Introduction To The Historical Tables: Structure, Coverage, and Concepts
Introduction To The Historical Tables: Structure, Coverage, and Concepts
Structure
This document is composed of 16 sections, each of which has one or more tables. Each
section covers a common theme. Section 1, for example, provides an overview of the budget
and off-budget totals; Section 2 provides tables on receipts by source; and Section 3 shows
outlays by function. When a section contains several tables, the general rule is to start with
tables showing the broadest overview data and then work down to more detailed tables. The
purpose of these tables is to present a broad range of historical budgetary data in one
convenient reference source and to provide relevant comparisons likely to be most useful.
The most common comparisons are in terms of proportions (e.g., each major receipt category
as a percentage of total receipts and of the gross domestic product).
Section notes explain the nature of the activities covered by the tables in each
section. Additional descriptive information is also included where appropriate. Explanations
are generally not repeated, but there are occasional cross-references to related materials.
Because of the numerous changes in the way budget data have been presented over time,
there are inevitable difficulties in trying to produce comparable data to cover many years.
The general rule is to provide data in as meaningful and comparable a fashion as possible.
To the extent feasible, the data are presented on a basis consistent with current budget
concepts. When a structural change is made, insofar as possible the data are adjusted for all
years.
One significant change made in the early 1990s concerns the budgetary treatment of
Federal credit programs, which was changed by the Federal Credit Reform Act of 1990.
Previously the budget recorded the cost of direct and guaranteed loans on a cash basis.
Under credit reform, the budget records budget authority and outlays for the subsidy cost of
direct and guaranteed loans made in 1992 and subsequent years. The subsidy is defined as
the net estimated cash flows to and from the Government over the life of the loan,
discounted to the present. The remaining cash transactions of credit programs are recorded
as a means of financing the deficit. Because it is impossible to convert the pre-1992 loans
to a credit reform basis, the data are on a cash basis for pre-1992 loans and on a credit
reform basis for loans made in 1992 and subsequent years.
Coverage
The Federal Government has used the unified or consolidated budget concept as the
foundation for its budgetary analysis and presentation since the 1969 budget. The basic
guidelines for the unified budget were presented in the Report of the Presidents Commission
on Budget Concepts (October 1967). The Commission recommended the budget include all
Federal fiscal activities unless there were exceptionally persuasive reasons for exclusion.
Nevertheless, from the very beginning some programs were perceived as warranting special
treatment. Indeed, the Commission itself recommended a bifurcated presentation: a unified
budget composed of an expenditure account and a loan account. The distinction between
the expenditure account and the loan account proved to be confusing and caused
considerable complication in the budget for little benefit. As a result, this distinction was
eliminated starting with the 1974 Budget. However, even prior to the 1974 Budget, the
Export-Import Bank had been excluded by law from the budget totals, and other exclusions
followed. This exclusion resulted in two new budget terms, on-budget and off-budget, to
distinguish between these excluded entities and the rest of the budget. Although there is a
legal distinction between on-budget and off-budget entities, there is no conceptual difference
between the two. The off-budget Federal entities engage in the same kinds of governmental
activities as the on-budget entities, and the programs of off-budget entities result in the
same kind of outlays and receipts as on-budget entities. Like on-budget entities, off-budget
entities are owned and controlled by the Government. The unified budget reflects the
conceptual similarity between on-budget and off-budget entities by showing combined totals
of outlays and receipts for both types of entities.
The Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 (Public Law 99
177) repealed the off-budget status of all then existing off-budget entities, but it also
included a provision moving the Federal old-age, survivors, and disability insurance funds
(collectively known as Social Security) off-budget. To provide a consistent time series, the
budget historical data show Social Security off-budget for all years since its inception, and
show all formerly off-budget entities on-budget for all years. The Omnibus Budget
Reconciliation Act of 1989 (OBRA 1989) moved the Postal Service fund off-budget, starting
in 1989. Again to provide a consistent time series, transactions of the Postal Service fund are
shown off-budget beginning with its inception in 1972. The transactions of its predecessor,
the Post Office Department, remain on-budget.
Though Social Security and the Postal Service are now off-budget, they continue to be
Federal programs. Indeed, Social Security currently accounts for about one-fourth of all
Federal receipts and one-fifth of all Federal spending. Hence, the budget documents include
these funds and focus on the Federal totals that combine the on-budget and off-budget
amounts. Various budget tables and charts show total Federal receipts, outlays, and
surpluses and deficits, and divide these totals between the portions that are on-budget and
off-budget.
Adjustments have also been made to reflect corrections in agency reporting provided to
the Treasury Department.
The Federal fiscal year begins on October 1 and ends on the subsequent September
30. It is designated by the year in which it ends; for example, fiscal year 2014 began on
October 1, 2013, and ended on September 30, 2014. Prior to fiscal year 1977 the Federal
fiscal years began on July 1 and ended on June 30. In calendar year 1976 the JulySeptember period was a separate accounting period (known as the transition quarter or TQ)
to bridge the period required to shift to the new fiscal year.
nanced largely by social insurance taxes and contributions and payments from the general
fund (the main component of Federal funds). However, there are also major trust funds for
transportation (highway and airport and airways) and for other programs financed in whole
or in part by beneficiary-based, dedicated taxes.
Sometimes there is confusion between budget receipts and offsetting receipts and
offsetting collections. Receipts are income that results from the Governments exercise of its
sovereign power to tax, or otherwise compel payment, as previously noted. They are also
called governmental receipts or budget receipts. Offsetting collections and offsetting receipts
result from either of two kinds of transactions: business-like or market-oriented activities
with the public and intragovernmental transactions, the receipt by one Government account
of a payment from another account.
