Search Results (1,618)

This study analyzed the horizontal and vertical distribution characteristics of temperature and salinity in the central and eastern regions of the Beibu Gulf, based on conductivity measurements in summer 2022, temperature, and depth (CTD) measurement data from the Sino–Vietnamese cooperative project “Demonstration Study on Ecological Protection and Management in Typical Bays: Seasonal Survey of the Beibu Gulf”. Furthermore, the study utilized the computational results from the numerical Finite-Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) to elucidate the intrinsic patterns that formed the temperature and salinity distribution characteristics in August 2022 from both thermodynamic and dynamic perspectives. The circulation in the Beibu Gulf drives external seawater to move northward from the bay mouth. During this movement, numerous upwelling areas are created by lateral Ekman transport. The formation of different scales of cyclonic and anticyclonic vortices and current convergence zones is influenced by topography, runoff, and the water flux from the Qiongzhou Strait, which are key factors in the formation of upwelling and downwelling. The surface circulation in August 2022 significantly differed from the 20-year average surface circulation, with an influx of 1.15 × 10⁴ m³/s more water entering the Beibu Gulf compared to the multi-year average. The water flux from the Qiongzhou Strait is a critical factor affecting the circulation patterns in the Beibu Gulf. The northeastern waters of the Beibu Gulf are characterized by current convergence zones, where extensive upwelling occurs. The rich nutrient salts in these areas promote the reproduction and growth of phytoplankton and zooplankton, making this the most favorable ecological environment in the Beibu Gulf and serving as a natural reserve for fisheries, coral reefs, dugongs, and Bryde’s whales. Full article

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are associated with severe weather phenomena, making accurate wind field retrieval crucial for TC monitoring. SAR’s high-resolution imaging capability provides detailed information for TC observation, and wind speed calculations require wind direction as prior information. Therefore, utilizing SAR images to retrieve TC wind fields is of significant importance. This study introduces a novel approach for retrieving wind direction from SAR images of TCs through the classification of TC sub-images. The method utilizes a transfer learning-based Inception V3 model to identify wind streaks (WSs) and rain bands in SAR images under TC conditions. For sub-images containing WSs, the Mexican-hat wavelet transform is applied, while for sub-images containing rain bands, an edge detection technique is used to locate the center of the TC eye and subsequently the tangent to the spiral rain bands is employed to determine the wind direction associated with the rain bands. Wind direction retrieval from 10 SAR TC images showed an RMSD of 19.52° and a correlation coefficient of 0.96 when compared with ECMWF and HRD observation wind directions, demonstrating satisfactory consistency and providing highly accurate TC wind directions. These results confirm the method’s potential applications in TC wind direction retrieval. Full article

Based on the properties of Rossby waves at the tropopause resonantly forced by solar declination in harmonic modes, which was the subject of a first article, case studies of heatwaves and extreme precipitation events are presented. They clearly demonstrate that extreme events only form under specific patterns of the amplitude of the speed of modulated airflows of Rossby waves at the tropopause, in particular period ranges. This remains true even if extreme events appear as compound events where chaos and timing are crucial. Extreme events are favored when modulated cold and warm airflows result in a dual cyclone-anticyclone system, i.e., the association of two joint vortices of opposite signs. They reverse over a period of the dominant harmonic mode in spatial and temporal coherence with the modulated airflow speed pattern. This key role could result from a transfer of humid/dry air between the two vortices during the inversion of the dual system. Finally, focusing on the two period ranges 17.1–34.2 and 8.56–17.1 days corresponding to 1/16- and 1/32-year period harmonic modes, projections of the amplitude of wind speed at 250 mb, geopotential height at 500 mb, ground air temperature, and precipitation rate are performed by extrapolating their amplitude observed from January 1979 to March 2024. Projected amplitudes are regionalized on a global scale for warmest and coldest half-years, referring to extratropical latitudes. Causal relationships are established between the projected amplitudes of modulated airflow speed and those of ground air temperature and precipitation rate, whether they increase or decrease. The increase in the amplitude of modulated airflow speed of polar vortices induces their latitudinal extension. This produces a tightening of Rossby waves embedded in the polar and subtropical jet streams. In the context of climate change, this has the effect of increasing the efficiency of the resonant forcing of Rossby waves from the solar declination, the optimum of which is located at mid-latitudes. Hence the increased or decreased vulnerability to heatwaves or extreme precipitation events of some regions. Europe and western Asia are particularly affected, which is due to increased activity of the Arctic polar vortex between longitudes 20° W and 40° E. This is likely a consequence of melting ice and changing albedo, which appears to amplify the amplitude of variation in the period range 17.1–34.2 days of poleward circulation at the tropopause of the Arctic polar cell. Full article

