Tampa Report Final Draft
Tampa Report Final Draft
September 2009
Pim Quaedackers
Victor van der Linden
Diederik de Boer
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report presents the findings of a research conducted from July – September 2009 in the dairy
sector in Tanzania. The focus of this research was on the organization of milk collection centers with
the aim of ensuring a more stable and reliable supply of milk to the milk processors in Tanzania.
After an initial literature study of value chain literature and literature about the dairy sector in
Tanzania the research continued with a stakeholder consultation in order to get a better
understanding of the Tanzanian dairy sector. During this phase of the research a typology of 4
different models for milk collection was developed that served as a foundation for the analysis of the
data. The models within this typology are: the processor-smallholder model; the NGO-facilitated
model; the Cooperative model: and the processor-largeholder model. These models were compared
on 15 discriminating variables in order to create a clear distinction between the models.
From these 15 discriminating factors, 5 critical success factors were distilled that are assumed to
comprehend the major challenges and opportunities when organizing milk collection centers in
Tanzania. These critical factors are: pricing mechanisms; trust & farmer commitment; ownership &
power relations; management; and middlemen. Each model was scored along these 5 critical success
factors to indicate which its strengths and weaknesses are and where the opportunities and threats
lie. During the field research and analysis of the data, several recommendations were developed that
suggest how the models can improve on each critical success factor and show what the models can
learn from each other.
The strength of this research lies in the fact that a typology is developed for organizing milk collection
that can be used and applied in several different contexts. For milk processors this is a useful tool as
it provides a rather detailed analysis of their milk collection centers and provides them with the
opportunity to learn from the other models. For investors, this information might serve as a guideline
or checklist when making investment decisions in the Tanzanian dairy sector. For NGOs and
government this analysis is useful because it enables them to identify gaps in the structure of the
value chain which they can strengthen and support. And for farmers this report can prove very
valuable as it might help develop a more stable market for their milk while at the same time it might
create more opportunities for them to develop themselves as professional dairy farmers.
2
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This report has been prepared by Round Table Africa on behalf of Tanzania Milk Processors
Association (TAMPA) and SNV, Netherlands Development organization. The authors would like to
thank everyone who delivered a direct or indirect contribution to this final report.
Special thanks go to the members of TAMPA who showed the vision to request this research into the
organization of milk collection centers in the Tanzanian dairy sector. Their facilitation in terms of
providing information for this research and their openness during our discussions have provided the
foundations for this report.
Special thanks also go to SNV, and Mr. Christopher Shyers in particular. Mr. Shyers has provided
extensive support throughout the entire research and played a vital facilitating role. Also his
comments and suggestions regarding the analysis were very much appreciated, and led to a better
understanding of the information that was collected.
Finally, special thanks go to Mr. John Mlay from SNV, for his good care and company during the field
research in the Mwanza and Mara regions.
Table of Contents
5
List of figures:
Figure 1: Milk flow ............................................................................................................................ 14
Figure 2: Pricing mechanisms ............................................................................................................ 34
List of Tables:
Table 1: Regional indicators .............................................................................................................. 17
Table 2: Research sample per region and model of milk collection .................................................... 23
Table 3: Discriminating factors of the 4 models of milk collection ..................................................... 26
Table 4: The Critical Success Factors scored per model ..................................................................... 43
List of boxes:
Box 1: Side-selling at MCC level; the consequences of lack of trust.................................................... 36
Box 2: Maintenance, who does it? .................................................................................................... 38
Box 3: Manager vs. Agent, payment as a performance-incentive....................................................... 40
Box 4: Building farmer commitment by agents .................................................................................. 41
Box 5: Milk collection in an enabling institutional environment – an example from India .................. 50
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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS & DEFINITIONS
Zero Grazing2 An animal husbandry strategy in which the plant material is harvested daily
and fed to livestock in a dry lot.
1
http://medical-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/pastoralism
2
http://medical-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/zero+grazing
1. SETTING OFF: RESEARCH RATIONALE, OBJECTIVES AND APPROACH
The dairy industry is a relatively small industry in Tanzania. It is slowly recovering from a fast
decline in the 1990s when the large state-owned companies were privatized but proved
uncompetitive. Many of these companies disappeared and only a marginal milk sector
remained in Tanzania. Currently, there are several companies in the market that are slowly
expanding but at the same time face many obstacles in this process. The major problems are
the strong foreign competition, small domestic market, lack of financial means and difficulties
in sourcing large amounts of milk of stable quality.
TAMPA commissioned a research on milk collection, focusing on the regions of Mara and
Mwanza. The original aim of the research was twofold. Firstly, to identify locations with a
surplus of milk that is not consumed or sold in the Mara and Mwanza regions in order to
attract investments for milk collections centers. Secondly, the question was how to organize
these collection centers in order to ensure a stable and reliable milk supply.
Extrapolation of an initial impression of the main products, procedures and business principles
in the dairy industry in Tanzania began with a field visit to Babati where smallholder farmers
are managing their own milk collection centers with the support of a local NGO. In addition,
explorative interviews with both key industry informants (e.g., representatives of NGOs,
Ministries, Tanzania Dairy Board) and milk processors (in Mara, Arusha, Tanga and Coastal
Region) where conducted in order to understand the recent developments in the industry and
the economic, technological and institutional issues at play for both processors and producers
of milk. Moreover, a desk-study of the available research on the Tanzanian milk industry was
conducted. The work of Match Maker Associates (2008) was particularly useful as it included a
detailed overview of the value chain of milk.
This preliminary stage, however, revealed that the processors in the Mara and Mwanza regions
already possess a detailed knowledge of the availability of milk in both regions and thus where
to best collect their milk. Yet, there is limited insight into the organization of such milk
collection. Indeed, the preliminary data collection revealed that different models of milk
collection centers are operant in the Tanzanian diary regions. By closely examining the
operations of these milk collection centers, the study could provide insight in the advantages
and disadvantages of each organizational model found. This information is valuable for all
processors in the dairy industry when (a) aiming for improvement of their milk collection and
(b) establishing new collection centers. Hence, in consultation with TAMPA and SNV, it was
decided to refocus the research on the second aim of this research assignment: the
organization of milk collection.
This research aims to contribute insights into the different organizational models in sourcing
large amounts of milk of stable quality in order to strengthen the milk processing industry in
Tanzania. Hence, the central research question of this research is:
What are the critical success factors in organizing the milk collection from farmers to
processors in order to ensure a stable and reliable milk supply in Tanzania?
In order to answer this research question, the following questions will be addressed in this
study:
a. Which organizational models for milk collection can be identified in the Tanzanian
dairy industry?
b. Which discriminating factors can be used to compare these models?
c. Which are the critical success factors for ensuring a stable and reliable milk supply?
This study adopts an embedded case study approach (Yin, 2003). That is, it examines the milk
processing industry in Tanzania by closely analyzing the organization of milk processing in four
regions in this country. Data collection and analyses took place from July – September 2009.
We proceeded in four stages. The first stage comprised a literature study, conducted prior to
field work in Tanzania. The first author performed an extensive literature study of value chain
literature to get an understanding of this theoretical and methodological approach. This study
resulted in the identification and the acknowledgement of the role of the lead firm in the value
9
chain and the role other stakeholders can play to develop the value chain and support the lead
firm.
The second stage aimed at gaining an in-depth understanding of the dairy industry in Tanzania.
This explorative stage consisted of a stakeholder consultation in which the first author made
several field visits to stakeholders in the milk industry. Likewise, different documents,
secondary data and public sources were consulted. The Matchmakers study (2008) proved
particularly helpful in identifying the largest players in the Tanzanian dairy sector. The
document also includes a list of all the formalized milk processors in Tanzania which was also
used as a reference (Appendix 1). The meetings took place in Tanga, Dar es Salaam, Arusha and
Mara. This consultation gave a good impression of the dairy sector and provided a basis for the
development of organizational models of milk collection as presented in Chapter 3.
Based on the insights gained in the explorative stage, the third stage focused on sampling the
cases for analysis. That is, the selection of the regions and the milk processors. In consultation
with SNV and RTA, three regions were chosen. The Mara region was of interest due to the
presence of two large processors and limited external support. Arusha was chosen because of
the presence of many NGOs that have supported the dairy sector and a few large dairy farms.
Tanga was selected because of the involvement of the Dutch government in this region and
the particular configuration that resulted from this support. By sampling three regions that
differed in organizational configuration and historical context, we aimed at gaining an
understanding of the wide range of organizational models in milk processing in Tanzania. We,
then, sampled milk processing organizations that represented the organizational models we
had identified (see Table 2, Chapter 3). By examining processors that exemplify the
organizational models under study through field visits and interviews, we aimed at
understanding the discriminating factors of these models and hence their strengths and
weaknesses. Appendix 2 presents an overview of the respondents of our study and the field
visits conducted.
