Issue32 Elrod
Issue32 Elrod
Issue32 Elrod
of Keynes, Robinson and Kalecki supported 4.6 percent.* But the situation did not last.
Fidel Castro and Kim Il-Sung and praised Solow and Samuelson did not anticipate the
the superiority of state-directed develop- new investment opportunities that emerged
ment in third-world nations over the US’s simultaneously in Europe and the third
method of influencing investment decisions world. Business managers, flush with cash
indirectly through the tax code — forms and facing a still-organized working class,
of control that would presumably remain closed factories in the US and opened new
chaste, if not liberal. operations abroad.
Their principal opponents in the United Solow’s 1964 world didn’t account for
States were Solow and Robert Samuel- asset bubbles. At the time of the Kennedy
son, who prided themselves in mentoring tax cut there hadn’t been a financial crisis in
President Kennedy. Samuelson described the United States for thirty-five years. Capi-
Joan Robinson’s polemics against Ameri- tal was always valued accurately by markets,
can growth economics, with its fixation on it was assumed, and necessarily represented
class, as a “power theory” that was “unreal- a real income stream from planned future
istic and naive.” Both he and Solow defined production. But by the 1980s, after the Fed-
themselves in opposition to Marxism. eral Reserve and Congress intervened to refi-
Ensconced in power themselves, Samuelson nance insolvent industrial and banking cor-
and Solow developed theories for existing porations — raising interest rates to attract
American institutions, which notably lacked investment, reducing reserve requirements
any permanent planning agency capable of to expand bank credit, and arranging private
targeting investments or influencing corpo- refinancing deals for the Penn Central Trans-
rate management decisions (save the Pen- portation Company, Lockheed, and New
tagon and the New Deal–ized Department York City, among others — it was clear that
of Agriculture, which sets annual prices and our system was incapable of allocating capi-
quotas for our various farm commodities). tal efficiently, or even pricing it accurately.
The primary challenge of hands-off tinker- As Solow remarked when he received the
ing, American-style, was how to guide dif- Nobel Prize in economics in 1987, “One of
fuse private investment decisions in a way the achievements of growth theory was to
that would ensure the updating of industrial relate equilibrium growth to asset pricing
plants, generate jobs, and sustain growth. under tranquil conditions.” In other words,
Solow and Samuelson imagined (unre- private investment and distribution goals
alistically and naively) that private man- could be made objects of indirect planning
agers would respond to higher wages and if capital markets sent meaningful signals
lower taxes by upgrading machinery to about social priorities. But “the hard part
raise productivity. The Kennedy tax cut of of disequilibrium growth is that we do not
1964 — the MIT-sponsored “trial” of postwar have — and it may be impossible to have — a
Keynesianism in Washington that Solow really good theory of asset valuation under
helped plan — did achieve full employment turbulent conditions.” High securities prices
for the first and last time since the Korean might signal that a corporation or munici-
War, as well as an annual growth rate of pality was satisfying public wants through
*The Kennedy tax cut had been proposed in 1963, but was passed by Congress and signed by Johnson after Kennedy’s
assassination.
Reviews 177
its provision of sales or services — or that it long run. Capital does in fact exhibit falling
had been thrown on the betting table or the “real” returns, he argues, and he demonstrates
chopping block. Profits and profitability in his point by removing capital gains from the
the capital market, it turned out, no longer measurement. In the history of economic
told us anything about what kind of prod- thought, “the long run” has been a bludgeon
ucts and services the public wanted to con- to wield in a policy fight, and here Raval uses
sume and how. Maybe they never had. it to argue against a global capital tax, the
most radical solution to global inequality Pik-
Piket ty’s empirical measurements of the etty proposes. A global tax would ultimately
historical distribution of income in Capital reduce labor income, Raval says, since a
in the Twenty-First Century were shocking, wealth tax would discourage investment and
but his conclusion that inequality intensi- employment. Besides, if the inequality that
fies with time falls squarely within the earlier has racked the past two generations will end
growth-economics tradition. Piketty demon- as capital income falls, as Raval argues it will,
strates that the rate of return to the aggregate we may as well go along to get along.
