International Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences (IJEAS)
ISSN: 2394-3661, Volume-3, Issue-4, April 2016
Predictive Analysis of Homosexualism as the Prime
Cause of HIV/AIDS Outbreak
Kamalu C. I. O, Uzondu F. N, Oghome P, Okolie I. J, Nwakaudu M. S, Obibuenyi I.J.
it is done. Yes, it is the uncanny sex style that deviates from
Abstract In this work, HIV/AIDS data from homosexuals, the normal sex life with its dirty appurtenances that resulted to
heterosexuals and lesbians were obtained from the internet. the incurable deadly disease HIV.
Computational table of ratios of homosexuals to All anti-heterosexual lives which include homosexualism
heterosexuals, lesbians to homosexuals for both HIV and would have culminated into this disease. Because of the
AIDS patients as a function of time were made and plotted
matter-of-fact that the world claim to have freedom, which
using shape preserving interpolant in MATLAB 7.9 toolbox.
Observations were made of those ratios, as a function of time,
includes the freedom of lifestyle and behaviour, men
that are above and below y-axis = 1. It was seen that homosexual decided to sleep with fellow men (this done by anal
to heterosexual HIV shoots off in 1998 and continues to rise. intercourse), as many countries went as far as legalizing
Homosexuals to heterosexual AIDS ratio are to cross y=1 line it. This unusual and ungodly act, with its dirty appurtenances,
and continue to rise in the future (fig.2). Also in fig. 4, Hho/Nho over the years, may have create d a new phenomenon in
rises geometrically, showing HIV as the cause of the rise. In fig humans, a new disease which is deadly and incurable,
5, plots of HIV to normal people and AIDS to normal people with all its dynamism unknown. For instance, if one waters a
show another geometric rise indicating that HIV and AIDS are part of a desert continuously and the desert becomes
responsible for the rise. From the foregoing observations, it is
water-logged to grow grass, the grass may grow into a bush,
therefore imperative to assert that homosexualism has a big and
major role to play in the advent of HIV/ AIDS. This result can be
and the bush might have trees that can bear fruits, fruits that
used by World Health Organisation (WHO), Centre for Disease would appear for the first time on earth, some may be edible
Control (CDC) for the control of the spread of HIV/AIDS, and while others are not, such bush becomes a phenomenal bush
also by hospitals for those treating HIV/AIDS, especially those because it is not already known. In the same manner, this
practicing homosexualism. taboo (i.e. this ungodly sex life) that is previously not
practiced and not known to earth may cause new
sicknesses that are unknown to earth as a phenomenon.
Index Terms Heterosexualism, HIV / AIDS outbreak,
Homosexualism, Lesbianism. The fact that the sickness is incurable is because it is alien and
so is the act that brought it into being. So, this alien
phenomenon will take a long time before it becomes mastered
I. NOMENCLATURE: by the lives on earth, i.e. the cause, the distribution
Nho - homosexual affected with neither HIV nor AIDS mechanism and the cure. It will not stop there as HIV/AIDS:
Nhe - heterosexual affected with neither HIV nor AIDS the first sickness that tends to be incurable by mankind and
Nle - lesbian affected with neither HIV nor AIDS finding its cure might take quite a long time. The phenomenon
Hho - homosexual affected with HIV is growing from homosexualism and rejection of
Hhe - heterosexual affected with HIV heterosexualism to cushioning and legalizing
Aho - homosexual affected with AIDS homosexualism in the name of gay marriage. This also
Ahe - heterosexual affected with AIDS means reduction or stoppage to procreation since sex between
Ale - lesbian affected with AIDS men cannot result to pregnancy. We may get other awful
Hle - lesbian affected with HIV phenomena that is worse than gay as it is only
metamorphosing, as many advanced countries see nothing
wrong with gay, but legalize it, thereby permitting two
II. INTRODUCTION
men to spread the pandemic disease through
Since the advent of Human Immunodeficiency Virus homosexualism.