The fourth stage directly addressed our research questions and is thus the analytical stage of
this study. We began by delineating different organizational models of milk collection found in
the different regions under study. We found 4 models: the processor-smallholder model, the
NGO-facilitated model, the cooperative model and the processor-largeholder model. Then, we
compared each model on 15 dimensions in order to identify the discriminating variables
10
among the models. These 15 dimensions are empirically inspired. Finally, we extracted 5
critical success factors from these dimensions that are believed to contain the main issues in
milk collection. Subsequently, the models were compared on each of the 5 critical success
factors to determine how and to what extent each model contributes to the overall aim of this
study: to enhance the development of a stable, viable and reliable milk supply in Tanzania.
Based on our research findings, we finally drafted practical implications and recommendations,
departing from the perspective of the milk processors.
During the research multiple data sources were used to increase the validity of the findings.
The data were collected at the level of the dairy processor, milk collection center, farmer, NGO
and the Ministry for Livestock and Fisheries. Particularly important were the visits to the milk
collection centers as these were the unit of analysis. For an overview of the interviews see
appendix 2. During the visits a standardized questionnaire was used that enabled cross-case
analysis. At each interview similar questions were asked to increase the reliability of the data.
Finally, the findings of the research were presented in a session with TAMPA and other
stakeholder in the SNV office in Dar es Salaam on September 25 th , 2009. During this session
the data and findings were validated by the participants thereby increasing the reliability of
the findings.
In this chapter, we have briefly introduced the rationale behind this research assignment, our
key research question and the research approach. In the next chapter, an overview of the
Tanzanian dairy sector will be provided, followed by a description of the regional context of
the regions that were visited during the field research. In Chapter 3, the organizational models
for milk collection will be introduced, providing one of the foundations for the further analysis.
In addition, the discriminating factors that distinguish the models will be explained and the
different organizational models of milk collection are scored on each of these discriminating
factors. In Chapter 4, 5 different critical success factors are identified and analyzed based on
the information that was collected in the field research. In Chapter 5 several practical
implications are discussed by means of a SWOT analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities
and Threats), and some concrete recommendations regarding the critical success factors are
11
made. Finally, in chapter 6, a general conclusion is provided followed by recommendations for
further research and the limitations of the study.
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2. THE DAIRY INDUSTRY IN TANZANIA: AN INTRODUCTION TO MILK PROCESSING
The Tanzanian livestock population ranks 3rd in Africa, after Ethiopia and Sudan (MMA, 2008). Its
large cattle population totals about 18 million cattle, of which most are traditional, indigenous cows
(Zebu). Around 1,272,000 households in Tanzania keep dairy cattle, be it as smallholders owning only
a limited number of cows (RLDC). 98% of the cows are traditional Zebu cows that have a very low
milk production. Only 2% are of improved dairy breed, which have a much higher milk production.
Indigenous cattle produce around 49 liter of milk per cow per year while improved dairy cattle
produce up to 842 liters per cows per year. The total annual milk yield is around 1,5 billion liters
(MLF, 2009). Therefore, the livestock sector is estimated to contribute 5,7% of national GDP, and the
dairy sector makes up 30% of that percentage (RLDC).
Most of the farmers in Tanzania are pastoralists (RLDC). They send their wife or children out with
their cows to find grazing land and water. This is a traditional farming principle and most farmers still
adhere to it. Only in the mountainous regions the zero-grazing principle is more frequently applied.
In these regions there are more cross breeds with a higher milk production if they are maintained
well. There is no space for free grazing because the land in the mountain is too forested. Therefore,
people prefer to keep a limited number of cows in these areas.
Tanzanian total daily milk processing is about 60,000 - 80,000 liters while the total installed capacity
in 2006 was about 507,000 liter per day (MMA, 2008; RLDC). This gives a capacity utilization of only
12 – 16%. This low capacity utilization is one of the main reasons behind this study.
In order to get from raw milk to milk products, several actors are involved. The main actors in the
supply chain include: the farmers who produce the milk, the hawkers who sell the milk to the
informal market, the traders who transport the milk from the farmer to the MCC, and processors
who process the milk. Figure 1 presents an overview of the route of raw milk from producer to final
consumer (also see appendix 3).
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Figure 1: Milk flow
The number of milk processors has dramatically changed over the past years. That is, the
privatization of the government-run Tanzania Dairy Limited in the 1990s caused many factories to
close because they were unable to operate efficiently. Out of 35 companies 13 were closed in this
period, leading to a sharp decrease of processing capacity (RLDC). This also gave way to foreign
competitors to fill this void and serve the urbanized market. Especially Dar es Salaam is an attractive
market for foreign competitors due to its large number of inhabitants. Imported milk comes from
Kenya and South Africa and the United Arab Emirates. Also milk powder gets imported all the way
from the Netherlands.
Currently, the major processing regions are Mara, Tanga, Arusha and Iringa. In Mara there are two
large processors (Musoma Dairies and Mara Milk) with a daily production capacity of more than
10,000 liters. Tanga currently houses the largest processor (Tanga Fresh) of the country with a daily
14
capacity of 50,000 liters and a daily production of around 30,000 liters. Arusha contains one medium-
sized processor (International Dairy Products Ltd.) who handles around 4,000 liters daily and several
microprocessors that serve their localities and the cities Moshi and Arusha. Finally, there is Iringa
where there is one large processor (ASAS Dairies) currently handling around 10,000 liters of milk
daily. The equipment for milk processing requires a substantial initial investment, creating entry
barriers for new entrants to the milk processing industry. For a complete overview of the dairy
processors in the Tanzanian dairy sector, see appendix 1.
Most of the processors in Tanzania are a member of TAMPA (Tanzania Milk Processors Association),
which was established in 2001. TAMPA aims “to create a better business environment for milk
processing in the country”3. It serves as a platform for the local milk processors to meet and discuss
the developments in the Tanzanian dairy sector. TAMPA also enables dairy processors to submit
collective proposals to the central and local governments and non-governmental institutions. As
such, TAMPA brings the dairy processors together to speak with one, strong voice.
The processors in the dairy sector in Tanzania produce a wide variety of products. Many companies
produce fresh milk or Mtindy (fermented milk). Also UHT milk is produced in Tanzania but only in
Mara by Musoma Dairies and Mara Milk. That equipment requires a substantial initial investment
which many firms cannot afford. The advantage of UHT milk is that it can be kept much longer than
fresh milk and can also be consumed at room temperature. Also cheese and yoghurt are produced by
several firms but the consumption is relatively low. These products are mainly produced for the
hotels and resort in the touristic areas and the market is very dependent on tourist seasons.
The stakeholder consultation identified several challenges milk processors currently face, which are
summarized in this section.
3
http://www.tzdairyboard.org/stakeholders/index.php
15
Unstable supply. The unreliability of the milk supply is a major problem for the dairy processors in
Tanzania. Farmers are often not very dedicated in delivering their milk to the milk collection centers.
They are very opportunistic in their behavior and are easily tempted to sell their milk to another
processor or to the informal market when offered a better deal. For the processors this results in an
unstable supply of milk, which is undesirable.
Seasonality. Another issue for the dairy sector (which enforces the previous issue of an unstable
supply), is the seasonality of supply. In the dry season the production is very low and the competition
for milk between the hawkers and the processors intensifies. In contrast, in the wet season the milk
is abundant and not even all the milk can be sold and processed.
Weak institutional support. The government’s involvement in the sector is not very strong. There is
little guiding regulation or support for the companies or the market in general (MMA, 2008).
Regarding quality, the government does not indicate what the minimum standard should be. It is left
up to the companies to decide their own standards. Also programs to support the market demand
for processed milk are weakly organized. For example the school milk program that was initiated by
the government several years ago was not sustained. The large informal market is not actively
addressed by the government even though selling milk informally is officially prohibited.
Market demand. The market for milk and milk products in Tanzania is a big challenge for milk
processors. Official data suggest that people only consume 39 liters of milk per year (MMA, 2008).
The WHO recommends that a person should consume about 200 liters per year. In comparison, in
Kenya the annual consumption is about 100 liters. This indicates that the demand for milk in
Tanzania is very underdeveloped. At the same time, the market is still largely served by the hawkers
who operate in the informal market, leaving little opportunity for the milk processors.
Unstable prices. The prices for milk fluctuate a lot. There are large differences between regions and
between the wet and dry seasons. In general, hawkers pay a higher price for the milk than the
processors. It is difficult to make an exact estimation but it can be assumed that they pay at least 50
TZS more. Prices for a liter of milk at the MCC range from 300 to 420 TZS. However, sometimes
farmers receive a lower amount because they sell via a trader who operates as a transporter for a
fee. On the informal market the prices can range between 400 and 600 TZS per liter. Yet, this price is
difficult to determine as some hawkers go from door to door and charge different prices for each
customer.
