Search Results (1,344)

The Hong Kong Observatory has been using a parametric storm surge model to forecast the rise of sea level due to the passage of tropical cyclones. This model includes an offset parameter to account for the rise in sea level due to other meteorological factors. By adding the sea level rise forecast to the astronomical tide prediction using the harmonic analysis method, coastal sea level prediction can be produced for the sites with tidal observations, which supports the high water level forecast operation and alert service for risk assessment of sea flooding in Hong Kong. The Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) Modelling System, which comprises the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model and Regional Ocean Modelling System (ROMS), which in itself is coupled with wave model WaveWatch III and nearshore wave model SWAN, was tested with tropical cyclone cases where there was significant water level rise in Hong Kong. This case study includes two super typhoons, namely Hato in 2017 and Mangkhut in 2018, three cases of the combined effect of tropical cyclone and northeast monsoon, including Typhoon Kompasu in 2021, Typhoon Nesat and Severe Tropical Storm Nalgae in 2022, as well as two cases of monsoon-induced sea level anomalies in February 2022 and February 2023. This study aims to evaluate the ability of the WRF-ROMS-SWAN model to downscale the meteorological fields and the performance of the coupled models in capturing the maximum sea levels under the influence of significant weather events. The results suggested that both configurations could reproduce the sea level variations with a high coefficient of determination (R²) of around 0.9. However, the WRF-ROMS-SWAN model gave better results with a reduced RMSE in the surface wind and sea level anomaly predictions. Except for some cases where the atmospheric model has introduced errors during the downscaling of the ERA5 dataset, bias in the peak sea levels could be reduced by the WRF-ROMS-SWAN coupled model. The study result serves as one of the bases for the implementation of the three-way coupled atmosphere–ocean–wave modelling system for producing an integrated forecast of storm surge or sea level anomalies due to meteorological factors, as well as meteorological and oceanographic parameters as an upgrade to the two-way coupled Operational Marine Forecasting System in the Hong Kong Observatory. Full article

The intensity of typhoons affecting the Korean Peninsula has been rapidly increasing, resulting in significant damage. Notably, this intensification correlates with the rise in Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the western Pacific Ocean and surrounding sea areas, where typhoons that impact the Korean Peninsula originate and develop. The SST in these regions is increasing at a faster rate than the global average. Typhoon-related meteorological disasters are not isolated events, such as strong winds, heavy rains, or storm surges, but rather multi-hazard occurrences that can affect different areas simultaneously. As a result, preparation and evaluation must address multi-hazard disasters, rather than focusing on individual weather phenomena. This study develops the Typhoon Ready System (TRS) to improve impact-based forecasting in Korea, in response to the growing threat of multi-hazard weather disasters. By providing region-specific pre-disaster information, the TRS enables local governments and individuals to better prepare for and mitigate the impacts of typhoons. The system will be continuously refined in collaboration with the U.S. Weather-Ready Nation (WRN), which possesses advanced impact forecasting capabilities. The findings of this study offer a crucial framework for enhancing Korea’s ability to forecast and respond to the escalating threats posed by typhoons. By utilizing the TRS, it will be possible to assess the risks of various multi-hazard weather disasters specific to each region during the typhoon forecast period, and the relevant data can be efficiently applied at both the individual and local government levels for typhoon prevention efforts. The system will be continuously improved through cooperation with the U.S. WRN, leveraging their advanced impact forecasting systems. It is expected that the TRS will enhance the accuracy of typhoon impact forecasts, which have been responsible for significant damage in Korea. Full article

Seasonal changes, sea level rise, and global warming make flood events more frequent, which necessitates watershed management and efficient use of water resources. In this context, understanding the hydrodynamic behavior of basins is critical for the development of flood prevention strategies. The contributions of hydrological and hydraulic modeling techniques in this process are among the key determinants of sustainable water resources management. The Filyos Sub-Basin, located in the Western Black Sea Basin, stands out as one of the regions where flood risk assessment is a priority, as it has two important floodplains. This study aims to analyze the flood risk in the Filyos River Sub-Basin with hydraulic modeling methods, and to determine the Manning roughness coefficient. In the study, the parameters affecting the roughness of the river bed were analyzed using the Cowan method, and the effects of vegetation on river bed resistance were evaluated in the laboratory environment. Flood simulations were carried out for four different flow rates (Q₁₀₀₀, Q₅₀₀, Q₁₀₀ and Q₅₀) using the HEC-RAS model, and the performance of flood protection structures were analyzed. The findings show that a significant portion of the existing protection structures are unable to meet the potential flood flows, which can cause serious damage to residential and agricultural areas. In basins with limited historical discharge data, such as the Filyos River, these findings provide important contributions to sustainable water resources management and regional planning processes. The results of the study serve as a reference for flood risk assessment, not only for the Filyos River Basin, but also for other basins with similar hydrodynamic characteristics. It is envisaged that future research, supported by larger data sets, can improve the accuracy of flood simulations. Furthermore, the Cowan method and HEC-RAS model used in this study are expected to contribute to strategic planning and engineering solutions to minimize flood risk in other watershed management projects. In future studies, we plan to further develop methodological approaches for determining the roughness coefficient, and to address applications to increase the effectiveness of flood protection structures. Full article