For example, the budget records the proceeds from the sale of postage stamps, the
fees charged for admittance to recreation areas, and the proceeds from the sale of
Government-owned land as offsetting collections or offsetting receipts. These are proprietary
offsetting collections or offsetting receipts coming from the public to the Government.
Sometimes, however, payments are made from one Government agency to another, creating
intragovernmental offsetting receipts or collections. For example, the General Services Administration receives payments from other Government agencies for the rent of office space.
These are credited as offsetting collections in the Federal Buildings Fund. Offsetting
collections and offsetting receipts are deducted from gross budget authority and outlays,
rather than added to receipts. This treatment produces budget totals for governmental
receipts, net budget authority, and net outlays that represent governmental transactions
with the public that are net of transactions with other Government agencies and
transactions that are business-like or market-oriented activities.
When funds are dedicated, it means the receipts or collections are separately
identified and used for a specified purposethey are not commingled (in an accounting
sense) with any other money. This does not mean the money is actually kept in a separate
bank account. All money in the Treasury is merged for efficient cash management. However,
any dedicated funds are accounted for in such a way that the balances are always
identifiable and available for the stipulated purposes.
HISTORICAL TRENDS
Because the Historical Tables publication provides a large volume and wide array of
data on Federal Government finances, it is sometimes difficult to perceive the long- term
patterns in various budget aggregates and components. To assist the reader in
understanding some of these long-term patterns, this section provides a short summary of
the trends in Federal deficits and surpluses, debt, receipts, outlays, and employment.
Deficits and Debt.As shown in Table 1.1, except for periods of war (when spending
for defense increased sharply), depressions, or other economic downturns (when receipts fell
precipitously), the Federal budget was generally in surplus throughout most of the Nations
first 200 years. For our first 60 years as a Nation (through 1849), cumulative budget
surpluses and deficits yielded a net surplus of $70 million. The Civil War, along with the
Spanish-American War and the depression of the 1890s, resulted in a cumulative deficit
totaling just under $1 billion during the 18501900 period. Between 1901 and 1916, the
budget hovered very close to balance every year. World War I brought large deficits that
totaled $23 billion over the 19171919 period. The budget was then in surplus throughout
the 1920s. However, the combination of the Great Depression followed by World War II
resulted in a long, unbroken string of deficits that were historically unprecedented in
magnitude. As a result, Federal debt held by the public mushroomed from less than $3
billion in 1917 to $16 billion in 1930 and then to $242 billion by 1946. In relation to the size
of the economy, debt held by the public grew from 16 percent of GDP in 1930 to 106 percent
in 1946.
During much of the postwar period, this same pattern persistedlarge deficits were
incurred only in time of war (e.g., Korea and Vietnam) or as a result of recessions. As shown
in Table 1.2, prior to the 1980s, postwar deficits as a percent of GDP reached their highest
during the 197576 recession at 4.1 percent in 1976. Debt held by the public had grown to
$477 billion by 1976, but, because the economy had grown faster, debt as a percent of GDP
had declined throughout the postwar period to a low of 23.1 percent in 1974, climbing back
to 26.7 percent in 1976. Following five years of deficits averaging only 2.3 percent of GDP
between 1977 and 1981, debt held by the public stood at 25.2 percent of GDP by 1981two
percentage points higher than its postwar low.
The traditional pattern of running large deficits only in times of war or economic
downturns was broken during much of the 1980s. In 1982, large permanent tax cuts were
enacted. Moreover, these were accompanied by substantial increases in defense spending.
Although reductions were made to nondefense spending, they were not of sufficient size to
offset the impact on the deficit. As a result, deficits averaging $206 billion were incurred
between 1983 and 1992. These unprecedented peacetime deficits increased debt held by the
public from $789 billion in 1981 to $3.0 trillion (46.6 percent of GDP) in 1992.
After peaking at $290 billion in 1992, deficits declined each year, dropping to a level
of $22 billion in 1997. In 1998, the Nation recorded its first budget surplus ($69.3 billion)
since 1969. As a percent of GDP, the budget bottom line went from a deficit of 4.5 percent in
1992 to a surplus of 0.8 percent in 1998, increasing to a 2.3 percent surplus in 2000. An
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economic slowdown began in 2001. The deterioration in the performance of the economy,
together with large tax reductions as well as additional spending in response to the
September 11th terrorist attacks, produced a drop in the surplus from $236 billion in 2000 to
$128 billion (1.2 percent of GDP) in 2001 and a return to deficit ($158 billion, 1.5 percent of
GDP) in 2002. These factors also contributed to the increase in the deficit in the following
two years, reaching $413 billion (3.4 percent of GDP) in 2004. Economic growth in 2005 and
2006 produced a sharp increase in revenues, helping to reduce the deficit to $248 billion (1.8
percent of GDP) in 2006 and even further to $161 billion (1.1 percent of GDP) in 2007.
Debt held by the public, which had peaked at 47.8 percent of GDP in 1993, fell to 31.4
percent by 2001 and increased thereafter, reaching 35.6 percent by 2005. The declines in the
deficit in 2006 and 2007 helped to reduce debt held by the public to 35.2 percent of GDP in
2007.
In December 2007, the economy fell into recession. In response, tax reductions in the
form of rebates were enacted in mid-February 2008. In addition, several years of poor
private-sector mortgage lending practices and other risky financial market behaviors led to a
financial market crisis in September 2008 that significantly deepened the ongoing recession.
