for its 6 plants.
The production capacity of SAIL is expected to increase from 13 MTPA to 50 MTPA in 2025 with total investment of US$ 24.88 billion.
On July 02, 2020, ArcelorMittal Group announced plans to invest Rs. 20,000 crore (US$ 2.84 billion) in Gujarat.
Between April 2000 and Septemeber 2020, Indian metallurgical industries attracted FDI of US$ 14.24 billion.
2
Strategic alliances
In June 2021, JSW Steel, CSIR-National Chemical Lab (NCL), Scottish Development International (SDI) and India H2 Alliance (IH2A) joined
forces to commercialise hydrogen in steel and cement sectors.
In May 2021, JSW Steel signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to conduct a feasibility study with its strategic alliance partner JFE
Steel Corporation to establish a Grain Oriented Electrical Steel Sheet Manufacturing and Sales Joint-Venture Company in India.
In March 2021, JSW Steel completed its takeover of debt-ridden Bhushan Power and Steel Ltd. This boosted its overall output to 21.5 mtpa.
17
Notable trends in the Indian steel industry… (2/3)
3
Entry of international companies
Attracted by the growth potential of the Indian steel industry, several global steel players have been planning to enter the market.
In February 2020, GFG Alliance acquired Adhunik Metaliks and its arm, Zion Steel, for Rs. 425 crore (US$ 60.81 million), marking its entry
into the Indian steel market.
CarVal Investors, the investment arm of US-based agri group, Cargill, has offered around Rs. 2,000 crore (US$ 277.20 million) along with
Asset Reconstruction Company (India) Ltd. for the purchase of Uttam Value Steels and Uttam Galva Metallics.
4
Increased emphasis on technological innovations
In the wake of COVID-19 pandemic, Tata Steel has geo-fenced its plant premises to track the movement of employees to track and manage
any COVID-19 cases amongst its employees.
Companies are attempting coal gasification and gas-based direct-reduced iron (DRI) production. Other alternative technologies such as
Hismelt, Finex and ITmk3 being adopted to produce hot metal.
Provisional Worldsteel report indicates that the global DRI output stood at 15.31 MT from January to February 2021, up 0.9% over same
period last year, driven by India (6.4 MT, 42% share) at the number one spot.
The Ministry of Steel has issued necessary direction to the steel companies to frame a strategy for taking up more R&D projects by spending
at least 1% of their sales turnover to facilitate technological innovations in the steel sector.
The Ministry has established a task force to identify the need for technology development and R&D.
The Ministry has adopted energy efficiency improvement projects for mills operating with obsolete technologies.
In January 2021, the Ministry of Steel, signed a Memorandum of Cooperation with the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Government
of Japan, to boost the steel sector through joint activities under the framework of India–Japan Steel Dialogue.
In February 2021, Tata Steel BSL collaborated with FarEye, a software logistics firm, to improve its digital transformation process.
18
Notable trends in the Indian steel industry… (3/3)
5
Vehicle Scrappage Policy to reduce steel prices
India is spreading its wings further to foray into another highly potential, yet untapped metal industry.
The recently announced ‘Vehicle Scrappage Policy’ intends to de-clutter the country of its huge automobile and white goods waste through
recycling.
This proposed policy seeks to phase out unfit vehicles to reduce vehicular pollution, meet the climate commitments, improve road safety and
fuel efficiency, formalise the vehicle scrapping industry and recover low-cost materials for the automotive, steel and electronics industries.
Primarily, this new policy aims to boost new vehicles sales, which will stimulate the economy. Automobile manufacturers and the allied
industry will benefit from this policy.
With the scrapping of old vehicles, raw materials such as plastic, copper, aluminium, steel and rubber will be recycled. This will bring down
the cost component and help the industry become more cost competitive.
6
Steel plants as heroes tackling India’s oxygen scarcity
Steel plants across the country ramped up supply of essential liquid medical oxygen from 538 metric tonnes per day in April 2021, to >4,000
metric tonnes, with supplies touching 4,435 metric tonnes, as of May 17, 2021.
In April 2021, India faced a severe shortage of oxygen cylinders for COVID patients.
It was only a year ago that the central government, for the first time ever, permitted manufacturers of industrial oxygen to produce and sell
gas for medical use. The decision proved to be a life saver during the pandemic.
Currently, 28 oxygen units located in major public and private sector steel plants are supplying ~1,500 metric tonnes of medical oxygen per
day (MTPD) across the country, as per data by the Ministry of Steel.
Some steel plants are also filling oxygen cylinders and supplying to the states and hospitals.
19
Strategies adopted
CAPACITY EXPANSION
Companies in the steel industry are investing heavily in expanding their capacity. Major public and private
companies, including Tata Steel, SAIL and JSW Steel, are expanding their production capacity.
In September 2020, the state-owned steel major SAIL reported doubling of capacity in 5 of its plants. It had
undertaken modernisation and expansion at its steel plants at Bhilai, Bokaro, Rourkela, Durgapur, and
Burnpur. Crude steel capacity has increased from 12.8 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) to 21.4 MTPA.