This study investigates the interannual variations in regional mean sea levels (MSLs) of the northeast Asian marginal seas (NEAMS) during August, focusing on the role of typhoon activity from 1993 to 2019. The NEAMS are connected to the Pacific through the East China Sea (ECS) and narrow, shallow straits in the east, where inflow from the southern boundary (ECS), unless balanced by eastern outflow, leads to significant convergence or divergence, as well as subsequent changes in regional MSLs. Satellite altimetry and tide-gauge data reveal that typhoon-induced Ekman transport plays a key role in MSL variability, with increased inflow raising MSLs during active typhoon seasons. In contrast, weak typhoon activity reduces inflow, resulting in lower MSLs. This study’s findings have significant implications for coastal management, as the projected changes in tropical cyclone frequency and intensity due to climate change could exacerbate sea level rise and flooding risks. Coastal communities in the NEAMS region will need to prioritize enhanced flood defenses, early warning systems, and adaptive land use strategies to mitigate these risks. This is the first study to link typhoon frequency directly to NEAMS MSL variability, highlighting the critical role of wind-driven processes in regional sea level changes. Full article

Elliptic curve cryptography (ECC) is widely used for secure communications, because it can provide the same level of security as RSA with a much smaller key size. In constrained environments, it is important to consider efficiency, in terms of execution time and hardware costs. Modular inversion is a key time-consuming calculation used in ECC. Its hardware implementation requires extensive hardware resources, such as lookup tables and registers. We investigate the state-of-the-art modular inversion algorithms, and evaluate the performance and cost of the algorithms and their hardware implementations. We then propose a high-radix modular inversion algorithm aimed at reducing the execution time and hardware costs. We present a detailed radix-8 hardware implementation based on 256-bit primes in Verilog HDL and compare its cost performance to other implementations. Our implementation on the Altera Cyclone V FPGA chip used 1227 ALMs (adaptive logic modules) and 1037 registers. The modular inversion calculation took 3.67 ms. The AT (area–time) factor was 8.30, outperforming the other implementations. We also present an implementation of ECC using the proposed radix-8 modular inversion algorithm. The implementation results also showed that our modular inversion algorithm was more efficient in area–time than the other algorithms. Full article

Variable heat fluxes over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) interact thermally with the atmosphere, affecting weather in surrounding areas, particularly in the Middle and Lower Yangtze River (MLYR). However, the circulation patterns and time-lag effects between TP heat fluxes and MLYR precipitation remain unclear. This study identified 577 large-scale daily heavy precipitation events (LSDHPEs) in the MLYR from 1980 to 2022. We analyzed the weather causation and spatiotemporal correlations between the TP surface heat fluxes and MLYR LSDHPEs using self-organizing map clustering, singular value decomposition, and harmonic analysis of time series. The results found two dominant synoptic patterns of LSDHPEs at 500 hPa: one, driven by anticyclonic and cyclonic circulations coinciding with shifts in the West Pacific subtropical high and South Asian high, increased from 2000 to 2022; the other, influenced by MLYR cyclonic circulation, showed a significant decrease. For the first time, we revealed lagged effects of the latent heat anomalies (with a lag time of 1–10 d and 130–200 d) and sensible heat anomalies (with a lag time of 2–4 months) over the TP during LSDHPEs in the MLYR. The results may enhance our understanding of TP heat flux anomalies as precursor signals for early warning of heavy rainfall and flooding in the MLYR. Full article

