Shahid PDF
Shahid PDF
Shahid PDF
compare them to the 1.5 million workers in private large scale enterprises
employing ten or more people in all Pakistan. It, therefore, has to be
recognised that the numbers of public employees cannot be increased any
further and in fact need to be reduced. Major immediate reductions will
come with the privatisation of public industrial enterprises and public
utilities (which together employ about 0.4 million workers). Similarly,
large scale industry is coming under competitive pressure with the
reduction of tariffs and will therefore not likely increase its employment
levels substantially. Small and medium scale industry (particularly textiles)
are also very inefficient compared to international standards and will
probably shed labour from its current level of about 2 million workers.
The labour force directly employed in agriculture (15 million) may
increase marginally although recent employment elasticity estimates are
close to zero. Construction, trade, transport, communications, financial
and other services are likely to be the growth areas of the future. Yet in
terms of employment generation they are unlikely to absorb a significant
proportion of the new entrants into the labour force. Recent estimates
suggest that civilian non-government persons working for wages will
probably increase only at modest rates from their current level of 10
million (Chaudhry, 1995). There would be a substantial addition to the
labour force if more women were to enter it. The present female labour
force participation rate is only 9 per cent.
The good news is that ordinary Pakistanis are increasingly taking
their future in their own hands and creating millions of micro-level
enterprises. There were 14 million people counted as self-employed in 1992
and while there are some definitional problems associated with this number,
e.g. millions of agricultural haris are counted as self-employed, overall they
indicate that the bulk of Pakistanis work for themselves. Self-employment
numbers become even more staggering when one adds the remaining 7
million unpaid family members who comprise the remaining part of the
employed labour force. Thus fully 21 million Pakistanis or 68 per cent of
the employed labour force of 31 million in 1992 were working for
themselves or their families alone. These micro level enterprises have been
and will continue to be the growth areas for employment in the future.
Government policy is only slowly beginning to focus on the needs and
requirements of the sector. One indicator of both government policy and
the situation on the ground is scheduled banks advances by size of advance.
At end Dec. 1994, there were 7,16,000 advance holders (70 per cent of the
total) of Rs. 50,000 and below involving total lending of Rs. 8.8 billion (2.5
per cent of the total) while only 4,998 advance holders (0.5 per cent of the
total) had obtained advances of Rs. 185 billion (55 per cent of the total)
(State Bank of Pakistan, Annual Report 1994-95).
More recently, starting from the mid 1980s, the government, NGOs
and external donor agencies have begun to focus on the micro-enterprise
sector. The governments initial emphasis was on the educated unemployed
(e.g. The Small Business Finance Corporations Scheme for professionals,
then the Youth Investment Promotion Society Programme and then the Self
Employment Programme) although it quickly moved to more general microlevel programmes like the short-lived Yellow Cab Scheme. The NGO efforts
were exemplified in the external donor supported Agha Khan Rural
Development Support Programme in the Northern Areas, the purely
indigenous Orangi Pilot Project of Dr. Akhtar Hamid Khan and the more
recent and much simpler Government/ILO/Japan Strategic Employment
initiatives. The scheduled banks have also started small business finance
schemes recently. This is therefore a good time to take stock of the various
major initiatives in this field.
Summary of Major Employment Generation Initiatives
Only five major employment generation initiatives are reviewed in
this paper in large part because they are the major ongoing current
initiatives but also because they are sufficiently different in approach that an
interesting comparison can be made and lessons drawn. These initiatives,
referred to above in paragraph 4, are two NGO initiatives (AKRSP and OPP),
two government initiatives (YIPS, SBFC) and the government / ILO / Japan
Project.
