JOURNAL
VOL.
38,
NO.
OF
THE
AMERICN
WATER
INTEGRA
Scot
N.
Miler,
Wilam
Signfcat
watershd
land
tha
Sonra,
and
a seri
and
of
190s,
southea
ben
images
respon.
in
The
Catskil/Dewr
City,
the
a
contras
time
period.
A
informat
parmetizon
has
of
els.
The
tol
to
Basin,
subwaterhd
dat.
a
the
benfical
from
the
indcate
the
in
flod
ment
respon,
and
loading.
gratin
Thes
remot
the
use
impacts
GIS
of
(KEY
land
on
remot
to
of
models
hydrolgic
inte
the
runof
rate,
AGW;
landscpe
aproch,
over
time
zation.)
of
Arizona
Box
85719;
93478,
Godrich),
USEPA
tal
Resarch
Nevad
Arizona
0168
USDA-R,
ORD,
Resarch
Las
Scients
8913-47;
85719
Journal
of
the
Journal
Senior
Resarch
Vegas,
Nevad
Nationl
and
(Hegm),
Centr
of
Specialst
Ecolgist
for
Resarch
of
(E-Mail/S.N
the
USEPA
Water
Water
(S.N
Hydrolgist,
Watershd
Envirometal
NERL,
Asitan
Miler
American
American
(Kepnr,
8913-47;
Southwes
the
Resourc
Miler),
Mehafy),
Resarch
(W.P
Resarch,
USEPA
Resarch
Centr,
Landscpe
Miler),
NERL,
USDA-R,
120
Ecolgy
20
Pensylvai
Specialst,
Branch,
of
predict
land
as
this
cover
trends
change
and
Envirometal
Road,
Avenu,
Watershd
Resarch
exist
directon
among
Resarch
Ecolgy
NW,
Tucson,
Washingto,
Branch,
Resarch
Sciens
watershd
pro
changes,
open
Hydraulic
spatily
and
quality
are
and
Alen
Southwes
used
Using
linkages
water
Watershd
Landscpe
East
wer
proetis
Discuon
Southwes
peak
yield
to
powerful
Stream
Asociatn.
USDA-R,
water
volume,
directon
watershd
ces.
No.
perfomd
runof
sedimnt
used
spa
hydrolgic respon.
and
distrbue
»Paper
was
of
Envirometal
until
espcialy
Februay
Centr,
1,203.
20
Engier
Arizona
Centr,
Divson,
DC
85719;
due
East
Project
2046
20
P.O
Sciens
Alen
(Hernadz,
East
(decas);
Road,
Tucson,
Divson,
Box
Oficer
R.C
Alen
93478,
Road,
Envirome
Asociatn
915
P.O
Miler,
(Devonald),
Las
Tucson,
smiler@tucon.agv)
Resourc
the
the
Simulated
form
and
watershd
in
condit.
be
KINE
of
changes
watershd
can
Direct
2Respctivly,
the
trends
chartei
cover
toal
of
the
(Smith
imagery.
and
indcators
relativ
and
(KINEROS)
watershd
land
the
Catskil/
asemnt
sateli
in
on
the
York,
landscpe
of
Water
198)
of
contribug
A
respon
one
is
and
al,
model
a smal
clasifed
respon.
senig;
on
distrbuon
shed
on
New
paer
change on
Soil
et
upstae
this
cover
the
EROSion
Basin.
using
throug
and
195)
of
and
in
and
Pedro
tial
sedi
usefln
condit
transio
GIS;
al.,
San
of
due
hydrolgic
watershd
et
volumes,
quality
the
the
declin
runof
water
distrbue
aseing
cover
TERMS:
and
evnt
demonstra
and
for
to
agricult
plants
and
decras
result
senig
of
and
wody
anul
basin
imagery
land
aplying
Basin
Runof
hydrosateli
(Arnold
River
matic
result
urban
Pedro
Delawr
change
Simulaton
increasg
increasd
using
cover
due
cover.
invaso of
resultd
simulated
respon
land
tha
simultaneo
graslnd
flashier
forest
San
change
objectiv
(SWAT)
difernt
distrbue
historc
by
Tol
historcal
land
watershd
to
Pedro
wer
respon
Asemnt
sig
The
watershd.
at
using
of
may
hydrolgic
using
efcts
a
ocur
study,
years.
the
watershd
San
using
yield
on model
Uper
undergoi
watershd,
agriculte
San
and
sedimnt
Canosvile
impact
transio
Pedro
watershd
and
In
San
Canosvile
Runof
models.
ares
the
the
the
this
temporaly,
25
evalut
cover
of
and
In
of
land
functio
spatily,
over
to
indcator
in
spatily
and
acquired
mod
for
vary
time.
models,
integrad
and
both
logic
an
changes
healt
ased
(AGW)
files
overal
changes
(SWAT)
Asemnt
withn
and
cover
thes
Tol
is
and
throug
was
hydrolgic
input
Such
the
Asemnt
(KINEROS)
parmet
changes,
land
Water
Watershd
prea
a
nifcat
and
the
rates
compa
automes
Miler,
Miler2
respon
afect
georaphic
tha
EROSion
the
region,
a
C.
Paul
condit,
New
this
using a
devlop
Geospatil
used
Pedro
for
Soil
and
Automaed
was
had
the
Runof
In
tol
ben
in
to
over
asemnt
(GIS)
KINEmatic
change.
improved
Hydrolgic
watershd
basin
water
cover
has
landscpe
sytem
and
land
condit
W.
INTRODUC
1980s,
the
located
delivrs
and
in
1970s,
of
tha
in
watershd
rable
the
alterion
Ryan
Hegm,
the
River
subwaterhd,
complex
provides
Canosvile
in
the
Canosvile
watershd
York
Pedro
Hernadz,
T.
changes, observd
taken
implcated
in
San
Thes
send
Marino
Daniel
ocured
uper
ANLYSI*
Mehafy,
Devonald,
20
HYDROLGIC
CHANGE
H.
Kim
have
the
Arizona.
remotly
have
hydrolgic
changes
to
COVER
Megan
K.
runof
AUGST
AND
LAND
Kepnr,
Godrich,
cover
contribue
Mexico,
using
G.
C.
ASOCITN
ASOCITN
ASEMNT
FOR
David
RESOUC
RESOUC
LANDSCPE
MODELING
ABSTRC:
WATER
AMERICN
4
JAWR
Vegas,
Miler,
to
erosin
and
linked
to
sedimnt
on
step
cover
while
can
in
produce
to
90
percnt
(Frankli,
192).
tha
by
The
have
invole
changes
above
of
ground
thes
vegtai
(primaly
and
manifestd
anul
by
speci
tres)
or
and
the
proces.
native
stock
and
fire
198).
(Grove
Aditonaly,
flow
be
more
throug
In
very
thre
variblty
respon
and
on
are
scale
teracing,
or
(for
land
to
cover.
ship
tilage),
in
land
use,
quality
at
compare
habit
the
watershd,
identfy
suceptibl
to
atemps
to
ces
varible
hydrolgic
models
can
investgao
of
ingly
have
to
models
Springe,
tha
at
with
this
difernt
scale
imagery
to
the
JAWR
study:
the
ares
the
Arizona
and
denc
Catskil/Dewr
wer
Uper
tha
and
in
this
and
caried
out
(Hernadz
inferd
upon
the
with
use
diferng
of
the
land
comparble
cover
dat
cover.
Pedro
northeas
watershd
916
Journal
of
the
American
Water
Resourc
core
change,
rainfl
land
confi
hydrolgic
from
in
20;
lend
in
directon
wel
al.,
studie
directon
coretly
and
on
et
Thes
and
be
seni
calibrton
sucefly
the trends
vali
study,
model
190).
both
spatil
observatin
employd
ben
of
calibrton
hydrolgic
trends
predicat
lack
selctd
San
and
models
can
spondig
of
for
suficent
model
Godrich,
respon
the
with
and
tha
conju
impacts
study
this
the
19;
senig
hydrolgic
the
modeling,
is
watershd
Syed,
conjuti
southearn
Mexico,
in
the
quality
rainfl-uo
basin,
runof
instrumed
change.
difernt
in
in
Sonra,
cover
distncly
incluso
used
al.,
of
hig
adequt
have
and
remot
investga
land
Basin,
wer
clasifed
For
validton
models
in
et
tha
suficently
corespndig
anlyse
193;
hydrolgic
a
of
for
dation.
tivy
Pular
of
this
runof
indcate
ungaed
and
the
Feldman,
for
(Arnold
observatin
alow
increas
20;
in
asemnt
shortcming
coverag
input
to
chosen
imagery
rainfl
would
for
models
Acuray
wer
major
long-term
in
195).
are
respondig
Staes
senig
in
space
dat
two
multi-dae
decal-s
Two
study,
al.,
dat
The
pro
tols
al.,
et
changes
is
United
are
study.
explict
and
et
this
or
and
spatil
(deVantir
In
operat
tion
prea
Smith
dat
validte
the
to
input
model
extnsivly
land
(1)
observd
the
direc
to
senitv
the
tha
tha
in
particuly
as usefl
Bhaduri
20).
risk
Studies
to
196;
at
spatily
relationshp.