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2.6 Key regions in milk processing
This section describes the regions in which the data for this research have been collected. There are
several contextual factors that have an impact on the functioning of milk collection in Tanzania. The
geographical context differs per region and therefore explains why some of the models are more
prevalent in one region than in another. The contextual factors also have an impact on the
performance of these models in the respective regions. The three (sets of) regions that have been
included in this study are Mara & Mwanza, Arusha & Kilimanjaro and Tanga. These regions are
described according to the following indicators:
- Climate
- Types of cows Whether farmers own cross-breeds or traditional cattle
- Types of farming Whether farmers apply pastoralism or zero grazing farming principles
- Traditional motivations for
Whether farmers keep cattle for social prestige or not
keeping cows
- Population How the population is geographically distributed in the region
- NGO presence Whether many NGOs are active in the region or not
- Processor density Number of processors in a region
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tapping into that awareness and try to get the milk from the farmers again. Most of the farmers are
pastoralists and the zero grazing principle is rarely applied. The regions offer a lot of open terrain
where the cows can graze so it is most practical to bring the cows to fertile grazing lands. Also the
scarcity of water contributes to the need to apply the pastoralist farming principle.
Part of the population is clustered in small villages but many farmers also live in more remote
locations. This limits their willingness to deliver the milk to the collection centers on their own and
gives an opportunity for middlemen and transporters to provide this service. There has been little
mentioning of NGO activities in both regions and their impact has been very limited. There is no
strong tradition of NGO activities particularly in the dairy sector. There are two large processors in
Mara that are both located in Musoma. They each have a daily processing capacity of over 10,000
liters per day but suffer from undercapacity. Most of their MCCs are located in the Mara region and
some of the centers are located close to each other which creates competition between the centers.
People in these regions that engage in dairy farming often live in small communities that are
scattered on the slopes of the mountains. The variations in altitude complicate the transportation of
milk which is why usually only the farmers that live relatively close to a MCC deliver their milk there.
The Arusha/Kilimanjaro Region is characterized by a large number of NGOs that over time have been
involved in the dairy sector there. These projects have assisted many farmers to organize themselves
18
and have given them management and financial training. There is one medium-sized processor in
Arusha with a maximum capacity of 10,000 liters per day and some micro-processors with a
maximum capacity of 1,000 liters per day. Until December 2008, also Brookside from Kenya was
actively sourcing milk in these regions4. Combined with the hawkers that serve the informal markets
in Arusha and Moshi it means that there is substantial competition for raw milk.
2.6.3 Tanga
Tanga: 322,351 cattle
In the Tanga region, one large processor as well as some MCCs from processors in other regions are
present. Part of the region is mountainous and relatively fertile and there are also several rivers
along which cattle farming is feasible. Several farmers have cross-breed cows that were introduced
over the years by government farms and heifer projects but there are also a substantial number of
traditional cows. Some of the farmers apply the concept of zero grazing for keeping their cows yet
pastoralist farming is a common practice as well. Tanga does not have a long tradition for cattle
farming so cattle are mostly held for milk and meat production.
The population is scattered over the entire region and there are many small villages. Most MCCs are
located in these small villages where the farmers bring their own milk every day. Several NGOs as
well as a foundation from the Netherlands (FarmFriends) support the breeding and distribution of
improved dairy cows in Tanga. There is one major processor in the area with a maximum processing
capacity of about 50,000 liters per day, which has some competition from smaller processors and a
processor from another region that also sources raw milk from Tanga.
2.7 In conclusion
This chapter briefly introduced the milk processing industry in Tanzania. For a more detailed
overview please refer to the work done by MatchMakers (2008). In the next chapter, we will discuss
the different organizational models of milk processing that were identified based on initial interviews
and field visits. Drawing on additional interviews and field visits, we will also compare these
organizational archetypes along various dimensions. This analysis helped revealing the critical
success factors in milk processing (chapter 4) and thus, helped identifying the strengths and
4
http://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/business/-/2560/593162/-/5y59l6z/-/index.html
19
weaknesses of each organizational model of milk processing (chapter 5). In so doing, as also stated in
chapter 1, our analysis of the milk processing industry aims at providing practical relevance for the
actors involved in this industry.
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3. THE ORGANIZATION OF MILK PROCESSING IN TANZANIA
During the stakeholder consultation phase salient aspects were discovered that are important for the
organization of the milk collection. These factors were investigated during the field research. Based
on the literature review, the stakeholder consultation, and the further findings of the field research a
typology5 of organizational models for milk collection has been developed. This typology includes
four different archetypical models that seem to prevail in the Tanzanian dairy industry. Using these
models, we aim to comprehend the most important indicators and mechanisms in the organization
of milk collection. The typology will be discussed in more detail below.
5
A typology proposes a certain number of ‘ideal types’ to categorize a phenomenon. In contrast to a
classification, a typology does not propose mutually exclusive and exhaustive categories. It does provide a
degree of clustering that can be useful to reduce the complexity of the phenomenon at hand.
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Processor-smallholder model above, these groups are more likely to engage in small-scale
processing, and have a relatively high degree of bargaining power vis-à-vis processors. Also, the
degree of local involvement is relatively high. Members of the groups feel obliged to deliver to the
group because the level of participation and commitment is higher. In most cases, the group
manages its own collection and processing and organizes the distribution of the products. Additional
services are more likely to be found in this model due to NGO support, which also can entail an
improved access to Government services where present.
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3.2 Research sample
The following table indicates which milk processors and NGOs were included in the research sample.
This sample was constructed during the stakeholder consultation phase in which the models for milk
collection were determined. After that, the sample regions and actors were selected. This selection
was based on the empirical data as well as on practical considerations (time & transport). The table
indicates in which regions the actors were located and to which organizational model of milk
collection they are attributed.
Processor-
B, C A
smallholder model
NGO-facilitated model C, D, E, F, G, H
Cooperative model A
Processor-
D, G
largeholder model
In order to advance our understanding of the organizational models in terms of their differences and
similarities, we identified several discriminating factors based on our field work (see also the
interview guidelines in Appendix 4). In this section we first present the discriminating factors and
then score the models on each factor, resulting in Table 3.
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1. Organization of farmers. This indicator shows the degree of organization of farmers in farmer
groups (presence of registered farmer groups) as well as the level of commitment of the farmers to
the value chain.
2. Degree of formalization. This indicator shows the degree of formalization of the model, as in
contractual agreements between the farmer and the processor.
3. Price setting. This indicator shows which actor sets the price in the value chain. It can be seen as a
proxy for the division of bargaining power in the chain.
4. Quality of milk. On which aspects and using which methods is the quality of the milk checked at
point of intake (collection center)?
5. Quantity of milk. This indicator is comprised of the following aspects: Average capacity at the MCC
level, ranking of models regarding minimum required intake to function well, and average dry season
collection as a percentage of wet season collection (MCC level data).
6. Reliability of supply. This indicator deals with the stability of supply (in terms of quantity as well as
quality) from a processors’ perspective.
7. Ownership. This indicator is comprised of the following aspects: ownership of property, ownership
of equipment, purchase of equipment, maintenance of equipment. Property includes the land on
which the MCC is located, the premises on which it is located, and the building it is located in.
Equipment is taken to include storage equipment (tanks), generator, scales, measuring equipment,
and administrative supplies.
8. Management of Milk Collection Center (MCC). This indicator comprises of the questions whether
the MCC is run by an agent or a manager from the company, and how the risk is allocated between
the chain actors (who is liable in case of spoiling of the milk).
9. Payment of farmers / farmer organizations. This indicator shows the scores of the models on the
importance and prevalence of timely payments to the farmers.
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10. Transportation. This indicator concerns the question who bears the costs for transportation, the
distances covered for milk collection, and the use of mobile milk collection points in the model.
11. Role of traders / hawkers. This indicator shows the prevalence of hawkers / traders in the model,
as well as their desirability from a farmers’ and a processors’ point of view.
12. Financial services. This indicator shows whether credit and loans are made available to farmers
and / or their organizations by downstream and / or external actors in the value chain.
13. Input supply services. This indicator shows which input supply services (sometimes called
extension services, taken here to include hygiene and animal handling training, availability of in-kind
loans such as cow fodder, veterinarian services as well as support with AI or improved cattle breeds)
are made available to farmers and their organizations by which downstream and / or external actors
in the value chain.
14. Gender. This indicator shows per model at which positions women are involved in the value chain
(tending the animals, milking, milk transportation, managing a MCC, processing).
15. Bargaining power. This indicator shows the membership of as well as degree of bargaining power
of the actors in the model vis-à-vis the governing / regulating bodies present in the sector, such as
TAMPRODA and TAMPA.
Based on our in-depth knowledge of the four organizational models, the models were subsequently
scored along the discriminating factors. Two researchers were involved in this process. They, first,
scored each model individually; then, compared their results; and finally agreed upon the score. In
order to enhance the validity of our assessment, the results (as presented in Table 3) were discussed
at a meeting with representatives of TAMPA, SNV and other stakeholders organized in Dar es Salaam
on September 25th, 2009. Whereas several remarks were made, the participants agreed with our
assessment and thus confirmed the accuracy of our analysis.