The Agha Khan Rural Support Programme (AKRSP) is a classic example of
a well managed integrated development programme. Initiated in Gilgit in
January 1983 and covering Baltistan and Chitral from 1986 it focuses on
organising communities, institution building and human resource
development, rural development programmes (physical productive
infrastructure or PPI) and provision of credit for economic activities and
mobilisation of savings. It is a massive programme in both geographical
terms and coverage. As of mid-1995, of the total 2,070 villages in the above
districts, Village Organisations (VOs) have been created in 1880 and womens
organisations (WOs) in 803. There are 77,000 VO members and 27,000 WO
members among a total of 103,000 households in these areas. Credit advances
amount to Rs. 41 crores and savings mobilised amount to Rs. 23 crores. PPIs
amounting to Rs. 29 crores in 1600 projects have been completed or are
underway. Eight thousand field specialists in various disciplines have been
trained. Overall, the programme has been rated as very successful (World
Bank, 1990) and is being replicated by the provincial governments in areas
in NWFP and Balochistan, and nationally by the Federal Government
through a Rs. 50 crores endowment to the newly created NRSP (National
Rural Support Programme). The higher levels of administrative costs associated
the educated unemployed youth (18-35 years). YIPS has recently increased
its lending limit from Rs. 1,00,000 to Rs. 2,00,000 for individuals and upto
Rs. 20 lakhs for groups upto 10 persons. YIPS processes all loan
documentation and approves the loan, but actual disbursements and
repayments are handled through the SBFC. Loans sanctioned till June 30,
1995 amounted to Rs. 7 billion for 59,000 projects. In 1994-95 Rs. 2.3
billion was sanctioned for 13,124 projects involving 14,174 youth. All funds
are made available to YIPS through a concessionary credit line from the
State Bank of Pakistan.
The Small Business Finance Corporation is a development finance
institution established by the Federal Government in 1972 to provide
financial assistance on soft terms to: (i) Small Business Enterprises (Rs. 20
lakhs limit) and individual businessmen (Rs. 5 lakhs limit) against
hypothecation of business assets and mortgage of immovable properties;
(ii) Professionals doctors, engineers, lawyers (upto Rs. 1 lakhs) against
personal sureties; and (iii) Individuals and Groups of Individuals under the
self employment scheme (up Rs. 3 lakhs for individuals and Rs. 10 lakhs
per group of 5) against registered mortgage of immovable property as
collateral. The loans schemes for Small Enterprises and professionals have
now been almost phased out and the Self-Employment Scheme (SEP) is its
major lending activity. The SBFC received a concessionary credit line of
Rs. 3.8 billion from the State Bank in 1994-95 for the SEP which was
entirely committed. Disbursements in 1994-95 amounted to Rs. 1.3
billion for about 8,963 persons (or groups of persons). Recovery rates are
low 56 per cent in 1992, 63 per cent in 1993 and 73 per cent in 1994
mainly due to pressure to lend in these years, but SBFC performance is
rapidly improving.
Comparison of Schemes
All the five programmes are significant to the Pakistan situation. In
order to have a clearer idea about their differences, they are now compared
across seven areas (conceptual model, economic model, financial model,
credit and savings system, employment creation, focus on women, and
physical productive infrastructure and training).
Conceptual Models The conceptual models underlying the five
programmes (See Table-1 below) are significantly different and in fact reflect
integrated rural development model experimented with world wide and in
the united Pakistan of the 1960s in Comilla (and re-invented in Bangladesh
as BRAC see Annexure II). The genius of Dr. Abdul Hamid Khan, the
founding spirit of Comilla, resulted in the transformation of the integrated
rural development concept into the urban area of Orangi using the power of
AKRSP
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
OPP/OCT
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
ILO/Japan
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
YIPS
No
No
Yes
No
No
SBFC
No
No
Yes
No
No
with by ILO/Japan (at its computer centre in Islamabad with a pay-as-youearn after training component for students not able to afford to pay the
fees) is an important step in extending the concept of provision of credit
and cost-recovery for human resource development. The logical extension is
to first extend micro- and small- and medium-scale credit to create training
institutions by private individuals and NGOs and then extend credit for
training purposes to be utilised by individuals who train in these
institutions.
Table-2: Economic Models
Provides NGO
Own Funds for
(Local) Govt.
Type Activities
Provides
Community
Funds in
Absence of
Local Govt.
Credit for
Economic
Activities
Training
provided
Training
Cost
Recovery
Credit
Based
AKRSP
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
OPP/OCT
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
ILO/Japan
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
YIPS
No
No
Yes
No
No
SBFC
No
No
Yes
No
No
NGO / Bank
Managed
Disbursement
and Recovery
of Loans
Saving
Schemes
Part of
Programme
Default
(Rates (%)
AKRSP
Yes
Yes
Yes
3.4%
OPP/OCT
No
Yes
No
4.4%
ILO/Japan
Yes
No
Yes
2.0%
YIPS
No
Yes
No
27 %
SBFC
No
Yes
No
27 %
Av. Size
of Loan
Default
Rate
231
413
12,306
33,560
3.4%
..