A long-term perspective is to achieve capacity of 300 MTPA by 2030 as per National Steel Policy 2017.
1 Tata Steel is expanding the capacity of its Kalinganagar plant from 3 MTPA to 8 MTPA with an estimated
investment of Rs. 23,500 crore (US$ 36.46 billion). The expansion is likely to be completed by 2021 or early
2022. It is expected to improve margins and lead to cost effectiveness. The company is planning to increase
its overall installed capacity to 30 MTPA by 2025 from the current 18.5 MTPA.
In JSW Steel has undertaken capacity expansion at its Dolvi unit in Maharashtra. It is investing around Rs.
15,000 crore (US$ 2.24 billion) to double the capacity of its plant to 10 MT. The plans have been delayed
due to unavaiability of labour due to COVID-19 lockdowns. The company now expects to finish the
expansion by first half of 2022.
In May 2021, JSW Steel announced the steel-making expansion at its Vijayanagar plant by 5 MT every year
to 17 MT every year, by the financial year ending March 2024.
2 The steel sector is going through a phase of consolidation and companies operating in the sector are
expected to undertake brownfield investments for expansion.
In June 2021, Shyam Metalics and Energy Ltd. (SMEL) announced that the company is planning to double
its production capacity at an estimated investment of ~Rs. 2,894 crore (US$ 389.72 million) through
brownfield expansion at two of its units in the next 3-4 years.
In March 2019, ArcelorMittal was declared as the winning bidder to acquire Essar Steel for a consideration
of Rs. 42,000 crore (US$ 5.82 billion).
Note: GDP - Gross Domestic Product, MTPA - Million tonnes per annum
Source: CCI, Ministry of External Affairs
20
Growth Drivers
GROWTH DRIVERS
21
Strong demand and policy support driving investments
Resulting in
the automotive MoUs signed to boost
Inviting the National Steel Policy
sector investment in steel
2017 and laid down a
As per the Union broad strategy for
Budget 2019-20, the Foreign investment of
encouraging long term
Government’s push nearly US$ 40 billion
growth for the Indian steel
to infrastructure committed in the steel
industry by 2030-31.
sector will increase sector
the demand for steel
22
Capital goods, consumer durables and automotive further
driving steel growth
CAGR 9.91% 25
21.88
20.71 20.84
25.00 19.76
20 18.05
20.00 15.34
21.18 15
15.00
10
3.79
3.41
3.38
3.29
2.77
2.71
10.00
10.93
1.01
0.86
5
0.81
0.78
0.72
0.57
5.00
0
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
0.00
2018 2025F
Passenger Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Two & Three Wheelers
Between 2018-25F, the appliance and consumer electronics (ACE) sector will expand at a CAGR of 9.91%, contributing to the growth of the steel
industry.
Growth in automobile production is also expected to augment growth in steel production. Automobile production in India stood at 18.6 million units
in FY21. According to ICRA, the Indian passenger vehicle (PV) industry is expected to post a growth of 22-25% in FY22.
In March 2021, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) revised the outlook for the auto sector to 'improving for FY22' from negative, backed by
likely revival across segments, positive consumer sentiments amid macroeconomic tailwinds after recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic.
The rating agency expects auto volumes to increase by 16-20% YoY in FY22 after recording a decline of ~14% YoY in FY21.
Gross Value Added (GVA) of the construction industry at current prices increased at a CAGR of 8.4% between FY16 and FY20. Since
construction industry is a major consumer of steel, expansion across construction industry will translate into growth of steel sector.
Notes: F- Forecast, FY - Indian Financial Year (April - March), *Provisional Estimates of National Income, * - As per 2nd advanced estimate
Source: SIAM, PwC, CEAMA
23
Policy support aiding growth in the steel sector… (1/2)
Steel Clusters
In September 2020, the Ministry of Steel prepared a draft framework policy for development of steel clusters in the country.
The draft framework policy is aimed at facilitating and establishing greenfield steel clusters, along with development and expansion of the
existing steel clusters.
FDI
100% FDI through the automatic route is allowed in the Indian steel sector.
