Khushboo Fdi Report
Khushboo Fdi Report
Khushboo Fdi Report
Multi Brand retail implies that a retail store with a foreign investment can sell multiple
brands under one roof. Opening up FDI in multi-brand retail will mean that global retailers including
Wal-Mart, Carrefour and Tesco can open stores offering a range of household items and grocery
directly to consumers in the same way as the ubiquitous ‟kirana‟ store.
The approval for single and multi brand includes a set of riders for the foreign investors, aimed
at ensuring that the foreign investment makes a genuine contribution to the development of Indian
infrastructure and logistics, at the same time facilitating integration of small retailers into the
upgraded value chain. While the minimum capital requirement of US$ 100 million is unlikely to be
an issue for the large foreign players vying to enter India in the supermarket/ hypermarket segment,
it could make it difficult for foreign investors planning to enter specialty formats such as music,
mobile, electronics goods, among others, as these formats require relatively lower investments.
Further, the approval requirements from State Governments could limit the cities that FDI backed
retailers can operate in.
per cent. In 2007, India was ranked the twelfth largest consumer market and it is expected to be the
fifth-largest consumer market by 2025 after the US, Japan, China and the UK (McKinsey & Company
2007). In 2010, India attracted the largest number of new retailers among emerging and mature
markets (CBRE 2011). According to study conducted by ICRIER, total retail business in India will grow
at 13% annually, from US $322 billion in 2006-07 to US $590 billion in 2011-12 and further US $1
trillion by 2016-17 (figure-2)
Figure- (2)
100% FDI being permitted in cash & carry wholesale trading under the government approval route,
subsequently brought under the automatic route in 2006. As a step ahead, FDI in single brand retail
was permitted to the extent of 51% in 2006, while FDI in multi-brand retail remained prohibited till
recently. Despite changes in consumer behaviour and retail modernization, India is one of the few
countries where FDI was prohibited in multi-brand retail (until 2011), primarily to protect the
traditional mom-and-pop retailers. This policy restricts global low-cost multi-brand retailers such as
Wal-Mart, Tesco and Metro AG from catering directly to Indian consumers. Within the country,
there has been significant debate on whether FDI should be allowed in multi-brand retail. In July
2010, the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) released a Discussion Paper on
‘Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Multi-Brand Retail Trading’ to facilitate discussion and debate on
whether FDI should be allowed in multi-brand retail and, if so, what conditions should be imposed
on FDI. Although a number of issues have been discussed in the Discussion Paper, the implications of
the liberalization for Indian consumers have not been discussed. The Economic Survey of 2010-11
mentioned that a phased opening of FDI in multi-brand retail is likely to benefit the consumers, but
did not state the exact benefits. In July 2011, a Committee of Secretaries (CoS) had cleared the
proposal to allow up to 51% FDI in multi-brand retail, which has been approved by the Union Cabinet
in November 2011, albeit with a few riders to set up the supply chain and reduce inflation. The
Union Cabinet has also approved increasing the FDI limit in single brand retail to 100% with
government approval. While no parliamentary approval is needed for the decision, State
Governments have the prerogative to disallow the same in their respective states. As a
part of the economic liberalization process set in place by the Industrial Policy of 1991, the
government of India opened up the retail sector to FDI through a series of steps: 1995 – World
Trade Organization‟s (WTO) General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) which included both
wholesale and retail trade in services came into effect. 1997 – FDI in cash and carry (wholesale)
allowed up to 100% under the government approval route. 2006 - FDI in single brand retail was
permitted to the extent of 51%; FDI in cash and carry brought under automatic route. 2011 – 100%
FDI in single-brand retail permitted with government approval; 51% FDI in multi-brand retail with
few conditions.
IV. Opportunities And Threats Of Fdi In Retail In India
Market liberalization, a growing middle-class, and increasingly assertive consumers are sowing the
seeds for a retail transformation that will bring more Indian and multinational players on the scene.