45.6
3,013
15,134
4.4%
0.54
2.3
669
3,438
2.0%
ILO/Japan
(1994-June 95)
YIPS(1988-June 1995)
..
3,715
36,882 1,00,727
27 %
SBFC
..
4,392
34,638 1,26,797
27 %
(Sept.1992-June 1995)
Number of
Beneficiaries
or Employment
Generation
Average
Cost of Job
Creation
(Rs.)
26.8
6,783
3,951
7.6
360
20,987
ILO/Japan (1994-95)
2.3
669
3,438
YIPS (1994)
1,211
34,664
34,935
SBFC (1994)
1,261
26,889
46,897
AKRSP
WO/
Total
Credit to
Women
(CW)
CW/
Total
Savings
by
Women
(SW)
SW/
Total
803
30%
N.A.
N.A.
Rs. 42
million
18%
..
..
Rs. 9
million
22 %
..
..
13
46 %
238
loans
36 %
N.A.
N.A.
YIPS
..
..
N.A.
10 %
..
..
SBFC
..
..
N.A.
N.A.
..
..
OCT *
(Sept. 87-Nov. 94)
ILO/Japan
(March 94-August 95)
Number
of
Projects
Average
Cost of
Project
(Rs.)
291.6
1529
1,90,712
8337
7344
Self Help
5,000
N.A.
..
..
..
..
..
..
608
YIPS
..
..
..
..
..
SBFC
..
..
..
..
..
AKRSP
Specialists
Public
Trained
Trained
(Number) (Number)
OPD
(Jan. 80-June. 95)
ILO/Japan
(Jan. 94-June 95)
enrollment rates are less than 50 per cent (and even lower for secondary
schools and colleges). Thus many million new jobs can be created in this
sector alone if private initiative is allowed through de-regulating the
education sector. Other issues of over-regulation related to labour laws,
social security laws, pension laws, utility laws etc. All these need to be reexamined with regard to their adverse effects on micro and small scale
enterprises.
Social Security Nets. As Pakistan de-regulates and moves to more
market-friendly economic and labour policies, it needs to create more
effective social security nets. Thus old age pension schemes need to be made
universal but based on individual, personally maintained pension accounts
rather than the government bureaucracy. Similarly health, education and
even cash assistance can be made available to the poor and the needy, not
by creating more government institutions, but by direct transfer
programmes to individuals who can utilise the funds to get appropriate
service from private providers of these services.
Absence of Local Government At The village/Local Urban Level. An
important issue relates to the absence of local government and tax and
expenditure functions at the local level. Thus in Pakistans local government
the village is not the smallest unit, unlike in India. The recent Local
Government Ordinance of the Punjab tried to rectify this marginally but is
likely to lapse because of opposition from the feudal lobby. Similarly, in the
larger gowns and municipalities, the smaller wards are not financially
independent and thus there is no local control over finances and
expenditures which then gets inefficiently utilised at city wide levels. If the
lack of local government institutions continue, then CBOs will spring up
and try to replicate the missing local government functions (e.g. as in
AKRSP and OPP/OCT). A positive measure would be reinstating
Employment Exchanges in the Punjab. If successful local government
institutions can be created then CBOs can restrict their activities to
provision of credit (e.g. as in the case of ILO/Japan Project). In the Pakistani
context where institutional change (particularly regarding local government)
is difficult, we are likely to need both types of institutions.
Annexure - 1
LABOUR / CAPITAL RATIO
(Rs. In 000)
All Industries
173
170
Food Manufacturing
189
Beverage Industry
138
Manufacturing of textiles
Weaving apparel
Leather & Leather products
98
106
43
108
52
50
178
194
147
Industrial Chemicals
Petroleum Refining
117
163
80
221
424
97
858
120
325
70
167
422
608
614
19
84
65
Non-electrical Machinery
106
83
Transport Equipment
80
62
43
Handicrafts
80
49
Other manufacturing
38
Source:
References
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Economics / South Asia Multi Disciplinary Advisory Team, ILO.
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State Bank of Pakistan, 1995. Annual Report 1994-95. SBP Karachi.
The Agha Khan Rural Support Programme, 1995. Fifteenth Progress Report,
April-June Gilgit.
The World Bank, 1990. The Agha Khan Rural Support Programme
Second Interim Evaluation Washington D.C.
The Agha Khan Rural Support Programme, 1995. Twelfth Annual Review,
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