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Table 3: Discriminating factors of the 4 models of milk collection
Processor- Processor-
NGO-facilitated Cooperative
smallholder largeholder
model model
model model
1. Organization of
farmers
Farmer commitment to
Low Medium High High
chain6
2. Degree of
Low Low High High
formalization
4. Quality of milk
5. Quantity of milk
7. Ownership
6
This factor indicates to what extent the farmers are dedicated to delivering their milk to the formal model of
milk collection, and do not engage in selling outside of the model.
7
This calculation is based on information obtained at the collection centers that were visited. The information
for model 3 is company data. Since the company is using both the Processor-smallholder model and the
Cooperative model for milk collection this figure is only indicative.
8
This factor indicates stability of the milk supply throughout the year.
26
Ownership equipment Processor Farmer group Union Processor/farmer
Maintenance of
Processor Farmer group Processor Farmer
equipment
8. Management of Milk
Collection Centre (MCC)
10. Transportation
9
This factor indicates whether payment usually occur on time or not.
10
This factor indicates whether traders are accepted in the model by the processors.
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Credit (advance
payments) made available None Farmer group Farmer group None
by:
Bank / Investors
Loans made available by: None NGO Farmer group
(external)
13. Input supply
Services
11
In kind loans refer to the provision of fodder for the cows that can be paid with the earning for the milk.
28
4. CRITICAL SUCCES FACTORS IN THE ORGANIZATION OF MILK COLLECTION
In the analysis presented in this chapter, several critical success factors (CSFs) for organizing milk
collection are identified. Those are: pricing mechanisms, trust & farmer commitment, ownership &
power relations, management and middlemen. These factors attempt to capture some of the most
important decisions that have to be made when organizing milk collection. They combine some of
the discriminating factors that were discussed in chapter 3 to create a set of generic features that can
serve as guidance in the configuration of milk collection. By no means is this list of CSFs exhaustive,
but based on the field research and the observations of the research it treats some of the major
decisions a processor has to make. Each model is subjectively ‘scored’ on each CSF, using a scale from
-- (indicating a very low score) to ++ (indicating a very high score). The arguments underlying each
score will be presented throughout the sections below. As a summary of chapter 4, in table 4, the
scores of the models on each CSF will be presented.
29
As a rule, the prices at the milk collection center are lower than those at the informal market and
usually also lower than the prices that hawkers would pay the farmer for his milk (in case he supplies
the informal market). The prices paid to the farmer differ substantially per case, note however that
this is also due e.g. to the prevailing prices in the region at a certain moment in time. The cost
structure of the model, being only one of various explanatory variables for the farmer price, is
highlighted here in order to draw some conclusions regarding the pricing mechanisms of the various
models.
1 B: Manager:
Processor pays to farmer: TZS 300
OR
Processor pays to middleman: TZS 300
Service charge for middleman: TZS 50 – TZS 100 -
Price for farmer: TZS 250 – TZS 200
1 C: Agent:
Processor pays to agent: TZS 350
Fee for agent: TZS 50 -
Price for farmer: TZS 300
12
These include: management salary, diesel for generator, electricity, water, overhead, watchmen and rent for
the premises of the MCC.
30
Operational costs at MCC level are for the agent.
Transport costs are for processor,
1 D: Farmer group:
Processor pays to farmer group: TZS 350
Operational costs of MCC: TZS 30 -
Price for member of the group: TZS 320
Operational costs at the MCC level are for the farmer group.
Transportation costs are for the processor.
All the costs are paid from the profit that is made from selling the milk.
If there is no processing the raw milk is sold to the hawker for 450 TZS. Hawker also buys for this
price directly from the farmer.
The profit of 50 TZS is put in a bank account and used to pay for expenses.
2 B:
Price for Farmer: TZS 350
Some milk is sold directly as raw milk, some milk is used for processing
Raw milk is sold on market for 450-500 TZS /liter.
31
Costs at processor level are: Electricity, water, employees, culture, packaging, transport, firewood
The 415 TZS is multiplied by the number of liters per month. Then, when used, the following costs
are subtracted:
Obligatory costs:
- Farmers pay 100 TZS for the card that they keep to note the liters of milk they deliver. They
pay this fee once a month.
- There is also amana, which is some sort of savings. They take the number of liters a farmer
delivers and multiply that with 2 TZS/liter. They use the money to give out as small loans.
Voluntary costs
- There is a possibility for the farmers to request an advance. This can be given without
interest and they will repay the next month with their milk deliveries. This advance can be
used for cow feed, sickness, or tuition fees for children.
- Pembejeo stands for farmer inputs. It is like an advance for medicine. The farmer group owns
a small shop that sells these medicines to the farmers. It is an own initiative of the group.
- Also, farmers CAN order Pumba, fodder for the cows.
- There is also an option for SACCOS (individual savings) but this is hardly used by the farmers.
32
- Payments to heifer project can also be made automatically from the earnings of the milk.
Price at local market is currently 500 TZS/liter but will be raised to 600 TZS/liter.
Expenses at the farm are for the farmer.
Processor pays for transportation.
4 B:
Price for farmer: TZS 500 (dry season)
TZS 300 (wet season)
Farmer pays transport.
No sales to local market.
Expenses at farm for farmer.
Furthermore, as will be discussed in the section on CSF 4, in the Processor-smallholder model MCCs
can be operated by either managers or agents. As can be seen in cost structure 1B and 1C (both Mara
region), it makes no difference for the farmer whether the MCC is run by an agent or a manager. In
both cases he gets 300 TZS / liter. Interestingly, however, in model 1D (which is actually a work-in-
progress initiative from Mr Mazara (interview 4-8-2009, appendix 2)), the farmer, being a member of
the farmer group, is made a manager at the MCC. 30 TZS / liter are taken to cover the operational
costs of the MCC leading to a farmer price (when a member) of 320 TZS, a 6.7% price increase. This is
basically a first step towards model 3, as the farmers are organized in primary societies and they are
given a stake in downstream value creating processes in the chain. Following this argumentation, the
question arises whether it is necessary to have a full-fledged cooperative model in place (including a
Union) in order to provide the farmers and their groups with the same or similar advantages. From a
farmer point of view, the pricing mechanism can be argued to be optimal when he is either getting
the highest price for milk, or a reasonable price and good input supply services. Therefore, even
though in absolute terms he gets less money for his milk, he can be argued to still be better off under
the NGO-facilitated model and the Cooperative model. Concluding, the pricing mechanism are most
beneficial for the farmers under model 2 and 3, so these receive a +. They are not so beneficial from
a farmer’s point of view under model 1 and 4, so these receive a -.
34
Pricing mechanisms from a processors perspective
When taking the perspective of the processor, the pricing mechanism can be argued to be optimal
when he is getting low-priced AND reliable milk supplies. Between these two, there is also an
inherent tradeoff present, however. For this to be the case the processor needs farmers and farmer
groups that are committed to the model (see also CSF 2). The Processor-smallholder model is
characterized by a focus on price only, so no input supply services are offered. This represents a short
term orientation, and results in little integration between the farmer and the processor. The model
seems to stem from necessity, however, as farmers themselves have an extremely short-term
orientation, and few developments are in place that would assist the processor with offering input
supply services. The Cooperative model in contrast represents a more long term orientation, which is
more beneficial from processor’s point of view as farmer commitment is theoretically higher
ensuring a more stable milk supply. The Cooperative model however is suffering from the above-
mentioned short-term orientation of the farmers, as the model is build on the premise that their
loyalty / commitment can be ensured by organizing them in a cooperative model and offering them
additional services. In the NGO-facilitated model, the measures taken to improve farmer organization
and input supply services are financed outside of the model by a third party (usually the NGO),
implying that their costs do not form a direct burden on the chain and thus on the organization of
milk collection. This can be argued to represent unfair competition for the processors in other
models, as some farmers would enjoy these benefits ‘for free’ while if the processor would want to
develop such services he has to make these investments on his own account. Because often NGO-
supported farmer groups do not work with the established processors, the larger milk processors are
disadvantaged compared to the micro processors in the NGO-facilitated model. Both the NGO-
facilitated model and the Cooperative model theoretically work best from a processor’s point of
view, as they offer an approach to overcome the short term orientation of the smallholder farmers.
The processor-smallholder model does not offer such an approach, and neither does the processor-
largeholder model. Therefore, concluding, model 1 and 4 score a -, model 2 and 3 a +. Combining
these scores with the scores from the farmer’s perspective, this yields the following final scores on
CSF 1: Model 1: -, Model 2 +, Model 3: + and Model 4: -.
An issue that has to be taken into account here is that there is a significant difference in the
importance of trust between the dry and the wet season. In the dry season, competition for milk is
high due to limited supply, implying that processors have to be able to rely on the farmers that
supply them to actually deliver to them. In this season informal market prices are high however, so
farmers are more tempted to engage in side-selling. As is illustrated in Box 1 below, direct selling to
the informal market even occurs at MCC level, a practice that can have an even more damaging
effect on the functioning of the model. In the wet season, the processors can generally source
enough milk; therefore they attach less importance to maintaining good relationships with a
particular set of farmers. The challenge, then, for the organizational models for milk collection is to
come up with a system that allows for a good relationship year-round, in which some farmers are
committed to the chain and are willing to forego short term gains in the dry season and supply to the
processor, and the processor intending to buy the milk of those farmers even though there is plenty
of supply in the wet season. There is a friction in this type of system caused on the one hand by the
short term outlook of farmers and the lack of sanctions for side-selling, on the other hand by the lack
of integration and hence of communication between the different chain actors.