Lower revenue (due to both the tax reductions and lower economic activity) and recessioninduced spending for unemployment assistance and other automatic stabilizers combined
with a large stimulus package of further tax reductions and program increases as well as
increased defense spending (due partly to the surge of troops in Iraq and, subsequently, in
Afghanistan) to produce deficits in 2008 of $459 billion (3.1 percent of GDP), $1,413 billion
(9.8 percent of GDP) in 2009, $1,294 billion (8.7 percent of GDP) in 2010, and $1,300 billion
(8.5 percent of GDP) in 2011. The deficit declined to $1,087 billion (6.8 percent of GDP) in
2012, $680 billion (4.1 percent of GDP) in 2013, and $485 billion (2.8 percent of GDP) in
2014. As a result there were corresponding increases in debt held by the public to 39.3
percent of GDP in 2008, 52.3 percent of GDP in 2009, 60.9 percent of GDP in 2010, and 65.9
percent of GDP in 2011. This increase continued, growing to 70.4 percent of GDP in 2012,
72.3 percent in 2013, and 74.1 percent in 2014. The Government used a portion of the
increased debt to acquire financial assets from the private sector as a way of ameliorating
the financial market crisis and otherwise assisting the economy. These financial assets can
be considered offsets to the increase in the debt; taking them into account, however, still
shows that debt held by the public net of financial assets reached 66.4 percent of GDP by in
2014.
Receipts.From the beginning of the Republic until the start of the Civil War, our
Nation relied on customs duties to finance the activities of the Federal Government. During
the 19th Century, sales of public lands supplemented customs duties. While large amounts
were occasionally obtained from the sale of lands, customs duties accounted for over 90
percent of Federal receipts in most years prior to the Civil War. Excise taxes became an
important and growing source of Federal receipts starting in the 1860s. Estate and gift taxes
were levied and collected sporadically from the 1860s through World War I, although never
amounting to a significant source of receipts during that time. Prior to 1913, income taxes
did not exist or were inconsequential, other than for a brief time during the Civil War
period, when special tax legislation raised the income tax share of Federal receipts to as
much as 13 percent in 1866. Subsequent to the enactment of income tax legislation in 1913,
these taxes grew in importance as a source of Federal receipts during the following decade.
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By 1930, the Federal Government was relying on income taxes for 60 percent of its receipts,
while customs duties and excise taxes each accounted for 15 percent of the receipts total.
During the 1930s, total Federal receipts averaged about 5 percent of GDP. World War
II brought a dramatic increase in receipts, with the Federal receipts peaking at 20.5 percent
of GDP in 1944. The percentage declined in the early post-war years to 14.1 by 1950. Since
then receipts have fluctuated within a range of 15-20 percent of GDP. In recent years, the
deepening recession and further tax reductions enacted in 2009 to help revive the economy
reduced receipts as a percent of GDP to 14.6 in both 2009 and 2010, the lowest since 1950.
Receipts have since increased to within the historical average, reaching 17.5 percent of GDP
in 2014.
There have also been some significant shifts during the postwar period in the
underlying sources or composition of receipts. The increase in taxes needed to support the
war effort in the 1940s saw total (corporate and individual) income taxes rise to prominence
as a source of Federal receipts, reaching 79 percent of total receipts in 1944. After the war,
the total income tax share of receipts fell from a postwar high of 74 percent in 1952 to an
average of 64 percent in the late 1960s. The growth in social insurance taxes (such as Social
Security and Medicare) more than offset a postwar secular decline in excise and other nonincome tax shares. The combination of substantial reductions in income taxes enacted in the
early 1980s and the continued growth in social insurance taxes resulted in a continued
decline in the total income tax share of receipts. By 1983 the total income tax share had
dropped to 54 percent of receipts, and it remained in the 53 to 56 percent range until the
mid-1990s. It began increasing in 1996, reaching 60 percent in 2000, before dropping back to
52 percent by 2003 and then again increasing to 60 percent by 2007. As a result of the
recession and tax reductions enacted as part of the stimulus packages in February 2008 and
again in the spring of 2009, the total income tax share dropped to 50 percent in 2009 and
2010. By 2014, the total income tax share of receipts had risen to 57 percent.
Corporation income taxes accounted for a large part of this postwar decline in total
income tax share, falling from over 30 percent of total Federal receipts in the early 1950s to
19 percent in 1968. During the same period, pretax corporate profits fell from about 13
percent of GDP in the early 1950s to 11 percent in 1968. By 1980 the corporation income tax
share of total receipts had dropped to 12.5 percent. Pretax corporate profits also declined as
a percent of GDP during the 1980s and, thus, the corporation income tax share of total
receipts dropped to a low of 6.2 percent in 1983. By 1996, the share had climbed back to 11.8
percent. But, between 2001 and 2003, it averaged 7.7 percent, well below the 1980 share,
before increasing to 14.7 percent by 2006. The December 2007 recession reduced the
corporation income tax share of total receipts to just 6.6 percent in 2009. In 2010 the share
rose to 8.9 percent before falling to 7.9 percent in 2011 and then rising to 10.6 percent in
2014.
