Search Results (433)

Drought, characterized by frequent occurrences, an extended duration, and a wide range of destruction, has become one of the natural disasters posing a significant threat to both socioeconomic progress and agricultural livelihoods. Large-scale geographical environments often exhibit obvious spatial heterogeneity, leading to significant spatial differences in drought’s development and outcomes. However, traditional drought monitoring models have not taken into account the impact of regional spatial heterogeneity on drought, resulting in evaluation results that do not match the actual situation. In response to the above-mentioned issues, this study proposes the establishment of ecological–geographic zoning to adapt to the spatially stratified heterogeneous characteristics of large-scale drought monitoring. First, based on the principles of ecological and geographical zoning, an appropriate index system was selected to carry out ecological and geographical zoning for Yunnan Province. Second, based on the zoning results and using data from NASA’s Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B43, the vegetation condition index (VCI), the temperature condition index (TCI), the precipitation condition index (TRCI), and three topographic factors including the digital elevation model (DEM), slope (SLOPE), and aspect (ASPECT) were selected as model parameters. Multiple linear regression models were then used to establish integrated drought monitoring frameworks at different eco–geographical zoning scales. Finally, the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was used to evaluate the monitoring effects of the model, and the spatiotemporal variation patterns and characteristics of winter and spring droughts in Yunnan Province from 2008–2019 were further analyzed. The results show that (1) compared to the traditional non-zonal models, the drought monitoring model constructed based on ecological–geographic zoning has a higher correlation and greater accuracy with the SPEI and (2) Yunnan Province experiences periodic and seasonal drought patterns, with spring being the peak period of drought occurrence and moderate drought and light drought being the main types of drought in Yunnan Province. Therefore, we believe that ecological–geographic zoning can better adapt to geographical spatial heterogeneity characteristics, and the zonal drought monitoring model constructed can more effectively identify the actual occurrence of drought in large regions. This research finding can provide reference for the formulation of drought response policies in large-scale regions. Full article

The spatiotemporal and cloud features of the extreme rainfall under the warm and cold upper-level anomalies over the central Yungui Plateau (YGP) were investigated using the hourly rain gauge records, ERA5 reanalysis data, TRMM, and Fengyun satellite data, aiming to refine the understanding of different types of extreme rainfall. Extreme rainfall under an upper-level negative temperature anomaly (cold events) presents stronger convective cloud features when compared with the positive temperature anomaly (warm events). The maximum rainfall intensity and duration in cold events is much larger than that of warm events, while the brightness temperature of the cloud top is lower, and the ratio of convective rainfall is higher. In cold events, the middle-to-upper troposphere is dominated by a cold anomaly, and an unstable configuration with upper (lower) cold (warm) anomalies is observed around the central YGP. Although the upper-level temperature anomaly is positive, the anomalous divergence and convergence of southerly and northerly winds, as well as the strong moisture center and upward motions, are also found over the central YGP in warm events. The stronger atmospheric instability and higher convective energy under the upper-level cold anomalous circulation are closely associated with the rainfall features over the central YGP. The results indicate that the upper tropospheric temperature has significant influences on extreme rainfall, and thus more attention should be paid to the upper tropospheric temperature in future analyses. Full article

High-resolution and accurate precipitation data are essential for hydrological, meteorological, and ecological research at the watershed scale. However, in regions with complex terrain and significant rainfall variability, the limited number of rain gauge stations (RGS) is insufficient, and the spatial resolution of existing satellite precipitation data is too low to capture detailed precipitation patterns at the watershed scale. To address this issue, the downscaling of satellite precipitation products has become an effective method to obtain high-resolution precipitation data. This study proposes a monthly downscaling method based on a random forest model, aiming to improve the resolution of precipitation data in cloudy and rainy regions at mid-to-low latitudes. We combined the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform with a local Python environment, introducing cloud cover characteristics into traditional downscaling variables (latitude, longitude, topography, and vegetation index). The TRMM data were downscaled from 25 km to 1 km, generating high-resolution monthly precipitation data for the Dongting Lake Basin from 2001 to 2019. Furthermore, we analyzed the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of precipitation in the study area. The results show the following: (1) In cloudy and rainy regions, our method improves resolution and detail while maintaining the accuracy of precipitation data; (2) The response of monthly precipitation to environmental variables varies, with cloud cover characteristics contributing more to the downscaling model than vegetation characteristics, helping to overcome the lag effect of vegetation characteristics; and (3) Over the past 20 years, there have been significant seasonal trends in precipitation changes in the study area, with a decreasing trend in winter and spring (January–May) and an increasing trend in summer and autumn (June–December). These results indicate that the proposed method is suitable for downscaling monthly precipitation data in cloudy and rainy regions of the Dongting Lake Basin. Full article

