SPC 0002
SPC 0002
SPC 0002
Data may be collected by direct observation or indirectly through written or verba) questions. The latter technique is used extensively by market research personnel and public opinion pollsters. Data that are collected for quality control purposes are obtained by direct observation and are classified as either variables or attributes. Variables are those quality charact-:ristics that are measurable, such as a weight measured in grams. Attributes, on the other hand, are those quality characteristics that are c,Iassified as either conforming or not conforming to specifications, such as a "go-no go" gauge. A histogram is sufficient for many quality control problems. However, with a broad range of problems a graphical technique is either undesirable or needs the additional in. formation provided by analytical techniques. Analytical methods of describing a collec_ tion of data have the advantage of occupying less space than a graph. They also have the advantage of allO\ving for comparisons between collections of dala. They also allow for additional calculations and inferences. There are two principal analytical methods of describing a collection of data: measures of central tendency and measures of dispersion.
A measure of central tendency of a distribution is a numerical value that describes the central position of th~ data or how the data tend to build up in the center. There are three measures in common use in quality: (I) th_ average, (2) the median, and (3) the mode. The average is the sum of the observations divided by the number of observations. It is the most common measure of central tendency and is represented by the equation2
II
LX
X=~
11
where
X = average and is read as "X bar" 11 = number of observed values Xi = observed value L= sum of
Unless otherwise noted, X stands for the average of observed values, Xx. The same equation is used to find X or
Xx -
R -
p - average of proportions,
Another measure of central tendency is the median, Md, which is defined as th.e value that divides a series of ordered observations so that the number of items above It
For data grouped into cells. the equation uses 'fjX. where!=
STATISTICAL
PROCESS CONTROL
is equal to the number below it. Two situations are possible-when the number in the series is odd and when the number in the series is even. When the number in the series is odd, the median is the midpoint of the values, provided the data are ordered. Thus. the ordered set of numbers 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 8, and 10 has a median of 6. When the number in the series is even, the median is the average of the two middle numbers. Thus, the ordered set of numbers 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, and 8 has a median that is the average of 5 and 6, which is (5 + 6)/2 = 5.5. The mode, Mo, of a set of numbers is the value that occurs with the greatest frequency. It is possible for the mode to be nonexistent in a series of numbers or to have more than one value. To illustrate, the series of numbers 3, 3, 4, 5, 5, 5, and 7 has a mode of 5; the series of numbers 22, 23, 25, 30, 32, and 36 does not have a mode; and the series of numbers 105, 105, 105, 107, 108, 109, 109, 109, 110, and 112 has two modes, 105 and 109. A series of numbers is referred to as unimodal if it has one mode, bimodal if it has two modes, and multimodal if there are more than two modes. When data are grouped into a frequency distribution, the midpoint of the cell with the highest frequency is the mode, because this point represents the highest point (greatest frequency) of the histogram. The average is the most commonly-used measure of central tendency. It is used when the distribution is symmetrical or not appreciably skewed to the right or left; when additional statistics, such as measures of dispersion, control charts, and so on, are to be computed based on thf' average; and when a stable value is needed for inductive statistics. The median becomes an effective measure of the central tendency when the distribution is positively (to the right) or negatively (to the left) skewed. The median is used when an exact midpoint of a distribution is desired. When a distribution has extreme values, the average will be adversely affected, whereas the median will remain unchanged. Thus, in a series of numbers such as 12, 13,14,15,16, the median and average are identical and are equal to 14. However, if the first value is changed to a 2, the median remains at 14, but the average becomes 12. A control chart based on the median is user-friendly and excellent for monitoring quality. The mode is used when a quick and approximate measure of the central tendency is desired. Thus, the mode of a histogram is easily found by a visual examination. In addition, the mode is used to describe the most typical value of a distribution, such as the modal age of a particu!ar group .. Measures of Dispersion A second tool of statistics is composed of the measures of dispersion, which describe how the data are spread out or scattered on each side of the central value. Measures of dispersion and measures of central tendency are both needed to describe a collection of data. To illustrate. the employees of the plating and the assembly departments of a factory have identical average weekly wages of $325.36; however, the plating department has a high of $330.72 and a low of $319.43,whereas the assembly department has a high of $380.79 and a low of $273.54. The data for the assembly department are spread out. or dispersed, farther from the average than are those of the plating department.
