Search Results (559)

Raindrop size distribution (DSD) has an essential effect on rainfall kinetic energy estimation (RKEE) and dual-polarization radar quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE); DSD is a key factor for establishing a dual-polarization radar QPE scheme and RKEE scheme, particularly in mountainous areas. To improve the understanding of seasonal DSD-based RKEE, dual-polarization radar QPE, and the impact of rainfall types and classification methods, we investigated RKEE schemes and dual-polarimetric radar QPE algorithms across seasons and rainfall types based on two classic classification methods (BR09 and BR03) and DSD data from a disdrometer in the Tianshan Mountains during 2020–2022. Two RKEE schemes were established: the rainfall kinetic energy flux–rain rate (KE_time–R) and the rainfall kinetic energy content–mass-weighted mean diameter (KE_mm–D_m). Both showed seasonal variation, whether it was stratiform rainfall or convective rainfall, under BR03 and BR09. Both schemes had excellent performance, especially the KE_mm–D_m relationship across seasons and rainfall types. In addition, four QPE schemes for dual-polarimetric radar—R(K_dp), R(Z_h), R(K_dp,Z_dr), and R(Z_h,Z_dr)—were established, and exhibited characteristics that varied with season and rainfall type. Overall, the performance of the single-parameter algorithms was inferior to that of the double-parameter algorithms, and the performance of the R(Z_h) algorithm was inferior to that of the R(K_dp) algorithm. The results of this study show that it is necessary to consider different rainfall types and seasons, as well as classification methods of rainfall types, when applying RKEE and dual-polarization radar QPE. In this process, choosing a suitable estimator—KE_time(R), KE_mm(D_m), R(K_dp), R(Z_h), R(K_dp,Z_dr), or R(Z_h,Z_dr)—is key to improving the accuracy of estimating the rainfall KE and R. Full article

This research work focuses on the development and application of a storm-tracking algorithm for identifying and tracking storm cells. The algorithm first identifies storm cells on the basis of reflectivity thresholds and then matches the cells in the tracking procedure on the basis of their geometrical characteristics and the distance within the weather radar image. A sensitivity analysis was performed to evaluate the preferable thresholds for each case and test the algorithm’s ability to perform in different time step resolutions. Following this, we applied the algorithm to 54 rainfall events recorded by the National Technical University X-Band weather radar, the rainscanner system, from 2018 to 2023 in the Attica region of Greece. Testing of the algorithm demonstrated its efficiency in tracking storm cells over various time intervals and reflecting changes such as merging or dissipation. The results reveal the predominant southwest-to-east storm directions in 40% of cases examined, followed by northwest-to-east and south-to-north patterns. Additionally, stratiform storms showed slower north-to-west trajectories, while convective storms exhibited faster west-to-east movement. These findings provide valuable insights into storm behavior in Athens and highlight the algorithm’s potential for integration into nowcasting systems, particularly for flood early warning systems. Full article

Time-lapse ground-penetrating radar (GPR) surveys, combined with automated infiltration experiments, provide a non-invasive approach for investigating the distribution of infiltrated water within the soil medium and creating three-dimensional images of the wetting bulb. This study developed and validated an experimental protocol aimed at quantifying and visualizing water distribution fluxes in layered soils under both unsaturated and saturated conditions. The 3D images of the wetting bulb significantly enhanced the interpretation of infiltration data, enabling a detailed analysis of water movement through the layered system. We used the infiltrometer data and the Beerkan Estimation of Soil Transfer parameters (BEST) method to determine soil capacitive indicators and evaluate the physical quality of the upper soil layer. The field survey involved conducting time-lapse GPR surveys alongside infiltration experiments between GPR repetitions. These experiments included both tension and ponding tests, designed to sequentially activate the soil matrix and the full pore network. The results showed that the soil under study exhibited significant soil aeration and macroporosity (represented by AC and p_MAC), while indicators related to microporosity (such as PAWC and RFC) were notably low. The RFC value of 0.55 m³ m⁻³ indicated the soil’s limited capacity to retain water relative to its total pore volume. The PAWC value of 0.10 m³ m⁻³ indicated a scarcity of micropores ranging from 0.2 to 30 μm in diameter, which typically hold water accessible to plant roots within the total porosity. The saturated soil hydraulic conductivity, K_s, values ranged from 192.2 to 1031.0 mm h⁻¹, with a mean of 424.4 mm h⁻¹, which was 7.9 times higher than the corresponding unsaturated hydraulic conductivity measured at a pressure head of h = −30 mm (K₋₃₀). The results indicated that the upper soil layer supports root proliferation and effectively drains excess water to the underlying limestone layer. However, this layer has limited capacity to store and supply water to plant roots and acts as a restrictive barrier, promoting non-uniform downward water movement, as revealed by the 3D GPR images. The observed difference in hydraulic conductivity between the two layers suggests that surface ponding and overland flow are generated through a saturation excess mechanism. Water percolating through the soil can accumulate above the limestone layer, creating a shallow perched water table. During extreme rainfall events, this water table may rise, leading to the complete saturation of the soil profile. Full article