In the western Andes, climate changes have led to drastic ecological changes during the Pleistocene and Holocene. Given the debate surrounding precipitation pattern changes and the lack of research on lakes in the Chilean Altiplano, this study aims to assess recent climate changes. The paper presents an innovative methodology based on Google Earth Engine (GEE), utilizing fluctuations in water levels in endorheic lakes as natural precipitation indicators. Three lakes (Chungará, Miscanti, and Miniques) in isolated drainage systems were studied, where changes in water levels directly reflect rainfall variations. Data from Landsat-OLI 8, Landsat-ETM+, Landsat-TM 5, and MODIS spanning 31 years were processed using the Google Earth Engine platform. The shapes of the water bodies were extracted using hue saturation value (HSV) composites. The surface areas of the lakes were compared with precipitation data from national meteorological stations and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) using linear regression analyses. Both lake area and rainfall volume showed a decrease over time, with varying trends depending on environmental conditions. However, the analysis consistently indicates a reduction in the area and volume of Chilean lakes corresponding to observed rainfall patterns over the past three decades. Full article

Spatial downscaling is an effective way to improve the spatial resolution of precipitation products. However, the existing methods often fail to adequately consider the spatial heterogeneity and complex nonlinearity between precipitation and surface parameters, resulting in poor downscaling performance and inaccurate expression of regional details. In this study, we propose a precipitation downscaling model based on geographically neural network weighted regression (GNNWR), which integrates normalized difference vegetation index, digital elevation model, land surface temperature, and slope data to address spatial heterogeneity and complex nonlinearity. We explored the spatiotemporal trends of precipitation in the Sichuan region over the past two decades. The results show that the GNNWR model outperforms common methods in downscaling precipitation for the four distinct seasons, achieving a maximum R² of 0.972 and a minimum RMSE of 3.551 mm. Overall, precipitation in Sichuan Province exhibits a significant increasing trend from 2001 to 2019, with a spatial distribution pattern of low in the northwest and high in the southeast. The GNNWR downscaled results exhibit the strongest correlation with observed data and provide a more accurate representation of precipitation spatial patterns. Our findings suggest that GNNWR is a practical method for precipitation downscaling considering its high accuracy and model performance. Full article

Satellite products have shown great potential in estimating torrential rainfall due to their wide and consistent global coverage. This study assessed the monitoring capabilities of satellite products for the tropical cyclone remote precipitation (TRP) over the Yangtze River Delta region (YRDR) associated with severe typhoon Khanun (2017) and super-typhoon Mangkhut (2018). The satellite products include the CPC MORPHing technique (CMORPH) data, Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B42 Version 7 (TRMM 3B42), and Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM IMERG). Eight precision evaluation indexes and statistical methods were used to analyze and evaluate the monitoring capabilities of CMORPH, TRMM 3B42, and GPM IMERG satellite precipitation products. The results indicated that the monitoring capability of TRMM satellite precipitation products was superior in capturing the spatial distribution, and GPM products captured the temporal distributions and different category precipitation observed from gauge stations. In contrast, the CMORPH products performed moderately during two heavy rainfall events, often underestimating or overestimating precipitation amounts and inaccurately detecting precipitation peaks. Overall, the three satellite precipitation products showed low POD, high FAR, low TS, and high FBIAS for heavy rainfall events, and the differences in monitoring torrential TRP may be related to satellite retrieval algorithms. Full article

Satellite precipitation products can help improve precipitation estimates where ground-based observations are lacking; however, their relative accuracy and applicability in data-scarce areas remain unclear. Here, we evaluated the accuracy of different satellite precipitation datasets for the Lancang River Basin, Western China, including the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B42RT, the Global Precipitation Measurement Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals (GPM IMERG), and Fengyun 2G (FY-2G) datasets. The results showed that GPM IMERG and FY-2G are superior to TRMM 3B42RT for meeting local research needs. A subsequent bias correction on these two datasets significantly increased the correlation coefficient and probability of detection of the products and reduced error indices such as the root mean square error and mean absolute error. To further improve data quality, we proposed a novel correction–fusion method based on window sliding data correction and Bayesian data fusion. Specifically, the corrected FY-2G dataset was merged with GPM IMERG Early, Late, and Final Runs. The resulting FY-Early, FY-Late, and FY-Final fusion datasets showed high correlation coefficients, strong detection performances, and few observation errors, thereby effectively extending local precipitation data sources. The results of this study provide a scientific basis for the rational use of satellite precipitation products in data-scarce areas, as well as reliable data support for precipitation forecasting and water resource management in the Lancang River Basin. Full article