GIS
hydrolgic
for
serv
such
used
Wilknso,
both imet
and
195),
ben
cover
to
Watershd
in
Sivapln,
drinkg
and
is
The
remot
manget
impacts.
higly
and
in
and
(3)
ares
land
used
are
aid
undesir
be
tha
and
limt
are
(Blosch
those
change,
seri
asumption:
tha
coretly.
have
and
can
its
due
thre
(2)
cover
clasifed
runof,
scale
the
a
trends
model
acurte
semi-ard
relation
change,
landscpe
study
is
the
on
and
in
water
the
of
respon
landscpe;
and
distrbuon
of
for
on
most
hydrolgic
artifcl;
19;
and
wel
relis
for
predicat
the
adequt
not
time
the type
agricul
bodes
whic
of
chosen
changes
in
understaig
are
in
be
implent
variton
remaind
from
watershd
the
and
throug
changes
Improved
among
water
by
and
Catskil/
has
stabily
estimaon
change
rainfl
can
respon
due
of
cover
cover,
exampl,
contur
hydrolgic
primaly
land
hand,
transio
region
hydrolgic
changes
of
charteis
smal
shed-cal
of
tha
form
soil,
topgrahic
a
the
this
and
tion
flow
proetis
in
erosin
While
modife
tha
watershd
other
This
in
Modeling
or
stream
respon
are,
resvoi
vegtaion
The
some
metroplian
the
the
water.
agricult
into
primay
hydrolgic
topgrahy.
of
other
stream
afectd
as
increasd.
the
cover.
York
ares.
the
governi
to
than
vegtad
genral,
runof
close
easily
wel
and
into
on
with
forest
New
pesticd,
or
land
to
190;
Betancour,
agricult
rainfl-uo
has
region,
veg
with an
and
basin,
the
San
native
have
puming
stable,
ture
Musick,
urban
the
alterd
relativy
the
along
of
withn
water
Delawr
live
in
theoricaly
have
ground
both
as
and
transpoed
throug
urban
and
readily
changes
harvesting,
Swetnam
fertilzs,
can
to
such
timber
194;
and
the
transfom
ocured,
amounts
regim
erosin
linked
drought,
Olem,
polutans
tha
ben
the
a
hydrolg.
imagery)
Transito
transio
hydrolgic
their
signfcat
have
in
the
ofer
earlist
cover.
Thes
tha
to
undergo
land
increas
exotic
wind
streo
supreion
and
ing,
have
naturl
short-em
Novtny
and
its
clasi
indcate
respct
asemblg
are.
shrub
water
thes
grazin,
of
xerophytic
of
and
in
introduc
wody
Historcaly,
decras
result
(our
has
in
ares
wer
watershd
mid-1970s
taion
study
images
the
with
Basin
diversty
the
acelrtion
human-idce
i.e,
compsitnal
Thes
and
send
two
Catskil/Dewr
contras
the
tions
rangelds
cover;
biomas
Since
Remotly
the
years.
cover,
and
Pedro
York.
over
25
land
Pedro
in
than
proces
Westrn
New
past
into
San
practies
degration
in
fied
Miler
acquired
the
study
runof
human
princal
ocured
covering
and
and
southearn
was
vegtaion
more
unalterd
in
imagery
(Wischmer
in
Hegm,
region
is
alterions
up
watershd
Devonald,
exampl,
agriculte
slope
sevr
Godrich,
directly
For
when
relativy
1978),
Miler,
ben
a watershd.
increas
practied
Hernadz,
have
withn
suceptibly
Smith,
Mehafy,
discharge,
land use
erosin
Kepnr,
Asociatn
in
Integrai
landscpe
DESCRIPTON
OF
Asemnt
THE
and
STUDY
Hydrolgic
Modeling
ARES
for
change
Land
in
San
Pedro
The
Basin
San
Pedro
Mexico
the
of
exampl
hydrolgic,
of desrt
study
scientf
and
in
isue.
econmy
and
zone
urban
and
has
a
aproximtely
3,150
pine
km2
and
forest.
basin
ripan
corid
habit
more
than
40
change
and
Curve
et
and
on
The
was
is
a
of
large
for
becoms
19).
cover
any
at
ilustrae
the
to
regional
be
withn
the
semi-ard
regions.
rainfl-uo
noise
The
to
for
to
watershd
enough
KINEROS
(runof)
large
enough
smal
chaleng
signal
acurte
(Syed,
land
yet
semirunof
on
evnts
changi
range
ratio
Auto
Asemnt
20)
of
rela
in
decrasing
obtain
flod
scale,
the
from
are,
is
impacts
This
land
the
1.
large
subwaterhd
efctiv
throug
Figure
the
runof
to
size
KINEROS
resach
due
to
very
its
change.
watershd
manget
migraton
hydrolg
in
al.,
the
the
of
Watershd
(Miler
of
for
the
difcult
but
size
higest
world
distrbuon
presntd
Geospatil
(AGW)
al
model
chosen
recnt
tha,
invest
evnt
cover
increasg
becom
for
profundly
was
predictng
indcate
result
speci.
spatil
impact
is
mated
the
its
Number
the
the
and
bird
of
desrt
for
land
but
with
elvations,
nestig
examinto
cover
in
provides
for
An
higer
tol
regions
tha
was
watershd,
ratios
oak
among
speci
arid
cover
This are
of
efctiv
Vista,
rainfl
degr
smal
is
by
suport
mal
an
land
subwaterhd
and
tively
agriculte,
at
is
with
dominate
and
The
of
is
km2)
of Siera
Subwatershd,"
distrbue
This
(92
Son-
watershd
is
the
watershd
city
regim.
using
the
smal
Vista
its
ilus
withn
a
"Siera
hydrolgic
KINEROS.
are
climate
tesd
graslnd,
gated
ir
and
varible
wodlans,
number
to
The
higly
ripan,
mesquit
shiftng
Chiuan
The
shrub-tep,
a
previously
devlopmnt.
the
biodversty.
also
to
change
tha
in
the
at
presntd
devloping
changes
afectd
staion
are
as
model
(uncertaiy
in
as
rainfl)
smal.
tol
used
to
Charleston
deriv
the
USG
Stream
Siera
Gauge
Vista
N
Subwatershd
20
km
I
Change
in
i
i
Curve
Number
<0
1973
(decras
in
- 197
runof)
2-3
3-4
>4
Figure
SWAT
and
"Siera
Locatins
drains
of
to
Vista
as
Journal
1.
the
the
Two
Charleston
subwaterhd,"
Study
predict
tha
of
using
the
American
AGW
was
shown
Water
is
Areas
USG
Withn
gauin
model
in
Resourc
runof
the
using
San
Pedro Basin
Asociatn
the
Uper
San
staion.
KINEROS.
Pedro
This
The
to
River
basin
spatil
ilustrae
The
variblty
why
917
Basin.
encompas
the
of
Siera
Vista
(increas
large
the
the
change
Subwatershd
in
basin
smaler
in
runof)
(3,160
watershd
km2)
Curve
(92
was
km2),
labed
Number
was
a
and
of
1
underwt
range
is
the
is
betwn
desrt
signfcat
and
It
as
ranchig
agriculte
ran
a
transio,
transio
South
adresing
manget
rual
gated
semi-ard
for
Figure
as
basin
gauin
show
the
in
197
entir
subwaterhd,
variblty
throug
noted
USG
Numbers
anlysi
runig
excptional
the
into
spatil
This
and
an
the
are
socienm
dominat
a
in
uniqe
the
basin.
and
The
subdive
Curve
trae
a
cultra,
is
biodversty
a
With
1973
transio.
to
was
are-wightd
1).
the basin
and
region
(Figure
topgrahic,
charteis,
cover
runof
Charleston
Sonra,
betwn
land
contribug
from
Arizona
variety
of
north
Analysi
Number
of
Gauge
flows
southearn
politca
west
Charleston
River
into
wide
to
Change
Curve
functio
Uper
Cover
from
chosen
for
model
using
her as
1973
to
intesv
192
JAWR
study.
