R45 Private Equity Valuation Edited IFT Notes PDF
R45 Private Equity Valuation Edited IFT Notes PDF
R45 Private Equity Valuation Edited IFT Notes PDF
1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................. 2
2. Introduction to Valuation Techniques in Private Equity Transactions.................................... 4
2.1. How Is Value Created in Private Equity? ............................................................................ 6
2.2. Using Market Data in Valuation .......................................................................................... 7
2.3. Contrasting Valuation in Venture Capital and Buyout Settings .......................................... 7
2.4. Valuation Issues in Buyout Transactions ............................................................................. 9
2.5. Valuation Issues in Venture Capital Transactions ............................................................. 11
2.6. Exit Routes: Returning Cash to Investors .......................................................................... 12
2.7. Summary ............................................................................................................................ 13
3. Private Equity Fund Structures and Valuation ...................................................................... 13
3.1. Understanding Private Equity Fund Structures.................................................................. 13
3.2. What Are the Risks and Costs of Investing in Private Equity? ......................................... 16
3.3. Due Diligence Investigations by Potential Investors ......................................................... 17
3.4. Private Equity Fund Valuation........................................................................................... 18
3.5. Evaluating Fund Performance............................................................................................ 18
4. Concept in Action: Evaluating a Private Equity Fund .......................................................... 19
5. Appendix: A Note on Valuation of Venture Capital Deals ................................................... 19
6. Summary................................................................................................................................ 20
This document should be read in conjunction with the corresponding reading in the 2017 Level II
CFA Program curriculum. Some of the graphs, charts, tables, examples, and figures are
copyright 2016, CFA Institute. Reproduced and republished with permission from CFA Institute.
All rights reserved.
Required disclaimer: CFA Institute does not endorse, promote, or warrant the accuracy or
quality of the products or services offered by IFT. CFA Institute, CFA, and Chartered
Financial Analyst are trademarks owned by CFA Institute.
1. Introduction
Private equity includes the entire asset class of equity investments that are not quoted on the
stock market.
Exhibit 1 from the curriculum provides a classification of private equity in terms of the stage and
types of financing of portfolio companies.
A unique feature of private equity investment is that it has a buy-to-sell orientation. Most private
equity fund investors expect to receive their money back, within 10 years of committing their
funds.
Apart from these methods, there is one more method the venture capitalist method, which is
covered in the case study that follows this reading.
Private equity firms are able to achieve better alignment of interests by:
Allowing managers to focus on the long term perspective, as compared to short term
quarterly earnings targets in public companies.
Effective structuring of investment terms:
o Tag-along, drag-along rights (any future acquirer has to extend acquisition offer
Steady and predictable cash flows Low cash flow predictability, cash flow
projections may not be realistic
Excellent market position (can be a niche player) Lack of market history, new market and possibly
unproven future market (early stage venture)
Significant asset base (may serve as basis for Weak asset base
collateral lending)
Strong and experienced management team Newly formed management team with strong
individual track record as entrepreneurs
Extensive use of leverage consisting of a large Primarily equity funded. Use of leverage is rare
proportion of senior debt and significant layer of and very limited
junior and/or mezzanine debt
Risk is measurable (mature businesses, long Assessment of risk is difficult because of new
operating history) technologies, new markets, lack of operating
history
Predictable exit (secondary buyout, sale to a Exit difficult to anticipate (IPO, trade sale,
strategic buyer, IPO) secondary venture sale)
Established products Technological breakthrough but route to market
yet to be proven
Potential for restructuring and cost reduction Significant cash burn rate required to ensure
company development and commercial viability
Low working capital requirement Expanding capital requirement if in the growth
phase
Buyout firm typically conducts full blown due Venture capital firm tends to conduct primarily a
diligence approach before investing in the target technology and commercial due diligence before
firm (financial, strategic, commercial, legal, tax, investing; financial due diligence is limited as
environmental) portfolio companies have no or very little
operating history
Buyout firm monitors cash flow management, Venture capital firm monitors achievement of
strategic, and business planning milestones defined in business plan and growth
management
Returns of investment portfolios are generally Returns of investment portfolios are generally
characterized by lower variance across returns characterized by very high returns from a limited
from underlying investments; bankruptcies are number of highly successful investments and a
rare events significant number of write-offs from low
performing investments or failures
Large buyout firms are generally significant Venture capital firms tend to be much less active
players in capital markets in capital markets
Most transactions are auctions, involving multiple Many transactions are proprietary, being the
potential acquirers result of relationships between venture capitalists
and entrepreneurs
Strong performing buyout firms tend to have a Venture capital firms tend to be less scalable
better ability to raise larger funds after they have relative to buyout firms; the increase in size of
successfully raised their first funds subsequent funds tend to be less significant
Variable revenue to the general partner (GP) at Carried interest (participation in profits) is
buyout firms generally comprise the following generally the main source of variable revenue to
three sources: carried interest, transaction fees, the general partner at venture capital firms;
and monitoring fees transaction and monitoring fees are rare in
practice
Exhibit 4 from the curriculum shows a typical leveraged buyout value creation chart.