Side-selling (not delivering to the actors in the model but rather selling to the informal market)
occurs not only at individual farmer-level but also at MCC level. Although in some cases the dairy
company’s policy allows selling a small percentage of the milk to the local market after collection
at the MCC, in one collection center a large discrepancy between this figure and the actual sales
to the local market was found. In this particular MCC 25% of the milk was sold at the local
market, implying a rather large loss of inputs for the dairy company. The difference between the
8 TZS / liter the MCC could levy as a fee in the model and the profit made from side-selling (85
TZS, based on an informal market price of 500 TZS and a price paid to farmers of TZS 415) proved
too great however. As is the case for individual farmer side-selling, no real sanctions were found
present that can discourage this behavior.
36
The assumption here is that trust is a precondition for commitment from the side of the famers in
the value chain. In order to increase farmer trust it is essential to involve the farmer more in the milk
collection process. Following this line of reasoning, the level of trust is lowest in the Processor-
smallholder model. In this model, which is characterized by transactions at arm’s length, the
processor has no obligation to the farmer for buying his milk implying that the milk collection can be
ceased at any moment. Vice versa, the farmer is not committed to the chain as this does not yield
clear advantages over selling to the informal market. In some cases, attempts are made at
establishing more fixed relations (moving towards a relational model), however evidence for this
practice is limited. In the NGO-facilitated model and the Cooperative model, trust levels are higher.
There are various explanations for this. To start with, in these models members get preference over
non-members in milk intake. In the Cooperative model the processor even guarantees to take all milk
from the farmers that are members, even in the wet season when they have an oversupply.
Secondly, being a member of a farmer group implies that the individual farmers are bound to deliver
to the group, and that they are liable (albeit to a limited extent) for damages that occur because of
side-selling. Thirdly, farmer commitment is stronger in these models due to ownership of the farmers
in the milk collection organization and, in the Cooperative model, even in milk processing. This model
is the most integrated model present, approaching a vertically integrated chain in which one actor
owns all value adding steps. In the future, it is envisioned that farmers de facto own the entire chain
up until the processor, as they are supposed to take a controlling stake in it through the union they
are members of. Despite its theoretical advantages however, judging from the side-selling referred to
in Box 1, the Cooperative model is not functioning as well as it should. An explanation for this fact
could be that communication lines, although perhaps well established, are too long and underused.
Finally, in the processor-largeholder model, there is some trust between the farmers and the
processors as relatively large quantities are sold. Contractual agreements are more likely to be found
in this model, and these can be seen as a trust building element. However, the farmers are
committed to their own farm, and not to the rest of the chain. Concluding, this leads to the following
scores on CSF 2: Model 1: -; Model 2: +, Model 3: ++; and Model 4: 0.
One of the interesting findings of this study was that only in the NGO-facilitated model the costs of
maintenance of collection and processing equipment were fully carried by the farmers. Even in the
Cooperative model where the milk collection equipment belongs to the union, the processor would
come to do repairs if the equipment broke down. In the Processor-smallholder model the repairs
are assumed to be done by the processor because it owns the equipment. Only when the MCC is
managed by an agent the situation is not entirely clear because the agent also bears a certain
responsibility regarding maintenance.
Assuming that ideally, a balanced situation with regard to ownership is present, the models perform
differently on this CSF. In the processor-smallholder model the processor has a high degree of
bargaining power because he owns the equipment. He can set the price and determine the
maximum amount of milk he will collect. Alternatively the farmers can sell to their neighbors or
family or to the hawker who is perceived as unreliable both with regard to payments and quantities
purchased. This increases the dependence on the processor for buying the milk, which is then more
able to control the price and decide whether he accepts the milk (according to his needs). In the
NGO-facilitated model the ownership is assigned to the farmer group. It increases their bargaining
38
power (vis-à-vis the processor) because they are not dependent anymore on the processor for the
cooling equipment. In case of multiple processors it would enable them to choose the processor that
makes the most attractive offer (in terms of price and quantity). In case of there is no processor or
the price offer is unacceptable the group may decide to sell the raw milk directly to the market or
engage in their own basic processing. In the Cooperative model the ownership is attributed to the
union. This implies that neither the processor nor the farmer groups carry full responsibility of the
equipment. This integrated system results in mutual dependence of the farmers and the processor.
Farmers cannot easily switch to another market while also the processor cannot simply move its
equipment away to another region and also takes the responsibility of buying the milk of the
members of the union. In the processor-largeholder model the bargaining power seems to be in
balance, but for different reasons; the large quantity of milk that the largeholder produces every day
needs to be sold while at the same time the processor benefits of sourcing a large quantity from a
single location. Concluding, this leads to the following scores on CSF 4: Model 1: -, Model 2: +, Model
3: ++, and Model 4: +.
39
Box 3: Manager vs. Agent, payment as a performance-incentive
Whereas a manager receives a fixed salary from the company (sometimes somewhat higher in the
wet season than in the dry season), an agent’s income fluctuates with the milk intake. Although he
bears the costs associated with the operation of MCC (salaries of employees, running costs,
overhead etc.), there is in theory no limit to his earnings. In one agent-run collection center the
average intake is 3500 liters / day (wet and dry season taken together). The agent receives 435 TZS
for the milk he buys from the farmer for TZS 420. The levy of 15 TZS is used to cover his costs. This
implies that his monthly revenue is 1.5 million TZS, with which costs of 630.000 TZS have to be
covered, leaving a profit of 870.000 TZS. In contrast, in one manager-run collection center, the
manager earns 150.000 TZS per month, irrespective of the amount of milk collected. This leads to
the following conclusions:
The incentive for running a MCC well seems higher for an agent than for a manager
However, in lean periods the manager still gets his salary, whereas the agent may make a
loss, offsetting earlier gains
From a company perspective, the usage of an agent can be justified by the expectation that he is
more likely to collect larger amounts of milk and also generate a more stable supply of milk. This is
very valuable to the company, but it comes with higher costs because payment is directly related to
production. If the supply is high and constant it might therefore be tempting to the dairy company to
try to renegotiate the price with the agent. Additional benefits for the company are that this
approach requires less monitoring and transfers some of the risks to the agent. In contrast, using an
agent gives the company less control over the collection center, because the agent works on an
independent basis.
MCCs that are run by a manager are less incentivized to have a high and steady production, because
the manager is not paid according to performance. The only credible sanction for the employee is
that he can be fired but that does not necessarily give him an incentive to deliver an exceptional
performance. Therefore the processor is very dependent on the willingness of the employee to
perform well. Since the processor bears all the costs and risks this form of management is not
preferred during dry season. However, during wet season or when production is high and constant
this form of management is cheaper than that of the agent. In general this type of management gives
the processor more control because the manager is directly answerable to the processor.
40
An interesting situation arises when several collection centers are clustered together that are owned
by different companies. In this situation the farmer can chose between at least two MCCs and
assuming equal costs (for the farmer to deliver the milk) and milk price (and all other factors are
considered under ceteris paribus conditions), management suddenly can become a decisive factor.
Then it is up to the management to persuade the farmer to deliver to its collection center. In this
case the agent might prove to be more persuasive because he directly benefits from more milk
collection.
Some agents have proved to be very creative in giving incentives to farmers to deliver to their
collection center. Handing out small presents as matches and salt seem to persuade farmers to
continue and increase their delivery of milk.
In the processor-smallholder model, the MCCs that are managed by an agent seem to be more
incentivized to perform well than those under management of a manager. In the other models the
MCCs are always managed by a manager. This means that at the level of management there is no
additional incentive to lobby for increased milk delivery by the farmers. The only moderating factor
in the NGO-facilitated model and the Cooperative model is that the manager is often a member of
the farmer group meaning that he has an intrinsic motivation for the MCC to perform well.
Concluding, this leads to the following scores on CSF 4: Model 1: +, Model 2: 0, Model 3: 0, and
Model 4: -.
41
The function that the middlemen fulfill can be useful to both the processor and the farmer. As a
transporter, they increase the reach of the MCC thereby giving more farmers the opportunity to
deliver to the MCC. This benefits both the farmers, who can sell their milk, as well as the processors,
who can collect more milk. At the moment the issue is that the traders are unreliable for both the
processor as well as for the farmer. A lack of direct communication between the farmers and the
processors give the opportunity for the traders to step in and utilize this void.