This study advances the precision and efficiency of precipitation nowcasting, particularly under extreme weather conditions. Traditional forecasting methods struggle with precision, spatial feature generalization, and recognizing long-range spatial correlations, challenges that intensify during extreme weather events. The Enhanced Temporal Correlation Jump Prediction Network (ETCJ-PredNet) introduces a novel attention mechanism that optimally leverages spatiotemporal data correlations. This model scrutinizes and encodes information from previous frames, enhancing predictions of high-intensity radar echoes. Additionally, ETCJ-PredNet addresses the issue of gradient vanishing through an innovative jump connection strategy. Comparative experiments on the Moving Modified National Institute of Standards and Technology (Moving-MNIST) and Hong Kong Observatory Dataset Number 7 (HKO-7) validate that ETCJ-PredNet outperforms existing models, particularly under extreme precipitation conditions. Detailed evaluations using Critical Success Index (CSI), Heidke Skill Score (HSS), Probability of Detection (POD), and False Alarm Ratio (FAR) across various rainfall intensities further underscore its superior predictive capabilities, especially as rainfall intensity exceeds 30 dbz,40 dbz, and 50 dbz. These results confirm ETCJ-PredNet’s robustness and utility in real-time extreme weather forecasting. Full article

This study explored the impacts of various rainfall input types on short-term runoff simulations using the Cell2Flood model in the Waryong Reservoir Basin, South Korea. Six types of rainfall data were assessed: on-site gauge measurements, spatially interpolated data from 39 Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) and 117 Automatic Weather System (AWS) stations using inverse distance weighting (IDW), and Hybrid Surface Rainfall (HSR) data from the Korea Meteorological Administration. The choice of rainfall input significantly affected model accuracy across the three rainfall events. The point-gauged ASOS (P-ASOS) data demonstrated the highest reliability in capturing the observed rainfall patterns, with Pearson’s r values of up to 0.84, whereas the radar-derived HSR data had the lowest correlations (Pearson’s r below 0.2), highlighting substantial discrepancies. For runoff simulation, the P-ASOS and ASOS-AWS combined interpolated dataset (R-AWS) achieved relatively accurate predictions, with P-ASOS and R-AWS exhibiting Normalized Peak Error (NPE) values of approximately 0.03 and Peak Time Error (PTE) within 20 min. In contrast, the HSR data produced large errors, with NPE up to 4.66 and PTE deviations exceeding 200 min, indicating poor temporal accuracy. Although input-specific calibration improved performance, significant errors persisted because of the inherent uncertainty of rainfall data. These findings underscore the importance of selecting and calibrating appropriate rainfall inputs to enhance the reliability of short-term flood modeling, particularly in ungauged and data-sparse basins. Full article

Wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) connected to combined sewer systems must cope with high flows during wet-weather conditions, often leading to bypass and thus pollution of water bodies. Radar rainfall forecasts coupled with a rainfall-runoff model provides flow and volume forecasts that can be used for deciding when to switch from normal to wet-weather operation, which temporarily allows for higher inflow. However, forecasts are by definition uncertain and may lead to potential mismanagement, e.g., false alarms and misses. Our study focused on two years of operational data from the Damhuså sewer catchment and WWTP. We used the Relative Economic Value (REV) framework to optimize the control parameters of a baseline control strategy (thresholds on flow measurements and radar flow prognosis) and to test new control strategies based on volume instead of flow thresholds. We investigated two situations with different objective functions, considering higher negative impact from misses than false alarms and vice versa, and obtained in both cases a reduction of the rate of false alarms, higher flow thresholds and lower bypass compared to the baseline control. We also assess a new control strategy that employs thresholds of predicted accumulated volume instead of predicted flow and achieved even better results. Full article