This postwar drop in corporation income taxes as a share of total receipts has been
more than offset by the growth in social insurance taxes and retirement receipts, as both tax
rates and the percentage of the workforce covered by these payroll taxes increased. This
category of receipts increased from only 8 percent of total receipts during the mid-1940s to
38 percent by 1992, but declined to 32 percent by 2000 before rising to back a 40 percent
share in 2003, and then falling off to 34 percent in 2007. One effect of the deepening
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recession was to reduce the relative share of income taxes (both individual and corporation)
to 50 percent in 2009, which helped raise the social insurance taxes and retirement receipts
share of total receipts in that year to 42 percent. By 2012 this share had dropped to less
than 35 percent, due to a reduction in the Social Security payroll tax rate (first enacted
in December 2010 and, subsequently, extended through most of 2011 and 2012) and also due
to a decline in the taxable portion of covered wages and self-employment income subject to
payroll taxes, and a substantially higher average annual growth rate of 6.9 percent for
income taxes (raising the total income taxes share in 2012 to 56 percent). By 2014 the
income taxes share reached 57 percent while the social insurance taxes share declined
slightly to 34 percent.
Excise taxes have also declined in relative importance during the postwar period,
falling from a 19 percent share of total receipts in 1950 to 10 percent by 1966 and 5 percent
by 1985. Excise taxes accounted for only 3.1 percent of total receipts in 2006 and dropped
further to 2.5 percent in 2007, due, in part, to the end of the Federal telephone excise tax on
long distance telephone calls. In 2008, the excise tax share of total receipts increased
slightly to 2.7 percent and increased further to 3.0 percent in 2009, but this was due to the
rapid decline in income tax receipts rather than any substantial growth in excise tax
receipts. In 2014, this share remained relatively unchanged at 3.1 percent.
Outlays and Executive Branch Civilian Employment.Throughout most of the
Nations history prior to the 1930s, the bulk of Federal spending went towards national
defense, veterans benefits, and interest on the public debt. In 1929, for example, 71 percent
of Federal outlays were in these three categories. The 1930s began with Federal outlays
equaling just 3.4 percent of GDP. As shown in Table 1.2, the efforts to fight the Great
Depression with public works and other nondefense Federal spending, when combined with
the depressed GDP levels, caused outlays and their share of GDP to increase steadily during
most of that decade, with outlays rising to 10.1 percent of GDP by 1939 and to 11.7 percent
by 1941 on the eve of U.S. involvement in World War II.
Defense spending during World War II resulted in outlays as a percent of GDP rising
sharply, to a peak of 42.7 percent by 1944. The end of the war brought total spending down
to 14.0 percent of GDP by 1949, but the Korean War increased spending to 19.9 percent of
GDP by 1953. Outlays as a percent of GDP dropped after the Korean War and stayed
between 16.1 and 18.3 percent until U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War escalated sharply
in the middle 1960s and remained high into the early 1970s.
From 1967 through 1972, Federal outlays averaged 18.9 percent of GDP, with a peak
occurring in 1968 at 19.8 percent of GDP. The decline in defense spending as a percent of
GDP that began in 1973, as the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Vietnam was nearing
completion, was more than offset by increased spending on human resources programs
during the 1970s. The increase in human resources programs was due to the maturation of
the Social Security program; increases in education and training, general and Federal
employee retirement, and other income support programs, such as food stamps and
unemployment assistance; as well as a takeoff in spending on the recently enacted Great
Society programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid. As a result, total spending increased as a
percent of GDP, averaging 19.4 percent during the 1970s. Since receipts were averaging
only 17.4 percent of GDP during that decade, the result was chronic deficits averaging over
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2.0 percent of GDP (contributing to this was the recession of 197576, which saw deficits
increase to 4.1 percent in 1976).
The 1980s began with substantial momentum in the growth of Federal nondefense
spending in the areas of human resources, including grants to State and local governments
for human resources programs, and, as a result of the deficits incurred throughout the
1970s, interest on the public debt. In the early 1980s, a combination of substantially
increased defense spending, continued growth in human resource spending, large tax cuts,
and a deep recession caused the deficits to soar, which, in turn, sharply increased spending
for interest on the public debt. Federal spending climbed to an average of 22.1 percent of
GDP during 19811985. An end to the rapid defense buildup and a partial reversal of the
tax cuts, along with a strong economy during the second half of the decade, brought Federal
spending back down to 20.5 percent of GDP by 1989.
In the early 1990s, another recession, in the face of continued rapid growth in
Federal health care costs and additional spending resulting from the savings and loan crisis,
caused the outlay share of GDP to average 21.6 percent over 1991 and 1992. During the
decade following 1992, this upward trend was reversed, with outlays as a percent of GDP
declining gradually but steadily, falling to a low of 17.6 percent in both 2000 and 2001. The
outlay share of GDP rose to 18.5 percent in 2002 and 19.1 percent in 2003, due, in part, to
the increase in defense and homeland security spending in response to the September 11,
2001, terrorist attacks, and in part to the weak growth of GDP resulting from the 2001
recession. The outlay share of GDP increased further, reaching 19.4 percent in 2006, due, in
part, to increased spending on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as further increases
in response to the devastating hurricanes that struck States along the Gulf Coast in late
summer 2005. However, by 2007, outlays had dropped back slightly to 19.1 percent of GDP,
only to shoot back up significantly in 2008, to 20.2 percent of GDP, as a result of both the
recession that began in December 2007 and spending associated with the first stages of a
Federal effort to restore financial markets to full functionality. The recession deepened in
the first part of 2009 and additional efforts to fight the recession with a large package of
program increases and additional tax reductions combined with a drop in the level of GDP to
increase outlays as a percent of GDP to 24.4 percent in 2009, the highest since World War II.
Outlays as a percent of GDP were 23.4 percent in both 2010 and 2011, but have since fallen
and were at 20.3 percent in 2014.