Miler,
Canosvile
Kepnr,
Mehafy,
Hernadz,
Miler,
Godrich,
are
more
lons
of
anuly
than
drinkg
a
and
chosen
for
(Figure
ing
et
an
are
water
dominate
it
human
New
from
strong
lower
rainfl
portin
of
the
water
sifed
as
withn
by
large
are.
San
than
but
on
is
usefl
of
typifed
a
the
to
of
of
of
the
hydro-
was
resach
to
dat
into
SWAT
Catskil/Dewr
Watershd
LEGND
-'"
model
elmnt
stream
O
chanel
other basin
water
2.
JAWR
Water
Locatin
of
to
the
City
the
Canosvile
of
Study
New
York.
Upland
Area
and
(120
chanel
km2)
the
918
are
Catskil/Dewr
region
Catskil/Dewr
shown
Journal
(SWAT)
in the
suply
Withn
elmnts
boundary
Watershd
as
of
they
the
wer
American
used
Used
in
Water
the
to
SWAT
Suply
runs.
Resourc
auto
and
files.
Subwatershd
^
rel
and
AGW
this
GIS
input
creat
models.
some
AGW.
of
in
thes
cover
by
transfomi
aid
by
course
parmet
GIS
land
tread
KINEROS
past
Water
creatd
detailng
the
the
impacts
requid
schemati
during
mate
anul
was
files
varibles
devlop
of
Geospatil
among
logic
study
(ESRI, 198a)
(AGW)
is
two
trends
ArcView
interlaoshp
to
to
the
cover
Automaed
input
3
vant
by
the
An
complex
for
consequt
caled
Asemnt
soil
land
runof.
the
was
relating
Canosvile
Figure
in
functio
study
anlyze the
packge
Figure
char
of
of
overal
simulated
ing
in this
and
the
software
study
are
be
a
informat
and
shed
compnets
much
to
as
used
topgrahy,
ase
Clas
are
zones
precitaon,
adequtly
are
geospatil
cover,
from
Catskil/Dewr
semi-ard
anul
land
from
chanels.
in
the
they
aproch
suitable
a
runof
study
extrms
cyle
Specifaly,
rive
genral
ares,
and
to
Pedro
relativ
hydrolgic
lower
and
the
acterizd
the
stream
semi-ard,
a
storage,
deriv
made
Hydrolgic
must
respon
quarte-cny,
evnts,
runof
are
The
the
higer
anul
erosin.
veg
change.
acquire
precitaon
flashy
if
of
METHODS
In
variblty,
les
Contribus
ground
cover
sig
region.
intes,
with
to
factors
and
lack
ares
land
difers
higer
prone
the
in
seaonl
runof
snowmelt.
to
are
by
anul
signfcat
land
evnts,
and
due
Pedro
runof
hydrolgic
of
rate,
relativ
semi-ard
thes
aridty
(19)
transio
San
charteizd
but
higer
a
for
investga
region
study
semi-ard
with
are
volumes
of
Catskil
the
climate
Catskil
this
flashier
region
in
the
evaportin
This
this
acount
con
al.
but
aplied
los
to
potenial
vegtaion.
makes
models
drain
et
site
York
the
humid
agriculte;
etaion
transmio
Due
higer
runof
spare
presu.
Hydrolgica,
nifcatly
watershd
size,
a
erosin.
predominatly
Basin,
evnts.
has
anul
relativy
the
Pedro
runof
it
lower
was
evntualy
resach
on
from
City
crital
impacts
cover
and
of
a
and
of
in
during
and
are
San
rainfl
runof
chanels
the
region,
intes
for
stream
ocur
the
locaized,
potenial
in
es
man
watershd
Mehafy
charteis
as
stae
The
forest
York
quality
City
subain
km2
River.
the
identf
a
the
Miler
higly
hig
ephmral
gal
and
1,20
New
Delawr
sumarized
city
Since
York
in
with
Stae
bilon
New
study,
investgao.
to
the
in
Canosvile
by
routed
to
potenial
this
aproximtely
1.4
Water
to
the
York
the
19).
coner
caled
intesv
is
not
tribues
consumed
In
are
2)
of
al.,
major
planers.
Catskil
New
percnt
water
are
southearn
90
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quantiy
agers
of
and
ocurs
evnts
Catskil
suplie
Hegm,
rainfl
Watershd
The
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Integrai
landscpe
Asemnt
and
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Modeling
for
Land
varibles
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Land
cover
J.
change
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early
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change
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Change
indcate
flux,
or
MS
the
The
rapid
shed
and
into
repatbl
subdivon
hydrolgic
AGW,
of
respon
units
therby sparing the
preaing
user
input
files
far-eching
by
hand
change.
and
Input
are
the
of
by
the
soil,
indvual
tables
relating
and
land
cover
reviw
Hernadz
of
SWAT
used
bilty
et
input
of
the
In
San
and
Hernadz
tivy
et
anlysi
to
crital
for
and
resach,
in
great
are
As
SWAT
the
defin
of
Historcal
provide
retun
input
period
rainfl
to
land
evnts
20,
used
ero
Change
use/covr
is
the
American
Water
it
Resourc
helps
of
crital
cies.
Thes
detrmin
Asociatn
model
betwn
91
fal
betwn
al.,
19;
of
overal
show
and
points
strai
Cohen's
clasifed
90
an
used
Kap
to
and
quantify
the
clasifton
asemnt
and
et
was
(19),
wer
and
and
ben
Skirvn
527
and
staic
60
192
have
Congalt
asembld,
observd
the
Pedro
sample
user',
time
videography
Folwing
Tau-b
importance
San
et
random
was
produce's,
modeling, as
of
a
Kendal's
informat
the
Airbone
matrix
Analyse
hydrolgic
Journal
in
Land
for
clas.
each
1.
(Maing
map
and
for
of
maps
to isolate
by
for
water,
type
Table
respctivly).
fied
clase:
graslnd,
cover
in
previously
al.,
10
asemnt
cover
published
the
model.
Landscpe
describ
acury
197
have
urban,
land
acur
tha
the
land
percnt.
dis
The
wodlan,
agriculte,
are
Detaild
by
image.
maps
by
sequnc
wer
boundaries
sateli
cover
maps
maps
to
mesquit
Proptins
with
dat.
to
land
scale
and
clasifed
over the
ripan,
baren.
charte
historcal
The
wodlan,
desrtcub,
their
basin
hydrolgic
used
and
KINEROS
extnsio
large
using
model
for
an
distnc
wer
most
topgrahic
1:24,0
dat,
atenio
digtal
using
GAP;
scale,
vist.
clase
oak
Instiue
(INEG),
(USG)
field
the
est,
Nationl
1:50,
particul
resulting
seni
parmets
paer,
investgad
recods
a
modeling
presnt
and
rainfl
out
the
SWAT.
the
variblty
istc
caried
hydrolgic
from
playing
simulat
a
maps
includg
Informati
Survey
with
cover
the
detrmin
Geolgica
revisd
vegtaion
Interio
at
a
separtd
scale,
Mexico's
the
INEG
deriv
land
(20)
U.S
watershd
aplying
of
from
the
into
wer
and
Departmn
maps
feasi
from
with
asigned
and
Geography,
map
over
other
source
maps
Staisc,
U.S
changi
smal
examing
al.
acurte
KINEROS
a
by
scenario
result.
to
on
Basin
the
the
scale
of
and
paer,
of
a
clase
using
variety
produce
wer
categoris
a
1:250,
describ
respon
Pedro
difernt
1 (gren),
displaye
Mixed
GIS
by
bands
then
clase
category.
from
calibr
KINEROS
their
demonstra
transfomi
ed
(20)
hydrolgic
was
and
for
aproch.
modeling
cover
withn
al.
parmets
in this
into
sat
roughnes)
literau
exrcis.
derivaton
rel
cover
a
acomplished
to
and
in
software.
the
was
wer
IMAGNE
first
infraed)
clas
image,
land
to
(near
maps)
198b)
using
4
and
comparisn.
anlyzed
(ESRI,
Each
false-cor
Number,
surface
throug
and
reso
ERDAS
and
was
clase.
Lok-up
Curve
condutivy,
defin
(red),
60-metr
cover
using
clasifton
60
asocitn
(e.g,
hydraulic
wer
2
functio
units.
parmets
urated
SWAT
a
set
clasifton
charteis of
respon
soil
hydrolgic
land
cover
watershd
vant
tion
and
as
land
image
unspervid
to
resampld
for
ARC/INFO
Image
at
ben
198) software
using
land
by
AGW
the
(ERDAS,
sytem
more
of
requid
estimad
topgrahic,
a
impacts
dat,
has
(digtal
for
8.3
of
for
the
parmets
KINEROS
task
alowing
into
devlop
projectd
cordinates,
resolutin
products
by
the
GIS
60-metr
the
The
and
other
cap
reduc
ground
TM
at
Derivat
water
perfomd
from
and
investgao
cover
is
a
remapd
30-metr
maped
to
changes.