(HIV) in 1981, the world has become more concerned with
its cure than its cause. There have been many theories and The problem is the connection of HIV to homosexualism. It is
models on the cure but only few, on the cause despite the fact said that HIV is a punishment from God or nature on man for
that the knowledge of the cause will greatly aid the creating sacrilegious phenomenon. Such bizarre phenomenon
determination and actualization of its cure. has its appurtenances which will most times be new
It is clear from findings worldwide that more than 80% occurrences on earth. Since the act is sacrilegious and
of HIV transmission is sex-related. One would not be ungodly, it will surely give bad results that are beyond human
wrong to say that it is not just sex that brought about this comprehension, the cure of HIV is one of them. The earth will
deadly disease, but the bizarre, uncanny and ungodly way suffer for a long time before they find a cure when God
decides to forgive them, as it is in the bible: God allowed His
Kamalu C. I. O., Chemical Engineering Department/ Federal University people to be defeated by their enemies in war when they
of Technology, Owerri, Nigeria, +2348037756537. sinned against Him, and later forgave them.
Uzondu, F. N., Chemical Engineering Department/ Federal University of
Technology, Owerri, Nigeria, +2348036683329. This connection between homosexualism and HIV/AIDS
Oghome, P., Chemical Engineering Department/ Federal University of epidemic is the problem that this work wants to unravel by
Technology, Owerri, Nigeria, 07037536977
74 www.ijeas.org
Predictive Analysis of Homosexualism as the Prime Cause of HIV/AIDS Outbreak
using numerical data of homosexualism growth and HIV The terms MSM and Women-who-have-sex-with-women
growth in the world. If this is achieved, the rate of spread of (WSW) have been used in medical scholarship since at least
HIV can be curtailed. 1990 (Young et al, 2005a). The term has been attributed to
It is relevant to unravel the cause do HIV/AIDS as it concerns Glick et al (1994) because their usage in a 1994 study
homosexualism, since the disease is incurable now and solidified the concept as a medical terminology (Young et al,
spreads fast. The discovery of the route of the cause stemming 2005b). MSM is often used in medical literature and social
from homosexualism may bring a new paradigm of desisting research to describe such men as a group for research studies
from homosexual practice in particular and without considering issues of self-identification because it
anti-heterosexualism in general, and perhaps, to follow the offers better behavioural categories for the study of
divine line. The study will help man to know that he is the disease-risk than identity-based categories (such as gay,
architect of his own problem. This will go a long way in bisexual, or straight), because a man who
creating the awareness of the causes of HIV/AIDS, thereby self-identifies as gay or bisexuals may not necessarily be
educating homosexuals on the transmission of HIV/AIDS and sexually active with men, and someone who identifies as
how it can be reduced or if possible, stopped. straight might be sexually active with men (Kablin 2006,
The objective of this study is to mathematically by Mackeller et al 2007).
computation develop the relationship of cause of HIV from
homosexual practice, or to deduce it therefore. If this model is C. DEMOGRAPHICS:
established, it will help to extrapolate or interpolate, in order Determining the number of homosexuals is difficult
to find out the cause, the time of cause and also the future of worldwide. The World Health Organization estimates that at
the patient. least 3% and as high as 16% of men have had sex at least once
The scope of this work covers homosexual records with a man. Their estimates include victims of sexual abuse in
activities, the HIV outbreak, development addition to men who regularly or voluntarily have sex with
mechanism/spread so that the connection between men. The United Nations estimates that 6-20% of men
homosexualism and HIV outbreak will be established, and worldwide have sex with other men at some point during their
perhaps, the cure sought for. Cure, here, may mean lifetime (UNAIDS, 2005, Haya 2007, Yoshukura, 2011).
