Search Results (33,504)

In the context of achieving the goal of carbon neutrality, exploring the changes in land demand and ecological carbon stocks under future scenarios at the urban level is important for optimizing regional ecosystem services and developing a land-use structure consistent with sustainable development strategies. We propose a framework of a coupled system dynamics (SD) model, patch generation land-use simulation (PLUS) model, and integrated valuation of ecosystem services and trade-offs (InVEST) model to dynamically simulate the spatial and temporal changes of land use and land-cover change (LUCC) and ecosystem carbon stocks under the NDS (natural development scenario), EPS (ecological protection scenario), RES (rapid expansion scenario), and HDS (high-quality development scenario) in Nanjing from 2020 to 2040. From 2005 to 2020, the expansion rate of construction land in Nanjing reached 50.76%, a large amount of ecological land shifted to construction land, and the ecological carbon stock declined dramatically. Compared with 2020, the ecosystem carbon stocks of the EPS and HDS increased by 2.4 × 10⁶ t and 1.5 × 10⁶ t, respectively, with a sizable ecological effect. It has been calculated that forest and cultivated land are the two largest carbon pools in Nanjing, and the conservation of both is decisive for the future carbon stock. It is necessary to focus on enhancing the carbon stock of forest ecosystems while designating differentiated carbon sink enhancement plans based on the characteristics of other land types. Fully realizing the carbon sink potential of each ecological functional area will help Nanjing achieve its carbon neutrality goal. The results of the study not only reveal the challenges of ecological conservation in Nanjing but also provide useful guidance for enhancing the carbon stock of urban terrestrial ecosystems and formulating land-use planning in line with sustainable development strategies. Full article

Offshore wind-to-hydrogen production is an effective means of solving the problems of large-scale grid-connected consumption and high power transmission costs of offshore wind power. Site selection is a core component in planning offshore wind-to-hydrogen facilities, involving careful consideration of multiple factors, and is a classic multi-criteria decision-making problem. Therefore, this study proposes a multi-criteria decision-making method based on the two-dimensional linguistic cloud model to optimize site selection for offshore wind-to-hydrogen bases. Firstly, the alternative schemes are evaluated using two-dimensional linguistic information, and a new model for transforming two-dimensional linguistic information into a normal cloud is constructed. Then, the cloud area overlap degree is defined to calculate the interaction factor between decision-makers, and a multi-objective programming model based on maximum deviation-minimum correlation is established. Following this, the Pareto solution of criteria weights is solved using the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II, and the alternatives are sorted and selected through the cloud-weighted average operator. Finally, an index system was constructed in terms of resource conditions, planning conditions, external conditions, and other dimensions, and a case study was conducted using the location of offshore wind-to-hydrogen production bases in Shanghai. The method proposed in this study demonstrates strong robustness and can provide a basis for these multi-criteria decision-making problems with solid qualitative characteristics. Full article

Contact interface is essential for the dynamic response of the bolted structures. To accurately predict the dynamic characteristics of bolted joint structures, a fractal extension of the segmented scale model, i.e., the JK model, is proposed in this paper to comprehensively analyze the dynamic contact performance of engineering surfaces and revisit the multi-scale model based on the concept of asperities. The influence of asperity geometry, dimensionless material properties, and the elastic, elastoplastic, and full plastic mechanical models of a single asperity is established considering the asperity–substrate interaction. Then, a segmented scale contact model of rough surfaces is proposed based on the island distribution function in a strict sense. The mechanical contact process of determining rough surfaces is divided into small-scale, medium-scale, and large-scale stages. Moreover, cross-scale boundary conditions, i.e., a_l1′, a_l2′, and a_l3′, are provided through strict mathematical deduction. The results show that the real contact area and contact stiffness are positively correlated with fractal dimension and negatively correlated with fractal roughness. On a small scale, the contact damping decreases with an increase in load. In meso-scale and large-scale stages, the contact damping increases with the load. Finally, the reliability of the proposed model is verified by setting up three groups of modal vibration experiments. Full article