486
CHAPTER 18
One of the measures of dispersion is the range, which for a series of numbers is the difference between the largest and smallest values of observations. Symbolically, it is represented by the equation
where
Xh
The other measure of the dispersion used in quality is the standard deviation. It is a numerical value in the units of the observed values that measures the spreading tendency of the data. A large standard deviation shows greater variability of the data than does a small standard deviation. In symbolic terms, it is represented by the equation
S= where
S
n-l
Xi = observed value
X = average n = number of observed values Unless otherwise noted, s stands for sx, the sample standard deviation of observed values. The same equation is used to find
Sx = sample standard deviation of averages
sp Ss
= sample standard deviation of proportions = sample standard deviation of standard deviations, etc.
The standard deviation is a reference value that measures the dispersion in the data. It is best viewed as an index that is defined by the formula. The smaller the value of the standard deviation, the better the quality, because the distribution is more closely compacted around the central value. The standard deviation also helps to define populations, as discussed in the next section. In quality control the range is a very common measure of the dispersion. It is used in one of the principal control charts. The primary advantage of the range is in providing.a knowledge of the total spread of the data. It is also valuable when the amouht of data IS too small or too scattered to justify the calculation of a more precise measure of dispersion. As the number of observations increases, the accuracy of the range decreases, because it becomes easier for extremely high or low readings to occur. It is suggested t~al the use of the range be limited to a maximum of ten observations. The standard deVIation is used when amore precise measure is desired. The average and standard deviation are easily calculated with a hand calculator.
~TATISTICAL PROCESSCONTROL
487
tXAMPLE
PROBLEM
Determine the average, median, mode, range, and standard deviation for the height of
seven people. Data are 1.83, 1.91. 1.78, 1.80, 1.>\3, 1.85, 1.87 meters.
= ,/---~(X;n-l = 0.04
Xf
-----------~(1.91 -1.84)2
Population
and Sample
At this point, it is desirable to examine the concept of a population and a sample. In order to construct a frequency distribution of the weight of steel shafts; a small portion, or ~ampIe, is selected to represent all the steel shafts. The population is the whole collection of steel shafts. When averages, standard deviations, and other measures are computed from samples, they are referred to as statistics. Because the composition of samples will fluctuate, the computed statistics will be larger or smaller than their true population values, or parameters. Parameters are considered to be fixed reference (standard) values or the best estimate of these values available at a particular time. The population may have a finite number of items, such as a day's production of steel shafts. It may be infinite or almost infinite, such as the number of rivets in a year's production of jet airplanes. The population may be defined differently, depending on the particular situation. Thus, a study of a product could involve the population of an hour's production, a week's production, 5,000 pieces, and so on. Because it is rarely possible to measure all of the population, a sample is selected. Sampling is necessary when it may be impossible to measure the entire population; when the expense to observe all the data is prohibitive; when the required inspection destroys the product; or when a test of the entire population may be too dangerous, as would be the case with a new medical drug: Actually, a,nanalysis of the entire population may not be as accurate as sampling. It has been shown that 100% manual inspection of low percent nonconforming product is not as accurate as sampling. This is probably due to the fact that boredom and fatigue cause inspectors to prejudge each inspected item as being acceptable. When designating a population, the corresponding Greek letter is used. Thus, the sample average has the symbol X' and the population mean the symbol 11 (mu). Note that the word average changes to mean when used for the population. The symbol X'o is the ~tandard_or reference value. Mathematical concepts are based on 11, which is the true value-Xo represents a practical equivalent in order to use the concepts. The sample