desisting from sacrilegious sex lives, which are very Estimates about the US population of homosexuals vary. The
irritating to God, dirty, infectious and contagious, with its Centre for Disease Control estimates that men who have
attendant incurable HIV/AIDS disease. sex with men represent about 2% of the American
population (CDC, 2010). A 2005 study estimates that
III. LITERATURE REVIEW among US men ages 15-44, an estimated 6% of them have
engaged in oral or anal sex with another man at some point in
The HIV/AIDS pandemic is entering a new, more dangerous their lives, and about 2.9% have had at least one male partner
phase. As the global threat increases, there are many signs of in the previous 12 months (Mosher et al, 2005, Mimiaga et al
growing complacency, persistent denial and resurgent 2009).
discrimination. we cannot deny the fact that HIV is a gay A 2007 study estimated that there are 7.1 million men
disease. We have to own that and face up to that. (Mann et who have sex with men (homosexuals) in the United States,
al, 1992) or 6.4% of the overall population. Of these men, 71% are
A. HIV/AIDS white, 15.9% are Hispanic, and 8.9% are black. (De Vincenzi,
According to Sonya Norris (2013), Human 1988, Crepaz et al 2009).
immunodeficiency virus infection/acquired
immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is a disease of D. HIV INFECTION RATE:
the human immune system caused by infection with human The HIV/AIDS pandemic consists of thousands of smaller,
immunodeficiency virus (HIV). HIV is a lentivirus (i.e. a complicated epidemics, both separate and interdependent
slowly replicating retrovirus) that causes the acquired (in many cases, there are many epidemics even within a
immunodeficiency syndrome(AIDS),a condition in humans single country). Each epidemic has its own distinct origin,
in which progressive failure of the immune system allows in terms of geography and specific populations affected,
life-threatening opportunistic infections and cancers to each has its own rate of spread, intensity, and special
thrive. By damaging the immune system, HIV interferes with characteristics, and each involves different types and
the body's ability to fight the organisms that cause disease, frequencies of risk behaviours and practices for example,
this typically results to AIDS. having unprotected sex with multiple partners or sharing
intravenous drug injection equipment (Adam et al, 2005,
B. MEN-WHO-HAVE-SEX-WITH-MEN (MSM) AS A Dodds 2004). Because of the long incubation period before
BEHAVIOURAL CATEGORY: AIDS develops, there is now a pool of HIV-infected
individuals, much larger than the number of reported cases
Men who have sex with men (abbreviated as MSM, also of AIDS, and there is reason to believe that most of these will
referred to as homosexuals) are male persons who engage in come down with AIDS. (Carballo-Dieguez et al, 2012).
sexual activity with members of the same sex, regardless of
how they personally identify themselves. Many men choose IV. DEVELOPMENT OF COMPUTATIONAL TABLE
not to (or cannot for other reasons) accept sexual identities of Computation of ratios of HIV and AIDS homosexual and
homosexuals or bisexuals (UNAIDS, 2002, 2006, WHO, heterosexual patients to normal patients (i.e. Patients who
1994). contracted HIV and AIDS through IVDU, mother-to-child
birth, blood transfusion or through exposure to infected sharp
75 www.ijeas.org
International Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences (IJEAS)
ISSN: 2394-3661, Volume-3, Issue-4, April 2016
objects) were made using experimental/research data from the the same graph to visualize the shape of the profile before and
internet. after the outbreak of HIV/AIDS.
From Yoshukura,(2011), cumulative number of cases of HIV
This was done by running a shape preserving interpolant infection and AIDS for male heterosexuals, male
model on the ratio time history calculated in table 1. Both homosexuals and lesbians were collected and the ratios found
homosexuals and HIV time history scenarios are plotted on as in table 1 below.