Despite the growth in total Federal spending as a percent of GDP in recent decades,
Executive Branch (full-time equivalent) civilian employment, as shown in Table 16.1, has
remained roughly constant, ranging from 1.7 to 2.2 million civilian employees (excluding the
Postal Service) since 1981. However, the composition of employment has shifted significantly
between defense and civilian agencies during the postwar period, especially since the mid1980s. In 1986, for example, the 2.1 million total for civilian employees was split equally
between defense and the civilian agencies, with each accounting for 1 million employees.
During the 1990s and up through the current decade there has been a shift away from
defense to civilian agency employment. In recent years, civilian agency employment has
been nearly twice that of the Department of Defense, accounting for over 1.3 million of the
2.0 million total in 2014.
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Although total spending has increased substantially as a percent of GDP since the
1950s, the growth in the various components of spending has not been even and, thus, the
composition of spending has changed significantly during the same period.
Outlays for discretionary programs (whose funding levels are determined by annual
appropriations) totaled 12.3 percent of GDP in 1962, with nearly three-fourths going to
defense. Discretionary spending for defense programs increased during the Vietnam War
buildup in the late 1960s, causing total discretionary outlays to rise to 13.1 percent of GDP
by 1968, after which a gradual decline began. By the middle 1970s, this category had
dropped to slightly less than 10 percent of GDP and it generally stayed at that level until
the late 1980s, when the defense buildup that started early in that decade came to an end.
Discretionary spending, as a percent of GDP, fell substantially over the late 1980s and
throughout the 1990s, from 9.3 percent in 1987 to 6.0 percent in 1999. Since then,
discretionary spending has increased. Much of this growth occurred in 2002 and 2003, in
response to the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks and the initiation of the wars in
Afghanistan and Iraq. Additional outlays in response to the Gulf Coast hurricanes in
September 2005 brought the discretionary outlay share of GDP up to 7.5 percent in 2005.
This percentage dropped over the next two years to 7.3 percent by 2007. In 2008, outlays for
discretionary programs increased to 7.7 percent of GDP, largely due to a corresponding
increase in defense spending. The recession that began in December 2007 caused GDP to
drop from 2008 to 2009 and, in conjunction with additional program spending, increased
discretionary spending to 8.6 percent of GDP in 2009 and 9.1 percent of GDP in 2010, before
falling back to 8.8 percent of GDP in 2011 and 8.0 percent of GDP in 2012. Due, in part, to
sequestration required by the Budget Control Act of 2011, discretionary spending dropped
further in 2013 to 7.2 percent of GDP and to 6.8 percent of GDP in 2014.
While total discretionary spending as a percent of GDP has generally followed a
downward path over most of the past 25 years, its major componentsdefense and
nondefensehave contrasting histories. As shown in Table 8.4, discretionary defense
spending was at 9.0 percent of GDP in 1962. By 1965, spending in this category had declined
to 7.2 percent of GDP. It then increased as a result of the Vietnam War, peaking at 9.1
percent of GDP in 1968, returning to the 1965 level by 1971. This decline continued
throughout the 1970s, hitting a low point in that decade of 4.5 percent of GDP in 1979.
The defense buildup starting in the early 1980s boosted its percentage of GDP back to
6.0 percent by 1986, after which it again began a gradual decline throughout the rest of that
decade and the next. By 1999, defense discretionary spending had fallen to 2.9 percent of
GDP, reflecting the end of the Cold War and the above-average economic growth during
much of the 1990s. Spending in response to the September 11, 2001, attacks, followed by the
wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, reversed this decline, with defense discretionary spending
growing from 2.9 percent of GDP in 2001 to 3.8 percent in 2005, 4.2 percent in 2008, and
(due in part to the drop in GDP) peaking at 4.7 percent in 2010, before declining to 4.2
percent in 2012 and, due, in part, to the Joint Committee Enforcement sequestration
required under the Budget Control Act of 2011, 3.8 percent in 2013 and 3.5 percent in 2014.
Nondefense discretionary spending as a percent of GDP has followed a much different
path. In 1962, it stood at 3.3 percent of GDP. During the next few years it quickly increased,
reaching 4.1 percent of GDP by 1967. It dropped slightly after that year, but still averaged
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about 3.8 percent of GDP until 1975, when it grew to 4.4 percent of GDP due, in part, to the
recession and partly due to growth in spending on energy, the environment, and housing and
other income support programs. Much of this growth was in the form of Federal grants to
State and local governments. Additional spending arose from the creation of various antirecession grants at the end of the decade. Nondefense discretionary outlays peaked as a
percent of GDP during the recession in 1980 at 5.1 percent. This category declined sharply
as a percent of GDP starting in 1982, falling to 3.8 percent in 1984 and 1985 and averaging
3.4 percent during 19871991. Spending for these programs then increased slightly as a
percent of GDP, reaching 3.6 percent during 1992-1995, before receding in subsequent years
to a low of 3.1 percent during 1998-2000. Growth in recent years has increased, with
nondefense discretionary spending reaching 3.7 percent of GDP during the 2003-2006
period, then dropping slightly to 3.4 percent in 2007. The effects of the deepening recession
and the anti-recession stimulus spending enacted in the spring of 2009 combined to increase
the nondefense discretionary spending to 4.4 percent of GDP in 2010, before dropping to 4.2
percent in 2011 and 3.8 percent in 2012 and further (also due, in part, to sequestration) to
3.5 percent in 2013 and 3.4 percent in 2014.
