Gordon Model
Gordon Model
Gordon Model
If ke = 11% and E= Rs.15 calculate the stock value of swan Ltd. For (i) r=12% (ii) r=11% (iii) r=10% for the various levels of the D/P ratios.
D/P Ratio (1-b) Retention Ratio
A B C D
50%
50%
Solution:
E (1 b) P ke br
Share Price
Earnings per share Retention ratio Dividend pay-out ratio Cost of equity capital
P
E b (1-b) Ke
=
= = = =
br
i.
b. D/P ratio b g
= = =
P = 15(1-0.8) / 0.11-0.096
= Rs.214.28
D/P Ratio
r=12%
r=11%
r=10%
A B C D E
90% Rs.750 80% Rs.214.28 70% Rs.173.08 60% Rs.158 50% Rs.150
Rs.136.36 Rs.75 Rs.136.36 Rs.100 Rs.136.36 Rs.112.5 Rs.136.36 Rs.120 Rs.136.36 Rs.125
Interpretation:
The above illustration explains the relevance of dividends as given by the Gordons Model. In the given three situations, the firms share value is positively correlated with the pay-out ratio when r< ke and decreases with an increase in the pay-out ratio when r>ke. Thus, firms with a rate of return greater than the cost of capital should have a higher retention ratio and those firms which have a rate of return less than the cost of capital should have a lower retention ration. The dividend policy of firms which have a rate of return equal to the cost capital will, however, not have any impact on its share value.