High-quality rainfall data are essential in many water management problems, including stormwater management, water resources management, and more. Due to the high spatial–temporal variations, rainfall measurement could be challenging and costly, especially in urban areas. This could be even more challenging in tropical regions with their typical short-duration and high-intensity rainfall events, as some of the undeveloped or developing countries in those regions lack a dense rain gauge network and have limited resources to use radar and satellite readings. Thus, exploring alternative rainfall estimation methods could be helpful to back up some shortcomings. Recently, a few studies have examined the utilisation of citizen science methods to collect rainfall data as a complement to the existing rain gauge networks. However, these attempts are in the early stages, and limited works have been published on improving the quality of such data. Therefore, this study focuses on image-based rainfall estimation with potential usage in citizen science. For this, a novel convolutional neural network (CNN) model is developed to predict rainfall intensity by processing the images captured by citizens (e.g., by smartphones or security cameras) in an urban area. The developed model is merely a complementary sensing tool (e.g., better spatial coverage) to the existing rain gauge network in an urban area and is not meant to replace it. This study also presents one of the most extensive datasets of rain image data ever published in the literature. The estimated rainfall data by the proposed CNN model of this study using images captured by surveillance cameras and smartphone cameras are compared with observed rainfall by a weather station and exhibit strong R² values of 0.955 and 0.840, respectively. Full article

Intense rainfall events frequently occur in Brazil, often leading to rapid flooding. Despite their recurrence, there is a notable lack of sub-daily studies in the country. This research aims to assess patterns related to the structure and microphysics of clouds driving intense rainfall in Brazil, resulting in high accumulation within 1 h. Employing a 40 mm/h threshold and validation criteria, 83 events were selected for study, observed by both single and dual-polarization radars. Contoured Frequency by Altitude Diagrams (CFADs) of reflectivity, Vertical Integrated Liquid (VIL), and Vertical Integrated Ice (VII) are employed to scrutinize the vertical cloud characteristics in each region. To address limitations arising from the absence of polarimetric coverage in some events, one case study focusing on polarimetric variables is included. The results reveal that the generating system (synoptic or mesoscale) of intense rain events significantly influences the rainfall pattern, mainly in the South, Southeast, and Midwest regions. Regional CFADs unveil primary convective columns with 40–50 dBZ reflectivity, extending to approximately 6 km. The microphysical analysis highlights the rapid structural intensification, challenging the event predictability and the issuance of timely, specific warnings. Full article

Climate change is a major issue in wastewater management at local and regional levels, as it affects the frequency of flooding and therefore the need to update infrastructure and design regulations. To this end, rainfall data are the main input to hydraulic models used for the design of drainage systems and, in advanced contexts, for their real-time monitoring. Field observations are of great interest and water authorities are increasing the number of existing rain gauges, but at present they are scarce and require maintenance, so their number needs to be considered with their O&M costs. Remote sensors, including both the existing satellite rain products (SRPs) and radar imagery (RI), can complete the spatial distribution of rainfall and optimise the cost of observations. While most SRPs are based on re-analysis and have a lag in availability, RI can be obtained in near real time and is becoming increasingly popular in weather forecasting applications. Unfortunately, actual rainfall forecasts from RI observations are not accurate enough for real-time monitoring of drainage systems. In this paper, the Colour Pattern Regression (CPR) algorithm is used to recalibrate the 6 h rainfall values from RI provided by the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) with the observed rain gauge data, using as a case study the metropolitan area of Palma (Spain). Full article