Arctic coastlines are the most vulnerable regions of the Earth, and local communities in those areas are being affected by rising sea levels and temperature. Therefore, Earth Observation combined with up-to-date geoinformation tools offers a dependable, cost-effective, and time-efficient approach to understanding the socioeconomic impact of climate changes in Arctic coastal areas. A promising approach is the Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI), which takes into account different factors such as geomorphology, sea factors, and shoreline retreat or advance, to estimate the grade of vulnerability of a coastal area. Notwithstanding its potential, its application in the Arctic is still challenging. This study targets to estimate CVI to value the vulnerability of the coastal areas of Norway located in the Arctic. For the application of CVI and specifically for geomorphological and sea factors, data were acquired from international and national institutes. After the collection of all the necessary parameters for CVI was completed, all datasets were imported into a GIS software program (ArcGIS Pro) where the vulnerability classes of CVI were estimated. The results show that most of the coast of Northern Norway is characterized by a low to high degree of vulnerability, while in the island of Tromsø the vulnerability is mainly high and very high. Full article

Coastlines are suffering from the effects of erosive processes, the decrease in sediment supply, the rise in mean sea level, and the construction of coastal infrastructure and drainage works, which are further exacerbated by global climate change. The area of the Parque Natural do Litoral Norte (North Coast Natural Park) reveals worsening erosion rates and the transformations directly affect the natural resources that support tourism activities, particularly beach and nature tourism. As part of the CLICTOUR project, we have selected the coastline from Restinga de Ofir to Bonança Beach as a case study. The ESRI ArcGIS software and the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) were used to quantify coastline migration and identify the impacts on beach morphology between 2010 and 2023. Based on this information, we calculated changes in carrying capacity and scenarios for visitor usage availability to ensure the protection of fauna and flora, as well as the safety of beachgoers. The results of the linear regression rate confirm the coastline has retreated during the period analyzed (2010–2023). The outcome of these dynamics is noticeable in the beach area, promoting its reduction in area and leisure quality. Considering climate change, this study shows the importance of developing resilience strategies for coastal territories that serve as traditional summer destinations. Full article

This study investigates the interannual variations in regional mean sea levels (MSLs) of the northeast Asian marginal seas (NEAMS) during August, focusing on the role of typhoon activity from 1993 to 2019. The NEAMS are connected to the Pacific through the East China Sea (ECS) and narrow, shallow straits in the east, where inflow from the southern boundary (ECS), unless balanced by eastern outflow, leads to significant convergence or divergence, as well as subsequent changes in regional MSLs. Satellite altimetry and tide-gauge data reveal that typhoon-induced Ekman transport plays a key role in MSL variability, with increased inflow raising MSLs during active typhoon seasons. In contrast, weak typhoon activity reduces inflow, resulting in lower MSLs. This study’s findings have significant implications for coastal management, as the projected changes in tropical cyclone frequency and intensity due to climate change could exacerbate sea level rise and flooding risks. Coastal communities in the NEAMS region will need to prioritize enhanced flood defenses, early warning systems, and adaptive land use strategies to mitigate these risks. This is the first study to link typhoon frequency directly to NEAMS MSL variability, highlighting the critical role of wind-driven processes in regional sea level changes. Full article

The effects of climate change in the forms of rising sea levels and increased frequency of storms and storm surges are being noticed across many coastal communities around the United States. These increases are impacting the timing and frequency of tidal and rainfall influenced compound groundwater flooding events. These types of events can be exemplified by the recent and ongoing occurrence of groundwater flooding within building basements at the historic Strawbery Banke Museum (SBM) living history campus in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. Fresh water and saline groundwater intrusion within basements of historic structures can be destructive to foundations, mortar, joists, fasteners, and the overlaying wood structure. Although this is the case, there appears to be a dearth of research that examines the use of wireless streaming sensor networks to monitor and assess groundwater inundation within historic buildings in near-real time. Within the current study, we designed and deployed a three-sensor latitudinal network at the SBM. This network includes the deployment and remote monitoring of water level sensors in the basements of two historic structures 120 and 240 m from the river, as well as one sensor within the river itself. Groundwater salinity levels were also monitored within the basements of the two historic buildings. Assessments and model results from the recorded sensor data provided evidence of both terrestrial rainfall and tidal influences on the flooding at SBM. Understanding the sources of compound flooding within historic buildings can allow site managers to mitigate better and adapt to the effects of current and future flooding events. Data and results of this work are available via the project’s interactive webpage and through a public touchscreen kiosk interface developed for and deployed within the SBM Rowland Gallery’s “Water Has a Memory” exhibit. Full article