24
Policy support aiding growth in the steel sector… (2/2)
Duty drawback benefits
In October 2020, Directorate General of Foreign Trade announced that steel manufacturers in the country can avail duty drawback benefits
on steel supplied through their service centres, distributors, dealers and stock yards
Source: The Economic Times, Ministry of Steel, Business Standard, Make In India
25
The sector witnessed rising investments in the last decade
Date announced Acquirer name Target name Value of deal (US$ million)
Uttam Galva Metallics Limited (UGML)
Jan-21 Nithia Capital and CarVal Investors 273.00
and Uttam Value Steel Limited (UVSL)
Oct-20 JSW Steel Ltd. Asian Colour Coated Ispat 211.89
Mar-20 Arcelor Mittal Nippon Steel India Bhander Power plant -
Feb-20 JSW Steel Ltd. Bhushan Power and Steel 2,818.72
Mar-19 ArcelorMittal Essar steel 5,821.21
Sep-18 Tata Steel Usha Martin Ltd (Specialty Steel Business) 641.41-701.07
Aug-18 Nippon Steel and Sumitomo Metal Corp. Sanyo Special Steel Co Ltd. -
Jul-18 Aion Investments-JSW Steel Monnet Ispat and Energy 428.85
Jul-18 Liberty House Adhunik Metals 58.42
Jun-18 Vedanta Star Ltd. Electrosteel Steels 825.45
May-18 Tata Steel Ltd. Bhushan Steel 5,461.60
Dec-17 Tata Steel Ltd. Bhubaneshwar Power 39.5
Jan-17 Tata Steel Ltd. Creative Port Development Pvt Ltd. -
Aug-16 JSW Steel Ltd. Praxair Oxygen Pvt. Ltd. 36
Aug-16 Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd. VSL Steels Ltd. 23.68
Aug-14 JSW Steel Ltd. Welspun Maxsteel Ltd. 165.85
Apr-14 JSW Steel Ltd. Vallabh Tinplate Pvt Ltd. 7.63
Mar-14 Lalitanjali Group Pvt Ltd. Centom Industries Ltd. -
Dec-13 Venus Insec Pvt Ltd. Goodluck Steel Tubes Ltd. 23.73
26
Opportunities
OPPORTUNITIES
27
Opportunities… (1/2)
The automotive industry is The capital goods sector The infrastructure sector More and more modern and
forecast to reach US$ 260- accounts for 11% of the accounts for 9% of steel private airports are
300 billion by 2026. total steel consumption consumption and is expected to expected to be set up.
and is expected to increase to 11% by 2025-26.
The industry accounts for In FY19, passenger traffic at
increase 14-15% by
around 10% of the demand Due to rising investment in Indian airports stood at
2025-26. It has the
for steel in India. infrastructure the demand for 344.69 million.
potential to increase in
steel products would increase in
With increasing capacity tonnage and market The number of operational
the years ahead.
addition in the automotive share. airports stood at 103 as on
industry, demand for steel 70% of the country’s 31 March 2019.
Corporate India’s capex
from the sector is expected infrastructure, estimated at Rs. 6
is expected to grow and Development of tier II city
to be robust. lakh crore (US$ 89.50 billion), is
generate greater airports will sustain
yet to come up. Thus, a
demand for steel. consumption growth.
significant growth potential for
steel sector is present.* Estimated steel
consumption in constructing
For various infrastructure
airports is likely to grow
sectors, including real estate and
more than 20% over the
power, the Ministry of Finance
next few years.
planning to set up a stress fund.
The Government of India has allocated Rs. 111 lakh crore (US$1.4 trillion) under the National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) for FY2019-25. Sectors
such as energy (24%), roads (18%), urban (17%) and railways (12%) account for ~71% of the projected infrastructure investments in India.
Note: Capex - Capital Expenditure, P - Provisional, *According to Mr. Chaudhary Birender Singh, Minister of Steel
Source: Make In India, SIAM, Ministry of Steel, Airport Authority of India
28
Opportunities… (2/2)
The Dedicated Rail Freight India’s primary energy The Government has Rural India is expected to
Corridor (DRFC) network consumption of oil and gas envisaged capacity addition reach per capita
expansion would be
is expected to increase to of 58,384 MW from consumption of 12-14 kgs of
enhanced in the future.
10 mbpd and 14 bcfd, conventional sources finished steel by 2020.
Introduction of high-speed respectively, by 2040. between 2017-22*. Also, the
bullet trains and metro Policies like Pradhan Mantri
Government is targeting to
trains will increase steel This would lead to an Awa Yojana and Pradhan
usage. achieve 175 GW of
increase in demand of steel Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana
renewable power
Gauge conversion, setting tubes and pipes, providing a are driving growing demand
up of new lines and generation capacity by
lucrative opportunity for the for steel in rural India.
electrification would drive 2022.
steel industry.
demand for steel. In FY19, per capita
This will lead to
The Indian Railways is consumption of steel in rural
enhancement in both
planning to procure over 11 India was estimated to be
transmission and
lakh tons of steel from the between 10-15 kgs.
Steel Authority of India distribution capabilities,
Limited (SAIL) for track thereby raising steel
renewal and laying new demand from the sector.
lines across the country.
Note: RE - Revised Estimates, mbpd - million barrels per day, bcfd - billion cubic feet per day, *National Electricity Plan 2018
Source: Make In India, Ministry of Power
29
Key Industry Contacts
30
Key industry contacts
Udyog Bhavan
New Delhi - 110011
Fax : 91-11-23063236
Ministry of Steel
Phone : 91-11-23063417
Email: sharma.aman@nic.in
Website: www.steel.gov.in
31
Appendix
32
Glossary
US$ : US Dollar
Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number
33
Exchange rates
Year Rs. Equivalent of one US$ Year Rs. Equivalent of one US$
2004-05 44.95 2005 44.11
34
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35