Since 2020, southern Brazil’s Rio Grande do Sul (RS) State has been affected by extreme precipitation episodes caused by different atmospheric systems. However, the most extreme was registered between the end of April and the beginning of May 2024. This extreme precipitation caused floods in most parts of the state, affecting 2,398,255 people and leading to 183 deaths and 27 missing persons. Due to the severity of this episode, we need to understand its drivers. In this context, the main objective of this study is a multi-scale analysis of the extreme precipitation between 26 April and 5 May, i.e., an analysis of the large-scale patterns of the atmosphere, a description of the synoptic environment, and an analysis of the mesoscale viewpoint (cloud-top features and lightning). Data from different sources (reanalysis, satellite, radar, and pluviometers) were used in this study, and different methods were applied. The National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN) registered accumulated rainfall above 400 mm between 26 April and 5 May using 27 pluviometers located in the central-northern part of RS. The monthly volumes reached 667 mm and 803 mm, respectively, for April and May 2024, against a climatological average of 151 mm and 137 mm for these months. The maximum precipitation recorded was 300 mm in a single day on 30 April 2024. From a large-scale point of view, an anomalous heat source in the western Indian Ocean triggered a Rossby wave that contributed to a barotropic anticyclonic anomalous circulation over mid-southeastern Brazil. While the precipitant systems were inhibited over this region (the synoptic view), the anomalous stronger subtropical jet southward of the anticyclonic circulation caused uplift over RS State and, consequently, conditions leading to mesoscale convective system (MCS) development. In addition, the low-level jet east of the Andes transported warm and moist air to southern Brazil, which also interacted with two cold fronts that reached RS during the 10-day period, helping to establish the precipitation. Severe deep MCSs (with a cloud-top temperature lower than −80 °C) were responsible for a high lightning rate (above 10 flashes km⁻² in 10 days) and accumulated precipitation (above 600 mm in 10 days), as observed by satellite measurements. This high volume of rainfall caused an increase in soil moisture, which exceeded a volume fraction of 0.55, making water infiltration into the soil difficult and, consequently, favoring flood occurrence. Full article

Obtaining temperature and humidity profiles with high vertical resolution is essential for describing and predicting atmospheric motion, and, in particular, for understanding the evolution of medium- and small-scale weather processes, making short-range and near-term weather forecasting, and implementing weather modifications (artificial rainfall, artificial rain elimination, etc.). Ground-based microwave radiometers can acquire vertical tropospheric atmospheric data with high temporal and spatial resolution. However, the accuracy of temperature and relative humidity retrieval is still not as accurate as that of radiosonde data, especially in cloudy conditions. Therefore, improving the observation and retrieval accuracy is a major challenge in current research. The focus of this study was to further improve the accuracy of atmospheric temperature and humidity profile retrieval and investigate the specific effects of cloud information (cloud-base height and cloud thickness) on temperature and humidity profile retrieval. The observation data from the ground-based multichannel microwave radiometer (GMR) and the millimeter-wave cloud radar (MWCR) were incorporated into the retrieval process of the atmospheric temperature and relative humidity profiles. The retrieval was performed using the backpropagation neural network (BPNN). The retrieval results were quantified using the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The statistical results showed that the temperature profiles were less affected by the cloud information compared with the relative humidity profiles. Cloud thickness was the main factor affecting the retrieval of relative humidity profiles, and the retrieval with cloud information was the best retrieval method. Compared with the retrieval profiles without cloud information, the MAE and RMSE values of most of the altitude layers were reduced to different degrees after adding cloud information, and the relative humidity (RH) errors of some altitude layers were reduced by approximately 50%. The maximum reduction in the RMSE and MAE values for the retrieval of temperature profiles with cloud information was about 1.0 °C around 7.75 km, and the maximum reduction in RMSE and MAE values for the relative humidity profiles was about 10%, which was obtained around 2 km. Full article

An investigation is undertaken to explore a sudden quasi-linear precipitation and gale event that transpired in the afternoon of 30 May 2024 over Beijing. It was situated at the southwestern periphery of a double-center low-vortex system, where a moisture-rich belt efficiently channeled abundant warm, humid air northward from the south. The interplay between dynamical lifting, convergent airflow-induced uplift, and the amplifying effects of the northern mountainous terrain’s topography creates favorable conditions that support the development and persistence of quasi-linear convective precipitation, accompanied by gale-force winds at the surface. The study also analyzes the impacts of five microphysics schemes (Lin, WSM6, Goddard, Morrison, and WDM6) employed in a weather research and forecasting (WRF) numerical model, with which the simulated rainfall and radar reflectivity are compared against ground-based rain gauge network and weather radar observations, respectively. Simulations with the five microphysics schemes demonstrate commendable skills in replicating the macroscopic quasi-linear pattern of the event. Among the schemes assessed, the WSM6 scheme exhibits its superior agreement with radar observations. The Morrison scheme demonstrates superior performance in predicting cumulative rainfall. Nevertheless, five microphysics schemes exhibit limitations in predicting the rainfall amount, the rainfall duration, and the rainfall area, with a discernible lag of approximately 30 min in predicting precipitation onset, indicating a tendency to forecast peak rainfall events slightly posterior to their true occurrence. Furthermore, substantial disparities emerge in the simulation of the vertical distribution of hydrometeors, underscoring the intricacies of microphysical processes. Full article