In the context of global climate change, the frequency of sudden natural disasters is increasing. Assessing traffic road damage post-disaster is crucial for emergency decision-making and disaster management. Traditional ground observation methods for evaluating traffic road damage are limited by the timeliness and coverage of data updates. Relying solely on these methods does not adequately support rapid assessment and emergency management during extreme natural disasters. Social media, a major source of big data, can effectively address these limitations by providing more timely and comprehensive disaster information. Motivated by this, we utilized multi-source heterogeneous data to assess the damage to traffic roads under extreme conditions and established a new framework for evaluating traffic roads in cities prone to flood disasters caused by rainstorms. The approach involves several steps: First, the surface area affected by precipitation is extracted using a threshold method constrained by confidence intervals derived from microwave remote sensing images. Second, disaster information is collected from the Sina Weibo platform, where social media information is screened and cleaned. A quantification table for road traffic loss assessment was defined, and a social media disaster information classification model combining text convolutional neural networks and attention mechanisms (TextCNN-Attention disaster information classification) was proposed. Finally, traffic road information on social media is matched with basic geographic data, the classification of traffic road disaster risk levels is visualized, and the assessment of traffic road disaster levels is completed based on multi-source heterogeneous data. Using the “7.20” rainstorm event in Henan Province as an example, this research categorizes the disaster’s impact on traffic roads into five levels—particularly severe, severe, moderate, mild, and minimal—as derived from remote sensing image monitoring and social media information analysis. The evaluation framework for flood disaster traffic roads based on multi-source heterogeneous data provides important data support and methodological support for enhancing disaster management capabilities and systems. Full article

Understanding water quality is crucial for environmental management and policy formulation. However, existing methods for assessing water quality are often unable to fully integrate with multi-source remote sensing data. This study introduces a method that employs a stacking algorithm within the Google Earth Engine (GEE) for classifying water quality grades in the Songhua River Basin (SHRB). By leveraging the strengths of multiple machine learning models, the Stacked Generalization (SG) model achieved an accuracy of 91.67%, significantly enhancing classification performance compared to traditional approaches. Additionally, the analysis revealed substantial correlations between the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and precipitation with water quality grades. These findings underscore the efficacy of this method for effective water quality monitoring and its implications for understanding the influence of natural factors on water pollution. Full article

Latin Cuengh is a low-resource dialect that is prevalent in select ethnic minority regions in China. This language presents unique challenges for intelligent research and preservation efforts, primarily due to its oral tradition and the limited availability of textual resources. Prior research has sought to bolster intelligent processing capabilities with regard to Latin Cuengh through data augmentation techniques leveraging scarce textual data, with modest success. In this study, we introduce an innovative multimodal seed data augmentation model designed to significantly enhance the intelligent recognition and comprehension of this dialect. After supplementing the pre-trained model with extensive speech data, we fine-tune its performance with a modest corpus of multilingual textual seed data, employing both Latin Cuengh and Chinese texts as bilingual seed data to enrich its multilingual properties. We then refine its parameters through a variety of downstream tasks. The proposed model achieves a commendable performance across both multi-classification and binary classification tasks, with its average accuracy and F1 measure increasing by more than 3%. Moreover, the model’s training efficiency is substantially ameliorated through strategic seed data augmentation. Our research provides insights into the informatization of low-resource languages and contributes to their dissemination and preservation. Full article

The growing prominence of generating a well-diversified portfolio by holding securities from multi-asset markets has, over the years, drawn criticism. Various financial market events have caused asset markets to co-move, especially in emerging markets, which reduces portfolio diversification and enhances return losses. Consequently, this study examines the time–frequency co-movement of multi-asset classes in South Africa by using the Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic–Asymmetrical Dynamic Conditional Correlation (MGARCH-DCC) model, Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transformation (MODWT), and the Continuous Wavelet Transform (WTC) for the period 2007 to 2024. The findings demonstrate that the equity–bond, equity–property, equity–gold, bond–property, bond–gold, and property–gold markets depict asymmetrical time-varying correlations. Moreover, correlation in these asset pairs varies at investment periods (short-term, medium-term, and long-term), with historical events such as the 2007/2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic causing these asset pairs to co-move at different investment periods, which reduces diversification properties. The findings suggest that South African multi-asset markets co-move, affecting the diversification properties of holding multi-asset classes in a portfolio at different investment periods. Consequently, investors should consider the holding periods of each asset market pair in a portfolio as they dictate the level of portfolio diversification. Investors should also remember that there are lead–lag relationships and risk transmission between asset market pairs, enhancing portfolio volatility. This study assists investors in making more informed investment decisions and identifying optimal entry or exit points within South African multi-asset markets. Full article

The morphology of particles formed in different environments contains critical information. Thus, the rapid and effective reconstruction of their three-dimensional (3D) morphology is crucial. This study reconstructs the 3D morphology from two-dimensional (2D) images of particles using artificial intelligence (AI). More than 100,000 particles were sampled from three sources: naturally formed particles (desert sand), manufactured particles (lunar soil simulant), and numerically generated digital particles. A deep learning approach based on a voxel representation of the morphology and multi-dimensional convolutional neural networks was proposed to rapidly upscale and reconstruct particle morphology. The trained model was tested using the three particle types and evaluated using different multi-scale morphological descriptors. The results demonstrated that the statistical properties of the morphological descriptors were consistent for the real 3D particles and those derived from the 2D images and the model. This finding confirms the model’s validity and generalizability in upscaling and reconstructing diverse particle samples. This study provides a method for generating 3D numerical representations of geological particles, facilitating in-depth analysis of properties, such as mechanical behavior and transport characteristics, from 2D images. Full article