Conventional wisdom about mesoscale eddies is that cyclonic (anticyclonic) eddies are commonly associated with cold(warm) surface cores. Nevertheless, plenties of surface warm cyclonic eddies (WCEs) and cold anticyclonic eddies (CAEs) in the North Pacific Subtropical Countercurrent (STCC) region are observed by a synergistic investigation based on data from satellite altimetry, microwave radiometer, and Argo float profiles in this study. The results indicate that these two types of abnormal eddies (WCEs and CAEs) are prevalent in the STCC region, comprising approximately 30% of all eddies detected via satellite observations. We then analyze their spatial-temporal distribution characteristics and composite vertical structures. A statistical comparison with surface cold cyclonic eddies (CCEs) and warm anticyclonic eddies (WAEs) reveals notable differences between the anomalous and typical eddies. Additionally, we present the composite vertical structures of temperature and salinity anomalies for the anomalous eddies across five delineated subregions within an eddy-coordinate system. Furthermore, the close relationship between these abnormal eddies and subsurface-intensified mesoscale eddies are discussed. Full article

Flow-type landslides are not typical in this region of the Balkans. However, after the Tamara cyclone event in 2014, numerous such occurrences have been observed in Serbia. This paper presents the initial results of a detailed investigation into debris flows in Serbia, comparing findings from two programs: RAMMS DBF and Geoflow SPH. Located in Western Serbia, the Selanac debris flow is a complex event characterized by significant depths in the initial block and entrainment zone. Previous field investigations utilized ERT surveys, supplemented by laboratory tests, to characterize material behavior. Approximately 450,000 m³ of material began to flow following an extreme precipitation period, ultimately traveling 1.2 km to the deposition zone. For validation purposes, ERT profiles from both the deposition zone and the source area were utilized, with particular attention given to areas where entrainment was substantial, as this had a significant impact on the final models. The first objective of this research is to conduct a detailed investigation of debris flow using field investigations: geophysical (ERT) and aerial photogrammetry. The second objective is to evaluate the capacity of two debris flow propagation models to simulate the reality of these phenomena. The GeoFlow-SPH code overestimated the maximum propagation thickness in comparison to the RAMMS model. The numerical results regarding final depths closely align, especially when considering the estimated average depth in the deposition zone. The results confirm the necessity of using multiple simulation codes to more accurately predict specific events. Full article

Numerical experiments using the WRF model were conducted to analyze the sensitivity of Typhoon Mangkhut intensification simulations to seven widely used planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization schemes, including YSU, MYJ, QNSE, MYNN2, MYNN3, ACM2, and BouLac. The results showed that all simulations generally reproduced the tropical cyclone (TC) track and intensity, with YSU, QNSE, and BouLac schemes better capturing intensification processes and closely matching observed TC intensity. In terms of surface layer parameterization, the QNSE scheme produced the highest C_k/C_d ratio, resulting in stronger TC intensity based on Emanuel’s potential intensity theory. In terms of PBL parameterization, the YSU and BouLac schemes, with the same revised MM5 surface layer scheme, simulated weaker turbulent diffusivity K_m and shallower mixing height, leading to stronger TC intensity. During the intensification period, the BouLac, YSU, and QNSE PBL schemes exhibited stronger tangential wind, radial inflow within the boundary layer, and updraft around the eye wall, consistent with TC intensity results. Both PBL and surface layer parameterization significantly influenced simulated TC intensity. The QNSE scheme, with the largest C_k/C_d ratio, and the YSU and BouLac schemes, with weaker turbulent diffusivity, generated stronger radial inflow, updraft, and warm core structures, contributing to higher storm intensity. Full article

The Sundarbans is the world’s largest contiguous mangrove forest with an area of about 10,000 square kilometers and shared between Bangladesh and India. This world-renowned mangrove forest, located on the lower Ganges floodplain and facing the Bay of Bengal, has long served as a crucial barrier, shielding southern coastal Bangladesh from cyclone hazards. However, the Sundarbans mangrove ecosystem is now increasingly threatened by climate-induced hazards, particularly tropical cyclones originating from the Indian Ocean. To assess the cyclone vulnerability of this unique ecosystem, using geospatial techniques, we analyzed the damage caused by past cyclones and the subsequent recovery across three salinity zones, i.e., Oligohaline, Mesohaline, and Polyhaline. Our study also examined the relationship between cyclone intensity with the extent of damage and forest recovery. The findings of our study indicate that the Polyhaline zone, the largest in terms of area and with the lowest elevation, suffered the most significant damage from cyclones in the Sundarbans region, likely due to its proximity to the most cyclone paths. A correlation analysis revealed that cyclone damage positively correlated with wind speed and negatively correlated with the distance of landfall from the center of the Sundarbans. With the expectation of more extreme weather events in the near future, the Sundarbans mangrove forest faces a potentially devastating outlook unless both natural protection processes and human interventions are undertaken to safeguard this critical ecosystem. Full article

