2017-PET-3 April 29, 2021

LAB # 5
Problem # 1
Objective:
Calculate time required to reach 25 MMscf/day.

Data:
Time Flow rate “q” Time Flow rate “q”
(Month) (MMscf/D) (Month) (MMscf/D)
1 904.84 13 272.53
2 818.73 14 246.6
3 740.82 15 223.13
4 670.32 16 210.9
5 606.53 17 182.68
6 548.81 18 165.3
7 496.59 19 149.57
8 449.33 20 135.34
9 406.57 21 122.46
10 367.88 22 110.8
11 332.8 23 100.26
12 201.19 24 90.72

Graphical Representation:
Cartesian:

q vs t
1000

800
q (MMscf/D)

600

400
q vs t
200

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
t (Monthly)
2017-PET-3 April 29, 2021

Semi -log:

Log q vs t
1000
q (MMscf/D)

100

Log(q) vs t
10

1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
t (Monthly)

Log- log:

Log q vs log t
1000
q (MMscf/D)

100

Log(q) vs t
10

1
1 10 100
t (Monthly)
2017-PET-3 April 29, 2021

Log q vs t
1000

100
q (MMscf/D)

10

1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
t (Monthly)

Log(q) vs t Expon. (Log(q) vs t)

By Using Equation:
qt = qi * exp (-D * t)
at qt = 90.72 MMscf/day and qi = 904.84 MMscf/day, and t = 24 months, find D.
904.84
D = ln ( ) / 24
90.72

𝑫 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟗𝟓𝟖/𝒎𝒐𝒏𝒕𝒉
Now we will calculate the required time to reach 25 MMscf/day.
904.84
t = ln ( ) / 0.0958
25

t = 37.45 months

Discussion:
✓ By using trendline on semi-log graph, we have concluded that 37 months are required to
achieve 25 MMSCF/Day.
✓ Also, by using graph the time required to achieve 25 MMSCF/Day is also 37.45
months.
2017-PET-3 April 29, 2021

Problem # 2
Objective:
Estimate:
✓ The future cumulative gas production when the gas flow rate reaches 80 MMscf/day.
✓ Extra time required to reach 80 MMscf/day.

Data:
Q (MMscf/day) Gp (MMscf)
320 16
336 32
304 48
309 96
272 160
248 240
208 304
197 352
184 368
176 384
184 400

Graphical Representation:

q vs Gp
400

350

300
q (MMscf/D)

250

200
q vs Gp
150
Linear (q vs Gp)
100

50

0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
Gp (MMscf)
2017-PET-3 April 29, 2021

By using Equation:

qt = qi - D * Gp (t)
At the 8th point in the table, qt = 197 MMscf/day and qi = 340 MMscf/day, and Gp = 352,000
MMscf, find D.
340−197
D=
352,000

𝑫 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟒𝟏/𝒅𝒂𝒚
Now we will calculate the time to reach the last recorded flow rate, 184 MMscf.
340
t = ln ( 184 ) / 0.00041

𝒕 = 𝟏𝟓𝟏𝟏 𝒅𝒂𝒚𝒔
Now we will calculate the total time to reach a gas flow rate of 80 MMscf/day:
340
t = ln ( ) / 0.00041
80

𝒕 = 𝟑𝟓𝟑𝟎 𝒅𝒂𝒚𝒔
Extra time required for the flowrate to reach 80 MMscf/day:
t = 3530 – 1511 = 2019 days
𝒕 = 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟗 𝒅𝒂𝒚𝒔 𝒐𝒓 𝟓. 𝟓𝟑 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒔

Discussion:
✓ The cumulative gas production at gas flow rate 80 MMscf/day is almost 650MMMscf as
shown by trendline.
✓ The Extra time required to reach 80 MMscf/day is almost 5.53 years.
2017-PET-3 April 29, 2021

Problem # 3
Objective:
1) Use the first six months of the production history data to determine the coefficient of the
decline-curve equation.
2) Predict flow rates and cumulative gas production of the year.
3) Assuming that the economic limit is 30MMscf/month, estimate the time to reach the
economic limit and the corresponding cumulative gas production.

Data:
Time Q Time Q
(Months) (MMscf/Month) (Months) (MMscf/Month)
0 1240 7 949
1 1193 8 911
2 1148 9 880
3 1104 10 843
4 1066 11 813
5 1023 12 782
6 986

Solution:

1. Use the first six months of the production history data to determine the coefficient
of the decline curve equation.

qt = qi * exp (-D * t)
At qt = 1023 MMscf/day and qi = 1240 MMscf/day, and t = 5 months, find D.
1240
D = ln ( 1023 ) / 5

𝑫 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑𝟖/𝒎𝒐𝒏𝒕𝒉
2017-PET-3 April 29, 2021

2. Predict flow rates and cumulative gas production of the year. By using the following
equation, we can determine the calculated flowrate by simply changing the time;
Calculated qt = 1240 * exp (-0.03820 * t)
Time Q qt Gp
(Months) (MMscf/Month) (MMscf/Month) (MMscf)
0 1240 1240 0
1 1193 1193.523268 1216.6137
2 1148 1148.788542 2387.6272
3 1104 1105.730528 3514.7496
4 1066 1064.286382 4599.6262
5 1023 1024.395613 5643.8402
6 986 986.4566877 6648.9157
7 949 949.0435019 7616.3199
8 911 913.472179 8547.4645
9 880 879.2341132 9443.7086
10 843 846.2793324 10306.36
11 813 814.5597375 11136.679
12 782 784.0290323 11935.876

Graphical Representation:

qt Vs t
10000

1000
Q (MMscf/month)

100 Series1
Linear (Series1)

10 Expon. (Series1)

1
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Time (Months)
2017-PET-3 April 29, 2021

3. Assuming that the economic limit is 30 MMscf/month, estimate the time to reach the
economic limit and the corresponding cumulative gas production.

By using Equation:
D = 0.038 / month
Now we will calculate the time to reach the economic limit which is 30MMscf/month.
1240
t = ln ( ) / 0.038
30

𝒕 = 𝟗𝟕. 𝟓𝒎𝒐𝒏𝒕𝒉𝒔 𝒐𝒓 𝟖. 𝟐𝟎 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒔

𝐆𝐩 = 𝟑𝟏. 𝟓𝟔 𝑴𝑴𝑴𝒔𝒄𝒇

Discussion:
✓ By using trendline the total cumulative production at economic limit 30MMs/day is
almost 31.56 MMMscf.
✓ The estimated time to reach the economic limit (30MMscf/month) is almost 8.2 years.