Programmatic mandatory spending (which excludes net interest and undistributed
offsetting receipts) accounts for the largest part of the growth in total Federal spending as a
percent of GDP since the 1950s. Major programs in this category include Social Security,
Medicare, unemployment insurance, deposit insurance, and means-tested entitlements
(Medicaid, SNAP (formerly food stamps), Supplemental Security Income, the refundable
portions of a variety of tax credits, including the Earned Income and Child Tax Credits, and
other programs subject to an income or asset test). Prior to the start of Medicare and
Medicaid in 1966, this category averaged 5.5 percent of GDP between 1962 and 1965 (less
than half the size of total discretionary spending), with Social Security accounting for nearly
half. Within a decade, this category was comparable in size to total discretionary spending,
nearly doubling as a percent of GDP to 10.3 percent by 1976.
Although part of this growth represented the impact of the 197576 recession on
GDP levels and on outlays for unemployment compensation (unemployment compensation
accounted for 1.1 percent of GDP in 1976) and other programs sensitive to unemployment,
the largest part of the increase was due to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. These
three programs totaled 3.3 percent of GDP in 1968 and grew rapidly to 5.4 percent of GDP
by 1976. By 1985, they reached 6.4 percent of GDP. While Social Security stabilized as a
percent of GDP during 19841998, ranging from 4.1 percent to 4.5 percent, the growth in
other programmatic mandatory spending continued to outpace the growth in GDP since the
mid-1970s (apart from recession recovery periods) due largely to Medicare and Medicaid.
These two programs, which were 1.2 percent of GDP in 1975, have more than doubled as a
percent of GDP since then, reaching 3.3 percent in the mid-1990s, and dropping slightly to
3.1 percent in 1999 and 2000 before beginning a steady climb during the past decade,
growing to 3.6 percent in 2003 and 2004 and to 4.0 percent by 2008. The effects of the
ongoing recession helped to increase the GDP share for these two programs to 4.7 percent in
2009 and 4.9 percent in 2010 and 2011, before dropping to 4.5 percent in 2012 and then
rising to 4.6 percent in 2013 and 4.7 percent in 2014. Spending for means-tested
entitlements other than Medicaid was at 1.3 percent of GDP from 2003 through 2006, nearly
the same as it had been thirty years before (1.2 percent), in 1976. The impact of the recent
recession helped increase this percentage beginning in 2008, when it grew to 1.5 percent.
12
The persistence of the recession increased it to 1.7 percent in 2009 and then to 2.0 percent in
2010 and 2011, before it fell back to 1.8 percent in 2012, 1.8 percent in 2013, and 1.7 percent
in 2014.
By way of contrast, programmatic mandatory spending other than Social Security,
Medicare, means-tested entitlements (which includes Medicaid), unemployment compensation, and deposit insurance has shrunk nearly in half as a percent of GDP, falling from 3.1
percent in 1975 to no more than 1.7 during the 1989-2008 period. (Major programs in this
grouping include Federal military and civilian employee and railroad retirement, farm price
supports and veterans compensation and readjustment benefits.) However, the large
assistance provided to the financial sector in response to the financial crisis in the fall of
2008, along with the drop in GDP associated with the severe recession, caused this
percentage to more than double in 2009, when it reached 3.1 percent of GDP, before
dropping back to 1.1 percent of GDP in 2010. It subsequently increased to 1.4 percent in
2011, 1.7 percent in 2012, and 2.0 percent in 2013, before dropping back to 1.5 percent in
2014. This, along with the effects of the deepening recession, the anti-recession spending
enacted in the spring of 2009, and the spending from automatic stabilizers, such as
unemployment assistance and other cyclically sensitive mandatory programs, combined to
increase outlays for the entire programmatic mandatory category to 15.2 percent of GDP in
2009. This category then dropped back to 13.5 percent in 2010, increased slightly to 13.7
percent of GDP in 2011, and again fell slightly to 13.3 percent of GDP in 2012 and further to
12.8 percent in 2013. By way of comparison, total discretionary spending in 2012, 2013, and
2014 was 8.0 percent, 7.2 percent, and 6.8 percent of GDP, respectively.
Additional perspectives on spending trends available in this document include
spending by agency, by function and subfunction, and by composition of outlays categories,
which include payments for individuals and grants to State and local governments.
13
SECTION NOTES
Notes on Section 1 (Overview of Federal Government Finances)
This section provides an overall perspective on total receipts, outlays (spending), and
surpluses or deficits. Off-budget transactions, which consist of the Social Security trust
funds and the Postal Service fund, and on-budget transactions, which equal the total minus
the off-budget transactions, are shown separately. Tables 1.1 and 1.2 have similar
structures; 1.1 shows the data in millions of dollars, while 1.2 shows the same data as
percentages of the gross domestic product (GDP). For all the tables using GDP, fiscal year
GDP is used to calculate percentages of GDP. The fiscal year GDP data are shown in Table
1.2. Additionally, Table 1.1 shows budget totals annually back to 1901 and for multi-year
periods back to 1789.
Table 1.3 shows total Federal receipts, outlays, and surpluses or deficits in current
and constant (Fiscal Year 2009) dollars, and as percentages of GDP. Section 6 provides a
disaggregation of the constant dollar outlays.
Table 1.4 shows receipts, outlays, and surpluses or deficits for the consolidated
budget by fund group. The budget is composed of two principal fund groupsFederal funds
and trust funds. Normally, whenever data are shown by fund group, any payments from
programs in one fund group to accounts of the other are shown as outlays of the paying fund
and receipts of the collecting fund. When the two fund groups are aggregated to arrive at
budget totals these interfund transactions are deducted from both receipts and outlays in
order to arrive at transactions with the public. Table 1.4 displays receipts and outlays on a
gross basis. That is, in contrast to normal budget practice, collections of interfund payments
are included in the receipts totals rather than as offsets to outlays. These interfund
collections are grossed-up to more closely approximate cash income and outgo of the fund
groups.