This study presents a comprehensive analysis on the variations in the tropical cyclone (TC) frequencies during 1980–2021, including the linear trends, periodicities, and their variabilities on both global and basin-wise scales. An increasing trend in the annual number of global TCs is identified, with a significant rising trend in the numbers of tropical storms (maximum sustained wind $35 \mathrm{k}\mathrm{t}\mathrm{s}\le U_{max}<64 \mathrm{k}\mathrm{t}\mathrm{s}$) and intense typhoons ($U_{max}\ge 96 \mathrm{k}\mathrm{t}\mathrm{s}$) and a deceasing trend for weak typhoons ($64 \mathrm{k}\mathrm{t}\mathrm{s}\le U_{max}<96 \mathrm{k}\mathrm{t}\mathrm{s}$). There is no statistically significant trend shown in the global Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). On a regional scale, the Western North Pacific (WNP) and Eastern North Pacific (ENP) are the regions of the first- and second-largest numbers of TCs, respectively, while the increased TC activity in the North Atlantic (NA) contributes the most to the global increase in TCs. It is revealed in the wavelet transformation for periodicity analysis that the variations in the annual number of TCs with different intensities mostly show an inter-annual period of 3–7 years and an inter-decadal one of 10–13 years. The inter-annual and inter-decadal periods are consistent with those in the ENSO-related ocean drivers (via the Niño 3.4 index), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), and Inter-decadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) index. The inter-decadal variation in 10–13 years is also observed in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index. The Tropical North Atlantic (TNA) index and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) index, on the other hand, present the same inter-annual period of 7–10 years as that in the frequencies of all the named TCs in the NA. Further, the correlations between TC frequencies and ocean drivers are also quantified using the Pearson correlation coefficient. These findings contribute to an enhanced understanding of TC activity, thereby facilitating efforts to predict particular TC activity and mitigate the inflicted damage. Full article

Hurricane incidents have become increasingly frequent along the coastal United States and have had a negative impact on the mangrove forests and their ecosystem services across the southeastern region. Mangroves play a key role in providing coastal protection during hurricanes by attenuating storm surges and reducing erosion. However, their resilience is being increasingly compromised due to climate change through sea level rises and the greater intensity of storms. This article examines the role of remote sensing tools in studying the impacts of hurricanes on mangrove forests in the coastal United States. Our results show that various remote sensing tools including satellite imagery, Light detection and ranging (LiDAR) and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have been used to detect mangrove damage, monitor their recovery and analyze their 3D structural changes. Landsat 8 OLI (14%) has been particularly useful in long-term assessments, followed by Landsat 5 TM (9%) and NASA G-LiHT LiDAR (8%). Random forest (24%) and linear regression (24%) models were the most common modeling techniques, with the former being the most frequently used method for classifying satellite images. Some studies have shown significant mangrove canopy loss after major hurricanes, and damage was seen to vary spatially based on factors such as proximity to oceans, elevation and canopy structure, with taller mangroves typically experiencing greater damage. Recovery rates after hurricane-induced damage also vary, as some areas were seen to show rapid regrowth within months while others remained impacted after many years. The current challenges include capturing fine-scale changes owing to the dearth of remote sensing data with high temporal and spatial resolution. This review provides insights into the current remote sensing applications used in hurricane-prone mangrove habitats and is intended to guide future research directions, inform coastal management strategies and support conservation efforts. Full article