Exhibit 5 from the curriculum provides an example of a 5,000 (amounts in millions) investment
in private equity transaction. This is financed with 50 percent debt and 50 percent equity. The
2,500 equity investment is further broken into 2,400 of preference shares owned by the private
equity fund, 95 of equity owned by the private equity fund, and 5 of management equity. The
preference shares are promised a 12 percent rolled up dividend (paid at exit). The private equity
firm equity will receive 95 percent of the residual value of the firm after creditors and preference
shares are paid, and management equity holders will receive the remaining 5 percent.
If we assume that the exit value after five years is 1.6 times the original cost, the payoffs to the
different stake holders will be:
The larger the exit multiple, the larger the upside potential for both the management equity
program and the equity held by private equity firm. Leverage is very important in buyout
transactions. As debt is gradually paid off, a larger proportion of operating cash flows is
available to equity investors. However, these high levels of debt significantly increase the risk to
equity investors. This increased risk should be taken into consideration, when comparing the
returns with other classes such as stock market.
A series of scenario analyses is conducted with different levels of cash exits, growth assumptions
and debt levels. Inputs used are the required rate of return for each stakeholder. This analysis
provides an understanding of the buyout firms flexibility in conducting the deal.
In a VC deal, both the pre-money valuation and the level of the venture capital investment are
subject to intense negotiation between the founders and the venture capital firm.
IN VC transactions, there is significant uncertainty regarding future cash flows. Hence, DCF
cannot be used. Also, start-ups are unique and it is difficult to find comparable companies.
Hence, comparable companies approach cannot be used. Generally, the appraisal of intangible
assets, comprising the founders know-how, experience, licenses, patents, and in progress
research and development, along with an assessment of the expected market potential of the
companys product or products in development form the basis for assessing a pre-money
valuation.
2.7. Summary
Since it is difficult to value private companies, a variety of alternative valuation methods are
typically used to provide guidance on the appropriate range of values.
Two core functions of a PE firm are: (1) to raise funds and (2) To manage investments.
Therefore, PE firms start their marketing efforts well in advance of the launch of their funds to
ensure that the announced target fund size will be met successfully. Exhibit 6 from the
curriculum shows the funding stages for a private equity firm.
Fund terms are contractually defined in the fund prospectus. The objective is to ensure alignment
of interests between the GP and LPs and defining the GPs incentives.
memorandum.
Vintage year is the year the private equity fund was launched. Reference to vintage year
allows performance comparison of funds of the same stage and industry focus.
Term of the fund is typically 10 years, extendable for additional shorter periods (by
agreement with the investors).
Corporate governance terms The most significant corporate governance terms are:
Key man clause: If a key executive leaves, the GP is prohibited from making new
investments until a new key executive is appointed.
Disclosure and confidentiality: Private equity firms have no obligations to disclose
publically their financial performance. Some terms limit the information available to
investors.
Clawback provision: If a fund makes profitable exits in early years, but the subsequent
exits are less profitable, then the GP has to pay back profits to ensure that the profit split
is in line with the fund prospectus. The two types of clawback provisions are
o Due on termination
o Annual reconciliation (true-up)
Distribution waterfall: Mechanism to ensure LPs are paid first before the GP receives
carried interest. The two main types are:
o Deal-by-deal waterfall Allowing distribution after each deal.
o Total return waterfall Distribution is calculated on the entire portfolio.
Refer to Example 3 from the curriculum. The highlights are:
In a deal-by-deal mechanism carried interest is distributed to GP after every deal.
In the first alternative of total return, GP receives carried interest only after the
fund has returned entire committed capital to LPs.