Mercato
with
lution;
30
wer
year
phenolgy
ben
a
than
images
recod
Transve
comensurat
varible.
les
atmosphericly
Al
plant
has
Universal
the
stae
anul
imagery
in
Particul
arows
parmet,
of
using
had
ben
the
georcti-
elvation
198).
of
earth
are
efort
have
al.,
Land-
(197)
images
this
and
the
TM
for
et
influec
Figure
and
the
the
imagery
from
coretd
(Luneta
by
by
Remot
192)
in
only
also
deriv
Thes
ben
coretd
Quality
presnt.
was
include
percnt
Erosin
Decrasd
have
from
not
but
flora
and
and
runof
influecd
senor.
Images
rechag
Increasd
the
1986,
and
DEM.
timng,
expctd
proetis
sateli
fied
is
Basin
(1973,
observing
|
types
Pedro
MS
volume,
of
physical
of
San
the
amount
use
soil
capity
for
_
for
The
and
I.
Analysi
acount
land
surface
Vegtaion
Change
runof.
vegtad
Urbanizto
Cover
comparisn
Thes
cover
genraly
dat
JAWR
may
be
Miler,
Kepnr,
Mehafy,
TABLE
1.
Hernadz,
Proptinal
Miler,
Land
Uper
San
Cover
Pedro
Oak
Desrtcub
39.1
Water
TABLE
2.
Proptinal
Land
Cover
Canosvile
Exten
Watershd
Cover
charteizd
as
(Skirvn
et
labed
having
al.,
"god
20),
"mesquit
racy.
using
the
the
set,
same
it
cy
1973
and
tha
charteis,
enough
wer
tha
consider
TM
land
whic
is
MS
shown
imagery
land
ben
in
for
phenolgy.
the
of
The
conjuti
images
JAWR
wer
with
High
spectraly
simlar
images
ares.
Ancilary
land
the
the
land
in
with
one
the
used
Landst
the
Journal
of
the
Sam
coret
photgras
wer
the
of
ero
acquiston
dates
years
of
the
of
due
the
Resourc
to
ref
acquiston
of
ilustrang
Water
used
acury
minze
matrices
American
dates.
the
detrmin
two
Ero
al
imagery
To
dat.
pro
withn
Aerial
to
withn
the
are
for
resticon.
"truh
wer
(FitzBecaus
the
indept
change,
enc dat
chosen
20).
randomly
clasifton.
landscpe
cover
wer
smal,
wer
avilbe
Landst
region
perfomd
techniqu
al,
very
190s
or
the
Catskil
was
et
selctd
refnc
used
920
the
detail
points
was
early
other
as
the
sample
Skirvn
are
type
and
dat
of
asemnt
wer
cover
Aerial
asign
of
are
random
points
cloudAltiude
to
for
ple
plant
relativy
maps
agricul
each
watershd
straifed
in
tions
was
Nationl
change
taken
the
cover
urban,
for
198;
geo-
for
to
land
sequnc
acury
a
for
wer
final
forest,
asemnt
whic
198.
acount
clasifton
(NHAP)
to
years
to
The
clase:
Canosvile
patrick-Lns,
and
identf
of
Proptins
acury
using
used
and
wer
charteis
each time
the
in
and
other
Unsupervid
Photgrapy
wer
elvation
various
each
selctd
haze-fr.
dat
for
for
month
An
to clas
1984, 190,
coretd
Images
one
clase
TM
used
wer
2.
stable
was
survey
clasifton,
use
clase.
four
for
includg
send
land
baren.
type
clasi
remotly
while
scen
to
relativy
imagery
1973,
wer
rectifd.
used
whic
MS
cover
and
cover
cover
the
spectral
into
ture,
wer
land
subwaterhd,
for
coletd.
images
in
dat
wer
have
period
aditonl
and
the
know
cover
clasifed
site
of
defin
land
are
acur
in
imagery
to
was
withn
of
Canosvile
the
thre
various
197 dat
changes
withn the
throug
Thes
and
simlar
quality
the
Table
and
cover
sify
the
improve
and
acury
of
0.3
384
elvation,
the
site
creatd
19.2
2,75
0.27
improve
0.63
731
20.6
poulatin,
to
traing
coret.
Landst
fy
192
shared
clasifed
as
used
acu
wer
the
they
and
hig
lowest
maps
as
asumed
the
1986
aproch
was
such
79.5
92,07
314
clas
Percnt
0.62
23,7
acury"
having
198
Hectars
715
0.3
hetrognus
wodlans"
Since
exclnt
the
the
78.51
24.09
352
to
with
for
Percnt
0.6
0.28
2.17
16,38
Percnt
90,613
697
27,83
320
0.9
19
75.0
23.9
0.5
415
6.79
198).
Hectars
86,34
0.48
27,651
Baren
and
Percnt
75.31
59
Agriculte
Hectars
1985
87,03
Urban
Total
and
Hectars
Percnt
Hectars
Forest
as
2.18
1.4
(1975,8
1975
Land
1.6
16.49
10,85
0.
0
0.
0
Clouds
14.530
1.92
1.97
0.9
6,792
0.9
1.2
9.218
0.4
37
6,79
0.5
4,17
Baren
12,574
1.32
0.4
294
30.41
29.53
1.8
14,859
1.52
0.3
264
34.8
263,4
31.4
1.7
10,2
0.42
3,205
Urban
13.4
10,62
13.9
8.9
1,507
1.94
90,27
35.08
235,480
8,52
0.94
7,01
1.76
265,31
32.0
Percnt
0.93
105,92
14.5
1.6
8,75
Agriculte
197
8,94
35.
1.5
the
Hectars
7,045
12.36
243,50
8,65
for
Percnt
0.98
267,31
41.37
296,30
Riparn
Percnt
192
106,98
2.75
Miler
197).
Hectars
93,46
12.38
312,850
Graslnd
and
and
7,43
20,81
Mesquit
Hectars
Percnt
0.98
93,612
Wodlan
Total
and
1986
7,46
Forest
as
Hegm,
(1973,862
Hectars
Percnt
Hectars
Cover
Devonald,
Exten
Watershd
1973
Land
Godrich,
Asociatn
eros
of
Integrai
omisn
and
comisn
Kendal's
tes
produce's
and
result
near
for
investgao
of
modeling
at
the
The
thus
land
scale
of
the
The
Procesing
and
The
AGW
tol
and
logic
in
two
ways.
thes
for
out
model
such
as
the
set
wer
for
as
model
are,
and
tables
tained
in
ondary
the
orignal
tion
and
of
and
proces
tha
take
interfac).
ces
at
landscpe,
the
condits.
digtze
an
and
such
of
Model
as
drainge
dives,
19;
chanel
tures
for
from
the
San
Pedro
a compsite
m
for
in
dat.
River
DEM
dat
DEM
U.S
A
portin
10
m
DEM
servd
Canosvile
the
basin
30
as
m
and
to
the
a
match
basi
for
anlysi
runs.
best
and
dat
tion
soil
wer
storage
used
layers
with
of
runof
for
more
suitable
resouc
is
for
planig,
rive
tha
and
physical
the
American
monitrg.
It
presnt
Water
based
Resourc
modeling
Asociatn
due
to
921
in
calibrton
period
toal
variton
the
withn
San
Pedro.
anul
runof
result,
howevr,
10 percnt
ero.
to
exrcis.
of
Nash-Sutclife
Uper
model
avilbe
anu
Minmzg
averg
with
could
14-year
on
a
0.4
is
the
a
sytemaic
compared
wer
for
yield
long-term
detr
calibr
outles.
of
gaues
for
run
throug
perfomanc
to
this
optimzed
varibles
caluted
are
used
tha
watershd
coefint
SWAT
its
the
sta
SWAT
In
was
SWAT
subeqnt
was
was
model
at
the
rainfl
in
for
perfomanc.
functio
model
is
limtaons
vali
gauin
parmets
model
input
values
regional
outle
model
yield
eficny
When
et
and
for
anlysi
the
SWAT
maping
and
the
the
objectiv
the
the
genralizd
stae,
STAGO
smaler-c,
a
relativy
basin,
manget,
recognizd
of
With
STAGO
the
as
Arnold
undertak
model
and
water
Stae
servd
parmets.
1:250,
al
plan
by
USG
senitvy
the
recod,
soil
The
datbse
soil-derv
of
uper
proces.