capital stock — the dollar increment by which Raval goes to such lengths because the
the total value of all property increases each stakes are high, for economics and for
year — has hovered around 4 to 5 percent over policy. Piketty’s empirical observation of
the past two hundred years. Meanwhile, there steady returns to the abstract total capital
is simply a greater capital stock (i.e., more stock poses an existential problem for the
wealth) than ever before. The observations discipline, as it contradicts one of its most
pose a problem for classical economic theory, ubiquitously taught maxims: that price var-
which holds that the more wealth there is, ies inversely with quantity. It is the trout in
the less scarce and cheaper it becomes, and Thoreau’s milk, evidence that the savings-
therefore the harder it is to ensure a steady returns story of the distribution of economic
rate of return. So how has the rate of return growth — which posits that social wealth
held steady even as the total amount of capi- grows when people invest their private sav-
tal has increased? Piketty believes that tech- ings for profit — might not be as predictable
nological innovations — fertilizer, hand tools, as we expected. Why does capital income
machinery, “robots” — have enabled a larger remain so high when capital itself should be
stock of capital to continue to be productive. cheaper? Why does the production of wealth
And according to the methods of Solow-style distribute more evenly in some moments in
macroeconomics, this is the only explanation history than in others? Returns to capital
that exists. in the aggregate, it turns out, have had little
But what if capital in the abstract has not relationship to real investment, employment
been “more productive”? According to neo- levels, or the distribution of income within a
classical theory, this would mean the fifty- given society. As Emmanuel Saez, an origi-
year trend toward rising capital income in nal partner in Piketty’s research enterprise,
the historical data is merely an aberration. explains in his contribution to After Piketty,
In his contribution to After Piketty, Devesh “There is no compelling evidence that the
Raval, a former economist for Amazon who countries that lowered their top marginal
is now on staff at the Federal Trade Commis- tax rates and experienced large increases in
sion, tries to pin down the effect of technol- income concentration had a better growth
ogy on capital, both in the abstract and in the experience since the 1960s.”
178 Reviews
The implications may seem radical in the were employed by Equitable Growth during
aftermath of the Reagan, Bush, and Trump the book’s gestation; the third, J. Bradford
tax cuts, justified as incentivizing “job cre- DeLong, a former Clinton White House offi-
ation” among the beneficiaries, but they cial and professor of economics at the Uni-
shouldn’t. When economists aggregate all versity of California, Berkeley, is a frequent
the various types of capital into a single collaborator. (I received a research grant
quantity — corporate paper, equipment, pat- from Equitable Growth in 2016.) The out-
ents, real estate, et cetera — they make it fit has found itself in the difficult position of
impossible to know whether the right tax trying to restore that technocratic optimism
incentives will channel this abstraction into in a moment of profound intellectual disar-
labor income, productivity, or growth. Most ray. At one of the organization’s research
often, liberated capital flows into asset bid- conferences in September 2016, for exam-
ding, more debt, corporate stock buybacks, ple, a former editor of the Journal of Politi-
dividends, and idle cash to be hoarded. You cal Economy could be heard denouncing “the
might call it wealth, but you’d need the right incompetence of the Fed to create negative
education to believe it. interest rates,” following the neoclassical the-
Historically, the tendency in American ory that money could be mobilized produc-
economics has been to conflate investment tively (rather than put into cash hoarding or
talk with trading talk, which opens the door useless speculation) if only the Board of Gov-
to the argument that cutting tax rates for ernors of the Federal Reserve had the guts to
large savers will increase the funds avail- establish a de facto fee to punish people for
able for starting businesses and creating holding dollars. The keynote address that
jobs, rather than for taking bets and protect- night was given by Karen Dynan, the chief
ing status. Since high rates of return should economist in Jack Lew’s Treasury during the
mean available investment opportunities, the Obama Administration. When a reporter
confusion leads people to oppose any limits asked whether the White House would con-
on profits. This makes it difficult to deter- tinue its regulatory campaign against for-
mine what type of social activity our finan- profit universities, she equivocated by saying,
cial institutions are sustaining — increasing “I did not mean to disparage the sector.” The
the income of ordinary workers or safe- administration was not against all for-profit
guarding hoarded wealth. The devastating education, only the bad apples, she explained.
effects of this confusion are now self-evident, In fact, she continued, many for-profit
and they cast a shadow over the Clinton and schools were offering American workers
Obama Administrations. the much needed service of improving their
skills — an outcome that fits snugly within the
Pik e t t y ’s A meric a n re ader s are sus- “human capital” line of thinking strengthened
pended between two poles of intellectual by Solow’s productivity studies.