Here, we describe a dataset of two-dimensional (2D) XBeach model files that were developed for the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) in northern California as an update to an earlier CoSMoS implementation that relied on one-dimensional (1D) modeling methods. We provide details on the data and their application, such that they might be useful to end-users for other coastal studies. Modeling methods and outputs are presented for Humboldt Bay, California, in which we compare output from a nested 1D modeling approach to 2D model results, demonstrating that the 2D method, while more computationally expensive, results in a more cohesive and directly mappable flood hazard result. Full article

Accurate and timely water level predictions are essential for effective shoreline and coastal ecosystem management. As sea levels rise, the frequency and severity of coastal inundation events are increasing, causing significant societal and economic impacts. Predicting these events with sufficient lead time is essential for decision-makers to mitigate economic losses and protect coastal communities. While machine learning methods have been developed to predict water levels at specific sites, there remains a need for more generalized models that perform well across diverse locations. This study presents a robust deep learning model for predicting water levels at multiple tide gauge locations along the Gulf of Mexico, including the open coast, embayments, and ship channels, all near major ports. The selected architecture, Seq2Seq, achieves significant improvements over the existing literature. It meets the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) operational criterion, with the percentage of predictions within 15 cm for lead times up to 108 h at the tide gauges of Port Isabel (92.2%) and Rockport (90.4%). These results represent a significant advancement over current models typically failing to meet NOAA’s standard beyond 48 h. This highlights the potential of deep learning models to improve water level predictions, offering crucial support for coastal management and flood mitigation. Full article

The increasing frequency and severity of climate variability poses substantial challenges to the sustainability and reliability of transportation infrastructure worldwide. Transportation systems, vital to economic and social activities, are highly vulnerable to extreme weather, sea-level rise, and temperature fluctuations, which can disrupt their structural integrity, operational efficiency, and maintenance needs. The aim of this study is to explore the scholarly landscape concerning the effects of climate variability on transportation systems, analyzing 23 years of scientific publications to assess research trends. Utilizing bibliometric methods, this analysis synthesizes data from numerous scientific publications to identify key trends, research hotspots, influential authors, and collaborative networks within this domain. This study highlights the growing acknowledgment of climate variability as a crucial factor affecting the design, maintenance, and operational resilience of transportation infrastructure. Key findings indicate a notable increase in research over the last decade, with a strong focus on the effects of extreme weather events, sea-level rise, and temperature changes. The analysis also shows a multidisciplinary approach, incorporating perspectives from civil engineering, environmental science, and policy studies. This comprehensive overview serves as a foundational resource for researchers and policymakers, aiming to enhance the adaptive capacity of transportation systems to climate variability through informed decision-making and strategic planning. Full article

The by-products of the extraction of sea buckthorn (Hippophae rhamnoides L.) concentrated juice may represent a functional food ingredient for white chocolate production, as a rich source of bioactive compounds. The effects of six treatments derived from the factorial combination of two types of by-products (with oil or without oil) and three different concentrations (5%, 10%, and 15%), were assessed on rheological, quality, colour, antioxidant, and mineral properties of chocolate. The 15% addition of full powder led to the highest values of max firmness, total shear energy, shear energy, cohesiveness, gummosity, dry matter, and ABTS, compared to the untreated control, but the two highest concentrations of the oil-deprived powder resulted in the protein content increasing. The full powder addition always raised fat levels. Both the ‘L’ and ‘a’ colour component as well as total carotenoids, β-carotene, lycopene, and vitamin C increased with the rise of H. rhamnoides powder addition, compared to the untreated control. The opposite trend was shown by the ‘b’ colour component and pH, whereas polyphenols and antioxidant activity attained higher values with the oil-deprived powder. The content of potassium decreased upon the 15% addition of the Hippophae rhamnoides by-product powder, compared to the untreated control, whereas calcium and magnesium increased. The 15% H. rhamnoides full powder elicited the augmentation of phosphorus content in chocolate, compared to the untreated control, contrary to the effect of the oil-deprived powder on P and Zn. The employment of SBB by-products highlights the great potential for manufacturing innovative functional foods with high nutritional value, such as chocolate. Full article