Within the models there is a significant difference in the use of traders. In the Processor-smallholder
model the traders are most prevalent. Since farmer commitment to deliver to the model is low (see
CSF 2), there is a large opportunity for the traders to buy the milk from the farmer. Some of these
traders deliver (part of) the milk to the MCC because it pays an acceptable price and forms a secure
market for them. In the NGO-facilitated model and the Cooperative model the traders are much less
common. This is the case because the farmers have ownership in the model which makes the
market-based transaction with the traders less desired. In the processor-largeholder model the
trader is rarely observed because they are unable to transport the large quantities that are usually
produced by the largeholder farmers. These farmers often own the transportation means and
equipment themselves.
At the moment, the Processor-smallholder model makes the most effective use of the presence of
middlemen. Most processors argue that they have no problem with the traders delivering to their
MCCs. They deliver large quantities and play a functional role by transporting the milk from remote
areas that would otherwise not have been delivered to the MCC. However, there are some issues:
the traders are sometimes unwilling to sell all the milk they collect to the MCC. In addition, they push
down the price that the farmer receives because the farmer has no alternative buyer. This
demotivates the farmers to deliver to the processor via the trader. The processor does not have a
high degree of bargaining power vis-à-vis the trader and is unable to incentivize the trader to show
more commitment to the model and to give the farmer a fairer price. In the NGO-facilitated model
and the Cooperative model the lack of control over the middlemen is taken as a reason to consider
them untrustworthy and a disturbance to the system. This prevents them from making better use of
the potentially complementary services of the middlemen; instead they operate in direct
competition with the middlemen and this - especially in the dry season - leads to an unnecessarily
high degree of side-selling. Concluding, this leads to the following scores: Model 1: +, Model 2: 0,
Model 3: -, Model 4: N/A (Not Applicable).
42
4.2 Summary of results
Pricing
- + + -
Mechanisms
Ownership &
-- + ++ +
Power Relations
Management + 0 0 -
Middlemen + 0 - N/A
43
5. HOW TO PROCEED? PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS
A SWOT Analysis is a strategic planning method used to evaluate the Strengths, Weaknesses,
Opportunities, and Threats involved in a project or in a business venture13. It involves specifying the
objective of the business venture or project and identifying the internal and external factors that are
favorable and unfavorable to achieving that objective. SWOT analysis groups key pieces of
information into two main categories:
In this report, the SWOT analysis is applied to the different models for milk collection as identified in
this study, and used as an elaboration on the CSF analysis in the previous chapter, outlining the
strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats of each model rather than organizing these per CSF
as has been done in section 4.1. This allows an easier identification of strategies for milk collection
that can be made by combining some of the strong points of the models and avoiding their
weaknesses.
13
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SWOT_analysis
44
Weaknesses: The pricing mechanism in the processor-smallholder model is weak because it only
focuses on competition based on price. It does not offer input supply services that add value to the
production process. Trust is low in the processor-smallholder model because there is no obligation
from the processor to buy the milk from the farmer, nor does the farmer have the obligation to
deliver to the MCC. Opportunistic behavior is common practice which creates a tension between the
farmer and the processor. The ownership structure in the processor-smallholder model is also a
weakness because the ownership of the equipment that is used at the MCC is fully owned by the
processor leading to an imbalanced power relation between the farmer and the processor.
Opportunities: The pricing mechanism in the processor smallholder model offers a great opportunity
for improvement. If pricing could be used to give farmers an incentive to develop a more long-term
orientation this could be an important stimulus for the development of the dairy sector and the
livelihood of the farmers. Trust is directly related to the pricing mechanism and therefore also poses
a great opportunity to develop in the processor-smallholder model. Currently, the relation between a
farmer and processor is rather weak in terms of durability leading to unreliability in supply. Finally,
input supply services are rarely offered in the processor-smallholder model as a result of the loose
relationship between the farmer and processor. This hinders the development of the production at
the farmer-level and thereby limits the supply to the MCC.
Threats: The major threats in the processor-smallholder model are the seasonality of supply and the
development of the NGO-facilitated model. Seasonality leads to an unreliable supply which is a major
threat to the performance of the processor. Also, the development of the NGO-facilitated model
empowers the farmers but decreases the willingness of the farmers to cooperate with the
processors. It is therefore a direct threat to the supply of raw milk to the processors; these two
models compete with each other.
45
Weaknesses: One of the weaknesses of the NGO-facilitated model is the ownership of the
equipment at the MCC. As it is entirely owned by the farmers they possess all the bargaining power if
they would sell to a processor. Also the management in this model is a weakness as it is not
financially incentivized to perform better. The use of middlemen in this model is marginal because
they are perceived as a disruption to the direct link between the farmer and the MCC. This is a
problem because the farmer is a direct owner of the MCC and therefore prefers to maintain this
direct connection. A final weakness of the model is the fact that it seems hard to scale up, meaning
that it is difficult to process more than 1,000-2,000 liters of milk daily. In the long run this means that
the economic viability of the model can be questioned. The NGOs that are involved in establishing
this model will phase out their support at some point in time and are unable to offer or generate a
secure market for the milk products. An NGO is not a commercial enterprise so eventually it will likely
abandon the milk business and engage in other sectors and activities.
Opportunities: The opportunities in this model lie in the payment of management and a closer
linkage with the processors in the dairy industry. Particularly the latter is a good opportunity for the
NGOs to provide the farmers with more secure link with the market. The NGOs should be more
concerned with the sustainability of the model and the development of the entire value chain rather
than simply focus on the empowerment of the farmers. As the NGOs will cease their support for a
particular farmer group at some point they should enable the farmers to ensure a reliable market for
their products. Indeed in some cases farmers engage in micro-processing and serve the local market
properly, but in other cases the lack of market access has a direct negative influence on the
sustainability of the model. Therefore, NGOs should be more concerned with how the model can link
up with the larger processors in order to make the model more sustainable.
Threats: A major threat to the NGO-facilitated model is that the NGO that supports the particular
farmer group ceases its operations or can simply not provide additional valuable services. At some
point the NGO has provided a number of trainings and supporting activities; at this stage the farmer
group should be responsible for its own development and obtain assistance when required. If this
process does not occur properly then there is a risk that the model collapses.
46
processing activities the farmers feel more committed to the model and are less inclined to engage in
side-selling to the informal market. As ownership of equipment is attributed to the union in the
model there is a shared commitment by both the processor and the farmer groups to make the
model work. Also pricing can be considered a strength of the model because the model has a long-
term orientation by offering a range of input supply services to the farmers. However, during the
field research the researchers observed that the pricing used in the cooperative model was
undermined by the processor-smallholder model MCCs that were run by the same processor. The
processor offered higher prices under the processor-smallholder model creating direct competition
with its other MCCs that were operating under the Cooperative model. This indicates that the model
is vulnerable to this type of disruption.
Weaknesses: The use of middlemen is a weak factor in the model as these are usually excluded from
the milk collection process. Compared to the NGO-facilitated model middlemen are perceived to
distort the direct relation of the farmer to the MCC. Also the management in this model is not
financially incentivized to improve performance, limiting the collection of milk from farmers that are
not a member of the farmer group.
Opportunities: An opportunity in the cooperative model would be to include the middlemen in the
model. They would enable the MCC to reach more farmers and get a more stable supply of milk. Also
management can be incentivized to collect more milk from farmers that are currently not a member
of the farmer group that is a member of the union.
Threats: It seems that in this model the communication lines already start to become relatively long.
This means that farmers start to lose their connection to the MCC and processor and thereby lose
their commitment to delivering to the processor. As farmers usually live in remote areas it is easy to
lose contact with them because they are hard to reach. Therefore it is imperative that this flow of
communication stays clear and as short as possible to maintain the relation with the farmers.
47
and certainty of a daily income. Also for the processor is this an advantage as he can be sure of a
certain minimum quantity every day.
Weaknesses: The weaknesses of this model cannot directly be distilled from the valuation in the
critical success factors. Even though the model gets a negative score in the CSFs management and
pricing mechanism these are not the true weaknesses of the model. Regarding management it is
difficult to incentivize the manager to perform better by means of a performance pay as he will
always be limited by the number of cows at his disposal. And even though the pricing mechanism in
this model does not directly stimulate a long-term orientation a farmer should have such an
orientation to operate his farm profitably. However, the model does have some other weaknesses as
well. For example the costs at the farm level are very high. A specialized dairy farm requires a
continuous capital investment in order to remain competitive and profitable. In addition, if a farmer
does not maintain and develop the quality of his cattle the productivity of the farm will drop. It is
therefore essential that a farmer stays on top of things to maintain a profitable level of production.
Opportunities: The opportunities in this model are that it is challenging to bind the farmers to the
processors and to prevent them from delivering outside the model. Indeed it is difficult to sell ‘single
batch’ large quantities on the informal market but on the other hand if this milk becomes a premium
commodity because it comes from one single farm with a good reputation it might be that buyers
prefer this milk over other milk. For processors this is undesirable and they should therefore make
clear agreements with the largeholder farmers.