14
15
are reflected retroactively so the data show the same stream of transactions in the same
location for all years). However, BA is heterogeneous in nature, varying in type from one
program to another. As a result, it is not strictly additiveeither across programs or
agencies for a year or, in many cases, for an agency or program across a series of yearsin
the same sense that budget receipts and budget outlays are additive. The following are
examples of different kinds of BA and the manner in which BA results in outlays:
BA and outlays for each year may be exactly the same (e.g., interest on the public
debt).
For each year, the Congress may appropriate a large quantity of BA that will be
spent over a subsequent period of years (e.g., many defense procurement contracts
and major construction programs).
Some BA (e.g., the salaries and expenses of an operating agency) is made available
only for a year and any portion not obligated during that year lapses (i.e., it ceases to
be available to be obligated).
Revolving funds may operate spending programs indefinitely with no new infusion of
BA, other than the authority to spend offsetting collections.
BA may be enacted with the expectation it is unlikely ever to be used (e.g., standby
borrowing authority).
All income to a fund (e.g., certain revolving, special, and trust funds not subject to
limitation or benefit formula) may be permanently appropriated as BA; as long as the
fund has adequate resources, there is no further relationship between the BA and
outlays.
Although major changes in the way BA is measured for credit programs (beginning in
1992) result from the Federal Credit Reform Act, these tables could not be
reconstructed to show revised BA figures for 1991 and prior years on the new basis.
(This distinction between pre-1992 credit transactions and later ones also exists for
outlays, which otherwise do not suffer from differences in type.)
In its earliest years, the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) was conducted as a revolving
fund, making direct loans to the public or purchasing loan assets from other funds or
accounts. Each new loan by the FFB required new BA. In many cases, if the same
loan were made by the account being serviced by the FFB, the loan could be financed
from offsetting collections and no new BA would be recorded. Under terms of the 1985
legislation moving the FFB on-budget, the FFB ceased to make direct loans to the
public. Instead, it makes loans to the accounts it services, and these accounts, in
16
turn, make the loans to the public. Such loans could be made from new BA or other
obligational authority available to the parent account. These tables have not been
reconstructed to shift BA previously scored in the FFB to the parent accounts,
because there is no technical way to reconfigure the data.
Despite these qualifications, there is a desire for historical data on BA, and this section
has been developed to meet that desire.
Payments for individuals: These are Federal Government spending programs designed to transfer income (in cash or in kind) to individuals or families. To the extent
feasible, this category does not include reimbursements for current services rendered
to the Government (e.g., salaries and interest). The payments may be in the form of
cash paid directly to individuals or they may take the form of the provision of services
or the payment of bills for activities largely financed from personal income. They
include outlays for the provision of medical care (in veterans hospitals, for example)
and for the payment of medical bills (e.g., Medicare). They also include subsidies to
reduce the cost of housing below market rates and food and nutrition assistance (such
as SNAP formerly food stamps). The data base, while not precise, provides a
reasonable perspective of the size and composition of income support transfers within
any particular year and trends over time. Section 11 disaggregates the components of
this category. The data in Section 6 show a significant amount of payments for
individuals takes the form of grants to State and local governments to finance
benefits for the ultimate recipients. These grants include Medicaid, some food and
nutrition assistance, and a significant portion of the housing assistance payments.
Sections 11 and 12 provide a more detailed disaggregation of this spending.
All other grants to State and local governments: This category consists of the Federal
nondefense grants to State and local governments other than grants defined as
payments for individuals. Section 12 disaggregates this spending.
Net interest: Most spending for net interest is paid to the public as interest on the
Federal debt. As shown in Table 3.2, net interest includes, as an offset, significant
amounts of interest income. Spending in this category is equal to net outlays in the
budget function of the same name.
All other: This category consists of all remaining Federal spending and offsetting
receipts except for those included in the functional category undistributed offsetting
receipts. It includes most Federal loan activities and most Federal spending for foreign assistance, farm price supports, medical and other scientific research, and, in
general, Federal direct program operations.
Undistributed offsetting receipts: These are offsetting receipts that are not offset
against any specific agency or programmatic function. They are classified as function
17
950 in the functional tables. Additional details on their composition can be found at
the end of Table 3.2.
Table 6.1 shows these outlays in current and constant dollars, the percentage distribution of current dollar outlays, and the current dollar outlays as percentages of GDP. The
term constant dollars means the amounts of money that would have had to be spent in
each year if, on average, the unit cost of everything purchased within that category each
year (including purchases financed by income transfers, interest, etc.) were the same as in
the base year (Fiscal Year 2009). The adjustments to constant dollars are made by applying
a series of chain-weighted price indexes to the current dollar data base. The composite total
outlays deflator is used to deflate current dollar receipts to produce the constant dollar
receipts in Table 1.3. The separate composite deflators used for the various outlay categories
are shown in Table 10.1.
18
Government accountswere revised back to 1956 in the 1990 Budget. The total revision was
relatively smalla change of less than one percent of the recorded value of the debt but
the revised basis is more consistent with the quantification of interest outlays, and provides
a more meaningful measure of Federal debt. The change converted most debt held by the
public from the par value to the sales price plus amortized discount.
Most debt held by Government accounts is issued at par, and securities issued at a
premium or discount were formerly recorded at par. That portion of debt held by
Government accounts that was not revised back to 1956 in the 1990 Budget was first
recorded with an adjustment for any initial discount starting with debt issued in 1989. Zerocoupon bonds, however, are recorded at estimated market or redemption price.