(STAGO)
basi
the
A
exrcis,
of
infltrao
proetis
interac
Geographic
scale
charteiz
capity
tha
Soil
to
over
routine
used
Charleston
aproite
improve
watershd.
Soils
dat
in
repotd
was
as
the
in
realistcy
input
used
As
the
servd
mine
yet
extnsivly
exrcis
to
tha
m
U.S
comp
simply
runof.
model
50
the
atemp
hydrolgic
be
making.
runof
tion
7.5-minute
routing,
An
major
ben
parti
evapotrnsi-
moisture.
can
has
calibrton
modeling
detrmin
USG
of
to
for
A
soil
model
SWAT
as
avilbe
the
on
then
chanel
as
decison
date
et
fea
wer
from
resampld
and
(19),
aproch
such
readily
so
prima
is
flow,
interacos
time
SWAT
excs
the
their
quali
long
Number
rainfl
and
with
nig
Landscpe
Basin
formed
the
Mexico
195).
Curve
simulate
ares
al.
by
proces
posible
large
ares,
(Tarbotn
Martz,
and
featurs
networks
and
modife
to
nets
as
detrmin
be
char
water
over
retun
made
a
contribug
is
hydrolgic
to
is
manget,
simulaton
lose,
to
landscpe
land
infltrao,
model
basin
and
The
into
be
be used
on
straegic
The
alows a
contius
transmio
caled
can
focus
a
was
values
length,
and
Garbecht
Can
a
198).
step,
excs
ration,
pro
can
whic
its
as
al.,
subwaterhd,
subwaterhd.
of
elvation
flow
show
the
SWAT.
primaly
naturl
throug
each
contrlig
detrmin
aspect,
ily
used
time
and
tioned
sevral
(DEM),
reliaby
slope,
2
for
et
daily
Rainfl
runof,
topgrahy
ary
Elevation
rapidly
of
a
by
span.
thes
is
into
hydrolgic
of
one
by
elmnts.
Figure
for
(Arnold
on
naturl
ground-atmsphe
Landscpe
into
Digtal
Journal
operats
configurat
is
detr
model
aproch,
pread
model
ty loadings,
surface
topgrahic
whic
the
configurat
tol
distrbu
the
asemnt
on
boundary
SWAT
subdive
(i.e,
the
quantive
depns
and
The
only),
the
erosin
place
The
of
this
as
planig
sec
dimenso,
include
and
also
to
thes
role ni
withn
exampls
tol
Simulatons
con
(SWAT
enrgy
infltrao,
the
Number
importan
water
Clasic
evaportin,
30
of
chanel
an
each
of
the
upland
requid
watershd
terizd
flux
landscpe.
al.,
reviw
not
condutivy,
plays
for
demonstrai
Hydrolgic
with
roughnes.
Topgrahy
the
Second,
Examples
Curve
hydraulic
surface
group.
literau
dat.
and
into
This
SWAT
watershd
hydro-
parmets
include
satured
the
conjuti
watershd
varibles
and
soil
in
from a
secondary
to
are,
parmets
resultan
nosvile
the user
charteizons
used
construed
detrmin
a
the
in
input
soil
hydrolgic
wer
As
upland
elmnts.
and
car
tol,
subdive
hydrolgic
hydrowas
this
alowbe
chanel
other
DEMs
using
automicly
the
topg
When
smalet
is
KINEROS
contaied
direct
and
dat
lok-up
dat
used
primay
soil,
cover
drainge,
and
from
AGW.
the
parmets
primay
topgrahic
slope,
thes
layers of
watershd
the
land
surface
watershd
using
and
deriv
on
dives,
both
watershd
dat
to
First,
dat
logic
GIS
cover
invest
since
of
drainge
dat
ried
Devlopmnt
use
land
thes
was
extracion
mines
raphy,
of
adequt
respon
networks,
watershd.
Datbse
purose
is
automed
specif
GIS
the
hydrolgic
chanel
hydrolgic
Canosvile
for
STAGO
on
of
and
Analysi
change.
aproite
change
Change
nature;
four
acuries
dem
cover
al
Cover
howevr,
focus
for
Land
gations,
the
hig
percnt.
wer
for
genralizd
(Congalt,
quite
90
dat
Modeling
and
detrmin
eros
was
Hydrolgic
Kap
to
acuries
clasifton
and
Cohen
creatd
acury
with
the
the
wer
user'
Overal
dates,
Asemnt
using
Tau-B
19).
landscpe
Given
provide
Nine
input
to
tha
JAWR
Osborn
Miler,
et
al.
(1980)
than
found
tha
in
apers
the
and
of
KINEROS
as
is
model
an
surface
by
and
a ascde
and
of
flow,
techniqus.
and
kinematc
flow
during
variblty
of
erosin
and
parmets
can
Calibrton
of
watershd
be
has
blage
resach
on
whic
rainfl
to
very hig
19),
eficns
from
the
0.98
smal
at
the
watershd
tunae
gaue
the
for
Dat
for
Confidec
a
hig
link in
cover
each
cover
scen.
this
changes
with
in
input
rainfl
parmets
the
cover
input
sce
files,
simulat
wer
due
watershd
is
model
the
held
are
soley
and
not
to
for
afectd
are
by
due
land
mesquit
evnts
cover
ground
water
the
decras
(due
of
withn the
the
increasd
agriculte)
and
and
erosin
capites
the
study
American
an
to
infltrao
with
land
are
Water
gras
indcates
runof
asocited
Journal
in
shift
large-sc
cover
was
Resourc
The
agricult
in
overal
and
Change
3.
increas
decras
locaized
to
Table
and
comensurat
roughnes
tion).
92
large
wodlans,
on
(due
and
scen
as
water consumpti
to
relativ
difernt
presntd
This
for
each
soley
the
wer
relianc
potenial
betwn
the
for
is
cover
Basin
ilustrang
desrtcub.
municpal
in
consta
result
and
land
Pedro
clas
changes
increasg
nosta-
matrix
197)
and
lands
signfcat
San
cover
192,
comunites
to
obviated
A
are,
so
4a,
the
each
urbanized
land
with
also
Figure
signfcat
the
difernt
197.
1986,
most
change.
JAWR
land
Change
withn
and
(1973,
dat
the
time
in
run
with
volume
the
Landscpe
withn
serv
rainfl
asocited
changes
evnts,
or
in
change
this
respon,
same
throug
1973
of
hydrolgic
asocited
Since
run,
time
interpao
on
rainfl
proces.
model
the
the
Problems
of
reduc
input.
ocured
ben
In
throug
aply
set
tionary
has
modeling.
transio
parmet
to
was
each
withn
ilustraed
change
rainfl
networks
rainfl
As
extn
Traditonly,
in
to
rainfl
rainfl
of
efort
of
watershd
in
necsary
used
model
god
Asemnt
gaue
varible
was
in
was
rainfl
cover
het
method
(1980)
runof
land
spatil
Siera
as
avilbty
dat.
weak
confudig
of
it
the
rain
variblty
impacts
alterd
toward
of
KINEROS
same
peak
estima
lack
over
the
in
diferncs
modeling
on
rainfl
a
a
the
serv
hydrolgic
spare
consider
as
unfor
Modeling
extn
from
the
to
at
is
using
changes
and
RESULT
the
large
quality
study
for
dat
Hydrolgic
in
to
estimad
it
exist
Gulch
0.86
al.
aplied
estimaon.
Preciptaon
sive
to
While
not
Walnut
parmet
depns
km2).
dat do
watershd,
proxies
scale
(60
By
ed
30-
are-duction
design
dat
nario.
Core
exrcis
sub-hectar
scale
tha
Vista
scale.
calibrton
of
rainfl
calibrt
on
thes
seri
the
an
et
5-,
both
point
to
The
this
of
deriv
ares tends
dat,
Osborn
simlar
to
aplying
due
input
wer
extnsiv
very
storm
a
the
storm
but
large
runof
on
used
Pedro Basin
Since
estima.
using
design
separt
acros
by
rainfl
same
was
depnig
in
devlop
studie
KINEROS
a
input
for
who
San
storm
in
study
asem
In thes
coefints
ranged
the
plant
charteis.