development in economics. One is midcen- The other pole — the one that descends
tury social-scientific technocracy, descended from Robinson and Kalecki — holds that
from Solow and Samuelson, which is preva- political power has some say in determin-
lent in the think tank that produced After ing the value of capital. The promise of
Piketty, the Washington Center for Equi- After Piketty lies with the number of con-
table Growth. Two of the book’s editors, tributors who appear to have abandoned the
Marshall Steinbaum and Heather Boushey, search for explanations of modern inequality
Reviews 179
taxation and social subsidies, high-level analysis. Journalists took Samuelson and
private bargaining between capital and labor, Solow’s myopic insights to argue that fis-
and the expansion of the public sector per- cal deficits were combining with generous
sisted from 1890 to 1940. Yet it was only welfare benefits to disincentivize work and
after the wars and the Depression that the slow productivity, while raising wages and
political leaders who opposed such reforms prices. It was the threat of “excess demand”
were finally repudiated. that pushed Jimmy Carter to abandon full
As Steinbaum writes with startling frank- employment and spearhead his anti-infla-
ness, income and wealth “tend to diverge tion campaign with calls for a balanced bud-
because the ideological commitments of get, and it was the “excess demand” idea that
capitalism prohibit policies that would necessitated breaking the powerful unions
check divergence.” If there is a formula here, created by the New Deal, whose purchasing
it is about power and ideas, not a purely power had grown too great (to say nothing
economic understanding of r>g. The state of other kinds of power), and whose high
produces inequality by ensuring a constant wages, it was now argued, prevented corpo-
rate of return to capital, even when growth rations from investing in new equipment.
is slowing. Jeff Faux, one the founders of the left-
wing Economic Policy Institute (EPI) and
The l ast time a c adre of egalitarian policy its first president, was a leading opponent of
intellectuals challenged the idées fixes of this idea in the late 1970s. Faux had been a
technocratic government, the problem was midlevel bureaucrat in the Johnson Admin-
stagflation rather than inequality. In 1960, istration. After the Democratic Party’s inter-
Samuelson and Solow had argued there nal convulsions and failed election bid in
would always be a policy trade-off between 1968, Faux settled in Cambridge, Massachu-
inflation and unemployment for Ameri- setts, with a community of underemployed
cans. They pointed to the Phillips curve — a social scientists and would-be policymak-
graph of the historical relationship between ers, many of whom had hoped for positions
wages and unemployment in a given coun- in or near a Robert Kennedy or Humphrey
try; as jobs filled, Phillips found, wages and Administration. Faux gravitated to the Cam-
prices rose . Given the relationship, one could bridge Institute, a shoestring think tank
expect a price level that corresponded to any then styling itself as a Boston version of the
employment target. The formula gave an Washington DC–based Institute for Policy
approximation of the policy menu available Studies, where he began to collaborate with
to the federal government. Gar Alperovitz, a former Senate staffer and
But the shape of the curve changed economics PhD. Alperovitz had worked on
rapidly through the 1970s, thanks to the war Title V of the Public Works and Economic
stimulus of Vietnam, the opening of foreign Development Act of 1965, which created a
investment markets, the dramatic lowering short-lived series of regional commissions
of tariffs through the 1960s, and the growth that aspired to be descendants of the Ten-
of multinational corporations. Inflation per- nessee Valley Authority, and had made his
sisted, even though there was high unem- academic name arguing that the atomic
ployment. Because the nature of the trade- bombs had been detonated over two Japa-
off was influenced by institutions, it was nese cities to secure foreign investment mar-
beyond the scope of American Keynesian kets for the American empire. (Alperovitz
Reviews 181
leaders. But a return to political economy argues that new information technolo-
among American liberal policy experts only gies allow managers to concentrate power
foreshadows the enduring political ambigui- over employees through surveillance and
ties that lie beneath any reassertion of col- logistics strategies that eliminate middle-
lective claims on the economy. If the rate of management positions and redistribute
growth really is, as Solow’s student Robert income upward. The continued introduc-
Gordon argues, facing unfavorable head- tion of new technology in firms — think of
winds beyond our control, it is not imme- the future of long-haul trucking — also sup-
diately evident that a proper set of taxes and presses labor income.
