A Vision of Smarter Cities: How Cities Can Lead The Way Into A Prosperous and Sustainable Future
A Vision of Smarter Cities: How Cities Can Lead The Way Into A Prosperous and Sustainable Future
A Vision of Smarter Cities: How Cities Can Lead The Way Into A Prosperous and Sustainable Future
Executive Report
A century ago, fewer than 20 cities around the world had Operationally, cities are based on a number of core systems
1
populations in excess of 1 million people. Today, that number composed of different networks, infrastructures and environ-
has swelled to 450 and will continue to grow for the foresee- ments related to their key functions: city services, citizens,
2
able future. business, transport, communication, water and energy. The
city services system constitutes the operational activities and
As cities grow in both numbers and population, they are coordination of service delivery provided by the city authority,
taking their place on the world’s center stage, with more such as coordinating delivery across different agencies, allo-
economic, political and technological power than ever before. cating public funds, conducting physical planning activities and
Economically, they are becoming the hubs of a globally inte- more. A city’s citizens system includes public safety, health and
grated, services-based society. Politically, they are in the midst education and is central to whether it delivers a good quality of
of a realignment of power – with greater influence, but also life for its citizens. A city’s business system refers to the envi-
greater responsibility. From a technology standpoint, advances ronment that businesses face in terms of policy and regulation.
are underway that can provide them with better understanding Cities offer citizens and business the ability to move things
and control of their operations and development. around through their transport systems and to share ideas and
information through their communication systems. Cities also
offer two core utilities necessary for all economic and social
activity – water and energy.
2 A vision of smarter cities
These systems are not discrete, however. They interconnect in The opportunity presented by smarter cities is the opportunity
a synergistic fashion that, ideally, promotes optimum perfor- of sustainable prosperity. Pervasive new technologies provide a
mance and efficiency. These core systems, in effect, become a much greater scope for instrumentation, interconnection and
“system of systems.” intelligence of a city’s core systems. Around the world, leading
cities are putting in place smarter systems, such as Galway’s
However, while providing the potential for significant positive
SmartBay advanced water management system, Songdo’s Wired
transformation, each element of this “system of systems” faces
City initiative or Singapore’s eSymphony transport system.
significant sustainability challenges and threats. For example,
cities are confronted by considerable service coordination and Becoming a “smarter city” is a journey, though, not an
planning challenges as a result of urban sprawl. Citizens face overnight transformation. Cities must prepare for change that
healthcare threats, such as infant mortality and the worldwide will be revolutionary, rather than evolutionary, as they put in
HIV pandemic. For businesses, cities must balance regulatory place next-generation systems that work in entirely new ways.
requirements with the need to decrease costly administra- City administrations must decide what activities are core, and,
tive overhead. Inefficient transportation systems continue to therefore, what they should shed, retain or expand into. Not
drive up costs. Increasing communications and connectivity only that, cities must “assemble the team” – integrate their
demands challenge the ability of cities to meet the needs of its own administrations and work with other levels of govern-
citizens and businesses. Water resources fall victim to leakage, ment, especially country-level, as well as private and non-profit
theft and poor quality. And current energy systems are often sectors. Cities must also take into account the interrelation-
insecure and inefficient. ships among the systems they are based on, as well as the
interactions among the challenges they face.
As cities face these substantial and interrelated challenges, it
becomes clear that the status quo – business as usual – is no
longer a viable option. Cities must use their new power to
become smarter. They must act now, using new technologies
to transform their core systems to optimize the use of limited
resources.
IBM Global Business Services 3
Power and responsibility as cities take The world economy is now globally integrated and
services-based, with cities as its hubs
center stage The nature of commerce has transformed appreciably since
In 2008, for the first time in human history, the majority of
3
1990, with global trade now accounting for two-thirds of
the world’s people lived in cities. And cities for the foresee- 5
all output, compared to only one-third 20 years ago. In
able future will continue to grow faster than the countrysides
developed economies, service provision has supplanted produc-
surrounding them (see Figure 1). Globally, the number of
tion as the primary economic activity, accounting for nearly
people living in cities of 1 million or more will grow from 6
4
three-quarters of all trade.
about half a billion in 1975 to almost 2 billion in 2025. As
a result, cities have assumed a central role in the urbanized A globally integrated, services-based world economy means
world of the 21st century. They are wielding more economic that business will locate activities where capital – both human
power, developing greater political influence and increas- and physical – is concentrated, i.e., cities. Three-fifths of
ingly employing more advanced technological capabilities to businesses list availability of qualified staff (human capital)
enhance their operations. and quality of telecommunications (physical capital) as abso-
7
lutely essential. Cities have higher levels of physical and
human capital compared to the countries around them. They
have higher shares of workforce with tertiary education (see
1990
Figure 2) and a stronger capacity for innovation – more than
88% 81 percent of Organization of Economic Cooperation and
2020 Forecast
80% Development (OECD) patents are produced in urban regions.