Table 1: Computation ratios of cumulative number of HIV and AIDS infection cases for male heterosexuals, male homosexuals
and lesbians, to normal (uninfected) people. Yoshukura (2011), Gupta et al (2013)
Y3=Hl
Tim Y2=A Y5= Y11
Y1=Hh X1 X2 Y e/ Y4=Ale Y6=Ah Y7=Hh Y8=Ah Y9=Hh Y10=H
e Hho Hhe ho/Ah Hle Nho Nhe Hho =Hle/A
o/Hhe Aho Ahe Ale /Ahe o/Nho e/Nhe e/Nhe o/Aho he/Ahe
(yrs) e Hhe /Nho le
1987 0 21 14 1.5 5 1 5 13 3 0.93 3 25 18 0.84 0.2 0.78 0.06 4.2 14 4.33
1988 1 29 20 1.45 10 5 2 17 5 0.85 1 20 20 1.45 0.5 1 0.25 2.9 4 3.4
1989 2 50 35 1.43 20 10 2 34 7 0.97 0.7 25 20 2 0.8 1.75 0.5 2.5 3.5 4.86
1990 3 65 50 1.3 25 20 1.25 40 10 0.8 0.5 25 25 2.6 1 2 0.8 2.6 2.5 4
1991 4 80 80 1 36 37 0.97 60 10 0.75 0.27 27 25 2.96 1.33 3.2 1.48 2.2 2.16 6
1992 5 120 180 0.67 50 60 0.83 65 13 0.36 0.22 35 50 3.43 1.43 3.6 1.2 2.4 3 5
1993 6 160 240 0.67 63 100 0.63 90 18 0.38 0.18 36 75 4.44 1.75 3.2 1.33 2.54 2.4 5
1994 7 220 300 0.73 100 162 0.62 140 25 0.47 0.15 75 80 2.93 1.33 3.75 2.03 2.2 1.85 5.6
1995 8 300 350 0.79 150 250 0.6 160 38 0.42 0.15 74 86 4.05 2.03 4.42 2.91 2 1.52 4.21
1996 9 390 480 0.81 200 350 0.57 180 50 0.38 0.14 90 90 4.33 2.22 5.33 3.89 1.95 1.37 3.6
1997 10 515 600 0.86 230 500 0.46 200 63 0.33 0.13 110 100 4.68 2.09 6 5 2.24 1.2 3.18
1998 11 660 760 0.87 260 600 0.43 220 72 0.29 0.12 122 125 5.41 2.13 6.08 4.8 2.54 1.27 3.06
1999 12 800 900 0.89 300 750 0.4 300 85 0.33 0.11 200 125 4 1.5 7.2 6 2.67 1.2 3.53
2000 13 950 1000 0.95 380 900 0.42 310 100 0.31 0.11 205 153 4.63 1.85 6.54 5.88 2.5 1.11 3.1
2001 14 1350 1250 1.08 430 1000 0.43 400 145 0.32 0.15 300 125 4.5 1.43 10 8 3.14 1.25 2.76
2002 15 1600 1300 1.23 545 1250 0.44 400 160 0.31 0.13 318 165 5.03 1.71 7.88 7.58 2.94 1.04 2.5
2003 16 2000 1500 1.33 640 1450 0.44 450 170 0.3 0.12 340 160 5.89 1.88 9.38 9.06 3.13 1.03 2.65
2004 17 2500 1800 1.39 760 1700 0.45 500 180 0.28 0.11 450 155 5.56 1.69 11.6 11 3.29 1.06 2.78
2005 18 3000 2000 1.5 900 1800 0.5 500 200 0.25 0.11 510 158 5.88 1.77 12.7 11.4 3.33 1.11 2.5
2006 19 3500 2300 1.52 1070 1950 0.55 550 230 0.24 0.12 580 175 6.03 1.85 13.1 11.1 3.27 1.18 2.39
2007 20 4000 2500 1.6 1200 2000 0.6 680 245 0.27 0.12 700 180 5.71 1.71 13.9 11.1 3.33 1.25 2.78
2008 21 5000 2650 1.89 1500 2200 0.68 700 265 0.26 0.02 750 182 6.67 2 14.6 12.1 3.33 1.2 2.64
2009 22 5500 2900 1.9 1800 2500 0.72 700 280 0.24 0.11 700 175 7.86 2.57 16.6 14.3 3.06 1.16 2.5
(Shape preserving interpolant plots were made of the ratios V. DATA COLLECTION
with respect to time so that the actual shape of the scenario The data for analysis of the cause and spread of HIV and
will be preserved over a time period, using MATLAB 7.9 AIDS were collected from two sources. From Gupta et al,
package). (2013), then from Yoshukura, 2011, and appropriated for this
work.