Syed,
lation
near
same
be
for
of
Gulch
this
extrac
creatd
(1985),
on
erognity
Walnut
is
the
(Godrich, 190;
ed
the
al.
the
overpdictn
wer
was
wer
10-year evnts
design
recod
Thes
et
duration.
for
a runof
for
for
in
rainfl to
recods
sub-
of
parmets
aproximtely
and
lack
input
extracd
avilbe
of
subwaterhd.
and
Pedro
for
wer
storm
withn
10-,
San
was
period
Osborn
60-minute
Vista
the
input
Watershd,
and
Siera
to
Howevr,
Experimntal
are
the
due
prio
Vista
watershd
and
recod
requis
from
acomdte.
posible
from
Spa
the
dat.
design
long-term
evnt.
runof,
on
not
staion.
estimad
runof
infltrao,
KINEROS
was
gauin
the
rainfl
Siera
wer
efort,
watershd;
rainfl
basi,
using
dat
this
dat
the Canosvile
KINEROS
taken
routed
in
gaues
24-year
the
Since
infltrao-excs
dynamicl
in
per-vnt
difernc
of
of
six
and
rep
For
historcal
period
complet
from
erosin,
finte
as
is
a
ed
minu
rainfl
Likews,
case,
chanel
and
by
genratd
water
equations
tial
and
recod
dat
from
recods
recods.
14-year
long-term
equations
chanel
is
flow,
agri
extracd
rainfl
a
for
recods
Thes
long-term
A
are.
was
Servic
whic
tha
dat
multi-year
ares
long-term
contai
SWAT.
this
is
flow
solved
Runof
overland
smal
diferntal
transpo are
to
watershd
overland
in
the
are
input
aproch,
study
model.
gaues
study
infl
from
partil
nie
intercpo,
the
SWAT
from
195).
rainfl
our
Weathr
periods
misng
years
daily
In
of
the
resnt
al.,
Miler
use
each
to
based
The
model
Nationl
input
of
erosin
the
overland
sedimnt
the
of
watershd.
elmnts,
describng
number
and
simulaton.
for
efctiv
et
proces
urban
repsntd
a
(Smith
SWAT
multi-year
long-term
physical
runof,
and
the
Hegm,
rainfl
number
SWAT.
evnt-orid,
the
cultra
model
over
tol
describng
traion,
to
resach
The
a
acurte
on
parmets
Devonald,
more
and
limtaon
evold
a
KINEROS
a
input
has
primaly
detail
as
Godrich,
efctivly
this
higly
serv
detrminao
are
Southwes,
for
Miler,
by
kilometrs
semi-ard
insufcet
modeling
Hernadz,
separtd
four
indept
Mehafy,
gaues
aproximtely
and
Kepnr,
transi
not
Asociatn
steady
Integrai
landscpe
Asemnt
and
Ilydrogie
Modeling
for
Land
Cover
Change
Analysi
Foresi
Oak
Wodlans
Mesquit
Wi
Graslnd
[X'stnhcrub
Riparlsn
Agriculte
Urban
□
] / (il
N
I)
1973
I)
k
197
Figure
4u.
Land
cover
change
withn
ile
Uper
Sun
Pedro
B;isn
N
1
198
1975
Fmure
Figure
4.
A
Land
Cover
contras
in
the
the
tha
or
The
cant
Vista
land
4),
shed
and
in
Figure
the
4b
urban
the
American
withn
and
mesquit
Water
poulatin
tinued
change
tial
for
in
land cover over
Resourc
tion
Asociatn
923
fecal
et
of
the
are
30
17
plants,
a
poten
espcialy
with
and
sedimnta
Furthemo,
constrai
con
nopit
imply
quality,
19).
often
the
The
runof
nutries,
al.,
years, as
percnt.
treamn
colifrms,
(Mehafy
raphy
watershd.
only
water
to
a
and
past
and urban
dimnshe
respct
Canosvile
by
waste
with
have remaind
the
increasd
from
but
presu
over
source,
staic,
are,
agriculte
Human
eflunt
agricult
relativy
urban
decrasing
region
has
4a.
■Ib.
remaind
of
this
mesquit,
Figure
in
trend
Images.
urban,
Figure
in
has
forest.
desrtcub
sen
increas
in
wodlans.
the
be
land cover
slight
increasg
water
Sateli
in
in
can
overal
(Table
this
Respctiv
increas
comunites
agriculte
large
197
Art.is
thuir
Note
some
signf
graslnd
and
of
evidnt,
overal
with
mesquit
and
AsncuUri:
desrtcub
in
indcat
withn
the
period
and
The
not
H
' Ski
Fores
-Membrs
is
minal
1973
in
ilustrae
study
of
betwn
declins
increas
graslnd
tha
do
exprincd
transio
the
sen
and
End
ares
rates.
dominat
being
the
declin
covers
urbanizto
difernt
change
the
be
in
Itjnc
watershd
study
comensurat
scen,
subwaterhd
cover
with
and
can
betwn
at
Siera
It
land
toward
ocured
the
declin
are
Cainosvle
From
betwn
comensurat
forestd
various
decras
the trend
invaso
Journal
in
[lie
Clasifed
transio
the
in
v^ilhn
as
cover
period.
changes
increas
ing
and
change
Study Areas
land
increas
evalution
percnt
alwys
of
smal
cover
the
trends
agriculte
A
1-und
Withn
the
and
throug
4b.
I
^1
the
human
topg
use
JAWR
to
the
Miler.
TABLE
3.
Percnt
Kepnr,
Relativ
Mehafiy.
and
Land
Land
1973
to
Hernadz.
Cover
197).
A
Change
value
1973
to
-4.89
Land
to
Change
A
to
-36.7
corid,
water
has
of
a
1985
to
Canosvile
190.
A
to
forest
betwn
changed
increas
of
Change
a
a
from
to
agriculte,
cover
in
improvent,
the
watershd
agriculte-ofs
is
zone.
stil
the
conversi
a
the
San
Pedro
not
Basin
to
for
the
the
Can
5
more
as
the
percnt
awy
al
stream.
time
urbanizto
and
924
of
the
American
serv
presntd
the
the
1973
runof
an
is
Figure
result.
increas
in
anu
increasg
invaso.
Considerabl
observd
land
Water
as
in
with
plant
in
of
past
change
show
wody
but
the
scen
comensurat
variblty
Journal
1973
are
result
over
study
respon
landscpe
from
runof
runof
the
result
change
Simulated
vol
over
whic
runof
do
runof
this
undergo
tha
cover
in
hydrolgic
has
from
anul
land
result
in
on
Given
image
deriv,
of
changes
basin
anul
Thes
simulated
four
toal
functio
5).
efcts
the
base
a
periods
quarte-cny.
the
the
(Figure
the
from
rain
the
observd
of
model
contius
genral,
as
basin
time
transio
in
tha
place
increasd
for
SWAT
corespndig
In
the
ilustrave
the
an
dat
reflct
ume
the
14-year
scen.
necsarily
are
is
with
using a
input
withn
spatil
JAWR
of
volume
also
this
taking
56.89
with
runof
gain
indcatg
is
-4.32
sateli
forest
percnt
than
whole,
-40.5
-7.09
simulated
period
change
Althoug
smaler
as
-9.01
Basin
clasifed
watershd
from
3.8
197
23.57
Pedro
change
has
the
percnt
net
to
-3.09
was
San
fal
4.7
percnt
7.6
a
ripan
it
nosvile
from
and
in
Runof
(Table
zone
1.4
197.
Gauge
the
and
percnt
for
an
forest
resulting
forest
198,
bufer
ben
to
0.
Modeling
the
from
4.
than
1973
197
36.4
resulting
by
extn
has
agriculte
to
cover
lesr
Ther
of
agriculte,
ripan
to
whole.
percnt
and
to
forest
withn the
but
as
forest
192,
dates.
-12.67
for
convertd
1975
from
to
betwn
-1.47
the
to
was
1986
are
the
of 9.14
are
1986,
0.
Hydrolgic
with
agriculte
toal
to
in
to
192
192
risk
throug
from
watershd
agriculte
(1973
19.62
watershd,
increas
62.05
increas
-5.38
consite
slight
57.20
an
Charleston
the Canosvile
6.38
65.8
41.63
-1.7
the
-3.57
Subwatershd
indcates
197
-2.40
0.
increasg
fairly
in
excption
therby
ben
years
ocured
to
quality.
Change
5).
1986
302.78
ripan
net
Vista
column
197.
-5.04
-0.34
Siera
to
-15.80
0.
-34.65
Desrtcub
to
23.15
-5.98
Graslnd
1973
3.70
a difernc
1986
197
31.8
306.25
stream
a
in
192,
dates.
-2.35
-0.48
Wodlan
Urban
in
-0.68
0.
Mesquit
percnt
the
value
Cover
Oak
from
Withn
positve
Forest
est
-0.78
-0.1
1973
Land
23
-3.41
14.63
Cover
197).
to
betwn
387.9
-1.6
62.7
Baren
1986
are
1.5
25.71
1.36
Relativ
to
29.13
Water
1986,
in
-2.1
31.