8
73% 2050 Forecast
67%
51%
35%
Cities are based on a number of different
systems central to their operation and
Developed countries Developing countries development.
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis of United Nations data.
v +Q\a[MZ^QKM[" The city services system is the operational Cities are being empowered at a time when they face significant
activities and coordination of service delivery provided challenges and threats to sustainability in each interrelated system
by the city authority, such as coordinating delivery across and must act now to secure future prosperity.
different agencies, allocating public funds, conducting
City services: From greater individualization to fiscal
physical planning activities and more. constraints, city services are coming under increasing
pressure
v +Q\QbMV[: A city’s citizens system refers to its human and
Greater demands for individualized and tailored service
social networks. These include public safety (fire, police and
delivery mean that city authorities are under increasing
disaster recovery), health, education and quality of life.
pressure to transform their approach to managing service
v *][QVM[[: A city’s business system encompasses its delivery to citizens. This is reflected in opinion polls showing
regulation and policy environment and includes planning that people want greater choice in the use of services, with
regulations, openness to foreign trade and investment, and people looking for public services that are more responsive
9
labor and product market legislation. to the needs and wants of individual citizens. Tony Blair
v <ZIV[XWZt: A city’s transport system includes all aspects of summarized the challenge to public service delivery as follows:
its road network, its public transport network and its sea “In simple terms, we are completing the re-casting of the
1945 welfare state to end entirely the era of ‘one size fits all’
and air ports, from provision to pricing.
services and put in their place modern services which maintain
v +WUU]VQKI\QWV: A city’s communication system includes at their core the values of equality of access and opportunity
its telecommunications infrastructure, including telephony, 10
for all.” This in turn requires far greater integration of the
broadband and wireless. The ability to access and commu- different services and actors involved in their delivery, in order
nicate information is central in a modern economy and key to give greater focus on the end user rather than the individual
11
to a smarter city. provider of services. Meeting the growing demands of citizens
v ?I\MZ: A city’s water system is an essential utility that is made more difficult by the severe budget constraints facing
includes the entire water cycle, water supply and sanita- many cities. For example, a review of 13 major U.S. cities
found that 12 of them faced budget deficits ranging from 5-20
tion. 12
percent of the general funds available.
v -VMZOa: A city’s energy system, as essential as its water
resources, includes its power generation and transmission Citizens: From demographic changes to health, cities face
major challenges and threats to their sustainability
infrastructure, as well as its waste disposal.
While on average urban populations are growing, cities in
These core systems are interconnected and must be treated developed countries often face shrinking populations – in the
as such. Understanding one system and making it work better last 30 years, more cities in the developed world shrank than
13
means that cities must comprehend the bigger picture and how grew. These cities will require new ways to stay globally
the various systems connect. competitive and attractive to skilled labor. In developing cities,
6 A vision of smarter cities
Communication: Cities face challenges in meeting ever- Water: Problems with water efficiency, leakage, quality and
greater demands for connectivity the threat of flooding pose a significant threat to cities’
The last 20 years have seen a revolution in how we commu- sustainability
nicate and inform ourselves, in particular the ability to share Water is fundamental for sustaining human life. Every
information through the Worldwide Web. However, while economic exchange involves a virtual exchange of water. As
the online population has grown by almost 350 percent since cities grow, so does their thirst for water. Cities today account
2000, the vast majority of the world’s population – 5.1 billion for 60 percent of all water allocated for domestic human
24
– is still not online and is denied the benefits of tapping into a use. However, globally, less than half of water supplies are
worldwide network of information (see Figure 4). The speed of accounted for (see Figure 5). Leakage rates often represent
connectivity has also become increasingly important. In March up to 60 percent of water supplied, costing water utilities
25
2009, average speeds for those with broadband varied from worldwide US$14 billion every year.
4.6 megabits per second in Asia to 1.1 megabits per second in
22
Africa. As the citizens of Tokyo and Yokohama prepare for
gigabit-per-second connectivity, city managers must begin
planning for a terabit world.
23 35%
47% Leakage
Water used ($9.3bn)
657
Asia 3780
54
Africa 975 18%
2008 online
393 Theft/Poor metering
Europe 804 2008 population
($4.7bn)
174
581 Source: World Bank, 2006.
Latin America
251
North America 338 Figure 5. Usage of global water supplies and estimated costs.
46
Middle East 197
20 Currently, 2.8 billion people, or 44 percent of the world’s popu-
Oceania 34 26
lation, live in areas of high water stress. Present trends suggest
27
Source: Internetworldstats.com; UNCTAD. that this will rise to almost 4 billion by 2030 (see Figure 6).
