Measuring a Nation’s
Income
Chapter 5
      Learning Objectives
 Describethe origins of macroeconomics
 and the problems it deals with
 Describethe long-term trends and short-
 terms fluctuations in economic growth,
 unemployment, inflation, and
 government and international deficits
 Learning Objectives (con't.)
 Explain
        why economic growth,
 unemployment, inflation, and deficits
 matter
 Identify
         the macroeconomic policy
 challenges and describe the tools
 available for meeting them
      Learning Objectives
 Distinguish betweenthe stocks of capital
 and wealth and the flows of production,
 income, investment and saving
 Explainwhy aggregate income,
 expenditure, and product are equal
 Explain   how GDP is measured
      Learning Objectives
 Describethe origins of macroeconomics
 and the problems it deals with
 Describethe long-term trends and short-
 terms fluctuations in economic growth,
 unemployment, inflation, and
 government and international deficits
        Microeconomics
Microeconomics   is the study of how
individual households and firms make
decisions and how they interact with
one another in markets.
          Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics  is the study of the
 economy as a whole.
   Itsgoal is to explain the economic changes
    that affect many households, firms, and
    markets at once.
          Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics       answers questions like
 the following:
  Why  is average income high in some countries
   and low in others?
  Why do prices rise rapidly in some time periods
   while they are more stable in others?
  Why do production and employment expand in
   some years and contract in others?
     Origins and Issues of
       Macroeconomics
 Modern macroeconomics emerged
 during the Great Depression.
 People
       began to doubt the free market
 economy.
 JohnMaynard Keynes, in 1936,
 published The General Theory of
 Employment, Interest, and Money.
     Origins and Issues of
       Macroeconomics
 Macroeconomic   Problems
 1) Economic Growth
 2) Unemployment
 3) Inflation
 4) Deficits
     Origins and Issues of
       Macroeconomics
 Short-Term    Versus Long-Term Goals
  Keynes focused on the short-term primarily
    • He felt the depression was caused by insufficient
      private spending
    • Government should increase its spending
     Origins and Issues of
       Macroeconomics
 Short-Term    Versus Long-Term Goals
  Long-term consequences were virtually
   disregarded
    • “In the long run, we’re all dead”
     Origins and Issues of
       Macroeconomics
 Short-Term   Versus Long-Term Goals
  Today, macroeconomics is concerned with:
    • Long-term economic growth and inflation
    • Short-term business fluctuations and
      unemployment
     Origins and Issues of
       Macroeconomics
 The   Road Ahead
  The focus of macroeconomics has
   shifted:
    • Depression
    • Inflation of the 1970’s
    • International economics of today
   Economic Growth in the
       United States
 Fluctuations Around    Potential GDP
  The business cycle is the periodic but
   irregular up-and-down movement in
   production.
   Economic Growth in the
       United States
 Phases
       of the Business Cycle
  Recession
    • Period during which real GDP decreases for two
      successive quarters
  Expansion
    • Period during which real GDP increases
   Economic Growth in the
       United States
 Turning Points
  Peak
    • Expansion ends, recession begins
  Trough
    • Recession ends, expansion begins
Long-Term Economic Growth
    in the United States
  Economic Growth Around
        the World
 Real   GDP per person
  The growth rate of real GDP divided by the
   population is used to compare growth rates over
   time and across countries.
         Benefits and Costs of
          Economic Growth
 Benefits
  Expanded production possibilities
     •   health care
     •   medical research
     •   space exploration
     •   roads
     •   environmental improvements (if resources are
         devoted to solving environmental problems)
     Benefits and Costs of
      Economic Growth
 Costs
 1) Foregone consumption
 2) Depletion of natural resources
 3) Increased pollution
 4) More frequent job and location
 changes
     Macroeconomic Policy
     Challenges and Tools
 Policy   Challenges
 1) Boost economic growth
 2) Stabilize the business cycle
 3) Reduce unemployment
 4) Keep inflation low
 5) Reduce the government and
    international deficits
     Macroeconomic Policy
     Challenges and Tools
 Policy   Tools
 1) Fiscal policy
     • Making changes in taxes and government
       spending
        – Long term growth
        – Smooth the business cycle
     Macroeconomic Policy
     Challenges and Tools
 Policy   Tools
 2) Monetary policy
     • Changing interest rates and the amount of money
       in the economy
        – Control inflation
        – Smooth business cycle
         The Economy’s
     Income and Expenditure
When judging whether the economy is
doing well or poorly, it is natural to
look at the total income that everyone
in the economy is earning.
           The Economy’s
       Income and Expenditure
For an economy as a whole, income
 must equal expenditure because:
 Every transaction has a buyer and a
  seller.
 Every dollar of spending by some buyer
  is a dollar of income for some seller.
   Gross Domestic Product
 Gross   domestic product (GDP) is a
  measure of the income and
  expenditures of an economy.
 It is the total market value of all
  final goods and services produced
  within a country in a given period of
  time.
The Circular-Flow Diagram
The equality of income and
expenditure can be illustrated
with the circular-flow diagram.