In the second alternative of total return, GP receives carried interest on any
distribution as long as the value of the investment portfolio exceeds a certain
threshold above invested capital.
Under a clawback provision with annual true-up, supposing that the deal-by-deal
method applies; if we incur losses on subsequent deals, the GP has to pay back
carried interest to LPs.
Tag-along, drag along rights: Any future acquirer has to extend acquisition offer to all
shareholders, including the management of the company.
No-fault divorce: A GP may be removed without cause, if a super majority of LPs
approve that removal.
Removal for cause: Allows removal of GP or early termination of fund for causes such
as gross negligence, key person event, felony conviction, bankruptcy, or material
breach of the fund prospectus.
Investment restrictions: Minimum level of geographic or sector diversification, or limits
on borrowing.
Co-investment: LPs have the first right of co-investing along with the GP if the GP
launches a new fund.
3.2. What Are the Risks and Costs of Investing in Private Equity?
The risks associated with investing in private equity are:
Illiquidity of investments: Since private equity investments are not traded on any
securities market, we may not be able to exit investments on a timely basis.
Unquoted investments: Investing in unquoted securities is risky compared to investing in
securities quoted on a regulated securities exchange.
Competition for attractive investment opportunities: Competition for finding investment
opportunities on attractive terms may be high.
Reliance on the management of investee companies (agency risk): There is no assurance
that the management of the investee companies will run the company in the best interests
of the private equity firm. This is a concern in earlier stage deals in which the
management may retain a controlling stake in the company and enjoy certain private
benefits of control.
Loss of capital: High business and financial risks may result in substantial loss of capital.
Government regulations: Investee companies product and services may be subject to
changes in government regulations that adversely impact their business model.
Taxation risk: Tax treatment of capital gains, dividends, or limited partnerships may
change over time.
points.
Liquidity in private equity is low and LPs are locked for the long term. On the other
hand, when private equity funds exit an investment, they return the cash to the investors
immediately. Therefore, the duration of an investment is typically shorter than the
maximum life of the fund.
General Case/Formula
1. Post-Money Valuation POST = V/(1 + r)t
2. Pre-Money Valuation PRE = POST I
3. Ownership Fraction F = I/POST
4. Number of Shares Y = x [ F / (1 F) ]
5. Price of Share P1 = I/y
Sensitivity analysis shows how the value of a company changes if we change our
assumptions.
IRR and NPV method give the same answer as the venture capital method.
Terminal value is typically estimated by multiple of earnings. Sometimes multiples of
sales or assets are also used. In principle, better methods would be to use NPV, CAPM,
APT or whatever equilibrium valuation model fits the available data best.
The different methods to account for risk include:
o Using a very high discount rate
o Using a normal discount rate but assume a probability of failure for each year
o Allowing a variety of scenarios and then taking a probability weighted terminal
value
Cases with multiple rounds of financing can be solved using the same approach but be
careful about dilution and number of shares.
The actual deal is not really driven by the valuation method, but rather by the outcome of
bargaining power between the entrepreneurs and the venture capitalists.
6. Summary
LO.a: Explain sources of value creation in private equity.
The sources of value creation in private equity are:
1. The ability to re-engineer the firm to generate superior returns.
2. The ability to access credit markets on favorable terms.
3. A better alignment of interests between the private equity firm owners and the managers
of the firms they control.
LO.b: Explain how private equity firms align their interests with those of the managers of
portfolio companies.
Private equity firms are able to achieve better alignment of interests by:
Allowing managers to focus on the long term perspective, as compared to short term
quarterly earnings targets in public companies.
Effective structuring of investment terms:
o Tag-along, drag-along rights (any future acquirer has to extend acquisition offer
to all shareholders, including management of the company)
o Corporate board seats (ensures private equity control in case of a major corporate
event)
o Non-compete clause (prevents founders from restarting same activity during a
LO.c: Distinguish between the characteristics of buyout and venture capital investments.