Globally, water shortages are estimated to cause an annual loss
Figure 4. Online versus total population (millions), by continent, 2008. 28
to economic growth of about 3.6 per cent. In California, the
29
cost of water issues is already 2 percent of the state budget.
8 A vision of smarter cities
Non-urban 9112
4.0
Urban 67%
+39%67% 36,449
6220
2.8
24,880
6368
35% 35%
35% 14,858
Source: World Economic Forum. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration Annual Outlook 2008; IBM Institute for Business Value
estimates.
interconnected.
IBM Global Business Services 9
City Services
Business Citizens
CITY STRATEGY
CITY GOVERNANCE
Transport Energy
Communication Water
Figure 8. Cities systems and their interrelationships within the larger framework of the city’s strategy and governance.
10 A vision of smarter cities
Smarter cities make their systems instrumented, Each of the core systems identified can be made smarter,
interconnected and intelligent by taking advantage of the potential to digitize systems and,
Pervasive information and communication technology means thereby, enable more informed decision making.
that there is much greater scope for leveraging technology for
the benefit of cities: The city as a “system of systems”
It is critical that the interrelationship between a city’s core
v 1V[\Z]UMV\I\QWV, or digitization, of a city’s system means
systems is taken into account to make this “system of systems”
that the workings of that system are turned into data
smarter, too. No system operates in isolation; instead, a web
points and the system is made measurable. By 2010, there
of interconnections exists. For example, transport, business
is likely to be 1 billion transistors, the building block of the and energy systems are closely interrelated – the transport and
36
digital age, for every human being. business systems are key users of energy. Connecting these
v 1V\MZKWVVMK\QWV means that different parts of a core systems will deliver even greater efficiencies and address the
system can be joined and “speak” to each other, turning interrelated, long-term threats to sustainability. The connec-
data into information. tion between smarter water and energy systems is another
example of the linkages that exist between systems. A substan-
v 1V\MTTQOMVKM refers to the ability to use the information
tial amount of electricity generated goes toward pumping
created, model patterns of behavior or likely outcomes
and treating water. In Malta, for example, a new smart utility
and translate them into real knowledge, allowing informed
system will inform citizens and business about their use of
actions. both energy and water, enabling them to make better decisions
Smarter cities transform their systems and their “system of about resource consumption.
systems”
A smarter city is one that uses technology to transform its Becoming “smart” is a journey, not an
core systems and optimize the return from largely finite overnight transformation
resources. By using resources in a smarter way, it will also Cities have limited resources. To deliver on the range of
boost innovation, a key factor underpinning competitiveness ambitious goals they have, cities must take account of the inter-
and economic growth. Investment in smarter systems is also a connected challenges they face and the interrelated systems
source of sustainable employment. It has been estimated that a they influence. This is a journey for cities, not an overnight
US$30 billion investment in smarter broadband communica- transformation. But the first step requires a shift in thinking
tion, healthcare and energy systems grid could create almost 1 and a break from the past.
million jobs in the United States alone. Imagine the possibili-
37
City services x Tailor services to the needs of individual citizens x Using technology to integrate the information
x Service delivery in silos with one size fits all systems of different service delivery agencies to
enable better services for citizens
Citizens
x Cities have difficulty using all the information at x Reduce crime and react faster to public safety x Putting in place a new public safety system in
their disposal threats, by analyzing information in realtime? Chicago, allowing realtime video surveillance and
x Citizens face limited access to information about x Use better connections and advanced analytics to faster more effective response to emergencies
their healthcare, education and housing needs. interpret vast amounts of data collected to improve x Giving doctors in Copenhagen instant access to
health outcomes? patients’ health records, achieving the highest
satisfaction and lowest error rates in the world.38
Transport
x Transporting people and goods is dogged by x Eliminate congestion and generate sustainable new x Bringing in a dynamically priced congestion
congestion, wasted hours and wasted fuel. revenues, while integrating all transport modes with charge for cars to enter Stockholm, reducing
each other and the wider economy? inner-city traffic by 25 percent and emissions by
14 percent, while boosting inner-city retail by 6
percent and generating new revenue streams.39
Communication
x Many cities have yet to provide connectivity for x Connect up all businesses, citizens and systems x Merging medical, business, residential and
citizens with universal affordable high-speed connectivity? government data systems into a so-called
x “Going online” typically means at slow speeds ubiquitous city in Songdo, Korea, giving citizens
and at a fixed location. and business a range of new services, from
automated recycling to universal smartcards for
paying bills and accessing medical records.