   The Circular-Flow Diagram
        Revenue                      Spending
                    Market for
                      Goods
      Goods &                        Goods &
    Services sold   and Services
                                     Services
                                     bought
Firms
                                             Households
    Inputs for                      Labor, land,
    production       Market for     and capital
                       Factors
  Wages, rent,      of Production      Income
   and profit
The Measurement of GDP
GDP is the market value of all
   final goods and services
produced within a country in a
     given period of time.
     The Measurement of GDP
 Output  is valued at market prices.
 It records only the value of final goods,
  not intermediate goods (the value is
  counted only once).
 It includes both tangible goods (food,
  clothing, cars) and intangible services
  (haircuts, housecleaning, doctor visits).
       The Measurement of GDP
 It includes goods and services currently
  produced, not transactions involving
  goods produced in the past.
 It measures the value of production
  within the geographic confines of a
  country.
   The Measurement of GDP
 Itmeasures the value of production
  that takes place within a specific
  interval of time, usually a year or a
  quarter (three months).
What Is Counted in GDP?
GDP includes all items
produced in the economy
and sold legally in markets.
 What Is Not Counted in GDP?
 GDP excludes     most items that are
  produced and consumed at home and
  that never enter the marketplace.
 It excludes items produced and sold
  illicitly, such as illegal drugs.
  Other Measures of Income
 Gross National Product (GNP)
 Net National Product (NNP)
 National Income
 Personal Income
 Disposable Personal Income
      Gross National Product
 Gross   national product (GNP) is the total
  income earned by a nation’s permanent
  residents (called nationals).
 It differs from GDP by including income
  that our citizens earn abroad and
  excluding income that foreigners earn
  here.
   Net National Product (NNP)
 Net National Product (NNP) is the total
  income of the nation’s residents (GNP)
  minus losses from depreciation.
 Depreciation is the wear and tear on
  the economy’s stock of equipment and
  structures.
         National Income
 National   Income is the total income
  earned by a nation’s residents in the
  production of goods and services.
 It differs from NNP by excluding indirect
  business taxes (such as sales taxes) and
  including business subsidies.
             Personal Income
 Personal income is the income that
  households and noncorporate businesses
  receive.
 Unlike national income, it excludes retained
  earnings, which is income that corporations
  have earned but have not paid out to their
  owners.
 In addition, it includes household’s interest
  income and government transfers.
   Disposable Personal Income
 Disposable personal   income is the income
  that household and noncorporate
  businesses have left after satisfying all
  their obligations to the government.
 It equals personal income minus personal
  taxes and certain nontax payments.
      The Components of GDP
GDP (Y ) is the sum of the following:
       Consumption (C)
     Investment (I)
     Government Purchases (G)
     Net Exports (NX)
       Y = C + I + G + NX
   The Components of GDP
 Consumption     (C):
   The spending by households on goods and
   services, with the exception of purchases of
   new housing.
 Investment   (I):
   The spending on capital equipment,
    inventories, and structures, including
    new housing.
   Gross Domestic Product
 Gross   Investment
  The total amount spent on adding to the
   stock of capital and on replacing depreciated
   capital
 Net   Investment
  The amount spent on adding to the stock of
   capital
    • Gross Investment minus Depreciation
Capital and Investment
                    Initial
                    capital
     The Components of GDP
 Government      Purchases (G):
   The  spending on goods and services by local,
    state, and federal governments.
   Does not include transfer payments because
    they are not made in exchange for currently
    produced goods or services.
 Net   Exports (NX):
   Exports   minus imports.
        GDP and Its Components (1998)
                            Total                      Per Person
                            (in billions of dollars)   (in dollars)   % of Total
Gross domestic product, Y           $8,511                 $31,522     100 percent
Consumption, C                      5,808                  21,511          68
Investment, I                       1,367                   5,063          16
Government purchases, G             1,487                   5,507          18
Net exports, NX                      -151                    -559          -2
GDP: The Income Approach
                      Amount in 1996          Percentage
  Item                 (billions of dollars    of GDP
Compensation of
employees                   4,449                58.7
Net Interest                   405                5.4
Rental Income                  127                1.7
Corporate Profits              650                8.6
Proprietors’ income            518                6.8
Indirect taxes
 less subsidies                569                7.5
Capital consumption
 (depreciation)                858               11.3
Gross domestic              7,576               100.0
product
GDP and Its Components (1998)
   GDP and Its Components (1998)
Consumption
    68 %
   GDP and Its Components (1998)
 Investment
    16%
Consumption
    68 %
   GDP and Its Components (1998)
                        Government
 Investment              Purchases
    16%                    18%
Consumption
    68 %
  GDP and Its Components (1998)
          Government Purchases
Investment       18%           Net Exports
   16%                             -2 %
Consumption
    68 %
                    Aggregate Expenditure,
                     Output, and Income
                    100   NX                                   Depreciation
                           G                 GDP
                                                               Indirect taxes
                                                               less subsidies
                     80   I                                    Proprietor’s
                                                               incomes
                                                               Interest
                          C                                    Profits
                                                               Rent
                     60
Percentage of GDP
                                                               Wages and other
                                                               labor income
                     40
                     20
                     0
                                Aggregate    GDP   Aggregate
                               expenditure          income
   Real versus Nominal GDP
 Nominal GDP values the production of
  goods and services at current prices.
