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2019 •
This study overall focuses on the military features of the Ukrainian conflict, beginning with a timeline of the most important events that took place.
L’Ucraina alla ricerca di un equilibrio
The Conflict in Donbas: Evolution and Consequences2019 •
This chapter focuses on the military conflict in the Donbas area of Ukraine over the period from February 2014 to April 2019 that spans from the beginning of the conflict to the end of the Presidency of Petro Poroshenko, Ukraine’s post-Euromaidan president. By process-tracing the conflict, it brings to light its hybrid nature and argues that the conflict is a result of destabilization tactics, military and political, and of failed diplomatic attempts by state and non-state actors on both sides. In other words, neither the nature nor the territory of the conflict had been preordained at its start and its current shape does not reflect pre-existing societal or identity cleavages.
What does Ukraine think?
Beyond Pro and Anti: Monochrome Prefixes and Their Discontents2015 •
Andrew Wilson (editor): “Ukrainian writers, thinkers and politicians discuss the challenges of the war with Russia and of attempting simultaneously to rescue and reform a moribund economy. Many take heart from the claim that the new Ukraine is paradoxically consolidating under so much Russian pressure. Without, for the time being at least, Crimea and half of the Donbas region, the other eastern and southern regions of Ukraine are supposedly uniting behind Kyiv -- making Putin a paradoxical Ukrainian nation-builder. The authors discuss the nature of the Russian challenge and the Western response, and report from key Ukrainian regions like Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk to test just how united the new Ukraine really is.”
In this chapter I identify and explain the critical junctures at which events in Ukraine could have taken a different turn depending on the choices (actions and reactions) of the main conflict parties. I argue that at the very beginning of the conflict escalation all sides made incorrect assumptions about one another’s intentions, resources and potential. As a result, competition between Ukrainian elite groups has transformed into full-scale war. Due to the ‘zero-sum’ strategy to which every side adheres, the confrontation has evolved from peaceful protest through violent protest and low-intensity conflict to open warfare with the employment of tanks, heavy artillery, multiple rocket systems, and airpower. This chapter demonstrates that we have witnessed the employment by Russia of a novel form of warfare that combines destabilisation with ‘creeping’ indirect occupation (hard power) and effective propaganda (soft power). In the meantime, the crisis in Ukraine has been moving along a scenario of protracted conflict. Any delay in its settlement favours the continuation of tensions.
Ukraine and Russia: People, Politics, Propaganda and Perspectives
The Ukraine Story in Western Media2015 •
Ukraine was all over the international headlines from the end of 2013 through summer 2014. The fast changing, complex story was usually narrated through rather simple frames and the greatest attention was devoted to issues with international significance. As the war in eastern Ukraine became protracted and Russia showed no signs of reversing its annexation of Crimea, the story began slipping from the international news.
Despite the ongoing conflict between the Russians and the Ukrainians, the Ukrainians have a new friend in China
2020 •
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