More Examples from Probability
Example 1: Suppose we have a biased coin (a coin that P(H) 𝑃 𝑇 )
such that
(we use the term unbiased when P(H)=P(T))
Probability of observing a head is twice the probability of observing a
tail. Find probability of observing head and tail, i.e. P(H)=? And P(T)=?
Solution:
According to the question we have P(H)=2P(T). On the other hand we
know that always P(H)+P(T)=1 (because always the sum of probabilities
in a sample space is equal to 1)
So,
2P(T)+P(T)=1 or 3P(T)=1 P(T)=1/3 and P(H)=2/3.
Example 2: Suppose the sample space consists of 8 simple events, E1,
E2, …, E8.
Suppose also that P(E4)=2P(E7)=0.20
and P(E3)=3P(E8)=0.15
Find probability of all simple events.
Solution:
Since 2P(E7)=0.20 P(E7)=0.10
and since 3P(E8)=0.15 P(E8)=0.05
So, P(E1)+P(E2)+0.15+0.20+ P(E5)+ P(E6)+0.10+0.05=1
therefore, P(E1)+P(E2)+ P(E5)+ P(E6)=0.50 and so
P(E1)=P(E2)= P(E5)= P(E6)=0.5/4=0.125
Example 3: Suppose the sample space is defined as follows:
S={1,3,6,7,9,12,15,20}
Let events A and B be defined as follows:
A={3,9,20} B={1,3,9,12}
Find: 𝐴 , 𝐴 ∪ 𝐵 and 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵
Solution:
𝐴 1, 6, 7, 12, 15 (any simple event which is in S but not in A)
𝐴∪𝐵 1, 3, 9, 12, 20 (any simple event in A or B or both)
𝐴 ∩ 𝐵={3, 9} (common elements of A and B)
Example 4: Suppose we have the following information in a college.
Major
Gender Stats. Chem. Phys.
Male 15 25 10
Female 20 30 15
Let
A: Student with major Chem. B: Student with major Phys. C: Female student
Find
P(A∩ 𝐶), P(B∪ 𝐶), P(𝐵 and P 𝐴 ∪ 𝐶
Solution:
In the following table we are added the total of each row and column.
Major
Gender Stats. Chem. Phys. Total
Male 15 25 10 50
Female 20 30 (A∩ 𝐶 ) 15(B∩ 𝐶) 65
Total 35 55 25 115
Hence we have
P(A)=55/115 , P(B)=25/115 , P(C)=65/115
P(A∩ 𝐶)=30/115 , P(B∪ 𝐶)=P(B)+P(C)‐P(B∩ 𝐶 =25/115+65/115‐15/115=75/115
Also, P 𝐴 ∪ 𝐶