This article analyzes the climate vulnerability of seaports through a bibliometric review of 45 articles published between 2012 and 2023. The research highlights the increase in publications focusing on the vulnerability of port infrastructure to climate impacts, a topic that previously received less attention compared to operational, economic, and logistical factors, which are frequently discussed in the existing literature. The analysis reinforces the relevance of this study, with the United States, Spain, and the United Kingdom emerging as the most influential countries in this research area. This article also reveals the predominance of methods based on the Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI), which includes ports in its assessments, and emphasizes the need to develop a more robust index for evaluating port vulnerability. Additionally, it discusses current topics, such as sea level rise and the use of global climate models and suggests future research directions to enhance the assessment of port vulnerability in the face of climate change. Full article

Coastal risk assessment is crucial for coastal management and decision making, especially in areas already experiencing the negative impacts of climate change. This study aims to investigate the coastal vulnerability due to climate change and human activities in an area west of the Limassol district’s coastline, in Cyprus, on which there have been limited studies. Furthermore, an analysis is conducted utilising the Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) by exploiting eight key parameters: land cover, coastal slope, shoreline erosion rates, tidal range, significant wave height, coastal elevation, sea-level rise, and coastal geomorphology. These parameters were assessed utilising remote sensing (RS) data and Geographical Information Systems (GISs) along a 36.1 km stretch of coastline. The results exhibited varying risk levels of coastal vulnerability, mainly highlighting a coastal area where the Kouris River estuary is highly vulnerable. The study underscores the need for targeted coastal management strategies to address the risks associated with coastal erosion. Additionally, the CVI developed in this study can be exploited as a tool for decision makers, empowering them to prioritise areas for intervention and bolster the resilience of coastal areas in the face of environmental changes. Full article

The Sundarbans is the world’s largest contiguous mangrove forest with an area of about 10,000 square kilometers and shared between Bangladesh and India. This world-renowned mangrove forest, located on the lower Ganges floodplain and facing the Bay of Bengal, has long served as a crucial barrier, shielding southern coastal Bangladesh from cyclone hazards. However, the Sundarbans mangrove ecosystem is now increasingly threatened by climate-induced hazards, particularly tropical cyclones originating from the Indian Ocean. To assess the cyclone vulnerability of this unique ecosystem, using geospatial techniques, we analyzed the damage caused by past cyclones and the subsequent recovery across three salinity zones, i.e., Oligohaline, Mesohaline, and Polyhaline. Our study also examined the relationship between cyclone intensity with the extent of damage and forest recovery. The findings of our study indicate that the Polyhaline zone, the largest in terms of area and with the lowest elevation, suffered the most significant damage from cyclones in the Sundarbans region, likely due to its proximity to the most cyclone paths. A correlation analysis revealed that cyclone damage positively correlated with wind speed and negatively correlated with the distance of landfall from the center of the Sundarbans. With the expectation of more extreme weather events in the near future, the Sundarbans mangrove forest faces a potentially devastating outlook unless both natural protection processes and human interventions are undertaken to safeguard this critical ecosystem. Full article

Hurricane incidents have become increasingly frequent along the coastal United States and have had a negative impact on the mangrove forests and their ecosystem services across the southeastern region. Mangroves play a key role in providing coastal protection during hurricanes by attenuating storm surges and reducing erosion. However, their resilience is being increasingly compromised due to climate change through sea level rises and the greater intensity of storms. This article examines the role of remote sensing tools in studying the impacts of hurricanes on mangrove forests in the coastal United States. Our results show that various remote sensing tools including satellite imagery, Light detection and ranging (LiDAR) and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have been used to detect mangrove damage, monitor their recovery and analyze their 3D structural changes. Landsat 8 OLI (14%) has been particularly useful in long-term assessments, followed by Landsat 5 TM (9%) and NASA G-LiHT LiDAR (8%). Random forest (24%) and linear regression (24%) models were the most common modeling techniques, with the former being the most frequently used method for classifying satellite images. Some studies have shown significant mangrove canopy loss after major hurricanes, and damage was seen to vary spatially based on factors such as proximity to oceans, elevation and canopy structure, with taller mangroves typically experiencing greater damage. Recovery rates after hurricane-induced damage also vary, as some areas were seen to show rapid regrowth within months while others remained impacted after many years. The current challenges include capturing fine-scale changes owing to the dearth of remote sensing data with high temporal and spatial resolution. This review provides insights into the current remote sensing applications used in hurricane-prone mangrove habitats and is intended to guide future research directions, inform coastal management strategies and support conservation efforts. Full article