Threats: One of the major threats for this model is the mismanagement at the farm level. If the
farmer or manager is unconcerned with the performance of the farm the performance might
decrease considerably and will it be unfeasible for the processor to continue deal with the
largeholder. In addition, working with only a few specialized dairy farmers also increases the
dependence on these farms and their milk production. If, for some reason, many cows would get ill
or be unable to give quality milk then this would have a serious impact on the activities of the
processor
When conducting the SWOT analysis, the opportunities and threats seem somewhat more difficult to
fill out in the exercise above, as these are related to the context - or external aspects - of the models,
in contrast to the strengths and weaknesses that relate to internal aspects of the models, which have
received elaborate investigation in this study. These opportunities and threats however, concern
48
issues such as competition from similar actors, but also the presence of enabling factors
(opportunities) or constraining factors (threats) in the institutional environment of the Tanzanian
Dairy Industry. In order to shed some light on this part of the SWOT analysis, this environment will
be discussed briefly in the following section, and an analogy with the Indian Dairy industry – which is
much more developed than the Tanzanian Dairy Industry – will be drawn to highlight the potential of
an enabling institutional environment for creating growth in an industry.
The institutional environment of a value chain includes norms and customs, laws, regulations,
policies, international trade agreements and public infrastructure that either facilitate or hinder the
movement of a product or service along the chain. At one end of the spectrum, conventions, treaties,
agreements and market standards shape the environment on a global level. The institutional
environment at the national and local level encompasses policies, administrative procedures,
enacted regulations and the state of public infrastructure. In addition to these more formal factors,
social norms, business culture and local expectations can be powerful aspects of the institutional
environment. New institutional economists accentuate the behavior-constraining aspect of
institutions and speak of institutions as the ‘rules of the game’ (North 1990), which reduce
transaction costs and solve problems of information asymmetry (Williamson 2000). In order for an
institutional environment to be enabling towards the businesses that operate in it, constraints in the
institutional environment have to be resolved, sometimes requiring considerable time, resources and
political and social capital. Some countries have managed to create an enabling institutional
environment for particular industries, in which the institutions mentioned above are favorable for
the actors in the industry, promoting growth and balancing power. As illustrated in Box 5, a good
example in the dairy industry in this respect is India. Not only did the Indian Government create an
enabling environment by creating ‘helpful’ institutions, it actually actively promoted the dairy sector
through its investments.
49
Box 5: Milk collection in an enabling institutional environment – an example from India
India is the world’s number one milk producer and milk market. The annual production of milk in 2005
amounted to 94 million tonnes a year, or 258 million liters per day. The average annual growth rate of milk
production was 4 % over the last decade. Multinational companies as well as ‘traditional’ players – Indian
companies with a cooperative structure such as Amul in Gujarat state (www.amul.com) and Mother Dairy in
Delhi (www.motherdairy.com) – have been expanding their operations in this sector. The organized sector in
which the cooperatives constitute around 60% of the processing capacity processes 13 million tonnes of milk
annually in 700 dairy plants. Amul, which was established in 1946, pioneered the cooperative model in India.
The co-operative system formed under the so-called Anand pattern has a three-tiered structure. It is
composed of the milk producers, mostly residents of the same area, who join a co-operative society. The
next level is at the district, and this co-operative (called unions) has as its members the village dairy co-
operative societies within the district, represented by the Chairpersons of the village level societies. The
third level is at the State, where the co-operative (Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation, GCMMF)
was formed with district level milk unions (and certain other milk unions from other states) as members.
This type of organization, which corresponds closely with the Cooperative model identified in this report, has
been extremely successful in the organization not only of milk collection but also of milk marketing in India
and abroad.
The success of India as a milk producing country stems largely from the fact that the Anand pattern was
replicated throughout India in a large, central Government driven program known as Operation Flood. Due
to this movement, the country’s milk production tripled between the years 1971 to 1996. Similarly, the per
capita milk consumption doubled from 111 grams per day in 1973 to 222 grams per day in 2000. Operation
Flood has helped dairy farmers to direct their own development, placing control of the resources they create
in their own hands. A 'National Milk Grid' links milk producers throughout India with consumers in over 700
towns and cities, reducing seasonal and regional price variations while ensuring that the producer gets a
major share of the price consumers pay. The cornerstone of Operation Flood has been village milk
producers' cooperatives, which procure milk and provide inputs and services, making modern management
and technology available to members. The program consisted of 3 phases, and lasted from 1970-1996.
During its first phase, Operation Flood linked 18 of India's premier milksheds with consumers in India's major
metropolitan cities: Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata and Chennai. During its second phase, the milksheds were
increased from 18 to 136; 290 urban markets expanded the outlets for milk. By the end of 1985, a self-
sustaining system of 43,000 village cooperatives with over 4 million milk producers had been established.
The third phase enabled dairy cooperatives to expand and strengthen the infrastructure required to procure
and market increasing volumes of milk. Veterinary first-aid health care services, feed and artificial
insemination services for cooperative members were extended, along with intensified member education
(Manikutty, 2002). 50
What can be done in Tanzania?
An increase in the growth rate of the dairy industry in Tanzania, for example through scaling up the
Cooperative model is thus to a certain degree dependent on the enabling environment. Currently,
however, the institutional environment in the Tanzanian dairy industry is not as enabling as it could
be. Several remnants from the time in which the industry was still government-run (e.g. in the form
of regulations) still exist today, and have an adverse effect on the actors in the value chain. For
example, various and overlapping registrations are required for different Ministries (RLDC, 2009).
Moreover, the Government seems unwilling to invest sufficiently in infrastructure in the dairy
industry (MatchMakers, 2009). To a certain extent, chain actors such as processors can influence or
even co-decide in matters related to governance of the industry by lobbying with relevant authorities
or governing bodies, either individually or collectively through a representative organization such as
TAMPA or TAMPRODA. This does require a higher degree of chain integration, as this will
demonstrate the common objectives of farmers and their organizations on the one hand and
processors on the other hand more clearly. On an association level, this implies that TAMPA and
TAMPRODA should join hands: TAMPRODA’s mission is also useful for processors, and TAMPA’s
mission is also useful for farmer and farmer groups. The institutional environment and the strategies
that can be used by value chain actors are however issues that lie beyond the scope of the current
research. Nevertheless, they are important, and as such they have been included in the
recommendations for further research below.
In this section we will return to the critical success factors of section 4.1 and give several concrete
recommendations for processors on how to improve their performance on these factors. This list is
by no means exhaustive so there are also many other possibilities to improve the performance of
MCCs. These recommendations are based on the observations made by the researcher and the
subsequent analysis. Their purpose is to show the processors several alternatives to their current
configuration of the MCCs and stimulate innovative thinking.
Adding input supply services adds a long-term orientation to the pricing mechanism that is used in a
model. It is only natural that farmers are not willing to change their short-term orientation into a
long-term orientation from one day to another. This requires a certain relation to the processor and
the model and takes time to develop. Therefore it is of interest to the processor to develop the
relation with the farmers by means of price first before he can implement and offer schemes for the
acquisition of input supply services that enable the farmers to develop their production.
An obstacle to this suggestion might be the lack of capital of the farmers to make the initial
investment in the MCC cooling equipment. However, when farmers would be organized in formalized
farmer groups this would enable them to apply for loans, grants, etc. and address microfinance
institutions that support these kinds of investments. In addition, there are NGOs that can support
farmers groups in terms of organization and financial management and help the groups to grow and
attract capital.
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5.3.4 Management
Regarding management the choice between agent and manager appears to be an important one.
There are many factors influencing the collection of milk that might make the choice between the
types of management difficult because the available data do not give a conclusive answer which type
of management is most effective. Particularly in the NGO-facilitated model and the cooperative
model the influence of management on performance is difficult to measure. As the farmers are more
committed to deliver their milk in these models the role of management to stimulate the farmers is
hard to define. Yet, there are also farmers that deliver their milk to the MCC who are not a member
of the group that can be stimulated by the management of the MCC to deliver.
There seems to be a strong case for the agent-managed MCC because the agent has a strong
financial incentive to collect more milk. Yet, in none of the models have we encountered a hybrid
form of management in the collection center that is based on a minimum steady salary that can be
raised by a performance pay according to liters of milk collected. This would give the manager a
stable, basic income that can be used to cover the costs of the MCC. At the same time this type of
payment still includes an incentive for the manager to raise his performance.
5.3.5 Middlemen
Even though middlemen are not preferred in most models of milk collection, they can serve a very
useful purpose in milk collection. Currently, the problem is that they work individually and cannot be
controlled by either farmers or processors. They operate on their own account and attempt to
maximize their revenues at the cost of the processors and the farmers. Because of their independent
approach they have occupied a strong bargaining position in the processor-smallholder model that
they wish to maintain.
However, it would be an option to investigate to see if it were possible to integrate the middlemen
into the model in cases where they can have a clear added value. For example, the farmers or
processor in the model could hire them as transporters of the milk. If farmers would be organized
they can discuss a way to include the middlemen in their model and negotiate a better price. Also the
MCC can consider hiring transporters to collect the milk directly for the MCC. Transporters would
increase the range of the MCC and enable the MCC to source more raw milk. As can be noted, also
for this critical success factor it is important to deal with it creatively in order to find solutions that
are useful for all parties involved.