Tropical cyclones (TCs), often characterized by high wind speeds and heavy rainfall, cause widespread devastation, affecting millions of people and leading to economic losses worldwide. TC-specific research in Georgia is scarce, likely due to the minimal geographical extent of its coast and the infrequency of direct landfalls. Research on Georgia TCs does not account for storms that make landfall in other southeastern states (e.g., Florida) and continue north, northeast, or northwest into Georgia. This study used the North Atlantic Basin hurricane database (HURDAT2) to quantify the spatiotemporal patterns of direct and indirect landfalling of Georgia tropical cyclones (>16 ms⁻¹) from 1851 to 2021. TC-induced rainfall was also quantified using rainfall data (nClimGrid-Daily and nClimGrid) from 1951 to 2021 to estimate the proportion of Georgia’s total annual and monthly rainfall attributed to TCs. A multi-methodological approach, incorporating statistics and mapping, is employed to assess the trends of Georgia’s tropical cyclones and the associated rainfall. The study analyzed 113 TCs and found that, on average, less than one TC annually ($\overline{\mathrm{x}}$ = 0.66) traverses the state. September averaged the highest percentage (25%) of TC-induced rainfall, followed by October (14%), and August (13%). This pattern aligns with the TC season, with the highest frequency of TCs occurring in September (n = 35), followed by August (n = 25), and October (n = 18). We found that 10% of tropical storms make landfall on the coastline, while the remaining 91% enter Georgia by making landfall in Florida (92%), Louisiana (7%), or South Carolina (1%) first. A threat of TCs during the peak of the season emphasizes the importance of heightened awareness, increased planning practices, and resource allocation during these periods to protect Georgia’s history and natural beauty, and its residents. Full article

As it turns out, both isotope scaling and density limits are phenomena closely linked to fluid closure. The necessity to include ion viscosity arises for both phenomena. Thus, we have added ion viscosity to our model. The experimental isotope scaling has been successfully recovered in our fluid model through parameter scans. Although ion viscosity typically exerts a small effect, the density limit is manifested by increasing the density by approximately tenfold from the typical experimental density. In our case, this increase originates from the density in the Cyclone base case. Notably, these phenomena would not manifest with a gyro-Landau fluid closure. The isotope scaling is nullified by the addition of a gyro-Landau term, while the density limit results from permitting ion viscosity to become comparable to the gyro-Landau term. The mechanism of zonal flows, demonstrated analytically for the Dimits upshift, yields insights into the isotope scaling observed in experiments. In our approach, ion viscosity is introduced in place of the Landau fluid resonances found in some fluid models. This implies that the mechanism of isotope scaling operates at the level of fluid closure in connection with the generation of zonal flows. The strength of zonal flows in our model has been verified, particularly in connection with the successful simulation of the nonlinear Dimits shift. Consequently, a role is played by our approach in the temperature perturbation part of the Reynolds stress. Full article

International research attention on evacuation issues has increased significantly following the human and natural disasters at the turn of the century, such as 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, Cyclones Idai and Kenneth, the Black Saturday forest fires and tsunamis in Japan. The main problem concerning when a disaster can occur involves studying the risk reduction. Risk, following all the theoretical and experimental studies, is determined by the product of three components: occurrence, vulnerability and exposure. Vulnerability can be improved over time through major infrastructure actions, but absolute security cannot be achieved. When the event will occur with certainty, only exposure remains to reduce the risk to people before the effect hits them. Exposure can be improved, under fixed conditions of occurrence and vulnerability, by improving evacuation. The main problem in terms of evacuating the population from an area is the available transport system, which must be used to its fullest. So, if the system is well managed, the evacuation improves (shorter times), meaning the exposure is reduced, and therefore, the risk is reduced. A key factor in the analysis of transport systems under emergency conditions is the behavior of the user, and therefore, the study of demand. This work identifies the main research lines that are useful for studying demand under exposure-related risk conditions. The classification of demand models that simulate evacuation conditions in relation to the effect on the transportation system is summarized. The contribution proposes a model for updating choice in relation to emergency conditions and utility. The contribution of emerging ICTs to actualization is formally introduced into the models. Intelligent technologies make it possible to improve user decisions, reducing exposure and therefore risk. The proposed model moves within the two approaches of the literature: it is an inter-period dynamic model with the probability expressed within the discrete choice theory; furthermore, it is a sequential dynamic model with the probability dependent on the previous choices. The contribution presents an example of application of the model, developing a transition matrix considering the case of choice updating under two extreme conditions. Full article