1973
192
192
to
increas
0.42
21.07
and
(1973
an
-3.29
Agriculte
Percnt
Watershd
Miler
0.37
2.16
4.
Hegm, and
indcates
to
-0.16
Riparn
past
1986
1986
-17.83
Desrtcub
TABLE
Pedro
column
-14.5
Urban
Devonald.
San
413.75
Graslnd
flater
Uper
-5.27
Wodlan
Mesquit
to
the
a iferncd
in
Godrich,
-0.12
Forest
Oak
for
positve
Cover
Miler.
Resourc
cover
Asociatn
change
Integrai
TABLE
5.
landscpe
Percnt
Relativ
and
Land
Asemnt
Land
1975
to
Cover
198).
A
Change
positve
value
1975
to
Cover
1985
0.3
Table
3)
and
with
the
1985
to
for
As
variblty
is
model
in
a
in
strong
spatil
input
19
land
to
in
to
are
19,
198
1975
to
198
4.
0.15
-4.6
-1.3
0.6
0.6
anul
runof
from
increasd
model
detail.
used
In
to
in"
spatily.
are
entd, physical
anlysi
for
Hydrolgic
Modeling
the
ori
more
rainfl
of
change
evnt
provides
period
locate
to
(an
model)
retun
con
to
KINEROS
based
"zom
daily,
used
strongly
while
more
to
(a
is
respondig
periods,
in
used
SWAT
model)
tha
time
are
is
parmet
subwaterhd
over ongl
KINEROS
this
and
subwa-
the
KINEROS
lumped
and
Vista
investga
aproch,
temporaly
tinuos
Siera
so
to
this
both
parmets.
the
signfcatly,
was
cover
198,
dates.
0.1
tershd
to
betwn
1.24
1,
compnet
Analysi
1985,
increas
Simulated
Figure
to
an
19
hydrolg
shown
Change
(1973
indcates
-0.3
implcatons
spatil
ther
in
has
asemnt.
Cover
Watershd
column
-3.49
Baren
and
changes
Canosvile
Land
0.2
0.16
4a
along
for
the
a iferncd
in
for
3.51
Agriculte
modeling
change,
Modeling
0.12
Urban
ic
Hydrolgic
-0.31
Forest
(Figure
and
detail
evnts.
Siera
Vista
Subwatershd
For
this
Pedro
and
in
a
The
SWAT
Simulaton
graph
the
Result
show
the
1973 land
deviaton
cover
simulated
for
in
result.
to
for
Uper
toal
tha
each
San
anul
Note
increas
the
runof
anul
scen
Pedro
suite
Basin.
from
relativ
to
base
While
increasd
runof
ocured
elmnts,
ments
in
canel
watershd
change
for
simply
by
study,
loking
at
sevral
wer
the
watershd
ares
withn
A
hig
respon
watershd
than
degr
was
of
elmnts
runof,
the
in
overal
the
at
American
the
Water
in
simulated
Asociatn
rates
size
925
dat
wer
to
with
erosin
the
and
enrgy
sedi
of
subeqntly
a
given
detrmin by
increas
al
greatly
case,
the 1986, 192,
signfcatly
runof
directly
Since
closey
are
In
with
efct.
storm,
increasd
therfo
duration.
duce
5).
and
and
an
(Figure
tied
by
manget
design
rates
they
driven
exacrbting
evnts.
are
evnt,
is
and
or
model
yield
runof
an
includg
outle
Resourc
ment
the
radi
the
storm
with
runof
increas
watershd,
may
rainfl,
expctd
peak
of
runof
indcate
runof,
watershd
runof
size
size
the
change,
large
the
to
Howevr,
ameliortng
be
and
the
sevral
declin
lite
would
volume
cover
in
elmnts
anul
increas
of
of
averg
land
simulaton:
a
majority
the
have
As
Basin
variblty
the
showed
while
increas
spatil
in
may
storm
cover
very
of
due
charteis
in
land
for
size
is
storm
respon.
charteis
this
Pedro
to
the
imply
San
others
reflctd
In
to
in
storm
converg
hydrolgic
respon
observd
SWAT
Uper
the
their
diferncs
changes
due
alter
hydroand
The
as
those
caly
10-year,
increasg
toward
storm,
hydrolgic
outle.
from
the
more
change.
is
evnt.
charteis
espcialy
the
6
the
evnt
of
smaler
the
in
with
trend
watershd
For
senitvy
than
result
respondig
Journal
great
simulaton
over
at
large
This
and
smaler
importance
es.
volume
and
much
runof
tha
runof
variblty
therfo
sub-
the
the
Figure
design
disparty
decras
duration.
and
endpoit
evnt
the
the increasg
changes
anul
Interal
is
the
30-minute
for
6,
two
the
water
result
Result
Table
the
Note
result
using
imagery,
in
from
simulated
runof
runs.
given
San
simulate
storm
from
simlarte
improve
compensatig
in
outle.
of
design
simulaton
resulting
dat.
showed
Thes
changes
some
regions
condit.
out
to
in
other
24
5-year,
the
to
sateli
are
evnt.
and
watershd
of
the
are
the
six
hydrogaps
graphs
volumes
used
clasifed
runs
60-minute
result
runofi"
the
simulaton
storm,
5.
for
from
show
Figure
withn
was
yield
dat
ing
13
subwaterhd
KINEROS
sedimnt
shed
I
smaler
Basin,
the
large
and
with
pro
197
than
storm
hydrogaps
those
clasifton
produce
JAWR
Miler,
TABLE
6.
Design
Runof
Kepnr,
Simulaton
storm
are
Mehafy,
given
Hernadz,
Result
as retun
Using
Miler,
Design
period
Rainfl
evnts
Godrich,
(5-,
10-,
and
Devonald,
Events
and
10-year)
5
60
10
year,
10
21.08
minute
30
year,
10
10
year,
60
Percnt
2.5
34.8
13.2
7.95
7.65
7.8
1.0
10.8
10.7
56.0
1.95
2.79
2.47
197
169.2
1.72
1.64
to
17.2
0.498
7.5
Change
1973
197
0.367
10.2
60-minute).
(m)
0.39
38.
minute
Subwatershd.
and
0.185
7.02
31.79
Vista
(30-
0.158
2.07
30 minute
Siera
0.134
26.4
year,
the
duration
192
1.25
60 minute
for
storm
Miler
0.14
2.74
minute
and
0.57
17.35
30 minute
year,
and
1986
1973
(m)
Event
5 year,
KINEROS
Runof
Rainfl
Rainfl
Hegm,
hyetograp
197
hydrogap
1973
hydrogap
l
40
Figure
6.
is
shown
using
Runof
in
the
storm
the
tions
Hydrogaphs
in
1973
Thes
to
a
sedimnt
nuaced
respon
watershd.
tha
relatd
employs
erosin
a
compnet),
ment
the
percnt
ods
1973
in
6).
This
changes
JAWR
ed
by
withn
the
aprent
the
same
do
not
watershd.
the
time
by
the
In
be
hydrolgic
926
erosin
the
the
land
afectd
change.
indcate
tha
have
Thes
American
is
cover
watershd
Water
locaized
land
alterd
changes
Resourc
the
increasd
tha
result
the
of
toward
simulaton
this
is
protin
quality,
of
withn
of
and
Importan
tendcy
respon.
Journal
only
water
urbanizto,
increasg
is
distrbuon
changes
limt
a
result.
water
genral,
cover
remain
withn
toward
decras
spatil
portins
mechanis
to
genral
and
Howevr,
botms,
simulaton
it
avil
or
stre.
transio
case;
not the
erosin
urbanizto
al
is
impact
operat
trend
increas,
distrbu
As
overal
in
sed
peri
can
spatily
the
reflctd
equal
dismlarty
of
ly,
are
includg
erosin
fac
impervous
chanel
the
a
raindop
competing
a
with
those
unpaved,
the
in
and
model
shear
Thus,
reflctd
panels.
points
impervous
the
on
remain
scour.
respon
end
les
and
undergoi
its
in
7)
tha
is
sedi
increas
(Table
for
complexity
the
the
percnt
197
runof
in
increas,
of
in
increasg
increasg
shed
this
percnt
erosin
to
the
the
throug
to
are
model
rates
to
increas
(Table
explaind
capity
runof
The
from
yield
and volume
transpo
increas.
yield
sedimnt
velocity
as
likews
iment
and
runof
betwn
protinaely
uplands
and
storm
repsnt
tread
way,
ares
the
ing
the
Y-axes
the
due
exposd
withn
erosin
to
(KINEROS
urbanizto
evnts
surface erosin
detachmn
reval
the
is
this
for
30-minute
the
In
able
those
Table 7
on
reducs
ares.
les
contribue
in
to
Given
directly
depict
scale
five-yar,
two
whic
tha
of
dat
in
Thes
does
tor
exposing
whic
changes
are,
rough
and
the
The
storm.
paved
and
(min.)