Reservoir impoundment imposes a significant triggering effect on bank landslides. Studying the early identification of landslides and their stability concerning reservoir water levels and rainfall is vital for guaranteeing the safety of residents and infrastructure in reservoir regions. This study proposed a method for establishing a dynamic inventory of active landslides at large hydropower stations using integrated remote sensing techniques, demonstrated at Lianghekou Reservoir. We employed interferometric stacking synthetic aperture radar (stacking-InSAR) technology, small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology, and optical satellite images to identify and catalogue active landslides. Moreover, we conducted field investigations to examine the deformation characteristics of landslides. Finally, Pearson’s correlation analysis was employed to evaluate the response between deformation values, reservoir water levels, and rainfall. The results revealed 75 active landslides, including 12 long-term active landslides before impoundment and 63 new landslides after impoundment, which were primarily concentrated in the Waduo and Yazho–Zatou regions. The correlation coefficient between landslide deformation values and the reservoir level was high (0.93), while the correlation coefficient with rainfall was low (0.57). The results of this research offer a crucial foundation for preventing and mitigating landslides in reservoir areas. Full article

The China Loess Plateau (CLP) is the world’s most extensive and thickest region of loess deposits. The inherently loose structure of loess makes the CLP particularly vulnerable to geohazards such as landslides, collapses, and subsidence, resulting in substantial geological and environmental challenges. Xining City, situated at the northwest edge of the CLP, is especially prone to frequent geological hazards due to intensified human activities and natural forces. Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry (InSAR) has become a widely used tool for identifying landslide hazards and displacement monitoring because of its high accuracy, low cost, and wide coverage. In this study, we utilized the small baseline subset (SBAS) InSAR technique to derive the line of sight (LOS) displacements of Xining City using Sentinel-1 datasets from ascending and descending orbits between October 2014 and September 2022. By integrating LOS displacements from the two datasets, we retrieved the eastward and vertical displacements to characterize the kinematics of active slopes. To identify the active areas semi-automatically, we applied the Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) algorithm to cluster InSAR measurement points (IMPs). Forty-eight active slopes with areas ranging from 0.0049 to 0.5496 km² and twenty-five subsidence-dominant areas ranging from 0.023 to 3.123 km² were identified across Xining City. Kinematics analysis of the Jiujiawan landslide indicated that acceleration started in August 2016, likely triggered by rainfall, and continued until the landslide. The extreme rainfall in August 2022 may have pushed the Jiujiawan landslide beyond its critical threshold, leading to instability. Additionally, the study identified nine active slopes that threaten the normal operation of the Lanzhou–Xinjiang High-Speed Railway, with kinematic analysis suggesting rainfall-related accelerations. The influence of anthropogenic activities on ground displacements in loess areas was also confirmed through time series displacement analysis. Our results can be leveraged for geohazard prevention and management in Xining City. As SAR image data continue to accumulate, InSAR can serve as a regular tool for maintaining up-to-date landslide inventories, thereby contributing to more sustainable geohazard management. Full article

Rainfall information with high spatial and temporal resolution are essential in various fields. Heavy rainfall in a short period can cause problems and disasters that result in loss of life and damage to property. Conversely, the absence of rain for an extended period can also have negative social and economic impacts. Data accuracy, wide spatial coverage, and high temporal resolution are challenges in obtaining rainfall information in Indonesia. This article presents information on data sources and methods for measuring rainfall and reviews the latest research regarding statistical algorithms and machine learning to estimate rainfall in Indonesia. Rainfall information in Indonesia was obtained from several sources. Firstly, the method of direct rainfall measurement conducted with both manual and automatic rain gauges was reviewed; however, this data source provided minimal results, with uneven spatial density. Secondly, the application of remote sensing estimation using both radar and weather satellites was reviewed. The estimated rainfall results obtained using remote sensing showed more comprehensive spatial coverage and higher temporal resolution. Finally, we reviewed rainfall products obtained from model calculations, using both statistical and machine learning by integrating measurement and remote sensing data. The results of the review demonstrated that rainfall estimation products applied in remote sensing using machine learning models have the potential to produce more accurate spatial and temporal data. However, the validation of rainfall data from direct measurements is required first. This research’s contribution can provide practitioners and researchers in Indonesia and the surrounding region with information on problems, challenges, and recommendations for optimizing rainfall measurement products using appropriate adaptive technology. Full article