skills can channel private capital into more Weil’s chapter is a restatement of his 2014
productive uses. Yet this remains the start- book, The Fissured Workplace, in which
ing point for the majority of economists. In he argues that firm specialization, a focus
fact, Piketty’s proposal for a global wealth on “core competencies,” and the growth of
tax is made because he forecasts a contin- outsourcing have been successful manage-
ued growth slowdown. Obvious corollaries rial strategies to suppress wages and flout
to using the state to diminish private wealth eighty years of employment law. He, Tyson,
are nonmarket forms of production and dis- and Spence all suggest that growing inequal-
tribution, such as public enterprise or state- ity has to do with gaps in income, rather
administered rationing programs. There is than, as Piketty argues, with wealth grow-
reason to think state-directed investments ing at the expense of labor, and they pro-
might, as a form of structural planning, pose traditional social-democratic policies
even be superior to skills-based educa- to strengthen workers’ bargaining power
tion in raising productivity, in which case and expand the welfare state. But with-
growth would accelerate. Yet none of the out the political infrastructure to mobilize
contributors to After Piketty consider these the types of collective action required to
practicalities. enforce any real sacrifices from corporate
Those who come closest to proposing executives — the political infrastructure
practical programs do so through reshaping once provided by labor unions — it is dif-
the private-sector labor market. If growth ficult to imagine how their agenda might
is slow, they reason, better to have it “pre- be sustained.
distributed” more evenly before taxes — to
ensure more numerous slices than to fight What to make of the return of political
over a pie that won’t grow fast enough. economy? Has the type of programmatic
These are older economists, such as Laura thinking that flourished among government
Tyson, who served as the chief of Bill Clin- economists during the New Deal found a
ton’s Council of Economic Advisers, and new audience in positions of influence? Fed-
David Weil, who was the head of the Wage eral involvement in the inner workings of
and Hour Division of the Department of corporate bureaucracy enraged corporate
Labor in the Obama Administration. Their executives in the 1930s; the equivalent today
chapters locate the past four decades of would amount to compelling Jeff Bezos by
inequality in new, practical theories of the law to raise wages in his warehouses and
firm, rather than in grander visions of class to have his investments directed by elected
struggle. Writing with Michael Spence, who leaders. (At the moment, the opposite hap-
shared the Nobel with Joseph Stiglitz, Tyson pens: his investments direct those elected
Reviews 183
leaders.) The challenge of such conflict father texted to me, of a hospital bill (mine)
between corporate managers and public accidentally mailed to his address.
officials has led economists in many mixed If you’ll need your image later, make
economies to turn to government owner- a copy. Then rename the file, change the
ship. Why fight a business manager over extension from .jpg to .txt, and open it.
the central planning office of a corpora- I get:
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a world of corporate domination, but what . . . et cetera.
good is free enterprise if the growth it deliv- This cryptic heap is the language of the
ers no longer means rising wages and greater contemporary image. On-screen images
equality? In broaching the subject of power and even most we encounter IRL are made
and control today, many of the writers in of such incomprehensible strings. Some
After Piketty may be signaling the return of a lines are decipherable: a paragraph in, my
more robust agenda for bringing the rules of bill reads, “Apple iPhone 6s back camera
our economy into public, democratic debate. 4.15mm f/2.2,” which means that it was taken
But understanding the existence of power is with my father’s iPhone camera using a large
a long way from having it, and still further aperture. The light in his kitchen was low; it
from knowing its possible uses. + must have been night.
In a JPEG, these garbled glyphs are mostly
encoded cosine functions, charting the loca-
tion, luminance, and color of each pixel. If
I’m feeling playful, I’ll muck around — delete
Rachel Ossip bits, add a message — then resave the file as
Ghost World a JPEG. Today, a few lines of pixels shift a
centimeter to the left, shearing the aggres-
Hito Steyerl. Duty Free Art: Art in the Age of Planetary Civil sive suggestion “TO MAKE CREDIT CARD
War. Verso, 2017. PAYMENTS.”
I find it unnerving that most of the
Have you ever opened a JPEG a s a tex t images we encounter are really just text — or,
file? If not, find a stray image, something perhaps more accurately, data. Even when
from your desktop. I’m using a photo my we know they’re constructed, images that