Satellite precipitation products (SPPs) are of great significance for water resource management and utilization in China; however, they suffer from considerable uncertainty. While numerous researchers have evaluated the accuracy of various SPPs, further investigation is needed to assess their performance across China’s nine major water resource regions. This study used the latest precipitation dataset of the China Meteorological Administration’s Land Surface Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0) as the benchmark and evaluated the performance of six SPPs—GSMaP, PERSIANN, CMORPH, CHIRPS, GPM IMERG, and TRMM—using six indices: correlation coefficient (CC), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), probability of detection (POD), false alarm rate (FAR), and critical success index (CSI), at both daily and hourly scales across China’s nine water resource regions. The conclusions of this study are as follows: (1) The performance of the six SPPs was generally weaker in the west than in the east, with the Continental Basin (CB) exhibiting the poorest performance, followed by the Southwest Basin (SB). (2) At the hourly scale, the performance of the six SPPs was weaker compared to the daily scale, particularly in the high-altitude CB and the high-latitude Songhua and Liaohe River Basin (SLRB), where observing light precipitation and snowfall presents significant challenges. (3) GSMaP, CMORPH, and GPM IMERG demonstrated superior overall performance compared to CHIRPS, PERISANN, and TRMM. (4) CMORPH was found to be better suited for application in drought-prone areas, showcasing optimal performance in the CB and SB. GSMaP excelled in humid regions, displaying the best overall performance in the remaining seven basins. GPM IMERG serves as a complementary precipitation data source for the first two. Full article

The identification of multi-source signals with time-frequency aliasing is a complex problem in wideband signal reception. The traditional method of first separation and identification especially fails due to the significant separation error under underdetermined conditions when the degree of time-frequency aliasing is high. The single-mode recognition method does not need to be separated first. However, the single-mode features contain less signal information, making it challenging to identify time-frequency aliasing signals accurately. To solve the above problems, this article proposes a time-frequency aliasing signal recognition method based on multi-mode fusion (TRMM). This method uses the U-Net network to extract pixel-by-pixel features of the time-frequency and wave-frequency images and then performs weighted fusion. The multimodal feature scores are used as the classification basis to realize the recognition of the time-frequency aliasing signals. When the SNR is 0 dB, the recognition rate of the four-signal aliasing model can reach more than 97.3%. Full article

Accurate and reliable precipitation data are important for analyzing regional precipitation distribution, water resource management, and ecological environment construction. Due to the scarcity of meteorological stations in the Turpan–Hami region, precipitation observation conditions are limited, and it is difficult to obtain precipitation data. Firstly, the applicability of TRMM 3B43v7, GPM_3IMERGM 06, and CMORPH CDR satellite precipitation data for the Turpan–Hami Region was evaluated, and the products with better applicability were selected. Next, the Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm (XGBoost) and the Shapley Additive Explanations for Machine Learning (SHAP) model were combined to carry out a feature importance analysis on the climate factors affecting precipitation (mean temperature, actual evapotranspiration, wind speed, cloud cover), from which climate factors with a greater influence on precipitation were selected. Combined with climate factors, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), slope, aspect, and elevation as explanatory variables, a Multi-Scale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) model was constructed to obtain the monthly precipitation data of 1 km spatial resolution in the Turpan–Hami area from 2001 to 2020. Finally, the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and changing trend of precipitation in the Turpan–Hami region from 2001 to 2020 were analyzed. The results show that (1) GPM_3IMERGM 06 satellite precipitation data exhibits good applicability in the Turpan–Hami region. (2) The precision verification of the downscaling results from a monthly scale and an annual scale shows that the accuracy and spatial resolution of the data are improved after downscaling. (3) From 2001 to 2020, the precipitation in the Turpan–Hami region showed an insignificantly increasing trend. Full article