Subwatershd.
increas, so
gras
surface
of
Note
transi
rates,
al
Vista
60-minute
erosin.
yield
more
exrcis.
and
lower
splah,
and
Siera
10-year,
wodlans
intercpos
runof
The
modeling
the
the
from
infltrao
raindop
increasd
the
for
depicts
cover
mesquit
reducing
surface
to
in
land
provide
therby
the
used
panel
wer
decras
cover,
KINEROS
right
watershd
transio
values,
Using
the
depth
to
80
time
dominat
smal
desrtcub
urban.
nes
The
this
and
while
and
dat.
withn
land
intesy
panel,
40
(min.)
Simulated
left
120
80
time
its
Asociatn
wer
Integrai
TABLE
7.
landscpe
Sedimnt
Yield
Design
Asemnt
Simulaton
storm
and
Result
are
given
Hydrolgic
Using
as retun
Modeling
Design
period
for
Rainfl
evnts
Events
(5-,10
and
and
5 year,
30
5 year,
60
year,
30
10
year,
60
10
minute
year,
30
10
year,
with
vegtaion
transio
estima
cover,
of
and
surface
increasd
roughnes
increasd
simulated
evnts.
runof
Sedimnt
quality
the
with
cant
the
the
on
amount
of
In
watershd
hydrolg
runof
and
by
sedimnt
they
sion
the
and
hydrolgic
of
surface
the
alterd
or
changes
wer
stable
for
watershd
decras
from
change
manget
the
betr
no
quality
a
upland
plan
the
under
water
or
yield
por
percnt
avergin
sedimntao
water
the
5
con
large
dominate
a
of
a
cumlative
watershd
indcate
threa
are
not
than
spatil
thes
since
from
a
persctiv,
ticular
toal
dynamics
From
signf
discharge
hydrolgic
hydrolg.
increasg
as
forest,
respon
was
the
muted
and
and
had
Thus,
was
model
have
are
and
simulated
Second, het
clase
(les
cover
category).
nig
short,
great.
watershd
any
cover
large-
urbanizto
speci
the
baren
in
land
respon
are
of
increasg
vegtai
efcts
in
and
probailty
ben
of
water
respon
yield.
tha
dominat
dominat
hydrolgic
sedimnt
indcate
in
tion
betwn
diferncs
betwn
rainfl
Southwes,
in
and
result
the
in
increas
erosin
of
ben
have
19.8
309
the
vertd
in
34.2
240
transio
exampl,
would
conjuti
variety
semi-ard
alterions
asocited
shift
is
withn
simulated
scale
a
the
for
58.7
49
2180
Had
resultd
from
discharge
coner
thes
in
surface
39.2
295
2890
197
29.3
26.9
427
veg
to
851
248
urbaniz
Change
1973
19.2
24.1
250
percnt
impervous
15.2
207
and
infltrao,
Subwatershd.
60-minute).
Percnt
423
1803
Vista
and
197
208
2580
38.
Reduc
with
283
31.79
minute
asocited
taed
26.4
minute
60
tion.
21
Siera
(30-
(m)
21.9
2.74
minute
the
duration
18.0
20.8
21.08
Analysi
192
2.0
17.35
minute
10
storm
Runof
minute
Change
for
and
1986
1973
(m)
Event
Cover
KINEROS
10-year)
Rainfl
Rainfl
Land
par
due
change
to
in
ero
predict
ares.
watershd.
Hydrolgic
Modeling
of
the
Canosvile
Watershd
1986
land
cover
\
•
«
As
noted
earli,
remaind
the
Canosvile
relativy
decas,
and
ed
are
land
has
the
interacos
with
some
the
was
lowest
ratios
the
land
the
mean
of
to
using
changi
depth
land
base
variblty
in
study
are,
land
thes
nifcat
from
two
not
reason.
to
ic
to
respon
in
a
SWAT
betwn
Journal
Numbers
of
the
Water
transio
3
5
Figure
7.
shed.
The
from
wil
diferncs
in
Asociatn
are not
7
increas
SWAT
9
I
I
Simulaton
graph
13
IS
17
lind
cover
19
21
23
year
Result
the
show
1975
the
slighty
land
for
deviaton
cover
from
subeqnt
covers
Resourc
the
simulated hydrolg
the
land
\
simulaton
transio
a
in
since
thes
American
Such
change
I
sig
major
v^
some
particuly
the
forest.
large
a
withn
not
First,
agriculte
transle
While
wer
«
v
V
the
observd
cover
197
ilustrae
result.
i
land
V.
7,
as
to
wer
changes
for
was
the
cover
Figure
a unctiof
192
\
of
presntd
dat
in
the
in
are
years
each
as
1975
V
V
24
for
shown
Result
the
temporal
is
*
s.
/
V
> ^—'
'IV
rainfl.
of
decras
cover.
from
their
to
SWAT
As
runof
deviaton
runof
period
clasifton.
anul
changes
of
runof
cover
and
-1
forest
contius
simulate
§
of
proetis,
a
used
forest
Becaus
density,
infltrao
repsntig
the
time.
rot
1
* *
♦
V
sevral
tha
tha
hig
soil
of
Rainfl
past
show
during
cover,
•
the
clasifton
canopy
have
over
increasd
large
watershd has
stable
»
t
result.
1975
1986
Water
anul
this
but
clasifton
Canosvile
toal
In
to
sateli
the
in
case
runof
result
decras
simulated
for
runof
each
of
scen.
Curve
vast.
927
JAWR
the
Miler,
Kepnr,
Mehafly,
Hernadz,
Miler,
Godrich,
Devonald,
Becaus
CONLUSI
The
respon
cover
change
using
a
of
models,
and
difernt
parmets
tols
in
and
conjuti
soil
of
over
in
a GIS
tol
asemnt
primay
istc
study
wer
the
co,
has
urban
regions,
in
tershd
withn
sen
the
for
The
Uper
more
land
runof
decras
et
al.
the
who
towns
withn
past
20
ing
has
land
the
over
over
In
modeling
shed
result
hydrolgic
and
has
ben
anul
runof
period
1973
for
to
loca
the
The
hydrogaps
and
sedimnt
yield.
condit
the
averg
sateli
runof
is
in
decras,
god
subtanive
withou
the
Resarch
of
the
and
Walnut
Gulch
dilgent
of
whic
throug
the
would
South
suport
and
hig
facil
quality
dat.
hydrolgic
in
tha
the
potenialy
improvng.
JAWR
928
Journal
of
the
American
Water
Resourc
both
mainte
resach
of
not
USDA-R
Watershd
coletin
to
study
devlopmnt
Experimntal
long-term
contribued
provide
the
thre
suge
Wade
This
deicaton
Pro
to
simulated
and
of
under
grateful
thougfl
Tim
AGW.
Centr,
-
USEPA
and
and
of
scientf
the
are
Ebert,
implentao
and
nace
by
authors
their
Don
posible
finacl
period
taken,
sugetin
condit
for
Watershd
ties
funde
runof
the
wer
use
modeling
Canosvile
during
images
anul
watershd
the
wer
Guertin,
ben
west
evnts
volume,
Since
of
the
water
resach
and
have
the
this
Philp
design
at
evnts,
thes
runof
improved
is
withn
from
in
the
impacts
rainfl
resulting
increas
watershd
relatd
design
impacts
throug
water-gound
reviws
D.
the
it
watershd
using
com
anlyse
the
water
The
anoymus
during
and
water
futre
quantifyg
DW129376-0.
tions.
consequtly
smal
model
dramtic
whic
and
quality
ecolgy.
was
showed
rate,
197,
Pedro
No.
averg
change
of
ject
San
increasd
cover
water
Pedro
and
land
to
decras
the
San
to
Portins
water
Uper
favor
ground
and
by
watershd.
ACKNOWLEDGMTS
tha
the
to
due
from
risk
in
alterd
of
the
ground
remains
indcate
respon
Basin
range
lite
period
undevlop.
Hydrolgic
large-sc
a
cyle,
work
is
contras,
undergo
same
coupled
work
aproch.
alter
paterns.
the
a
water
more
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for
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models.
KINEROS,
of
at
to
decas
of
new
watershd
simulaton
repsntaio
ate
thre
sevral
hydrolgic
SWAT
their
of
over
pair
of
nature
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land
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