The plots:
Also from Gupta et al, 2013, HIV diagnosis by exposure
From Gupta et al, (2013) data, a reproduction of the plots
categories in UK, 1996-2011, was also curled in for analysis
were made with respect to time using third order Fourier in the
as shown in Fig. 1, using the same MATLAB toolbox.
MATLAB toolbox as shown in Fig.1, for UK.
From Table 1, Japans several ratios of homosexual and
Deduction and inferences will be made to show that heterosexual AIDS patients (Aho/Ahe) and that of HIV
homosexualism indeed has a major part to play in the (Hho/Hhe) with respect to time were plotted as shown in Fig.
outbreak and spread of HIV/AIDS in the world. 2; ratio of lesbians to heterosexual AIDS patients (Ale/Ahe)
and that of HIV (Hle/Hhe) plotted in Fig. 3, ratio of
homosexual AIDS patients to normal homosexual people
76 www.ijeas.org
Predictive Analysis of Homosexualism as the Prime Cause of HIV/AIDS Outbreak
(Aho/Nho) and that of HIV (Hho/Nho) were made in Fig.
4; heterosexual AIDS patients to normal heterosexual
people (Ahe/Nhe) and that of HIV (Hhe/Nhe) were also
plotted in Fig 5; HIV lesbians to AIDS lesbians (Hle/Ale),
HIV homosexuals to AIDS homosexuals (Hho/Aho) and
HIV heterosexual to AIDS heterosexuals (Hhe/Ale) were
also plotted in Fig. 6.
3-D response plots were made between homosexual and
heterosexual HIV patients with their times of infection in
Fig.7, for UK. In Fig.8, a 3 -D plot of lesbian HIV patients
versus heterosexual HIV patients and homosexual HIV
patients were made for Japan; and lastly a 3-D plot of lesbian
AIDS versus heterosexual AIDS and homosexual AIDS were
made in Fig. 9 for Japan.
The algorithm for making the 3-D surface response plot is
shown below.
1. Write out the values of x1, x2 and y. Fig. 2: Ratio of HIV and AIDS homosexual/heterosexual
x1 = [ ]; patients versus time. (1987-2009, Japan)
x2 = [ ];
y=[ ];
2. Go statistical; regstats(y,[x1 x2], quadratic).
This regstats command truncates the cubic modes in the
MATLAB toolbox at the term containing a5 i.e.
y = a0+ a1x1 + a2x2 + a3x1x2 + a4x12+ a5x22 + a6x12x2 + a7x1x22 +
a8x13 + a9x23
3. As beta values are entered, the toolbox declares ai values.
a0= ; a1 = ; a2 = ; a3 = ; a4 = ; a5= ;
4. Write mesh command.
[x1, x2] = meshgrid (x1(min): : x1(max), x2(min): : x2(max));
5. Write out the truncated quadratic with the declared ais.
6. Write out the surface plot and enter
surfc(x1, x2, y)
VI. RESULT PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND
DISCUSSION
Fig. 3: Ratio of HIV and AIDS lesbian/heterosexual patients
versus time. (1987-2009,
Japan)
Fig. 1: HIV diagnoses by categories in UK, 1996-2011 (3rd Fig. 4: Ratio of HIV and AIDS homosexual
order Fourier). Hhe (R2 = 0.9974), Hho (R2 = 0.9972). patients/non-infected homosexual patients versus time,
(Culled from Gupta et al, 2013) (1987-2009, Japan), shape-preserving interpolant.