Salinity is an essential parameter for evaluating water quality and plays a crucial role in maintaining the stability of lake ecosystems, particularly in arid and semi-arid climates. Salinity responds to changes in climate and human activity, with significant impacts on water quality and ecosystem services. In this study, Sentinel-2A/B Multi-Spectral Instrument (MSI) images and quasi-synchronous field data were utilized to estimate lake salinity using machine learning approaches (i.e., XGB, CNN, DNN, and RFR). Atmospheric correction for MSI images was tested using six processors (ACOLITE, C2RCC, POLYMER, MUMM, iCOR, and Sen2Cor). The most accurate model and atmospheric correction method were found to be the extreme gradient boosting tree combined with the ACOLITE correction algorithm. These were used to develop a salinity model (N = 70, mean absolute percentage error = 9.95%) and applied to eight lakes in Inner Mongolia from 2016 to 2024. Seasonal and interannual variations were explored, along with an examination of potential drivers of salinity changes over time. Average salinities in the autumn and spring were higher than in the summer. The highest salinities were observed in the lake centers and tended to be consistent and homogeneous. Interannual trends in salinity were evident in several lakes, influenced by evaporation and precipitation. Climate factors were the primary drivers of interannual salinity trends in most lakes. Full article

Laser cladding is an emerging environmentally friendly surface-strengthening technology. During the cladding process, the changes in molten pool temperature and velocity directly affect the solidification process and element distribution. The quantitative revelation of the directional solidification mechanism in the molten pool during the cladding process is crucial for enhancing the quality of the cladding layer. In this study, a multi-field coupling numerical model was developed to simulate the coating process of 316L powder on 45 steel matrices using a disk laser. The instantaneous evolution law of the temperature and flow fields was derived, providing input conditions for simulating microstructure evolution in the molten pool’s paste zone. The behavior characteristics of the molten pool were predicted through numerical simulation, and the microstructure evolution was simulated using the phase field method. The phase field model reveals that dendrite formation in the molten pool follows a sequence of plane crystal growth, cell crystal growth, and columnar crystal growth. The dendrites can undergo splitting to form algal structures under conditions of higher cooling rates and lower temperature gradients. The scanning speed of laser cladding (6 mm/s) has minimal impact on dendrite growth; instead, convection within the molten pool primarily influences dendrite growth and tilt and solute distribution. Full article

This research aims to support the goals of Oman Vision 2040 by reducing the dependency on non-renewable energy resources and increasing the utilization of the national natural renewable energy resources. Selecting appropriate energy storage systems (ESSs) will play a key role in achieving this vision by enabling a greater integration of solar and other renewable energy. ESSs allow for solar power generated during daylight hours to be stored for use during peak demand periods. Additionally, the proposed framework provides guidance for large-scale ESS infrastructure planning and investments to support Oman’s renewable energy goals. As the global renewable energy market grows rapidly and Oman implements economic reforms, the ESS market is expected to flourish in Oman. In the near future, ESS is expected to contribute to lower electricity costs and enhance stability compared to traditional energy systems. While ESS technologies have been studied broadly, there is a lack of comprehensive analysis for optimal ESS selection tailored to Oman’s unique geographical, technical, and policy context. The main objective of this study is to provide a comprehensive evaluation of ESS options and identify the type(s) most suitable for integration with Oman’s national grid using a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methodology. This study addresses this gap by applying the Hesitate Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (HF-AHP) and Hesitate Fuzzy VIKOR methods to assess alternative ESS technologies based on technical, economic, environmental, and social criteria specifically for Oman’s context. The analysis reveals pumped hydro energy storage (PHES) and compressed air energy storage (CAES) as the most appropriate solutions. The tailored selection framework aims to guide policy and infrastructure planning to determine investments for large-scale ESSs and provide a model for comprehensive ESS assessment in energy transition planning for countries with similar challenges. Full article