India is tipped as the second largest retail market after China, and the total size of the Indian retail
industry is expected to touch the $300 billion mark in the next five years from the current $200
billion. But the recent debate has centered on the issue of whether FDI in retail in India will be a
“boon or a bane”. Many studies and surveys were conducted to analyze the impact of FDI in retail
sector in various segments of the economy. According to a policy paper prepared by the Department
of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP, 2010), FDI in retail must result in backward linkages of
production and manufacturing and spur domestic retailing as well as exports. According to the
World Bank, opening the retail sector to FDI would be beneficial for India in terms of price and
availability of products. While FDI in multi-brand retail has been opposed by several in the past
citing fears of loss of employment, adverse impact on traditional retail and rise in imports from
cheaper sources like China, adherents of the same indicate increased transfer of technology,
enhanced supply chain efficiencies and increased employment opportunities as the perceived
benefits. Key Perceived Opportunities
The following may be regarded as major perceived benefits of allowing FDI in retail in India:
1. Capital Infusion- This would provide an opportunity for cash-deficient domestic retailers
to bridge the gap between capital required and raised. In fact FDI is one of the major sources of
investments for a developing country like India wherein it expects investments from Multinational
companies to improve the countries growth rate, create jobs, share their expertise, back-end
infrastructure and research and development in the host country.
6. Benefits for the Farmers- Presumably, with the onset of multi-brand retail, the food
and packaging industry will also get an impetus. Though India is the second largest producer of fruits
and vegetables, it has a very limited integrated cold-chain infrastructure. Lack of adequate storage
facilities causes heavy losses to farmers, in terms of wastage in quality and quantity of produce in
general, and of fruits and vegetables in particular. With liberalization, there could be a complete
overhaul of the currently fragmented supply chain infrastructure. Extensive backward integration by
multinational retailers, coupled with their technical and operational expertise, can hopefully remedy
such structural flaws. Also, farmers can benefit with the “farm-to fork” ventures with retailers which
helps (i) to cut down intermediaries ; (ii) give better prices to farmers, and (iii) provide stability and
economics of scale which will benefit, in the ultimate analysis, both the farmers and consumers.
brand retail. On the question how the SME industry consider entry of MNC retailers as a threat or
opportunity, majority of respondents (66.7%) see it as an opportunity for their sector while around
21 % of respondents perceive it as a threat. About 12.5 percent of respondents are of the opinion
that the decision would have little or no impact on their company.
1. Effect on Traditional Mom and Pop Stores- Traditional retailing has been established in India for
many centuries, and is characterized by small, family-owned operations. Because of this, such
businesses are usually very low-margin, are owner-operated, and have mostly negligible real estate
and labour costs. Such small shops develop strong networks with local neighbourhoods. The
informal system of credit adds to their attractiveness. Moreover, low labour costs also allow shops
to employ delivery boys, such that consumers may order their grocery list directly on the phone.
These advantages are significant, though hard to quantify. In contrast, players in the organized
sector have to cover big fixed costs, and yet have to keep prices low enough to be able to compete
with the traditional sector. Getting customers to switch their purchasing away from small
neighbourhood shops and towards large-scale retailers may be a major challenge. The experience of
large Indian retailers such as Big Bazaar shows that it is indeed possible. The oppositions, on the
other hand, believe that local kirana shops will not be affected. The kirana stores operate in a
different environment catering to a certain set of customers and they will continue to find new ways
to retain them.
Case Study of China: FDI in retailing was permitted in China for the first time in 1992.
Foreign retailers were initially permitted to trade only in six Provinces and Special Economic Zones.