Satellite precipitation products (SPPs) are undeniably subject to uncertainty due to retrieval algorithms and sampling issues. Many research efforts have concentrated on merging SPPs to create high-quality merged precipitation datasets (MPDs) in order to reduce these uncertainties. This study investigates the efficacy of dynamically weighted MPDs in contrast to those using static weights. The analysis focuses on comparing MPDs generated using the “dynamic clustered Bayesian averaging (DCBA)” approach with those utilizing the “regional principal component analysis (RPCA)” under fixed-weight conditions. These MPDs were merged from SPPs and reanalysis precipitation data, including TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission) Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42V7, PERSIANN-CDR, CMORPH, and the ERA-Interim reanalysis precipitation data. The performance of these datasets was evaluated in Pakistan’s diverse climatic zones—glacial, humid, arid, and hyper-arid—employing data from 102 rain gauge stations. The effectiveness of the DCBA model was quantified using Theil’s U statistic, demonstrating its superiority over the RPCA model and other individual merging methods in the study area The comparative performances of DCBA and RPCA in these regions, as measured by Theil’s U, are 0.49 to 0.53, 0.38 to 0.45, 0.37 to 0.42, and 0.36 to 0.43 in glacial, humid, arid, and hyper-arid zones, respectively. The evaluation of DCBA and RPCA compared with SPPs at different elevations showed poorer performance at high altitudes (>4000 m). The comparison of MPDs with the best performance of SPP (i.e., TMPA) showed significant improvement of DCBA even at altitudes above 4000 m. The improvements are reported as 49.83% for mean absolute error (MAE), 42.31% for root-mean-square error (RMSE), 27.94% for correlation coefficient (CC), 40.15% for standard deviation (SD), and 13.21% for Theil’s U. Relatively smaller improvements are observed for RPCA at 13.04%, 1.56%, 10.91%, 1.67%, and 5.66% in the above indices, respectively. Overall, this study demonstrated the superiority of DCBA over RPCA with static weight. Therefore, it is strongly recommended to use dynamic variation of weights in the development of MPDs. Full article

Utilizing data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite’s precipitation radar (PR) and lightning imaging sensor (LIS), this study explores the spatiotemporal distributions of thunderstorm and lightning structures over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), an aspect that has not been explored previously. The structural aspects are crucial when considering the impact of thunderstorm and lightning activity in the atmospheric processes. Thunderstorms over the QTP show clear spatial variations in both vertical height and horizontal extension. In the southern region, the average heights of 20 dBZ and 30 dBZ echo tops typically exceed 11.2 and 9.3 km, respectively. Meanwhile, in the eastern part, the average coverage areas for reflectivity greater than 20 dBZ and 30 dBZ consistently surpass 1000 and 180 km², respectively. The spatial distribution of thunderstorm vertical development height relative to the surface aligns more closely with the horizontal extension, indicating stronger convection in the eastern QTP. The thunderstorm flash rate shows an eastward and northward prevalence, while the thunderstorm flash density peaks in the western and northeastern QTP, with a minimum in the southeast. Furthermore, in the eastern QTP, lightning duration, spatial expansion, and radiance are more pronounced, with the average values typically exceeding 0.22 s, 14.5 km, and 0.50 J m⁻² sr⁻¹ μm⁻¹, respectively. Monthly variations reveal heightened values during the summer season for thunderstorm vertical extension, areas with reflectivity greater than 30 dBZ, and lightning frequency. Diurnal variations highlight an afternoon increase in thunderstorm vertical and horizontal extension, lightning frequency, duration, and spatial scale. From a statistical perspective, under weak convective conditions, lightning length exhibits a positive correlation with thunderstorm convection intensity, contrasting with the opposite relationship suggested by previous studies. This article further analyzes and discusses the correlations between various thunderstorm and lightning structural parameters, enhancing our understanding of the distinctive features of thunderstorm and lightning activities in the QTP. Full article

Temperature and precipitation are crucial indicators for investigating climate changes, necessitating precise measurements for rigorous scientific inquiry. While the Fifth Generation of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Atmospheric Reanalysis (ERA5), ERA5 of the Land Surface (ERA5-Land), and China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD) temperature and precipitation products are widely used worldwide, their suitability for the Altay region of arid and semi-arid areas has received limited attention. Here, we used the Altay region as the study area, utilizing meteorological station data and implementing the residual revision method for temperature and the coefficient revision method for precipitation to rectify inaccuracies in monthly temperature and precipitation records from ERA5-Land, ERA5, and CMFD. We evaluate the accuracy of these datasets before and after correction using bias, Taylor diagrams, and root-mean-square error (RMSE) metrics. Additionally, we employ Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission satellite precipitation data (TRMM) as a benchmark to assess the performance of ERA5-Land, ERA5, and CMFD monthly precipitation before and after correction. The results revealed significant differences in the temperature and precipitation capture capabilities of ERA5-Land, ERA5, and CMFD in the Altay region. Overall, these data exhibit substantial errors and are not directly suitable for scientific research. However, we applied residual and coefficient revision methods. After this revision, ERA5-Land, ERA5, and CMFD showed significantly improved temperature and precipitation capture capabilities, especially for ERA5-Land. In terms of temperature, post-revision-CMFD (CMFD_PR) demonstrated better temperature capture capabilities. All three datasets showed weaker performance in mountainous regions compared to plains. Notably, post-revision-ERA5 (ERA5_PR) seemed unsuitable for capturing temperature in the Altay region. Concerning rain, CMFD_PR, post-revision-ERA5-Land (ERA5-Land_PR) and ERA5_PR outperformed TRMM in capturing precipitation. CMFD_PR and ERA5-Land_PR both outperform ERA5_PR. In summary, the revision datasets effectively compensated for the sparse distribution of meteorological stations in the Altay region, providing reliable data support for studying climate change in arid and semi-arid areas. Full article