54
6. CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS AND LIMITATIONS
What are the critical success factors in organizing the milk collection from farmers to processors in
order to ensure a stable and reliable milk supply in emerging economies?
- Which organizational models for milk collection can be identified in the Tanzanian dairy
industry?
- Which contextual factors have led to the establishment of these particular models?
- Which discriminating factors can be used to compare these models?
- Which are the critical success factors for ensuring a stable and reliable milk supply?
Taking the research question that was posed at the outset of this report into consideration we have
developed a set of generic models for milk collection and compared them on different vital
parameters. This resulted in an appraisal of the models in which each of the models had its own
strengths and weaknesses. For milk processors in the Tanzanian dairy industry it can prove very
useful to assess their own models for milk collection according to these parameters and determine
the strengths and weaknesses of these models.
An important finding of this research is that farmers tend to have a more short-term orientation
regarding the sale of their milk while the processors are considered to have a more long-term
orientation with a specific focus on reliability and quality of supply. Their short-term orientation for
profits makes the farmers sell to the highest bidder, resulting in direct sales to the informal market or
to a hawker. Selling to the informal market usually leads to higher revenues for the farmers than
selling to a processor. However, selling to the informal market also has its limitations. A farmer is
never sure whether he can sell all his milk against the highest price and the general consensus is that
hawkers are not to be trusted, particularly regarding payments. In this sense processors have an
advantage, because in general they are able to offer a relatively secure market and steady payments.
Especially in the processor-smallholder model, the major motivations for selling to the processor
seem to be trust, particularly trust in terms of reliable payment and certain intake of milk, and an
acceptable price for the milk. However, opportunistic behavior from the farmers in this model is high,
tempting farmers to regularly sell to the informal market if the price is higher. This results in a rather
55
distant relationship between the farmer and the processor in the processor can never be entirely
sure of his supply.
For the processor, ideally, there is a high commitment from the farmers to deliver to their MCCs,
resulting in a steady supply in terms of quantity and quality. The processor-smallholder model does
not seem to support this farmer commitment strongly, resulting in a daily struggle to source
sufficient milk. The NGO-facilitated model and the Cooperative model seem to have created a much
stronger farmer commitment and have, despite their own limitations and flaws, better integrated the
farmers into the milk collection model. Not only does this give more control over milk supply to the
processor, another additional benefit is that it gives the farmers an opportunity to develop
themselves and their dairy farming activities, a process named ‘upgrading’. It is possible because due
to a secure market and the formation of the farmer groups there is an opportunity to develop
additional services for the farmers such as animal husbandry training, fodder programs, A.I., etc. In
addition formalized farmer groups are better able to attract external support from for example the
government, NGOs or microfinance institutions. This upgrading yields benefits both to the farmer as
well as to the processor. For the farmer it means that he gets better knowledge about his cows and
can increase meat and milk production. For the processor it would mean that he can increase his milk
sourcing not only by adding more MCCs but also by developing the currently existing ones.
During this research the researchers have attempted to work in a structured and systematic manner
in order to increase its validity. Many actors were visited in order to strengthen the models and to
enable a thorough analysis. However, there are also some limitations to the validity of the findings of
56
this research. As this research has only focused on the Tanzanian dairy sector, the scope of the
research is limited. Only a restricted number of case studies were available that had to be visited in a
short period of time. The analysis is therefore based on the observations of the researcher made in
the limited number of field visits. The researchers attempted to overcome this subjectivity by
systematically analyzing the collected data.
A more fine-grained analysis of the institutional environment in the Tanzanian dairy industry,
identifying enabling factors as well as constraints, and strategies by chain actors and their
associations (TAMPA and TAMPRODA) to strengthen the former and resolve the latter, is essential
when some of the more systemic constraints present in the industry have to be removed. These
constraints supersede the ability of one actor or even one level of actors in the value chain, and have
to be tackled at another level of analysis than the one taken in this report.
Further research in the dairy sector in Tanzania could focus on the differences between the different
MCCs within each of the models that are introduced in this report. As these are generic models that
attempt to generalize the observations and the collected data the next step should be to investigate
how the recommendations can be applied to each MCC within the models. The information from this
report should be used to create a hybrid model of milk collection that encompasses mainly positive
features.
For the dairy sector as a whole, strong voices were heard in favor of a thorough marketing research.
As marketing is a bottleneck for the sector at the moment it would be valuable to investigate how
marketing can promote the sector as a whole. Indirectly this also has its consequences for the milk
collection, because a larger formalized market decreases the opportunities for the farmers to sell to
the informal market. At the same time, it would increase the need for milk of the dairy processors in
Tanzania, providing a steadier base for cooperation between the farmers and the processor.
57
7. REFERENCES
Chang, H., 2002, Breaking the Mould: An Institutionalist Political Economy Alternative to the Neo-
Liberal Theory of the Market and the State, Cambridge Journal of Economics, vol. 26, no. 5, pp. 539-
559.
Manikutty, S., 2002, Gujarat Co-operative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd. Asian Case Research
Journal, Vol. 6 (2) pp 205-239.
Match Maker Associates Limited (MMA), 2008, Dairy Sector Quick Scan and Selective Value Chain
Analysis Tanzania.
Ministry of Livestock and Fisheries (MLF), June 2009, Dairy Investment Opportunities in the Livestock
Sector.
North, D.C., 1990, Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge.
Rural Livelihood Development Company (RLDC), Dairy Sub Sector Development Strategy.
Williamson, O.E., 2000, The New Institutional Economics: Taking Stock, Looking Ahead, Journal of
Economic Literature, vol. 38, no. 3, pp. 595-613.
Yin, R.K., 2003, Case Study Research: Design and Methods. Second Edition. SAGE Publications.
California.
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8. APPENDICES
60
Appendix 2: Interviews
Field visits
61
Appendix 3: Milk map
- Distance to city
o If a farmer is located close to the city it is more likely he can sell his milk reliably to
the informal market. Therefore this location is less interesting for milk collection
because of a more intense competition for the milk
- Number of cows
o With a higher number of cows it is more likely that a minimum collection of about
500-1000 liters per day can be reached which makes the collection centre
economically viable
62
- Number of farmers
o The more farmers are concentrated in an area the more likely there is a high number
of cows
- Types of cows
o Are the cows of traditional breed (Zebu) or are they cross breeds? How many cross
breeds are there?
- Production per cow. d/m/y
o Milk production per cow, per day/month/year. How big is the difference between
high and low season?
- Production dry/wet season
o Total milk production per area per month, differentiating high and low season.
- Minimum price of milk for farmers
o What is the minimum price farmers need to receive in order for them to commit to
sell their milk to the collection centre?
- Informal market price
o What price can the farmers get for the milk if they sell to the informal market? How
big are the fluctuations between dry and wet season?
- Maximum radius of collection centers
o What is the maximum distance a farmer will travel to reach the collection centre?
What means of transport do they use?
- Reliability of power supply
o How reliable is the power supply? Do power-cuts occur often?
- Potential for use of alternative energies
o What is the potential for the use of for example solar and/or wind power to generate
a steady power supply for the cooling equipment?
- Availability of land (for grazing)
o How much land is available for the production of food for the animals. Are there
problems with over-grazing and what is the occurrence of the tseetsee bug?
- Availability of financial institutions
o What are the possibilities to receive financial support to buy better equipment and
invest in new, improved cattle
- Availability of processing and cooling equipment
o Is there any equipment already available in the region?
- Movement of traditional cows
63
o Do the farmers (like Masai) move around with their cattle (particularly in the dry
season) to find better grazing grounds for their cattle?
- Sense of cooperation
o Is there a cooperation network already in place?
- Maximum distance to processing plant
o What is the maximum distance between the processing plant and the factory for the
processor to collect the milk?
- Education of farmers
o What is the highest level of education of the farmers in the town? (with the idea in
mind that there needs to be a farmer leader of a potential cooperative)
- Location obstacles? (like holy grounds)
o Are there any objections to the specific locations from the local population?
- Availability of clean water
o Is there sufficient clean water available in order to clean the clean the cooling
facilities and feed to the cows?
- Use of groundwater
o In dry areas, can ground water be used to increase water supply?
- Availability of veterinarian services
o Are there people in the direct surroundings that have enjoyed higher education and
have been trained in veterinarian services?
- Hygiene training
o Did the farmers receive any training that taught them to milk the cows hygienically?
- Talk to men or women? Women milk the cows but men are in charge
o Who is in charge of milking the cow and who is the decision maker?
- Usage of traders/hawkers
o Many farmers use hawkers to transport and sell their milk at the market. They get
paid a fee per liter usually. However, if collection centers are established is the use of
these hawkers then still justified (due to potentially decreasing distances)?
o How transparent are the activities of the hawkers? (in price and treatment of the
milk?)
64