Foreign ownership was initially restricted to 49%. Foreign ownership restrictions have progressively
been lifted and, and following China„s accession to WTO, effective December, 2004, there are no
equity restrictions. Employment in the retail and wholesale trade increased from about 4% of the
total labour force in 1992 to about 7% in 2001. The numbers of traditional retailers were also
increased by around 30% between 1996 and 2001. In 2006, the total retail sale in China amounted to
USD 785 billion, of which the share of organized retail amounted to 20%. Some of the changes which
have occurred in China, following the liberalization of its retail sector, include: (i) Over 600
hypermarkets were opened between 1996 and 2001 (ii) The number of small outlets (equivalent to
“kiranas‟) increased from 1.9 million to over 2.5 million. (iii) Employment in the retail and wholesale
sectors increased from 28 million people to 54 million people from 1992 to 2000. Thus the
above discussion and case of China suggest that it is too early to predict the erosion of mom and pop
stores in India with opening of multi-brand retail sector in India to foreign investors.
2. Effect on Farmers- It is being claimed by the advocates of FDI in retail that the elimination of
intermediaries and direct procurement by the MNCs would secure better prices for the farmers. The
fact is that the giant retailers would have far greater buyer power vis-à-vis the farmers compared to
the existing intermediaries. The entry of giant MNCs into agricultural procurement would make the
problems worse for the farmers. As against the „mandis‟ that operate today, where several traders
have to compete with each other in order to buy the farmers‟ produce, there will be a single buyer
in the case of the MNCs. This will make the farmers dependent on the MNCs and vulnerable to
exploitation. On the contrary, the advocates of FDI believe that FDI in retail in the agriculture will
help in improving supply chain, infrastructure and ensure economic security for farmers through the
elimination of middlemen in the country.
Case Study: Case 1- PepsiCo India- Helping Farmers Improve Yield and Income- Today
PepsiCo India„s potato farming programme reaches out to more than 12,000 farmer families across
six states. We provide farmers with superior seeds, timely agricultural inputs and supply of
agricultural implements free of charge. They have an assured buy-back mechanism at a prefixed rate
with farmers. This insulates them from market price fluctuations. Through our tie-up with State Bank
of India, we help farmers get credit at a lower rate of interest. They have arranged weather
insurance for farmers through our tie-up with ICICI Lombard.
Case 2- Bharti Walmart initiative through Direct Farm Project- Corporate Social
Responsibility (CSR) initiatives in Bharti Walmart are aimed at empowerment of the community
thereby fostering inclusive growth. They focused on enhancing opportunities in the areas of
education, skills training and generating local employment, women empowerment and community
development.
4. Effect on Existing Indian Organized Retail Firms- The existing Indian organized retail firms (such as
Spencer's, Foodworld Supermarkets Ltd, Nilgiri's and ShopRite) support retail reforms and consider
international competition as a blessing in disguise. They expect a flurry of joint ventures with global
majors for expansion capital and opportunity to gain expertise in supply chain management.
Case Study: Case 1: Spencer's Retail with 200 stores in India, and with retail of fresh vegetables
and fruits accounting for 55% of its business claims retail reform to be a win-win situation, as they
already procure the farm products directly from the growers without the involvement of middlemen
or traders. Spencer„s claims that there is scope for it to expand its footprint in terms of store
location as well as procuring farm products. Case 2: Foodworld, which operates over 60 stores,
plans to ramp up its presence to more than 200 locations. It has already tied up with Hong Kong-
based Dairy Farm International. With the relaxation in international investments in Indian retail,
India„s Foodworld expects its global relationship will only get stronger. Though it is too early to
assess the true impact of allowing FDI in single-brand and multi-brand retailing in India, but still the
Govt. argues strongly in favour on the ground that it will provide huge gainful employment in agro-
processing, marketing and logistics, help farmers‟ secure remunerative prices by eliminating
exploitative middlemen, ensure supply chain efficiencies, bring investment in back-end
infrastructure and also create a multiplier effect for employment, technology up gradation and
income generation by sourcing of a minimum of 30% from Indian micro and small industry. The
opposition, however, argues that there will be a large-scale job loss according to international
experience and global retail giants will resort to predatory pricing to create monopoly/oligopoly. So,
opening up of FDI in multi-brand retail in India could potentially be a mixed blessing for domestic
players. Hence adequate safeguards should be built in so that it does not end up in a losing
proposition.