Water
x Half of all water generated is wasted, while water x Analyze entire water ecosystems, from rivers and x Monitoring, managing and forecasting water-
quality is uncertain. reservoirs to the pumps and pipes in our homes? based challenges, in Galway, Ireland, through
x Give individuals and businesses timely insight into an advanced sensor network and realtime data
their own water use, raising awareness, locating analysis, giving all stakeholders – from scientists
inefficiencies and decreasing unnecessary demand? to commercial fishing – up-to-date information.
Business
x Businesses must deal with unnecessary x Impose the highest standards on business activities, x Boosting public sector productivity, while
administrative burdens in some areas, while while improving business efficiency? simplifying processes for business in Dubai
regulation lags behind in others. through a Single Window System that simplifies
and integrates delivery and procedures across a
range of almost 100 public services.40
Energy
x Insecure and unsustainable energy sources. x Allow consumers to send price signals – and energy x Giving households access to live energy prices
– back to the market, smoothing consumption and and adjust their use accordingly, as in a Seattle-
lowering usage? based trial, reducing stress on the grid by up
to 15 percent and energy bills by 10 percent on
average.41
Figure 9. How cities can and have transformed their core systems.
12 A vision of smarter cities
This means that city administrations should develop an inte- What cities need to do to become smarter
grated city-planning framework, based on deciding where To put in place a plan for transforming into a smarter city, a
their internal expertise lies – in essence identifying a city’s city needs to do more than just strategize:
core competencies – and bringing in outside expertise where v )[[MUJTM\PM\MIU: No city is an island. Administrations
necessary (see Figure 10). This will rarely align to a city’s – at city level and elsewhere – are recognizing the impor-
current allocation of tasks, meaning cities must look at which tance of “perpetual collaboration.” To deliver the goals a
activities to shed, which to retain and potentially reorganize, city has set, city administrations will need to work seam-
which to partner for, and which new activities to expand
lessly across their own organizational boundaries and
into. Structured modeling tools, such as component business
partner effectively with other levels of government, as well
modeling, can help city administrations map out the activities 43
as with the private and non-profit sectors. Many issues
in each of their systems and identify where they should retain,
42 that cities face will require significant collaboration among
expand, shed and partner.
city, state and national levels of government. In addition to
formulating new policies themselves, cities must be able
to articulate the challenges they face to influence policies
made elsewhere.
What activities do cities currently do What are a city’s core activities that
that they should shed? should be retained?
Currently have
Authors Contributors
Susanne Dirks is the manager of the IBM Institute for Business Graham M. (Mark) Cleverley, Public Sector Director, Strategy,
Value Center for Economic Development. She is a senior Global Government Business Solutions, IBM Sales &
managing consultant with a background in language transla- Distribution.
tion, information technology and artificial intelligence, with James W. Cortada, Public Sector Leader, IBM Institute for
over 14 years experience in IBM in several management Business Value, IBM Global Business Services.
and consulting roles. Prior to IBM, Susanne worked for a
Ronan Lyons, formerly a managing consultant for the
Siemens subsidiary and also spent some years working for
IBM Institute for Business Value Center for Economic
herself. Susanne, who is also a certified translator (Universität
Development.
Erlangen) for technology and economics, holds a First Class
B.Sc. Honors Degree in Information Technology and Science, Madli Kaju, Research Support, Institute for Business Value
Technology and Society Studies and a Master of Science Center for Economic Development.
in Knowledge-Based Systems from Edinburgh University.
Susanne can be reached at susanne_dirks@ie.ibm.com. Gerard M. Mooney, Public Sector General Manager, Fiscal
Stimulus and Economic Recovery, IBM Sales & Distribution.
Dr. Mary Keeling is a managing consultant at the
IBM Institute for Business Value Center for Economic The right partner for a changing world
Development. She joined IBM after over a decade of experi- At IBM, we collaborate with our clients, bringing together
ence as an economist in the private sector and academia. Prior business insight, advanced research and technology to give
to IBM, she was a lecturer in economics at the University of them a distinct advantage in today’s rapidly changing environ-
Limerick. Before this, she lectured at Trinity College Dublin ment. Through our integrated approach to business design
and also worked as an economist with Davy Stockbrokers. and execution, we help turn strategies into action. And with
She has extensive experience in conducting research on expertise in 17 industries and global capabilities that span 170
productivity, structural change, trade specialization, economic countries, we can help clients anticipate change and profit from
development and the interdependence of financial markets. new opportunities.
She graduated from NUI Maynooth in 1992 with a first class
honors degree in Economics and Anthropology and also holds
an M.A. in Economics and Finance from the same institution.
She was awarded a Ph.D by Trinity College Dublin in 1998.
Mary can be reached at mary.keeling@ie.ibm.com.
IBM Global Business Services 15
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16 A vision of smarter cities
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