488
------------------------------------------------------TABLE 18-3
CHAPTER
18
standard deviation has the symbol s, and the population standard deviation the symbol o (sigma). The symbol So is the standard or reference value and has the same relationship to 0 th2t X 0 has to J.l. The true population value may never be known; therefore, the symbol ,1 and & are sometimes used to indicate "estimate of." A comparison of sample and population is given in Table 18-3. A sample frequency distribution is represented by a histogram, whereas a population frequency distribution is represented by a smooth curve. To some extent, the sample represents the real world and the population represents the mathematical world. The equations and concepts are based on the population. The primary objective in selecting a sample is to learn something about the population that will aid in making some type of decision. The sample selected must be of such a nature that it tends to resemble or represent the population. How successfully the sample represents the population is a function of the size of the sample, chance, the sampling method, and whether or not the conditions change. Normal Curve Although there are as many different populations as there are conditions, they can be descrihed by a few general types. One type of population that is quite common is called the normal curve, or Gaussian distribution. The normal curve is a symmetrical, unimodal, bel1-shaped distribution with the mean. median, and mode having the same value. A curve of the normal population for the resistance in ohms of an electrical device with population mean, J.l, of 90 Q and population standard deviation, 0, of 2 Q is shown in Figure 18-10. The interval between dotted lines is equal to one standard deviation, 0. Much of the variation in nature and in industry fol1ows the frequency distribution of the normal curves. Thus. the variations in the weights of elephants, the speeds of an telopes, and the heights of human beings wil1 follow a normal curve. Also, the variations found in industry, such as the weights of gray 'iron castings, the lives of 60-watt light bulbs, and the dimensions of steel piston rings, will be expected to follow the normal curve. When considering the heights of human beings, we can expect a small percent
STATISTICAL
PROCESS CONTROL
489
~ =90 cr = 2.0
.-
00
84
86
88
90
92
94
96 +
00 ----.
~ = 14
~ = 20
~ = 29
Figure 18-11 Normal Curves with Different Means but Identical Standard Deviations
age of them to be extremely tall and a small percentage to be extremely short, with the majority of human heights clustering about the average value. The normal curve is such a good description of the variations that occur to most quality characteristics in industry that it is the basis for many quality control techniques. There is a definite relationship among the mean, the standard deviation, and the normal curve. Figure 18-11 shows three normal curves with different mean values; note that the only change is in the location. Figure 18-12 shows three nonnal curves with the same mean but different standard deviations. The figure illustrates the principle that the larger the standard deviation, the flatter the curve (data are widely dispersed), and the smaller the standard deviation, the more peaked the curve (data are nan-owly dispersed). If the standard deviation is zero, all values are identical to the mean and there is no curve. The normal distribution is fully defined by the population mean and population standard deviation. Also, as seen by Figures 18-11 and 18-12, these two parameters are independent. In other words, a change in one parameter has no effect on the other. A relationship exists between the standard deviation and the area under the normal curve, <:is shown in Figure 18-13. The figure shows that in a normal distribution, 68.26% of the items la, 95.46% of the items are included beare included between the limits of + la and 2a, and 99.73% of the items are included between + 3a tween the limits + 2cr and and 3a. One hundred percent of the items are included between the limits +00 and -00. These percentages hold true regardless of the shape of the normal curve. The factthat 99 :73% of the items are included between 3cr is the basis for variable control charts.
/..I /..I /..I /..I /..I /..I -
o.