Table 7.2 shows the end-of-year amounts of Federal debt subject to the general
statutory limitation. It is recorded at par value (except for savings bonds) through 1988, but
by law the basis was changed, in part, to accrual value for later years. Before World War I,
each debt issue by the Government required specific authorization by the Congress. Starting
in 1917, the nature of this limitation was modified in several steps until it developed into a
limit on the total amount of Federal debt outstanding. The Treasury is free to borrow
whatever amounts are needed up to the debt limit, which is changed from time to time to
meet new requirements. Table 7.3 shows the ceiling at each point in time since 1940. It
provides the specific legal citation, a short description of the change, and the amount of the
limit specified by each Act. Most, but not all, of gross Federal debt is subject to the statutory
limit.
19
that are phased out at certain income (generally, Adjusted Gross Income) levels. The
programs currently categorized as Means-Tested Entitlements are:
Table 8.5 provides additional detail by function or subfunction for mandatory and
related programs. Table 8.6 shows the same data in constant dollars.
Table 8.7 provides additional detail by function and subfunction on outlays for
discretionary programs. Table 8.8 provides the same data in constant dollars.
20
Tables in this section provide a broad perspective on Federal Government outlays for
public physical capital, the conduct of research and development (R&D), and education and
training. These data measure new Federal spending for major public physical assets, but
they exclude major commodity inventories. In some cases it was necessary to use
supplementary data sources to estimate missing data in order to develop a consistent
historical data series. The data for the conduct of research and development exclude outlays
for construction and major equipment because such spending is included in outlays for
physical capital.
Table 9.1 shows total investment outlays for major public physical capital, R&D, and
education and training in current and constant (FY 2009) dollars, and shows the percentage
distribution of outlays and outlays as a percentage of GDP. Table 9.2 focuses on direct
Federal outlays and grants for major public physical capital investment in current and
constant (FY 2009) dollars, disaggregating direct Federal outlays into national defense and
nondefense capital investment. Table 9.3 retains the same structure as 9.2, but shows direct
Federal outlay totals for physical capital investment as percentages of total outlays and as
percentages of GDP. Table 9.4 disaggregates national defense direct outlays, while Table 9.5
disaggregates nondefense outlays for major public physical capital investment. Table 9.6
shows the composition of grant outlays for major public physical capital investment.
Table 9.7 provides an overall perspective on Federal Government outlays for the
conduct of R&D. It shows total R&D spending and the split between national defense and
nondefense spending in four forms: in current dollars, in constant dollars, as percentages of
total outlays, and as percentages of GDP. Table 9.8 shows outlays in current dollars by
major function and program.
Table 9.9 shows outlays for the conduct of education and training in current dollars
for direct Federal programs and for grants to State and local governments. Total outlays for
the conduct of education and training as a percentage of Federal outlays and in constant (FY
2009) dollars are also shown. As with the series on physical capital, several budget data
sources have been used to develop a consistent data series extending back to 1962. A
discontinuity occurs between 1991 and 1992 and affects primarily direct Federal higher
education outlays. For 1991 and earlier, these data include net loan outlays. Beginning in
1992, pursuant to changes in the treatment of loans as specified in the Federal Credit
Reform Act of 1990, this series includes outlays for loan repayments and defaults for loans
originated in 1991 and earlier, but credit subsidy outlays for loans originated in 1992 and
later years.
Table 9.9 also excludes education and training outlays for physical capital (which are
included in Table 9.7) and education and training outlays for the conduct of research and
development (which are in Table 9.8). Also excluded are education and training programs for
Federal civilian and military personnel.
21
outlays to constant dollars. The constant dollar deflators are based on chain-weighted (FY
2009 chained-dollars) price indexes derived from the National Income and Product Accounts
data.
22
identifies the total grants by function but also shows the split between Federal funds and
trust funds.
Table 12.3 provides data on grants at the account or program level, with an identification of the function, agency, and fund group of the payment.
checks issued in prior years and charged to the trust funds but never cashed, (c) required
that the Treasury make payments to OASI, DI, and HI on the first day of the month for the
estimated amounts of their social insurance taxes to be collected over the course of each
month (thereby increasing each affected trust funds balances at the beginning of the
month), and (d) subjected some Social Security benefits to Federal income or other taxes and
provided for payments by Federal funds to Social Security of amounts equal to these
additional taxes. Additionally, in 1983 the OASI fund borrowed from the DI and HI funds
(the tables show the amounts of such borrowing and repayments of borrowing). The large
intragovernmental collections by OASI, DI, and HI in 1983 are a result of the transactions
described under (a) and (b) above. Also starting in 1983, OASI began paying interest to DI
and HI to reimburse them for the balances OASI borrowed from them; OASI, DI, and HI
paid interest to Treasury to compensate it for the balances transferred to these funds on the
first day of each month. The legal requirement for Treasury to make payments on the first
day of the month, and the associated interest payment, ended in 1985 for HI and in 1991 for
OASI and DI.
24
hours applicable to each fiscal year. A typical FTE workyear is equal to 2,087 hours. For
example, one full-time employee counts as one FTE, and two employees who work half-time
count as one FTE. FTE data have been collected for Executive Branch agencies since 1981.
The tables included in this section illustrate the size of the Executive Branch Civilian
work force utilizing the FTE measures. Table 16.1 shows FTEs for the Executive Branch and
selected agencies for 1981 and subsequent years; Table 16.2 shows these FTEs as a
percentage of total Executive Branch FTEs.
Tables showing end-strength employment are no longer included in the Historical Tables.
However, these data are now available from the Office of Personnel Managements web site
at: http://www.opm.gov/feddata/HistoricalTables/index.asp.
25