Buyout firm typically conducts full blown due Venture capital firm tends to conduct primarily a
diligence approach before investing in the target technology and commercial due diligence before
firm (financial, strategic, commercial, legal, tax, investing; financial due diligence is limited as
environmental) portfolio companies have no or very little
operating history
Buyout firm monitors cash flow management, Venture capital firm monitors achievement of
strategic, and business planning milestones defined in business plan and growth
management
Returns of investment portfolios are generally Returns of investment portfolios are generally
characterized by lower variance across returns characterized by very high returns from a limited
from underlying investments; bankruptcies are number of highly successful investments and a
rare events significant number of write-offs from low
performing investments or failures
Large buyout firms are generally significant Venture capital firms tend to be much less active
players in capital markets in capital markets
Most transactions are auctions, involving multiple Many transactions are proprietary, being the
potential acquirers result of relationships between venture capitalists
and entrepreneurs
Strong performing buyout firms tend to have a Venture capital firms tend to be less scalable
better ability to raise larger funds after they have relative to buyout firms; the increase in size of
successfully raised their first funds subsequent funds tend to be less significant
Variable revenue to the general partner (GP) at Carried interest (participation in profits) is
buyout firms generally comprise the following generally the main source of variable revenue to
three sources: carried interest, transaction fees, the general partner at venture capital firms;
and monitoring fees transaction and monitoring fees are rare in
practice
Leverage is very important in buyout transactions. As debt is gradually paid off, a larger
proportion of operating cash flows is available to equity investors. However, these high levels of
debt significantly increase the risk to equity investors. This increased risk should be taken into
consideration, when comparing the returns with other classes such as stock market.
LO.e: Explain alternative exit routes in private equity and their impact on value.
Private equity investors have the following exit routes for their investments:
Initial Public Offering (IPO): The key points are:
o Highest exit value relative to other methods
o High liquidity, access to capital, and attracts good management
o Less flexible, more costly, and complex
o Used when company has strong growth prospects, operating history, size
o Timing of IPO is an important consideration
Secondary Market: Sale to other financial investors or strategic investors. The advantages
are
o Highest value in absence of an IPO
o Bring portfolio companies to next level by restructuring, merger, new market etc.
and sell them to a strategic investor or to other PE firm.
Management Buyout: Firm is sold to management. Best alignment of interest, however if
significant leverage is used it can reduce the companys flexibility.
Liquidation: Sale of firms assets. This option is used if the company is no longer viable.
LO.f: Explain private equity fund structures, terms, valuation, and due diligence in the
context of an analysis of private equity fund returns.
Fund structure:
Most PE firms are structured as limited partnerships, where the fund manager is the general
partner (GP) and the funds investors are limited partners (LP). The GP has management control
over the fund and is jointly liable for all debts. The LPs have limited liability; they do not risk
more than the amount of their investment in the fund.
Terms:
The most significant economic terms are:
Management fees
Transaction fees
Carried interest
Ratchet
Hurdle rate
Target fund size
Vintage year
Term of the fund
Valuation:
The value of a fund is based on NAV. The funds assets are valued by GPs in the following
ways:
1. At cost with significant adjustments for subsequent financing events or deterioration
2. At lower of cost or market value
3. By a revaluation of a portfolio company whenever a new financing round involving new
investors takes place
4. At cost with no interim adjustment until the exit
5. With a discount for restricted securities
6. More rarely, marked to market by reference to a peer group of public comparables and
applying illiquidity discounts
Due diligence:
Due diligence is important because:
PE funds show strong persistence of returns over time.
Difference between performances of funds is extremely large.
Duration of an investments is typically shorter that the maximum life of the fund.
Transaction fees
Investment vehicle fund setup costs
Administrative costs
Audit costs
Management and performance fees
Dilution
Placement fees
LO.h: Interpret and compare financial performance of private equity funds from the
perspective of an investor.
LO.i: Calculate management fees, carried interest, net asset value, distributed to paid in
(DPI), residual value to paid in (RVPI), and total value to paid in (TVPI) of a private
equity fund.
LO.j: Calculate pre-money valuation, post-money valuation, ownership fraction, and price
per share applying the venture capital method 1) with single and multiple financing rounds
and 2) in terms of IRR.
Refer to the appendix section from the curriculum. The highlights are:
The general case formulae are-
General Case/Formula
1. Post-Money Valuation POST = V/(1 + r)t
2. Pre-Money Valuation PRE=POST I
3. Ownership Fraction F = I/POST
4. Number of Shares Y = x [ F / (1 F) ]
5. Price of Share P1= I/y
IRR and NPV method give the same answer as the venture capital method.
Cases with multiple rounds of financing can be solved using the same approach but be
careful about dilution and number of shares.