CHAPTER 18
x
14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35
11
lure 18-12 Normal Curves with Different Standard Deviations but Identical Means
-30-
-20-
-10-
+10-
+20-
+3(1
Figure 18-13 Percent of Values Included Between Certain Values of the Standard Deviation
One of the axioms, or truisms, of production is that no two objects are ever made exactly alike. In fact, the variation concept is a law of nature because no two natural items in any category are the same. The variation may be quite large and easily noticeable, such as the beight of human beings, or the variation may be very small, such as the weights of fibeHipped pens or the shapes of snowflakes. When variations are very small, it may appear that items are identical; however, precision instruments will show differences. If two items appear to have the same measurement, it is due to the limits of our measuring
STATISTICAL
PROCESS CONTROL
491
instruments. As measuring instruments have become more refined, variation has continued to exist; only the increment of variation has changed. The ability to measure variation is necessary before it can be controlled. There are three categories of variations in piece part production: 1. Within-piece variation is illustrated by the surface roughness of a piece, wherein one portion of the surface is rougher than another portion or the width of one end of a keyway varies from the other end. 2. Piece-to-piece variation occurs among pieces produced at the same time. Thus, the light intensity of four consecutive light bulbs produced from a machine will be different. 3. Time-to-time variation is illustrated by the difference in product produced at different times of the day. Thus, product produced in the early morning is different from that produced later in the day, or as a cutting tool wears, the cutting characteristics change. Categories of variation for other types of processes such as a continuous and batch are not exactly the same; however, the concept is similar. Variation is present in every process due to a combination of the equipment, materials, environment, and operator. The first source of variation is the equipment. This source includes tool wear, machine vibration, workholding-device positioning, and hydraulk and electrical fluctuations. When all these variations are put together, there is a certain capability or precision within which the equipment operates. Even supposedly identical machines will have different capabilities. This fact becomes a very important consideration when scheduling the manufacture of critical parts. The second source of variation is the material. Because variation occurs in the finished product, it must also occur in the raw material (which was someone else's finished product). Such quality characteristics as tensile strength, ductility, thickness, porosity, and moisture content can be expected to contribute to the overall variation in the final product. A third source of variation is the environment. Temperature, light, radiation, particle size, pressure, and humidity all can contribute to variation in the product. In order to control environmental variations, products are sometimes manufactured in white rooms. Experiments are conducted in outer space to learn more about the effect of the environment on product variation. A fourth source is the operator. This source of variation includes the method by which the operator performs the operation. The operator's physical and emotional well-being also contribute to the variation. A cut finger, a twisted ankle, a personal problem, or a headache can make an operator's quality performance vary. An operator's lack of understanding of equipment and material variations due to lack of training may lead to frequent machine adjustments, thereby compounding the variability. As our equipment has become more automated, the operator's effect on variation has lessened. The preceding four sources account for the true variation. There is also a reported variation, which is due to the inspection activity. Faulty inspection equipment, the incorrect application of a quality standard, or too heavy a pressure on a micrometer can be
CHAPTER 18
--
the cause of the incorrect reporting of variation. In general, variation due to inspection should be one-tenth of the four other sources of variations. Note that three of these sources are present in the inspection activity-an inspector or appraiser, inspection equipment, and the environment. Run Chart A run chart, which is shown in Figure 18-14, is a very simple technique for analyzing the process in the development stage or. for that matter, when other charting techniques are not applicable. The important point is to draw a picture of the process and let it "talk" to you. A picture is worth a thousand words. provided someone is listening. Plotting the data points is a very effective w;:.yof finding out about the process. This activity should be done as the first step in data analysis. Without a run chart, other data analysis toolssuch as the average, sample standard deviation, and histogram--can lead to erroneous conclusions. The particular run chart shown in Figure 18-14 is referred to as an X chart and is used to record the variation in the average value of samples. Other charts, such as the R chart (range) or p chart (proportion) would have also served for explanation purposes. The horizontal axis is labeled "Subgroup Number," which identifies a particular sample consisting of a fixed number of observations. These subgroups are plotted by order of production, with the first one inspected being 1 and the last one on this chart being 25. The vertical axis of the graph is the variable, which in this particular case is weight measured in kilograms. Each small solid Jiamond represents the average value within a subgroup. Thus, subgroup number 5 consists of. say, four observations, 3.46, 3.49, 3.45, and 3.44, and their II I
...