Seasonal snowpacks, characterized by their snow water equivalent (SWE), can play a major role in the hydrological cycle of montane environments with months of snow accretion followed by episodes of melt controlling flood risk and water resource availability downstream. Quantifying the temporal and spatial patterns of snowpack accumulation and its subsequent melt and runoff is an internationally significant challenge, particularly within mountainous regions featuring complex terrain with limited or absent observational data. Here we report a new approach to snowpack characterization using open-source global satellite and modelled data products (precipitation and SWE) greatly enhancing the utility of the widely used Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The paper focusses on the c. 23,000 km² Chenab river basin (CRB) in the headwaters of the Indus Basin, globally important because of its large and growing population and increasing water insecurity due to climate change. We used five area-weighted averaged satellite, gridded and reanalysis precipitation datasets: ERA5-Land, CMORPH, TRMM, APHRODITE and CPC UPP. As well as comparison to local weather station data, these were used in SWAT to model streamflow for evaluation against observed streamflow at the basin outlet. ERA5-Land data provided the best streamflow match-ups and was used to infer snowpack (SWE) dynamics at basin and sub-basin scales. Snow reference data were derived from remote sensing and modelled SWE re-analysis products: ULCA-SWE and KRA-SWE, respectively. Beyond conventional auto-calibration and single-variable approaches we undertook multi-variable calibration using R-SWAT to manually adjust snow parameters alongside observed streamflow data. Characterization of basin-wide patterns of snowpack build-up and melt (SWE dynamics) were greatly strengthened using KRA-SWE data accompanied by improved streamflow simulation in sub-basins dominated by seasonal snow cover. UCLA-SWE data also improved SWE estimations using R-SWAT but weakened the performance of simulated streamflow due to under capture of seasonal runoff from permanent snow/ice fields in the CRB. This research highlights the utility and value of remote sensing and modelling data to drive better understanding of snowpack dynamics and their contribution to runoff in the absence of in situ snowpack data in high-altitude environments. An improved understanding of snow-bound water is vital in natural hazard risk assessment and in better managing worldwide water resources in the populous downstream regions of mountain-fed large rivers under threat from climate change. Full article

Precipitation patterns are highly valued in the fields of weather forecasting, water resource management, and estuary environment research. In this study, daily and monthly precipitation TRMM data from 1998 to 2019 were selected, and EOF analysis was employed to analyze the precipitation patterns of the Taiwan Strait and its neighboring regions. We obtained the following results: (1) The rainy season (May–June) is the main contributor to precipitation in the study area. The EOF first mode reflected the overall consistency of the precipitation spatial distribution. However, within each river basin, the magnitude of precipitation variation is spatially different. The magnitude of precipitation variation is significant in the northwestern part of the Minjiang River basin, the southwestern part of the Jiulong River basin, and the southwestern corner of the Hanjiang River basin. These areas happen to correspond to the mountain areas, revealing that topographic precipitation plays a role in the spatial distribution of precipitation in the three river basins. (2) The spatial distributions of the EOF first mode and of precipitation during El Niño in the Minjiang River basin are consistent. This reveals that ENSO is probably the dominant factor in precipitation in the Minjiang River basin. The significant increase in precipitation during El Niño compared with a normal year in the Minjiang River basin confirms this point. (3) In all three strong El Niño years, 1998, 2010, and 2016, the Minjiang River basin experienced significant heavy precipitation in the fall and winter, whereas the Jiulong River and Hanjiang River basins did not (except in 2016). In other words, the Minjiang River basin is more affected by ENSO, while the Jiulong River and Hanjiang River basins are only limitedly impacted by ENSO. Full article