With the rapid advancement of UAV technology and the increasing complexity of tasks, multi-UAV systems face growing challenges in task execution. Traditional task allocation algorithms often perform poorly when dealing with issues such as local optima, slow convergence speed, and low convergence accuracy, making it difficult to meet the demands for efficiency and practicality in real-world applications. To address these problems, this paper focuses on collaborative task allocation technology for multi-UAV. It proposes a collaborative task allocation strategy for multi-UAV in a multi-target environment, which comprehensively considers various complex constraints in practical application scenarios. The strategy utilizes Dubins curves for trajectory planning and constructs a multi-UAV collaborative task allocation model, with targets including the shortest total distance index, the minimum time index, and the trajectory coordination index. Each UAV is set as an artificial dragonfly by modifying the traditional dragonfly algorithm, incorporating differential evolution algorithms and their crossover, mutation, and selection operations to bring UAV swarms closer to the characteristics of biological dragonflies. The modifications can enhance the global scalability of artificial dragonfly swarms (ADSs), including wider search capacity, wider speed range, and more diverse search accuracy. Meanwhile, potential solutions with global convergence properties are stored to better support real-time adjustments to task allocation. The simulation results show that the proposed strategy can generate a conflict-free task execution scheme and plan the trajectory, which has advantages in changing the data scale of the UAV and the target and improves the reliability of the system to a certain extent. Full article

Impulse radio ultra-wideband (IR-UWB) radar, operating in the low-frequency band, can penetrate walls and utilize its high range resolution to recognize different human activities. Complex deep neural networks have demonstrated significant performance advantages in classifying radar spectrograms of various actions, but at the cost of a substantial computational overhead. In response, this paper proposes a lightweight model named TG2-CAFNet. First, clutter suppression and time–frequency analysis are used to obtain range–time and micro-Doppler feature maps of human activities. Then, leveraging GhostV2 convolution, a lightweight feature extraction module, TG2, suitable for radar spectrograms is constructed. Using a parallel structure, the features of the two spectrograms are extracted separately. Finally, to further explore the correlation between the two spectrograms and enhance the feature representation capabilities, an improved nonlinear fusion method called coordinate attention fusion (CAF) is proposed based on attention feature fusion (AFF). This method extends the adaptive weighting fusion of AFF to a spatial distribution, effectively capturing the subtle spatial relationships between the two radar spectrograms. Experiments showed that the proposed method achieved a high degree of model lightweightness, while also achieving a recognition accuracy of 99.1%. Full article

Alkali-activated concrete (AAC), produced from industrial by-products like fly ash and slag, offers a promising alternative to traditional Portland cement concrete by significantly reducing carbon emissions. Yet, the inherent variability in AAC formulations presents a challenge for accurately predicting its compressive strength using conventional approaches. To address this, we leverage machine learning (ML) techniques, which enable more precise strength predictions based on a combination of material properties and cement mix design parameters. In this study, we curated an extensive dataset comprising 1756 unique AAC mixtures to support robust ML-based modeling. Four distinct input variable schemes were devised to identify the optimal predictor set, and a comparative analysis was performed to evaluate their effectiveness. After this, we investigated the performance of several popular ML algorithms, including random forest (RF), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), gradient boosting regression trees (GBRTs), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). Among these, the XGBoost model consistently outperformed its counterparts. To further enhance the predictive accuracy of the XGBoost model, we applied four state-of-the-art optimization techniques: the Gray Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA), beetle antennae search (BAS), and Bayesian optimization (BO). The optimized XGBoost model delivered superior performance, achieving a remarkable coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.99 on the training set and 0.94 across the entire dataset. Finally, we employed SHapely Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to imbue the optimized model with interpretability, enabling deeper insights into the complex relationships governing AAC formulations. Through the lens of ML, we highlight the benefits of the multi-faceted synergistic approach for AAC strength prediction, which combines careful input parameter selection, optimal hyperparameter tuning, and enhanced model interpretability. This integrated strategy improves both the robustness and scalability of the model, offering a clear and reliable prediction of AAC performance. Full article

River sediment load estimation poses a critical challenge for water engineers due to its complex and nonlinear hydrological processes. This study assessed the amount of suspended sediment at the Bagh-e-Kalayeh hydrometric station on the Alamut River in the Qazvin province of Iran using two hydrological and meteorological variables, including discharge and rainfall, by considering three scenarios (discharge, discharge + monthly rainfall, and discharge + monthly rainfall + daily rainfall). For modeling, kernel-based data-driven methods, including Gaussian process regression (GPR) and support vector regression (SVR), and tree models, including the M5 tree, random forest (RF), random tree (RT), extra trees, reduced error pruning tree (REPT), and multi-search methods, were used. The results showed that the best performance was achieved by the SVR, with r = 0.948, Wilmot index = 0.965, and RMSE = 0.011 in the first scenario (only discharge). Discharge had the most significant impact on sediment estimation compared to rainfall. It was determined that the suspended sediment load in the Alamut River can be successfully estimated by the SVR method, where only the discharge was used as the input parameter. Additionally, the results indicated that given its characteristics and inherent features, the multi-search method can be used as a complementary approach in sediment modeling, especially in situations where the data volume is not extensive. Full article