:Il
"
I 3.46 I I 3,42 3.52 3.38 3.4 3.36 3.34 3.48 3.5 3.44 3.3 3.32
" t
25 20 10 15
STATISTICAL
PROCESS CONTROL
49.1
average is 3.46 kg. This value is the one posted on the chart for subgroup number 5. Averages are used on control charts rather than individual observations because average values will indicate a change in variation much faster. Also, with two or more observations in a sample, a measure of the dispersion can be obfained for a particular subgroup. The solid line in the center of the chart can have three different interpretations, depending on the available data. First, it can be the average of the plotted points, which in the case of an X chart is the average of the averages or "X-double bar." Second, it can be a standard or reference value, Xo, based on representative prior data, an economic value based on production costs or service needs, or an aimed-at value based on specifications. Third, it can be the population mean, f1, if that value is known. Control Chart Example One danger of using a run chart is its tendency to show every variation in data as being important. In order to indicate when observed variations in quality are greater than could be left to chance, the control chart method of analysis and presentation of data is used. The control chart method for variables is a means of visualizing the variations that occur in the central tendency and dispersion of a set of observations. It is a graphical record of the quality of a particular characteristic. It shows whether or not the process is in a stable state by adding statistically determined control limits to the run chart. Figure 18-15, is the run chart of Figure 18-14 with the control limits added. They are the two dashed outer lines and are called the upper and lower control limits. These limits are established to assist in judging the significance of the variation in the quality of the product. Control limits are frequently confused with specification limits, which are the permissible limits of a quality characteristic of each individual unit of a product. However, control limits are used to evaluate the variations in quality from subgroup to
=' 3.44 ... 3.52 0) </J ... 3.42 0b/j 3.46 ;> 3.38 '" 0 =' 3.4 b/j .0 3.36 C 0) 3.34 3.32 3.3 Oil 3.48 3.5
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -,. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DeLX'
-:::LX'
10
15
20
25
Subgroup number
r:HAPTER 18
--
subgroup. Therefore, for the X chart, the control limits are a function of the subgrou averages. A frequency distribution of the subgroup averages can be determined with it~ corresponding ayerage and standard deviation. The control limits are then established at 30 from the central line. Recall, from the discussion of the nonnal curve, that the number of items between + 30 and - 30 equals 99.73%. Therefore, it is expected that more than 997 times out of 1,000. the subgroup values will fall between the upper and lower limits. When this situation OCcurs,the process is considered to be in control. When a subgroup value falls outside the limits the process is considered to be out of control, and an assignable cause for the variatio~ is present. Subgroup number lOin Figure 18-15 is beyond the upper control limit; therefore, there has been a change in the stable nature of the process, causing the out -of-control point. As long as the sources of variation fluctuate in a natural or expected manner, a stable pattern of many chance causes (random causes) of variation develops. Chance causes of variation are inevitable. Because they are numerous and individually of relatively small importance, they are difficult to detect or identify. Those causes of variation that are large in magnitude, and therefore readily identified, are classified as assignable causes.3 When only chance causes are present in a process, the process is considered to be in a state of statistical control. It is stable and predictable. However, when an assignable cause of variation is also pr~sent, the variation will be excessive, and the process is classified as out of control or beyond the expected natural variation of the process. Unnatural variation is the result of assignable causes. Usually, but not always, it requires corrective action by people close to the process, such as operators, technicians, clerks, maintenance workers, and first-line supervisors. Natural variation is the result of chance causes-it requires management intervention to achieve quality improvement. In this regard, between 80% and 85% of the quality problems are due to management or the system and 15% to 20% are due to operations. Operating personnel are giving a quality performance as long as the plotted points are within the control limits. If this performance is not satisfactory, the solution is the responsibility of the system rather than of the operating personnel.