77 www.ijeas.org
International Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences (IJEAS)
ISSN: 2394-3661, Volume-3, Issue-4, April 2016
Fig.8: 3-D plot of Lesbian HIV patients versus heterosexual
and homosexual HIV patients, (1987-2009, Japan).
Fig. 5: Ratio of HIV and AIDS heterosexual
patients/non-infected heterosexual patients versus time,
(1987-2009, Japan), shape-preserving interpolant.
Fig. 4.1.9: 3-D plot of Lesbian AIDS patients versus
heterosexual and Homosexual AIDS patients, (1987-2009,
Japan).
VII. ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION
From Fig. 1, the time axis for the graph starts from 1996
Fig. 6: Ratio of HIV homosexual, heterosexual and lesbian -2011. It is clear from the graph that HIV patients of
patients/AIDS homosexual, heterosexual and lesbian homosexualism is higher than that of heterosexualism
patients versus time, shape-preserving interpolant, before the first three years, before 1998. Around 1998, that
(1987-2009, Japan). of heterosexualism overtook and became higher than
homosexualism and peaked around 2003, before it began to
drop (fell). Around 2010, HIV-homosexualism took an upper
hand again and since then, has been on a higher pedestrial
than HIV heterosexualism.
From the analysis of this figure, it is clear that HIV of
homosexualism has been interchanging with HIV of
heterosexualism. This period falls within the time HIV/AIDS
epidemic came into existence.
From Figs. 2 to 6, the x-axis begins from 1985 to 2010. Fig.2
showed that in Japan, say, the ratio of homosexuals to that of
heterosexuals for both HIV and AIDS patients dropped below
1 before 5 years (i.e. 1990), but the Hho/Hhe interpolant
crossed back above 1 after 13 years although that of Aho/Ahe
continued to be less than 1 for a long time. This means that
after 1998, HIV-homosexuals overtook HIV-heterosexuals in
Japan because the ratio is greater than 1. Even though the ratio
Fig. 7: 3-D plot of time of infection versus heterosexuals of Aho/Ahe is below 1, it is rising gradually to 1.
and homosexual HIV patients, (1996-2011, UK) In Fig. 3 both Ale/Ahe and Hle/Hhe are below 1, which means
that heterosexualism is far higher than lesbianism in both HIV
78 www.ijeas.org
Predictive Analysis of Homosexualism as the Prime Cause of HIV/AIDS Outbreak
and AIDS patients. Their ratios, as a function of time, do not hospitals for those who are treating HIV/AIDS, especially
seem to increase in the near future. Therefore, lesbianism may those who are practicing homosexualism.
not be a threat in the cause or transmission of HIV/AIDS.
In Fig. 4, HIV homosexuals as compared with normal IX. RECOMMENDATION
homosexuals is more dominant as the graph is rising so Since it is clear that homosexualism has a big and major role
sharply while that of AIDS homosexuals versus normal to play in the advent of HIV/AIDS, it is therefore
homosexuals is rising, but not so sharply. Since both are recommended that only heterosexualism should be practiced
above 1, and HIV, being the cause of AIDS, the figure is while research for the cure of HIV/AIDS is still ongoing.
remarkable, in that, among the homosexuals, those who have Homosexualism and oral/ anal sex should by all means be
HIV are far higher than the normal homosexuals and are avoided. Even though lesbianism has no serious impact on
increasing almost in a geometric progression. HIV/AIDS, it is ungodly and should also be avoided.
In Fig. 5, even with the normal heterosexuals, the ratios of Also, for procreation, only heterosexualism should be
HIV and AIDS to the normal, rise very fast too in a geometric practiced. Human right and democracy are aging so they are
progression. giving people bizarre and ungodly excuses to practice what
In Fig. 6, the comparison of the ratios of HIV to AIDS for they think like practising.
lesbians, homosexuals and heterosexuals shows that all of
them are above 1. Only the ratio of Hhe/Ahe tends to 1. That
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