 Real GDP values the production of
  goods and services at constant prices.
   Real versus Nominal GDP
An accurate view of the economy
requires adjusting nominal to real
GDP by using the GDP deflator.
             GDP Deflator
 The   GDP deflator measures the current
  level of prices relative to the level of
  prices in the base year.
 It tells us the rise in nominal GDP that is
  attributable to a rise in prices rather than
  a rise in the quantities produced.
             GDP Deflator
The GDP deflator is calculated as follows:
                Nominal GDP
 GDP deflator =              100
                 Real GDP
   Converting Nominal GDP to Real
                GDP
    Nominal GDP is converted to real
    GDP as follows:
               (Nominal GDP20xx )
Real GDP20xx =                     X 100
               (GDP deflator20xx )
       Real and Nominal GDP
       Price of   Quantity of   Price of     Quantity of
Year   Hot dogs   Hot dogs      Hamburgers   Hamburgers
2001       $1          100          $2             50
2002       $2          150          $3            100
2003       $3          200          $4            150
               Real and Nominal GDP
Calculating Nominal GDP:
2001    ($1 per hot dog x 100 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger x 50 hamburgers) = $200
2002   ($2 per hot dog x 150 hot dogs) + ($3 per hamburger x 100 hamburgers) = $600
2003   ($3 per hot dog x 200 hot dogs) + ($4 per hamburger x 150 hamburgers) = $1200
              Real and Nominal GDP
Calculating Real GDP (base year 2001):
2001   ($1 per hot dog x 100 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger x 50 hamburgers) = $200
2002   ($1 per hot dog x 150 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger x 100 hamburgers) = $350
2003   ($1 per hot dog x 200 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger x 150 hamburgers) = $500
       Real and Nominal GDP
Calculating the GDP Deflator:
2001               ($200/$200) x 100 = 100
2002               ($600/$350) x 100 = 171
2003              ($1200/$500) x 100 = 240
          Real GDP in the United States
Billions of
1992 Dollars
    8,000
                (Periods of falling real GDP)
    7,000
    6,000
    5,000
    4,000
    3,000
        1970   1975   1980       1985     1990   1995   2000
        GDP and Economic
           Well-Being
 GDP is  the best single measure of the
  economic well-being of a society.
 GDP per person tells us the income
  and expenditure of the average person
  in the economy.
        GDP and Economic
           Well-Being
 Higher  GDP per person indicates a
  higher standard of living.
 GDP is not a perfect measure of the
  happiness or quality of life, however.
           GDP and Economic
              Well-Being
 Some things that contribute to    well-being are
 not included in GDP.
   The  value of leisure.
   The value of a clean environment.
   The value of almost all activity that takes place
    outside of markets, such as the value of the time
    parents spend with their children and the value of
    volunteer work.
GDP, Life Expectancy, and Literacy
   Country         Real GDP per    Life         Adult
                   Person (1997)   Expectancy   Literacy
   United States      $29,010       77 years      99%
   Japan               24,070          80          99
   Germany             21,260          77          99
   Mexico              8,370           72          90
   Brazil              6,480           67          84
   Russia              4,370           67          99
   Indonesia           3,490           65          85
   China               3,130           70          83
   India               1,670           63          53
   Pakistan            1,560           64          41
   Bangladesh          1,050           58          39
   Nigeria              920            50          59
               Summary
 Because every    transaction has a buyer and
  a seller, the total expenditure in the
  economy must equal the total income in
  the economy.
 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures
  an economy’s total expenditure on newly
  produced goods and services and the total
  income earned from the production of
  these goods and services.
               Summary
 GDP is  the market value of all final goods
  and services produced within a country
  in a given period of time.
 GDP is divided among four components
  of expenditure: consumption, investment,
  government purchases, and net exports.
             Summary
 Nominal   GDP uses current prices to
  value the economy’s production. Real
  GDP uses constant base-year prices to
  value the economy’s production of goods
  and services.
 The GDP deflator--calculated from the
  ratio of nominal to real GDP--measures
  the level of prices in the economy.
               Summary
 GDP is   a good measure of economic well-
  being because people prefer higher to
  lower incomes.
 It is not a perfect measure of well-being
  because some things, such as leisure time
  and a clean environment, aren’t
  measured by GDP.
Graphical
 Review
   The Circular-Flow Diagram
        Revenue                      Spending
                    Market for
                      Goods
      Goods &                        Goods &
    Services sold   and Services
                                     Services
                                     bought
Firms
                                             Households
    Inputs for                      Labor, land,
    production       Market for     and capital
                       Factors
  Wages, rent,      of Production      Income
   and profit
  GDP and Its Components (1998)
          Government Purchases
Investment       18%           Net Exports
   16%                             -2 %
Consumption
    68 %
          Real GDP in the United States
Billions of
1992 Dollars
    8,000
                (Periods of falling real GDP)
    7,000
    6,000
    5,000
    4,000
    3,000
        1970   1975   1980       1985     1990   1995   2000