In practice, control charts are posted at individual machines or work centers to control a particular quality characteristic. Usually, an X chart for the central tendency and an R chart for the dispersion are used together. An example of this dual charting is illustrated in Figure 18-16, which shows a method of charting and reporting inspection results fOf rubber durometer. At work center number 365- 2 at 8:30 A.M .. the operator selects four items for test~g and records the observations of 55.52.51, and 53 in the rows marked Xj, X2, X3, and 4'
3 Dr.
w. Edwards Deming uses the words common and special for "chance" and "assignable."
v",,~eIBF
Date
WdZ
X Chart
55 DCLi
11
0)
50
:l "
45
LCLi
40 5
10
15
20
25
~
...
" " :l
0)
R Chart 2 4
0 6 .
81___
-----------------------------------
UCLR
10
15
20
25
CHAPTER 18
respectively. A subgroup average value of 52.8 is obtained by summing the observatio and dividing by 4, and the range value of 4 is obtained by subtracting the low value, 51n from the high value, 55. The operator places a small solid circle at 52.8 on the X ch~ and a small solid circle at 4 on the R chart and then proceeds with his other duties. The frequency with which the operator inspects a product at a particular machine 0 work center is determined by the quality of the product. When the process is in contro~ and no difficulties are being encountered, fewer inspections may be required. Conversely, when the process is out of control or during start-up, more inspections may be needed. The inspection frequency at a machine or work center can also be determined by the amount of time that must be spent on noninspection activities. In the example problem, the inspection frequency appears to be every 60 or 65 minutes. At 9:30 A.M. the operator performs the activities for subgroup 2 in the same manner as for subgroup 1. It is noted that the range value of 7 falls on the upper control limit. Whether to consider this in control or out of control would be a matter of organization policy. It is suggested that it be classified as in control and a cursory examination for an assignable cause be conducted by the operator. A plotted point that falls exactly on the control limit is a rare occurrence. The inspection results for subgroup 2 show that the third observation, X3, has a value of 57, which exceeds the upper control limit. It is important to remember the earlier discussion on control limits and specifications. In other words, the 57 value is an individual observation and does not relate to the control limits. Therefore, the fact that an individual observation is greater than or less than a control limit is meaningless. Subgroup 4 has an average value of 44, which is less than the lower control limit of 45. Therefore, subgroup 4 is out of control, and the operator will report this fact to the departmental supervisor. The operator and supervisor will then look for an assignable cause and, if possible, take corrective action. Whatever corrective action is taken will be noted by the operator on the X and R charts or on a separate form. The control chart indicates when and where trouble has occurred. The identification and elimination of the difficulty is a production problem. Ideally, the control chart should be maintained].. ,he operator, provided time is available and proper training has been given. When the operator cannot maintain the chart, then it is maintained by quality control. The control chart is used to keep a continuing record of a particular quaHj characteristic. It is a picture of the process over time. When the chart is completed and stored in an office file, it is replaced by a fresh chart. The chart is used to improve the process quality, to determine the process capability, to determine when to leave the process alone and when to make adjustme~ts, and to investigate causes of unacceptable or margin~ quality. It is also used to make decisions on product or service specifications and deCIsions on the acceptability of a recently-produced product or service. Quality Characteristic
The variable that is chosen for the X and R charts must be a quality characteristic that is measurable and can be expressed in numbers. Quality characteristics'that can be eX
STATISTICAL
PROCESS CONTROL
497
pressed in terms of the seven basic units (length, mass, time, electrical current, temperature, substance, or luminous intensity), as well as any of the derived units, such as power, velocity, force, energy, density, and pressure, are appropriate. Those quality characteristics affecting the performance of the product would normally be given first attention. These may be a function of the raw materials, component parts, subassemblies, or finished parts. In other words, high priority is given to the selection of those characteristics that are giving difficulty in terms of production problems and/or cost. An excellent opportunity for cost savings frequently in~olves situations where spoilage and rework costs are high. A Pareto analysis is also useful for establishing priorities. Another possibility occurs where destructive testing is ust"d t') inspect a product. In any organization, a large number of variables make up a product or service. It is, therefore, impossible to place X and R charts on all variables. A judicious selection of those quality characteristics is required.