VI. Policy Suggestions Many foreign companies have already entered into Indian market
through the available modes such as, Franchising and Exporting. They are much eager to change
their entry to FDI that would strengthen their operations in India. However, if FDI in retail is
liberalized by considering the following suggestions it is expected bring in more of benefits than
threats to the country. FDI should be initially allowed in less sensitive sectors and also in the
sectors wherein the domestic companies are established strongly. Then FDI in retail should be
liberalized in a phased manner like the case with China. Entry of foreign players must be gradual
with social safeguards so that the effects of labor dislocation can be minimized. Adequate
attention should be paid to procuring, staff recruitment, investments in warehouse, cold storage,
infrastructure, competition and retail formats so that not only does the money comes in but also it's
a winwin situation for the current national retailer as well as “mom and pop” stores who account for
70% of the retail business even after the arrival of national retailers from the corporate giants like
the Tata, Reliance, Future Group and the Birla's. The government should take initiatives to improve
the manufacturing sector. If the manufacturing is strengthened, the displaced employees of the
retail industry could be well accommodated there. \ A National Commission should be set up to
study the problems of the retail sector which should also evolve a clear set of conditionality on
foreign retailers on procurement of farm produce, domestically manufactured merchandise and
imported goods. This conditionality must state minimum space, size and other details like
construction and storage standards.
VII. Conclusion
Debates, discussions and conflicting views exit among policy makers, economists and social
thinkers on the issue of estimating the costs and benefits of allowing FDI in both single and multi-
brand retail in India. A recent study by University of North Carolina economist Anusha Chari and T C
A Madhav Raghavan (of ISI, New Delhi), March 2011, shows that the potential benefits of allowing
large retailers into the country significantly outweigh the costs. These benefits largely accumulate
through productivity gains. With respect to the impact of entry by big-box stores such as Wal-Mart
on retail employment and earnings, evidence from the United States is mixed. Using county-level
data, a recent study finds that Wal-Mart entry increases retail employment in the year of entry
(Basker, 2005a) while contrasting evidence indicates that each Wal-Mart worker replaces
approximately 1.4 retail workers representing a 2.7 percent reduction in average retail employment
(Neumark, Zhang and Ciccarella, 2008). While describing the retail experience in Thailand Sarma
(2005) shows how traditional shopkeepers continued to suffer even when the Thai economy
recovered, after the Asian crisis of the late 1990s. Foreign-owned retailers, he argues, “grabbed a big
share of the retail market, often through unethical means.” The UK Competition
Commission found in a 2000 study6 of major retail chains including Marks & Spencer, Sainsbury and
Tesco that “the burden of cost increases in the supply chain has fallen disproportionately heavily on
small suppliers such as farmers.” Apart from prices, the report states that smaller farmers came
under severe pressure from supermarkets due to the latter‟s requirement for large volumes of each
product, pushing farmers to grow single crops rather than the multiple produce they would usually
grow to minimize risk. Observed supermarket practices too may work against the interests of
incumbent retailers, even organized ones. Supermarket chains routinely sell some products at lower
than market prices, which appears to benefit consumers, but this puts pressure on small local stores
and has an adverse impact on low-income and elderly consumers who rely on local shops.
The Indian Government, however, recommends that retail firms source a percentage of
manufactured products from the small and medium domestic enterprises (DIPP Report, 2010). With
a restriction of this sort, the opening up of the retail sector to FDI could therefore provide a boost to
small-and medium enterprises. Moreover, expansion in the retail sector could also generate
significant employment potential, especially among rural and semi-urban youth. So it is very difficult
to predict the future of Indian retail sector. But the government of India must be cautious about the
apprehensions raised by the critics and adequate safeguards must be taken so that the positive
effects may outweigh the negative ones and the traditional retailers coexist even after big foreign
retailers enter the market.